Fight card

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira

May 13, 2020 VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena Jacksonville, Florida, U.S.
Glover Teixeira

Glover Teixeira W

33-9
TKO (punches) R5 1:04
Fight 1 VS Light Heavyweight Completed

Glover Teixeira

No odds available.

Anthony Smith

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Glover Teixeira

Age46
Height6' 2"
Reach76.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Anthony Smith

Age37
Height6' 4"
Reach76.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Glover Teixeira

3.73SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
4.43SApM
51.0%Str. Def.
2.11TD Avg
33.0%TD Acc.
60.0%TD Def.
0.9Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Anthony Smith

3.19SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
5.04SApM
44.0%Str. Def.
0.44TD Avg
22.0%TD Acc.
50.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Anthony Smith

Big Brady picks Anthony Smith, citing Smith's improved BJJ and cardio advantage. He believes Smith can survive takedowns and submissions from Teixeira, tire him out, and finish him in the later rounds (third or fourth). He notes Teixeira hasn't had a knockout since 2015-2016 and that Smith has not been knocked out since moving to 205. He plans to parlay Smith.

Smith wins by knockout in round 3 or 4; plans to parlay him
"I like anything you Smith here ... I'm going to pick Anthony Smith to win by knockout and uh maybe the fourth round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Anthony Smith

Daniel Levi picks Anthony Smith, noting that Smith is a dangerous finisher with length and a comeback ability, especially in five-round fights. He mentions that Smith can be losing but land a big knee or choke, and that Glover is older and smaller. However, he hesitates because Smith is a favorite and he prefers him as an underdog, but ultimately leans Smith catching a finish.

"I'm gonna slightly lean with Anthony Smith catching somewhere along the way"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Anthony Smith

The MMA Guru picks Anthony Smith, citing that Glover Teixeira almost lost to Nikita Krylov and that Smith has great takedown defense and submission defense at light heavyweight. He believes Smith will use his pace to outwork the older Teixeira, who may slow down in the later rounds due to a poor training camp situation. He also mentions Smith's win over Volkan Oezdemir as evidence of his ability.

"I'm going with Smith I can't not go with Smith... I think he's gonna win... I'll go Smith by TKO in the fourth round."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Ben Rothwell

Ben Rothwell W

39-14
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 2 VS Heavyweight Completed

Ben Rothwell

No odds available.

Ovince Saint Preux

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Ben Rothwell

Age44
Height6' 4"
Reach78.0"
Weight265 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Ovince Saint Preux

Age43
Height6' 3"
Reach80.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Ben Rothwell

3.71SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
4.63SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
0.68TD Avg
34.0%TD Acc.
70.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Ovince Saint Preux

3.03SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
3.33SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
1.09TD Avg
36.0%TD Acc.
67.0%TD Def.
0.5Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

Big Brady leans with Ben Rothwell as an underdog, believing Rothwell's power and chin give him a good chance to knock out Ovince Saint Preux. He thinks OSP will struggle to take Rothwell down and that the fight will stay on the feet, where Rothwell has the advantage. He acknowledges OSP could win a decision if Rothwell fights poorly, but sees a knockout as more likely and considers betting on Rothwell at plus odds.

Rothwell wins by knockout; considering a bet at +120
"I am thinking about placing a bet on Ben Rothwell especially at those odds"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Ovince Saint Preux

Daniel Levi picks OSP, citing his athleticism and speed advantage over Rothwell, who has looked slow since his suspension. He notes OSP's suspect chin and cardio at heavyweight, and says he won't bet him at -140 due to those concerns, but still picks him for the win.

I will not play him at that line with that extra weight with that suspect cardio in that suspect chin
"I Eileen OSP but from a betting perspective I will not play him at that line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Ben Rothwell

The MMA Guru picks Ben Rothwell, noting that OSP is moving up to heavyweight and his chin won't magically improve. He highlights Rothwell's durability, having taken shots from Junior dos Santos and Blagojevich, and believes Rothwell will smother OSP and finish him in the second round. He also points out that OSP is 37 and has been rocked in recent fights.

