C.J. Vergara
Career Averages
Win Methods (3)
Loss Methods (5)
Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Édgar Cháirez | 0 | 8 of 27 | 29% | 8 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Édgar Cháirez | 0 | 8 of 27 | 29% | 8 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:16 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Édgar Cháirez | 8 of 27 | 29% | 8 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| C.J. Vergara | 6 of 13 | 46% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 8 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Édgar Cháirez | 8 of 27 | 29% | 8 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| C.J. Vergara | 6 of 13 | 46% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 8 | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Chairez (-278), Vergara (+225)
Round 1
It is unfortunate that in the year 2025, the UFC is still depositing a match between two fighters with losing records in the promotion this high on its billing. It originally was a bit lower, but when Pyfer vs. Gastelum fell off, this flyweight encounter shifted up to this slot. If there is a silver lining, it is that one of these two will hold the coveted .500 mark in the Octagon at night’s end. Whether that is Chairez (11-6, 1 NC; 1-2, 1 NC UFC) or Vergara (12-6-1, 3-4 UFC), referee Marc Goddard will be the first to know. A respectful glove touch starts things off, and Vergara comes out firing with a one-two that is off the mark. Chairez gets behind his jab, take full advantage of his long reach, and they trade low kicks. Chairez just misses with an uppercut, but his jab is already reddening the face of Vergara. Vergara comes up short on his own offense, and Chairez is able to pick at him from his preferred distance. Jabs continue popping Vergara in the face until calf kicks fly his direction, reddening and welting it in a hurry. Chairez lines up a jab and loops a left hook behind it, flooring Vergara for a moment. Vergara gets back up and tries to escape, but Chairez is on him and backs him to the wall with swinging fists. Vergara drops to his knees, and rather than punch his man out,
the Mexican leaps on Vergara’s back and wraps up a rear-naked choke. The submission is almost instantly tight, but it does not slide underneath the American’s chin and is settled firmly on his jaw. Chairez, destined on keeping his 100% finish rate intact, crushes the face crank with all his might. The sheer horsepower from the squeeze is enough for Vergara to surrender
, and Goddard recognizes the tap and gets between them. The victor, completely overcome with emotion, goes to his corner and then drops to his knees in tears, just now processing what he accomplished in front of thousands of screaming fans. Chairez has the building in the palm of his hands, yet he cannot stop weeping.
The Official Result
Edgar Chairez def. C.J. Vergara R1 2:30 via Submission (Face Crank)
Expert Picks (2)
Connor picks Cháirez despite acknowledging his flaws, such as dropping for guillotines and compromising his range. He believes Cháirez is the more likely damage dealer and that Vergara's athletic limitations will be a wall. However, he is not particularly confident due to Cháirez's inconsistency.
Zane picks Cháirez, noting that Vergara's boxing and wrestling game could be effective but that Cháirez's long straight punches and willingness to work in close make him dangerous. He thinks Vergara may get caught stepping back. Zane is not fully confident due to Cháirez's tendency to make bad decisions.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramazan Temirov | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| C.J. Vergara | 3 | 23 of 55 | 41% | 23 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ramazan Temirov | 0 | 4 of 16 | 25% | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| C.J. Vergara | 3 | 23 of 55 | 41% | 23 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramazan Temirov | 4 of 16 | 25% | 1 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| C.J. Vergara | 23 of 55 | 41% | 18 of 46 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ramazan Temirov | 4 of 16 | 25% | 1 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| C.J. Vergara | 23 of 55 | 41% | 18 of 46 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Expert Picks (9)
Angelo picks Ramazan Temirov, noting his lightning-fast striking and power. He acknowledges that UFC debuts are tricky, but Temirov seems different with confidence and experience pushing through adversity. Angelo believes Temirov's speed and power will be too much for Vergara, especially if he connects like Daniel Lacerda did. He plans to wait for prop bets before wagering.
Big Brady picks Ramazan Temirov to win by first-round knockout. He notes Temirov is a knockout artist with power, but Vergara is durable and has never been knocked out. However, Vergara was almost knocked out by Daniel da Silva, so Brady thinks Temirov can hurt him. He worries about Temirov's cardio if the fight goes long, but expects early big shots to get the finish. He suggests this could be a good live bet spot if Temirov doesn't finish in the first.
Connor agrees with Zane, noting that Vergara is a very tough test but Temirov's athleticism and ability to land shocking shots give him the edge. He points out that Vergara is slow and not dynamic, and Temirov's scrambling ability makes him hard to hold down. Connor thinks the odds are too wide in Temirov's favor.
This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.
Daniel is very high on Temirov's aggressive, spinning attack style and killer instinct, but he worries about a potential debut stun. He notes that Vergara is durable and well-rounded but not exceptional. Daniel believes if Temirov fights with his usual confidence, he will win impressively, possibly even becoming the first to knock out Vergara in the UFC.
