UFC on Fox: Werdum vs. Browne · Apr 19, 2014 · Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on Fox: Werdum vs. Browne Next Fight
Age 35
Height 5' 8"
Reach 70"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 41
Height 5' 11"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Mirsad Bektić
2.43 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
1.8 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
3.98 TD Avg
52.0% TD Acc.
92.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Chas Skelly
2.01 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
3.21 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
1.74 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
39.0% TD Def.
2.3 Sub. Avg
Mirsad Bektić - Fight History
LOSS vs Damon Jackson
Submission (guillotine choke) R3 1:21 · UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · Sep 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Damon Jackson 0 13 of 21 61% 76 of 102 7 of 9 77% 0 0 9:24
Mirsad Bektić 0 12 of 26 46% 20 of 34 0 of 0 --- 7 1 0:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Damon Jackson 0 11 of 16 68% 38 of 55 4 of 5 80% 0 0 4:25
Mirsad Bektić 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
2 Damon Jackson 0 2 of 5 40% 35 of 44 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:28
Mirsad Bektić 0 7 of 11 63% 9 of 13 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:23
3 Damon Jackson 0 0 of 0 --- 3 of 3 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:31
Mirsad Bektić 0 4 of 12 33% 10 of 18 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:33
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Damon Jackson 13 of 21 61% 9 of 16 1 of 2 3 of 3 4 of 10 0 of 1 9 of 10
Mirsad Bektić 12 of 26 46% 10 of 23 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 12 3 of 3 7 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Damon Jackson 11 of 16 68% 8 of 13 1 of 1 2 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 10
Mirsad Bektić 1 of 3 33% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Damon Jackson 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 4 0 of 1 0 of 0
Mirsad Bektić 7 of 11 63% 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 10
3 Damon Jackson 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mirsad Bektić 4 of 12 33% 2 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Damon Jackson

The host sees value in Damon Jackson as a short-notice replacement who has been training and is in shape, while Mirsad Bektić is on a losing streak and may be mentally down. He believes Jackson's jiu-jitsu and scrambling will give Bektić trouble, especially in later rounds where Bektić fades. He predicts a submission win for Jackson in the second or third round.

Damon Jackson wins by submission in round 2 or 3
"I'm going with damon jackson i'm going to take the upset here."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Mirsad Bektić

The host picks Mirsad Bektić over Damon Jackson (referred to as Eduardo Gagori, but clearly the opponent is Damon Jackson). He notes Bektić's close fight with Dan Ige and his experience against top competition, while Jackson's record is padded with lesser opponents. He predicts a second-round submission by rear-naked choke.

second round submission by rear naked choke
"I think that's going to get the job done second round submission by rear naked choke I'll say."
LOSS vs Dan Ige
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · Feb 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dan Ige 0 17 of 60 28% 29 of 74 3 of 10 30% 1 0 6:32
Mirsad Bektić 0 43 of 88 48% 64 of 117 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dan Ige 0 7 of 26 26% 9 of 28 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
Mirsad Bektić 0 26 of 45 57% 30 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:51
2 Dan Ige 0 5 of 13 38% 11 of 19 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:31
Mirsad Bektić 0 4 of 8 50% 13 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Dan Ige 0 5 of 21 23% 9 of 27 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:59
Mirsad Bektić 0 13 of 35 37% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dan Ige 17 of 60 28% 14 of 56 3 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 54 3 of 6 0 of 0
Mirsad Bektić 43 of 88 48% 27 of 70 15 of 17 1 of 1 28 of 68 12 of 16 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dan Ige 7 of 26 26% 6 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 20 3 of 6 0 of 0
Mirsad Bektić 26 of 45 57% 15 of 34 10 of 10 1 of 1 16 of 30 7 of 11 3 of 4
2 Dan Ige 5 of 13 38% 3 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mirsad Bektić 4 of 8 50% 1 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Dan Ige 5 of 21 23% 5 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mirsad Bektić 13 of 35 37% 11 of 31 2 of 4 0 of 0 8 of 30 5 of 5 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Feb 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Mirsad Bektić

Daniel Levi picks Mirsad Bektić by split decision, but is hesitant due to Bektić's suspect chin. He acknowledges Dan Ige's power and momentum, but believes Bektić's physicality and wrestling will be the difference. He warns against betting heavily on Bektić.

