UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2

Angelo picks Kamaru Usman, citing his development of knockout power, improved striking, and proven ability to win wars. He notes that the first fight was competitive and that Usman has since shown he can come back from being dropped. He believes Covington cannot win by stoppage and that Usman's power is a constant threat. He thinks the odds are too wide but still picks Usman.

Big Brady picks Kamaru Usman to win by fourth-round knockout. He notes Usman's improved striking power, as seen in his knockouts of Burns and Masvidal, while Covington is a decision fighter without power. Brady thinks Covington's volume will be competitive early, but Usman's power and technical striking will take over as the fight goes on. He expects a similar fight to the first, but with Usman finishing Covington late.

Cody thinks the line is wrong but agrees Usman should win. He notes Covington's pace and durability but believes Usman's cardio and confidence grow as the fight goes on, pulling away late. He expects a close fight and suggests live betting Covington if the line moves.

Daniel Levi picks Kamaru Usman to defend his belt, citing that Usman is slightly better everywhere and that the first fight was a classic war. He notes that Usman has improved his striking and has knockout power, but acknowledges Covington's cardio and heart. Levi is not laying -350 but believes Usman will be slightly ahead and win a close decision. He also mentions that Covington has been training at MMA Masters and may have improved, but still favors Usman.

Jacob picks Colby Covington, believing he will make adjustments and use his wrestling and volume to win a razor-thin decision. He thinks Covington needs to trust his cardio, stay in Usman's face, and avoid loading up on power shots. He notes that Covington was winning the first fight on his scorecard. He has a parlay with Covington and Chandler.

The host picks Usman by fourth-round TKO, citing his power and improvements. He thinks the fight will be close but Usman's power is the difference. He considers the over 3.5 rounds and Usman by KO at +180.

Paul believes Usman wins about 70-75% of the time, citing Usman's improvements with Whitman, knockout of Masvidal, and durability. He thinks the line is close to accurate but sees value on Covington at plus money. He bet over 3.5 rounds at -135, expecting a competitive fight that goes late.

The Guru picks Kamaru Usman by fourth-round KO, predicting he will target Covington's body early, exploiting a weakness found in their first fight. He notes Usman's activity and mental edge from the previous win, while Covington has been inactive. The Guru expects Covington to win the first round but Usman to take over with body shots and eventually finish with a big right hand and ground strikes.

Angelo picks Zhang Weili, believing she will make adjustments after the first fight. He thinks Weili will protect her chin, push the pace, and use her boxing to outwork Rose. He notes that Rose's win came from a single head kick and that there wasn't much to analyze from the short fight. He sees Weili's power and determination as key factors.

Big Brady picks Zhang Weili to win by decision. He notes Zhang's power, volume, and cardio advantage, while Rose may slow down as the fight goes on. Brady thinks the first few rounds will be competitive, but Zhang's pressure and durability will wear on Rose. He also mentions Zhang's move to Fight Ready and her takedown potential, though Rose is dangerous on the ground. He expects Zhang to win down the stretch, possibly with a late finish.

Cody agrees with Paul, citing Rose's precision striking and ability to find openings. He notes Zhang's durability but believes Rose's technique and submission game give her the edge. He compares it to Rose's first win over Joanna and sees value in the champion as an underdog.

Daniel Levi picks Rose Namajunas to defend her belt, expressing that the line is disrespectful to Rose at plus 105. He believes Rose is the better striker with more power and setups, and that Zhang Weili may be in denial about the first fight. Levi expects adjustments from Zhang, such as calf kicks, but thinks Rose's toughness and experience in rematches (3-0) will carry her. He notes that Rose is undefeated at Madison Square Garden and that Zhang's cardio advantage may be overstated.

Jacob picks Rose Namajunas, saying he will never bet against her again. He believes Weili's new focus on wrestling with Henry Cejudo could backfire, as Rose has excellent jiu-jitsu. He has a moneyline bet and a submission prop on Rose. He thinks Rose has the 'it factor' and thrives in big moments.

The host leans Zhang by decision, expecting her to use takedowns to sway judges in close rounds. He thinks the fight goes 25 minutes and likes the over 4.5 rounds at -125. He notes Zhang's new camp but limited time to adjust.

