UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Teixeira · Nov 07, 2020 · Bantamweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Teixeira
Age 36
Height 5' 5"
Reach 67.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 40
Height 5' 8"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Gustavo Lopez
2.48 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
3.87 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
1.74 TD Avg
41.0% TD Acc.
31.0% TD Def.
0.7 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Anthony Birchak
3.93 SLpM
36.0% Str. Acc.
3.67 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.48 TD Avg
14.0% TD Acc.
61.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Gustavo Lopez - Fight History
LOSS vs Alateng Heili
Draw (unanimous) (28–28, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Sep 18, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gustavo Lopez 0 44 of 115 38% 47 of 119 3 of 8 37% 1 0 2:03
Alateng Heili 0 36 of 118 30% 37 of 120 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gustavo Lopez 0 10 of 30 33% 10 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
Alateng Heili 0 11 of 42 26% 12 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Gustavo Lopez 0 11 of 35 31% 11 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
Alateng Heili 0 15 of 41 36% 15 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gustavo Lopez 0 23 of 50 46% 26 of 54 2 of 6 33% 1 0 1:38
Alateng Heili 0 10 of 35 28% 10 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gustavo Lopez 44 of 115 38% 32 of 93 5 of 10 7 of 12 35 of 99 2 of 6 7 of 10
Alateng Heili 36 of 118 30% 23 of 102 10 of 12 3 of 4 35 of 115 1 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gustavo Lopez 10 of 30 33% 8 of 26 1 of 3 1 of 1 10 of 29 0 of 1 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 11 of 42 26% 7 of 38 4 of 4 0 of 0 11 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gustavo Lopez 11 of 35 31% 5 of 24 1 of 2 5 of 9 11 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alateng Heili 15 of 41 36% 10 of 34 2 of 4 3 of 3 15 of 40 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Gustavo Lopez 23 of 50 46% 19 of 43 3 of 5 1 of 2 14 of 35 2 of 5 7 of 10
Alateng Heili 10 of 35 28% 6 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 1 9 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

Angelo acknowledges that Alateng has more tools and is more technical, but he thinks Gustavo's brawling style and willingness to throw wild punches from unorthodox angles will frustrate Alateng. He notes that Alateng can struggle against brawlers and that Gustavo's toughness and pressure could lead to a win. He is hesitant because Alateng has a wrestling backup plan.

"i actually think gustavo lopez is going to win this fight so gustavo is my pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 14, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Big Brady picks Alateng Heili based on his superior wrestling, expecting takedowns and top control to be the difference. He acknowledges Lopez is dangerous on the mat with a 92% finish rate, so Heili must be careful. He sees the fight as very close and is not betting it. He predicts a decision win for Heili.

"i'm going to take alatang hey lee for the wrestling i don't love it this is not something i'm going to bed"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

Cody leans toward Alateng Heili, citing his durability and wrestling. He notes that Lopez tends to tire and that Heili has shown he can absorb punishment and grind out decisions. Cody is not confident and calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

"give me the durability and the seemingly gas tank i'll i'll lean towards i'll join the rest of twitter on alatang heli but i'm not gonna bet it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

Daniel Levi picks Gustavo Lopez over Alateng Heili. He praises Heili's toughness but notes that Heili's flight from China could be a factor, though a commenter says Heili trained at Fight Ready this camp, which changes things. Levi still sees it as a close fight but thinks Lopez will land harder shots, stuff takedowns, and win a competitive decision.

"i see it being a close fight i just kind of see gustavo lopez kind of pulling away landing the harder shots being able to stuff these takedowns and just winning a competitive decision so gimme gustavo lopez for the …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 17, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Alateng Heili

Preet leans Alateng Heili because he believes the wrestling will cancel out and the fight will become a striking battle, where Alateng has straighter, crisper strikes. He thinks Lopez's striking is too wild and loopy, and that Alateng's wrestling background allows him to sprawl and brawl. He expects Alateng to win by decision and likes the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds -200, Alateng Heili by decision +165
"I got to lean that highly on the tank side here I got to believe he's been making improvements over there I fight ready"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Sep 15, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

Paul leans toward Lopez, noting his striking advantage and that Heili has been outstruck in every UFC fight. He worries about Lopez's cardio but thinks he can win the first two rounds. Paul calls it a close fight and suggests live betting.

