UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Jun 03, 2023 · Welterweight · Completed
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Age 39
Height 5' 11"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 36
Height 5' 11"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
4.16 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
3.56 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
0.79 TD Avg
20.0% TD Acc.
67.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Abubakar Nurmagomedov
2.78 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
2.61 SApM
65.0% Str. Def.
1.25 TD Avg
22.0% TD Acc.
88.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Moneyline
Caesars +110
KO/TKO
BetWay +400
Submission
FanDuel +900
Decision
BetRivers +350
Abubakar Nurmagomedov
Moneyline
FanDuel -120
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1150
Submission
BetWay +1600
Decision
FanDuel +135
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos - Fight History
LOSS vs Neil Magny
KO/TKO R2 4:39 · UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · Aug 02, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Neil Magny 0 42 of 67 62% 80 of 113 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:19
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 20 of 42 47% 42 of 69 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:40
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Neil Magny 0 17 of 36 47% 29 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 18 of 36 50% 24 of 42 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:03
2 Neil Magny 0 25 of 31 80% 51 of 63 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:03
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 2 of 6 33% 18 of 27 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Neil Magny 42 of 67 62% 38 of 61 4 of 4 0 of 2 19 of 43 3 of 3 20 of 21
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 20 of 42 47% 5 of 24 4 of 5 11 of 13 17 of 38 3 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Neil Magny 17 of 36 47% 13 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 2 16 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 18 of 36 50% 5 of 20 4 of 5 9 of 11 15 of 32 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Neil Magny 25 of 31 80% 25 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 8 2 of 2 20 of 21
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 2 of 6 33% 0 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Connor picks Zaleski, noting that Magny has looked increasingly hurtable and gun-shy, while Zaleski still has power and violence in his game. He acknowledges both fighters may be declining, but Zaleski's underlying physicality and scrambling ability give him the edge. Connor doubts Magny can replicate his past comeback wins.

"I got to pick Zaleski at that point."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Zane also picks Zaleski, pointing out that Magny's recent performances show a decline in output and durability. He notes that Zaleski has historically struggled against rangy strikers, but Magny's current form may not pose that threat. Zane believes Zaleski's wrestling and scrambling will be too much for Magny to handle.

"I mean, Zaleski's just more dangerous competitive wrestler and scrambler."
LOSS vs Chidi Njokuani
KO R2 2:19 · UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · Mar 15, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chidi Njokuani 1 46 of 87 52% 46 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 17 of 49 34% 19 of 54 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chidi Njokuani 0 23 of 45 51% 23 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 9 of 25 36% 11 of 30 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:14
2 Chidi Njokuani 1 23 of 42 54% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 8 of 24 33% 8 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chidi Njokuani 46 of 87 52% 17 of 38 16 of 32 13 of 17 36 of 71 2 of 3 8 of 13
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 17 of 49 34% 5 of 28 2 of 5 10 of 16 13 of 44 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chidi Njokuani 23 of 45 51% 3 of 12 13 of 23 7 of 10 22 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 9 of 25 36% 3 of 13 0 of 2 6 of 10 5 of 20 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Chidi Njokuani 23 of 42 54% 14 of 26 3 of 9 6 of 7 14 of 27 1 of 2 8 of 13
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 8 of 24 33% 2 of 15 2 of 3 4 of 6 8 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Angelo picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos over Chidi Njokuani. He acknowledges Njokuani is a better striker and younger, but he's concerned about Njokuani's volume being a one-off. Angelo trusts Zaleski's durability and wrestling, noting he almost finished Rakhmonov late. He suggests a prop bet on Njokuani winning inside distance with decision no action as a possible alternative.

Chidi Njokuani win inside distance, decision no action
"I'm still going to stay on the zeleski side but only because he's so damn durable."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, noting that despite being 38, he still has good performances left. He highlights Zaleski's durability, cardio, and grappling advantage, and points out that Chidi Njokuani has a history of quitting when faced with adversity, especially when taken down. Brady believes if Zaleski gets on top or hurts Njokuani, the fight will end quickly. He predicts a second-round finish, either by KO or submission.

Zaleski dos Santos second round KO
"I like zeleski here and I think he finishes cheaty... second round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Cody picks Erceg despite the high price, citing his level of competition and size advantage. He acknowledges Ode Osborne's reach and speed could cause early problems, but expects Erceg to take over as Osborne fades due to short notice. He is wary of the minus 600 line but still sees Erceg winning.

"Ersig's going to be the pick, but minus 600 is a walk in the park. And I I think that Joseé Osborne is a different tricky type of style fighter that Ursk hasn't really necessarily have to deal with lately."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Connor agrees with Zane, emphasizing that Njokuani's desire to brawl in the pocket is exactly what Zaleski wants. He notes that Zaleski has a good chin and can outlast brawlers, and that Njokuani's range fighting is not his natural game. He also mentions that Zaleski can take the fight to the ground if needed.

Odds: Zaleski opened -188, now -193; Njokuani opened +155, now +167.
"I have to pick Zaleski here."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert picked Jan 31, 2024 (409 days before fight)

Daniel does not make a clear pick for this fight. He discusses the matchup briefly but does not state a preference or bet.

MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The host believes Njokuani can replicate what Randy Brown did against Zaleski, using a distance striking approach and mixing in clinch Muay Thai. He expects Njokuani to land more damage and win at least two of three rounds on the scorecards.

"I believe en kuani should be able to replicate what Randy Brown was able to do against aleski utilizing a distance striking approach maybe even mixing it up in the clinch a little bit with his Muay Thai but I …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (fight day)

Paul also picks Erceg, noting his superior technique and experience against top competition. He mentions Ode Osborne's power and submission threat but believes Erceg will outclass him. He considers an Ode Osborne KO prop but prefers Erceg on the moneyline.

"The cleaner, better, more technical fighter is is Ersz. I expect to win. Um, I expect him to outclass OD, who I mean, outside of small moments tends to, you know, wilt fall apart a little bit."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani, citing his physical presence, 7-inch reach advantage, and nasty clinch effectiveness. He thinks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, a rangy kicker, will struggle with Njokuani's size and pressure. He notes Zaleski dos Santos often wins close decisions and is 38, while Njokuani is a slight underdog with good value. He predicts a 2-1 decision or a Njokuani finish.

Njokuani is a slight underdog; good value.
"I'm going to go chiding at Jani here I think he's a slight Underdog and I think there's good value on that so uh check it out"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Zane picks Zaleski because Njokuani is a phone booth fighter who wants to brawl in the clinch, which plays into Zaleski's strengths. He notes that Zaleski is durable, can out-grapple Njokuani, and has a path to victory if he mixes in takedowns. He also points out that Njokuani has poor takedown defense and is too content to play guard.

