Gabriella Fernandes
"Gabi"Career Averages
Win Methods (3)
Loss Methods (3)
Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey O'Neill | 1 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 25 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 8 of 33 | 24% | 8 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey O'Neill | 1 | 25 of 66 | 37% | 25 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 8 of 33 | 24% | 8 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey O'Neill | 25 of 66 | 37% | 16 of 54 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 25 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 8 of 33 | 24% | 3 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casey O'Neill | 25 of 66 | 37% | 16 of 54 | 3 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 25 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 8 of 33 | 24% | 3 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo leans towards Gabriella Fernandes, citing her power and physicality, and Casey O'Neill's long layoff which might make her timid. He acknowledges Casey's volume and wrestling but thinks Gabriella's power could be the difference. He says it's not a hill he's willing to die on.
Big Brady leans toward Gabriella Fernandes to win by decision. He likes Casey O'Neill's volume and submission game but is concerned about her long layoff due to injuries and her durability. He thinks Fernandes is the better striker and more physical, and if O'Neill can't get the fight to the ground, Fernandes will win. He notes Fernandes' poor performance against Stoliarenko but believes she is better than that.
Cody believes O'Neill's grappling and volume will overwhelm Fernandes, who has poor takedown defense. He sees O'Neill as the better prospect and expects her to win.
Connor also picks O'Neill, trusting her to play her game. He notes that Fernandes is inconsistent and can be wrapped up by aggressive fighters. He acknowledges that O'Neill's striking is crude but her pace is reliable.
Daniel leans towards Fernandes due to her improved takedown defense, physicality, and activity, while O'Neill has had multiple layoffs. He sees it as close but favors Fernandes.
The host expects O'Neill to learn from past losses and crash the pocket more effectively, mixing in grappling at opportune moments. He thinks O'Neill's top control will be key, leading to either a submission or a decision win. He notes O'Neill's layoff and training camp changes but believes she can dictate the pace and grind out a win.
Paul picks Fernandes, citing her knockout power and O'Neill's inactivity. He has low conviction but thinks Fernandes can land a big shot.
The MMA Guru picks Gabriella Fernandes as a slight underdog, citing her momentum and physicality. He believes Fernandes has more power and damage advantage, while Casey O'Neill lacks power and relies on volume. He notes O'Neill's recent inactivity and cosmetic surgeries as potential distractions. He predicts Fernandes wins by decision.
Zane picks O'Neill because of her high output and ability to swarm, creating ugly clinches and dominant positions. He notes that Fernandes has been beaten by aggressive fighters who wrap her up, and O'Neill fits that mold. He also mentions that O'Neill's striking is ineffective but her pace wins rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 59 of 114 | 51% | 59 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 61 of 161 | 37% | 64 of 167 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:14 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 19 of 45 | 42% | 19 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 19 of 47 | 40% | 19 of 49 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 2 | Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 23 of 38 | 60% | 23 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 18 of 43 | 41% | 19 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 3 | Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 17 of 31 | 54% | 17 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 0 | 24 of 71 | 33% | 26 of 74 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriella Fernandes | 59 of 114 | 51% | 38 of 91 | 15 of 17 | 6 of 6 | 58 of 112 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 61 of 161 | 37% | 28 of 117 | 13 of 20 | 20 of 24 | 56 of 154 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriella Fernandes | 19 of 45 | 42% | 10 of 35 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 45 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 19 of 47 | 40% | 9 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 12 | 19 of 46 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabriella Fernandes | 23 of 38 | 60% | 14 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 23 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 18 of 43 | 41% | 9 of 32 | 1 of 3 | 8 of 8 | 18 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gabriella Fernandes | 17 of 31 | 54% | 14 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Julija Stoliarenko | 24 of 71 | 33% | 10 of 53 | 11 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 19 of 66 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (4)
Angelo picks Gabriella Fernandes, citing her powerful striking and decent jiu-jitsu. He notes that Julija Stoliarenko is a dangerous grappler but has sloppy striking and is either armbar or nothing. Angelo believes if Gabriella can defend takedowns, she will beat Julija up and potentially finish her. He started with low confidence but moved to medium confidence.
Big Brady is confident in Gabriella Fernandes, describing Julija Stoliarenko as the most one-dimensional fighter in the UFC with only an armbar threat. He notes Stoliarenko has no striking, no wrestling, and has been finished multiple times. Brady believes Fernandes will dominate on the feet and can also do damage on top if the fight goes to the ground. He predicts Fernandes will knock out Stoliarenko in the second round.
