UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama

Angelo picks Steve Garcia, citing his awkward, lurching movement and sheer size for the weight class as problematic for David Onama. He notes Garcia's power and forward pressure, but acknowledges Onama is faster and more technical. He mentions Garcia has been knocked out before, while Onama hasn't, but doesn't see Onama knocking him out. He calls it a close competitive fight and leans Garcia.

Big Brady leans toward David Onama, citing Steve Garcia's tendency to leave openings and get dropped, as seen in fights against Charlie Ontiveros and Maheshate. He acknowledges Garcia hits hard and is all violence, but believes Onama is more durable and can take advantage. He predicts a second-round knockout for Onama.

Connor picks Onama, reasoning that Garcia's losses are worse than Onama's, with more randomness. He notes that Onama has lost to wild brawlers like Nate Landwehr and Mason Jones, which could be Steve Garcia, but those were exhausting fights. He thinks Onama may find success with wrestling and is a better athlete than Garcia's recent opponents.

Lucrative James picks David Onama to win by knockout, but he is not confident. He notes that both fighters have questionable chins and get hurt often, but Onama has never been finished while Garcia has been knocked out before. He also mentions Onama's superior training partners, including Justin Gaethje, and his wrestling upside as potential advantages. However, he emphasizes that this is a pick'em fight and he will not bet the moneyline, instead looking at under props.

The fight is a coin flip; whoever lands the big punch first wins. The host leans slightly to Onama's speed and more tools, thinking he will land a big shot and put Garcia away. But it could easily go the other way, so confidence is low.

The MMA Guru picks Steve Garcia, citing his recent impressive wins over Melquizael Costa, Kyle Nelson, and Calvin Kattar. He believes Garcia's pressure and volume will break David Onama, who has struggled against similar styles (e.g., Romero). He notes Onama's lack of consistent finishes and potential work ethic issues. He predicts a second or third round TKO.

Zane picks Garcia because he has seen Onama get hurt badly and fail to focus from the start. He notes that if Garcia can't knock Onama out, it will be a wild war, but he is more willing to believe Onama will never find comfort against Garcia than that Onama can lock Garcia down. He acknowledges the high chaos and randomness in both fighters' careers.

Angelo picks Ante Delija, believing he is more well-rounded and slightly better everywhere than Waldo Cortes Acosta. He highlights Delija's forward pressure, striking, takedowns, and grit, and notes his win over Marcin Tybura. He thinks Delija will get takedowns, grind, and strike with Waldo, and that Waldo is finally fighting someone better everywhere. He will spend $8,000 on Delija in his DraftKings lineup.

Big Brady picks Waldo Cortes Acosta, citing his excellent chin and durability, having eaten shots from heavy hitters like Sergey Pavlovich. He notes Ante Delija knocked out Martin Tybura, but Tybura has a weak chin. He expects a competitive fight going the distance, with Waldo's volume and pressure taking over in the later rounds. He predicts a decision win for Waldo.

Connor also picks Waldo, noting that even in the Pavlovich loss, Waldo settled in and made it competitive. He thinks Waldo's fights trend toward the mean and that Delija's win over Tabora doesn't mean much. He expresses distrust in Delija and believes Waldo's unearned confidence will carry him.

Lucrative James picks Ante Delija as the underdog, citing his training at a top European heavyweight camp with Tom Aspinall and others, which gives him advantages in sparring and preparation. He believes Delija has knockout power and a grappling edge, especially in clinch positions. While Cortes-Acosta is a better technical boxer with more UFC experience, James favors Delija's early finishing ability and motivation.

Delija started as underdog but now is around -140. He mixes his game up better than Spivac, throws harder punches, and masks takedowns and clinch attempts well. This will cause Cortes Acosta problems, leading to a decision win for Delija.

The MMA Guru picks Ante Delija, believing he has improved massively and will use low kicks and teeps to outwork Waldo Cortes Acosta. He doubts Waldo's reach and thinks Delija's conditioning and game plan will secure a 29-28 decision. He notes Delija's training with Tom Aspinall.

