Takashi Sato

"Ten"
2-5
Record
Age / DOB 35
(Jun 09, 1990)
Height 5' 10"
Weight 170 lbs.
Reach 73.0"
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages
2.21 Sig. Strikes / Min
41.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
3.73 Absorbed / Min
44.0% Strike Defense
0.76 TD Avg / 15 min
37.0% TD Accuracy
60.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (2)
KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 0
Loss Methods (5)
KO/TKO 1
Submission 2
Decision 2

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Themba Gorimbo 0 30 of 47 63% 56 of 76 2 of 6 33% 0 1 2:21
Takashi Sato 1 33 of 56 58% 110 of 158 3 of 8 37% 0 2 11:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Themba Gorimbo 0 3 of 8 37% 15 of 21 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:32
Takashi Sato 0 7 of 16 43% 39 of 57 1 of 3 33% 0 1 3:58
2 Themba Gorimbo 0 14 of 17 82% 21 of 25 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:14
Takashi Sato 1 18 of 30 60% 40 of 57 1 of 2 50% 0 1 3:20
3 Themba Gorimbo 0 13 of 22 59% 20 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:35
Takashi Sato 0 8 of 10 80% 31 of 44 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Themba Gorimbo 30 of 47 63% 21 of 37 9 of 10 0 of 0 5 of 16 15 of 16 10 of 15
Takashi Sato 33 of 56 58% 21 of 41 12 of 15 0 of 0 12 of 25 9 of 12 12 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Themba Gorimbo 3 of 8 37% 2 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 3 of 4 0 of 0
Takashi Sato 7 of 16 43% 1 of 9 6 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 9 6 of 7 0 of 0
2 Themba Gorimbo 14 of 17 82% 9 of 12 5 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 4 11 of 11 2 of 2
Takashi Sato 18 of 30 60% 15 of 25 3 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 8 2 of 4 11 of 18
3 Themba Gorimbo 13 of 22 59% 10 of 18 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 8 1 of 1 8 of 13
Takashi Sato 8 of 10 80% 5 of 7 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 8 1 of 1 1 of 1
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Themba Gorimbo vs. Takashi Sato
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Sato (-110), Gorimbo (-110)

Round 1
The last UFC card before a much-needed weekend off is upon us, and it will be in the form of a dozen-fight showcase at the UFC Apex. There are two ranked fighters on the entire billing, both coming in the main attraction, but with any luck, those numbers will not matter when the cage doors close and the competitors all get after it. The first match of the evening comes in the welterweight division between two men who would very much like a win. With three losses in his last three appearances, Sato (15-6, 2-4 UFC) may need to get his hand raised to stay on the roster. Meanwhile, South Africa’s Gorimbo (10-4, 0-1 UFC) is hoping to have a second chance to make a first impression. This classic Japan vs. South Africa (or Zimbabwe, if you prefer birth nation) battle will be overseen by referee Chris Tognoni and his sweet mustache, and the combatants do not touch gloves before getting started. Gorimbo leads the dance with a head kick early, and follows it with a few punches while Sato bears down on him. Sato blocks another high kick before it can reach his head, and Gorimbo mashes forward to attempt a takedown. Sato stonewalls him and nearly shoves Gorimbo to his back, but he decides instead to stand back up and Gorimbo follows him to the clinch. Gorimbo looks to muscle his man down, and Sato turns the corner and dumps him to his back for a moment. Gorimbo explodes right back up, and he manages to suck Sato’s legs out beneath him and drag him to his seat. Sato moves to his knees while Gorimbo hooks his foe’s legs between one of his own, and he wall-walks to stand back up as Gorimbo continues to jam him up. Gorimbo looks for a trip that does not succeed, and he lifts up a knee to the chest to get a strike off in this position. This allows Sato to turn him around for a second, but Gorimbo powers him back around. “The Answer” answers a potential ref request for more action with another solid knee, and Sato replies with a half-hearted throw that he abandons when he realizes he will need to use much more energy than he is willing to succeed. Gorimbo drills another knee to the solar plexus, and Sato uses a sweep and a body lock to toss his foe to the floor. Gorimbo scrambles wildly, doing enough to get Sato down and circling around to take the back. The South African fighter hooks up a body triangle and starts fishing for a rear-naked choke, and Sato is wise to the attempt and tries to turn to a side to escape. Gorimbo softens him up with short strikes to the side of the head, and he hands on with back control until the horn blares.
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Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo

Round 2
Sato initiates the second round aggressively, pressuring forward and hoping to turn the tables on Gorimbo after giving up the last round. Gorimbo cocks back a right hand and releases it, blasting the charging Sato in the face and knocking him down to the floor. Sato hits his back and tries to clear out the cobwebs, and Gorimbo leaps down on top of him and tries to jack him up with hammerfists. Sato gathers his thoughts enough to consider a takedown, perhaps in a desperation effort, and the two end up standing up in the clinch. Sato starts driving several knees to the body, and Gorimbo works for another takedown as he turns the Japanese fighter around. Gorimbo looks to hook up a single-leg takedown, and Sato reverses him brilliantly with a head-and-arm throw that deposits Gorimbo to the floor. “Ten” starts fishing for a scarf hold in the advantageous position, and when there is no submission to be found, he sits up. Gorimbo threatens off his back with a leglock, but it does not come anywhere near close before Sato starts smacking him in the face with ground strikes. Gorimbo tugs his toes on the fence to get enough leverage to work his way to his knees and then upright, where he stays bent over to go for a takedown. Sato defends with a series of elbows to the side of the head, and even when he is pulled down to his knees, he continues doing some work with elbows. Gorimbo keeps grinding on him and defends a throw from Sato to stay in this grueling position. Sato breaks away from the clinch and gains some space, but Gorimbo gives chase and wings punches at him until changing levels. The round ends with Gorimbo trying to take the fight down again.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo

Round 3
With Sato advancing as per usual to start off the round, Gorimbo is prepared and goes after another huge right hand. This time, Sato does not walk face-first into it, and he ducks it to tie the African fighter up. Gorimbo is glad to get back into the close range, where he turns Sato around and drags him down to a knee for a moment. When Sato springs back up, Gorimbo redoubles his effort and hits the takedown he is seeking. Sato falls to his back, with a cut around his right eye starting to bleed. Sato does not remain on his back for long before shifting enough to get to a knee, and Gorimbo again works his way around to take the back. “The Answer” locks his legs around the waist, and Sato grimaces in pain as the position must be causing him no small amount of discomfort. Sato attempts to turn and spin around, but Gorimbo has him locked down. Gorimbo lands occasional punches to both sides of the head to keep Sato guessing, with the strikes more frustrating than damaging. Gorimbo uses one moment to snake his right forearm around the chin, but he cannot sink it under it to lock down the rear-naked choke before Sato defends it. Sato cannot get out of this miserable position, and Gorimbo turns to the side and looks for a side choke. Sato takes advantage of this momentary lapse of judgment and flips Gorimbo to his back, and he starts shelling the African fighter with punches and elbows. Sato unloads a final barrage of blows, with few actually getting through the guard, and time expires before a stoppage is even close. It may have been too little, too late for the Japanese fighter, as the fight is over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Gorimbo (30-27 Gorimbo)

The Official Result
Themba Gorimbo def. Takashi Sato via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 14, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Angelo picks Themba Gorimbo based on his solid grappling and takedown defense shown in the loss to AJ Fletcher. He notes that Gorimbo never looked panicked and can make adjustments on the fly. While Sato is better than his recent record, Angelo believes his best years are behind him.

"I'm gonna have to go with themba here right and a lot of it has to do with how good he looked in the loss to AJ Fletcher"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 12, 2023 (8 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Big Brady picks Themba Gorimbo to submit Takashi Sato in the second round. He notes that Sato has a massive hole in his takedown defense and ground game, and Gorimbo is the grappler who will exploit that. However, he has concerns about Gorimbo's cardio after his debut against AJ Fletcher, but gives him a pass for short notice. He expects Gorimbo to get takedowns early and submit Sato, though he advises against going all-in on this fight.

submission in round 2
"I'm gonna take them to go out there and submit Takashi Sato in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Takashi Sato

Cody gives Sato a slight edge due to his power and experience. He notes Gorimbo's durability issues and thinks Sato's kickboxing could be decisive. He is not confident and calls it a 50-50 fight.

