Khama Worthy

Angelo calls this a razor-thin pick. He notes that Khama has power and a good counter-striking game, while Jai is technical but gets hit a lot (1.3 strikes landed vs 2.66 absorbed). He thinks the odds are wide due to recency bias from Khama's knockout losses. He's not confident and won't bet the round line, but he likes Khama by a hair.

Big Brady picks Herbert as the younger, more talented fighter with height and reach advantages. He notes both fighters have poor striking defense and chins, but believes Worthy's chin is shot after seven knockout losses. He predicts a first-round knockout by Herbert, though acknowledges Worthy's power makes him live.

Cody picks Jai Herbert by knockout, citing Herbert's reach advantage and Worthy's notorious inability to take a punch. He notes that Worthy has been knocked out in seven of his eight losses, often in the first minute. Cody believes Herbert will find his range and land a straight right to knock Worthy out. He expects the fight to end inside one and a half rounds.

Lock picks Herbert based on technical striking. He notes Herbert is the better boxer and should be able to outpoint Worthy. He expects Herbert to finish later in the fight as Worthy fades. He likes Herbert inside the distance.

Paul leans towards Jai Herbert, noting his reach advantage and better cardio. He expects a high-variance fight where someone gets knocked out, and he believes it will be Worthy. However, Paul acknowledges that Herbert's chin is questionable and that he could get knocked out as well. He sees this as a firefight.

Big Brady picks Khama Worthy to win by third-round knockout. He notes that Mullarkey is very hittable (4.60 significant strikes absorbed per minute) and has poor striking defense. He believes Worthy's power will be too much, especially as Mullarkey slows down from his wrestling-heavy approach. He also mentions that Mullarkey's takedowns may not be effective as Worthy is dangerous off his back and can reverse position.

Cody leans towards Worthy, noting his tremendous power and that he is a live dog in any spot. He worries about Worthy's durability, as he has been knocked out six times, but thinks Mullarkey doesn't have the knockout power to exploit that. He believes Mullarkey will need to wrestle, but Worthy's grappling is okay and his takedown defense is decent. He calls it a 50/50 fight.

Daniel Levi picks Khama Worthy to win, likely by decision, but expresses hesitation due to Worthy's questionable chin. He notes that Mullarkey has knockout power and a lot of heart, and could catch Worthy. However, Levi believes Worthy is the more physical and well-rounded fighter, and if he stays conscious, he should win. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation.

The host leans toward Jamie Mullarkey as a plus-money underdog. He notes Mullarkey's well-rounded game, durability, and ability to mix strikes with takedowns, as seen in the Riddell fight. He believes Mullarkey can close the distance, grind Worthy against the cage, and win a decision. He acknowledges Worthy's power and counter-striking but thinks his takedown defense and cardio are weaknesses that Mullarkey can exploit.

Paul also leans towards Worthy, calling it a dogger pass. He notes that Mullarkey got hit a lot in his previous fights and that Worthy has power to capitalize. He thinks the fight is close and that the line has moved, making Worthy a slight lean. He is not confident and may flip-flop.

Big Brady picks Khama Worthy, noting that Worthy has rejuvenated his career since moving up to 155 lbs and has a touch of death. He acknowledges that Azaitar hits extremely hard and has been rocked in fights, but Worthy's length and reach advantage could be key. He is not betting this fight but is looking at the under.

The host is not a Worthy believer and thinks Azaitar's power and activity in the first round can draw out Worthy's counters and land his own. He likes Azaitar by first-round KO and mentions the prop at +350. However, he is skeptical about betting Azaitar at plus money and would prefer a better price.

Big Brady picks Luis Peña confidently, stating he is the better fighter in every category except power. He notes Peña's durability, striking, and submission game, and thinks Peña can take Worthy down and submit him. He believes the line should be wider and sees value at -270. He predicts a first-round submission.

Daniel Levi leans with Luis Peña, citing Peña's length, volume striking, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Peña has more answers stylistically, though he still has questions about Worthy's grappling and chin. Levi thinks Peña's training at ATT and wider array of techniques will lead to a close decision win. He acknowledges Worthy's power and experience but believes Peña's volume and durability will be the difference.