TKO in the second round
"I'm gonna go with Ben Rothwell... he's gonna go out there put the pressure on OSP smother him... KO him in the second round."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Drew Dober

Drew Dober W

29-15
TKO (punches) R2 4:25
Fight 3 VS Lightweight Completed

Drew Dober

No odds available.

Alexander Hernandez

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Drew Dober

Age37
Height5' 8"
Reach70.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Alexander Hernandez

Age33
Height5' 9"
Reach72.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Drew Dober

4.48SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
4.33SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
0.61TD Avg
16.0%TD Acc.
58.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Alexander Hernandez

4.31SLpM
40.0%Str. Acc.
4.5SApM
59.0%Str. Def.
1.14TD Avg
36.0%TD Acc.
73.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Alexander Hernandez

Big Brady picks Alexander Hernandez, citing recency bias in the line favoring Dober after two knockout wins. He believes Hernandez's wrestling is a glaring weakness for Dober and that Hernandez can take him down at will. He notes Dober is most dangerous in the first round and that Hernandez can control the fight on the ground, possibly winning by decision. He considers placing a bet at plus money.

Hernandez wins by decision; might bet on him at +100
"I like her Nana's here might even put a bet on him especially if he's still at dog odds"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Drew Dober

Daniel Levi picks Drew Dober, emphasizing Dober's recent form, improved composure, and training with Justin Gaethje. He criticizes Hernandez's underwhelming performances since the Dariush knockout, calling him not a top-15 guy. He predicts Dober will knock out Hernandez, riding momentum from his team.

"I'm gonna take Jude over to come in here and not Alexander Alexander Hernandez out I think he's riding that momentum"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Drew Dober

The MMA Guru picks Drew Dober, stating that Dober is a huge lightweight bully with power and a good chin. He doubts Hernandez has the power to hurt Dober, referencing Hernandez's inability to finish Cerrone. He predicts Dober will march forward and catch Hernandez, likely by KO in the first round. He also notes that Dober was originally scheduled for a different fight and is well-prepared.

KO in the first round
"I'm gonna go drew Dober... I think he's gonna ko Hernandez... late first round KO."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Ricky Simón

Ricky Simón W

22-7-1
Decision (split) R3 5:00
Fight 4 VS Bantamweight Completed

Ricky Simón

No odds available.

Ray Borg

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Ricky Simón

Age33
Height5' 6"
Reach69"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Ray Borg

Age32
Height5' 4"
Reach63.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Ricky Simón

3.03SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
3.9SApM
61.0%Str. Def.
4.49TD Avg
41.0%TD Acc.
76.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Ray Borg

1.52SLpM
52.0%Str. Acc.
1.93SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
3.89TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
46.0%TD Def.
1.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (0)

No expert picks captured for this fight yet.

Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Andrei Arlovski

Andrei Arlovski W

34-24
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 5 VS Heavyweight Completed

Andrei Arlovski

No odds available.

Philipe Lins

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Andrei Arlovski

Age47
Height6' 3"
Reach77.0"
Weight240 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Philipe Lins

Age40
Height6' 2"
Reach78.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Andrei Arlovski

3.82SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
3.22SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
0.37TD Avg
35.0%TD Acc.
76.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Philipe Lins

3.8SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
3.59SApM
46.0%Str. Def.
1.65TD Avg
33.0%TD Acc.
100.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Philipe Lins

Big Brady picks Philipe Lins to win by knockout, impressed by Lins' cardio and crisp striking on film. He believes Arlovski is on his way out at 41 and has been knocked out many times, while Lins has good volume and finishing ability. He predicts a first-round knockout, though he notes Arlovski has improved his boxing recently.

Lins wins by knockout in round 1
"I'm gonna go with Phillipe Lin's with a knockout give me a knockout on the first round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Philipe Lins

Daniel Levi picks Philipe Lins, noting his knockout power and composure, and that Arlovski is on a decline (3-10 in last 13). He mentions Lins' momentum from winning the PFL million and believes Lins will have a successful UFC debut, possibly by knockout or decision.