"I'm gonna take Takashi Sato."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Connor also picks Gorimbo, agreeing that his pace and aggression will be key. He notes that Sato is a solid defensive wrestler but will be tested immediately and repeatedly because he doesn't do anything. Connor expects an ugly fight but sees Gorimbo's pace winning out.

"I'll pick the pace with you, but ugly fight."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Daniel Levi picks Themba Gorimbo, citing confidence and mental state. He questions Takashi Sato's ability to rebound from a brutal knockout loss (head kick, back of head to canvas) and thinks Sato may be hesitant. He notes Sato has low volume but heavy hands, while Gorimbo is not the most athletic but may be hungrier. He admits Gorimbo could be faded but thinks Sato's demons will be a factor.

"I'll go with themba garimba uh to get it done"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 15, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

The host picks Themba Gorimbo despite feeling slightly sketchy about him. He believes Gorimbo's grappling advantage will be the key, as he should be able to drag the fight to the ground and control Sato for the majority. He notes Gorimbo's striking is wild and erratic, but his kicks can keep Sato at range. He expects a decision win for Gorimbo.

"I think he is going to be the side here still feels slightly sketchy about him but I feel like he'll be able to use his grappling Advantage correctly here and get the W by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 18, 2023 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul does not make a clear pick, stating he has no strong opinion and that the fight is a toss-up. He does not commit to either fighter.

"I'm not very sold maybe you can sell me on a side."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 16, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

The MMA Guru expects a striking matchup, noting that neither fighter is strong on the ground. He believes Takashi Sato has become gun-shy on the feet since his KO over Jason Witt, while Themba Gorimbo is a big athlete with a reach advantage and trains at MMA Masters. He predicts Gorimbo will hurt Sato on the feet and then secure a submission, likely a rear-naked choke or armbar, finishing in the first round.

finish in the first round, submission (rear naked choke or armbar)
"I'm actually gonna go with themba gorimbo by finish in the first round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked May 19, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Themba Gorimbo

Zane picks Gorimbo, citing his pace and aggressive wrestling as the modern way to win. He notes that Sato is a low-output counter puncher who will be overwhelmed by Gorimbo's constant pressure and awkward tie-ups. Zane acknowledges Gorimbo is not a good fighter but believes his pace will be too much for Sato.

"I'm going to pick pace to win. Yeah. It is the modern. It is the modern way to win an MMA."
KO (head kick) R1 0:44
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bryan Battle 1 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Takashi Sato 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bryan Battle 1 7 of 10 70% 7 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Takashi Sato 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bryan Battle 7 of 10 70% 4 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2
Takashi Sato 2 of 8 25% 0 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bryan Battle 7 of 10 70% 4 of 6 2 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 2
Takashi Sato 2 of 8 25% 0 of 5 2 of 2 0 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Angelo picks Bryan Battle, describing him as a very busy striker with solid volume and head kicks. He notes Battle's grinding style and takedown attempts should earn him a decision win over Sato, who is hittable and lacks head movement. He references his own notes from Battle's previous fight, calling him 'very tough not amazing anywhere but very busy striker.'

"I think brian can win this fight with his noises and his jabs sato is a solid striker but i think the grinding style the takedown attempts from battle i think all of those are likely going to earn him a decision win"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Cody also picks Battle, highlighting his long-range kickboxing and ability to avoid takedowns. He notes that Sato's losses come against grapplers, and Battle is not an offensive wrestler. Cody believes Battle will stay at range and outpoint Sato, possibly by decision. He agrees that Battle's takedown total is likely under 2.

Battle under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Battle is more of a striker... I think he's just gonna chop away ever so slightly towards a decision victory."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Daniel Levi leans Battle but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation, noting Battle's cardio and durability should allow him to break Sato down over time. He warns that Sato has power and could catch Battle, and that laying -270 on an unproven fighter like Battle is not advisable. He prefers Sato as a dog if forced to pick.

"I'll lean Battle to maybe break him down the stretch... you can't be laying on minus 270 on Brian Battle"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Bryan Battle

Paul picks Battle, noting that Battle is a striker with good range and output. He mentions that Sato is a power puncher who has been taken down by grapplers. Paul thinks Battle will use the threat of takedowns to open up his striking and win a decision. He is concerned about Battle's weight cut to 170.