"if i'm saying it's a dog or pass and i would have to end up going with gustavo lopez"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 12, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Alateng Heili

The MMA Guru picks Alateng Heili over Gustavo Lopez, noting Heili's recent improvement (10-2 in last 12) and a good win over Dana Batgarel. He criticizes Lopez's performance against Adrian Yanez, saying he looked lost. He trusts Heili's chin and experience, predicting a 29-28 decision win.

"i'm going to go with hilia latin here um he's been better recently"
LOSS vs Adrian Yañez
KO (punch) R3 0:27 · UFC on ESPN: Brunson vs. Holland · Mar 20, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Adrian Yañez 2 41 of 103 39% 41 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Gustavo Lopez 0 23 of 51 45% 23 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Adrian Yañez 0 20 of 54 37% 20 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gustavo Lopez 0 12 of 29 41% 12 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Adrian Yañez 1 17 of 43 39% 17 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Gustavo Lopez 0 10 of 19 52% 10 of 19 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Adrian Yañez 1 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Gustavo Lopez 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Adrian Yañez 41 of 103 39% 32 of 83 8 of 19 1 of 1 41 of 102 0 of 0 0 of 1
Gustavo Lopez 23 of 51 45% 14 of 40 5 of 7 4 of 4 23 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Adrian Yañez 20 of 54 37% 16 of 48 3 of 5 1 of 1 20 of 54 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gustavo Lopez 12 of 29 41% 10 of 25 1 of 3 1 of 1 12 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Adrian Yañez 17 of 43 39% 13 of 30 4 of 13 0 of 0 17 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 1
Gustavo Lopez 10 of 19 52% 3 of 12 4 of 4 3 of 3 10 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Adrian Yañez 4 of 6 66% 3 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gustavo Lopez 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Adrian Yañez

Big Brady picks Adrian Yañez, praising his striking combinations, power, and takedown defense. He notes Yañez is a black belt in BJJ with good get-up game, while Lopez is hittable and has been knocked out twice. Brady expects Yañez to knock out Lopez in the second round, as Lopez's path to victory via takedown is unlikely.

Adrian Yañez wins by KO in round 2; under 2.5 rounds is interesting
"i'm going to take adrianez to win by a second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 20, 2021 (fight day)
Gustavo Lopez

Daniel Levi picks Gustavo Lopez as an underdog, citing his well-rounded attack and power. He compares Yañez to a young Jorge Masvidal in terms of coasting and questionable decisions. He believes if Yañez doesn't get an early knockout, Lopez can mix in takedowns and win a close fight or even knock him out.

"i'm actually gonna go with uh gustavo lopez to upset adriana's"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Adrian Yañez

Yañez is crisp and precise with his striking, using straight shots down the middle. Lopez is too looping and wide with his hooks, which Yañez should counter. Yañez has good takedown defense and has never been knocked out. He should piece Lopez up and likely finish him in the first or second round. The under 2.5 rounds is a solid play.

Yañez by KO (+115), under 2.5 rounds (-155)
"I think jonas wins by ko here i think he does get it done"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Adrian Yañez

The MMA Guru picks Adrian Yanez to win, predicting a first-round KO. He praises Yanez's patience and calmness in the cage, noting he doesn't overthrow shots and waits for his moment. He references Yanez's wins over Brandy Huang and Victor Rodriguez (head kick KO). He acknowledges it's a dangerous fight but believes Yanez will put Lopez out cold, as Lopez has been KO'd before by Andre Ewell and John Castaneda.

first round ko
"i think adrian yanez is going to put him out here perhaps i don't know how it's going to happen but i do believe that adrianez is going to put him out cold"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:43 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Teixeira · Nov 07, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gustavo Lopez 0 26 of 43 60% 33 of 50 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:06
Anthony Birchak 0 17 of 40 42% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gustavo Lopez 0 26 of 43 60% 33 of 50 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:06
Anthony Birchak 0 17 of 40 42% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gustavo Lopez 26 of 43 60% 17 of 33 9 of 10 0 of 0 15 of 27 5 of 7 6 of 9
Anthony Birchak 17 of 40 42% 8 of 27 5 of 9 4 of 4 12 of 33 3 of 5 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gustavo Lopez 26 of 43 60% 17 of 33 9 of 10 0 of 0 15 of 27 5 of 7 6 of 9
Anthony Birchak 17 of 40 42% 8 of 27 5 of 9 4 of 4 12 of 33 3 of 5 2 of 2
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

Daniel Levi slightly leans toward Gustavo Lopez, thinking he is the hungrier fighter and has more to prove. He notes that Anthony Birchak has already had his UFC opportunity and has been inconsistent. Levi mentions Lopez's guillotine threat and better conditioning, while Birchak is on short notice. However, he acknowledges Birchak's experience and past wins over UFC vets.

guillotine submission
"i'm going to slightly lean towards gustavo lopez i think he's got more to prove here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

The MMA Guru picks Gustavo Lopez to win by unanimous decision. He believes Lopez will control Felipe Colares on the feet for three rounds, citing Lopez's good wins and Colares's recent losses. He notes Lopez's heart and ability to get back up after being taken down.