Zane picks Waldo because he believes Delija is a stiff, awkward fighter who relies on one big moment, and Waldo's defining characteristic is not screwing up badly. He thinks Waldo will stay ahead by not making major mistakes and that Delija lacks clear tools to be better. He notes Waldo is the underdog but still picks him.

Angelo picks Themba Gorimbo, citing his striking at distance and in the pocket, takedowns, and toughness. He notes Jeremiah Wells is 39 years old and has been out for 19 months, which could lead to fading. He expects Wells to come out hot but fade, while Gorimbo gains steam. He acknowledges Wells' power and jiu-jitsu but thinks Gorimbo's youth and hunger will prevail.

Big Brady picks Jeremiah Wells but is hesitant due to Wells being 39 and inactive for two years. He criticizes Themba Gorimbo's chin, submission defense, and cardio, calling him not sold on. He notes Wells has a wrestling background, trains with Renzo Gracie Philly, and has knockout power. He sees a potential knockout or submission, predicting a first-round submission.

Connor does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup but does not state a preference, focusing on the low level and lack of significance.

Lucrative James picks Themba Gorimbo to win, citing his superior technical striking and grappling compared to Jeremiah Wells. He notes that Wells is 38 years old, has shown deterioration in recent performances, and has pulled out of fights due to injury. Gorimbo is more well-rounded, has good takedown defense, and outgrappled opponents like Ramiz Brahimaj and Nico Price. James also mentions Gorimbo's mental state after a loss, but still favors him stylistically.

Wells is the better grappler with more knockout power. He can take Gorimbo to the mat and find a submission. The host is not sure why there is love for Gorimbo.

The MMA Guru leans towards Themba Gorimbo, citing his volume, range, and recent activity. He thinks Jeremiah Wells is inconsistent with his KO power and aging. He predicts Gorimbo wins by decision, 29-28, though Wells may have moments.

Zane picks Gorimbo because if he can get to a good position, he will cling to it and suck the life out of the fight. He notes that Wells is predictable, charging in and clinching in a cycle, and that Gorimbo resembles Carlston Harris who submitted Wells. He also mentions Wells is 39 and has been injured.

Angelo picks Isaac Dulgarian, highlighting his collegiate wrestling background, aggression, and control. He warns that Dulgarian should not experiment with striking against a dangerous opponent like Del Valle, who has power and good grappling. He trusts Dulgarian's coaching and athleticism to get takedowns and find a finish, hoping for the version that came forward against Christian Rodriguez.

Big Brady is excited about Isaac Dulgarian, calling him a phenomenal wrestler with championship potential. He notes Yadier Del Valle has poor takedown defense and often accepts takedowns, defending with guillotines. He believes Dulgarian's top game is disgusting and he will have no problem taking Del Valle down. He predicts a second-round submission, though he notes Del Valle could win if Dulgarian gasses.

Connor also picks Dulgarian, agreeing with Zane. He notes that Dulgarian's simple, high-pressure wrestling game is likely to overwhelm Del Valle, who hasn't faced such a difficult test. He mentions that if Del Valle can survive, Dulgarian might gas, but he leans toward Dulgarian.

Lucrative James picks Isaac Dulgarian, citing his dominant wrestling and round-one finishing ability. He believes Dulgarian will secure takedowns early and control the fight, while Del Valle's tendency to jump guillotines could leave him on bottom. James predicts a close decision (29-28) but acknowledges a finish is possible. He respects Del Valle's striking but favors Dulgarian's grappling advantage.

Dulgarian's smothering grappling style will cause Del Valle issues, keeping him on the defensive. Dulgarian will land takedowns and damage, winning on the scorecards. The host also likes the over 2.5 at plus money.

The MMA Guru picks Isaac Dulgarian, impressed by his grappling and ability to ragdoll Christian Rodriguez. He doubts Yadier Del Valle's grappling defense and thinks Dulgarian will dominate on the ground. He predicts a decision win or late-round finish, noting Dulgarian's strong American prospect hype.

Zane picks Dulgarian because he trusts his straightforward, aggressive wrestling game over Del Valle's more technical but less tested approach. He notes that Del Valle has shown defensive flaws and may struggle against a relentless wrestler. He acknowledges Dulgarian's risk of gassing if his initial attack fails.

