Timur Valiev
"Lucky"Career Averages
Win Methods (2)
Loss Methods (1)
Fight History
Mar 19, 2022
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 2 | 70 of 107 | 65% | 87 of 128 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 4:42 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 72 of 150 | 48% | 75 of 155 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 1 | 0 | 2:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 0 | 24 of 37 | 64% | 26 of 39 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 30 of 58 | 51% | 30 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 0 | 17 of 28 | 60% | 23 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 24 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:37 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 2 | 29 of 42 | 69% | 38 of 54 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:04 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Shore | 70 of 107 | 65% | 46 of 81 | 15 of 17 | 9 of 9 | 54 of 89 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 11 |
| Timur Valiev | 72 of 150 | 48% | 23 of 83 | 26 of 40 | 23 of 27 | 67 of 144 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jack Shore | 24 of 37 | 64% | 12 of 24 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 22 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 30 of 58 | 51% | 8 of 27 | 12 of 18 | 10 of 13 | 28 of 56 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jack Shore | 17 of 28 | 60% | 9 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 21 of 41 | 51% | 4 of 19 | 7 of 12 | 10 of 10 | 20 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jack Shore | 29 of 42 | 69% | 25 of 38 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 11 of 11 |
| Timur Valiev | 21 of 51 | 41% | 11 of 37 | 7 of 10 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Jack Shore with a slight edge, citing the home crowd advantage and the fact that Trevin Jones was able to take down Valiev, suggesting Shore can too. He notes that both fighters are grapplers who struggled in their last fights, but he trusts Shore's wrestling and thinks the London crowd will give him extra juice.
Big Brady picks Timur Valiev to win a close decision, acknowledging it's an unpopular pick. He favors Valiev on the feet due to his volume and mixing of tools, and believes Valiev's scrambling ability will allow him to get back up if taken down. Brady notes Jack Shore's best win was a split decision against Hunter Azure and that Shore has not faced a step-up in competition like Valiev. He also mentions Valiev's chin is a concern but doesn't think it will be an issue here.
Cody leans Valiev, citing his speed and striking advantage. He thinks Shore's wrestling might be neutralized and that Valiev's chin is a concern but he has good recovery. He is surprised by line movement and may wait for weigh-ins.
Daniel Levi picks Jack Shore, citing his undefeated record, strong grappling stats (5 takedowns per 15 minutes, 100% takedown defense), and the hometown advantage in the UK. He believes Valiev's best chance is a close decision, but judges will favor Shore in a close fight. Levi also notes that Valiev has been knocked down before and that Shore's submission threat is real. He expects a submission or dominant decision.
Jack Shore is a 15-0 prospect with excellent wrestling and top control, able to drag fights to the ground and dominate. Valiev is more of a flashy striker but can grapple if needed, though he lacks crazy knockout power. Shore's takedowns should be effective, and he can grind out a decision. The line movement from +150 to +100 reflects public support, and I understand why. I like Shore to grind out Valiev over 15 minutes.
Paul picks Shore, emphasizing his undefeated streak, excellent wrestling, and pace. He thinks Valiev has cardio and chin issues, and that Shore's volume and pressure will win rounds. He believes the British judges will favor Shore in a close fight.