Odds: Zaleski opened -188, now -193; Njokuani opened +155, now +167. Zane says Zaleski could be a bigger favorite but understands age concerns.
"I have to pick Zaleski here."
TKO (punches) R1 1:15 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · Nov 09, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 11 of 35 31% 11 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Zachary Scroggin 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 11 of 35 31% 11 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Zachary Scroggin 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 11 of 35 31% 7 of 31 0 of 0 4 of 4 5 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 29
Zachary Scroggin 3 of 8 37% 1 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 11 of 35 31% 7 of 31 0 of 0 4 of 4 5 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 29
Zachary Scroggin 3 of 8 37% 1 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 3 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Angelo picks Zaleski but with low confidence. He thinks Zaleski has heavier hands and can get takedowns, but worries about his cardio. He expects Zaleski needs to win the first two rounds because he will likely lose the third. He might consider a plus 3.5 round bet on Scroggin if the odds are favorable. He understands people picking Scroggin due to his cardio and durability.

considering plus 3.5 round bet on Zach Scroggin
"I just think zeleski can make something happen he's got the heavier hands I think he can get a takedown or two my only concern is the freaking cardio so we're going to need zeleski to win the first two …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady sees this as a mismatch, with Zaleski being far more experienced and skilled. He notes Scroggin's low level of competition, poor takedown defense, and hittability. He believes Zaleski will win easily, likely by first-round knockout.

Zaleski by KO/TKO, round 1
"I'll take Eliza zesi by by first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Cody is very confident in Zaleski, calling Scroggin a 'dead man walking.' He points out Scroggin's lack of power, poor wrestling, and weak competition. Cody notes Zaleski's experience, power, and ability to take down Randy Brown, and expects a dominant finish or clear decision.

"I think zeleski do Santos kills this man absolutely kills this man."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lock picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Connor picks Zaleski as a lock, calling it a 'pick him fight'. He notes Zaleski's ability to outbrawl opponents and that Scroggin is a severely undercooked submission grappler with dreadful striking. Connor mentions Zaleski hasn't knocked anyone out in six years but wouldn't be surprised if he does here. He also comments on the odds being wide.

Odds: Zaleski -525 to -669, Scroggin +356 to +400. Connor says 'I would not expect them to get a lot closer though.'
"It's a pick him fight. It's a pick him fight."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Daniel Vreeland picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, believing his experience and level of competition will be too much for UFC newcomer Zach Scroggin. He notes Scroggin's padded record and lack of tested skills, while Zaleski has fought top competition and has knockout power. Vreeland expects a rude welcome for Scroggin.

"I'm going Elizio Zeleski to welcome this guy to the UFC in a very rude fashion."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Scroggin is taking a huge step up in competition and despite his grappling, Zaleski should shut that down and use his striking advantage to find a finish in round two.

wins inside distance, round 2
"I think ultimately zeleski will be able to shut that down get to his striking advantage and eventually find the finish in round two"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Paul agrees, noting Scroggin's short-notice debut and unimpressive regional competition. He highlights Zaleski's power and veteran savvy, and expects him to overwhelm Scroggin on the feet. Paul thinks the -500 line is fair but warns of banana peel pricing.

"Zeleski should absolutely kill him unless the groggin guy has like great durability it should be oneway traffic."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)

The Guru picks Nicholas Dalby, citing his high output and cardio. He notes that Zaleski dos Santos is 37 and hasn't had a KO since 2018. He expects Dalby to push a pace and break Zaleski over the fight, though he acknowledges Zaleski could win by TKO.

"I'm actually going to go with Nicholas dby I think the high output will be the thing here pushing him up against the cage kneeing the thighs shooting in takedowns"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lock picked Nov 8, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Zane picks Zaleski as a lock, describing Scroggin as a regional-level fighter with a submission grappling style and empty striking. He notes Zaleski is a really good opponent and that Scroggin has never faced a good opponent. Zane says Zaleski can go to war with anyone and it's up to him how he wins.

Odds: Zaleski -525 to -669, Scroggin +356 to +400. Zane says 'I would not expect them to get a lot closer though.'
"It's a pick him fight. It's a pick him fight."
LOSS vs Randy Brown
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · Jun 01, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Randy Brown 0 67 of 141 47% 89 of 166 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:42
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 26 of 76 34% 42 of 94 4 of 7 57% 1 0 5:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Randy Brown 0 34 of 71 47% 35 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 9 of 34 26% 9 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
2 Randy Brown 0 8 of 18 44% 15 of 25 0 of 0 --- 2 1 0:32
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 3 of 7 42% 19 of 25 3 of 5 60% 1 0 3:52
3 Randy Brown 0 25 of 52 48% 39 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 14 of 35 40% 14 of 35 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Randy Brown 67 of 141 47% 50 of 120 5 of 8 12 of 13 61 of 133 2 of 2 4 of 6
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 26 of 76 34% 8 of 50 3 of 9 15 of 17 24 of 73 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Randy Brown 34 of 71 47% 24 of 60 2 of 3 8 of 8 33 of 70 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 9 of 34 26% 2 of 22 3 of 6 4 of 6 9 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Randy Brown 8 of 18 44% 7 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 6
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 3 of 7 42% 2 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1
3 Randy Brown 25 of 52 48% 19 of 44 2 of 3 4 of 5 24 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 14 of 35 40% 4 of 22 0 of 3 10 of 10 13 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 26, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Angelo picks Randy Brown but with reduced confidence after studying Elizeu Zaleski. He believes Brown's length and range striking will keep him safe, and that Zaleski is chinny and can be dropped. However, he acknowledges Zaleski's toughness and ability to rally, so he leaves Brown out of the safety parlay.

"Randy Brown Remains the pick but I'm telling you my gut reaction was all right safety parlay Randy Brown and then I was like I'll leave him out of the safety parlay"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked May 31, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady is fading Randy Brown, expecting the fight to go to decision. He thinks Brown won't shoot takedowns or get an early finish, and doesn't expect crazy volume. He notes if there is a finish, it likely comes from Zaleski dos Santos. He is comfortable staying away from Brown.

Fight goes to decision, Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins by decision or late finish
"fade is gonna be Randy Brown 8,500 I don't think he's finishing uh dos santoso Santos early"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Cody picks Brown but is hesitant, acknowledging Zaleski's danger. He likes Brown's length, jab, and game plan but notes Brown has slowed down and his defensive grappling is suspect. Cody worries that Zaleski's power and forward pressure could sway judges. He plans to keep Brown low on parlays and might switch to Zaleski after weigh-ins.

"I think I'm going to go with Brown... but I fully recognize that Zaleski is going to be dangerous... it's going to be close and contentious."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 30, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel Vreeland agrees with Jeff, emphasizing that Zaleski dos Santos relies on distance striking and leg kicks, but Brown's reach and takedown ability neutralize that. He sees Brown piecing him up from distance and potentially taking him down. Vreeland notes Brown is crafty everywhere and can adapt to any scenario.

"I think Brown's gonna piece him up from distance he's probably gonna put the pressure on him"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 28, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Daniel likes Brown's recent confidence and footwork, and thinks Zaleski's chin is declining. He expects Brown to find openings with his jab and straight right, possibly getting a first-round KO. He laid -160 for two units.