Angelo picks Charles Radtke, emphasizing his grappling advantage. He notes Radtke is a good grappler who can shoot doubles and control on top, while Frunza is a solid striker but easily taken down. He believes Radtke can finish on the ground and will include him in his lineup. He warns that Radtke sometimes slugs it out, which is a risk, but expects him to wrestle.

Big Brady picks Charles Radtke, calling Daniel Frunza's debut terrible and noting Frunza is hittable and has been finished in losses. He highlights Radtke's power, BJJ black belt, and training at Valley Flow. He thinks Radtke should wrestle and submit Frunza, but also sees a first-round finish on the feet. He predicts a first-round submission.

Connor also picks Radtke, citing his athleticism, speed, and power. He notes that technically Frunza may be better, but Frunza lacks physical durability and confidence, as shown in the McKee fight. He thinks Radtke's left hook will be decisive.

Lucrative James picks Daniel Frunza as the underdog, calling it a close fight. He notes Radtke's powerful left hook but also his tendency to overextend. Frunza is tough and has been tested in wars. James sees value in the underdog line and expects a competitive striking matchup, possibly ending in a knockout. He also mentions interest in betting the under.

Frunza is the superior striker and his defensive grappling has improved enough that Radtke will struggle to use his BJJ. Once forced to strike, Frunza will catch Radtke and knock him out. Surprised Frunza is at plus money.

The MMA Guru picks Charles Radtke, citing his power and the fact that Daniel Frunza was dropped multiple times by Reese McKee. He believes Radtke's hooks will be too much for Frunza, predicting a first round TKO. He notes Radtke's losses are to high-level fighters like Carlos Prates and Mike Malott.

Zane picks Radtke because he is a brainless goon with a power left hook, and nothing about Frunza suggests he can handle even one hard left hook. He notes that Frunza looked spooked when hit hard by Reese McKee and lacks durability and confidence. He expects a quick knockout.

Angelo picks Allan Nascimento, but is hesitant. He notes Nascimento's jiu-jitsu is excellent but his takedowns are poor, so he relies on being taken down to sweep. He thinks Cody Durden's wrestling and cardio have declined, and he gets tired. However, he worries that if Durden doesn't wrestle, Nascimento won't finish on the feet, leading to a low-scoring fight. He may avoid it in DFS.

Big Brady picks Allan Nascimento, noting Cody Durden is on short notice, 34 years old, and has taken a ton of damage in recent fights. He highlights Nascimento's size, length, and excellent grappling. He believes once the fight hits the ground, Nascimento will have a huge advantage and predicts a second-round submission.

Connor also picks Nascimento, noting that Durden is super vulnerable on defense and aggressive to a fault. He thinks Nascimento's submission game is dangerous enough to catch Durden, but he wouldn't be surprised if Durden rides out a win on top. He mentions Durden's bigger signature wins but still leans Nascimento.

Nascimento's BJJ will get Durden into bad spots and he will eventually pull off a submission. The host's favorite spot is the under 2.5 rounds at even money.

The MMA Guru picks Allan Nascimento, noting his size advantage at catchweight and superior grappling. He compares Nascimento's dominant grappling against Jafel Filho to Cody Durden's struggles against Jake Hadley. He worries about Durden taking the fight on short notice and predicts Nascimento wins by decision or submission in the second or third round.

Zane picks Nascimento to catch a submission, noting that Durden sells out so hard on offense that he makes himself vulnerable to submissions. He acknowledges that if Nascimento doesn't submit him, Durden could grind out a win. He mentions Nascimento's durability and solid submission game.

Angelo picks Billy Elekana, citing his counter-striking, pace control, and range management. He notes Kevin Christian is tall but doesn't use his length effectively, swinging wild. Elekana has better hands and decent takedown defense. He expects a late finish or decision, but warns that Elekana scored only 44 points in a win, making him a risky DFS play at his price.

Big Brady picks Billy Elekana but is not confident, calling Kevin Christian one of the worst Contender Series signings. He criticizes Christian's low volume, lack of power, and poor takedown defense. However, he also notes Elekana is nothing special and expects a horrible, low-volume fight. He predicts a decision win for Elekana.

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Elekana is a big favorite and that the matchup is a failure of matchmaking. He implies Elekana should not be such a heavy favorite, but still picks him.

