Mariya Agapova

Angelo is extremely confident in Luana Santos due to a clear stylistic advantage: Santos has fantastic takedowns while Agapova has poor takedown defense. He expects Santos to grapple heavily and control the fight, similar to her performance against Stephanie Egger. He advises getting bets in early as Santos will likely be a heavy favorite by fight night.

Cody picks Santos, citing her superior grappling and youth. He notes Agapova's personal issues, inactivity, and poor cardio. He expects Santos to take Agapova down and submit her, possibly in the first round.

Daniel Vreeland picks Luana Santos to win via ground control. He questions Agapova's mental state and ground game, noting that she gives up bad positions on the mat. He thinks Santos will take the fight to the ground and finish. He acknowledges Agapova's danger on the feet but expects Santos to avoid that.

Santos is too chalky but still likely wins. The fight is expected to go over 1.5 rounds and hit the scorecards. Santos will control the matchup, land a few takedowns, but Agapova will show enough resistance to reach a decision. The best attack is Santos by decision.

Angelo picks Robertson because he sees a clear path: bully Agapova with takedowns and control, similar to what Marina Moroz did. He notes that Agapova has poor takedown defense and gives up when taken down. Robertson is not a dominant wrestler but can get the fight to the ground and control from top position. Angelo originally had no bets but may add some.

Big Brady confidently picks Gillian Robertson to win by second-round submission. He highlights that Robertson is a BJJ black belt with strong takedowns and grappling, while Agapova struggles with takedown defense (42%) and cardio. Brady notes that Agapova has been controlled and submitted by grapplers like Marina Moroz and Tracy Cortez. He believes Robertson will implement her game plan, get the fight to the mat, and finish Agapova. However, he warns that if Robertson cannot get takedowns, Agapova could knock her out on the feet.

Cody thinks Robertson's grappling advantage will be decisive, especially since her coach Dean Thomas knows Agapova from American Top Team. He notes Agapova's poor takedown defense and tendency to wilt under grappling pressure. He expects Robertson to get takedowns and control the fight.

Daniel Levi leans Gillian Robertson contingent on her getting takedowns. He notes Robertson's game plan is to take down and submit, while Agapova has been finished on the mat before. However, if Agapova stuffs takedowns, she will light Robertson up on the feet. He does not bet due to uncertainty.

Jacob picks Robertson, emphasizing that Agapova showed zero urgency off her back against Moroz and gave up. He believes Robertson can copy that game plan: get in her face, clinch, trip, and dominate on the ground. Jacob notes that Robertson is underrated as a grappler and that Agapova always loses to someone who can out-wrestle and out-tough her. He included Robertson in a female parlay for premium members.

Robertson has a clear path to victory via takedowns and submissions. Agapova is the better striker but her takedown defense is suspect. Robertson's tenacity and pressure should get the fight to the ground, where she is a submission threat. The under 2.5 rounds at -150 is a strong play as both are finish-reliant. Robertson by submission at +150 is also appealing.

Paul leans Agapova, citing her striking advantage and Robertson's poor wrestling. He acknowledges Agapova is inconsistent but thinks she can win if she keeps it standing. He's not confident enough to bet it.

Angelo picks the underdog Moroz, citing her movement and recent addition of offensive takedowns. He thinks she can avoid the pocket and use technical striking. He notes Agapova is the favorite but the odds seem high. He expresses concern about Moroz pulling out of fights, as she hasn't fought in a year.

Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz as an underdog, citing her superior grappling and top control. He notes that Agapova has poor takedown defense (33%) and can be controlled on the mat, as seen in her loss to Shayna Baszler. Brady believes Moroz's high-volume striking and ability to take the fight to the ground will be key. He also mentions that Agapova's power is a threat, but Moroz has a clear path to victory via takedowns and control.

Cody believes Agapova can win at range with her striking power, as seen against Sabina Mazo. He dismisses the Dobson loss as a bad day at the office due to personal issues. He thinks Moroz's wrestling is not elite and Agapova can land the more damaging shots. However, he acknowledges the wrestling wild card and advises watching weigh-ins.

Daniel Levi picks Mariya Agapova to win, possibly by finish. He notes that Agapova has more firepower and if her head is on straight, she will bust up Moroz on the feet. He acknowledges Moroz's craftiness and takedowns but thinks Agapova can stuff them. He references Agapova's last performance against Sabina Mazo and believes she is the more physical fighter. He is not concerned about the Shayna Dobson loss, calling it a fluke.

Agapova has power and good footwork, as seen in her last win. Moroz is a solid all-around fighter but may struggle to take Agapova down and hold her there. Agapova's wide strikes could be countered by Moroz's straight shots, but Agapova should land the more significant strikes. The line is a bit wide; it should be closer to -130. Agapova via decision or late submission.

Paul is hesitant because of Agapova's poor takedown defense (33%) and Moroz's improved wrestling in her last two fights. He notes Moroz has been pursuing takedowns and has good top control, while Agapova has only faced opponents who didn't wrestle. Paul has a bad gut feeling but officially picks Agapova, though he warns against overexposure.

Angelo picks Sabina Mazo, citing her range and kicking ability. He thinks she can keep Agapova at distance and survive the early storm, then pick her apart for a decision. He notes Agapova gets hit more than she lands. He likes the less more on Monkey Knife Fight but has no betting action on this fight.

Cody is very confident in Mazo, citing her refined striking, volume, and stable camp. He details Agapova's personal issues, gym hopping, and poor performance against Shayna Dobson. He believes Mazo's consistency and skill set will overwhelm Agapova, predicting a decision or late finish.

Daniel Levi leans toward Sabina Mazo because he has more questions about Mariya Agapova, especially after her loss to Shanna Dobson as a massive favorite. He sees both as strikers but notes Agapova has cardio and grappling issues. He acknowledges Mazo's head kicks and submission skills but is not highly confident, calling it a slight lean.

Jacob leans towards Mariya Agapova due to her training at ATT, which he believes will lead to improved game planning and potentially a grappling-heavy approach. He thinks Agapova might come in with a wrestling game plan to exploit Mazo's grappling weaknesses. He likes her at plus 130 and might include her in an underdog parlay.

The host picks Sabina Mazo, believing her disciplined striking will be too much for Agapova. He doubts Agapova's grappling is good enough to take Mazo down and control her, unlike previous opponents who beat Mazo via wrestling. He notes Agapova's wild style and potential lifestyle issues, while Mazo is focused. He predicts a unanimous decision for Mazo.

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Mazo's volume striking and Agapova's questionable durability and mental state. He mentions Mazo's experience and consistent training at Kings MMA. He is surprised the line is only -165 and expects Mazo to land many significant strikes.

Big Brady picks Mariya Agapova to win by first-round knockout. He sees no path to victory for Shana Dobson, who was knocked out in the first round by Priscila Cachoeira, a fighter not known for power. Agapova is a much better fighter with more upside, and Brady expects her to finish early. He is considering betting under 1.5 rounds or Agapova in round one.

Daniel Levi picks Mariya Agapova to win by vicious finish, likely in the first round. He notes Agapova is a long, lefty striker with power and a Euro Joanna vibe, and that Shana Dobson has no business in the UFC, having been dominated in her last two fights. Levi expects Agapova to march Dobson down and finish her, possibly earning another $50k bonus. He jokes that the only question is whether it will be a head kick, body shot, or rear-naked choke.

Agapova is a massive favorite against Dobson, who is on a three-fight losing streak and below .500 in the UFC. Agapova has power, movement, and confidence, and should easily finish Dobson early. The best bet is Agapova inside the distance, likely by submission in the first round. Avoid parlaying her straight due to poor value.