Mitch Ramirez
Career Averages
Loss Methods (2)
Fight History
Expert Picks (17)
AJ picks Chase Hooper despite recent KO losses, citing his sensational jiu-jitsu and ability to outgrapple Ramirez. He notes Ramirez lacks punching power and Hooper's submission threat is high, but acknowledges the risk of Hooper getting knocked out again. AJ is hesitant but believes Hooper's grappling will prevail.
AJ picks Mitch Ramirez as an underdog, citing Chase Hooper's poor striking and durability. He believes Ramirez's power punching and takedown defense can neutralize Hooper's jiu-jitsu. He notes Hooper's recent knockout losses and thinks Ramirez can land a clean shot and finish the fight. He is not confident but trusts the stylistic matchup.
AJ picks Hooper by submission as a prop bet, citing Hooper's legit grappling and Ramirez's tendency to have his back taken. However, he worries about Hooper's chin and suggests hedging with Ramirez by first-round KO. He calls it a 50-50 fight.
AJ picks Chase Hooper by submission, flipping from an initial lean on Ramirez. He notes Hooper's jiu-jitsu is elite but his chin is weak. He believes Ramirez may be taking the fight for a check and that Hooper will strangle him. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds and suggests a hedge on Ramirez by KO.
Angelo picks Chase Hooper, dismissing the narrative that Hooper will get knocked out again. He argues that Hooper's two KO losses came against elite competition that would also KO Ramirez. He expects Hooper to shoot immediately and dominate on the ground, scoring well in DFS.
Angelo picks Chase Hooper but is hesitant to bet because Hooper is coming off two knockout losses. He notes that the UFC gave Hooper a favorable matchup against a less powerful opponent, and he expects Hooper's BJJ to be a factor. However, he advises waiting to see Hooper get a win before betting on him.
Big Brady hesitantly picks Chase Hooper, emphasizing that if Hooper grapples, he wins easily via submission. However, he worries Hooper will test his striking and get knocked out. He notes Mitch Ramirez has poor takedown defense but can fight off chokes. He predicts a first-round submission.
Cody sees this as a perfect matchup for Hooper to get back on track. He notes Hooper's excellent wrestling and top game, citing takedowns over Jim Miller and Clay Guida. He acknowledges Hooper's durability issues but believes he'll take Ramirez down early and dominate on the ground, likely by submission or decision.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Ramirez is very defensive, easily backed up against the cage, and not a natural fighter. He thinks Hooper should easily get into advantageous positions and win. He also comments that if Hooper loses this fight, the UFC should cut him.
Daniel Levi picks Chase Hooper despite two recent KO losses, because Hooper has shown more in the UFC than Mitch Ramirez, who has been knocked out repeatedly. He notes Hooper's grappling advantage and Ramirez's poor defensive record, but is hesitant due to Hooper's chin issues and the steep price. He calls it a 'dog or pass' betting situation.
Hooper is a heavy favorite at -360, but the host finds no value in betting him at those odds. Ramirez has looked low-level on the ground, so Hooper is likely to win via submission, but the odds are too steep. The host passes on this fight entirely.
Lucrative James picks Chase Hooper to win by submission, citing Hooper's superior jiu-jitsu and Ramirez's lack of athleticism. He notes that Hooper struggles against explosive fighters but Ramirez is not that, and Hooper should get the fight to the ground eventually. However, he warns against betting Hooper at -300 due to his poor wrestling and durability issues.
The host believes Hooper should find the back and submit Ramirez but is hard to trust at chalk given his recent performances. He mentions Ramirez round one KO at +900 as a hedge opportunity.
Hooper has a clear advantage on the ground with his BJJ wizardry, but his recent knockout losses raise concerns about his chin. Ramirez has power and could catch Hooper early, but he is not UFC-level and has poor durability. Hooper should eventually find a submission, likely a rear-naked choke, but it's hard to trust him as a favorite.
Paul agrees Hooper is the pick, emphasizing that the UFC is giving him a softball win. He notes Hooper's wrestling is good and his ground game is too much for Ramirez, who has been taken down and outgrappled by lesser wrestlers. He warns about Hooper's chin but thinks he'll get the fight to the ground and win.
The MMA Guru picks Chase Hooper but expresses worry, noting Hooper's vulnerability to being knocked out. He believes Hooper's grappling will be key and predicts a submission win, possibly an arm triangle or rear naked choke in the late first round. He mentions Ramirez's guillotine attempts may fail.