"i believe that gustavo lopez is going to get the job done in this fight by unanimous decision"
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–25) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Eye vs. Calvillo · Jun 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Merab Dvalishvili 0 73 of 128 57% 110 of 187 13 of 18 72% 2 0 9:15
Gustavo Lopez 0 14 of 57 24% 49 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Merab Dvalishvili 0 27 of 46 58% 40 of 64 4 of 8 50% 0 0 2:35
Gustavo Lopez 0 4 of 20 20% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Merab Dvalishvili 0 13 of 25 52% 23 of 45 5 of 6 83% 2 0 3:25
Gustavo Lopez 0 5 of 14 35% 13 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Merab Dvalishvili 0 33 of 57 57% 47 of 78 4 of 4 100% 0 0 3:15
Gustavo Lopez 0 5 of 23 21% 11 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Merab Dvalishvili 73 of 128 57% 47 of 99 13 of 15 13 of 14 23 of 54 3 of 3 47 of 71
Gustavo Lopez 14 of 57 24% 5 of 46 5 of 5 4 of 6 10 of 43 4 of 14 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Merab Dvalishvili 27 of 46 58% 17 of 36 4 of 4 6 of 6 10 of 17 1 of 1 16 of 28
Gustavo Lopez 4 of 20 20% 3 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 3 4 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Merab Dvalishvili 13 of 25 52% 8 of 19 3 of 4 2 of 2 5 of 16 0 of 0 8 of 9
Gustavo Lopez 5 of 14 35% 1 of 10 3 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 9 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Merab Dvalishvili 33 of 57 57% 22 of 44 6 of 7 5 of 6 8 of 21 2 of 2 23 of 34
Gustavo Lopez 5 of 23 21% 1 of 19 2 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 15 1 of 8 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Daniel Levi is confident in Merab Dvalishvili, calling him 'the Machine' and highlighting his relentless wrestling and takedown record. He notes that even wrestlers like Ricky Simon and Casey Kenney couldn't stop Merab's takedowns, and Gustavo Lopez is on short notice. Levi predicts Merab will finally get a finish, possibly setting a takedown record, and should be ranked higher.

predicts first finish in Merab's UFC career
"I think more finally does get his face finished and they need to they need to the rabbi put the big opponent after this way you know I want to see him against you know someone in the rankings"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

The MMA Guru picks Merab Dvalishvili, highlighting his size, reach advantage, and strength. He notes that Merab has been training with Aljamain Sterling and is in shape. He believes Merab will drown Ray Borg on the ground for three rounds, as Borg is a grappler but Merab did better against common opponent Ricky Simone. He predicts a dominant decision or ground control.

Merab wins by decision or ground control
"merabh devilishly he's gonna get the job done. I think he's gonna be in shape and he's gonna just completely drown raid bog on the ground for free rounds."
Anthony Birchak - Fight History
LOSS vs Tony Gravely
TKO (punch) R2 1:31 · UFC on ESPN: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · Apr 17, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tony Gravely 2 39 of 75 52% 61 of 105 4 of 6 66% 0 0 4:34
Anthony Birchak 0 18 of 45 40% 30 of 59 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tony Gravely 1 32 of 65 49% 50 of 88 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:20
Anthony Birchak 0 14 of 35 40% 26 of 49 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:27
2 Tony Gravely 1 7 of 10 70% 11 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:14
Anthony Birchak 0 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tony Gravely 39 of 75 52% 31 of 65 5 of 6 3 of 4 17 of 33 1 of 5 21 of 37
Anthony Birchak 18 of 45 40% 11 of 34 4 of 8 3 of 3 11 of 36 3 of 5 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tony Gravely 32 of 65 49% 27 of 59 3 of 3 2 of 3 12 of 27 1 of 3 19 of 35
Anthony Birchak 14 of 35 40% 10 of 28 2 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 30 1 of 1 4 of 4
2 Tony Gravely 7 of 10 70% 4 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 6 0 of 2 2 of 2
Anthony Birchak 4 of 10 40% 1 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 6 2 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Tony Gravely

Big Brady picks Tony Gravely to win by dominant decision. He believes Gravely's wrestling will be too much for Birchak, and that Gravely will have no problem getting takedowns. He acknowledges Gravely's submission losses but notes they came against elite grapplers. He thinks Birchak is not on that level and that Gravely should control the fight. He expects a 30-27 unanimous decision with takedowns and control time, and mentions a possible finish.

