UFC on ESPN: Makhachev vs. Moises

Cody is confident in Miesha Tate despite the five-year layoff, citing her excellent physical shape and the fact that Marion Reneau is on a four-fight losing streak and has announced her retirement. He believes Tate's wrestling and grappling will be the difference, and he is surprised the odds are not wider. He acknowledges the red flags but thinks the matchup is favorable.

Paul expresses significant doubts about Miesha Tate's return, citing the five-year layoff, her split with longtime coach Brian Caraway, and her lackluster performances before retiring. He notes that Marion Reneau is durable and has experience, but ultimately he has no confidence in either fighter and passes on betting the fight. He does not make a clear pick.

Cody is high on Mateusz Gamrot, praising his well-rounded skills and experience in KSW. He believes Gamrot's grappling and cardio will wear down Jeremy Stephens, who is moving up to lightweight. Cody expects Gamrot to win by decision, noting that Stephens' power is a threat but Gamrot's relentless pressure and takedowns should prevail.

Paul is not a believer in Mateusz Gamrot, pointing out his inability to maintain top control and his tendency to slow down. He thinks Jeremy Stephens has a puncher's chance but is not confident enough to pick either fighter. He decides to pass on betting this fight, calling it a 'dogger pass' situation.

Cody sees Rodolfo Vieira as a prop fighter, not a moneyline play. He believes Vieira will either submit Stoltzfus early or fade badly. He has placed bets on Vieira by submission in round one and by submission in any round, citing Vieira's world-class jiu-jitsu and explosive takedowns. He warns against the moneyline due to Vieira's questionable cardio and striking.

Paul is not interested in betting this fight due to the poor moneyline value. He highlights Vieira's one-dimensional style, poor cardio, and the fact that Stoltzfus has never been submitted. He thinks Vieira is a bust and that Stoltzfus could win if Vieira gasses, but he does not make a pick.

Cody is confident in Gabriel Benítez, citing his physical strength, advanced striking, and leg kicks. He believes Billy Quarantillo's lack of strength and power will be exposed, as seen in the Gavin Tucker fight. Cody thinks Benítez's pressure and durability will overwhelm Quarantillo, and he expects a finish or a clear decision.

Paul is picking against his favorite Billy Quarantillo for the first time. He notes that Benítez is a brick wall with superior strength and striking, and that Quarantillo's cardio and heart won't be enough against a physically stronger opponent. He expects Benítez to win, possibly by decision or late finish.

Cody is very confident in Daniel Rodriguez, noting his superior boxing, 10th Planet jiu-jitsu, and experience. He believes Preston Parsons is a can-crusher who has struggled against UFC-level competition. Cody has parlayed Rodriguez with Islam Makhachev, indicating high confidence.

Paul sides with Daniel Rodriguez's experience and striking advantage, but he acknowledges that Preston Parsons is a physically strong grappler who could pose problems if he gets takedowns. He notes Rodriguez's questionable cardio and lack of tested grappling defense, but ultimately believes Rodriguez should win.

Cody is confident in Amanda Lemos, but he prefers prop bets over the moneyline. He has placed small bets on Lemos inside the distance and by KO, believing her striking and improved grappling will overwhelm Montserrat Ruiz, who is a one-trick pony with a head-and-arm toss. He thinks Ruiz's limited skills won't work against Lemos.

Paul agrees that Amanda Lemos gets the job done, citing her superior striking and grappling. He notes that Montserrat Ruiz is a one-trick pony with a head-and-arm toss that won't work against Lemos. He expects Lemos to use her power jab and takedown defense to control the fight.

Cody leans towards Sergey Morozov as a live underdog, citing his ring IQ and wrestling. He believes Morozov can take Khalid Taha down and grind him out, exploiting Taha's poor takedown defense and cardio. He notes that Taha is explosive and heavy-handed, but if Morozov implements the right game plan, he can win.

Paul passes on this fight, calling it a 'dogger pass'. He is not sure if he will bet it and prefers to wait for weigh-ins. He acknowledges that Taha could come out looking strong, but he doesn't commit to a pick.

Cody is confident in Francisco Figueiredo, but he prefers prop bets. He has placed bets on Figueiredo inside the distance and under 2.5 rounds, citing Malcolm Gordon's poor chin and durability issues. He acknowledges Figueiredo's lack of power but believes Gordon's susceptibility to getting knocked out makes this a good prop play.

Paul picks Francisco Figueiredo, but he is not high on him. He notes that Malcolm Gordon cannot take a punch and has been knocked out by lesser fighters. He thinks Figueiredo just needs to land one clean shot to win, but he also acknowledges that Gordon could have success if the fight stays standing. Ultimately, he goes with Figueiredo.

Cody is confident in Rodrigo Nascimento, but he prefers the submission prop. He believes Nascimento's BJJ will be too much for Alan Baudot, who has shown poor takedown defense and grappling. He expects Nascimento to take Baudot down and submit him, likely in the first round. He is looking for plus money on the submission prop.

Paul is confident in Rodrigo Nascimento, calling Alan Baudot one of the worst heavyweights in UFC history. He notes Baudot's poor grappling and questionable chin, and expects Nascimento to take him down and submit him. He thinks Nascimento is a safer play than other heavy favorites on the card.