"I actually took Randy Brown here minus 160"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked May 30, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Randy Brown

Jeff Fox picks Randy Brown, citing his size advantage (4 inches height, 5 inches reach) and well-rounded skills. He notes Brown is sneaky good, has no real weaknesses, and can win on the feet or with takedowns. Fox believes Zaleski dos Santos will struggle to deal with Brown's reach and pressure, and that Brown can mix in wrestling to keep things interesting.

"give me the rude boy sneaky good fighter... I think the size is going to be a big issue here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The host expects Brown to use his size, reach, and footwork to keep Zaleski at range and win a decision. Zaleski's inactivity and age are concerns, and his unorthodox style may not overcome Brown's disciplined jab and movement. Brown's recent improvements in range management should allow him to cruise to a decision victory.

"Give me Brown and Brown by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 29, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Paul leans toward Zaleski as a dog, citing his forward pressure, damaging blows, and ability to land bigger shots. He notes Brown's style is conservative and may not impress judges, while Zaleski's aggression and power could sway them. Paul mentions Zaleski's age (37) but says he still throws heat and has good cardio. He sees this as a 50/50 fight and likes the plus money.

"I feel like the bigger shots, the forward pressure, the live crowd... Zaleski is a dog with a shot here at plus 150 in a fight that I could see being pretty 50/50."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 27, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Randy Brown

The MMA Guru picks Randy Brown, believing his height and reach will trouble Zaleski dos Santos. He notes that Zaleski struggles against taller opponents and is older (37) with potential decline. Brown has good boxing at range and recent TKO wins. He predicts Brown by TKO.

Brown by TKO
"I'm gonna go with Randy Brown I really like this matchup for him"
Draw (majority) (29–28, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 87 of 186 46% 109 of 216 1 of 9 11% 0 1 4:25
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 75 of 152 49% 115 of 211 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:24
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 1 37 of 61 60% 47 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:43
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 10 of 34 29% 14 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 27 of 73 36% 32 of 78 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:13
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 22 of 50 44% 25 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 0 23 of 52 44% 30 of 63 0 of 5 0% 0 1 0:29
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 43 of 68 63% 76 of 119 0 of 1 0% 1 0 1:24
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Rinat Fakhretdinov 87 of 186 46% 50 of 144 11 of 16 26 of 26 65 of 156 7 of 8 15 of 22
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 75 of 152 49% 47 of 113 17 of 26 11 of 13 57 of 129 2 of 3 16 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Rinat Fakhretdinov 37 of 61 60% 17 of 40 5 of 6 15 of 15 21 of 39 1 of 1 15 of 21
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 10 of 34 29% 5 of 25 2 of 5 3 of 4 10 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Rinat Fakhretdinov 27 of 73 36% 15 of 57 3 of 7 9 of 9 24 of 70 3 of 3 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 22 of 50 44% 12 of 38 6 of 8 4 of 4 19 of 46 0 of 1 3 of 3
3 Rinat Fakhretdinov 23 of 52 44% 18 of 47 3 of 3 2 of 2 20 of 47 3 of 4 0 of 1
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 43 of 68 63% 30 of 50 9 of 13 4 of 5 28 of 49 2 of 2 13 of 17
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Angelo is very high on Fakhretdinov, calling him the pick done right. He highlights Fakhretdinov's non-stop wrestling, power, and pressure. He thinks the 36-year-old Zaleski won't have what it takes. Angelo has made money on Fakhretdinov in every UFC fight and likes him even more now. He considers Fakhretdinov safe to parlay.

safe to parlay
"I love Rena in this fight you guys know I've been very high on him I have literally made money on him him in every single one of his UFC fights"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Big Brady picks Rinat Fakhretdinov to win by decision. He notes Fakhretdinov's dominant wrestling, controlling Brian Battle for 14 minutes and taking down Andreas Michailidis five times. He believes Fakhretdinov can take down Zaleski and grind out a decision, though he's not sure about a finish. He acknowledges Zaleski's toughness and BJJ but favors Fakhretdinov's wrestling and cardio.

"give me we're not fuer enough to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Daniel Levi picks Rinat Fakhretdinov, impressed by his incredible stats: absorbs less than one strike per minute, 67% striking accuracy, over 5 takedowns per 15 minutes, and 100% takedown defense. He sees Fakhretdinov as a dominant wrestler who can control and finish fights. Levi respects Zaleski's toughness and highlight-reel kicks, but believes at 36 years old and coming off a suspension, Zaleski is in a tough spot. He expects Fakhretdinov to pressure, take him down, and possibly finish him.

Fakhretdinov wins by decision, Fakhretdinov wins inside distance
"I'm going Rinat here and I think he makes a statement."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 4, 2023 (fight day)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

James bet on Zaleski at +290, believing the line is too wide. He argues that Zaleski has much better takedown defense than Fakhretdinov's previous opponents and that if the fight stays on the feet, Zaleski is the more educated striker with nasty setups. He worries that Zaleski may be washed and can get hurt early, as seen in the Abubakar fight, but he also has Russian intel suggesting Fakhretdinov may be dealing with an injury and might strike more than grapple. James sees value in Zaleski as an underdog.

James mentions he has Russian intel that Fakhretdinov may be injured and striking rather than grappling. He also notes that Zaleski is +290.
"I bet on zaleski man I bet on zaleski I don't love it... but I just think the line's a little bit wide here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

Fakhretdinov is a strong grappler with high-level cardio who chains takedowns together well. Zaleski may fend off takedowns early, but as the fight goes on, Fakhretdinov's pressure will be too much. He will accumulate top control time and win by decision. The line is a bit wide but Fakhretdinov should implement his style without too much resistance.

win by decision
"I believe that Fakhretdinov can go out there and implement his style without too much resistance allowing him to get his hand raised like I said by decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rinat Fakhretdinov

The MMA Guru picks Rinat Fakhretdinov over Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. He acknowledges Zaleski's underrated resume but notes his age and recent performances. The Guru highlights Fakhretdinov's dominant win over Brian Battle and his improving hands, combining grappling and striking. He believes Fakhretdinov's athleticism and pressure will be too much for the older Zaleski, predicting a decision or late finish.