The host highlights Fernandes' striking advantage and physicality, expecting her to keep the fight standing and pick apart Stoliarenko from distance. He predicts a headkick knockout, showing confidence in a finish.
The MMA Guru picks Gabriella Fernandes, citing her recent win over Wang Cong and her solid jiu-jitsu. He believes Stoliarenko is a finish-or-be-finished fighter but Fernandes has the grappling to avoid submissions. He predicts a first or second round finish for Fernandes.
Nov 23, 2024
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 46 of 111 | 41% | 48 of 113 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wang Cong | 1 | 18 of 59 | 30% | 19 of 61 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 23 of 56 | 41% | 25 of 58 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wang Cong | 0 | 6 of 26 | 23% | 7 of 28 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 23 of 55 | 41% | 23 of 55 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Wang Cong | 1 | 12 of 33 | 36% | 12 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriella Fernandes | 46 of 111 | 41% | 15 of 66 | 21 of 32 | 10 of 13 | 46 of 111 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 18 of 59 | 30% | 13 of 50 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 18 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriella Fernandes | 23 of 56 | 41% | 7 of 30 | 12 of 19 | 4 of 7 | 23 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 6 of 26 | 23% | 5 of 22 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 3 | 6 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabriella Fernandes | 23 of 55 | 41% | 8 of 36 | 9 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Wang Cong | 12 of 33 | 36% | 8 of 28 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo is very confident in Wang Cong, citing her kickboxing background and power. He believes Fernandes will struggle with Wang's power and resort to desperate takedowns. He calls it one of his most confident picks on the card.
Big Brady picks Wang Cong to win by decision. He thinks Wang is the better striker and also has a sneaky path to victory via takedowns, as Fernandes can be taken down and controlled on the mat. Despite the massive -800 line, Brady expects Wang to get it done, likely on the feet or with grappling.
Cody agrees, calling Wang a legitimate prospect with world-class kickboxing. He notes that Fernandes has been taken down and outstruck in recent fights, and Wang's physicality in the clinch will be too much. He expects Wang to win big, possibly by knockout or even submission, as she continues to develop her grappling.
Connor also picks Wang, comparing her to a more athletic Yan Xiaonan with less experience. He notes that Fernandes is not a great grappler but a physical fighter, and Wang's athleticism and striking should prevail. Connor acknowledges that Wang's ground game could implode under pressure but thinks it's unlikely against Fernandes. He agrees the odds are too wide.
Daniel Vreeland picks Wang Cong despite the steep -800 line. He highlights her clean kickboxing, having beaten Valentina Shevchenko in a kickboxing match, and her well-rounded game including takedowns. He acknowledges Gabriella Fernandes' power and improving get-up game but sees a clear technique gap. He expects Wang Cong to pick her apart, though not necessarily with a highlight-reel KO.
James leans towards Wang Cong as a real prospect, but admits he hasn't done full tape study. He notes Wang's striking and thinks Fernandes is not a great fighter, but the -800 price is too high to bet. He may look for a decision or KO prop after further research.
Paul picks Wang Cong confidently, noting her elite striking and improving grappling. He points out that Fernandes is not a strong grappler and has been outmuscled in the clinch. He expects Wang to win by knockout, possibly early, and sees this as a showcase fight to build her up.
The MMA Guru picks Wang Cong confidently, citing her aura, power, KO ability, and kickboxing background. He mentions she knocked out Victoria Leonardo and beat Valentina Shevchenko in kickboxing. He acknowledges Gabriella Fernandes is strong and athletic but lost to Jazzy Decious and Theresa Bleda. He predicts a KO win for Wang Cong.
Zane picks Wang Cong, citing her superior striking speed, power, and form. He notes that Fernandes is a cumbersome striker who will likely get countered repeatedly. Zane also mentions that Wang showed composure when grappled in previous fights, which should help against Fernandes' physical but not elite grappling. However, he warns that Wang is untested and the odds are too wide.