"I'm gonna pick Bektić by split decision but well uh well we'll be tuning in uh very closely here on Saturday night"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Mirsad Bektić

The host picks Mirsad Bektić by decision, believing he is undervalued due to recency bias. He notes that Bektić has better grappling and athleticism than Dan Ige, and that Ige's wins have come against lower-level competition. He expects Bektić to outgrapple Ige and control the fight, and plans to bet 1.5-2 units on him.

Bektić by decision, bet size 1.5-2 units
"I like the value that were gonna be getting on Rashad back secure and he'll more than likely be a bet for me too - 1:29 I'm clinical currently for me I'm gonna see you know I still think people …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Dan Ige

The MMA Guru picks Dan Ige to win by TKO in the second round. He likes Ige's reach, range control, and recent win streak. He is concerned about Bektić's KO loss to Josh Emmett via jab, which makes it hard to back him. Ige is a monster and will get a big win.

TKO in the second round
"I picked denied to beat him he was 17 and one denied is a monster he's going to get a big win over mossad betting by TKO in the second round"
LOSS vs Josh Emmett
TKO (punches) R1 4:25 · UFC Fight Night: de Randamie vs. Ladd · Jul 13, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josh Emmett 1 27 of 52 51% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Mirsad Bektić 0 10 of 65 15% 10 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josh Emmett 1 27 of 52 51% 33 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Mirsad Bektić 0 10 of 65 15% 10 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josh Emmett 27 of 52 51% 22 of 43 3 of 6 2 of 3 12 of 32 0 of 0 15 of 20
Mirsad Bektić 10 of 65 15% 8 of 62 1 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josh Emmett 27 of 52 51% 22 of 43 3 of 6 2 of 3 12 of 32 0 of 0 15 of 20
Mirsad Bektić 10 of 65 15% 8 of 62 1 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 65 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Ricardo Lamas
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Jun 09, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mirsad Bektić 0 34 of 62 54% 69 of 97 0 of 4 0% 2 1 0:54
Ricardo Lamas 0 31 of 89 34% 97 of 174 2 of 4 50% 0 0 8:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mirsad Bektić 0 12 of 21 57% 17 of 26 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:49
Ricardo Lamas 0 12 of 28 42% 53 of 82 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:12
2 Mirsad Bektić 0 18 of 29 62% 30 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Ricardo Lamas 0 13 of 45 28% 23 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:19
3 Mirsad Bektić 0 4 of 12 33% 22 of 30 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:05
Ricardo Lamas 0 6 of 16 37% 21 of 33 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mirsad Bektić 34 of 62 54% 8 of 34 21 of 23 5 of 5 15 of 40 19 of 20 0 of 2
Ricardo Lamas 31 of 89 34% 12 of 65 15 of 18 4 of 6 15 of 62 14 of 23 2 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mirsad Bektić 12 of 21 57% 1 of 9 10 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 9 11 of 12 0 of 0
Ricardo Lamas 12 of 28 42% 2 of 15 9 of 10 1 of 3 3 of 14 8 of 11 1 of 3
2 Mirsad Bektić 18 of 29 62% 5 of 15 9 of 10 4 of 4 10 of 21 8 of 8 0 of 0
Ricardo Lamas 13 of 45 28% 7 of 37 3 of 5 3 of 3 7 of 33 6 of 12 0 of 0
3 Mirsad Bektić 4 of 12 33% 2 of 10 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 2
Ricardo Lamas 6 of 16 37% 3 of 13 3 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 15 0 of 0 1 of 1
TKO (body punch) R1 2:47 · UFC on Fox: Jacaré vs. Brunson 2 · Jan 27, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mirsad Bektić 1 12 of 33 36% 12 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Godofredo Pepey 0 5 of 17 29% 5 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mirsad Bektić 1 12 of 33 36% 12 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Godofredo Pepey 0 5 of 17 29% 5 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mirsad Bektić 12 of 33 36% 7 of 24 1 of 4 4 of 5 9 of 29 0 of 0 3 of 4
Godofredo Pepey 5 of 17 29% 2 of 12 2 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mirsad Bektić 12 of 33 36% 7 of 24 1 of 4 4 of 5 9 of 29 0 of 0 3 of 4
Godofredo Pepey 5 of 17 29% 2 of 12 2 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
LOSS vs Darren Elkins
TKO (punches and head kick) R3 3:19 · UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · Mar 04, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Darren Elkins 0 60 of 98 61% 146 of 196 4 of 10 40% 0 0 9:05
Mirsad Bektić 1 28 of 59 47% 72 of 109 0 of 1 0% 1 1 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Darren Elkins 0 39 of 57 68% 102 of 129 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:22
