Angelo is confident Rosas will dominate via wrestling and control, predicting a wet blanket decision. He has a 2-unit moneyline bet on Rosas at -255. However, he expresses concern that Rosas is too young (18) for the UFC, comparing him to Aaron Pico who was pushed too fast. He believes Rosas will outpace Perrin and wrestle him relentlessly.
Jay Perrin
"The Joker"Career Averages
Loss Methods (3)
Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rosas Jr. | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 9 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 2:12 |
| Jay Perrin | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raul Rosas Jr. | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 9 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 | 0 | 2:12 |
| Jay Perrin | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raul Rosas Jr. | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jay Perrin | 4 of 8 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Raul Rosas Jr. | 3 of 7 | 42% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jay Perrin | 4 of 8 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7 experts, 7 updates)
Big Brady picks the underdog Jay Perrin, citing Perrin's excellent takedown defense, cardio, and toughness. He notes Rosas Jr. has faced no adversity and has poor striking, while Perrin trains with Merab Dvalishvili and has good grappling. He expects Perrin to survive early takedowns and take over in later rounds, winning by decision or late finish.
Cody picks Rosas Jr., citing his submission grappling and cardio. He thinks the UFC is building him up and that Perrin is a favorable matchup. He notes Rosas' relentless pressure and chain wrestling. He expects a submission or inside the distance win, and suggests taking Rosas inside the distance at plus 140.
Daniel Levi picks Raul Rosas Jr., believing the UFC matched him against a weak opponent in Jay Perrin. He describes Perrin as average everywhere with a poor attitude, and notes that the UFC offered the fight to other fighters first. Levi likes Rosas's length, awkwardness, grappling ability (back takes, scrambles), and confidence. He expects Rosas to win, possibly by submission, but is not crazy about the -240 price. He suggests waiting for a better line around -200.
Lock is confident in Rosas Jr. from a PredictionStrike perspective, noting that if he fulfills his potential, the current price of $1.26 will look like a steal. He acknowledges the possibility of struggles like other young fighters, but believes Rosas has the best base for MMA with his grappling and jiu-jitsu, and a safe style that minimizes damage. He thinks this is likely the best price you'll ever get on him, and recommends buying in for the long term.
Paul does not make a clear pick, noting Rosas is very young (17) and that Perrin has wrestling credentials. He thinks Perrin could give Rosas trouble and that the fight is not a high priority for betting. He acknowledges Rosas' potential but is not confident either way.
The MMA Guru picks Raul Rosas Jr. over Jay Perrin by close decision. He acknowledges Perrin is a formidable fighter who gave tough fights to Aoriqileng and Mario Bautista, but believes Rosas Jr.'s willingness to grapple will be the difference. He expects Rosas Jr. to secure takedowns and control positions, possibly losing a round but winning 29-28.