Jun 15, 2024
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 169 of 323 | 52% | 186 of 345 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Carli Judice | 0 | 119 of 234 | 50% | 126 of 245 | 2 of 8 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 63 of 143 | 44% | 64 of 144 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Carli Judice | 0 | 43 of 91 | 47% | 44 of 92 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:27 | |
| 2 | Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 27 of 51 | 52% | 40 of 69 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Carli Judice | 0 | 41 of 67 | 61% | 45 of 73 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:52 | |
| 3 | Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 79 of 129 | 61% | 82 of 132 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Carli Judice | 0 | 35 of 76 | 46% | 37 of 80 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriella Fernandes | 169 of 323 | 52% | 110 of 251 | 42 of 55 | 17 of 17 | 149 of 297 | 20 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
| Carli Judice | 119 of 234 | 50% | 89 of 198 | 21 of 25 | 9 of 11 | 95 of 200 | 24 of 34 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gabriella Fernandes | 63 of 143 | 44% | 41 of 114 | 14 of 21 | 8 of 8 | 55 of 133 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Carli Judice | 43 of 91 | 47% | 36 of 81 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 34 of 77 | 9 of 14 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Gabriella Fernandes | 27 of 51 | 52% | 19 of 40 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 23 of 45 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Carli Judice | 41 of 67 | 61% | 32 of 58 | 7 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 28 of 51 | 13 of 16 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Gabriella Fernandes | 79 of 129 | 61% | 50 of 97 | 22 of 25 | 7 of 7 | 71 of 119 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Carli Judice | 35 of 76 | 46% | 21 of 59 | 9 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 33 of 72 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Gabriella but calls it a razor-thin fight that should be 50/50. He notes Gabriella is a powerful, technical striker but has poor takedown defense, though Carli is not a wrestler. He thinks Carli's volume and forward pressure could be effective, but Gabriella's power and experience should prevail. He advises caution after last week's underdog women wins.
Cody picks Gabriella Fernandes, arguing that she has been matched against wrestlers and spent most of her fights on her back, but against Judice, who is a brawler, she will have a chance to strike. He notes that Fernandes has cleaner striking and more power, while Judice has volume but may tire. Cody expects a competitive fight and thinks Fernandes can win a decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Gabriella Fernandes, noting her physicality and knockout power. He acknowledges her weakness against wrestlers but believes Carli Judice is not a takedown threat. He expects Fernandes to have the bigger moments and win a decision, while Judice may outland in volume but lacks impact.
Jacob picks Gabriella, believing this fight is tailor-made for her as a striker against someone who won't shoot takedowns. He notes Carli showed toughness in her Contender Series fight but is inexperienced. He thinks Gabriella is the cleaner, more powerful striker and should win, though Carli could steal a round.
Fernandes' power, explosiveness, and physicality will be the difference in the striking realm. Both have holes in grappling, but the fight will stay standing and Fernandes will land more damage to get the victory.
Paul picks Judice by default (CF do - 'when in doubt, CF do'), but admits he has no strong opinion. He notes that Judice showed high volume in her Contender Series fight and that Fernandes has not faced a volume striker. However, he is not confident and calls it a pass.
The MMA Guru struggles with this pick, admitting he did research but can't remember details. He notes Carli Judice is younger (25) and has a reach advantage (68 inches vs 66), and that she had a great war on the Contender Series. He mentions Gabriella Fernandes has no takedowns in her career and is 30, but his reasoning is flimsy and he ultimately picks Judice almost arbitrarily.
Jun 17, 2023
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tereza Bledá | 0 | 57 of 99 | 57% | 181 of 235 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 0 | 0 | 10:51 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 23 of 47 | 48% | 47 of 72 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tereza Bledá | 0 | 13 of 35 | 37% | 56 of 84 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 9 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Tereza Bledá | 0 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 38 of 47 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:29 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 16 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:10 | |
| 3 | Tereza Bledá | 0 | 30 of 43 | 69% | 87 of 104 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:20 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 15 of 30 | 50% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tereza Bledá | 57 of 99 | 57% | 38 of 70 | 12 of 18 | 7 of 11 | 17 of 56 | 7 of 7 | 33 of 36 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 23 of 47 | 48% | 11 of 34 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 7 | 22 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tereza Bledá | 13 of 35 | 37% | 5 of 21 | 3 of 7 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 29 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 6 of 13 | 46% | 1 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Tereza Bledá | 14 of 21 | 66% | 9 of 14 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 9 of 10 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Tereza Bledá | 30 of 43 | 69% | 24 of 35 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 22 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 15 of 30 | 50% | 10 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo is torn on this fight. He notes that Tereza Bledá has the grappling blueprint to win, but she is only 21 and could get overzealous. Gabriella Fernandes is a powerful striker and a plus 235 underdog, which feels wide. Angelo mentions a prop bet idea: if Jasmine wins, bet on Gabriella inside the distance/decision no action. He hasn't pulled the trigger yet and is waiting for props to drop.