Temirov is a much better version of Vergara, both leaning on striking. Temirov is more explosive, faster, and better with footwork, cutting angles to crash the pocket. He should land big strikes and find a knockout within the first two rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Ramazan Temirov, praising his finishing potential, explosiveness, and activity. He dismisses C.J. Vergara as 'dog [__]' and notes Vergara's losses and lack of talent. He expects Temirov to win by decision, as Vergara may put up a fight and take a round, but Temirov's youth and experience edge prevail.
This fight was not discussed in the transcript. No picks were made.
Zane thinks Temirov can win if he pushes for the finish, as he is an athletic freak with fast, accurate strikes. However, he notes Temirov has a poor understanding of pace and often wastes time circling. Zane acknowledges Vergara is a tough, persistent pressure fighter who could shut Temirov out if he's lackadaisical.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asu Almabayev | 0 | 29 of 53 | 54% | 66 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 44 of 77 | 57% | 85 of 132 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 0 | 0 | 9:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asu Almabayev | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 13 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 23 of 34 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:14 | |
| 2 | Asu Almabayev | 0 | 8 of 12 | 66% | 25 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 12 of 21 | 57% | 36 of 55 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 | |
| 3 | Asu Almabayev | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 28 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 26 of 43 | 3 of 6 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:43 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asu Almabayev | 29 of 53 | 54% | 13 of 32 | 14 of 17 | 2 of 4 | 22 of 46 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 |
| C.J. Vergara | 44 of 77 | 57% | 22 of 53 | 9 of 11 | 13 of 13 | 23 of 51 | 8 of 10 | 13 of 16 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Asu Almabayev | 7 of 14 | 50% | 3 of 9 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 11 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| C.J. Vergara | 16 of 25 | 64% | 7 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Asu Almabayev | 8 of 12 | 66% | 5 of 8 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| C.J. Vergara | 12 of 21 | 57% | 10 of 19 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 10 | |
| 3 | Asu Almabayev | 14 of 27 | 51% | 5 of 15 | 9 of 11 | 0 of 1 | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| C.J. Vergara | 16 of 31 | 51% | 5 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 9 of 23 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Almabaev (-535), Vergara (+400)
Round 1
For the third time in his last six fights, Vergara (12-4-1, 3-2 UFC) failed to make weight. He surrenders 30% of his purse Almabaev (18-2, 1-0 UFC), who has not engaged in a Zhekpe Zhek match unlike fellow flyweight countryman Bekzat Almakhan. While Vergara will be putting his two-fight win streak on the line, the 30-year-old from Kazakhstan has won his last 14 outings dating back to 2017. The two will be joined in the cage by referee Keith Peterson, who starts the nonsense-free fight as the two men touch gloves. Almabaev says hello with a vicious calf kick, dropping Vergara to his knees immediately. The American climbs back up, and he is met with a body kick and a right hand. Vergara keeps his hands extremely low, perhaps to prepare for a takedown entry, and Almabaev circles on the outside before spinning to kick him in the chest with a back kick. Vergara finally strikes at the one-minute mark, landing a single leg kick, and Almabaev answers with one to the ribs before shooting for a takedown. Vergara sprawls to defend it, and Almabaev re-enters in pursuit of a single-leg takedown. This time, the Kazakhstani fighter gets it, but only for a moment. Vergara climbs back up, and Almabaev stays pinned to him and manages to get a hook around the side while Vergara leans on the fencing. Vergara hand-fights to prevent another entry, and Almabaev turns the corner and drags Vergara to his knee. Almabaev hammers the thigh with a few knees before lifting Vergara up and slinging him to the mat. Vergara springs back up, and he stops a second high-amplitude attempt from his opponent. Almabaev lets Vergara turn, so that he can lift him up and slam him down once more. Vergara is able to return to his feet before long, and Almabaev remains tight goes to change levels. Vergara spins him around briefly, only to get warned for grabbing the fence. Vergara lands a knee to force a break, and Almabaev chases after him and drills him in the midsection with a spin kick. Vergara opens up with a big uppercut that gets Almabaev’s attention, and Almabaev responds with a shot in the open cage and succeeds in using a double-leg takedown to ground him. Almabaev moves to side control, and as Vergara turns, Almabaev jumps into full mount. Almabaev floats over to maintain top position as Vergara scrambles, and he ends the round on top.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Round 2
Almabaev advances out of his corner to move to the middle of the Octagon, and Vergara stays on the outer edge picking away with low kicks. Almabaev spins with a kick that lands in the chest, and he dances back before Vergara can reach him. Vergara lands a body kick, and he reaches out with a right hand. Vergara leaves his hands by his side, and he raises one every so often to strike with. Almabaev takes a right hand, and he grabs hold of a single, runs the pipe and drags Vergara to the mat. Almabaev lands in guard and starts smacking Vergara with hammerfists, staying busy with ground-and-pound while working on a guard pass. Vergara slaps Almabaev in the side of the head with a palm, and Almabaev grinds on him and lands occasional strikes. Vergara looks for elbows off his back, and he keeps the Kazakhstani fighter in his guard. Almabaev slides to half guard and presses Vergara down to pursue an arm-triangle choke. Vergara sits up, and he gets his arm controlled like a seat belt and slugged in the face. Vergara turns to his side and stands, and Almabaev lifts him up and slams him to the canvas, where he lands in immediate back control. Vergara twists, and Almabaev flows and follows him to continue connecting with some offense. Vergara explodes but is unable to get off of his back, and he tries to scoot towards the wall. Almabaev lays into him with several unanswered right hands, until Vergara flattens himself out. Almabaev falls off the back when Vergara stands, and Vergara ducks a spinning back fist and blocks a head kick before the horn blares.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev
Round 3
Almabaev moves right to the center of the cage to initiate his offense in the final round, and Vergara stands before him and is ready to trade. Almabaev spins with a strike, and Vergara ducks it and counters with a big right hand. Almabaev shoots down low for a takedown, and Vergara answers with a knee that connects cleanly. Almabaev bounces back up, chases after Vergara and kicks him in the side. Vergara squares up and looks to unload with power punches, and that is when Almabaev shoots for a takedown and wrenches the Texan down to the mat. Almabaev circles around to take the back, and he gets both hooks in almost instantly. Vergara times a spin to escape the position, and the two get back to striking range. Almabaev whiffs on a spin, and Vergara sits down on a body kick. Almabaev aims a right up top, spins with a wheel kick that bangs into the side of the head, and he shoots. Vergara stuffs it, and he gets beaned with a right hand that wobbles him. Almabaev follows him and knees him in the head, and Vergara fires back to make Almabaev change his approach. Almabaev goes for another takedown when Vergara kicks high, and he succeeds in grounding Vergara temporarily. Vergara climbs back up, and Almabaev doggedly pursues a single. Vergara attempts a standing submission to threaten or force a break, and Almabaev steps back and spins with a back kick that does not land cleanly. Vergara loads up on heavy punches, and Almabaev retreats and resets. Vergara lands with a strike or two, but he throws so hard that Almabaev takes him down as the commentary booth groans in frustration as they sound like they are rooting for one fighter over the other rather than calling the action objectively. Vergara gets back up, and Almabaev moves around to take the back and drag Vergara from behind. Almabaev sets up a rear-naked choke, and Vergara hand-fights and keeps his neck free from danger to ride out the position and end the fight.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev (30-27 Almabaev)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev (30-27 Almabaev)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Almabaev (30-27 Almabaev)
The Official Result
Asu Almabaev def. C.J. Vergara via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo is confident in Asu Almabayev, citing his wild striking, strong grappling, and cardio. He notes that if Tatu Riera could take down Vergara three times, Almabayev can too. He sees Almabayev as safe to parlay, contrasting him with point fighters he's wary of.
Big Brady picks Asu Almabayev to win by third-round submission. He notes that Almabayev has good grappling and control, and that Vergara has been taken down and submitted in the past. He expects Almabayev to get the fight to the mat and eventually find a submission over 15 minutes.
Cody thinks Almabayev's wrestling will be too much for Vergara, who has poor takedown defense. He expects Almabayev to chain wrestle and control the fight on the ground, possibly securing a submission.
Daniel picks Almabayev, believing he will dictate the pace and win by decision or submission. He notes Vergara is durable and well-rounded but not special anywhere. Daniel was initially low on Almabayev but was impressed by his performance against Ode' Osbourne.
Almabayev is a hot prospect who is very solid all around, but his best work is when he gets fights to the mat. He has impressive chain wrestling, using body locks and trips to drag opponents down. Vergara is a decent striker but lacks the power to keep Almabayev at bay, and his ground game is a weakness. I expect Almabayev to drag this fight to the ground, dominate from top position, and secure another submission victory.
Paul agrees, noting that Vergara has been taken down repeatedly and submitted in the past. He thinks Almabayev's wrestling and submission skills will lead to a finish.
The MMA Guru is confident in Asu Almabayev due to his grappling advantage and C.J. Vergara's unimpressive UFC run. He notes Vergara has struggled against lower-level opponents and was dominated by Tatsuya Taira and Ode' Osbourne. He highlights Almabayev's dominant grappling win over Osbourne and predicts a first-round submission.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 109 of 181 | 60% | 109 of 181 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 0 | 88 of 195 | 45% | 89 of 196 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 0 | 20 of 40 | 50% | 20 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 45 of 71 | 63% | 45 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 0 | 30 of 64 | 46% | 31 of 65 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 3 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 44 of 77 | 57% | 44 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 0 | 38 of 91 | 41% | 38 of 91 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Vergara | 109 of 181 | 60% | 43 of 102 | 45 of 57 | 21 of 22 | 104 of 176 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 88 of 195 | 45% | 54 of 154 | 19 of 25 | 15 of 16 | 87 of 194 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Vergara | 20 of 33 | 60% | 4 of 14 | 10 of 13 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 20 of 40 | 50% | 8 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 10 | 20 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | C.J. Vergara | 45 of 71 | 63% | 14 of 34 | 21 of 26 | 10 of 11 | 41 of 67 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 30 of 64 | 46% | 19 of 50 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 29 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | C.J. Vergara | 44 of 77 | 57% | 25 of 54 | 14 of 18 | 5 of 5 | 43 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Vinicius Salvador | 38 of 91 | 41% | 27 of 78 | 10 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 38 of 91 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo is very confident in C.J. Vergara, calling him as close to a lock as you can get. He highlights Vergara's incredible chin, pressure, power, and solid takedown defense. He plans to bet on him but is monitoring the line movement for the best value.