The Guru picks Jack Shore as an underdog, citing his grappling pressure and reach advantage. He believes Timur Valiev slows down in fights, as seen against Trevin Jones and Chris Gutierrez. He predicts Shore will grind on Valiev against the cage, take his back, and secure a rear-naked choke in round three. He notes Shore's youth and undefeated record.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timur Valiev | 2 | 69 of 131 | 52% | 81 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 77 of 190 | 40% | 77 of 190 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timur Valiev | 0 | 12 of 26 | 46% | 12 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 18 of 47 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 | |
| 2 | Timur Valiev | 2 | 35 of 60 | 58% | 47 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 28 of 59 | 47% | 28 of 59 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | Timur Valiev | 0 | 22 of 45 | 48% | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 0 | 31 of 84 | 36% | 31 of 84 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timur Valiev | 69 of 131 | 52% | 50 of 110 | 8 of 10 | 11 of 11 | 53 of 112 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 18 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 77 of 190 | 40% | 38 of 137 | 18 of 28 | 21 of 25 | 73 of 185 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timur Valiev | 12 of 26 | 46% | 6 of 19 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 18 of 47 | 38% | 7 of 32 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 5 | 15 of 44 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Timur Valiev | 35 of 60 | 58% | 29 of 54 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 20 of 42 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 18 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 28 of 59 | 47% | 13 of 40 | 9 of 11 | 6 of 8 | 27 of 57 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Timur Valiev | 22 of 45 | 48% | 15 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Raoni Barcelos | 31 of 84 | 36% | 18 of 65 | 3 of 7 | 10 of 12 | 31 of 84 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
One of the more highly anticipated matchups of the fight card will treat fans next, as two men on lengthy unbeaten streaks in Barcelos (16-1, 5-0 UFC) with nine and Valiev (17-2, 1 NC; 1-0, 1 NC UFC) with eight lock horns. The bantamweight horn-locking will draw oversight from referee Mike Beltran, who sees the two rising stars avoid touching horns – gloves, rather – before coming out swinging. Barcelos feints and fakes his way in, and his movements alone draw reactions out of the Dagestan native. Valiev flings a head kick that is well off the mark, and there is a tense staring contest playing out in the middle of the cage. Valiev finally reaches out with a string of jabs, and only one finds its target. Valiev shrugs off a leg kick and loads up on a right hand, but he is met with a high kick. Valiev gives him one back, and Barcelos marches in to throw but comes up short. The Brazilian scores a quick counter right hand when Valiev charges him, and he gets off a solid jab as well. They clash together without much of note, and Valiev zips a body kick out before Barcelos can stop it. Valiev attacks the calf before blitzing in with a pair of strikes, and Barcelos sees him coming and swipes him away. Barcelos whiffs with an uppercut and pushes Valiev into the wire, where he grinds him for a moment before they break apart. Both trade body kicks, and Barcelos is able to follow his with one to the inside leg. A front kick from Valiev lands straight to the body, and he steps back to avoid counter punches. Valiev chops down the lead leg, only to absorb a kick to his liver. Barcelos rings home a right hand, and he gets popped with a sudden superman punch but does not show any immediate concern. Valiev tries to dodge a few punches, and when he does, Barcelos kicks his leg. Valiev shoots in from a distance for a takedown, and the Brazilian stuffs him with his back against the cage. Valiev holds on to this position in the waning seconds, and gets off a knee to break free right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Valiev
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Valiev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Valiev
Round 2
Barcelos is the first to lead off with a leg kick in the beginning of the round, and when a soaring head kick comes up short, Valiev hops forward to kick his inside leg. Barcelos tries to pin a one-two on the chin, but the Russian is out of harm’s way in time. Valiev ducks down to threaten a takedown, and Barcelos stops it and lands a right hand. Valiev ducks a huge punch and tries to fire back, and the bantamweights are elusive and energetic as they dodge and weave. Valiev sneaks in a few leg kicks, and he ducks the punches that come his way. “Lucky” scores a huge punch that was not lucky right on the chin, and Barcelos eats it like an acai bowl and stuffs the subsequent takedown attempt. Valiev tries to pin him down with another one of these looping shots, but this time, Barcelos sees it coming and evades it. Barcelos reaches out with a front kick, and Valiev responds with one to his foe’s lead leg. Single strikes are largely the method of attack so far, with one landing and the other trying to give it back. Barcelos gets cracked with a right hand in a combination, and he walks through it to score a stiff uppercut. Barcelos looks to capitalize on that with another, but it hits nothing but air. Valiev looses a leg kick and a high kick before Barcelos can react, and Barcelos is aiming with power punches that have some heat on them. Valiev hops forward and gets countered, but he slips a punch and lands one of his own. Both trade body kicks, and Valiev catches it and tries to take his man down. Barcelos rolls through and gets up, where they deliver kicks to the body. Barcelos cracks Valiev with a huge right hand, and Valiev gets knocked off his feet and chased to the ground. As Valiev sits up, Barcelos blasts him with an uppercut that nearly separates Valiev from his consciousness. Beltran implores Valiev to fight back, and Barcelos continues his barrage of strikes from on top as he climbs into half guard. Valiev survives to the bell, and struggles to get back to his feet but makes it to his corner.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barcelos
