Jason Witt

Angelo picks Josh Quinlan because of his dangerous striking and power, noting that if Quinlan can defend takedowns he will get a knockout. He acknowledges Jason Witt's wrestling is a threat but questions Witt's chin, which makes him vulnerable. Angelo also mentions he hammered a prop bet on Witt to have more takedowns at -325, but that line has been removed.

Big Brady picks Josh Quinlan to knock out Jason Witt. He notes that all eight of Witt's losses are inside the distance, with six knockouts, and his cardio is poor. Quinlan is a powerful striker who should land something big as Witt slows down. Brady acknowledges the sketchy PED history but sticks with the knockout prediction.

Cody picks Quinlan, though he is more nervous due to the catchweight and Quinlan's UFC debut. He notes Witt's wrestling advantage but believes Quinlan's power will eventually land. Cody is not switching his pick from last week.

The host mentions Witt as a possible underdog with control time and takedowns, but does not explicitly bet him. He lists him among underdogs that could score well if they win, but does not express strong confidence.

Paul picks Quinlan by first-round knockout, noting Witt's poor chin. He mentions Quinlan's power and that the catchweight of 180 lbs might help Witt, but he still expects Quinlan to win early. Paul also likes Quinlan over 95.5 fantasy points on PrizePicks.

Angelo picks Jason Witt despite Rowe being the favorite. He notes Rowe's size and striking advantages but believes Witt's wrestling and ground control will be decisive. Witt will relentlessly pursue takedowns and maintain top pressure, likely winning a decision. Angelo acknowledges Rowe's better jiu-jitsu but thinks Witt's grinding style prevails.

Cody agrees with Paul, noting that Witt has a history of getting knocked out and that Rowe has good BJJ to neutralize takedowns. He thinks Rowe will win by knockout in the later rounds after Witt tires. He suggests live betting Rowe after the first round.

Daniel Levi picks Philip Rowe, citing his massive reach advantage (10 inches) and knockout power. He notes Witt has been knocked out multiple times and is slow and hittable. Levi believes Rowe will find his range and land a big right hand, potentially a knockout. He also mentions Rowe's grappling improvements and training with Rodolfo Vieira. He considers betting on Rowe at the pick 'em line.

Lock of the Night picks Rowe, expecting him to find a knockout after surviving early takedowns. He notes Witt's poor chin and reaction to getting hit. He likes Rowe by KO at +165.

Paul thinks Rowe will eventually catch Witt on the feet due to his reach advantage and Witt's suspect chin. He notes that Witt has been knocked out multiple times and that Rowe's takedown defense is suspect but his BJJ is good. He is confident Rowe wins by knockout.

Big Brady picks Bryan Barberena, citing his much higher level of competition and Witt's poor chin. He notes Barberena's high volume and power, and that Witt has been knocked out in all his losses. Brady expects Barberena to find the chin or possibly get a submission, predicting a first-round knockout.

Cody hesitantly picks Bryan Barberena, acknowledging his experience and toughness but expressing major concerns about his recent form, injuries, and layoffs. He notes that Barberena has looked slow and out of shape, and his takedown defense has declined. Cody believes Witt could win by grinding out takedowns, but he still thinks Barberena's grit might pull through. He calls it a 'bad gut feeling' and does not have confidence commensurate with the -265 price.

Levi is confident Barberena will win by knockout. He praises Barberena's iron jaw, farm strength, and punching power, noting he has gone the distance with top welterweights like Leon Edwards, Colby Covington, and Vicente Luque. Levi criticizes Jason Witt's chin, implying it is weak, and believes Barberena will land a fight-ending shot. He acknowledges Witt's path to victory via takedowns but thinks Barberena's power will be too much.

Barberena has the power to knock out Witt, who is chinny. However, Barberena is coming off a long layoff and multiple surgeries, and he's not a one-punch KO artist. If he doesn't finish early, Witt's wrestling and top control could be problematic. The value is on Barberena by KO rather than the moneyline. He should get the job done early.

Paul leans towards Jason Witt as a live underdog, citing Barberena's decline and Witt's wrestling advantage. He notes that Witt has a better coach and game plan, and that Barberena's recent performances have been poor. Paul believes Witt can take Barberena down and control him, especially if Barberena's cardio is lacking. He is not fully confident but sees value in the plus money.

Big Brady picks Jason Witt, citing Witt's superior wrestling and grappling. He notes that Witt trains at Glory MMA with James Krause and expects a game plan focused on takedowns. He acknowledges Witt's poor chin but believes he can avoid getting knocked out by taking the fight to the mat. He predicts a submission win in the second round, similar to Witt's last fight against Cole Williams.

Daniel Levi picks Matthew Semelsberger because Jason Witt has a questionable chin and has been wobbled several times on the regional scene. He believes Semelsberger is strong enough to stuff takedowns and will eventually clip Witt. However, he notes Semelsberger's defensive wrestling is a concern, but Witt's chin is an even bigger liability. He expects the fight to go three rounds due to Semelsberger's greenness.

Lock favors Witt, citing his solid takedowns, good top control, and crushing top game. He downplays Semelsberger's win over Carlton Minus, calling Minus a low-tier fighter. Lock notes he hasn't seen much of Semelsberger's grappling and thinks Witt's wrestling could be the difference. He's cautious but leans Witt.

Big Brady likes Witt's wrestling and submission game, noting Williams' poor takedown defense and suspect chin. He is concerned about Witt's durability but believes Witt can grind out a submission. He predicts a second-round submission win.

Witt has better wrestling and grappling, and should be able to take Williams down. However, Witt was knocked out in his last fight, so there are durability concerns. Williams is a brawler who could land a bomb, making this a risky bet.

Big Brady picks Takashi Sato, despite the narrative that Witt (Brahimaj) has a submission-heavy record. He thinks Sato's takedown defense and cardio will be key, and that Witt will gas after the first round. He predicts Sato will weather the early storm and get a knockout in the second round. He notes that Witt's UFC debut and poor cardio are concerns.

Daniel Levi leans with Takashi Sato, citing his full camp preparation and UFC experience. He notes Sato's karate style, judo base for takedown defense, and counter-striking power. However, he acknowledges Sato's questionable chin and that Witt is taking the fight on short notice but has a wrestling background. Levi thinks Sato's discipline and preparation give him the edge, but warns that short-notice fighters have pulled off upsets before.