Paul picks Rose as a live underdog, noting she knocked Zhang out in the first fight and is being undervalued. He questions Zhang's wrestling improvements with Cejudo and believes Rose's precision striking and submission threat are key. He sees the line as too easy to pass up.

The Guru picks Rose Namajunas, citing her youth, reach advantage, and grappling edge. He believes Zhang's mindset will be affected by her first KO loss and the crowd booing her. The Guru predicts a third-round rear-naked choke submission, noting Namajunas' ability to bounce back and her training with Trevor Wittman.

Angelo picks Frankie Edgar, but hesitantly. He believes Edgar's wrestling, footwork, and cardio are superior, and that if Edgar implements a wrestling game plan, he wins. However, he worries about Edgar's chin after recent knockouts. He thinks Vera is overrated and that Edgar can win a decision if he avoids getting caught. He also likes the over on the 1.5 round line.

Big Brady picks Marlon Vera to win by third-round knockout. He notes Vera's durability and power, while Frankie Edgar is 40 years old with diminishing durability and has been knocked out three times recently. Brady thinks Edgar could win on paper with takedowns, but at this stage, Vera's youth and toughness will prevail. He expects Vera to drop the first round but build into the fight and finish Edgar late.

Cody agrees Edgar is a live underdog, citing Vera's slow starts and poor takedown defense. He worries about Edgar's age (40) and recent KO losses but thinks Edgar's wrestling and pace could win close rounds. He notes the 'Frankie effect' in New York.

Daniel Levi picks Marlon Vera to win, citing Vera's finishing ability, youth (28 vs 40), and improvement under Jason Parillo. He expects Vera to land more damage and potentially get a finish, but warns that Frankie Edgar may try to stall and clinch. Levi notes that Vera has a bad habit of starting slow but should pull away in the later rounds as Edgar's durability wanes. He also mentions that Vera has an insane chin and is still improving.

Jacob picks Marlon Vera, citing his youth (28) and upward trajectory. He believes Vera's length and jiu-jitsu will be problematic for Edgar, and that Edgar's chin is a major liability. He thinks Vera can win by knockout or decision, and that Edgar's only chance is an ugly decision via wrestling and leg kicks. He is confident in Vera.

The host bets Edgar at +148, believing his pressure, takedowns, and volume will outwork Vera. He doubts Vera's one-punch KO power and thinks Edgar's chin will hold. He expects Edgar to win a decision.

Paul leans Edgar, believing his wrestling and pace can win close rounds. He notes Vera's slow starts and poor takedown defense (69%), which Edgar can exploit. He also mentions the 'Frankie effect' in New York, where judges favor the veteran. He bet fight goes to decision at -150.

The Guru picks Marlon Vera by decision, predicting a brutal beatdown. He expects Edgar to win the first round with grappling, but Vera will take over with body shots, elbows, and range striking, eventually wearing Edgar down. The Guru notes Edgar's age and recent KO loss, and believes Vera's size and reach advantage will be key. He predicts a 29-27 unanimous decision.

Angelo picks Shane Burgos, but acknowledges Billy Quarantillo as a live underdog. He notes Burgos's high volume, body work, and chin, but also his high strike absorption rate. He believes Burgos's takedown defense (89%) will be tested, but that Burgos has shown he can get back up. He thinks the longer the fight goes, the more Burgos's body shots will pay off.

Big Brady picks Shane Burgos to win by decision. He notes Burgos's striking volume and power, while Quarantillo is hittable and may struggle to get takedowns. Brady acknowledges Burgos's durability and takedown defense, but also his recent knockout loss and short turnaround. He thinks Quarantillo's wrestling won't be effective against Burgos, and the fight will be a war with Burgos winning on the feet.

Cody picks Burgos, citing his superior striking and takedown defense. He believes Burgos will keep the fight standing, chip away, and win a decision. He notes Quarantillo's cardio and toughness but doubts his power to hurt Burgos. He recommends Burgos by decision at +175.