Big Brady picks Tereza Bledá to win by first-round TKO. He notes that Fernandes is skilled on the feet with fast kicks and power, but has terrible takedown defense and ground game. Bledá can wrestle and grapple, and her ground and pound is dangerous. Brady recalls that Jasmine Jasudavicius almost finished Fernandes from crucifix, and Bledá is more dangerous than Jasudavicius. However, he worries about Bledá's cardio after she gassed in her UFC debut. If her cardio holds or she gets an early finish, she should win easily.
Cody picks Bledá but is not confident at the price. He notes she is very strong, can bulldoze into the clinch, and has a path to victory by pressing Fernandes against the cage and scoring takedowns. However, she is only 21, green, and has zero striking. He compares her to Miranda Maverick, who had all pre-fight advantages but none in the fight. He thinks the price is too high for a risky grappling-dependent fighter.
Connor picks Fernandes, noting that while both fighters are limited, Fernandes is more polished on the feet and has shown decent takedown defense. He worries about Bledá's gas tank and believes if Fernandes can avoid being taken down early, she can outwork Bledá over three rounds. Connor acknowledges Bledá's physical strength but thinks Fernandes's technique and patience will be the difference.
Daniel Levi leans toward Tereza Bledá, citing her takedown ability and top control. He notes Fernandes's poor takedown defense and get-up game. However, he is hesitant because Fernandes has dangerous striking and Bledá's top game may not be as good as Jasmine's. He expects Bledá to win via control but won't bet at the current price.
Bledá is far superior to Fernandes and will eventually get takedowns and grind her out. Fernandes is a striker who struggles off her back. Bledá's cardio is a concern but she should have an easier time corralling Fernandes than she did against Natalia Silva. Bledá wins inside the distance, likely by submission in round 2.
Paul is hesitant, noting that Bledá's path to victory is to muscle Fernandes against the cage and hold her there, which is risky and relies on judges appreciating cage control. He thinks the price is too high for such a one-dimensional approach. He picks Bledá but is not interested in betting.
The MMA Guru essentially flips a coin for this fight, admitting he has no logical breakdown. He notes Tereza Bledá is 21 with time to improve, and her losses to Jasmine Jasudavicius and Natalia Silva are not bad. He decides to pick Bledá after a failed coin flip, but with no confidence.
Zane picks Fernandes, citing her sharper striking and movement compared to Bledá's raw physicality. He notes that Bledá is young and strong but lacks technique, and Fernandes has the power to hurt her. Zane is concerned about Fernandes's grappling defense but believes she can stuff takedowns and let Bledá tire herself out. He expects Fernandes to win by decision or late TKO if she stays patient.
Feb 25, 2023
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 24 of 54 | 44% | 149 of 215 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 11:31 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 54 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 44 of 68 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:58 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 12 of 27 | 44% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 58 of 80 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 4:22 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 19 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 47 of 67 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:11 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 16 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 24 of 54 | 44% | 17 of 46 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 16 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 13 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 26 of 56 | 46% | 10 of 37 | 8 of 10 | 8 of 9 | 25 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 8 of 22 | 36% | 5 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 12 of 27 | 44% | 5 of 17 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 6 of 12 | 50% | 2 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 9 of 13 | 69% | 3 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 |
| Gabriella Fernandes | 5 of 16 | 31% | 2 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hermogenes (-125), Jasudavicius (+105)
Round 1
Keeping the prelims pushing forward, two flyweights will enter the cage as Jasudavicius (7-2, 1-1 UFC) collides with Fernandes (8-1, 0-0 UFC). Neither woman has ever been finished, so referee Chris Tognoni is in this for the potential long haul. Although the Brazilian fighter offers a clap of hands, Jasudavicius has no interest in meeting it. The newcomer comes out throwing feet, reaching Jasudavicius a few times with head kicks that collide off the guard but still have an impact. Fernandes scores a solid one-two that shakes up Jasudavicius, but the Canadian gathers her thoughts and plods forward. Jasudavicius scores a single right hand, only to be met with a speedy high kick. Circling on the outside, Fernandes picks at her foe with kicks and reaching punches, all while staying out of the way from most of the offense coming back her way. Fernandes dings the Canadian with a left hand, and she sinks another one in before Jasudavicius rushes forward in pursuit of a clinch. Jasudavicius secures a body lock and looks to take Fernandes for a ride, but the Brazilian fighter keeps her balance and muscles her way to remain standing. While Jasudavicius cannot ground her opponent on the first or second attempt, she doggedly continues to push for it until she drags Fernandes to the mat. Jasudavicius climbs into an awkward half-guard position to keep Fernandes pinned down, and she drops down short left hands to stave off any referee intervention. Fernandes scoots all the way to put her seat against the fence and push off the wall, and Jasudavicius steps over to get to the side and drop down strikes. Before she can unload, Fernandes ties her down with a reverse triangle, keeping her there until the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Fernandes
