UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · Oct 04, 2020 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana
Age 30
Height 5' 8"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 34
Height 6' 0"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Luigi Vendramini
2.82 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
3.82 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
1.11 TD Avg
15.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.6 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jessin Ayari
3.53 SLpM
37.0% Str. Acc.
3.59 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Luigi Vendramini - Fight History
LOSS vs Paddy Pimblett
KO (punches) R1 4:25 · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · Sep 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paddy Pimblett 1 47 of 81 58% 47 of 81 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Luigi Vendramini 0 25 of 51 49% 30 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paddy Pimblett 1 47 of 81 58% 47 of 81 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Luigi Vendramini 0 25 of 51 49% 30 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paddy Pimblett 47 of 81 58% 29 of 62 7 of 8 11 of 11 46 of 80 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luigi Vendramini 25 of 51 49% 14 of 40 4 of 4 7 of 7 21 of 45 3 of 5 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paddy Pimblett 47 of 81 58% 29 of 62 7 of 8 11 of 11 46 of 80 1 of 1 0 of 0
Luigi Vendramini 25 of 51 49% 14 of 40 4 of 4 7 of 7 21 of 45 3 of 5 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 31, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Big Brady picks Paddy Pimblett to win by decision, but is not confident. He thinks Pimblett's wrestling and strength will be key, as he can get takedowns more effectively than Vendramini (who has 8% takedown accuracy). Both are BJJ black belts, so submissions are unlikely. Brady favors Vendramini slightly on the feet but expects the fight to play out on the mat with Pimblett on top. He notes the odds seem off and should be closer to a pick'em.

"i'll take patty pimblett not too confident in this pic but i think the wrestling and the strength is going to be the difference here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

Cody picks Vendramini as his first underdog, citing Pimblett's lack of activity, questionable competition, and reliance on grappling. He notes Vendramini's physical strength and decent grappling, which should neutralize Pimblett's best weapons. He expects a competitive fight and likes the over 2.5 rounds.

Over 2.5 rounds (+110)
"i gotta go with the luigi benjamin"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

I don't rate Paddy Pimblett as a UFC-caliber fighter; his hype is overblown. He lost to Stevie Ray via heel hook and has only beaten low-level competition. Vendramini is a BJJ black belt with power in his hands and better striking. However, I have concerns about Vendramini's get-up game if Pimblett takes him down. But I think Vendramini's skill set is more translatable to the UFC. I lean Vendramini on the moneyline and like the over 2.5 rounds or goes the distance at plus money.

Vendramini by submission +1000, Over 2.5 rounds -125, Fight goes the distance +125
"I don't think he's a ufc caliber fighter... I think vendramini has a skill set that's just much more translatable in the ufc."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

Paul is also on Vendramini, calling it a clear dogger pass. He notes Pimblett's hype and inactivity, and believes Vendramini has advantages in power and physicality. He has been waiting to bet Vendramini and is trying to get the best price.

"clear clear clear dogger pass i've been waiting to ve venger mini"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

The MMA Guru picks Paddy Pimblett to win by first-round submission. He praises Pimblett's submission ability, stand-up, kicks, and cardio. He predicts Pimblett will use judo to take Vendramini down, take his back, and secure a rear-naked choke. He acknowledges Vendramini's toughness and power but believes Pimblett's chin and experience will prevail.