Mirsad Bektić 0 3 of 11 27% 6 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Darren Elkins 0 16 of 22 72% 39 of 48 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:27
Mirsad Bektić 0 13 of 21 61% 44 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:38
3 Darren Elkins 0 5 of 19 26% 5 of 19 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:16
Mirsad Bektić 1 12 of 27 44% 22 of 41 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:44
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Darren Elkins 60 of 98 61% 55 of 91 4 of 5 1 of 2 17 of 48 7 of 8 36 of 42
Mirsad Bektić 28 of 59 47% 14 of 45 10 of 10 4 of 4 6 of 36 10 of 11 12 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Darren Elkins 39 of 57 68% 38 of 55 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 18 0 of 0 33 of 39
Mirsad Bektić 3 of 11 27% 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Darren Elkins 16 of 22 72% 12 of 17 3 of 3 1 of 2 6 of 11 7 of 8 3 of 3
Mirsad Bektić 13 of 21 61% 5 of 13 6 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 8 6 of 6 7 of 7
3 Darren Elkins 5 of 19 26% 5 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Mirsad Bektić 12 of 27 44% 6 of 21 4 of 4 2 of 2 3 of 17 4 of 5 5 of 5
WIN vs Russell Doane
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 4:22 · UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson 2 · Oct 08, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mirsad Bektić 0 4 of 10 40% 20 of 27 4 of 6 66% 2 0 3:21
Russell Doane 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mirsad Bektić 0 4 of 10 40% 20 of 27 4 of 6 66% 2 0 3:21
Russell Doane 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mirsad Bektić 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Russell Doane 6 of 15 40% 3 of 9 0 of 1 3 of 5 4 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mirsad Bektić 4 of 10 40% 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Russell Doane 6 of 15 40% 3 of 9 0 of 1 3 of 5 4 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 3
WIN vs Lucas Martins
TKO (punches) R2 0:30 · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs. Alves · May 30, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mirsad Bektić 0 7 of 23 30% 11 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lucas Martins 1 39 of 69 56% 78 of 123 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mirsad Bektić 0 5 of 18 27% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lucas Martins 0 17 of 25 68% 52 of 73 3 of 5 60% 0 0 4:27
2 Mirsad Bektić 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Lucas Martins 1 22 of 44 50% 26 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mirsad Bektić 7 of 23 30% 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lucas Martins 39 of 69 56% 38 of 68 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 17 0 of 0 31 of 52
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mirsad Bektić 5 of 18 27% 5 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lucas Martins 17 of 25 68% 16 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 13 0 of 0 11 of 12
2 Mirsad Bektić 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Lucas Martins 22 of 44 50% 22 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 20 of 40
Chas Skelly - Fight History
WIN vs Mark Striegl
TKO (knee and punches) R2 2:01 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill · Feb 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 1 14 of 30 46% 45 of 63 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:43
Mark Striegl 0 8 of 17 47% 34 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 0 3 of 8 37% 34 of 41 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:51
Mark Striegl 0 4 of 7 57% 29 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:15
2 Chas Skelly 1 11 of 22 50% 11 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:52
Mark Striegl 0 4 of 10 40% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 14 of 30 46% 12 of 27 2 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 19 3 of 3 4 of 8
Mark Striegl 8 of 17 47% 4 of 11 1 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 14 0 of 1 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 3 of 8 37% 2 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 2
Mark Striegl 4 of 7 57% 1 of 4 1 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 2
2 Chas Skelly 11 of 22 50% 10 of 21 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 14 2 of 2 3 of 6
Mark Striegl 4 of 10 40% 3 of 7 0 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 13, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Angelo loves Chas Skelly in this matchup, citing his technical striking, willingness to slug, and wide variety of takedowns with submission threats. He notes Striegl is a solid wrestler but never fully commits. He believes Skelly is well-prepared for a grappling match and will get it done.