"I'm going to go rat for ketanov... renat is just undeniable I think at this point"
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Jun 03, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 29 of 54 53% 48 of 76 1 of 8 12% 0 0 6:16
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 42 of 113 37% 50 of 132 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 12 of 16 75% 15 of 20 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:39
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 10 of 34 29% 10 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 5 of 16 31% 20 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:20
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 14 of 32 43% 19 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 12 of 22 54% 13 of 23 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:17
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 18 of 47 38% 21 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 29 of 54 53% 13 of 37 6 of 7 10 of 10 23 of 48 6 of 6 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 42 of 113 37% 16 of 75 13 of 22 13 of 16 27 of 87 15 of 26 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 12 of 16 75% 5 of 9 2 of 2 5 of 5 6 of 10 6 of 6 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 10 of 34 29% 3 of 21 5 of 10 2 of 3 5 of 22 5 of 12 0 of 0
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 5 of 16 31% 2 of 13 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 14 of 32 43% 3 of 17 4 of 6 7 of 9 10 of 26 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 12 of 22 54% 6 of 15 2 of 3 4 of 4 12 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 18 of 47 38% 10 of 37 4 of 6 4 of 4 12 of 39 6 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Angelo picks Nurmagomedov, citing the long layoff for Zaleski (1.5 years) and Nurmagomedov's wrestling pressure. He thinks Zaleski tends to lose to wrestlers and has been taken down by non-wrestlers. Angelo bet Nurmagomedov at +120 for a quarter unit. He acknowledges the line is tightening but still favors the active fighter.

Bet 0.25 units on Nurmagomedov at +120.
"I like him in this matchup I picked him I bet him early I got him at plus 120"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Cody picks Nurmagomedov, citing Zaleski's poor takedown defense (67%) and history of being taken down by wrestlers. He notes Zaleski has never faced a wrestler like Nurmagomedov, and that his long layoff and past drug test issues are red flags. Cody thinks Nurmagomedov's wrestling will be enough to grind out a win, even if he's not a high-volume takedown artist.

"I'm not under Santa's guy so normally made of definitely the worst of the normagamedovs that's still pretty good right so I will take"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Connor picks Zaleski despite acknowledging Abubakar's wrestling advantage, because he believes Abubakar's poor athleticism and tendency to gas will lead to a fade. He notes that Zaleski is a physical freak who doesn't fall apart easily, and that Abubakar's wrestling often leads to his own cardio issues. Connor expects Zaleski to rally after an initial tough round, possibly winning by KO as Abubakar tires.

Odds shift from Zaleski -142 to -103, Abubakar +128 to -107
"I'm gonna pick zalaski. I think abubakar will fade and zalaski will rally"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Daniel picks Abubakar, citing Zaleski's age (36) and recent PED suspension as reasons he may not look the same. He believes Abubakar is catching him at the perfect time and can outwork him with a grinding decision. He notes that Zaleski has historically been a violence king, but the suspension and age are major concerns.

"I'm actually going abubakar nor magomedov and I'm considering a bet"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Jacob picks Zaleski, believing his leg kicks and striking will neutralize Nurmagomedov's takedowns. He thinks Zaleski's performance against Saint Denis showed improved takedown defense. Jacob notes Nurmagomedov is flat-footed and not overly dominant in wrestling. He expects Zaleski to light up the lead leg and win by finish or decision.

"I'm going zoleski all the way I'm pretty confident in him in this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Nurmagomedov has shown improved striking and a reliable grappling game. Zaleski is dangerous but coming off a long layoff and suspension. Nurmagomedov will land takedowns, control from top, and grind out a decision. Zaleski could pull off a submission or knockout, but the Dagestani wrestler is the safer pick.

"I'm gonna lean with the more reliable fighter in nuremaga made of gimme him to win by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Paul picks Zaleski dos Santos as a slight underdog. He notes the line movement to Nurmagomedov as favorite is undeserved, and that Zaleski is the more dangerous striker with freakish power. Paul mentions Zaleski's takedown defense is a concern, but he thinks if the fight stays standing, Zaleski has a significant advantage. He also notes Zaleski's long layoff and past drug test issues but still sides with him.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by KO at +400; Over 56.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"I'm interested in Elijah's zoleski dos Santos he could get himself in trouble throwing a bunch of spinning stuff getting taken down in that way but it's like if you're on abubakar I feel like while they're on the feet …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

The MMA Guru picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov, comparing the matchup to a knockoff Khabib vs Edson Barboza. He notes that Zaleski dos Santos throws a lot of kicks on the back foot and lacks pace, and hasn't fought since October 2021 (over a year and a half off). He believes Nurmagomedov's grappling, pressure, and pace will be the difference, though he acknowledges Nurmagomedov has had iffy performances. He thinks the grappling of Nurmagomedov gets the win.

"I'm gonna go with Abu Bakr name again of I think it's the logical match up here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Zane picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov based on his strong positional grappling and wrestling advantage. He notes that Zaleski has poor takedown defense, having been taken down six times by Nicolas Dalby, and that few opponents have tested his wrestling since. Zane believes Abubakar's takedowns and top control will be decisive, though he acknowledges Abubakar's cardio issues could be a factor if he fails to finish early.

"I am going to take namaga made off"
Decision (unanimous) (29–26, 29–26, 29–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Oct 30, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 149 of 259 57% 167 of 279 0 of 4 0% 0 0 2:00
Benoît Saint Denis 0 67 of 148 45% 80 of 162 2 of 14 14% 0 0 1:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 30 of 53 56% 31 of 54 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:18
Benoît Saint Denis 0 19 of 45 42% 21 of 47 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:58
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 94 of 160 58% 106 of 173 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:27
Benoît Saint Denis 0 28 of 67 41% 37 of 76 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:25
3 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 25 of 46 54% 30 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:15
Benoît Saint Denis 0 20 of 36 55% 22 of 39 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 149 of 259 57% 96 of 200 37 of 42 16 of 17 112 of 207 32 of 47 5 of 5
Benoît Saint Denis 67 of 148 45% 40 of 114 20 of 27 7 of 7 64 of 140 3 of 7 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 30 of 53 56% 11 of 34 9 of 9 10 of 10 29 of 50 1 of 3 0 of 0
Benoît Saint Denis 19 of 45 42% 7 of 29 8 of 12 4 of 4 19 of 43 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 94 of 160 58% 76 of 139 17 of 20 1 of 1 63 of 116 29 of 42 2 of 2
Benoît Saint Denis 28 of 67 41% 22 of 59 5 of 7 1 of 1 25 of 62 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 25 of 46 54% 9 of 27 11 of 13 5 of 6 20 of 41 2 of 2 3 of 3
Benoît Saint Denis 20 of 36 55% 11 of 26 7 of 8 2 of 2 20 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Benoît Saint Denis

Angelo picks the underdog Benoît Saint Denis, citing his wrestling style as a key advantage. He notes that Benoît's low-level takedowns and pressure on top can neutralize Zaleski's dangerous capoeira striking. However, he expresses concern about Benoît's inexperience at this level, as he is only 8-0 and this is a big step up. He mentions he would bet if the line moved to +170, but is hesitant at current odds.

Would bet at +170; considering over 1.5 rounds; mentions 58 strikes as a concern
"i'm gonna side with the underdog here i like zaleski athletic dangerous good forward pressure really good wrestling i i i you know i i like it"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos to win by knockout in the second or third round. He views Saint Denis as too green, sloppy, and making too many mistakes. Zaleski is a well-rounded veteran with good striking and grappling. He expects Zaleski to teach Saint Denis a veteran lesson and get a finish. He is confident in the pick despite Saint Denis's finishing ability.