first round submission
"i'm gonna go with paddy pimlets here against luigi ventramini but i will say this um a lot of people are picking paddy pimly here and they should"
LOSS vs Farès Ziam
Decision (majority) (29–28, 29–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · Jun 12, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Farès Ziam 0 39 of 121 32% 43 of 125 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luigi Vendramini 0 34 of 95 35% 50 of 116 1 of 6 16% 0 0 3:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Farès Ziam 0 14 of 42 33% 14 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luigi Vendramini 0 7 of 26 26% 7 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Farès Ziam 0 18 of 61 29% 18 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luigi Vendramini 0 10 of 32 31% 10 of 32 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:08
3 Farès Ziam 0 7 of 18 38% 11 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Luigi Vendramini 0 17 of 37 45% 33 of 58 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Farès Ziam 39 of 121 32% 24 of 106 8 of 8 7 of 7 37 of 118 2 of 3 0 of 0
Luigi Vendramini 34 of 95 35% 19 of 73 11 of 16 4 of 6 26 of 83 3 of 3 5 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Farès Ziam 14 of 42 33% 9 of 37 2 of 2 3 of 3 14 of 42 0 of 0 0 of 0
Luigi Vendramini 7 of 26 26% 3 of 19 3 of 4 1 of 3 7 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Farès Ziam 18 of 61 29% 11 of 54 3 of 3 4 of 4 18 of 60 0 of 1 0 of 0
Luigi Vendramini 10 of 32 31% 3 of 23 4 of 6 3 of 3 10 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Farès Ziam 7 of 18 38% 4 of 15 3 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 16 2 of 2 0 of 0
Luigi Vendramini 17 of 37 45% 13 of 31 4 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 25 3 of 3 5 of 9
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Luigi Vendramini vs. Fares Ziam

Round 1
Switching gears to the lightweight division, two finish-happy fighters that have gone 1-1 in the UFC will toe the line as “Smile Killer” Ziam (11-3, 1-1 UFC) tries to kill the smile of Brazilian-Italian prospect Vendramini (9-1, 1-1 UFC). Drawing the assignment is referee Mike Beltran, who observes the two touching gloves before throwing down. Looking to find his range early is a Ziam, who has the frame to utilize his jab effectively – he does so. Vendramini crashes in to clinch and take the distance away, and Ziam shoves him away and gets back to a jab that has already marked up the nose fast. Ziam’s fakes and feints are freezing Vendramini, but the Italian successfully scores a kick to the knee. “Smile Killer” pierces the guard with a few jabs, breaking up a combination and getting out of the way of looping shots in time. A quick leg kick from Ziam lands, and Beltran tells Ziam he needs to close his fingers when striking. Vendramini looks for a left hook to counter, but Ziam sees it coming and is ready with a few jabs to the head and body. The crowd grows restless as the two measure one another from afar, and Ziam walks through a kick to get in several jabs and a quick left hook to follow. Ziam makes his opponent walk into a right hand, and a kick to the thigh follows suit as Vendramini is unable to get in his rhythm. Vendramini tries to win shots at him, but Ziam is light on his feet as he hops back out of danger. Ziam’s jab continues to get the job done as Vendramini is attempting to power through and throw big strikes, but those strikes come up hitting nothing but air. Ziam kicks the leg and gets popped in the nose, but he responds in kind with a sharp jab up the middle. A high kick glances off Ziam’s shoulder right before the round ends, and Ziam is proud of his work early on.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam

Round 2
The Frenchman picks up where he left off with several jabs, and Vendramini is changing his approach as he rushes forward to throw bombs. When Ziam backs away, he slips up a front kick that collides off Vendramini’s chin, and Vendramini falls forward into a takedown attempt. Ziam stuffs he and circles away against the fence, before the two return to the center of the cage. Vendramini attacks with a single leg takedown, and Ziam stifles it and wings an elbow that is inches shy of his intended target. Ziam keeps his jab going intermittently, and Vendramini has decided to stop eating them and charge like a bull. This plays into Ziam’s hands, who darts out of the way and counters on the outside. A left hand high and a one to the body come together, and Vendramini is taking damage as Ziam’s left hand is poking holes in him. Vendramini scores a single inside leg kick, but Ziam ignores it to get off a pair of punches in response. Vendramini has a leg kick checked, and Ziam absorbs a second one. The range of Ziam is allowing him to land strikes from afar, and his head movement protects him from harm as Vendramini is selling out to throw bombs. A few big punches from Vendramini turn into a double leg takedown attempt, and Ziam impressively shucks him off after getting driven into the cage. When the two separate, Vendramini wants to do some damage, with several wide shots that all come up short. Ziam sticks him with jab after unanswered jab, and he changes it up with a stomp kick to the knee as the crowd is getting bored. The Frenchman does not notice the unrest and does not change up his gameplan, with his jabs flowing right to the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam

Round 3
Ziam picks up right where he left off with sharp jabs, and Vendramini is not playing around anymore as he surges forward with enormous punches that catch Ziam standing tall. Vendramini sprints ahead, throwing everything he has into these strikes, and a few of them manage to connect and send Ziam flying. Vendramini’s foot firmly on the accelerator, Ziam can do nothing but run away, and Vendramini catches up with him. As Ziam retreats, he stumbles, and Vendramini blitzes forward and tackles him to the ground. Quickly and methodically, Vendramini climbs on top and advances his position. “The Italian Stallion” steps over to half guard and then mount, all while landing strikes from above, Ziam gives up his back for a second to regain his position, but Vendramini backs off and returns to half guard. As Ziam sits up, Vendramini snags his neck and tries to hook up an arm-in guillotine choke. When Ziam defends it, Vendramini recaptures mount and slams his fist into the side of Ziam’s head. Ziam manages to get his foe back to his guard, and he tries to sit up against the fence. Vendramini postures up when he does this and smashes his elbow into his opponent’s face. Ziam is shocked as he tries to kick off, and with a sudden explosion, he powers back to his feet and shoves Vendramini away. Ziam appears no worse for wear as he sticks out his jab, keeping Vendramini at bay. Ziam is fully on his bike, escaping from any time Vendramini charges recklessly. Ziam takes a punch when circling away, but Vendramini locks him down against the fence and blasts him in the face with a few punches. Ziam bounces off the fence and continues to strafe back and forth, fully in survival mode as his offense has dwindled almost to nothing. Vendramini tries one last-ditch effort to attack, but Ziam ties him up and holds on tight until the final bell. It will be interesting to see how judges score this round, and as a draw is not outside of the realm of possibility.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vendramini (29-28 Ziam)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Vendramini (29-28 Ziam)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vendramini (29-28 Ziam)

The Official Result
Fares Ziam def. Luigi Vendramini via Majority Decision (29-28, 29-28, 28-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 8, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

Big Brady picks Luigi Vendramini, citing Ziam's poor takedown defense (taken down 8 times in 2 UFC fights) and Vendramini's black belt BJJ. He expects Vendramini to close the distance, take the fight to the mat, and secure a submission. He notes the line movement is surprising and sees value in Vendramini.

Vendramini by submission, round 1
"I'm going to take luigi here I'm going to take him to win by i'm going to say first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

Cody leans towards Vendramini, citing his wrestling and grappling advantage. He thinks Vendramini's takedown ability and power could be decisive, but he has cardio concerns. He sees it as a pass situation but picks Vendramini gun to head.

"i'm gonna say benjamini has made those improvements enough to get the job done"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 10, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

Daniel Levi picks Luigi Vendramini as the underdog, noting that he has been more impressed with Vendramini's performances, including taking Elijah Zaleski's back and a vicious knockout. He acknowledges both fighters are young and green, but sees more upside in Vendramini. He suggests the fight should be a pick'em, so the plus money is valuable.

"i've been a little bit more impressed with luigi van germini and he's the dog here in a fight that i think maybe should be a pick up so i'll go with luigi"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 12, 2021 (fight day)
Farès Ziam

Ziam has a stick-and-move striking advantage, able to keep the fight at distance and debilitate Vendramini with kicks. Vendramini is stronger and has a good ground game, but Ziam's movement should nullify the clinch and takedown attempts. Low confidence due to Ziam still being green and Vendramini's submission threat. The most likely outcome is Ziam by decision.