Daniel Levi picks Billy Quarantillo as a plus 170 dog, fading Shane Burgos because Burgos fights with his hands down and hasn't learned his lesson. Levi believes Quarantillo is a dog who will capitalize on that weakness, and that Burgos's last fight against Edson Barboza was uncomfortable to watch. He notes that Quarantillo leveled up after the Gavin Tucker loss and ran through Gabriel Benitez. Levi expects a dogfight where Quarantillo thrives.

Jacob picks Shane Burgos, emphasizing his grappling skills as a black belt and his body shots. He believes Burgos is no slouch on the ground and can handle Quarantillo's grappling. He thinks the fight could turn into a grappling match, but Burgos is well-rounded. He likes Burgos all the way, though he is unsure about the DraftKings price.

The host picks Burgos by decision, believing his technical striking and movement will outclass Quarantillo's pressure. He notes Burgos' chin and durability should hold up. He considered Burgos' decision prop at +200 but thinks it's a sweat.

Paul agrees with Cody, seeing Burgos as the better striker. He notes Quarantillo needs to get the fight to the mat to win, but Burgos's takedown defense should keep it standing. He doesn't love the price but thinks Burgos wins.

The Guru picks Shane Burgos, citing his reach advantage and improved grappling defense. He believes Burgos will pick Quarantillo apart at range with body shots and leg kicks, and that Quarantillo lacks the power to KO Burgos. The Guru predicts a 29-28 decision, with Burgos winning two rounds clearly.

Angelo picks Michael Chandler, but hesitantly. He believes Chandler's wrestling threat and power give him an edge, and that Gaethje's chin will eventually give out. He notes that Gaethje gets hit a lot and that Chandler can take him down. However, he worries about Chandler's chin and his tendency to brawl. He thinks if Chandler wrestles, he wins; if he stands and trades, it's dangerous.

Big Brady picks Justin Gaethje to win by second-round knockout. He notes Gaethje's better cardio and durability, while Chandler fades after the first round and has a questionable chin. Brady thinks Chandler will be live early with power and potential submissions, but if it gets past the first round, Gaethje will take over and knock him out. He expects a stand-up war with Gaethje finishing Chandler in the second.

Cody strongly favors Gaethje, citing his legendary durability and Chandler's history of fading and getting knocked out. He highlights Gaethje's leg kicks targeting Chandler's weak calves and believes Chandler needs a quick KO to win. He expects Gaethje to get the job done, likely by TKO.

Daniel Levi leans toward Justin Gaethje as a pure pick but considers the fight a dog-or-pass situation at the current line. He acknowledges Gaethje's leg kicks and durability, but notes that Chandler is explosive early and could knock Gaethje out. Levi mentions that Gaethje has been rocked in many fights and that Chandler's cardio is a concern if the fight extends. He says the opener was closer to -140, and at -225 he disagrees with the value, but picks Gaethje to win.

Jacob is extremely confident in Michael Chandler, calling him the lock of the week. He believes Chandler will use his wrestling to dominate Gaethje, who is useless on the ground. He notes that Gaethje's wins are overrated and that Chandler has a clear path via takedowns. He also mentions that Chandler is a Missouri wrestler who coaches wrestling. He has a parlay with Chandler and Colby Covington.

The host picks Gaethje by second-round TKO, citing his pace, leg kicks, and improving boxing. He expects Chandler's blitzing style to fade. He prefers the 'fight doesn't go to decision' prop at -300/-350 as a safer play.

Paul leans Gaethje based on durability, believing Gaethje's chin and cardio are superior to Chandler's. He notes Chandler's history of slowing down and getting knocked out in later rounds. He suggests Gaethje inside the distance at -115, preferring the ITD prop over KO only.

The Guru picks Michael Chandler, believing Gaethje's wrestling deficiencies will be exposed. He notes Gaethje's poor performance against Khabib and his inactivity. The Guru thinks Chandler's chain wrestling, body shots, and power will be too much, and predicts a rear-naked choke submission in round one or two. He also mentions Chandler is a big underdog, implying value.

Angelo picks Alex Pereira, citing his high-level kickboxing, power, and takedown defense vouched for by Dan. He notes that Pereira has been training with Glover Teixeira and that Dan felt his takedown defense firsthand. He believes Michailidis's looping strikes will leave openings for Pereira to exploit. He expects Pereira to win via knockout or decision.