Round 3
Valiev begins the round with a leg kick, and he might not have his wits about him but he is throwing hard right out of the gate. Valiev ducks down for a takedown, and Barcelos staves it off and aims a counter uppercut that glances off Valiev’s chin. The Russian falls off-balance throwing a right hand, and a leg kick scores shortly after. Blocking a head kick, Valiev continues to chip at his opponent’s lead leg a few more times. Valiev walks face-first into another uppercut, and Barcelos has timed the strike and watches Valiev’s head bob to land it a few times. As Valiev succeeds with a right hand, Barcelos nearly kicks Valiev’s leg out from beneath him with a kick that he turns his hips into. Valiev plants a one-two on the chin, and Barcelos’ face is showing some damage but his resolve is not shaken. Valiev puts several punches together, and he ends a combination with an elbow as Barcelos marches him down. Barcelos’ head movement keeps him out of harm’s way, but he reaches out with a right hand and gets snared into a double leg takedown attempt. The Brazilian hops his way to the fence and yanks his leg free, and Valiev circles on the outside before trying again. Barcelos stops it with ease, but he absorbs a right hand. Valiev keeps volume going, with punches, kicks, spinning back fists and whatever he can come up with at the time. Both men land power punches at the same time, and Valiev gets the worst of the exchange but it does not hurt him. The Russian backs off with a leg kick, and Barcelos replies in kind. As Barcelos lands a strike, Valiev is able to get off two or three in the same span, even if they may not be as individually damaging. Barcelos stings him with a right hand, and a left gets Valiev’s attention. Valiev is not concerned, throwing back with quick punches to keep his man at bay. Both leap at one another at the same time, and when they land, that is the last bit of offense until the final horn concludes the match.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Valiev (29-28 Valiev)
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Valiev (29-28 Valiev)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Valiev (29-28 Valiev)
The Official Result
Timur Valiev def. Raoni Barcelos via Majority Decision (28-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Timur Valiev, calling him the best underdog on the card. He believes the line is too wide and that Valiev is very good. He has a moneyline bet and a prop bet on Valiev. He notes that Valiev will definitely win a round, so the +3.5 bet is a good play.
Big Brady picks Raoni Barcelos to win by decision, calling him the real deal with no holes in his game except maybe cardio. He notes Barcelos's excellent striking defense (67%), positive strike differential, and strong wrestling/ground game. He thinks Barcelos will mix in takedowns and control the fight, while Valiev is a good striker but has been taken down before. He expects a high-level fight but Barcelos to win the first two rounds and get a decision.
Cody is a big fan of Barcelos, calling him a 'created character' with elite striking, wrestling, BJJ, cardio, and chin. He criticizes the UFC for not giving Barcelos ranked opponents. He acknowledges Valiev's early pressure and unorthodox strikes but believes Barcelos's durability, cardio, and ring IQ will allow him to take over after the first round. He suggests live betting after the first round if Valiev looks competitive.
Jacob picks Timur Valiev, stating he was going to pick the underdog regardless because he thinks it's an even matchup. He notes Barcelos' grappling ability but believes Valiev's striking is good enough to win. Jacob has Valiev in his lineup.
Barcelos is a notch ahead in striking, especially with his Muay Thai. He throws great combinations ending with leg kicks, while Valiev is more explosive in bursts. Barcelos' volume and impactful shots will outwork Valiev's wild spinning attacks. Both have good grappling, so the fight stays standing, and Barcelos' style is more efficient. The line is too wide but Barcelos still wins.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Barcelos. He notes Barcelos's well-rounded skills and that Valiev fades after the first round. He thinks Barcelos's durability and pace will be too much for Valiev, who has lost as a big favorite before. Paul also mentions that Barcelos has been matched tough but always finds a way.
The MMA Guru picks Raoni Barcelos by close unanimous decision (29-28), citing his experience and leg kicks reminiscent of Jose Aldo. He notes Valiev's hesitancy after his no-contest with Trevin Jones and believes Barcelos will grind out a win by landing more damaging blows. He expects a razor-close scrap but favors Barcelos' proven track record.