Zaleski by knockout (round 2 or 3)
"I'm going to take elijah's los quiero santos to win i'm gonna take him to win by knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Cody agrees, noting Zaleski's experience and wins over Sean Strickland, Lyman Good, Max Griffin. He thinks Saint Denis will have early success with wrestling but will fatigue, and Zaleski will take over. He compares Saint Denis to a Contender Series fighter who gassed when faced with resistance.

"i feel like zoloskuro santos is rightfully so the favorite"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Daniel picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos, citing his battle-tested experience and versatility. He notes Zaleski's wins over Sean Strickland and his submission game. Daniel believes there are levels to the game and Zaleski will catch Saint Denis on a sloppy shot, possibly by submission or flying knee. He respects Saint Denis's regional success but thinks the step up in competition is too much.

predicts submission or flying knee
"give me elizabeth to win this fight"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Jacob picks Zaleski, believing his striking and ability to get back to his feet in scrambles will be decisive. He acknowledges Benoît's wrestling but thinks Zaleski can hold his own on the ground and win the striking exchanges. He is not super confident and dislikes the -850 line, but if forced to pick, he goes with Zaleski.

Mentions -850 line as unfavorable; considers over 1.5 rounds
"i'm gonna go zelesky on this not super confident i don't like the 8 500 but um if i had to pick i would pick zleski"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Zaleski is the more experienced veteran with good takedown defense and striking. Saint Denis is a submission hunter who gives up positions; if he doesn't finish early, Zaleski will find a knockout on the feet. Zaleski should survive the early onslaught and finish in the second round.

Under 2.5 rounds if better than +150, Zaleski by KO.
"I do lean the veteran though i do think that zaleski will be able to keep the fight standing or at least get it to the point where it's standing and then find that knockout shortly thereafter."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Paul picks Zaleski, citing his experience (12 UFC fights) and striking advantage. He thinks Saint Denis is hittable and robotic. He notes Zaleski has BJJ black belt in case it goes to the ground. He expects Zaleski to use veteran craftiness to keep it standing and eventually finish or win a decision.

"you're gonna have to go with the right rifle favorite aleski uh zaleski to santos"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Benoît Saint Denis

The MMA Guru picks Benoît Saint Denis as an underdog. He highlights Saint Denis's great grappling, youth (25 vs 35), and activity. He notes that Zaleski has slowed down in recent fights, throwing less volume to conserve energy. He expects Saint Denis to pressure and stick to Zaleski with sticky grappling, taking him down repeatedly. He predicts a third-round submission as Zaleski fades.

third round submission
"i'm gonna go with the underdog i do believe i haven't seen odds anywhere so i think he's the underdog uh saint denis benoit i'm gonna go with him"
LOSS vs Muslim Salikhov
Decision (split) (30–27, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · Jul 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 46 of 138 33% 46 of 138 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:53
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 40 of 88 45% 40 of 88 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 20 of 50 40% 20 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 14 of 23 60% 14 of 23 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Muslim Salikhov 0 9 of 41 21% 9 of 41 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:43
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 13 of 27 48% 13 of 27 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
3 Muslim Salikhov 0 17 of 47 36% 17 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 13 of 38 34% 13 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 46 of 138 33% 23 of 98 11 of 25 12 of 15 35 of 124 3 of 4 8 of 10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 40 of 88 45% 23 of 64 8 of 14 9 of 10 38 of 86 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 20 of 50 40% 11 of 36 4 of 9 5 of 5 10 of 37 2 of 3 8 of 10
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 14 of 23 60% 6 of 14 3 of 4 5 of 5 12 of 21 2 of 2 0 of 0
2 Muslim Salikhov 9 of 41 21% 3 of 28 5 of 9 1 of 4 8 of 40 1 of 1 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 13 of 27 48% 8 of 20 2 of 4 3 of 3 13 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Muslim Salikhov 17 of 47 36% 9 of 34 2 of 7 6 of 6 17 of 47 0 of 0 0 of 0
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 13 of 38 34% 9 of 30 3 of 6 1 of 2 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos vs. Muslim Salikhov

Round 1
In what could be a terrific battle between two high-flying strikers, it’s Capoeira vs. Kung Fu as Zaleski dos Santos (22-6, 8-2 UFC) comes to blows with Salikhov (16-2, 0-0 UFC). Hanging on tight is referee Herb Dean, who will have a tall task ahead in this welterweight scrap. The two flashy strikers touch gloves, and both paw out left hands that fall short. Zaleski dos Santos kicks low, and fakes to kick high, drawing a reaction from his opponent. The Dagestani fighter counters with a looping right, and Zaleski dos Santos evades it in time. Salikhov lands with a low kick, and Zaleski dos Santos connects to the body, which marks up Salikhov’s torso immediately. He slaps another body kick, so Salikhov counters with a right and follows it with a leg kick. Salikhov throws a low kick, avoids the counter and catches Zaleski dos Santos at the end of a left hand. Zaleski dos Santos charges forward with a salvo of punches, and lands a few in the process. Salikhov spins with a kick, and Zaleski dos Santos blocks it without much effort. When Zaleski dos Santos kicks to the lead leg, Salikhov times an overhand right that zings across the hair of his foe. Salikhov digs to the body with a spinning back kick, and this time Zaleski dos Santos is not quick enough to defend it. He comes back with a spinning wheel kick, and Salikhov blocks it, so Zaleski dos Santos charges forward with a few punches. Salikhov blocks them and fires another quick spinning back kick to the midsection. A powerful left hand from Salikhov stings Zaleski dos Santos, pausing the Brazilian for a moment. Zaleski dos Santos shoots in low for a takedown, and the Dagestani fighter stuffs it but gets tied up in a clinch. Zaleski dos Santos lifts a few knees up to the body, until Salikhov pushes himself free. Zaleski dos Santos wings up with a massive right hand, hurting Salikhov, so “Capoeira” chases after him with a few more. Salikhov shoots for a desperation takedown, and he lands it, but Zaleski dos Santos reverses the position and ends the round wailing on him with punches.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos

Round 2
Zaleski dos Santos opens up the round with a low kick, and a one-two finds its home as “King of Kung Fu” looks to back off and get in his own rhythm. Zaleski dos Santos stings him with a right, and Salikhov fires back with a powerful left that makes Zaleski dos Santos take a step back. Salikhov kicks low, and takes a few jabs and backpedals to avoid a blitz from the Brazilian. Salikhov kicks to the body, so Zaleski dos Santos spins with a wheel kick. Salikhov catches the kick in midair, and throws Zaleski dos Santos down to the ground like a sack of flour. When Zaleski dos Santos gets back up, the two laugh it off, until Zaleski dos Santos winds up with a massive right hand that rings his opponent’s bell. As he plows forward with offense, Zaleski dos Santos ties him up and tries to wrench the fight down with a body lock takedown. Salikhov staves it off, so Zaleski dos Santos delivers a couple knees up the middle. Salikhov pushes away, and the two take the center of the cage again. Zaleski dos Santos flicks out a few jabs, and follows one with a windmilling right hand that Salikhov sees coming from a mile away. Salikhov throws another spinning kick, and Zaleski dos Santos returns fire with an identical kick. Zaleski dos Santos chains that kick with a high kick, and Salikhov blocks it and fires a speedy wheel kick that just misses Zaleski dos Santos’s head. The Brazilian pops out a jab, and a one-two is delivered part and parcel. The two trade single strikes until we hear the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos

Round 3
The two men touch gloves to start the last round, and Zaleski dos Santos introduces his foot to the side of Salikhov’s midsection. A few jabs from the Brazilian keep Salikhov back, until the Dagestani fighter rings home a right hand. Zaleski dos Santos digs to the body with a front kick, and keeps his momentum by spinning into a capoeira kick. Salikhov evades it and responds with an overhand left that gets Zaleski dos Santos’ attention. After a tepid moment where the two lazily throw out jabs, Salikhov misses with a leaping left hand. The two jab each other in the face at the same time, and Zaleski dos Santos works a low kick into a right hand that is inches short of full impact. Salikhov rushes in with a big punch, and Zaleski dos Santos catches him with a thudding counter, forcing Salikhov to take step backwards. “King of Kung Fu” is stalking down Zaleski dos Santos around the cage, with a leg kick and a few punches to try to make the Brazilian back away. A right hand from Salikhov connects, and when he sees a punch coming, he counters Zaleski dos Santos with a stiff right. Two punches swing by Salikhov’s head, so the Dagestani fighter comes back at him with a right. Salikhov jabs to the body as he avoids a foot to the face, but these two strikers are dwindling to single strikes. With no setup, Salikhov fires off a spinning back kick that glances off the side of Zaleski dos Santos’ head. Salikhov stalks him down but does not unload on him, and backs away while goading his opponent to come at him. “Capoeira” winds up with seconds to go with a spinning tornado kick, and Salikhov is well out of the way, applauding as the kick goes flying. Time expires, and this fight goes the distance.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov (29-28 Zaleski dos Santos)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Zaleski dos Santos (30-27 Zaleski dos Santos)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Salikhov (29-28 Zaleski dos Santos)

The Official Result
Muslim Salikhov def. Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos via Split Decision (30-27, 28-29, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Big Brady picks Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by decision, believing he will outwork Salikhov with higher output. He thinks Salikhov's only path is a knockout, but Zaleski has a good chin and can also win via takedowns or submission. He considers Zaleski underrated and the slight favorite should be him.

"i am going with eliza zalewski here ... i think he's gonna throw more ... i'm banking on the output here i'm banking on zaleski to land more avoid that knockout shot"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Daniel Levi picks Muslim Salikhov, emphasizing his speed, accuracy, and power on the feet. He believes Salikhov will knock out Zaleski if they stand, and notes improved takedown defense. He criticizes the narrative that Zaleski can out-volume Salikhov, saying Salikhov's shots are fight-changing. He also mentions the location (Abu Dhabi) may favor Salikhov in a decision.

predicts KO or decision win for Salikhov
"I think when Muslim Sulli cough touches him it's gonna either drop him rock him or knock him out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Zaleski is a better grappler and jiu-jitsu player. He can use his capoeira striking to set up takedowns and exploit Salikhov's flaws on the ground. The line at +115 is good value, as the fight should be closer to a pick'em. Picks Zaleski by second-round submission.

submission in second round, dog odds +115
"I like Zaleski dos Santos to win this fight by second round submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 8, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

The Guru picks Zaleski dos Santos by TKO, saying he thinks he gets it done by decision or TKO. He does not elaborate further.

"I've got a Liz user Leske dos Santos by - huge I think he gets it done by this ish"
Abubakar Nurmagomedov - Fight History
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kara-France vs. Albazi · Jun 03, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 29 of 54 53% 48 of 76 1 of 8 12% 0 0 6:16
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 42 of 113 37% 50 of 132 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 12 of 16 75% 15 of 20 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:39
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 10 of 34 29% 10 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 5 of 16 31% 20 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:20
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 14 of 32 43% 19 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 0 12 of 22 54% 13 of 23 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:17
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 18 of 47 38% 21 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 29 of 54 53% 13 of 37 6 of 7 10 of 10 23 of 48 6 of 6 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 42 of 113 37% 16 of 75 13 of 22 13 of 16 27 of 87 15 of 26 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 12 of 16 75% 5 of 9 2 of 2 5 of 5 6 of 10 6 of 6 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 10 of 34 29% 3 of 21 5 of 10 2 of 3 5 of 22 5 of 12 0 of 0
2 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 5 of 16 31% 2 of 13 2 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 14 of 32 43% 3 of 17 4 of 6 7 of 9 10 of 26 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos 12 of 22 54% 6 of 15 2 of 3 4 of 4 12 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 18 of 47 38% 10 of 37 4 of 6 4 of 4 12 of 39 6 of 8 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Angelo picks Nurmagomedov, citing the long layoff for Zaleski (1.5 years) and Nurmagomedov's wrestling pressure. He thinks Zaleski tends to lose to wrestlers and has been taken down by non-wrestlers. Angelo bet Nurmagomedov at +120 for a quarter unit. He acknowledges the line is tightening but still favors the active fighter.

Bet 0.25 units on Nurmagomedov at +120.
"I like him in this matchup I picked him I bet him early I got him at plus 120"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Cody picks Nurmagomedov, citing Zaleski's poor takedown defense (67%) and history of being taken down by wrestlers. He notes Zaleski has never faced a wrestler like Nurmagomedov, and that his long layoff and past drug test issues are red flags. Cody thinks Nurmagomedov's wrestling will be enough to grind out a win, even if he's not a high-volume takedown artist.

"I'm not under Santa's guy so normally made of definitely the worst of the normagamedovs that's still pretty good right so I will take"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Connor picks Zaleski despite acknowledging Abubakar's wrestling advantage, because he believes Abubakar's poor athleticism and tendency to gas will lead to a fade. He notes that Zaleski is a physical freak who doesn't fall apart easily, and that Abubakar's wrestling often leads to his own cardio issues. Connor expects Zaleski to rally after an initial tough round, possibly winning by KO as Abubakar tires.

Odds shift from Zaleski -142 to -103, Abubakar +128 to -107
"I'm gonna pick zalaski. I think abubakar will fade and zalaski will rally"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Daniel picks Abubakar, citing Zaleski's age (36) and recent PED suspension as reasons he may not look the same. He believes Abubakar is catching him at the perfect time and can outwork him with a grinding decision. He notes that Zaleski has historically been a violence king, but the suspension and age are major concerns.

"I'm actually going abubakar nor magomedov and I'm considering a bet"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Jacob picks Zaleski, believing his leg kicks and striking will neutralize Nurmagomedov's takedowns. He thinks Zaleski's performance against Saint Denis showed improved takedown defense. Jacob notes Nurmagomedov is flat-footed and not overly dominant in wrestling. He expects Zaleski to light up the lead leg and win by finish or decision.