"I got Phillipe lineage to have a successful UFC debut"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Philipe Lins

The MMA Guru picks Philipe Lins, citing that Arlovski's chin is deteriorating and that Lins is on a win streak and has KO power. He believes Lins will catch Arlovski early, likely in the first round, and then move down to light heavyweight where he belongs. He admits he has been wrong about Arlovski before but trusts his chin won't hold up.

first round KO
"I'm gonna go with Philippe Linz... I think he's gonna kill him nice and early in that first round."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Thiago Moises

Thiago Moises W

19-10
Submission (ankle lock) R2 0:25
Fight 6 VS Lightweight Completed

Thiago Moises

No odds available.

Michael Johnson

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Thiago Moises

Age31
Height5' 9"
Reach70.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Michael Johnson

Age40
Height5' 10"
Reach73.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Thiago Moises

2.48SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
4.08SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
1.31TD Avg
35.0%TD Acc.
52.0%TD Def.
1.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Michael Johnson

4.27SLpM
39.0%Str. Acc.
3.78SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
0.57TD Avg
38.0%TD Acc.
81.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (0)

No expert picks captured for this fight yet.

Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Sijara Eubanks

Sijara Eubanks W

8-7
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–26) R3 5:00
Fight 7 VS Women's Bantamweight Completed

Sijara Eubanks

No odds available.

Sarah Moras

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Sijara Eubanks

Age41
Height5' 4"
Reach67.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Sarah Moras

Age38
Height5' 7"
Reach67.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Sijara Eubanks

4.3SLpM
43.0%Str. Acc.
3.43SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
1.9TD Avg
44.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Sarah Moras

2.28SLpM
34.0%Str. Acc.
3.58SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
0.67TD Avg
21.0%TD Acc.
33.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Big Brady is very confident in Sijara Eubanks, believing she has advantages everywhere including wrestling and striking. He thinks Eubanks will dominate from start to finish, possibly with a finish, and that Moras has poor takedown defense. He calls it Eubanks' easiest UFC fight and expects a dominant decision like 30-26 or 30-25.

Eubanks wins by dominant decision (30-26 or 30-25)
"I'm gonna go Eubanks I'm gonna take her to win a very very dominant decision 30 26 1325"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

Daniel Levi picks Sijara Eubanks via unanimous decision, citing her black belt and top control advantage. He notes Moras' poor takedown defense and reliance on armbars, but warns Eubanks must avoid getting swept or caught in a submission.

"imma goes to Jarrah eubanks via unanimous decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Sijara Eubanks

The MMA Guru picks Sijara Eubanks, but expresses disdain for both fighters, calling them 'sh*t'. He says Eubanks will win because she is the less bad option, but offers no technical analysis. He notes that both have poor records and don't deserve to be in the UFC.

"I think Eubanks is gonna win I don't care because they're both sh*t."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Omar Morales

Omar Morales W

11-4
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 8 VS Lightweight Completed

Omar Morales

No odds available.

Gabriel Benítez

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Omar Morales

Age40
Height5' 11"
Reach73.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Gabriel Benítez

Age37
Height5' 8"
Reach71"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Omar Morales

3.42SLpM
40.0%Str. Acc.
3.18SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
0.46TD Avg
100.0%TD Acc.
63.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Gabriel Benítez

5.26SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
4.49SApM
63.0%Str. Def.
0.22TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
55.0%TD Def.
0.9Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Big Brady picks Omar Morales due to Benítez moving up in weight, making Morales the much bigger fighter. He believes Morales can take Benítez down at will and win a comfortable decision, possibly by knockout. He notes Benítez has been knocked out before and that Morales is very green but should dominate due to the size difference.

Morales wins by decision (29-28 or 30-27), possible knockout
"I like Omar Morales here to win a comfortable decision and possibly in a knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Omar Morales

Daniel Levi picks Omar Morales, predicting a knockout via right high kick or counter. He criticizes Benítez's predictable offense (straight left, left kick) and suspect chin, noting that Morales is a former kickboxer with cleaner technique and power. He believes Morales will move to 2-0 in the UFC.