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Round 2
Jasudavicius looks to push the pace to begin the round, only to get stood straight up when absorbing a fierce barrage of punches and high kicks to drive her back and loosen her top. Jasudavicius resets it against the fence, and she times a clean right hand down the pipe to rock Fernandes. The Brazilian woman blinks the stars out and powers Jasudavicius around in the clinch, but she gets bullied back to the wall before long. Like the last round, Jasudavicius calmly works until securing the takedown, and she lands in half guard to flatten Fernandes out. Jasudavicius covers her foe’s mouth and uses shoulder pressure to fluster Fernandes, all while staving off guard recovery attempts from the Brazilian. Jasudavicius slides into side control and grinds her elbow or palm on the face and staying heavy as possible. Fernandes bucks and kicks, but Jasudavicius manages to work a knee up to isolate Fernandes’ right arm and set up a crucifix. Jasudavicius unleashes a storm of short but pummeling elbows on Fernandes’ forehead, doing so until Fernandes partially recovers position. Jasudavicius gets the crucifix again and fastens her legs around Fernandes’ left arm to lock it down further, where she can open up with more elbows on the dome. Each elbow is not individually damaging, but they add up fast and force Tognoni to take a very close look at the action. Fernandes explodes frantically, forcing Jasudavicius to stand up right as the round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-8 Jasudavicius
Round 3
The ladies start off the final frame swinging ferociously. Fernandes lands with heavy power, getting Jasudavicius’ respect early, but not slowing her down. Jasudavicius plows forward to try to trip Fernandes down, but Fernandes circles on the outside and pops her with a right hand. The Canadian is a woman possessed when going for a takedown, and she scoops Fernandes up with a single and gingerly deposits her on the floor. Fernandes defends with an arm under the neck but no serious guillotine choke, and she sits up against the fence to try to stand up. The Brazilian leans back to try to cinch up the guillotine, and Jasudavicius stays completely calm and punches the side a few times without too much concern for the choke. Jasudavicius moves to side control on the opposite side while Fernandes hangs on, and the Canadian has a possible Von Preux choke should she wish to secure it. Fernandes lets the grip go, and Jasudavicius slides right to half guard to keep the Brazilian flat on her back. This positional control, with light ground-and-pound with a left hand every so often, allows Jasudavicius to peel precious seconds off the clock and virtually guarantee herself a victorious evening. Fernandes defends from most of the ground strikes, keeping her face from eating unnecessary strikes, and she bucks her hips and pushes her feet off the chest to push Jasudavicius back to her feet. Jasudavicius turns the corner and drops down with a surge of powerful hammerfists, and she sways past an upkick and lands hammerfists right to the bell. When time expires, Jasudavicius graciously lifts her former opponent back to her feet, and she runs off triumphantly with her hands in the air.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Jasudavicius)
Edwin Ayala scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-27 Jasudavicius)
Jack Dankoff scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (30-26 Jasudavicius)
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Gabriella Fernandes via Unanimous Decision (30-26, 30-26, 30-26)
Expert Picks (2)
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Fernandes. He emphasizes that Jasudavicius needs to develop a more aggressive mindset to walk through punches and get to her clinch, but she hasn't shown that. He notes that Jasudavicius was put off by Silva's speed and couldn't time her punches, and that she needs a 'Julianna Peña' mentality. He also mentions that Jasudavicius's other loss to Alyssa Kraus is further evidence of her getting scared off her game.
Zane picks Fernandes despite acknowledging Jasudavicius has a clear wrestling advantage. He notes that Jasudavicius is a slow, ponderous striker with awkward form, and that Fernandes manages distance well and has good output. He believes Jasudavicius will struggle to close the distance and get to her top game, and that Fernandes is solid enough on the ground to survive. He also points out that Jasudavicius has a history of being put off by opponents who fire back, as seen against Natalia Silva.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!