"i love chad skelly in this matchup he's technically sound on his feet he's got a willingness to slug it out"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Big Brady picks Chas Skelly but is very hesitant due to multiple red flags: Skelly is 36, retiring, and hasn't fought in over two years. He notes Skelly could submit Striegl if he's not washed, but the ring rust and retirement fight narrative scare him. He predicts Skelly wins by late round submission.

win by submission
"I'll go chas kelly by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Cody leans toward Skelly but with very low confidence due to Skelly's three-year layoff and age (36). He notes that Skelly's wins have come against low-level competition and that his wrestling may have declined. Cody is unsure what version of Skelly will show up and suggests waiting for live betting or weigh-ins to get a better read.

"i have no idea i have no idea i think you might be able to hit a pass but i want your take on it"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Levi picks Skelly to win by submission, citing his elite submission skills and experience. He notes that Striegl's record is padded and that Skelly, despite a dad bod, is too tough and experienced. Levi expects Skelly to take Striegl down and submit him, possibly after some early success from Striegl.

Skelly by submission
"give me chas kelly via submission"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Skelly has a cardio and scrambling advantage over Striegl, who fades in later rounds. The fight will be grapple-heavy with many reversals, and Skelly should dominate positionally. Striegl's cardio is atrocious when pushed, so Skelly by submission in round 3 is the play. The long layoff for both is a concern but Skelly's pace should be too much.

Skelly round 3 (+1000), Skelly inside distance, fight ends by submission (+130)
"skelly round three obviously sticks out to me a whole lot here that's currently sticking around that plus 1000 range"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

Paul also leans toward Skelly but is very hesitant. He notes that Skelly's three-year layoff and private Instagram are red flags. Paul thinks the fight is likely a grappling match where Skelly has an edge, but he is not confident enough to bet it at -220. He suggests waiting for live betting.

"i'll lean towards chas but there is next to no confidence in that pick because i don't know what he's been up to"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Chas Skelly

The MMA Guru picks Chas Skelly to win by first-round submission (d'arce or anaconda choke). He questions Mark Striegl's level of competition, noting he fought a 35-23 opponent after going 10-0. He believes Skelly's grappling and nasty d'arce choke will catch Striegl when he shoots a bad takedown, similar to his last fight.