"I'm going zoleski all the way I'm pretty confident in him in this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Nurmagomedov has shown improved striking and a reliable grappling game. Zaleski is dangerous but coming off a long layoff and suspension. Nurmagomedov will land takedowns, control from top, and grind out a decision. Zaleski could pull off a submission or knockout, but the Dagestani wrestler is the safer pick.

"I'm gonna lean with the more reliable fighter in nuremaga made of gimme him to win by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Paul picks Zaleski dos Santos as a slight underdog. He notes the line movement to Nurmagomedov as favorite is undeserved, and that Zaleski is the more dangerous striker with freakish power. Paul mentions Zaleski's takedown defense is a concern, but he thinks if the fight stays standing, Zaleski has a significant advantage. He also notes Zaleski's long layoff and past drug test issues but still sides with him.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by KO at +400; Over 56.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"I'm interested in Elijah's zoleski dos Santos he could get himself in trouble throwing a bunch of spinning stuff getting taken down in that way but it's like if you're on abubakar I feel like while they're on the feet …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

The MMA Guru picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov, comparing the matchup to a knockoff Khabib vs Edson Barboza. He notes that Zaleski dos Santos throws a lot of kicks on the back foot and lacks pace, and hasn't fought since October 2021 (over a year and a half off). He believes Nurmagomedov's grappling, pressure, and pace will be the difference, though he acknowledges Nurmagomedov has had iffy performances. He thinks the grappling of Nurmagomedov gets the win.

"I'm gonna go with Abu Bakr name again of I think it's the logical match up here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Zane picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov based on his strong positional grappling and wrestling advantage. He notes that Zaleski has poor takedown defense, having been taken down six times by Nicolas Dalby, and that few opponents have tested his wrestling since. Zane believes Abubakar's takedowns and top control will be decisive, though he acknowledges Abubakar's cardio issues could be a factor if he fails to finish early.

"I am going to take namaga made off"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · Oct 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 40 of 67 59% 76 of 104 1 of 4 25% 0 0 7:55
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 0 38 of 99 38% 79 of 142 1 of 7 14% 0 0 1:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 7 of 14 50% 33 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:57
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 0 13 of 25 52% 36 of 49 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:29
2 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 5 of 15 33% 13 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:51
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 0 9 of 21 42% 23 of 35 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
3 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 28 of 38 73% 30 of 40 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:07
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 0 16 of 53 30% 20 of 58 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 40 of 67 59% 29 of 55 5 of 6 6 of 6 36 of 61 3 of 4 1 of 2
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 38 of 99 38% 22 of 69 13 of 26 3 of 4 25 of 81 12 of 14 1 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 7 of 14 50% 5 of 12 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 13 of 25 52% 7 of 16 4 of 6 2 of 3 5 of 16 8 of 9 0 of 0
2 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 5 of 15 33% 4 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 11 2 of 2 1 of 2
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 9 of 21 42% 2 of 11 7 of 10 0 of 0 8 of 17 0 of 0 1 of 4
3 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 28 of 38 73% 20 of 29 3 of 4 5 of 5 27 of 36 1 of 2 0 of 0
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev 16 of 53 30% 13 of 42 2 of 10 1 of 1 12 of 48 4 of 5 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev

Big Brady picks the underdog Omargadzhiev, citing Nurmagomedov's inactivity (only two fights in three years) and tendency to drop the ball as a favorite. He notes Omargadzhiev looked impressive outside the UFC but had a poor debut; he expects a better version to show up. He predicts Omargadzhiev catches Nurmagomedov in a submission, possibly a 'club and sub' off his back.

submission
"I'm going to say Omar Gods you have catches DeMarco metal in something I'm going to say he catches them in a submission maybe a club and sub maybe something off his back"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev

Cody leans Omargadzhiev, noting that Abubakar is the weakest of the Nurmagomedov family. He thinks Omargadzhiev has better stand-up and power, and that Abubakar's takedowns may not be effective. Cody is not confident and says it's a dog-or-pass situation.

"I think I'm leaning towards or magazine like you're saying coming down from 85 to 170 she should have that strength advantage"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Daniel Levi picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by decision. He thinks Abubakar's fundamentally sound Russian style will be enough against Gadzhi Omargadzhiev, who he is not sold on. Levi notes that Omargadzhiev's regional fights are suspect and that Abubakar showed a jab-heavy game plan in his last fight. He expects Abubakar to grind out a decision.

"give me abubakar for the win"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev

Paul is confident in Omargadzhiev, calling Abubakar overrated. He notes Omargadzhiev's submission skills and that Abubakar has been submitted before. Paul likes the plus money and has already bet Omargadzhiev at +150. He also likes Omargadzhiev by submission at +1050.

Omargadzhiev by submission (+1050)
"I had already added gazio magaziev um plus 150 on the money line"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Gadzhi Omargadzhiev

The MMA Guru picks underdog Gadzhi Omargadzhiev over Abubakar Nurmagomedov. He believes Abubakar is past his prime and not as skilled as other Nurmagomedovs, while Omargadzhiev is moving to a more suitable weight class (170 lbs). He predicts a late-round submission win, likely a rear-naked choke, as the fight gets sloppy.

late rounds submission win, rear naked choke
"I'm going to go with like a late rounds submission win for gazio margazia"
WIN vs Jared Gooden
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 · Mar 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 43 of 136 31% 111 of 207 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gooden 0 60 of 120 50% 100 of 164 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:18
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 14 of 49 28% 14 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gooden 0 23 of 42 54% 23 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
2 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 17 of 62 27% 17 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gooden 0 30 of 63 47% 30 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
3 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 12 of 25 48% 80 of 96 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jared Gooden 0 7 of 15 46% 47 of 59 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 43 of 136 31% 30 of 110 12 of 25 1 of 1 35 of 127 3 of 3 5 of 6
Jared Gooden 60 of 120 50% 45 of 105 9 of 9 6 of 6 56 of 115 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 14 of 49 28% 12 of 42 2 of 7 0 of 0 13 of 48 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 23 of 42 54% 12 of 31 7 of 7 4 of 4 22 of 40 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 17 of 62 27% 9 of 47 7 of 14 1 of 1 17 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jared Gooden 30 of 63 47% 28 of 61 1 of 1 1 of 1 27 of 60 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Abubakar Nurmagomedov 12 of 25 48% 9 of 21 3 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 17 2 of 2 5 of 6
Jared Gooden 7 of 15 46% 5 of 13 1 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Big Brady picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by dominant decision (30-27). He believes Nurmagomedov's wrestling will be the key, as Gooden can be taken down and controlled easily. He notes that Gooden has submissions on his record but thinks Nurmagomedov will avoid playing on the feet. However, he says he probably wouldn't bet the -235 line due to Nurmagomedov's mistakes in his last fight.