Big Brady picks C.J. Vergara to win by late third-round knockout. He questions Salvador's legitimacy after a terrible debut, citing poor striking, takedown defense, and fight IQ. He believes Vergara has durability and cardio advantages, especially at elevation, and expects Vergara to weather an early storm and finish a fading Salvador late.
Cody likes Vergara's significant strikes over 57.5 on PrizePicks, expecting a striking match that goes into the third round. He notes Vergara's volume in previous fights (71 against Rodriguez) and believes he can reach that number. He doesn't have a strong side on the moneyline but leans Vergara for the prop.
James sides with Salvador as a dog, believing he has cleaner hands and more power than Vergara. He notes Vergara is durable but gets hit often and has been hurt in multiple fights. He thinks Salvador can have big moments and possibly knock Vergara down, and that the line should be closer to a pick'em.
Salvador is a crafty striker who will have an easier time hitting Vergara than he did against Altamirano. Vergara's grappling isn't good enough to ground Salvador effectively. Salvador's output and damage will earn him a decision. I'm taking Salvador by decision.
Paul picks Salvador at plus money, citing his power and size advantage. He notes Vergara's lack of takedown threat and tendency to stay in the pocket, which plays into Salvador's hands. He worries about Salvador's cardio at altitude but believes his power can get the job done early. He calls it a 'dog or pass' but leans Salvador.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 83 of 144 | 57% | 98 of 164 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:54 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 2 | 48 of 117 | 41% | 51 of 120 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0:40 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 24 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 2 | 44 of 103 | 42% | 46 of 105 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:40 | |
| 2 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 63 of 106 | 59% | 74 of 122 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 2:51 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 0 | 4 of 14 | 28% | 5 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Vergara | 83 of 144 | 57% | 57 of 103 | 16 of 29 | 10 of 12 | 34 of 65 | 0 of 2 | 49 of 77 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 48 of 117 | 41% | 32 of 94 | 11 of 17 | 5 of 6 | 42 of 106 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Vergara | 20 of 38 | 52% | 8 of 21 | 4 of 8 | 8 of 9 | 20 of 36 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 44 of 103 | 42% | 30 of 84 | 9 of 13 | 5 of 6 | 38 of 92 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 4 | |
| 2 | C.J. Vergara | 63 of 106 | 59% | 49 of 82 | 12 of 21 | 2 of 3 | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 49 of 77 |
| Daniel Lacerda | 4 of 14 | 28% | 2 of 10 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo is very confident in Vergara, calling him one of his most confident picks. He notes that Vergara is a high-pressure fighter who stays busy and is tough. He thinks da Silva is dangerous early but fades, and Vergara's pressure will be too much. He recommends betting 'fight doesn't go to decision' rather than a moneyline.
Big Brady picks C.J. Vergara by first-round knockout, calling Daniel da Silva not UFC caliber. He notes da Silva's poor cardio (2.5 minutes of gas), lack of durability, and tendency to fold under adversity. Brady believes Vergara's pressure and toughness will overwhelm da Silva, who has been finished in all three UFC losses. He expects a quick finish as soon as da Silva faces any adversity.
Cody picks Vergara, calling the line bad and favoring Vergara's heart and cardio. He notes da Silva is explosive but fades after the first round, while Vergara is tenacious and breaks opponents down. He suggests Vergara inside the distance and likes the over 1.5 rounds on PrizePicks (over 5 minutes).
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Vergara without hesitation. He describes Lacerda as a 'flyweight Eric Silva' who is dangerous in the first minute but then falls apart. Vergara is a proven tough guy who hangs around and doesn't get blown out, making him a reliable pick against a fighter with no regulation or longevity in his style.
Jacob picks Vergara, agreeing that he should win with toughness. He notes that da Silva is dangerous early but fades, and Vergara's toughness should carry him. However, he feels da Silva is 'due' for a win and might pull off an upset, but still picks Vergara.
The host picks Daniel da Silva as a big underdog, believing his speed, explosiveness, and power advantage will be too much for Vergara. He notes da Silva is fighting for his job and expects a calculated but reckless style. He predicts a first-round finish, possibly by submission, and likes the prop 'fight doesn't go to decision' and under 1.5 rounds.
The Guru picks Vergara, heavily criticizing da Silva's fight IQ and defensive mistakes. He believes Vergara is more reliable and can tough out danger. He predicts a second or third round TKO.