"give me gravy to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tony Gravely

Cody thinks Gravely's chain wrestling and takedown volume will overwhelm Birchak. He notes that Birchak has poor takedown defense and has been submitted multiple times. He expects Gravely to rack up takedowns and control time, possibly getting a submission in the third round. He is very confident.

Gravely by submission, Gravely as a DraftKings play
"i think tony gravely on your lineup man i think he's got the capability to go out there and score 10 takedown"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Tony Gravely

Daniel Levi confidently picks Tony Gravely, stating that Anthony Birchak is past his prime and not UFC caliber. He praises Gravely's wrestling and power, noting that his submission defense is better than perceived. Levi expects Gravely to win by unanimous decision, possibly with a finish by grinding down Birchak. He also mentions that Birchak was brought in on short notice and is outmatched.

unanimous decision
"i'm gonna go grably here to get it done probably unanimous decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Tony Gravely

Manpreet is confident Gravely will win by decision, highlighting his wrestling pressure and top control. He notes that Birchak is content to fight off his back and has poor takedown defense, as seen in his recent loss. He believes Gravely will grind out a decision, making the decision prop a strong play at plus money.

Gravely by decision +245; fight goes the distance +150
"i think that gravley definitely wins this fight i think he takes this to the ground uh controls this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Tony Gravely

Paul agrees that Gravely's wrestling will be the key. He notes that Birchak is past his prime and has been submitted by lesser grapplers. He expects Gravely to dominate with takedowns and control. He is confident in Gravely winning.

"tony gravely i think that his chain wrestling probably wins him out the day"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 11, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Tony Gravely

The MMA Guru picks Tony Gravely to win by third-round TKO via ground and pound. He believes Gravely is an underrated bantamweight prospect with good grappling and stand-up skills. He notes that Birchak has good jiu-jitsu awareness and won't be submitted, but expects Gravely to wear him down in later rounds. He emphasizes that Gravely's losses are to high-level opponents, which shows confidence from his coaches.

third round TKO via ground and pound
"i think he'll go out there and get a third round tko against anthony burkhack due to ground and pound"
LOSS vs Gustavo Lopez
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 2:43 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Teixeira · Nov 07, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gustavo Lopez 0 26 of 43 60% 33 of 50 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:06
Anthony Birchak 0 17 of 40 42% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gustavo Lopez 0 26 of 43 60% 33 of 50 2 of 3 66% 1 0 1:06
Anthony Birchak 0 17 of 40 42% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gustavo Lopez 26 of 43 60% 17 of 33 9 of 10 0 of 0 15 of 27 5 of 7 6 of 9
Anthony Birchak 17 of 40 42% 8 of 27 5 of 9 4 of 4 12 of 33 3 of 5 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gustavo Lopez 26 of 43 60% 17 of 33 9 of 10 0 of 0 15 of 27 5 of 7 6 of 9
Anthony Birchak 17 of 40 42% 8 of 27 5 of 9 4 of 4 12 of 33 3 of 5 2 of 2
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

Daniel Levi slightly leans toward Gustavo Lopez, thinking he is the hungrier fighter and has more to prove. He notes that Anthony Birchak has already had his UFC opportunity and has been inconsistent. Levi mentions Lopez's guillotine threat and better conditioning, while Birchak is on short notice. However, he acknowledges Birchak's experience and past wins over UFC vets.

guillotine submission
"i'm going to slightly lean towards gustavo lopez i think he's got more to prove here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

The MMA Guru picks Gustavo Lopez to win by unanimous decision. He believes Lopez will control Felipe Colares on the feet for three rounds, citing Lopez's good wins and Colares's recent losses. He notes Lopez's heart and ability to get back up after being taken down.