Big Brady picks Alex Pereira to win by first-round knockout. He notes Pereira's phenomenal striking and power, while Michailidis has been knocked out four times and has poor cardio. Brady acknowledges Michailidis could win by submission if he gets Pereira down, but believes Pereira's takedown defense is suspect but will likely knock Michailidis out early. He will not lay the juice on Pereira due to the submission risk.

Cody picks Pereira, emphasizing his high-level kickboxing and power. He notes Michailidis's lack of wrestling and tendency to stand, which is dangerous against Pereira. He warns about Pereira's inexperience in MMA but believes the UFC set this up for a highlight-reel KO.

Daniel Levi picks Alex Pereira as one of the locks of the card, expecting a vicious first-round knockout. He highlights Pereira's elite kickboxing credentials, including two wins over Israel Adesanya, and his devastating left hook. Levi notes that Michailidis is aggressive early but fades, and that Pereira has been training with Glover Teixeira for years to patch his grappling holes. He believes Michailidis will try to take Pereira down but will get knocked out if he stands.

Jacob agrees with Angelo, picking Alex Pereira. He mentions Pereira's knockout of Israel Adesanya in kickboxing and notes that Michailidis did not look impressive against KB Buller. He believes Pereira's striking will be too much, though he warns that Pereira might get overconfident with his hands down. He expects Pereira to dominate.

The host is confident Pereira wins by first-round knockout, citing his power, reach advantage, and counter-striking. He expects Michailidis to walk into a knockout. He bet Pereira inside the distance at +110.

Paul expects Pereira to win by KO, noting Michailidis's tendency to stand and trade, which plays into Pereira's strengths. He mentions Pereira's kickboxing pedigree and power, and doubts Michailidis's wrestling ability. He sees this as a showcase fight for Pereira.

The Guru picks Andreas Michailidis, believing his grappling will be the difference. He notes Michailidis' takedown and ground control against KB Bhullar, and criticizes Pereira's lack of consistent MMA training, having focused on kickboxing. The Guru predicts a first-round rear-naked choke submission for Michailidis.

Angelo picks Bobby Green, citing his superior striking, takedown defense, and recent impressive performance against Rafael Fiziev. He believes Al Iaquinta is coming back after a two-year layoff and may not be fully prepared, as he was feuding with the UFC and became a real estate agent. He expects a three-round striking match with Green winning a decision.

Big Brady picks Bobby Green to win by decision, despite concerns about judges not favoring Green. He notes Green's high volume and striking advantage, while Al Iaquinta has a two-year layoff and questionable motivation. Brady points out that Green outlanded his last opponent and has been in close fights, but Iaquinta hasn't fought in two years and looked poor in his last outing. He expects Green to outwork Iaquinta over three rounds.

Cody picks Iaquinta as a dog, citing Green's tendency to lose close decisions due to arrogance and poor judge perception. He notes Iaquinta's technical striking and local advantage in New York. He expects a close fight going to decision and favors Iaquinta.

Daniel Levi picks Bobby Green via decision, citing Green's activity and output advantage. He notes that Al Iaquinta has been inactive and may have one foot out the door, while Green is still hungry. Levi expects Green to outwork Iaquinta with volume, but warns that the fight could be close and that New York judges might give a split decision. He mentions that Green's last two losses were to younger, better fighters, and that Iaquinta has hit a wall in development.

Jacob picks Bobby Green and goes further, predicting a finish. He notes Green's jiu-jitsu skills and sees potential for a submission if Iaquinta shoots sloppy takedowns. He points to prop bets for submission wins at high odds. He believes Green will dominate regardless of whether it goes to decision.

The host picks Green by decision, noting Iaquinta's inactivity and one-foot-out approach. He expects Green's striking and veteran savvy to win rounds. He prefers the decision prop at -110/-120 over the moneyline.

Paul leans Green but refuses to bet him at -180, citing Green's history of close fights and poor betting value. He doesn't trust Iaquinta's motivation and layoff. He picks Green but advises passing the fight.