Zane picks C.J. Vergara because he sees Daniel Lacerda as a self-destructive fighter who explodes and fades quickly, while Vergara is tough, reliable, and consistently puts forward pressure. Vergara may be slow and not athletic, but he is durable and will be in Lacerda's face the whole time. Zane notes that Lacerda has imploded in every UFC fight so far, and Vergara is exactly the kind of grinder who can survive the initial storm and take over.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatsuro Taira | 0 | 22 of 36 | 61% | 31 of 46 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 2 | 0 | 6:19 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 19 of 30 | 63% | 29 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:36 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatsuro Taira | 0 | 13 of 22 | 59% | 21 of 31 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:30 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:31 | |
| 2 | Tatsuro Taira | 0 | 9 of 14 | 64% | 10 of 15 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 2 | 0 | 2:49 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 21 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatsuro Taira | 22 of 36 | 61% | 14 of 28 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
| C.J. Vergara | 19 of 30 | 63% | 13 of 23 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 23 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tatsuro Taira | 13 of 22 | 59% | 10 of 19 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 6 |
| C.J. Vergara | 8 of 13 | 61% | 4 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | |
| 2 | Tatsuro Taira | 9 of 14 | 64% | 4 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| C.J. Vergara | 11 of 17 | 64% | 9 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Taira (-240), Vergara (+200)
Round 1
For the second time in three UFC appearances, Vergara (10-3-1, 1-1 UFC) has come in well over the flyweight limit. Ahead of his pairing with the undefeated Taira (11-0, 1-0 UFC), Vergara clocked in at 129 ready pounds. While collecting 30% of Vergara’s paycheck, Japan’s Taira will try to keep his spotless record intact against a heavier foe. The Octagon ranger for this now-129-pound catchweight contest will be referee Kerry Hatley, and the two fighters slowly move towards one another with no intention of a glove touch. Vergara looks to close the distance early, sticking out a few jabs, and Taira stays light on his feet to respond with a quick high kick. Vergara lumbers towards the longer man, and he walks right into a left hook. As Vergara keeps plodding forward, Taira grabs hold of him, lifts him in the air and slams him down while letting out a yelp. The Japanese fighter lands in side control, and he grips tightly to squeeze his shoulder down on Vergara’s head. Vergara bucks a few times, but he only ends up getting elbowed for his work. Taira attempts to move to mount, and as he does, Vergara times a kick-off to stop the guard pass. Taira keeps moving, and he works his way to north-south position while Vergara traps his foe’s head between his legs with an inverted scissor choke of sorts. Taira shrugs it off and shifts to side control, and he glides into mount. The American times this perfectly to spin Taira around, and he finds himself on top. Taira does not accept this, kicking Vergara off of him and returning them to the feet. They trade kicks, and Taira shoots for a takedown as Vergara is backed up to the wall. Taira jumps immediately to full mount, but this is a short-lived positional maneuver as Vergara pulls him back and threatens with a guillotine choke. This is not the best plan for him, as Taira uses that against him and crushes down with a Von Preux choke. Vergara grimaces and manages to release his grip, and Taira slides to the side and prepares to move to mount again. Vergara skillfully turns Taira over, and he uses a modified arm-triangle choke to keep Taira honest. The unbeaten fighter grits out of the choke and stands up, where he promptly tees off on his man with punches and a knee. The round ends.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Taira
Round 2
Vergara darts out of his corner, but he cannot find his target to start off the round. Taira drifts out of harm’s way and plans a leg kick so heavily that Vergara falls over to the mat. Taira allows him to stand so that he can lay into him with another nasty calf kick. Taira lets his hands go with a one-two, and he surprises Vergara with his left shin. Vergara attempts to respond with a looping left hand, and Taira changes levels and nearly walks into a knee. The American keeps his balance and backs off to score a few punches, and Taira responds with a knee strike and a takedown effort. Vergara backs off to the cage in an effort to keep himself upright, but Taira brilliantly snakes around the side to trip out Vergara from behind, where he lands on his back while claiming back control. Vergara fights off a body triangle from one side, and as soon as he moves to break it, Taira shifts his lefts to the other side. While Vergara attempts to escape, Taira latches on to a rear-naked choke, but it is on the chin. Taira nevertheless squeezes with all his might, hoping for a face crank if he cannot sneak the forearm beneath the chin. The Japanese fighter releases the submission so as to not burn his arms out from attempting an unsecured choke, and he switches to his other side with another rear-naked choke. Vergara keeps his chin down, surviving another choke, and he prepares to escape.
As his opponent takes a breath, Taira transitions right into an armbar, and Vergara stands up. The arm of the heavier fighter is still very much trapped in the armbar, and he considers lifting Taira up to slam him out but he does not have the horsepower to do so. The elbow hyperextends as Taira straightens the arm out and then some, and Vergara promptly taps out to escape permanent damage
. That’s one more win for the still-unbeaten Taira, who now celebrates exactly half of his pro wins by submission.