Aug 20, 2022
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aoriqileng | 0 | 72 of 132 | 54% | 102 of 163 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Jay Perrin | 0 | 88 of 167 | 52% | 106 of 188 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 5:59 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aoriqileng | 0 | 18 of 31 | 58% | 24 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Jay Perrin | 0 | 20 of 49 | 40% | 25 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 | |
| 2 | Aoriqileng | 0 | 29 of 43 | 67% | 47 of 61 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Jay Perrin | 0 | 20 of 49 | 40% | 24 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:04 | |
| 3 | Aoriqileng | 0 | 25 of 58 | 43% | 31 of 65 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jay Perrin | 0 | 48 of 69 | 69% | 57 of 79 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:51 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aoriqileng | 72 of 132 | 54% | 51 of 107 | 14 of 17 | 7 of 8 | 61 of 119 | 11 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Jay Perrin | 88 of 167 | 52% | 63 of 135 | 20 of 25 | 5 of 7 | 73 of 148 | 13 of 16 | 2 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aoriqileng | 18 of 31 | 58% | 15 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 16 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jay Perrin | 20 of 49 | 40% | 10 of 35 | 8 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 17 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | |
| 2 | Aoriqileng | 29 of 43 | 67% | 19 of 33 | 5 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 26 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jay Perrin | 20 of 49 | 40% | 15 of 41 | 3 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 20 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Aoriqileng | 25 of 58 | 43% | 17 of 48 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 19 of 51 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Jay Perrin | 48 of 69 | 69% | 38 of 59 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 36 of 56 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Aori (-175), Perrin (+130)
Round 1
Former W.A.R.S champion Aori locks horns with ex-Cage Titans ruler Perrin in a bantamweight clash that will be overseen by Tyler Tomlinson. Gloves are touched and we’re underway. Perrin misses the mark on a combination early and a “USA” chant breaks out. Perrin with a quick leg kick. A left hook to the body lands for Perrin and Aori catches the ensuing kick. He releases the grip and sticks a straight right hand. Perrin pressures with a combination, but Aori moves out of danger. It’s a very measured beginning for Aori, who tags Perrin with another straight right. Perrin rushes forward and gets staggered with a short, counter left hook. Aori looks for an opening, backs his man up and launches a flying knee. That allows Perrin to force the clinch and turn Aori into the cage. Aori breaks free and swings heavy punches, including an uppercut he sneaks under Perrin’s left. Aori stalks his foe and lands a couple heavy punches. Perrin looks to clinch, but Aori quickly breaks free. A nice two-punch combination finds the mark for “The Mongolian Murderer.” A leg kick connects for Perrin. Aori lands a hard leg kick and avoids Perrin’s rush. Perrin lands a leaping knee but eats a left hook on the exit. Perrin changes levels, connects the hands and plants Aori on the mat with 20 seconds left. Perrin passes to half guard and then stands to land a few punches before the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Round 2
Perrin just misses a snap kick up the middle. Aori steps in with a body-head combo. Perrin shakes off a jumping knee from Aori and waggles his finger. Perrin catches a low kick fro Aori and capitalizes with a takedown. He dives into top position about a minute in, working from half guard. Aori recovers full guard and slides to the cage, where he wall walks to his knees. Perrin still has his hands locked, but he moves Aori to his feet. Aori reverses position and separates, which prompts a glove touch from Perrin halfway through the round. A short counter right clips Perrin, who seems to recover quickly. Another counter right lands following a Perrin combination. A glancing right lands for Aori and Perrin shakes his head before blitzing forward. Aori is economical with his offense, but is doing the most damage. A hard calf kick lands for Aori, but Perrin keeps the pressure on and gets in on a single leg. Aori defends nicely with his back to the cage. Aori breaks and dodges an elbow. A straight to the body lands for Aori and then a counter right moments later. Perrin keeps wading forward and throwing punches unitl the horn, and a few find the mark.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Aori
Round 3
The combatants touch gloves again before the final stanza. Perrin pressures with a kick to the body, but then gets tagged with a short counter right. They’re trading early, and then it’s Aori who shoots. Perrin stuffs it and shoves his foe into the fence. Perrin with a short elbow in close as he grinds away. Aori separates and returns to the center of the Octagon. Perrin lands a glancing jab. Perrin switches stances and steps in with a left hook. Perrin keeps the pressure on and lands a knee in close. He doesn’t give Aori any space and he gets a takedown. Aori hustles to his feet in a hurry and Perrin presses him into the fence, landing a knee to the body. Perrin drops for a double leg and briefly gets Aori to a knee. He keeps the pressure on and lands a couple short punches and a knee in close quarters. Perrin drops low for another takedown, but Aori stuffs it. Perrin creates an opening to land a short elbow. Aori is staying stuck on the fence this round, allowing Perrin to impose his will a little more than in previous frames. Perrin again thinks about a takedown, but Aori isn’t having it. Finally Aori breaks free with about a minute to go. Perrin pressures with punches and eats a counter right. Perrin lands a leg kick and then tries his luck with a spinning back fist. A straight right lands for Aori, but Perrin answers with a front kick down the middle. Aori stuffs an ensuing takedown shot, but he’s pressed into the fence, and Perrin separates and is teeing off with punches in the waning moments of the round. It’s spirited action in the final seconds, and Perrin appears to have Aori reeling as several solid punches land. The Chinese fighter survives the assault, but it’s a strong finish for Perrin.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Perrin (29-28 Aori)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Perrin (29-28 Aori)
Noah Gagnon scores the round: 10-9 Perrin (29-28 Aori)
The Official Result
Qileng Aori def. Jay Perrin via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
Expert Picks (7 experts, 7 updates)
Angelo picks Aoriqileng (Corey Lang) over Jay Perrin. He describes Lang as a well-rounded fighter with incredible pressure and pace, solid footwork, and a sturdy chin. He notes that Perrin is primarily a wrestler who almost never gets his first takedown and spends time against the cage. Angelo believes Lang's superior striking and ability to work off the cage will earn him his second UFC win. He thinks the -190 line is about right and might try to beat the curve if it moves further.