Battle under 2 takedowns on PrizePicks
"Battle will be the pick... I think he's just gonna chop away ever so slightly towards a decision victory."
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gunnar Nelson 0 44 of 55 80% 140 of 166 3 of 3 100% 1 0 8:09
Takashi Sato 0 9 of 23 39% 16 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gunnar Nelson 0 24 of 29 82% 46 of 52 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:05
Takashi Sato 0 4 of 12 33% 4 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Gunnar Nelson 0 12 of 16 75% 25 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:36
Takashi Sato 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Gunnar Nelson 0 8 of 10 80% 69 of 82 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:28
Takashi Sato 0 2 of 7 28% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gunnar Nelson 44 of 55 80% 36 of 47 7 of 7 1 of 1 10 of 20 1 of 2 33 of 33
Takashi Sato 9 of 23 39% 4 of 16 2 of 4 3 of 3 9 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gunnar Nelson 24 of 29 82% 21 of 26 2 of 2 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 1 20 of 20
Takashi Sato 4 of 12 33% 2 of 8 0 of 2 2 of 2 4 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Gunnar Nelson 12 of 16 75% 9 of 13 3 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 9 0 of 0 7 of 7
Takashi Sato 3 of 4 75% 1 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Gunnar Nelson 8 of 10 80% 6 of 8 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 6
Takashi Sato 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Angelo picks Gunnar Nelson, predicting a submission win. He notes that Nelson has been away for two years due to rib injuries but has a short-notice opponent with grappling holes. He worries about Nelson's takedown entries leaving him hittable but thinks the UFC set him up for a win. He says Nelson probably wins by submission but acknowledges the layoff makes it uncertain.

prediction: wins by submission
"i think the stars have a line for him here but i would not be surprised if we see a pretty unmotivated gunner nelson who's kind of just doing this because he wants to fight in europe one last time"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Big Brady picks Gunnar Nelson to win by first-round submission, but expresses concern about Nelson's two-year layoff. He believes if Nelson is anywhere near his best, he should submit Sato early, as Sato has been submitted three times and has poor ground game. Brady notes Nelson has fought elite competition like Gilbert Burns and Leon Edwards, while Sato's level is lower.

first round submission
"gunner nelson first round submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Cody picks Nelson by submission, noting Nelson's superior grappling and Sato's submission liability. He thinks Nelson will get the fight to the mat and find a submission. He mentions the prop is minus 110 and he took it.

nelson by submission minus 110
"nelson by submission probably makes it look easy"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Daniel Levi picks Gunnar Nelson by submission, noting that Sato has lost 75% of his fights by submission and that Nelson has 12 submission wins. He acknowledges Nelson's low striking volume and questions his motivation, but believes Nelson only needs one takedown to finish. Levi also mentions the hometown advantage for British fighters at the O2, suggesting a decision win is possible if it goes the distance. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation due to the high price on Nelson.

Nelson by submission at -120; if goes to decision, Nelson wins
"most likely if gunny is anything like gunny used to be probably finds an opportunistic submission along the way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Nelson is a jiu-jitsu wizard who should get the fight to the ground and find a submission. Sato has been finished by submission in three of his last four losses, a huge red flag. However, ring rust and past injuries are concerns for Nelson. Sato has power and a karate style, but Nelson's grappling should be too much. I'd rather play Nelson inside the distance than the -450 line. I'm picking Nelson via second-round submission.

Nelson inside the distance; Nelson via submission round 2
"I do think that this is a tailor-made matchup for him to go out there and do what we all know he can do and that's use that jiu jitsu."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

Paul picks Nelson, emphasizing his world-class skills and Sato's tendency to fade. He believes Nelson's cardio and grappling will be too much, and that Sato's power is only a threat early. He thinks Nelson will win handily, possibly by submission.

