Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Nikolay Veretennikov, considering him the better technical striker. He notes Khaos Williams has no takedown attempts in the UFC, so if Veretennikov has success striking, Williams has no backup plan. He expects Veretennikov's forward pressure to disrupt Williams. He calls it a crazy close fight.

Big Brady picks Nikolay Veretennikov as a slight underdog, citing his striking tools and durability. He notes that Khaos Williams has not completed a takedown in the UFC, so the fight will likely stay standing, where Veretennikov has the edge. He predicts a decision win but is not confident enough to bet.

Cody picks Nikolay Veretennikov, noting that Khaos Williams has looked disinterested and reluctant to engage in recent fights. Veretennikov is a versatile striker with good body work and durability, while Williams relies on power but has low volume. Cody believes Veretennikov's higher work rate and shot selection will allow him to outwork Williams over three rounds.

Connor picks Williams but with hesitation, noting that Veretennikov could win if he circles away and throws one-twos, but Veretennikov doesn't circle. He emphasizes that Williams is a power-based fighter with no technique and has been brutally bullied in recent fights, but Veretennikov is not good enough to exploit that.

Williams lands harder shots and has better cardio. Veretennikov slows down and has poor takedown offense. However, Williams can be passive and head-hunts. The fight spread is a better bet than the moneyline.

Lucrative James picks Nikolay Veretennikov to win by KO, citing Veretennikov's Muay Thai clinch and knees against a striker like Williams. He notes Williams's recent losses and potential lack of focus, while Veretennikov is all-in on MMA. He predicts a second-round finish via knee to the body.

The host believes Williams' defensive grappling is good enough to keep the fight standing, where he has the striking advantage. He expects Williams to pull away in the later rounds and win by decision, though a knockout is possible. He is confident in Williams at -130.

The host picks Khaos Williams over Nikolay Veretennikov, expecting Williams to thwart Veretennikov's approach and land big power shots early and often, leading to a decision win.

Paul hesitantly picks Nikolay Veretennikov at plus 110, noting that both fighters' opponents usually try to take them down. He hopes that Veretennikov's training camp with high-level wrestlers may have improved his offensive wrestling, allowing him to steal close rounds. He acknowledges it's a volatile fight and is not heavily invested.

Angelo picks Khaos Williams but is hesitant due to the unusual circumstances. He notes Andreas Gustafsson is a live underdog with good grappling and power, but the double weight cut (cutting weight for a canceled fight then cutting again) could hurt his performance. He thinks if Andreas is fine, he could win by pressure. He doesn't love the pick.

Big Brady picks Khaos Williams, citing his durability and fight IQ compared to Gustafsson's previous opponent. He notes Gustafsson is hittable, slow, and only dangerous in the clinch, while Williams is much more durable and has never been knocked out. He expects Williams to knock Gustafsson out in the second round when the fight is at range.

Khaos Williams was closer to -250 earlier in fight week but now finds himself around -190, which is considered a perfect entry. He is expected to land more shots, shut down Gustafsson's grappling, and outdamage him on the way to a decision victory.

Angelo picks Gabriel Bonfim, noting he is more well-rounded with clean boxing and good BJJ. He expects Bonfim to use a wrestle-heavy game plan but acknowledges Khaos Williams has solid takedown defense and power. He thinks the -200 odds are wide and that Bonfim could gas, but overall Bonfim has more tools.

Big Brady picks Bonfim, noting he has more ways to win: striking power and a grappling path. Williams is hitable (42% striking defense) and has poor grappling defense. Bonfim showed improved cardio in his last fight. However, he hesitates to lay -210 odds due to Williams' power.

Bonfim is the better striker and overall mixed martial artist. As long as he stays conscious, he should outpoint Khaos Williams and win on the scorecards. The fight likely goes past the 1.5 round mark.

Angelo picks Khaos Williams due to his power, durability, and takedown defense, but he is not fully confident because Williams looked flat in his last fight with no head movement. Carlston Harris is well-rounded with slick grappling and power. Angelo trusts Williams' takedown defense over Harris's 29% takedown accuracy, but hopes Williams shows improvement.

Cody believes Williams has evolved from a pure power puncher to a more well-rounded fighter who uses inside kicks to set up his right hand. He notes Williams has 80% takedown defense and hasn't been taken down since Michel Pereira. Cody argues Harris's striking is limited and his cardio is suspect; if Harris doesn't get a quick submission, Williams will outwork him on the feet. He also highlights Williams's training camp at Michigan with top welterweights.

Williams has improved his takedown defense and gas tank, and is a crisper striker. Harris relies on clinching and BJJ but will struggle to get the fight to the ground against Williams' physicality. Expects Williams to land the more effective damage and win a decision.