The Guru picks Bobby Green (King Green), arguing he is underrated and still hungry, while Al Iaquinta may lack motivation. He notes Green's close fights with top opponents and believes he will outwork Iaquinta with volume, kicks, and jabs. The Guru predicts a dominant decision, possibly 30-26 with a 10-8 round in the third.

Angelo picks Phil Hawes, highlighting his wrestling, power, and improved cardio. He notes that Hawes turned down a short-notice fight earlier, showing he takes his career seriously. He believes Hawes should win by using his wrestling to control Curtis, who is a welterweight moving up. He also mentions that Curtis has poor takedown defense and fades against wrestlers.

Cody picks Curtis as a dog, citing his excellent cardio, technical boxing, and defensive wrestling. He notes Hawes is a fast starter who tires, and Curtis specializes in taking opponents into deep waters. He expects Curtis to win by late TKO, possibly round 3.

Daniel Levi picks Phil Hawes to win, stating that Hawes is on a different level than Chris Curtis. He notes that Hawes has knockout power, D1 wrestling, and has improved significantly since his early losses. Levi believes Curtis's only path to victory is a lucky knockout, and that Hawes can win by decision or knockout. He mentions that Curtis is a welterweight moving up and that historically, Curtis loses to UFC-caliber opponents.

Jacob picks Phil Hawes, emphasizing that Curtis has awful takedown defense and is a pure boxer. He urges Hawes to wrestle rather than strike, as Curtis has real power. He believes Hawes will take Curtis down and get a TKO finish in the first round. He also likes Hawes in DraftKings for takedowns.

The host picks Hawes to win by decision, but he is not confident enough to bet him at -320. He notes Hawes gets hurt in fights and Curtis has knockout power. He considers a small sprinkle on Curtis round 3 at +1800-2500.

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Curtis as a dog. He mentions Curtis's story and motivation, and believes Hawes is vulnerable if the fight goes past the first round. He also likes Curtis round 3 as a prop.

The Guru picks Phil Hawes, citing his size, reach, and power advantages over Chris Curtis, who is moving up from welterweight on short notice. He notes Hawes' KO wins and believes Curtis is not ready for this matchup. The Guru predicts a first-round KO for Hawes.

Angelo picks Edmen Shahbazyan, despite acknowledging that Imavov has a clear grappling path to victory. He notes Shahbazyan's lethal striking and improved takedown defense at American Kickboxing Academy. He questions Imavov's takedown accuracy (22%) and believes Shahbazyan can keep the fight standing and land a knockout. He also mentions he might grab Shahbazyan at plus money.

Big Brady picks Nassourdine Imavov to win by third-round knockout. He notes Imavov's volume, power, and cardio advantage, while Shahbazyan has a poor gas tank and slows down after the first round. Brady acknowledges Shahbazyan's early power and chance to knock Imavov out, but believes Imavov has more paths to victory and will take over as the fight goes on.

Cody picks Imavov, citing his improvements and recent KO win over Heinisch. He notes Shahbazyan's cardio issues and suspect takedown defense. He believes Imavov's experience and coaching at Fight Factory Paris give him the edge. He expects Imavov to win inside the distance.

Daniel Levi picks Nassourdine Imavov to win a gritty decision, citing Imavov's proven toughness and ability to dig deep. He notes that Shahbazyan is dangerous early but tends to fade, and that Imavov has better cardio and durability. Levi mentions that Shahbazyan has been knocked out by top competition and may have quit in him, while Imavov has shown he can come back from losing rounds. He also notes that Imavov has good movement and counter-striking.

Jacob picks Imavov, citing his competition level and grappling advantage. He notes that Imavov has fought tough opponents and has a clear path via takedowns. However, he acknowledges Shahbazyan's striking threat and says he would stay away from betting on this fight. He believes Imavov's grappling will be the difference.

The host likes Imavov's cardio advantage and striking at range. He expects Shahbazyan to fade in the later rounds, allowing Imavov to pull away. He targets Imavov inside the distance, specifically round 3, and notes he will bet if Imavov becomes the underdog.

Paul picks Shahbazyan, believing he has more power and is the better striker. He notes Imavov is not a wrestler despite his name, and Shahbazyan's youth and improvements should help. He thinks Imavov's takedown defense won't be tested enough.