The Official Result
Tatsuro Taira def. C.J. Vergara R2 4:19 via Submission (Armbar)
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks C.J. Vergara as an underdog, noting that he has takedown defense, pressure, and is a dangerous striker. He is surprised by the 3-to-1 odds favoring Taira, as Vergara only has one close loss in the UFC. Angelo likes Vergara's chances and placed a half-unit bet at +205 (now +200). He acknowledges some nervousness about backing an underdog at these odds but is confident in his pick.
Big Brady leans toward Tatsuro Taira to win by submission in the second round. He praises Taira's elite grappling and back-takes, but has concerns about his low striking volume and wrestling. He notes that Vergara throws high volume and could win if the fight stays on the feet. Brady says he's not touching the -240 price but picks Taira to get a takedown and finish with his ground game.
Cody picks Taira by submission, noting his slick grappling and ability to take the back. He points out Vergara exposes his back when getting up and makes mistakes. He likes the submission prop at +350 and thinks Taira will find a finish.
Taira has a similar striking style to Odie Osborne, using length and kicks, but mixes in solid jiu-jitsu and back takes. Vergara is tough and has pressure, but Taira should control the distance and find takedowns. The host is not fully sold on Taira's potential at -230 but expects him to win by decision. He likes Taira but not enough to bet the moneyline.
Paul picks Taira, expecting him to take Vergara's back and control him. He compares Taira's grappling to Ryan Hall or Aljamain Sterling, noting his ability to body triangle and neutralize opponents. He thinks Taira will dominate but is unsure if he will submit or just control.
The MMA Guru picks Tatsuro Taira, believing he has overcome debut jitters and will make significant improvements as a 22-year-old. He notes that CJ Vergara is underrated but gives up positional control and leaves openings in scrambles. He predicts Taira will find the back and choke out Vergara in the second round via rear-naked choke.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 81 of 143 | 56% | 93 of 156 | 2 of 7 | 28% | 1 | 2 | 3:14 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 71 of 127 | 55% | 155 of 221 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 48 of 88 | 54% | 52 of 92 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:54 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 27 of 51 | 52% | 54 of 80 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 13 of 17 | 76% | 20 of 24 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 0:09 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 26 of 39 | 66% | 65 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:58 | |
| 3 | C.J. Vergara | 0 | 20 of 38 | 52% | 21 of 40 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 1 | 2:11 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 0 | 18 of 37 | 48% | 36 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C.J. Vergara | 81 of 143 | 56% | 39 of 91 | 32 of 40 | 10 of 12 | 70 of 131 | 6 of 7 | 5 of 5 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 71 of 127 | 55% | 42 of 89 | 18 of 25 | 11 of 13 | 45 of 92 | 7 of 10 | 19 of 25 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | C.J. Vergara | 48 of 88 | 54% | 20 of 52 | 18 of 24 | 10 of 12 | 44 of 84 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 27 of 51 | 52% | 12 of 31 | 8 of 11 | 7 of 9 | 25 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | C.J. Vergara | 13 of 17 | 76% | 8 of 11 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 9 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 26 of 39 | 66% | 21 of 32 | 3 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 24 | |
| 3 | C.J. Vergara | 20 of 38 | 52% | 11 of 28 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 |
| Kleydson Rodrigues | 18 of 37 | 48% | 9 of 26 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 13 of 30 | 4 of 6 | 1 of 1 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks C.J. Vergara despite the bookies favoring Kleydson Rodrigues. He believes Vergara can get inside Rodrigues' looping punches and beat him to the punch. He notes that Vergara is a beast in the clinch but worries about Rodrigues' takedowns from the clinch. He references Vergara's striking output in his UFC debut.
Big Brady picks Kleydson Rodrigues to win by decision. He is impressed by Rodrigues' striking volume, mixing kicks to the legs, body, and head. Vergara is tough and had a close fight with Ode Osbourne, but Rodrigues is a much tougher matchup on the feet. Rodrigues has good get-up game if taken down. Brady thinks Rodrigues has more tools and will outwork Vergara over three rounds, though the -280 price is steep. He expects a decision win for Rodrigues.
Cody picks Kleydson Rodrigues, calling him a promising prospect with excellent technique. He notes Rodrigues' knees, elbows, and cardio, and that he improves as the fight goes on. Cody contrasts Vergara's straight-line movement and poor footwork. He believes Rodrigues will outwork Vergara and likely win a decision.
Daniel Levi picks Kleydson Rodrigues confidently, though he does not bet due to the high price. He likes Rodrigues' athleticism, kicks, and takedown defense, and thinks he has a much higher ceiling than Vergara. He acknowledges Vergara's toughness and cardio but expects Rodrigues to win. He does not bet at -350.
The host is very high on Kleydson Rodrigues, calling him a future top 5-7 flyweight. He praises his striking and jiu-jitsu, though notes cardio is questionable. He dismisses C.J. Vergara as a solid striker but not UFC caliber, pointing to Vergara's close decisions and draws on the regional scene. He expects Rodrigues to win via decision, as Vergara is durable. He might include Rodrigues in a parlay.
