Montserrat Ruiz

Angelo picks Alice Ardelean, describing her as durable, gritty, and aggressive. He notes Montserrat Ruiz has good wrestling but quits when things get tough, having been finished in her last three fights. He believes Ardelean's toughness and forward pressure will overwhelm Ruiz, and she may even finish her. He is surprised by her price point but thinks she gets after it.

Big Brady is very confident in Alice Ardelean, noting Montserrat Ruiz has been terrible in her last three fights, with poor takedown defense (33%) and landing less than one strike per minute. He highlights Ardelean's power and aggression, and that Ruiz has been TKO'd before. He sees a third-round TKO as likely, only worried about a potential head-and-arm throw decision for Ruiz.

Connor picks Ardelean because she is improving, takes fighting seriously now, and is fundamentally aggressive. He thinks Ruiz's gimmick won't work if Ardelean rushes in aggressively, and if the throw fails, Ruiz has no backup plan and will get beaten up on the ground.

Lucrative James picks Alice Ardelean confidently, noting that Montserrat Ruiz relies heavily on a single move (the scarf hold) and has been out of action for over two years. He believes Ardelean's size, power, and volume will be too much, and that Ruiz will struggle to implement her game plan. He also mentions Ardelean's recent win over Rayanne dos Santos as evidence of her form.

Ardelean should stifle Ruiz's head and arm throw and land more shots on the feet. The fight will go to the scorecards and Ardelean will win. The host advises against betting the minus 400 line.

The MMA Guru picks Alice Ardelean, citing her physicality, pressure, and volume. He notes Montserrat Ruiz has lost consistently since beating Shayna Lismann and is too small. He expects Ardelean to push Ruiz against the cage and outwork her, predicting a close 29-28 decision.

Angelo picks Eduarda Moura despite fading high-level wrestlers, because Montserrat Ruiz hasn't shown her wrestling consistently in the UFC. He notes Ruiz gets taken down and hit, and thinks the UFC is feeding her to Moura. However, he does not bet on this fight because Moura is a UFC newcomer in the favorite spot.

Big Brady picks Eduarda Moura to win by first-round submission. He notes that Moura is much bigger, has vicious ground and pound, and forces opponents to give up their back. He compares her favorably to Jacqueline Amorim, who dominated Ruiz but lacked finishing ground and pound. He questions why Ruiz is in the UFC, citing her inactivity and recent loss.

Daniel Levi picks Eduarda Moura, noting her physicality, size advantage (6 inches taller), and strong wrestling and grappling. He sees Ruiz as a one-dimensional fighter who relies on head-and-arm throws, which won't work against a stronger opponent. Levi expects Moura to neutralize Ruiz and win by submission or ground-and-pound TKO. He acknowledges the risk of laying heavy chalk on a female fighter making her debut, but believes the matchup is favorable.

James predicts Moura will dominate due to her size advantage and physicality, noting she has a 6-inch height advantage over Ruiz. He acknowledges that Moura is inexperienced with only 1.5 years as a pro and that she struggled in a grappling exchange against a Muay Thai fighter in 2021, but he believes she has improved significantly since then. He sees Ruiz as offering little and expects Moura to get takedowns easily and control the fight. However, he is annoyed that the line is -600, which he considers crazy, and he would have liked to bet against Moura if the opponent were different.

Moura is very strong and physical for the weight class, and will likely take Ruiz to the ground and smash her from top position. Ruiz is a one-trick pony with a head and arm throw, and Moura will be too big and strong for her. Moura should get the fight to the ground and eventually get a finish.

Angelo picks Ruiz despite concerns about her two-year layoff and reliance on side headlocks. He notes Amorim has negative cardio and is a -250 favorite he advises against betting. He explicitly says not to bet on this fight.

Big Brady picks Jaqueline Amorim to win by first-round submission. He praises her incredible ground game and black belt in BJJ, but notes her poor cardio and striking. He believes she will get the fight to the mat quickly and submit Ruiz, who has little footage of takedown defense. He mentions that Amorim's last fight was marred by glove grabbing from Sam Hughes, which prevented a first-round finish. He is not betting at -240 due to cardio concerns.

Cody picks Amorim but with low confidence. He notes Amorim's high-level BJJ and thinks she can catch Ruiz in a submission if Ruiz attempts her head-and-arm throw. He worries about Amorim's cardio but thinks Ruiz's two-year layoff and one-dimensional style favor Amorim. He expects Amorim to get the submission.

James picks Amorim to win by submission, likely in the first round. He notes Amorim is a multiple-time BJJ world champion and that Ruiz often goes for head-and-arm throws which will lead to back takes. He thinks Ruiz is not as tough as Sam Hughes, who survived Amorim's submissions. James is confident Amorim will get the finish.

Amorim is a high-level BJJ black belt who had a rude awakening in her last fight when she couldn't finish early, but that was a learning experience. Ruiz is a schoolyard bully who likes head and arm throws, but she has been out for a long time and will struggle against Amorim's BJJ. Amorim will look for submissions and get a finish.

Paul picks Ruiz at plus money, having bet her at +245 a week ago. He thinks Ruiz's physical strength and two years of improvement at 10th Planet or King's MMA could be key. He notes Amorim gassed in her last fight and thinks if Ruiz can avoid submissions early, she can win by decision or TKO. He calls it a half-size bet.

Cody is confident in Amanda Lemos, but he prefers prop bets over the moneyline. He has placed small bets on Lemos inside the distance and by KO, believing her striking and improved grappling will overwhelm Montserrat Ruiz, who is a one-trick pony with a head-and-arm toss. He thinks Ruiz's limited skills won't work against Lemos.

Big Brady picks Cheyanne Vlismas, noting she is a big favorite for a reason: she is the much bigger fighter with better striking and aggression. He expects her to hold Ruiz against the cage, land cleaner shots, and win a clear decision. He would not lay -350 but believes she wins handily.

Daniel Levi picks Cheyanne Vlismas but expresses concern about her UFC debut and the potential for an 'egg' performance. He notes she is the better fighter with better volume and should keep the fight standing. He worries about the emotional toll of cornering her husband earlier in the night and the possibility of an adrenaline dump.

Vlismas should control the fight wherever it goes with her striking and clinch work. She has a height and reach advantage and looked good on the contender series. Ruiz has a solid jiu-jitsu game but is likely outmatched. However, at -350 for a debutant, it's a pass. No bet is recommended due to the unknowns.