"i believe that gustavo lopez is going to get the job done in this fight by unanimous decision"
WIN vs Dileno Lopes
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · Jul 07, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Anthony Birchak 0 41 of 112 36% 101 of 175 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:19
Dileno Lopes 0 25 of 87 28% 35 of 98 2 of 12 16% 0 0 5:10
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Anthony Birchak 0 11 of 19 57% 50 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:38
Dileno Lopes 0 2 of 10 20% 8 of 17 2 of 7 28% 0 0 3:27
2 Anthony Birchak 0 15 of 34 44% 34 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:30
Dileno Lopes 0 10 of 29 34% 12 of 31 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:43
3 Anthony Birchak 0 15 of 59 25% 17 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Dileno Lopes 0 13 of 48 27% 15 of 50 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Anthony Birchak 41 of 112 36% 16 of 74 18 of 29 7 of 9 30 of 86 9 of 21 2 of 5
Dileno Lopes 25 of 87 28% 22 of 74 2 of 10 1 of 3 18 of 75 7 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Anthony Birchak 11 of 19 57% 6 of 13 4 of 5 1 of 1 7 of 10 2 of 4 2 of 5
Dileno Lopes 2 of 10 20% 2 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 8 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Anthony Birchak 15 of 34 44% 5 of 20 7 of 10 3 of 4 9 of 24 6 of 10 0 of 0
Dileno Lopes 10 of 29 34% 8 of 24 2 of 4 0 of 1 6 of 22 4 of 7 0 of 0
3 Anthony Birchak 15 of 59 25% 5 of 41 7 of 14 3 of 4 14 of 52 1 of 7 0 of 0
Dileno Lopes 13 of 48 27% 12 of 40 0 of 6 1 of 2 11 of 45 2 of 3 0 of 0
LOSS vs Thomas Almeida
KO (punches) R1 4:24 · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Henderson 3 · Nov 07, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Thomas Almeida 1 24 of 50 48% 26 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Anthony Birchak 0 27 of 91 29% 27 of 91 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Thomas Almeida 1 24 of 50 48% 26 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Anthony Birchak 0 27 of 91 29% 27 of 91 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Thomas Almeida 24 of 50 48% 19 of 44 4 of 5 1 of 1 18 of 43 6 of 7 0 of 0
Anthony Birchak 27 of 91 29% 16 of 71 3 of 10 8 of 10 24 of 84 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Thomas Almeida 24 of 50 48% 19 of 44 4 of 5 1 of 1 18 of 43 6 of 7 0 of 0
Anthony Birchak 27 of 91 29% 16 of 71 3 of 10 8 of 10 24 of 84 3 of 7 0 of 0
WIN vs Joe Soto
KO (punches) R1 1:37 · UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs. Henderson · Jun 06, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Anthony Birchak 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joe Soto 2 16 of 39 41% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Anthony Birchak 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Joe Soto 2 16 of 39 41% 18 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Anthony Birchak 1 of 9 11% 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Joe Soto 16 of 39 41% 11 of 32 2 of 3 3 of 4 5 of 20 9 of 15 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Anthony Birchak 1 of 9 11% 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0
Joe Soto 16 of 39 41% 11 of 32 2 of 3 3 of 4 5 of 20 9 of 15 2 of 4
LOSS vs Ian Entwistle
Submission (heel hook) R1 1:04 · UFC on Fox: dos Santos vs. Miocic · Dec 13, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ian Entwistle 0 4 of 9 44% 5 of 12 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
Anthony Birchak 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ian Entwistle 0 4 of 9 44% 5 of 12 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:26
Anthony Birchak 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ian Entwistle 4 of 9 44% 4 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 7
Anthony Birchak 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ian Entwistle 4 of 9 44% 4 of 8 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 7
Anthony Birchak 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (2)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

Daniel Levi slightly leans toward Gustavo Lopez, thinking he is the hungrier fighter and has more to prove. He notes that Anthony Birchak has already had his UFC opportunity and has been inconsistent. Levi mentions Lopez's guillotine threat and better conditioning, while Birchak is on short notice. However, he acknowledges Birchak's experience and past wins over UFC vets.

guillotine submission
"i'm going to slightly lean towards gustavo lopez i think he's got more to prove here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Gustavo Lopez

The MMA Guru picks Gustavo Lopez to win by unanimous decision. He believes Lopez will control Felipe Colares on the feet for three rounds, citing Lopez's good wins and Colares's recent losses. He notes Lopez's heart and ability to get back up after being taken down.

"i believe that gustavo lopez is going to get the job done in this fight by unanimous decision"