Big Brady is siding with the underdog Jay Perrin. He notes that Aoriqileng (Richie Long) is a powerful striker but is hittable and has cardio concerns. Perrin fights with a process, relentlessly pursuing takedowns and has excellent cardio. Brady believes Perrin will take Aoriqileng down, wear on him, and win minutes on the mat across three rounds, likely by decision. He trusts Perrin's game plan and sees a clear path to victory.
Cody picks Perrin, citing his wrestling advantage and physicality. He notes Aoriqileng has been taken down before and thinks Perrin can replicate that. He hopes the training with top wrestlers pays off.
Daniel Levi leans toward Aoriqileng (the Mongolian Murderer) but is not confident. He notes that Aoriqileng has one-hitter-quitter power and has faced better competition, but the blueprint to beat him is established (out-volume or out-grapple). Levi is concerned about Aoriqileng's cardio and the effects of travel and elevation if he trained overseas. He thinks if Aoriqileng lands big shots, he wins, but if not, Jay Perrin's solid all-around game could make it competitive.
Jay Perrin is the dog of the night play with 2 units at +132. He expects Perrin to use a grapple-heavy approach similar to Cody Durden's blueprint against Aoriqileng, landing takedowns and controlling the fight on the ground. Perrin has solid durability and has been training at Syndicate MMA, which should help his development. Aoriqileng is the better striker but can be beaten by wrestlers, as seen in the Durden fight.
Paul picks Perrin, citing his wrestling advantage and training with Merab and Aljamain Sterling. He thinks Perrin can take down Aoriqileng and grind out a win. He notes the line has moved and he may have missed the best value.
The Guru predicts Aoriqileng wins by first-round KO. He describes both fighters exchanging shots, with Perrin taking a big shot and shooting a takedown that Aoriqileng stuffs. He sees Aoriqileng landing elbows, body shots, and a big overhand that rocks Perrin, finishing him against the cage via TKO.