Zane picks Hooper because Ramirez is easily backed up, defensive, and not a natural fighter. He notes that Ramirez is robotic and mechanical, lacking natural punching power, and that Hooper's chaotic clinch and leg lock game should overwhelm him. He believes the UFC intentionally gave Hooper a winnable fight after his loss to Lance Gibson Jr.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 51 of 111 | 45% | 57 of 118 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Mike Davis | 1 | 47 of 77 | 61% | 58 of 94 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 4:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 14 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mike Davis | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 13 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 4:20 | |
| 2 | Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 43 of 93 | 46% | 43 of 93 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Mike Davis | 1 | 44 of 69 | 63% | 45 of 70 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Ramirez | 51 of 111 | 45% | 27 of 85 | 8 of 10 | 16 of 16 | 46 of 105 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Davis | 47 of 77 | 61% | 29 of 53 | 15 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 44 of 74 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mitch Ramirez | 8 of 18 | 44% | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Davis | 3 of 8 | 37% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mitch Ramirez | 43 of 93 | 46% | 23 of 71 | 8 of 10 | 12 of 12 | 40 of 89 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Mike Davis | 44 of 69 | 63% | 27 of 48 | 15 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 41 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo dismisses Mike Davis's last performance as an anomaly due to paint fumes and injuries, and focuses on his overall body of work. He sees Davis as faster, more athletic, and well-rounded, expecting him to blow through Mitch Ramirez. He notes Ramirez is a decent grappler but has had tough matchups, and this should be another he can't win.
Big Brady is hesitant despite Mike Davis being a massive favorite. He expresses concern about Davis's many excuses after his last fight and his tendency to pull guard early. However, he acknowledges Davis is much better everywhere than Mitch Ramirez. He picks Davis to win by dominant decision but says he will avoid betting on this fight.
Connor agrees, pointing out that Ramirez loses sense of defense when aggressive, and if he's not aggressive, he's a sitting duck. Davis has the skills to take him down and win. Connor also notes that Davis's lack of ambition is a concern, but against this opponent, he should prevail.
The host believes Davis will remind everyone of his quality after a recent fumble against Ferris ZM. He expects Davis to put together a solid body of work and finish Ramirez in the second round. Davis is a prohibitive favorite at -900, reflecting strong confidence.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Mike Davis, calling it a 'no-brainer' given Davis is a -1000 favorite. He notes Mitch Ramirez starts strong but visibly slows down as lactic acid builds, citing his losses to Carlos Prates and Thiago Moises. He expects Davis to survive early exchanges and take over as the fight progresses, though he sees no betting value at the current odds.
Zane notes that Mike Davis is a great athlete with a well-rounded game, but lacks drive. However, against Mitch Ramirez, who is a wild over-committing swinger, Davis should be able to take him down and control the fight. He thinks Davis's slick transitions and grappling will be too much for Ramirez, who is a sitting duck if not aggressive.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Moises | 1 | 25 of 39 | 64% | 53 of 72 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 6:36 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 16 of 48 | 33% | 28 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thiago Moises | 0 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 25 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:18 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 17 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Thiago Moises | 0 | 15 of 26 | 57% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:14 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 10 of 39 | 25% | 11 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:21 | |
| 3 | Thiago Moises | 1 | 6 of 7 | 85% | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago Moises | 25 of 39 | 64% | 10 of 23 | 3 of 4 | 12 of 12 | 17 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 7 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 16 of 48 | 33% | 4 of 32 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 13 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thiago Moises | 4 of 6 | 66% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 6 of 8 | 75% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Thiago Moises | 15 of 26 | 57% | 8 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 10 of 39 | 25% | 4 of 30 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 4 | 7 of 36 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Thiago Moises | 6 of 7 | 85% | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
| Mitch Ramirez | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Moises (-410), Ramirez (+320)
Round 1