Paul picks Kleydson Rodrigues, impressed by his defensive capabilities and well-rounded game. He notes that Rodrigues barely got hit on the Contender Series and has good striking defense. Paul believes Vergara is limited, throwing looping left hooks, and that Rodrigues will cover the price tag. He acknowledges the debut nerves but is confident.
The MMA Guru picks Kleydson Rodrigues, praising his unorthodox style and power. He believes Rodrigues' movement and kicks will keep Vergara guessing, and that Vergara may become overwhelmed. He predicts Rodrigues will win the first two rounds, possibly scoring a knockdown, and win 29-28. He notes Rodrigues is a big, powerful flyweight at 26 years old.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ode' Osbourne | 0 | 93 of 165 | 56% | 122 of 197 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:41 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 79 of 194 | 40% | 89 of 208 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ode' Osbourne | 0 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 24 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 34 of 75 | 45% | 34 of 75 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 | |
| 2 | Ode' Osbourne | 0 | 28 of 48 | 58% | 28 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 26 of 71 | 36% | 31 of 78 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:17 | |
| 3 | Ode' Osbourne | 0 | 41 of 65 | 63% | 70 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:40 |
| C.J. Vergara | 0 | 19 of 48 | 39% | 24 of 55 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ode' Osbourne | 93 of 165 | 56% | 35 of 99 | 51 of 59 | 7 of 7 | 68 of 129 | 16 of 22 | 9 of 14 |
| C.J. Vergara | 79 of 194 | 40% | 61 of 168 | 15 of 23 | 3 of 3 | 77 of 191 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ode' Osbourne | 24 of 52 | 46% | 10 of 35 | 10 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 49 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| C.J. Vergara | 34 of 75 | 45% | 23 of 62 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 34 of 75 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Ode' Osbourne | 28 of 48 | 58% | 11 of 30 | 14 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 28 of 46 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| C.J. Vergara | 26 of 71 | 36% | 21 of 63 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 69 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Ode' Osbourne | 41 of 65 | 63% | 14 of 34 | 27 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 34 | 14 of 17 | 9 of 14 |
| C.J. Vergara | 19 of 48 | 39% | 17 of 43 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
For the second week in a row, the UFC is offering a pay-per-view-level card to its fans, but unlike last week, this one comes with a $70 price tag. Fourteen fights will stuff the bill in Madison Square Garden, with a pair of championship rematches on tap in New York City to end the night. We kick things off with what should be a fast-paced, violent affair that was once scheduled at flyweight, but Vergara (9-2-1, 0-0 UFC) missed weight by 1.4 pounds ahead of his debut against Osbourne (9-4, 1 NC; 1-2 UFC). The relative UFC vet pays it no mind as he elects to touch gloves while powerful referee Mike Beltran watches on, and let the festivities begin! Osbourne reaches out with a right hand to find his range, swatting a few times out as Vergara looks to close in on him. Both men keep very side stances and stand in front of one another swinging hands, until Osbourne jumps in the air with a flying knee. Vergara is able to get out of the way, and land an inside leg kick on the way back. Osbourne sets up a right hand counter as Vergara appears to need to jump forward to attack, and he preemptively counters Vergara on the way in. A big left hand from Osbourne pounds into the chin of his opponent, but the newcomer wears it well and defends a level change in the center of the cage. Osbourne flashes out a one-two as Vergara is struggling to get his bearings, not quite able to find the distance to land flush. Vergara does pop an advancing Osbourne with a right hand, but it is one-and-done as Osbourne is well out of the way in time for any additional strikes. They clash together as they are playing the range-finding game still, and a solid left hand from Vergara makes Osbourne nod at him. He paws with another to get Osbourne’s attention, and this makes “The Jamaican Sensation” bite down on his mouthpiece and throw hammers. Another big jump knee from Osbourne collides off the guard, and he stops with a kick to the knee after he lands. Vergara tries to defend against a low single, and he grabs the fence to get his balance, which draws loud admonishment from the mustached referee. He is able to remain upright and get separation, where he chips at the longer legs of Osbourne with a few calf kicks. Vergara pressures his opponent with forward movement, and they land single strikes to decent effect. Osbourne snaps Vergara’s head back, and Vergara comes back with a surprising head kick that is barely blocked in time. The close round ends after that exchange.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne
Round 2