Ziam by decision (+215), Vendramini by submission (+550) worth a sprinkle
"I do lean on the frenchman's side here as I do think that his striking advantage here will definitely shine... the spot that I'm looking at the most is the Ziam to win by decision plus 215."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 9, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Paul leans towards Ziam, citing his technical striking and reach advantage. He thinks Ziam can keep the fight standing and outpoint Vendramini. He sees it as a pass situation but picks Ziam for the show.

"i'll lean towards for the purposes of a show as a pick i'll say as i am"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

The MMA Guru picks Luigi Vendramini, citing his more understandable loss (to Alessio Di Chirico on short notice) compared to Ziam's loss to Don Madge. He highlights Vendramini's KO ability, versatility on the feet, and submission skills, noting he can win by decision, sub, or KO. He questions Ziam's grappling defense after being held down by Jamie Mullarkey.

"i'm gonna go with luigi vendramini i feel like his loss is a little bit more understandable"
WIN vs Jessin Ayari
TKO (head kick and punches) R1 1:12 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · Oct 04, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luigi Vendramini 1 13 of 23 56% 14 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Jessin Ayari 0 2 of 10 20% 2 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luigi Vendramini 1 13 of 23 56% 14 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Jessin Ayari 0 2 of 10 20% 2 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luigi Vendramini 13 of 23 56% 11 of 21 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 5
Jessin Ayari 2 of 10 20% 1 of 8 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luigi Vendramini 13 of 23 56% 11 of 21 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 5
Jessin Ayari 2 of 10 20% 1 of 8 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

Big Brady picks Luigi Vendramini to win by submission. He notes that Vendramini is a BJJ black belt with a 100% finish rate, while Ayari is low volume and not a finisher. He believes if Vendramini gets a takedown, he will submit Ayari, and that Ayari's only path is an ugly decision.

submission
"give me vander meaney to win by submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 2, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

Daniel picks Vendramini, reasoning that his moment of success against Zaleski (taking his back and almost choking him out) was more impressive than Ayari's split decision loss to Stevie Ray. He admits it's not a confident pick because both have been inactive for two years, but he favors Vendramini's potential finishing ability.

if there's a finish, lean towards Vendramini
"i'm gonna pick luigi van germini but it's not a confident pick because i don't know what to expect from either guy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 1, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jessin Ayari

The host notes a lack of tape on Luigi Vendramini, making it difficult to assess his takedown success. He favors Jessin Ayari's striking and range management, predicting a decision win, but admits low confidence due to insufficient data on Vendramini.

"I feel like we're going to see justin i already go out there and just pick luigi vendramini apart from the outside"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Jessin Ayari

The Guru picks Jessin Ayari as an upset, arguing that Ayari has faced much better competition than Vendramini, who has fought 'absolute cans'. He notes Ayari is only 28 and still has his career ahead, and that Vendramini's recent loss to Alessio Di Chirico on short notice is a concern. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Ayari.

Evens odds mentioned; prediction: decision unanimous
"i'm actually going to be going with jesse and ayari getting the upset here"
KO (flying knee and punches) R2 1:20 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Anders · Sep 22, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Luigi Vendramini 0 4 of 17 23% 7 of 21 0 of 5 0% 1 0 2:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Luigi Vendramini 0 1 of 8 12% 4 of 12 0 of 4 0% 1 0 2:41
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 1 7 of 15 46% 7 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Luigi Vendramini 0 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 15 of 32 46% 8 of 24 2 of 3 5 of 5 9 of 24 3 of 4 3 of 4
Luigi Vendramini 4 of 17 23% 1 of 11 2 of 3 1 of 3 4 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 8 of 17 47% 3 of 11 2 of 3 3 of 3 3 of 11 3 of 4 2 of 2
Luigi Vendramini 1 of 8 12% 0 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 7 of 15 46% 5 of 13 0 of 0 2 of 2 6 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 2
Luigi Vendramini 3 of 9 33% 1 of 6 1 of 1 1 of 2 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessin Ayari - Fight History
TKO (head kick and punches) R1 1:12 · UFC on ESPN: Holm vs. Aldana · Oct 04, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Luigi Vendramini 1 13 of 23 56% 14 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Jessin Ayari 0 2 of 10 20% 2 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Luigi Vendramini 1 13 of 23 56% 14 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Jessin Ayari 0 2 of 10 20% 2 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Luigi Vendramini 13 of 23 56% 11 of 21 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 5
Jessin Ayari 2 of 10 20% 1 of 8 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Luigi Vendramini 13 of 23 56% 11 of 21 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 5
Jessin Ayari 2 of 10 20% 1 of 8 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 9 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