Nurmagomedov by decision 30-27
"i'm gonna take nirmangamedev to be good in here ... i'm gonna say your magametto beats goodin 30 27"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Cody leans towards Gooden as a live underdog, noting that Abubakar's price is inflated by his last name. He thinks Gooden has better striking and a reach advantage, and that Abubakar's chin is questionable. He is considering a play on Gooden but wants to see weigh-ins first.

Gooden by submission +1200 (considered)
"jared gooden at that price plus 205. and it keeps growing that's that's probably what we're doing"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jared Gooden

Daniel Levi picks Jared Gooden to get his first UFC win. He acknowledges Gooden's struggles with wrestlers but believes he has worked tirelessly to patch that hole in his game at ATT. Levi criticizes Abubakar as a lesser version of the Dagestani style with no stand-up and a questionable chin. He thinks Gooden will get back to his feet and knock Abubakar out.

knockout
"i think that saturday night he's finally going to get over that wrestler hump finally you know get back up to his feet and knock this guy out"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

The host hesitantly picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by decision. He notes that Abubakar has a 'Nurmagomedov tax' on his line and is not impressed with his grappling or cardio. He thinks Abubakar will struggle to get Gooden down and keep him there, but Gooden's cardio and durability are also question marks. He mentions Gooden's KO power at +650 as a potential sprinkle, but ultimately expects Abubakar to grind out a decision if he can get takedowns.

Jared Gooden KO +650 (sprinkle); under 2.5 (+155) is a possibility
"I'll go with abubakar to win by decision... not the most confident"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Paul leans towards Abubakar but thinks the price is way off. He notes that Abubakar has good wrestling and cardio, and that Gooden is hittable. However, he is not confident because Abubakar's chin is suspect and he has been knocked out before. He calls it a dogger pass situation.

"i think i'm gonna end up taking nurmagomedov but the price is way off at 240"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

The Guru picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov by unanimous decision, citing his takedown advantage and better competition. He criticizes Jared Gooden's takedown defense and lack of impressive wins. He expects a sloppy fight with Nurmagomedov dictating the pace with wrestling, taking Gooden down whenever it gets risky on the feet. He notes Nurmagomedov is the worst of the Nurmagomedovs but still good enough to win.

"i'm going to go with abba kabanermedov i think he's going to have a real advantage here in the takedowns"
LOSS vs David Zawada
Submission (triangle choke) R1 2:50 · UFC Fight Night: Magomedsharipov vs. Kattar · Nov 09, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
David Zawada 0 4 of 9 44% 22 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:50
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 2 of 11 18% 25 of 34 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 David Zawada 0 4 of 9 44% 22 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:50
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 0 2 of 11 18% 25 of 34 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
David Zawada 4 of 9 44% 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 2 of 11 18% 0 of 7 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 David Zawada 4 of 9 44% 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abubakar Nurmagomedov 2 of 11 18% 0 of 7 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Angelo picks Nurmagomedov, citing the long layoff for Zaleski (1.5 years) and Nurmagomedov's wrestling pressure. He thinks Zaleski tends to lose to wrestlers and has been taken down by non-wrestlers. Angelo bet Nurmagomedov at +120 for a quarter unit. He acknowledges the line is tightening but still favors the active fighter.

Bet 0.25 units on Nurmagomedov at +120.
"I like him in this matchup I picked him I bet him early I got him at plus 120"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Cody picks Nurmagomedov, citing Zaleski's poor takedown defense (67%) and history of being taken down by wrestlers. He notes Zaleski has never faced a wrestler like Nurmagomedov, and that his long layoff and past drug test issues are red flags. Cody thinks Nurmagomedov's wrestling will be enough to grind out a win, even if he's not a high-volume takedown artist.

"I'm not under Santa's guy so normally made of definitely the worst of the normagamedovs that's still pretty good right so I will take"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Connor picks Zaleski despite acknowledging Abubakar's wrestling advantage, because he believes Abubakar's poor athleticism and tendency to gas will lead to a fade. He notes that Zaleski is a physical freak who doesn't fall apart easily, and that Abubakar's wrestling often leads to his own cardio issues. Connor expects Zaleski to rally after an initial tough round, possibly winning by KO as Abubakar tires.

Odds shift from Zaleski -142 to -103, Abubakar +128 to -107
"I'm gonna pick zalaski. I think abubakar will fade and zalaski will rally"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Daniel picks Abubakar, citing Zaleski's age (36) and recent PED suspension as reasons he may not look the same. He believes Abubakar is catching him at the perfect time and can outwork him with a grinding decision. He notes that Zaleski has historically been a violence king, but the suspension and age are major concerns.

"I'm actually going abubakar nor magomedov and I'm considering a bet"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Jacob picks Zaleski, believing his leg kicks and striking will neutralize Nurmagomedov's takedowns. He thinks Zaleski's performance against Saint Denis showed improved takedown defense. Jacob notes Nurmagomedov is flat-footed and not overly dominant in wrestling. He expects Zaleski to light up the lead leg and win by finish or decision.

"I'm going zoleski all the way I'm pretty confident in him in this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 1, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Nurmagomedov has shown improved striking and a reliable grappling game. Zaleski is dangerous but coming off a long layoff and suspension. Nurmagomedov will land takedowns, control from top, and grind out a decision. Zaleski could pull off a submission or knockout, but the Dagestani wrestler is the safer pick.

"I'm gonna lean with the more reliable fighter in nuremaga made of gimme him to win by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked May 31, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Paul picks Zaleski dos Santos as a slight underdog. He notes the line movement to Nurmagomedov as favorite is undeserved, and that Zaleski is the more dangerous striker with freakish power. Paul mentions Zaleski's takedown defense is a concern, but he thinks if the fight stays standing, Zaleski has a significant advantage. He also notes Zaleski's long layoff and past drug test issues but still sides with him.

Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos by KO at +400; Over 56.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks
"I'm interested in Elijah's zoleski dos Santos he could get himself in trouble throwing a bunch of spinning stuff getting taken down in that way but it's like if you're on abubakar I feel like while they're on the feet you're gonna have your your butt puckered the entire time"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

The MMA Guru picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov, comparing the matchup to a knockoff Khabib vs Edson Barboza. He notes that Zaleski dos Santos throws a lot of kicks on the back foot and lacks pace, and hasn't fought since October 2021 (over a year and a half off). He believes Nurmagomedov's grappling, pressure, and pace will be the difference, though he acknowledges Nurmagomedov has had iffy performances. He thinks the grappling of Nurmagomedov gets the win.

"I'm gonna go with Abu Bakr name again of I think it's the logical match up here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2023 (fight day)
Abubakar Nurmagomedov

Zane picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov based on his strong positional grappling and wrestling advantage. He notes that Zaleski has poor takedown defense, having been taken down six times by Nicolas Dalby, and that few opponents have tested his wrestling since. Zane believes Abubakar's takedowns and top control will be decisive, though he acknowledges Abubakar's cardio issues could be a factor if he fails to finish early.

"I am going to take namaga made off"