Paul leans on Harris's grappling advantage, noting that if Harris can get the fight to the mat, he should have a significant edge. He questions whether Khaos Williams has been tested against someone with Harris's jiu-jitsu pedigree. Paul expects a striker vs. grappler dynamic and favors the grappler.

Angelo picks Khaos Williams confidently, citing his insane power and durability. He notes that Rolando Bedoya is hittable, as seen in his fight against Pablo de Horta where he was consistently landed on. Angelo believes if Khaos lands with even 10% of the accuracy Pablo did, he will win by knockout. However, he acknowledges that if Bedoya's chin holds up, his volume could win a decision. Angelo plans to wait for round props before betting.

Big Brady picks Williams, calling it a terrible matchup for Bedoya. He notes Bedoya has awful striking defense, walking forward with his hands low, and Williams has elite power. He believes Williams will knock Bedoya out within the first two minutes, as Bedoya's style of eating punches won't work against a power puncher like Williams.

Cody is very confident in Williams, describing Bedoya as a 'dead man walking.' He notes Bedoya's competition in Peru is weak, his striking is wild and technical, and he has no wrestling to avoid Williams' power. Williams has improved significantly, training with top guys, and has knockout power in both hands. He expects an early KO.

Connor agrees, noting Williams has power and a blitzing style that will work against Bedoya's poor defense. He mentions Williams is durable and has been in scrappy fights. Bedoya is fun but too reckless, and Williams should win.

The host picks Khaos Williams by knockout in the second round. He believes Williams' higher level experience and bigger knockout power will be decisive in a wild exchange. He notes there is value on Bedoya but prefers the more battle-tested fighter. He also recommends the fight doesn't go to decision.

Paul agrees, saying the obvious play is Williams inside the distance. He notes Williams has 'death touch' and is overdue for a knockout. He expects Williams to come out aggressive and finish early.

The Guru picks Williams, calling Bedoya's debut a terrible matchup. He notes Williams' reach advantage and power, and that Bedoya has been off for over a year. He expects Williams to land a first-round KO, as Bedoya will have octagon jitters on a PPV card.

Angelo picks Khaos Williams due to his power and durability, despite acknowledging that Randy Brown is the more technical striker with better grappling. He notes that two of Brown's three UFC losses are by knockout and that Williams has the takedown defense to keep it standing.

Big Brady picks Khaos Williams to win by second-round knockout. He believes Williams has the power, volume, and durability advantage. Brown is the more skilled striker and grappler, but he has been finished in three of his four losses, including two by knockout. Williams has never been finished and hits hard. Brady thinks Brown will get hit a lot and eventually get knocked out. He expects a war and favors the fighter with more power and durability.

Cody leans towards Randy Brown, calling it a dogger pass situation. He is encouraged by Brown's recent performances, especially his use of length and range. Cody notes that Brown's losses are to high-level guys and that he seems to be turning a corner. He contrasts Williams' power but stalled progression, and believes Brown's volume and reach will be key. Cody acknowledges it's a close matchup but favors Brown.

Daniel Levi picks Randy Brown confidently, calling it his first bet of the night at 1.5 units at +115. He believes Brown's volume, movement, and length will be key, and that Brown is in his prime with experience against top competition. He respects Khaos Williams' power but thinks Brown can outwork him over three rounds. He notes that Brown's last performances show he has turned a corner.

The host picks Randy Brown, believing he is the better striker with superior movement, leg kicks, and output. He expects Brown to keep Khaos Williams at range and avoid his power shots. He notes Brown's Muay Thai clinch and jiu-jitsu are also advantages. He thinks Williams will get frustrated and rely on power, but Brown's discipline and cardio will carry him to a decision win. He disagrees with Williams being the favorite.

Paul picks Randy Brown as an underdog at +100. He notes that Brown has been improving, using his length and range effectively with a good jab and low kick. Paul believes Brown's chin held up well against Jared Gooden and that he is more well-rounded. He thinks if the fight becomes a volume affair, Brown edges it out, and Brown's grappling could be an advantage. Paul is confident in Brown's path to victory.

Angelo slightly leans toward Khaos Williams due to his knockout power, but is worried about Baeza's potential grappling. He notes that Williams has no wrestling data in the UFC, making his takedown defense an unknown. Angelo thinks the odds should be flipped and that Williams has the power and speed advantage.

Big Brady picks Miguel Baeza but is hesitant, acknowledging Khaos Williams' power and better chin. He notes Baeza has been hurt in previous fights and questions his chin. However, Brady sees a path for Baeza using his BJJ black belt to exploit Williams' poor takedown defense, mixing in takedowns to win a decision.

Cody believes Baeza will improve after his first loss and has a good game plan: low calf kicks and footwork. He notes Khaos Williams is stationary and heavy on his lead foot, making him vulnerable to leg kicks. He expects Baeza to win by decision or late TKO.