"I think Omar Morales is gonna knock him out"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Gabriel Benítez

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Benítez, stating he is not sold on Omar Morales after his lackluster UFC debut against Dong Hyun Ma. He notes that Benítez is in his prime at 31 and has had good showings in the UFC, including rocking Sadiq Yusuf. He predicts Benítez will win by decision or TKO, calling Morales an 'old man' making his debut too late.

"Gabriel Benitez is gonna go out there and get a huge upset over Omar Morales... by decision or TKO."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Brian Kelleher

Brian Kelleher W

24-16
KO (punches) R2 3:40
Fight 9 VS Featherweight Completed

Brian Kelleher

No odds available.

Hunter Azure

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Brian Kelleher

Age39
Height5' 6"
Reach66.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Hunter Azure

Age34
Height5' 8"
Reach69.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Brian Kelleher

3.31SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
4.59SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
1.68TD Avg
41.0%TD Acc.
60.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Hunter Azure

3.92SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
2.08SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
1.97TD Avg
34.0%TD Acc.
67.0%TD Def.
1.3Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Hunter Azure

Big Brady picks Hunter Azure to win by decision, citing Azure's size, reach advantage, and wrestling background. He believes Kelleher will struggle to get the fight to the ground and that Azure is the better striker. He sees a dominant 30-27 decision unless Kelleher lands a fluke submission, which he considers unlikely.

Azure wins by decision (30-27 or 29-28)
"I'm gonna go with the sir to win by decision like 30 27 possibly 29 28"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Hunter Azure

Daniel Levi picks Hunter Azure, citing his physicality, mentality, and consistent game plan. He notes Azure's D1 wrestling background and calf kicks, and believes he will grind out a win. He acknowledges Kelleher's experience and guillotine threat but thinks Azure's improvement and size advantage will prevail.

"I'ma go with Hunter a sure as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Hunter Azure

The MMA Guru picks Hunter Azure, noting that Azure is a natural featherweight and a big guy for the division, while Kelleher has mostly fought at bantamweight. He highlights Azure's win over Brad Katona as a quality victory, whereas Kelleher's wins are less impressive. He predicts Azure will outgrapple Kelleher and win a dominant decision.

dominant decision
"I'm gonna go with hunter as you're a much bigger guy and you'll get the job done over Brian Keller buyout rappeling him and probably winning a dominant decision."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Chase Sherman

Chase Sherman W

16-12
TKO (elbow and punches) R2 0:49
Fight 10 VS Heavyweight Completed

Chase Sherman

No odds available.

Ike Villanueva

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Chase Sherman

Age36
Height6' 4"
Reach78.0"
Weight250 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Ike Villanueva

Age42
Height6' 1"
Reach73.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Chase Sherman

6.04SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
6.65SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
0.09TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
74.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Ike Villanueva

3.66SLpM
38.0%Str. Acc.
7.24SApM
36.0%Str. Def.
0.6TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
100.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

Big Brady leans with Chase Sherman due to his UFC experience and size advantage, noting that Ike Villanueva is moving up from light heavyweight and will be the smaller fighter. He acknowledges Villanueva's speed and power but believes Sherman can weather the early storm and take over in the second round, predicting a second-round knockout. However, he calls it a very low-level fight and is not highly confident.

Sherman wins by knockout in round 2
"I'm gonna go with Sherman second round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Chase Sherman

Daniel Levi leans with Chase Sherman, citing his size, UFC experience, and thunderous leg kicks. He notes that Villanueva is a former middleweight/light heavyweight and smaller, but admits Sherman's head movement is poor and a knockout from Villanueva wouldn't surprise him.

"I'll lean with Sherman for that reason but it's not gonna surprise me one bit if the newcomer comes out here and knocks him out either"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Chase Sherman

The MMA Guru picks Chase Sherman, citing his better chin and experience against tougher opponents, including a fight with Rashad Coulter. He notes that Ike Villanueva lost to Trevin Giles, a middleweight, in the first round, and questions his durability. He predicts Sherman will finish Villanueva in the second round via TKO once Villanueva gasses.

second round TKO
"I'm gonna go chase Sherman... by second round or first round TKO once Villanueva gets rid of his initial burst of juice."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.