Originally expecting to face Brad Riddell in the co-main event slot, Moises (17-7, 6-5 UFC) instead tumbles down to the early prelims to take on late replacement and UFC debutant Ramirez (8-1, 0-0 UFC), who lost in an appearance on last year’s Contender Series. The two lightweights will be joined in the Octagon by referee Mark Smith, who clocks them in as the fighters consider but abandon a glove touch. The two start rapping the other’s calf with kicks one after the other, testing the waters and doing some work early. They proceed to take turns with these kicks until Moises decides to mix things up with a tackling double-leg takedown. Moises succeeds in placing Ramirez on his seat, and Ramirez turns to his side in hopes of finding a sweep. Moises shuts it down and shifts to half guard, where he slowly opens up with elbow strikes. Ramirez bucks and twists, but the heavy Brazilian is not going anywhere as he proceeds to smother and land shots. Ramirez uses all his might to pop up, but Moises drags him down from behind until Ramirez realizes he should not give up his back and turns over again. Moises leans down to potentially set up an arm-triangle choke, but with half guard on the other side, he is unable to find the right leverage. Ramirez scoots himself to the wall, but Moises drags him away from it so he can hope to pass. Moises lets it go so he can slash down with elbows, and he gets bucked off but this is the best thing for him. Ramirez turns to crawl away on his knees, and like a predatory animal, Moises pounces on his back. Moises almost immediately gets the hooks in and secures a body triangle, and as Ramirez turns over to his back, Moises is already fishing for a rear-naked choke. Ramirez hand-fights well enough to prevent the choke from getting close, and Moises slides arms back and forth in search of the sub. Moises softens his man up with a couple strikes, and Ramirez tries to swing back from behind his head. The round ends in this dominant position, with the horn blaring twice.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Round 2
The lightweights come together in the middle of the cage, and Ramirez pushes the pace by leading off with a whipping overhand right. As Ramirez tries to shove the Brazilian against the wall, Moises turns him about. The two jockey for position while tied up, and Moises tangles up the legs for a trip attempt but does not find it. Moises drives a knee to the chest as he looks for another entry, with a double that fails. This allows Ramirez to break free, and Moises chops down on his lead leg as he gets backed off with punches. Moises reaches out with a front kick, and leans back as a head kick whizzes past his face. Ramirez swings as hard as he can with a right hand, and the veteran shoots in for a double and drives Ramirez back to the wall. The two do a little slow dance when up close in the clinch, and Moises breaks free with an elbow and misses with a front kick by a matter of inches. Ramirez punches his way forward into a clinch, and he is turned around and smacked in the face a few times. Moises lets go to reset, and he kicks the calf of his opponent that is welted and swollen badly. Ramirez kicks back, but Moises aims at the same target again to make Ramirez recoil. As he does this, he fires off a front kick and stings Ramirez with an overhand right. Moises chops low and spins with a wheel kick that buzzes the side of the head, and he calmly works his way forward, landing shots to chop away. Ramirez goes after two leg kicks of his own, and the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Moises
Round 3
Moises begins the round with a front kick, and
he knocks Ramirez off his feet with a vicious low kick. Ramirez hits the deck, and a ferocious Moises chases after him and whips four low kicks down reminiscent of Donald Cerrone against Myles Jury.
Ramirez grimaces in pain and Smith recognizes that he is done, and he waves off the fight. This is a statement performance for the Brazilian, who registers his first knockout as a UFC fighter by putting the newcomer away with leg kicks.
The Official Result
Thiago Moises def. Mitch Ramirez R3 0:15 via TKO (Leg Kicks)
Expert Picks (5)
Angelo expects Moises to be a big favorite. He is a slick grappler who stays composed and works for submissions, with technical striking and solid low kicks to set up takedowns. Although Moises was taken down five times and mauled by Benoit Saint-Denis, Angelo notes that Ramirez is not on that level. He thinks Moises will win the striking exchanges and is good enough to defend takedowns or sweep off bottom. He will bet if the line is favorable.
Big Brady picks Thiago Moises to win by second-round submission. He views this as a levels fight, with Moises' BJJ and experience being far superior to Ramirez, who is coming in on short notice. He expects Moises to get a takedown and submit Ramirez.
Cody picks Thiago Moises, noting his experience against top competition and superior skills everywhere. He acknowledges Ramirez's danger as a short-notice debutant but believes Moises is better on the feet and on the ground. He warns about Moises' durability but expects him to win.
The host notes that Ramirez is stepping in on short notice and is less skilled and experienced than Moises. He expects Moises to have the technical striking advantage and eventually open up a club-and-sub opportunity to choke out Ramirez, getting back in the win column.
Paul agrees, stating Moises is better everywhere and has seen every trick Ramirez might have. He notes Ramirez's Contender Series loss and lack of high-level experience. He will not bet Ramirez.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!