first round submission (d'arce choke or anaconda choke)
"i'm gonna go of chas skelly here over mark streagle ... i think he's gonna utilize that here against mark streagle so i'm going to call a first round dash choke or anaconda choke submission"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gaethje · Sep 14, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 0 21 of 59 35% 80 of 125 1 of 3 33% 3 1 8:35
Jordan Griffin 0 37 of 87 42% 66 of 122 1 of 1 100% 2 2 2:57
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 0 7 of 19 36% 24 of 37 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:49
Jordan Griffin 0 10 of 27 37% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:55
2 Chas Skelly 0 8 of 24 33% 24 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 1 2:06
Jordan Griffin 0 19 of 37 51% 28 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:43
3 Chas Skelly 0 6 of 16 37% 32 of 47 0 of 1 0% 1 0 3:40
Jordan Griffin 0 8 of 23 34% 28 of 48 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 21 of 59 35% 20 of 52 1 of 7 0 of 0 20 of 58 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jordan Griffin 37 of 87 42% 36 of 84 1 of 3 0 of 0 32 of 81 0 of 0 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 7 of 19 36% 7 of 18 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Griffin 10 of 27 37% 9 of 25 1 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Chas Skelly 8 of 24 33% 8 of 21 0 of 3 0 of 0 7 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1
Jordan Griffin 19 of 37 51% 19 of 36 0 of 1 0 of 0 15 of 32 0 of 0 4 of 5
3 Chas Skelly 6 of 16 37% 5 of 13 1 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Griffin 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0 7 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1
LOSS vs Bobby Moffett
No Contest (overturned) R2 2:43 · UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodríguez · Nov 10, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bobby Moffett 0 30 of 60 50% 47 of 81 1 of 2 50% 0 1 3:38
Chas Skelly 0 20 of 56 35% 21 of 57 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bobby Moffett 0 24 of 40 60% 41 of 61 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:23
Chas Skelly 0 12 of 32 37% 13 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bobby Moffett 0 6 of 20 30% 6 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:15
Chas Skelly 0 8 of 24 33% 8 of 24 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bobby Moffett 30 of 60 50% 26 of 55 3 of 4 1 of 1 15 of 44 15 of 16 0 of 0
Chas Skelly 20 of 56 35% 13 of 47 1 of 2 6 of 7 18 of 51 1 of 4 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bobby Moffett 24 of 40 60% 21 of 37 2 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 24 15 of 16 0 of 0
Chas Skelly 12 of 32 37% 8 of 27 0 of 1 4 of 4 11 of 28 1 of 4 0 of 0
2 Bobby Moffett 6 of 20 30% 5 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chas Skelly 8 of 24 33% 5 of 20 1 of 1 2 of 3 7 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1
LOSS vs Jason Knight
TKO (punches) R3 0:39 · UFC 211: Miocic vs. dos Santos 2 · May 13, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jason Knight 0 29 of 63 46% 37 of 71 1 of 6 16% 0 1 3:49
Chas Skelly 1 59 of 109 54% 65 of 116 2 of 2 100% 3 2 1:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jason Knight 0 7 of 24 29% 15 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:29
Chas Skelly 0 15 of 27 55% 18 of 31 1 of 1 100% 3 2 0:43
2 Jason Knight 0 19 of 35 54% 19 of 35 0 of 4 0% 0 1 1:20
Chas Skelly 0 28 of 59 47% 31 of 62 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:51
3 Jason Knight 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chas Skelly 1 16 of 23 69% 16 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jason Knight 29 of 63 46% 23 of 54 4 of 7 2 of 2 28 of 61 1 of 1 0 of 1
Chas Skelly 59 of 109 54% 46 of 90 7 of 11 6 of 8 30 of 72 6 of 8 23 of 29
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jason Knight 7 of 24 29% 6 of 22 1 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 1
Chas Skelly 15 of 27 55% 10 of 22 0 of 0 5 of 5 10 of 22 3 of 3 2 of 2
2 Jason Knight 19 of 35 54% 14 of 28 3 of 5 2 of 2 18 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chas Skelly 28 of 59 47% 20 of 45 7 of 11 1 of 3 17 of 44 3 of 5 8 of 10
3 Jason Knight 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chas Skelly 16 of 23 69% 16 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 17