Big Brady picks Luigi Vendramini to win by submission. He notes that Vendramini is a BJJ black belt with a 100% finish rate, while Ayari is low volume and not a finisher. He believes if Vendramini gets a takedown, he will submit Ayari, and that Ayari's only path is an ugly decision.

submission
"give me vander meaney to win by submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 2, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

Daniel picks Vendramini, reasoning that his moment of success against Zaleski (taking his back and almost choking him out) was more impressive than Ayari's split decision loss to Stevie Ray. He admits it's not a confident pick because both have been inactive for two years, but he favors Vendramini's potential finishing ability.

if there's a finish, lean towards Vendramini
"i'm gonna pick luigi van germini but it's not a confident pick because i don't know what to expect from either guy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 1, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jessin Ayari

The host notes a lack of tape on Luigi Vendramini, making it difficult to assess his takedown success. He favors Jessin Ayari's striking and range management, predicting a decision win, but admits low confidence due to insufficient data on Vendramini.

"I feel like we're going to see justin i already go out there and just pick luigi vendramini apart from the outside"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Jessin Ayari

The Guru picks Jessin Ayari as an upset, arguing that Ayari has faced much better competition than Vendramini, who has fought 'absolute cans'. He notes Ayari is only 28 and still has his career ahead, and that Vendramini's recent loss to Alessio Di Chirico on short notice is a concern. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Ayari.