The fighters meet in the center of the cage, and Osbourne is there to fling up a head kick that does not land. He does, however, get off a right hand on the ear, and Vergara shakes it off. Vergara dips down with several punches to the chest, and a right hand from the three-fight UFC vet draws swelling on the left eye of Vergara. There is a clinch that leads nearly to a body lock, but it is pushed away before anything can come from it. Vergara goes back to targeting the lower half of his opponent’s torso, and Osbourne stands firm and clubs him with a stern right hand. Vergara is able to walk through it and come back with a left hook, only for him to be countered by the longer reach of his opponent. This frustrates Vergara enough to lead into a furious striking exchange, with defense out the window as they throw hammers. Both men absorb some shots and keep on trading until they take a minute to catch their breath. Osbourne lands with a few lefts from afar to open the nose up of the newcome, and blood trickles down Vergara’s chest. Although Osbourne hits a takedown, the scrambling of Vergara allows him to not be grounded for long. Osbourne walks through a body kick to land a few punches, and he gets Vergara to backpedal as he is aiming strikes. “The Jamaican Sensation” sticks and moves, eating a single punch every so often, but his volume is much higher. Two punches to the body from Vergara lead into an open-handed slap, and Vergara’s body shots are successfully connecting when he lets them go. Osbourne backs off and lines up a one-two, and busts Vergara up a little more as another such combination lands. Vergara lands a jab and chains it into a head kick, but Osbourne pushes through it to bowl Vergara over and take Vergara’s back. Osbourne lands a few punches in this quasi-back control until the round concludes.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Osbourne
Round 3
Meeting in the middle to start off the last round, Vergara throws first with a head kick that is narrowly blocked in the nick of time. Sensing he might be down on the scorecards, Vergara starts loading up on shots, with looping hooks and big power punches. Vergara looses a heavy body kick, and Osbourne clocks him with a right hand to back him away. Vergara does not let him off the hook, swarming him with punches and bullying Osbourne into a clinch to knee him repeatedly. Osbourne backs off as Vergara is pressing the action aggressively, and his hands drop as he shoots in for a takedown. Vergara staves it off, lands a few punches, and then stops another takedown try with ease. Vergara targets a kick to the body, and he steps in with a knee to the liver. The knees keep coming until Osbourne pushes him away, and Osbourne may be gassing but he is still throwing hands. The punches appear to be more arm punches, and Vergara is swinging for the fences. A knee from Vergara makes his opponent attempt a takedown possibly in desperation, and Vergara throws him to his back so that he can climb on top. In his opponent’s closed guard, Vergara starts landing some punches, but the tight guard of Osbourne is holding him from doing much damage. Vergara continues to land ground-and-pound, doing enough to stay in this position, and he keeps Beltran at bay by nailing Osbourne with elbows. Osbourne scoots his way back to the fence, and this is when Vergara steps over to half guard. Seconds tick off the clock as Vergara lands unanswered shots, and time expires while Vergara is smacking his opponent in the body.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vergara (29-28 Osbourne)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Vergara (29-28 Osbourne)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vergara (29-28 Osbourne)
The Official Result
Ode Osbourne def. C.J. Vergara via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (8)
Angelo picks Ode' Osbourne, citing his power edge, versatility, and size advantage at 125 lbs. He believes Vergara's forward pressure and boxing-heavy style will play into Osbourne's counter-striking and range control. However, he notes concern about Osbourne's recent knockout just two months ago, which may affect his chin. He also mentions that Osbourne has switched camps to Syndicate MMA and seems more focused.
Big Brady picks Ode' Osbourne to win by first-round submission. He notes Osbourne's reach advantage and wrestling potential, though Osbourne hasn't used takedowns much in the UFC. He believes if Osbourne implements a wrestling-heavy game plan, he can make it look easy, but if he stands and strikes, it could be risky. Brady sees Vergara as vulnerable on the ground and expects Osbourne to get him down and submit him early.
Cody picks Vergara as a dog, citing Osbourne's history of fading after the first round. He notes Vergara's finishing ability in later rounds and durability. He suggests live betting if Osbourne slows down.
Daniel Levi picks Ode' Osbourne, citing his experience in big fights and reach advantage. He notes that Osbourne has fought on Conor McGregor cards and has been in there with tough competition. Levi acknowledges that C.J. Vergara is a talented dog with a bright future, but believes Osbourne's seasoning and the pressure of a Madison Square Garden debut favor him. He expects a close fight where Osbourne digs deep.
Jacob agrees with Angelo, picking Ode' Osbourne. He highlights Osbourne's power at 125 lbs and his improved camp at Syndicate MMA. He worries about Vergara's takedowns, as Osbourne is a good grappler but not a wrestler, and could end up on his back. However, he believes Osbourne's striking advantage and the positive camp change will lead to a win.
The host leans Osbourne due to his striking from the outside and sneaky choke game. He expects Osbourne to ground Vergara and look for a submission, noting Vergara's recent submission loss. He likes the under 2.5 rounds and Osbourne's submission prop at +285. He has Osbourne parlayed with something else on the card.
Paul does not make a clear pick, calling it a pass. He notes Osbourne's talent but worries about his cardio. He suggests live betting Vergara if Osbourne slows down.
The Guru picks C.J. Vergara as the underdog, citing Osbourne's recent flying knee KO loss just three months prior, which he believes is too quick a turnaround. He notes Vergara's momentum from a KO win on the Contender Series and his aggressive style with powerful knees. The Guru also questions Osbourne's weight cut to flyweight and his durability, predicting Vergara will land big knees in the clinch and possibly finish with body shots.
Rocked him then subbed him.