Feb 19, 2022
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Bautista | 0 | 72 of 125 | 57% | 112 of 173 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 6:30 |
| Jay Perrin | 0 | 42 of 107 | 39% | 57 of 122 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:45 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mario Bautista | 0 | 19 of 38 | 50% | 31 of 50 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 1:55 |
| Jay Perrin | 0 | 19 of 42 | 45% | 29 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 | |
| 2 | Mario Bautista | 0 | 27 of 41 | 65% | 39 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Jay Perrin | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 23 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 | |
| 3 | Mario Bautista | 0 | 26 of 46 | 56% | 42 of 69 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:11 |
| Jay Perrin | 0 | 4 of 20 | 20% | 5 of 21 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mario Bautista | 72 of 125 | 57% | 43 of 86 | 17 of 24 | 12 of 15 | 39 of 83 | 29 of 36 | 4 of 6 |
| Jay Perrin | 42 of 107 | 39% | 16 of 67 | 19 of 30 | 7 of 10 | 33 of 95 | 9 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mario Bautista | 19 of 38 | 50% | 8 of 20 | 6 of 11 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 28 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Jay Perrin | 19 of 42 | 45% | 8 of 26 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 35 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mario Bautista | 27 of 41 | 65% | 18 of 31 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 19 of 32 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Jay Perrin | 19 of 45 | 42% | 8 of 28 | 7 of 12 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mario Bautista | 26 of 46 | 56% | 17 of 35 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 23 | 13 of 17 | 4 of 6 |
| Jay Perrin | 4 of 20 | 20% | 0 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 3 of 18 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Twelve fights will treat fans for this all-ESPN+ offering, and name value may be low but potential action could be high if the audience is lucky. We kick things off in the bantamweight division, as MMA Lab product Bautista (8-2, 2-2 UFC) faces short-notice New Hampshire-based newcomer Perrin (10-4, 0-0 UFC). The first assignment of the night goes to nonsense-slaying referee Keith Peterson, and with a touch of gloves between the two competitors, away we go! Bautista leads off with a leg kick when Perrin advances, and he slings another as Perrin backs off. The New Englander rushes forward in pursuit of a takedown, only to get met with a flying knee try on the way in. Perrin absorbs it and presses Bautista into the fence, but they split after a brief exchange. Bautista tries for another flying knee, and this one is less accurate as Perrin backs off in time. The two meet in the middle with right hands, and Perrin is able to gain some space and rip a kick to the calf. Perrin goes high with a kick, Bautista blocks it, kicks the leg and goes up top with a one-two. Bautista presses forward using his jab to back the newcomer off, and he bullies “Savage” Perrin into the wall. When Perrin looks to escape, Bautista muscles him back to the fence and drills him in the solar plexus with a knee. They trade short knees up the middle as they jockey for position against the wire, and when Perrin lifts up a knee, Bautista trips his leg out and drops him to his knees. Perrin muscles his way back up, and they trade short shots before splitting. Bautista reaches with a long combination, and at the end of a punch, he staggers Perrin briefly. The New England native shoots in as a response to hit a quick double-leg takedown, but as soon as Bautista’s backside hits the mat, he is already looking for a way up. Bautista powers his way up, and he turns the tables in search his own takedown entry. There is nothing to be had from it, and Perrin with his back against the fence scores a solid knee up the middle. Bautista responds with a thudding shoulder strike, and this forces a split. Perrin absorbs a knee up close, dislodging his mouthpiece, and he stands back to allow Peterson to replace it. Bautista attacks with a spinning back elbow that goes wide, and the opening round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Round 2
The bantamweights offer and accept a glove touch to start the second stanza, and Perrin comes out firing with a couple of looping shots. Perrin backs his man off and attempts to steal his thunder with a flying knee, but it glances off his intended target. Perrin takes a right hand flush on the chin, forcing him to reset, and they both stick jabs out. Bautista walks his man down and leaps in the air with a knee, and the knee brushes off the side of the debuting fighter’s head but does not hurt him. Perrin ties him up, and they both start kneeing each other up close. Bautista goes back to shoulder strikes, mixing in with a few elbows, and he drags Perrin to the mat. “Savage” springs back up, and Bautista grabs him from the neck from behind and throws him down to the canvas in pursuit of a