"gunner nelson should win this one pretty handily"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Gunnar Nelson

The Guru picks Gunnar Nelson but expects a first-round scare where Sato drops him. He believes Nelson will recover, get a takedown, and eventually secure a rear-naked choke in round two or three. He notes Nelson's close losses to Leon Edwards and Gilbert Burns, and argues that if Burns couldn't finish him, Sato won't either. He predicts a late submission.

rear-naked choke round 2 or 3
"i'm gonna go gunna nelson... he gets dropped badly in round one and has to really fight back... eventually getting like a re-naked choke"
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 4:28
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Miguel Baeza 0 40 of 73 54% 43 of 82 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:09
Takashi Sato 0 15 of 58 25% 15 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Miguel Baeza 0 18 of 37 48% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Takashi Sato 0 8 of 29 27% 8 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Miguel Baeza 0 22 of 36 61% 24 of 44 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:02
Takashi Sato 0 7 of 29 24% 7 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Miguel Baeza 40 of 73 54% 16 of 40 20 of 28 4 of 5 32 of 65 3 of 3 5 of 5
Takashi Sato 15 of 58 25% 10 of 49 4 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 56 0 of 1 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Miguel Baeza 18 of 37 48% 5 of 17 10 of 16 3 of 4 15 of 34 3 of 3 0 of 0
Takashi Sato 8 of 29 27% 5 of 24 2 of 4 1 of 1 8 of 27 0 of 1 0 of 1
2 Miguel Baeza 22 of 36 61% 11 of 23 10 of 12 1 of 1 17 of 31 0 of 0 5 of 5
Takashi Sato 7 of 29 24% 5 of 25 2 of 4 0 of 0 7 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R1 0:48
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Takashi Sato 1 18 of 21 85% 18 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jason Witt 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Takashi Sato 1 18 of 21 85% 18 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Jason Witt 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Takashi Sato 18 of 21 85% 18 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 16
Jason Witt 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Takashi Sato 18 of 21 85% 18 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 15 of 16
Jason Witt 2 of 5 40% 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (3)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 24, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Takashi Sato

Big Brady picks Takashi Sato, despite the narrative that Witt (Brahimaj) has a submission-heavy record. He thinks Sato's takedown defense and cardio will be key, and that Witt will gas after the first round. He predicts Sato will weather the early storm and get a knockout in the second round. He notes that Witt's UFC debut and poor cardio are concerns.

Sato by KO in round 2; wouldn't bet it; Witt at +105 is not an awful underdog play
"I think Sato is gonna weather the early storm... give me Sato by knockout in that second round."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 26, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Takashi Sato

Daniel Levi leans with Takashi Sato, citing his full camp preparation and UFC experience. He notes Sato's karate style, judo base for takedown defense, and counter-striking power. However, he acknowledges Sato's questionable chin and that Witt is taking the fight on short notice but has a wrestling background. Levi thinks Sato's discipline and preparation give him the edge, but warns that short-notice fighters have pulled off upsets before.

"I'm allying with Sato just cuz he's had the full camp the UFC experience all those things."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Takashi Sato

The MMA Guru picks Takashi Sato, citing his experience and recent UFC wins, while dismissing Jason Witt's resume as not UFC-level. He predicts Sato will dominate and win by submission in the second or third round, as Witt may come out aggressive but fade. He initially considered a decision but changed to submission, noting Sato is not a finisher but expects the experience gap to show.

Sato by submission in second or third round
"I'm definitely gonna be going with Takashi Saito... I'll go with Takashi Saito by submission in the second or third round"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 1:55
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Belal Muhammad 0 49 of 106 46% 78 of 148 2 of 9 22% 1 0 2:30
Takashi Sato 0 29 of 89 32% 34 of 95 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Belal Muhammad 0 20 of 40 50% 43 of 75 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:41
Takashi Sato 0 9 of 30 30% 9 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Belal Muhammad 0 20 of 44 45% 25 of 50 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:20
Takashi Sato 0 12 of 40 30% 17 of 46 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
3 Belal Muhammad 0 9 of 22 40% 10 of 23 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:29
Takashi Sato 0 8 of 19 42% 8 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Belal Muhammad 49 of 106 46% 40 of 85 7 of 19 2 of 2 42 of 98 3 of 4 4 of 4
Takashi Sato 29 of 89 32% 23 of 79 4 of 8 2 of 2 29 of 89 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Belal Muhammad 20 of 40 50% 16 of 30 3 of 9 1 of 1 15 of 35 1 of 1 4 of 4
Takashi Sato 9 of 30 30% 7 of 27 1 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Belal Muhammad 20 of 44 45% 17 of 37 2 of 6 1 of 1 18 of 41 2 of 3 0 of 0
Takashi Sato 12 of 40 30% 9 of 35 2 of 4 1 of 1 12 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Belal Muhammad 9 of 22 40% 7 of 18 2 of 4 0 of 0 9 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Takashi Sato 8 of 19 42% 7 of 17 1 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Belal Muhammad vs. Takashi Sato