Lucrative James picks Billy Elekana, criticizing Kevin Christian's skill level and calling him one of the worst fighters he's watched. He notes Christian's reliance on guard submissions and lack of striking technique, while Elekana is more well-rounded and should win easily. He acknowledges Christian's size and wildness could lead to a submission, but favors Elekana.

Kevin Christian is not UFC-level talent. Elekana will land more and more shots, Christian will break down, and Elekana will get a TKO finish.

The MMA Guru picks Billy Elekana, citing his athleticism and low kicks. He criticizes Kevin Christian's wide stance and poor striking defense. He believes Elekana will chop at Christian's legs and win by decision, possibly 30-27. He notes Christian's Contender Series win was unimpressive.

Zane picks Elekana because he at least resembles a good MMA fighter when not pressed, while Kevin Christian is a huge but awkward fighter who fights like a small guy and tends to grapple from his back. He notes that Elekana could still get submitted off his back, but Christian's style makes him vulnerable.

Angelo picks Timmy Cuamba, but it's a lean. He notes both fighters are similar, with forward pressure, striking, and takedowns. He likes Cuamba's body work and toughness, but worries about Lee's grappling (Korean Khabib style). He wishes the line were closer and may sit this one out in DFS due to the risk of Cuamba being on his back.

Big Brady leans toward Lee Chang-ho, calling it a striker vs grappler matchup. He notes Timmy Cuamba has a striking advantage with power, but Lee is a relentless wrestler with good cardio, nicknamed the South Korean Khabib. He sees Lee mixing in takedowns and cage pushing to win a decision, though he acknowledges Cuamba could win if he keeps it standing.

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Lee is aggressive and will take a crazy fight to his opponent. He acknowledges Cuamba might feel bigger at bantamweight but thinks Lee's established aggression gives him the edge.

Lucrative James picks Timothy Cuamba, believing he is the superior striker with better boxing, footwork, and range control. He notes that Cuamba can be hurt but expects him to land the cleaner shots and potentially drop Lee. He acknowledges Lee's pace and pressure but thinks Cuamba will win a close decision, possibly with a knockdown.

Lee can cut off the cage as Cuamba likes to move a lot. Lee will be more successful in grappling and put together a better body of work to win on the scorecards.

The MMA Guru picks Chang Ho Lee, impressed by his grappling and pressure against Cortavious Romious. He thinks Timmy Cuamba's win over a low-level opponent is not convincing. He believes Lee's layers of attack (stand-up and grappling) will be too much, predicting a finish by ground and pound or rear naked choke in the first or second round.

Zane picks Lee Chang-ho because he is an aggressive front-foot fighter who will press a hard pace, while Cuamba is inactive and tends to neutralize himself. He notes that Cuamba has potential but hasn't realized it consistently, and Lee's aggression should overwhelm him.

Angelo is very confident in Dashon Johnson, calling him a big wrestler with power who will finish Sedriques Dumas. He criticizes Dumas heavily, citing his criminal record, poor performances, and lack of quality wins. He expects Johnson to run through Dumas and finish him early, and recommends putting Johnson in lineups.

Big Brady picks Dashon Johnson by first-round knockout, citing Johnson's fast hands and heavyweight power. He notes Dumas doesn't like getting hit and has been hurt in multiple fights. He mentions Johnson is coming down from heavyweight but looks in good shape. He warns that if the fight extends, Dumas's grappling could be a factor, but he expects an early finish.

Connor picks Dumas because he is a big middleweight who can lay on Johnson and use wrestling to control him. He notes that Johnson is a short, awkward fighter who throws wild hooks, and Dumas can take him down and ride him to a decision.

Lucrative James picks Dashon Johnson confidently, citing his power, speed, and striking IQ. He notes Johnson's success at higher weight classes and expects him to be too strong and patient for Sedriques Dumas, who has mental and legal issues. James predicts a first-round knockout, similar to Dumas' previous loss to Michel Alex.

Johnson is 6-0 with all first-round finishes but hasn't faced much adversity. Dumas has more UFC experience and has beaten mediocre competition. Dumas will wear down Johnson and find a submission in the second or third round.