submission setup or back take. Perrin scrambles effectively to break the grip, and he shakes his head to get Bautista’s hands off of him. The clinch ensues again, and Perrin changes levels for a double that does not succeed. Bautista circles around after thwarting an attempt to try to hit a trip, but he bails on it so that he can stand Perrin up with a flush elbow on the nose. Bautista loads up on another elbow to the same spot, and Perrin is forced to blink it out and then takes a few knees to the body. Perrin tries to pay him back with an elbow and a few punches, but Bautista is able to shell up and back out of range. Bautista closes in on him and knees up the middle, and Perrin eats it like a steak and walks forward to land a trio of punches. Bautista shrugs them off and digs the midsection with a kick. They trade strikes, and Perrin charges with a salvo of punches and a kick, only to most hit air or his foe’s guard. Perrin begins to plod forward with strike combinations, and when they are blocked, both fighters opt to throw single high kicks. The round ends after these unsuccessful head kicks.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bautista
Round 3
The fighters are happy to touch gloves to start off the last round, and Perrin takes a few steps back in anticipation of a flying knee. It comes from Bautista, and Perrin is well out of the way in time. Perrin starts chipping away with low kicks and body shots, but his punches that follow are largely inaccurate as Bautista moves quickly. Bautista answers Perrin’s single shots with some of his own, matching a leg kick for his own that sounds much heavier. Bautista charges in, and his sheer momentum bowls the newcomer over for a moment. Perrin powers his way back up, but he finds himself absorbing shoulder checks to the jaw, one of which dislodges his mouthpiece. Bautista wrangles him down to the mat by taking him from behind, and he kicks at Perrin’s leg to try to trip him out. When this does not succeed, Peterson hands Perrin’s mouthpiece back, and it is replaced. Bautista advances rapidly to start laying into Perrin with close, powerful strikes. Several thumping knees and elbows over the top make Perrin double over, and Bautista continues his surge of strikes that have bloodied Perrin’s face up and forced him to take a few deep breaths. A few more shoulders of the MMA Lab fighter smash into Perrin’s jaw, and Bautista controls his debuting foe against the wire while laying into Perrin with powerful strikes. A huge elbow comes over the top from Bautista, and Perrin is wearing it but not out of it as he turns Bautista around and tries for a takedown. Bautista stops this in its tracks, pounds a knee into Perrin’s chest, and trips the newcomer down in an emphatic “Welcome to the UFC” exchange. Perrin crawls to his knee, and as soon as he stands, Bautista smashes him in the face with a high knee. The relatively one-sided match comes to a close in the clinch position.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bautista (30-27 Bautista)
Mike Fridley scores the round: 10-9 Bautista (30-27 Bautista)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bautista (30-27 Bautista)
The Official Result
Mario Bautista def. Jay Perrin via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-26)
Expert Picks (6 experts, 6 updates)
Angelo picks Khalid Taha (though the matchup is Mario Bautista vs Jay Perrin, the transcript discusses Bautista vs Taha; likely a transcription error). He notes Taha's power and speed match up well against Bautista's volume, and Taha's cardio holds up. He was hoping for underdog odds but the line is essentially even.
Big Brady picks Mario Bautista confidently, noting Perrin is a grinder on short notice. He believes Bautista's takedown defense and striking are superior, and predicts a third round knockout, giving Perrin his first KO loss.
Cody picks Bautista, believing he will bounce back from his loss to Trevin Jones. He notes that Bautista is talented with a diverse skill set, and that Perrin lacks knockout power and is primarily a grappler. Cody thinks Bautista can win on the feet or on the ground, and that Perrin's only chance is a submission, which is unlikely. He expects Bautista to be around a -250 favorite.
Levi picks Bautista but is uncomfortable laying -350. He notes that Perrin is a solid but unspectacular fighter, and Bautista has good volume. However, he questions how Bautista will bounce back from his first knockout loss. Levi expects Bautista to win a decision.
Bautista is the much slicker striker and should keep the fight standing against Perrin, who relies on grinding takedowns. Bautista has 70%+ takedown defense and was preparing for a wrestler. Perrin is short notice but in shape; however, Bautista's striking advantage should lead to a finish. Bautista inside distance at +170 is the play.
Paul picks Bautista, noting that Perrin doesn't have crippling power, which is Bautista's main concern. He thinks Bautista's aggressive style and wrestling will be too much for Perrin. Paul is waiting for the line but expects Bautista to be a solid favorite.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!