Round 1
Headlining the early prelims by staying at welterweight, Muhammad (15-3, 6-3 UFC) looks to spoil Sato's (15-2, 1-0 UFC) sophomore Octagon appearance. Drawing the assignment for this one is referee Viacheslav Kiselev. As the fight begins, the two try to find their distance and jab at one another. Muhammad fires a right to the body and a left to the head, and then tries for a looping right hand that is barely blocked. He does this two-punch combination two more times, working the body and head indiscriminately and effectively. A big left hand cracks Sato, who backs away against the fence, and Muhammad charges in to try for a takedown and takes the back of his Japanese opponent. Muhammad lifts up Sato and drops him down, but Sato bounces back up and keeps the jab flowing. "Remember the Name" goes after a right high kick that does not quite find its mark, but a right hand following up does. Sato scores over the top with a right, and Muhammad uses this brief lull in the action to again wrap his hands around his adversary's waist. Sato circles away, and Muhammad shoots for a double leg takedown and emphatically puts Sato down. In the ensuing scramble, Muhammad takes Sato's back and secures the body lock. Cracking Sato with elbows, the horn sounds and this exciting round is over.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad

Round 2
As the second round begins, Sato scores with a left hand up top and then one more to the body. He ducks away from the combinations of the American, and avoids a high kick as well. Muhammad briefly considers a takedown and Sato defends it well. Muhammad goes back to the combination that served him well in the opening stanza, with a right to the body and left to the head. Muhammad then leans on a few more left hands, scoring on each of them until he shoots at a distance for a takedown and somehow lands it -- albeit briefly. Sato escapes by trying to throw Muhammad, who returns to that right-left combo that scores almost every time he tries it. Sato sticks out a strong left jab, as Muhammad shoots in for another takedown attempt, but Sato is prepared for it. The two separate again, and Muhammad jumps in the air with a knee that is nowhere near his opponent. Sato tags Muhammad with a straight left hand, and Muhammad returns fire with a powerful right hook that backs off Sato. The two clinch, and Sato scores a trip and lands in side control with about 30 seconds left. Sato may not land a great deal while in control, but he does end the round on top.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Muhammad

Round 3
As the third and final round commences, the two men stand in the center of the cage and trade. They appear to clash heads, causing a cut to appear on the side of Sato's right eye, but this could have also come from one of Muhammad's left hands. Sato fires off a head kick and Muhammad blocks it, with the American closing the distance to try to drag the fight down. Muhammad fails on one attempt, but does not relent and eventually gets his man to the canvas.
"Remember the Name" takes Sato's back, and quickly tries for a rear-naked choke. Unable to secure it with one arm, he switches to the other and locks it up, forcing Sato to tap.
With the victory, Muhammad picks up the first submission win of his career.

The Official Result
Belal Muhammad def. Takashi Sato R3 1:55 via Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
TKO (elbows and punches) R2 1:18
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Takashi Sato 0 46 of 90 51% 47 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Ben Saunders 1 28 of 69 40% 33 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Takashi Sato 0 39 of 74 52% 39 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:25
Ben Saunders 0 12 of 41 29% 16 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Takashi Sato 0 7 of 16 43% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ben Saunders 1 16 of 28 57% 17 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Takashi Sato 46 of 90 51% 9 of 46 22 of 28 15 of 16 29 of 70 17 of 20 0 of 0
Ben Saunders 28 of 69 40% 25 of 64 2 of 3 1 of 2 13 of 44 2 of 6 13 of 19
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Takashi Sato 39 of 74 52% 8 of 38 21 of 25 10 of 11 22 of 54 17 of 20 0 of 0
Ben Saunders 12 of 41 29% 10 of 37 1 of 2 1 of 2 10 of 35 2 of 6 0 of 0
2 Takashi Sato 7 of 16 43% 1 of 8 1 of 3 5 of 5 7 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ben Saunders 16 of 28 57% 15 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 13 of 19