The Guru picks Nassourdine Imavov, praising his cardio, body work, solid chin, and reach advantage. He notes Imavov's strong third-round ability and believes he will break down Shahbazyan with body shots and leg kicks, eventually getting a TKO in the third round. He also mentions Shahbazyan's tendency to gas out.

Angelo picks Ian Garry, citing his crazy hand speed, fantastic footwork, and the hype around him. He believes Garry's speed will be a step ahead of Jordan Williams, who has a 1-to-1 striking differential. He acknowledges the fight is closer than the odds suggest because Williams has grappling ability, but thinks Garry's speed will be the difference. He also notes the over on the 1.5 round line as a potential play.

Big Brady is high on Ian Garry, calling him well-rounded with great striking, takedown defense, and grappling. He notes Garry's jab and volume will be key, while Jordan Williams is hittable and has poor cardio. Brady expects Garry to finish Williams late, possibly by head kick, as Williams has been finished three times at 170 pounds. He sees the first round as the most dangerous for Garry but thinks he'll take over.

Cody picks Garry, praising his striking, clinch work, and finishing ability. He notes Williams is slower at 170 and lacks durability. He warns about prospects but believes Garry's talent and training at Sanford MMA will prevail.

Daniel Levi picks Ian Garry to win, but says he wouldn't lay -400 due to the debut factor. He notes that Jordan Williams is much better at 185 than 170, and that cutting to 170 drastically affects his durability. Levi believes Garry is a stud with impressive wins over Jack Grant and Rostem Akman, but warns that debuts at Madison Square Garden can be tough. He expects Garry to win but sees value on Williams if he were at 185.

Jacob picks Ian Garry but expresses hesitation, calling the fight a potential trap. He notes Garry's youth (23) and raw striking, with a chin-up style that could get him caught. However, he believes Garry's camp at Sanford MMA and potential wrestling-heavy game plan will secure the win. He would not pay the -350 odds or the 9,500 DraftKings price.

The host is very high on Garry, citing his striking, takedown disguises, and offensive ground game. He expects Garry to submit Williams, noting Williams' poor cardio and recent submission loss to Mickey Gall. He likes Garry's submission prop at +450-500 and considers him a parlay piece.

Paul picks Garry, seeing him as a strong prospect with good striking and grappling. He notes Williams's struggles at 170 and lack of power. He expects Garry to win, though he warns about prospects adjusting to the UFC.

The Guru is confident in Ian Garry, highlighting his well-rounded skills, cardio, and training at Sanford MMA with top welterweights. He notes Garry's KO ability and head movement, and criticizes Jordan Williams for being inconsistent and getting knocked down by Mickey Gall. The Guru predicts a first-round TKO for Garry.

Angelo picks Chris Barnett, citing his personal familiarity with Barnett from his time managing fighters in XFC. He describes Barnett as incredibly athletic and dynamic despite his appearance, with real power and surprising speed. He believes Villante is a middleweight who doesn't take his career seriously, and that Barnett will win via his diverse striking and power. He has a moneyline bet on Barnett.

Big Brady picks Chris Barnett to win by decision, citing Barnett's cardio advantage over Gian Villante, who has notoriously poor stamina. He notes Villante has looked horrible at heavyweight, gassing out and even tapping to a non-existent submission. Barnett is undersized but can go 15 minutes, while Villante slows down drastically. Brady wants to stay away from this low-level fight but leans Barnett.

Cody picks Barnett, emphasizing Villante's history of losing as a favorite and his retirement announcement. He notes Barnett's size and athleticism. He expects Villante to find a way to lose, making Barnett a live dog.

Daniel Levi picks Chris Barnett, going against the grain. He criticizes Gian Villante's tendency to mess up fights, citing the Maurice Green loss and getting choked out. Levi notes that Barnett is explosive and has knockout power, but also has been knocked out by lower-level guys. He says it's a fight between two big guys swinging, and he trusts Barnett more than Villante, who he feels is unreliable.

Jacob agrees with Angelo, picking Chris Barnett. He notes that Barnett is the better athlete and that Villante's only path to victory is to make the fight boring. He believes the UFC is giving Barnett a showcase fight, and expects Barnett to throw spinning attacks and find a finish. He also mentions that Barnett can be found at plus money on BetOnline, which he took advantage of.