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 2:01 · UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · Feb 04, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 0 21 of 52 40% 29 of 60 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:39
Chris Gruetzemacher 0 28 of 43 65% 65 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 0 12 of 31 38% 20 of 39 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:38
Chris Gruetzemacher 0 12 of 16 75% 41 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chas Skelly 0 9 of 21 42% 9 of 21 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:01
Chris Gruetzemacher 0 16 of 27 59% 24 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 21 of 52 40% 20 of 50 1 of 2 0 of 0 15 of 40 4 of 8 2 of 4
Chris Gruetzemacher 28 of 43 65% 15 of 29 5 of 6 8 of 8 15 of 29 2 of 2 11 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 12 of 31 38% 12 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0 6 of 19 4 of 8 2 of 4
Chris Gruetzemacher 12 of 16 75% 5 of 9 2 of 2 5 of 5 8 of 11 2 of 2 2 of 3
2 Chas Skelly 9 of 21 42% 8 of 19 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Gruetzemacher 16 of 27 59% 10 of 20 3 of 4 3 of 3 7 of 18 0 of 0 9 of 9
WIN vs Maximo Blanco
Technical Submission (anaconda choke) R1 0:19 · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson · Sep 17, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:11
Maximo Blanco 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:11
Maximo Blanco 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maximo Blanco 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maximo Blanco 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Darren Elkins
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–27, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 196: McGregor vs. Diaz · Mar 05, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Darren Elkins 0 104 of 153 67% 193 of 255 7 of 11 63% 0 0 8:43
Chas Skelly 0 27 of 72 37% 32 of 83 0 of 1 0% 2 0 1:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Darren Elkins 0 36 of 59 61% 73 of 98 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:55
Chas Skelly 0 22 of 42 52% 22 of 44 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:33
2 Darren Elkins 0 40 of 49 81% 75 of 93 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:21
Chas Skelly 0 3 of 8 37% 7 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Darren Elkins 0 28 of 45 62% 45 of 64 4 of 5 80% 0 0 2:27
Chas Skelly 0 2 of 22 9% 3 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Darren Elkins 104 of 153 67% 73 of 118 26 of 29 5 of 6 24 of 65 32 of 36 48 of 52
Chas Skelly 27 of 72 37% 23 of 65 4 of 7 0 of 0 20 of 62 5 of 8 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Darren Elkins 36 of 59 61% 22 of 43 13 of 14 1 of 2 11 of 32 23 of 24 2 of 3
Chas Skelly 22 of 42 52% 18 of 37 4 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 34 5 of 7 1 of 1
2 Darren Elkins 40 of 49 81% 27 of 36 10 of 10 3 of 3 3 of 7 4 of 6 33 of 36
Chas Skelly 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 1 1 of 1
3 Darren Elkins 28 of 45 62% 24 of 39 3 of 5 1 of 1 10 of 26 5 of 6 13 of 13
Chas Skelly 2 of 22 9% 2 of 20 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:56 · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Henderson 3 · Nov 07, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chas Skelly 1 19 of 35 54% 24 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:07
Edimilson Souza 0 7 of 18 38% 11 of 24 2 of 3 66% 2 0 2:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chas Skelly 1 6 of 16 37% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Edimilson Souza 0 7 of 12 58% 11 of 18 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:10
2 Chas Skelly 0 13 of 19 68% 18 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Edimilson Souza 0 0 of 6 0% 0 of 6 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chas Skelly 19 of 35 54% 17 of 33 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 14 0 of 0 13 of 21
Edimilson Souza 7 of 18 38% 7 of 15 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 11 1 of 1 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chas Skelly 6 of 16 37% 5 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 4 of 9
Edimilson Souza 7 of 12 58% 7 of 11 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 1 of 1 6 of 6
2 Chas Skelly 13 of 19 68% 12 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 12
Edimilson Souza 0 of 6 0% 0 of 4 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0