Daniel Levi picks Khaos Williams as the underdog, arguing that Williams has the power advantage and can capitalize on Baeza's tendency to get hit (5 strikes absorbed per minute). He notes that both fighters are hittable but gives Williams the edge in power and believes he can land a fight-changing shot. Levi acknowledges Baeza's calf kicks and black belt but thinks Williams's physicality and pressure will be the difference.

Jacob picks Miguel Baeza, believing he is the cleaner striker and will counter Williams' loaded punches. He notes that Baeza has grappling as a backup and is a jiu-jitsu black belt. Jacob thinks Williams will chase a knockout and get countered, and he loves Baeza in this matchup.

Paul thinks Baeza is a clean striker with volume, but worries about his chin being checked. He notes that Khaos Williams has knockout power but hasn't shown it recently. He leans Baeza but has low confidence.

Angelo picks Khaos Williams, citing his power and knockout ability. He notes that Semelsberger has been knocked out before and that Khaos has fought higher quality opponents. He disagrees with Jacob's pick of Semelsberger, arguing that Semelsberger's forward pressure may walk him into a power shot. Angelo also mentions he is waiting for better odds on a Khaos Williams knockout prop.

Big Brady favors Williams due to higher level of competition (fought Alex Morono, Abdul Razak Alhassan) and durability (never finished). He notes Semelsberger has been knocked out by an 0-1 fighter and has two losses by finish. He predicts a first-round knockout by Williams.

Cody picks Semelsberger as a live underdog, citing his better output, size, and wrestling. He notes Williams' power but questions his overall game and cardio. Cody suggests Semelsberger could win if he survives the first round and pressures Williams.

Daniel Levi picks Khaos Williams, disagreeing with the notion that he is a first-round-or-bust fighter. He points to Williams' decision win over Jeremy Holloway and competitive fight against Michel Pereira as evidence he can go three rounds. He thinks Williams can match Semelsberger in power and physicality, but has more experience. He expects a win by knockout or decision.

Jacob picks Matthew Semelsberger, emphasizing his volume and kicks to neutralize Khaos Williams' power. He believes Semelsberger can overwhelm Khaos with pressure and leg kicks. Jacob also thinks this could be fight of the night and likes the over on strikes for Semelsberger.

The host picks Matthew Semelsberger, citing his good combinations, leg kicks, and ability to stick and move. He notes Semelsberger's takedown threat and that Khaos Williams loads up on shots, making him telegraph. He believes Semelsberger can avoid Williams' power and win by decision, though he acknowledges Williams' knockout power is a threat. He mentions Semelsberger has been finished before but thinks improvements will keep him safe.

Paul picks Williams, citing his knockout power and fast hands. He notes Semelsberger's questionable chin and believes Williams will land a clean shot. Paul acknowledges Semelsberger's path to victory but thinks Williams' power is the difference.

Angelo picks Khaos Williams, noting his technical style and ability to counter Pereira's wild approach. He references Williams' last fight where he used a right hand to finish, expecting a similar outcome.

Big Brady picks Khaos Williams over Michel Pereira, citing trust issues with Pereira's antics (backflips, gassing) and Williams' legitimate power. He believes the smaller cage favors Williams, limiting Pereira's movement. Brady predicts a decision win for Williams, noting both fighters respect each other's power, and suggests the over 1.5 rounds as a sneaky bet.

The host leans Pereira due to his unorthodox style and volume, but is not confident because of Khaos Williams' one-punch knockout power. He thinks Pereira can out-volume Williams and stay away from the big shots, but acknowledges any slip could lead to a KO loss. He predicts a decision win for Pereira.

Big Brady is high on Alhassan, noting all his wins are by knockout in the first round, and he throws decent volume for a power puncher. He criticizes Khaos Williams for leaving openings and lacking technique. He plans to bet on Alhassan if he looks good at weigh-ins, possibly in a parlay, and calls it one of his most confident picks.

Daniel picks Razak Alhassan, believing he will capitalize on Khaos Williams' tendency to leave his chin up in the air during his blitzing style. He notes that Razak has been dedicated to training and is in better shape than his last fight. He thinks Razak's cleaner, more effective punches will lead to a first-round knockout, possibly a face plant. He acknowledges both are powerful but sees Razak as the more technical striker.

Daniel Levi picks Alex Morono to win, but thinks the -325 line is too wide. He notes Morono's experience and recent improvements, but also his takedown defense issues. He expects Morono to capitalize on the feet and possibly get a submission or ground-and-pound stoppage.

The host picks Alex Morono by submission, likely in the mid-second round. He notes that Khaos Williams is wild and powerful but has suspect striking defense and may be vulnerable to Morono's jiu-jitsu. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds at plus money as a violence bet.