The host leans Villante due to a grappling edge and the retirement motivation, but he is not confident. He expects the fight to go to decision and advises against betting on it. He thinks Villante can take Barnett down and control him, but both have cardio issues.

Paul picks Barnett, citing Villante's retirement announcement and history of underperforming as a favorite. He notes Barnett's athleticism and size advantage. He expects a sloppy fight but thinks Barnett's motivation gives him the edge.

The Guru picks Chris Barnett, praising his taekwondo and stand-up skills despite his appearance. He criticizes Gian Villante's lack of conditioning and commitment, noting Villante's poor performances. The Guru believes Barnett has takedown defense and power, predicting a first-round KO, possibly via a wheel kick or spinning back kick to the body.

Angelo picks Dustin Jacoby, a high-level kickboxer with good power and volume. He notes Jacoby's leg kicks and technical striking, and believes his composure and technique will overcome John Allan's wrestling. He acknowledges Jacoby's takedown defense is not great but points to his draw against Kudalaba where he was taken down nine times yet still performed well on the feet. He expects a decision win.

Big Brady is very hesitant on this fight, calling it a complete pass for betting. He notes Jacoby has a striking advantage but poor takedown defense, while Allan has a wrestling background but has been submitted multiple times. Brady picks Allan as a dog, expecting him to get takedowns and win a greasy decision, but admits he has very little confidence in the pick.

Cody picks Jacoby but with low confidence due to short notice and cardio concerns. He notes Jacoby's striking edge but worries about Allan's wrestling. He suggests passing or live betting.

Daniel Levi picks Dustin Jacoby, citing his high-level kickboxing and improved MMA game. He notes that Jacoby's jab and low kicks are effective, and that John Allan was dropped by a jiu-jitsu guy (Roman Dolidze) and was hesitant on the feet. Levi expects Jacoby to win by decision or finish, as he has fought many similar opponents in kickboxing. He mentions that Jacoby is always in shape and has a good camp.

Jacob agrees with Angelo, picking Dustin Jacoby. He emphasizes that Jacoby is a 3-to-1 favorite despite taking the fight on short notice, which usually hurts odds. He believes if this were a full camp fight, Jacoby would be a 5-to-1 favorite. He suggests using Jacoby in a parlay to mitigate the high moneyline odds. He also notes John Allan's 'steroid nipples' as a potential factor.

The host is confident Jacoby wins, citing his cardio, striking from the outside, and ability to get back to his feet after takedowns. He expects Jacoby to win a dominant decision, though he notes Allen is durable. He considers Jacoby a good parlay piece despite the high price.

Paul leans Jacoby but is wary of the short notice and Jacoby's inconsistent cardio. He notes Jacoby's striking advantage but worries about takedowns. He wants to see weigh-ins before committing.

The Guru picks Dustin Jacoby (referred to as Alexa Kamur), believing he should have beaten Nikolai Negumereanu. He notes Jacoby's solid chin, cardio, and fundamental soundness, training at Stipe Miocic's gym. He criticizes John Allan's performance against Roman Dolidze, especially his cardio issues. The Guru predicts a 29-28 decision win for Jacoby.

Angelo picks Bruno Souza, the counter-striker with a karate style, to weather Baghdasaryan's early storm and win a decision. He notes Souza's timing, takedowns, submissions, and champion experience. However, he admits he is not confident enough to place a moneyline bet, as Baghdasaryan's power and forward pressure are real threats. He sees this as a clash of styles where Souza's matador approach could work.

Big Brady is high on Melsik Baghdasaryan, praising his striking and power. He notes Baghdasaryan's takedown defense and get-up game are solid, and he doesn't think Bruno Souza will pose a threat on the feet. Brady watched four of Souza's fights and was unimpressed, calling him a low-volume, kick-heavy fighter who doesn't go for takedowns. He predicts Baghdasaryan will knock Souza out, as the line could be even wider.

Cody picks Baghdasaryan, citing his power and finishing ability. He notes Souza's hittable karate style and lack of power. He expects Baghdasaryan to catch Souza and KO him inside the distance.