Evens odds mentioned; prediction: decision unanimous
"i'm actually going to be going with jesse and ayari getting the upset here"
LOSS vs Stevie Ray
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Volkan vs. Smith · Oct 27, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stevie Ray 0 75 of 174 43% 75 of 174 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessin Ayari 0 63 of 138 45% 64 of 139 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stevie Ray 0 19 of 41 46% 19 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessin Ayari 0 17 of 30 56% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
2 Stevie Ray 0 30 of 61 49% 30 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessin Ayari 0 22 of 50 44% 22 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
3 Stevie Ray 0 26 of 72 36% 26 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessin Ayari 0 24 of 58 41% 25 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stevie Ray 75 of 174 43% 23 of 107 6 of 11 46 of 56 72 of 171 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jessin Ayari 63 of 138 45% 49 of 121 7 of 9 7 of 8 60 of 131 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stevie Ray 19 of 41 46% 5 of 21 2 of 4 12 of 16 17 of 39 2 of 2 0 of 0
Jessin Ayari 17 of 30 56% 13 of 26 2 of 2 2 of 2 15 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Stevie Ray 30 of 61 49% 11 of 37 0 of 1 19 of 23 30 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessin Ayari 22 of 50 44% 15 of 40 4 of 6 3 of 4 21 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Stevie Ray 26 of 72 36% 7 of 49 4 of 6 15 of 17 25 of 71 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jessin Ayari 24 of 58 41% 21 of 55 1 of 1 2 of 2 24 of 55 0 of 3 0 of 0
LOSS vs Darren Till
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · May 28, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Darren Till 1 31 of 69 44% 33 of 72 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:57
Jessin Ayari 0 28 of 112 25% 41 of 127 0 of 5 0% 1 0 0:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Darren Till 0 6 of 22 27% 6 of 22 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:21
Jessin Ayari 0 8 of 34 23% 9 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Darren Till 1 17 of 26 65% 19 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:36
Jessin Ayari 0 12 of 29 41% 20 of 39 0 of 4 0% 1 0 0:23
3 Darren Till 0 8 of 21 38% 8 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jessin Ayari 0 8 of 49 16% 12 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Darren Till 31 of 69 44% 27 of 65 2 of 2 2 of 2 19 of 55 1 of 1 11 of 13
Jessin Ayari 28 of 112 25% 21 of 105 5 of 5 2 of 2 13 of 92 11 of 15 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Darren Till 6 of 22 27% 4 of 20 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jessin Ayari 8 of 34 23% 5 of 31 1 of 1 2 of 2 6 of 32 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Darren Till 17 of 26 65% 17 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 11 of 13
Jessin Ayari 12 of 29 41% 11 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 20 4 of 4 4 of 5
3 Darren Till 8 of 21 38% 6 of 19 1 of 1 1 of 1 8 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jessin Ayari 8 of 49 16% 5 of 46 3 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 40 5 of 9 0 of 0
WIN vs Jim Wallhead
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · Sep 03, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jessin Ayari 0 70 of 172 40% 72 of 174 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:12
Jim Wallhead 1 47 of 135 34% 53 of 142 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jessin Ayari 0 17 of 38 44% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Jim Wallhead 0 8 of 24 33% 9 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Jessin Ayari 0 20 of 52 38% 20 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jim Wallhead 0 17 of 40 42% 17 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jessin Ayari 0 33 of 82 40% 34 of 83 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:11
Jim Wallhead 1 22 of 71 30% 27 of 77 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jessin Ayari 70 of 172 40% 48 of 135 8 of 20 14 of 17 65 of 164 5 of 8 0 of 0
Jim Wallhead 47 of 135 34% 31 of 113 5 of 8 11 of 14 44 of 128 1 of 2 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jessin Ayari 17 of 38 44% 6 of 21 1 of 5 10 of 12 17 of 37 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jim Wallhead 8 of 24 33% 3 of 18 1 of 1 4 of 5 7 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Jessin Ayari 20 of 52 38% 14 of 43 2 of 5 4 of 4 20 of 52 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jim Wallhead 17 of 40 42% 13 of 36 3 of 3 1 of 1 17 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jessin Ayari 33 of 82 40% 28 of 71 5 of 10 0 of 1 28 of 75 5 of 7 0 of 0
Jim Wallhead 22 of 71 30% 15 of 59 1 of 4 6 of 8 20 of 65 0 of 1 2 of 5
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

Big Brady picks Luigi Vendramini to win by submission. He notes that Vendramini is a BJJ black belt with a 100% finish rate, while Ayari is low volume and not a finisher. He believes if Vendramini gets a takedown, he will submit Ayari, and that Ayari's only path is an ugly decision.

submission
"give me vander meaney to win by submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 2, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Luigi Vendramini

Daniel picks Vendramini, reasoning that his moment of success against Zaleski (taking his back and almost choking him out) was more impressive than Ayari's split decision loss to Stevie Ray. He admits it's not a confident pick because both have been inactive for two years, but he favors Vendramini's potential finishing ability.

if there's a finish, lean towards Vendramini
"i'm gonna pick luigi van germini but it's not a confident pick because i don't know what to expect from either guy"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 1, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jessin Ayari

The host notes a lack of tape on Luigi Vendramini, making it difficult to assess his takedown success. He favors Jessin Ayari's striking and range management, predicting a decision win, but admits low confidence due to insufficient data on Vendramini.

"I feel like we're going to see justin i already go out there and just pick luigi vendramini apart from the outside"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Jessin Ayari

The Guru picks Jessin Ayari as an upset, arguing that Ayari has faced much better competition than Vendramini, who has fought 'absolute cans'. He notes Ayari is only 28 and still has his career ahead, and that Vendramini's recent loss to Alessio Di Chirico on short notice is a concern. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Ayari.

Evens odds mentioned; prediction: decision unanimous
"i'm actually going to be going with jesse and ayari getting the upset here"