Feb 06, 2021
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 55 of 76 | 72% | 115 of 149 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 11:19 |
| Martin Day | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 24 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timur Valiev | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 28 of 37 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Martin Day | 0 | 3 of 16 | 18% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Timur Valiev | 0 | 21 of 25 | 84% | 57 of 67 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:05 |
| Martin Day | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 18 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:15 | |
| 3 | Timur Valiev | 0 | 22 of 33 | 66% | 30 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:16 |
| Martin Day | 0 | 1 of 6 | 16% | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timur Valiev | 55 of 76 | 72% | 37 of 53 | 4 of 7 | 14 of 16 | 20 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 33 of 43 |
| Martin Day | 8 of 28 | 28% | 7 of 23 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 23 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timur Valiev | 12 of 18 | 66% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 9 | 10 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 |
| Martin Day | 3 of 16 | 18% | 3 of 12 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 2 | Timur Valiev | 21 of 25 | 84% | 18 of 20 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 18 |
| Martin Day | 4 of 6 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Timur Valiev | 22 of 33 | 66% | 16 of 26 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 22 |
| Martin Day | 1 of 6 | 16% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks Timur Valiev, citing his higher output, better fight IQ, and advantages everywhere on the feet and on the mat. He notes that Valiev was winning his last fight before getting caught, and that Martin Day is 0-3 in the UFC with questionable fight IQ. He expects Valiev to win a dominant decision, but warns that the odds may be too high to bet.
Daniel Levi picks Timur Valiev confidently, citing his dynamic and well-rounded game. He notes Valiev's loss to Trevin Jones was due to gassing out while trying to finish, and expects a more measured approach. He believes Valiev's striking and takedown ability will overwhelm Martin Day.
Valiev is a well-rounded fighter with good kicks and solid wrestling. Day has lost three straight and makes poor decisions, like leaving his neck exposed in submissions. Valiev's striking and grappling should be too much. However, the line is expected to be very high (around -400), so there is no betting value. I expect Valiev to win by decision.
The MMA Guru is very confident in Timur Valiev, calling this a 'lamb for slaughter'. He notes Valiev's high-level competition and only two losses, one a split decision to Chris Gutierrez which he avenged. He believes Martin Day is on a losing streak and took this fight on short notice, predicting a first-round TKO.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Jones | 1 | 66 of 93 | 70% | 66 of 93 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Timur Valiev | 1 | 26 of 50 | 52% | 31 of 55 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Jones | 1 | 53 of 74 | 71% | 53 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Timur Valiev | 0 | 8 of 24 | 33% | 12 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 | |
| 2 | Trevin Jones | 0 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Timur Valiev | 1 | 18 of 26 | 69% | 19 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevin Jones | 66 of 93 | 70% | 28 of 50 | 25 of 29 | 13 of 14 | 60 of 86 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 26 of 50 | 52% | 21 of 44 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevin Jones | 53 of 74 | 71% | 26 of 43 | 21 of 25 | 6 of 6 | 47 of 67 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 8 of 24 | 33% | 5 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Trevin Jones | 13 of 19 | 68% | 2 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 8 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Timur Valiev | 18 of 26 | 69% | 16 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 14 of 17 |
Expert Picks (4)
Big Brady picks Timur Valiev to win by decision. He acknowledges that Trevin Jones has good wrestling and might get a takedown or two, but Valiev is better everywhere—on the feet and on the mat. Jones made mistakes on the mat against lower-level guys, getting reversed and swept, which Valiev will capitalize on. Brady finds it hard to see a path to victory for Jones.
Daniel Levi picks Timur Valiev to win by unanimous decision. He notes Valiev is well-rounded, fast, and has a Russian coast style that is hard to prepare for on short notice. Levi points out that Trevin Jones is taking the fight on short notice after a year layoff, and that Valiev has been in a training rhythm. He expects Jones to be hesitant and frustrated, losing a decision.
Valiev is the more proven fighter with a judge-friendly style, but the line is too wide. Striegl is a promising newcomer with a huge frame and decent skills, but his competition has been weak. Valiev should win by decision, but there are too many question marks to bet him confidently. Avoid parlaying Valiev.
The MMA Guru picks Timur Valiev, citing his superior competition history, including fights in PFL and WSOF, and a longer camp due to originally being scheduled against Jamal Emmers. He notes Valiev's strength advantage at bantamweight and considers him a top prospect. He dismisses Mark Streagle's competition level as inferior.
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