The MMA Guru picks Dashon Johnson (Don'Tale Mayes Johnson) over Sedriques Dumas. He is impressed by Johnson's Contender Series win over a heavyweight, showing power and grappling. He notes Dumas's inconsistent performances and foul issues. He predicts a first or second round finish, citing Johnson's physicality and -400 odds.

Zane picks Johnson because Dumas is a bully who doesn't like being attacked, and Johnson is aggressive and awkward. He notes that Johnson is not good, but Dumas is also bad and likely to fold under pressure. He acknowledges Dumas could win by wrestling but thinks Johnson's aggression will cause problems.

Angelo picks Norma Dumont confidently, citing her technical striking, patience, and takedown defense. He notes Ketlen Vieira is bigger but slower and less technical, relying on cage control. He thinks Norma's speed and accuracy will be too much, and expects a decision win. He is very confident in Norma but doesn't see many points in DFS due to a lack of finishes.

Big Brady picks Norma Dumont, noting she looked great in her last fight against Aldana with faster hands. He acknowledges Ketlen Vieira has elite takedown defense but believes the fight will stay standing, where Dumont is the better striker. He predicts a decision win for Dumont.

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Dumont is a sharpshooter who can even things up with one hit. He thinks Vieira is not capable of putting pressure on Dumont, and if the fight is a coin flip, Dumont has the edge because she can push a pace Vieira never has.

Lucrative James picks Norma Dumont, but acknowledges it's a close fight. He believes Dumont is the better striker with better range control and takedown defense, and that she can stop Vieira's takedowns. However, he notes that Vieira's path to victory is through grappling, and if she can get top position, she could win. James sees value in the fight going to decision.

Dumont will get her sixth straight victory by putting it on Vieira with her striking and physicality, possibly landing a few takedowns. Dumont is in much better shape and a better state of her career, leading to a decision win.

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont, highlighting her recent sharp stand-up performance against Irene Aldana. He criticizes Ketlen Vieira's inconsistency and poor recent performances. He believes Dumont has momentum and will win by decision, possibly 29-28.

Zane picks Dumont because she is a sharp striker who can push a pace that Vieira cannot match. He notes that Vieira is stiff and wide open, and Dumont has the ability to land fight-changing shots. Even if Dumont has a bad fight, he expects a narrow contest, and if she has a good one, she wins clearly.

Angelo picks Alice Ardelean, describing her as durable, gritty, and aggressive. He notes Montserrat Ruiz has good wrestling but quits when things get tough, having been finished in her last three fights. He believes Ardelean's toughness and forward pressure will overwhelm Ruiz, and she may even finish her. He is surprised by her price point but thinks she gets after it.

Big Brady is very confident in Alice Ardelean, noting Montserrat Ruiz has been terrible in her last three fights, with poor takedown defense (33%) and landing less than one strike per minute. He highlights Ardelean's power and aggression, and that Ruiz has been TKO'd before. He sees a third-round TKO as likely, only worried about a potential head-and-arm throw decision for Ruiz.

Connor picks Ardelean because she is improving, takes fighting seriously now, and is fundamentally aggressive. He thinks Ruiz's gimmick won't work if Ardelean rushes in aggressively, and if the throw fails, Ruiz has no backup plan and will get beaten up on the ground.

Lucrative James picks Alice Ardelean confidently, noting that Montserrat Ruiz relies heavily on a single move (the scarf hold) and has been out of action for over two years. He believes Ardelean's size, power, and volume will be too much, and that Ruiz will struggle to implement her game plan. He also mentions Ardelean's recent win over Rayanne dos Santos as evidence of her form.

Ardelean should stifle Ruiz's head and arm throw and land more shots on the feet. The fight will go to the scorecards and Ardelean will win. The host advises against betting the minus 400 line.

The MMA Guru picks Alice Ardelean, citing her physicality, pressure, and volume. He notes Montserrat Ruiz has lost consistently since beating Shayna Lismann and is too small. He expects Ardelean to push Ruiz against the cage and outwork her, predicting a close 29-28 decision.

Zane picks Ruiz because her meme-like head-and-arm throw gimmick could work against Ardelean, who is aggressive but not prepared for that specific technique. He notes that if the throw works, Ruiz can lock her down; if not, she is inert off her back. He thinks Ardelean is improving but still low-level.