Daniel Levi picks Melsik Baghdasaryan, favoring his Muay Thai over Bruno Souza's karate style. He notes that Baghdasaryan is a K-1 striker with over 100 kickboxing matches, and that his left kick and straight left are powerful. Levi acknowledges that Souza is a Machida protege with good experience, but believes Baghdasaryan has a higher ceiling and can handle grappling. He expects a late knockout or decision win.

Jacob strongly disagrees with Angelo, picking Melsik Baghdasaryan. He calls Souza a 'weirdo' with a slow, awkward karate style, noting that three of his wins are split decisions and one is a DQ. He believes Baghdasaryan's aggression, power, and finishing ability will overwhelm Souza, especially if he pressures him against the fence where the karate stance becomes ineffective. Jacob expects an early finish.

The host likes Baghdasaryan's power and aggression but worries about his gas tank. He thinks Baghdasaryan will likely win by knockout early, but if it goes past the first round, Souza's elusiveness could cause problems. He prefers the KO prop at +150 or round 1 prop at +300 rather than the moneyline. He also considers a small sprinkle on Souza round 3 at +2000.

Paul picks Baghdasaryan, expecting a KO. He notes Souza's hittable style and Baghdasaryan's power. He bets under 2.5 rounds, fight doesn't go to decision, and Baghdasaryan by KO.

The Guru trusts Melsik Baghdasaryan, noting his kickboxing and boxing background, and his impressive Contender Series wins. He believes Baghdasaryan is superior on the feet and has adequate ground game to work back up. He also factors in Souza taking the fight on short notice, which may affect his cardio. The Guru predicts a TKO finish for Baghdasaryan.

Angelo picks Ode' Osbourne, citing his power edge, versatility, and size advantage at 125 lbs. He believes Vergara's forward pressure and boxing-heavy style will play into Osbourne's counter-striking and range control. However, he notes concern about Osbourne's recent knockout just two months ago, which may affect his chin. He also mentions that Osbourne has switched camps to Syndicate MMA and seems more focused.

Big Brady picks Ode' Osbourne to win by first-round submission. He notes Osbourne's reach advantage and wrestling potential, though Osbourne hasn't used takedowns much in the UFC. He believes if Osbourne implements a wrestling-heavy game plan, he can make it look easy, but if he stands and strikes, it could be risky. Brady sees Vergara as vulnerable on the ground and expects Osbourne to get him down and submit him early.

Cody picks Vergara as a dog, citing Osbourne's history of fading after the first round. He notes Vergara's finishing ability in later rounds and durability. He suggests live betting if Osbourne slows down.

Daniel Levi picks Ode' Osbourne, citing his experience in big fights and reach advantage. He notes that Osbourne has fought on Conor McGregor cards and has been in there with tough competition. Levi acknowledges that C.J. Vergara is a talented dog with a bright future, but believes Osbourne's seasoning and the pressure of a Madison Square Garden debut favor him. He expects a close fight where Osbourne digs deep.

Jacob agrees with Angelo, picking Ode' Osbourne. He highlights Osbourne's power at 125 lbs and his improved camp at Syndicate MMA. He worries about Vergara's takedowns, as Osbourne is a good grappler but not a wrestler, and could end up on his back. However, he believes Osbourne's striking advantage and the positive camp change will lead to a win.

The host leans Osbourne due to his striking from the outside and sneaky choke game. He expects Osbourne to ground Vergara and look for a submission, noting Vergara's recent submission loss. He likes the under 2.5 rounds and Osbourne's submission prop at +285. He has Osbourne parlayed with something else on the card.

Paul does not make a clear pick, calling it a pass. He notes Osbourne's talent but worries about his cardio. He suggests live betting Vergara if Osbourne slows down.

The Guru picks C.J. Vergara as the underdog, citing Osbourne's recent flying knee KO loss just three months prior, which he believes is too quick a turnaround. He notes Vergara's momentum from a KO win on the Contender Series and his aggressive style with powerful knees. The Guru also questions Osbourne's weight cut to flyweight and his durability, predicting Vergara will land big knees in the clinch and possibly finish with body shots.