Angelo picks Ko Seok-hyun, citing his heavy hands, forward pressure, and ability to mix in takedowns. He notes Phil Rowe is a good striker with length but can be low volume and gets hit a lot. He thinks Ko's weird stance and aggression will cause problems, and if Ko gets takedowns like he did against Oban Elliott, he is worth the money.

Big Brady picks Philip Rowe as an upset, citing a market overreaction after Ko Seok-hyun's win over Oban Elliott. He notes Rowe has a 9-inch reach advantage and is the much bigger fighter with power. However, he acknowledges Ko's new wrestling wrinkle and that Rowe often loses the first round. He predicts Rowe will stuff takedowns and get a third-round knockout.

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Ko's aggressive clinch game and pressure will be a problem for Rowe. He thinks once Ko gets a strong start, he will be more aggressive and controlling as the fight goes on. He acknowledges Rowe could win if he sits outside and throws straight shots, but Ko's style is difficult to handle.

Lucrative James picks Ko Seok-hyun to win, highlighting his well-rounded skills including southpaw striking reminiscent of Conor McGregor, judo throws, and strong grappling. He notes that Philip Rowe has issues with being taken down and playing guard, which plays into Ko's strengths. James expects Ko to win a clean decision, possibly 30-27, by controlling the fight with his grappling and striking.

Ko can disrupt the space of Rowe, who needs comfort to get off his offense. Ko will keep Rowe moving backwards, land a few takedowns, and win on the scorecards.

The MMA Guru picks Song Yadong KO (Ko Seok-hyun) over Philip Rowe. He notes Rowe's size and reach but believes Ko's aggression, grappling, and KO power will be decisive. He criticizes Rowe's slow starts and lack of quality wins, while Ko's win over Oban Elliott impressed him. He predicts an early KO in round one.

Zane picks Ko because of his excellent upper-body clinch wrestling and aggressive style, which should give Rowe problems. He notes that Rowe often starts bewildered and walks into clinches, and Ko's ability to crash into the clinch and control there will be decisive. He acknowledges Ko's striking is technically bad and he has a questionable chin, but thinks his pressure will overwhelm Rowe.

Angelo picks Talita Alencar, highlighting her grappling prowess and recent win over Vanessa Demopoulos. He notes Ariane Carnelossi is physically strong but lacks takedown defense and skills. He expects Alencar to get takedowns and control the fight, though he is unsure about spending $9,000 on her in DFS.

Big Brady picks Talita Alencar due to Ariane Carnelossi's terrible takedown defense (14%). He notes Alencar is not the best wrestler but attempts many takedowns and is good on top with solid ground and pound. He also mentions Alencar is a six-time BJJ world champion. The only concern is Alencar's cardio, but he believes Carnelossi will struggle. He predicts a second-round submission.

Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Carnelossi is very strong but stiff and awkward everywhere. He thinks Alencar's jiu-jitsu will allow her to drag Carnelossi down and control her on the ground, even if her wrestling isn't elite.

Lucrative James picks Talita Alencar, citing her superior wrestling and grappling against Ariane Carnelossi, who has poor takedown defense (14%). He believes Alencar will take Carnelossi down at will and control the fight on the ground. He notes Carnelossi's power and toughness but thinks the skill gap is too large, predicting a decision win for Alencar.

Carnelossi's strength and BJJ black belt should help her stay safe against Alencar, and she will eventually butcher Alencar on the feet to win by TKO. The host is surprised the odds are as wide as they are, implying value on Carnelossi.

The MMA Guru picks Ariane Carnelossi despite Talita Alencar being the favorite. He worries that Alencar's grappling may not be enough to get takedowns consistently, and Carnelossi's physicality and strength could neutralize Alencar's shots. He believes Carnelossi will win on damage if the fight stays standing, predicting an upset decision.

Zane picks Alencar because she is a solid jiu-jitsu fighter with good top control, while Carnelossi is stiff, head-hunts, and is easy to take down. He notes that Alencar's wrestling is clumsy but she finds ways to get to good positions. Carnelossi tends to stay on her back when put there.