Career Averages - Rinya Nakamura
Career Averages - Toshiomi Kazama
Rinya Nakamura
Toshiomi Kazama
Rinya Nakamura - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 1 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 1 | 12 of 19 | 63% | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Nathan Fletcher | 0 | 3 of 7 | 42% | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 12 of 19 | 63% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Nathan Fletcher | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 12 of 19 | 63% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 |
| Nathan Fletcher | 3 of 7 | 42% | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muin Gafurov | 0 | 31 of 73 | 42% | 39 of 82 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Rinya Nakamura | 1 | 37 of 90 | 41% | 73 of 130 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muin Gafurov | 0 | 10 of 24 | 41% | 14 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 42 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:35 | |
| 2 | Muin Gafurov | 0 | 9 of 24 | 37% | 9 of 24 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Rinya Nakamura | 1 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 17 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:02 | |
| 3 | Muin Gafurov | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 11 of 29 | 37% | 14 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muin Gafurov | 31 of 73 | 42% | 10 of 44 | 8 of 9 | 13 of 20 | 28 of 70 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Rinya Nakamura | 37 of 90 | 41% | 20 of 65 | 9 of 12 | 8 of 13 | 32 of 76 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muin Gafurov | 10 of 24 | 41% | 0 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 7 of 12 | 10 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Rinya Nakamura | 12 of 29 | 41% | 6 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 6 | |
| 2 | Muin Gafurov | 9 of 24 | 37% | 5 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 5 | 7 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Rinya Nakamura | 14 of 32 | 43% | 10 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 4 | 10 of 24 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Muin Gafurov | 12 of 25 | 48% | 5 of 18 | 4 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 11 of 24 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Rinya Nakamura | 11 of 29 | 37% | 4 of 19 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 5 | 11 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Rinya Nakamura, highlighting his high-level wrestling, power, and the fact that Muin Gafurov was taken down three times by Kyung Ho Kang. He believes Nakamura's wrestling advantage will be decisive and that the -400 price is justified, unlike other favorites on the card.
Cody picks Rinya Nakamura confidently, viewing him as a top prospect. He highlights Nakamura's Olympic-level wrestling, fluid transitions, and improving striking. Cody notes that Gafurov has poor takedown defense and tends to gas, as seen against John Castaneda. Nakamura's wrestling and cardio should be too much. Cody expects Nakamura to take Gafurov down repeatedly and control the fight, possibly earning a finish. Nakamura is part of the Saftic Super Boost.
Daniel picks Nakamura, citing his physicality, strong grappling, and good hands. He notes that Gafurov is well-rounded but lacks athleticism and can be out-hustled. Daniel expects a competitive decision but thinks Nakamura grinds out the win. He is not betting due to the high price.
The host sees Nakamura as the future of the division, praising his wrestling, chain wrestling, and knockout power. He expects Nakamura to use a combination of those traits to win a decision over Gafurov.
Paul agrees with Cody, picking Nakamura. He notes that Gafurov has been taken down by lesser wrestlers and that Nakamura's wrestling pedigree is elite. Paul believes Nakamura will find takedowns early and often, banking control time. He also mentions that a submission is possible but not guaranteed. Nakamura is a solid parlay piece for Paul.
The MMA Guru picks Rinya Nakamura but expresses hesitation. He worries about Nakamura's wrestling-heavy style that may not translate to finishes in MMA, similar to Raul Rosas Jr. However, he notes that Muin Gafurov is 'fat and terrible' and that Nakamura has dangerous stand-up with pop on his punches. He also likes that Nakamura had time off to fix issues and expects him to come in good form.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 38 of 70 | 54% | 73 of 114 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 13:03 |
| Carlos Vera | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 55 of 79 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 16 of 31 | 51% | 24 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:20 |
| Carlos Vera | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 18 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 25 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:34 |
| Carlos Vera | 0 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 15 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 10 of 21 | 47% | 24 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:09 |
| Carlos Vera | 0 | 4 of 11 | 36% | 22 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 38 of 70 | 54% | 30 of 61 | 6 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 60 |
| Carlos Vera | 12 of 25 | 48% | 7 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 16 of 31 | 51% | 11 of 26 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 28 |
| Carlos Vera | 6 of 8 | 75% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | |
| 2 | Rinya Nakamura | 12 of 18 | 66% | 9 of 15 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 16 |
| Carlos Vera | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 | |
| 3 | Rinya Nakamura | 10 of 21 | 47% | 10 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 16 |
| Carlos Vera | 4 of 11 | 36% | 2 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
Angelo calls Rinya Nakamura a lock, citing his high-level wrestling, submissions, and power. He notes Carlos Vera is stepping up on short notice and has poor takedowns. He advises against parlaying Nakamura if the odds are too high, but expects him to win easily.
Big Brady picks Rinya Nakamura to win by first-round submission. He calls it a terrible matchup for Carlos Vera, who has poor takedown defense and gives up his back. He expects Nakamura to take him down easily and finish via submission or ground-and-pound. He questions why the fight was sanctioned given the massive favorite line.
Cody picks Nakamura, agreeing he is the goods. He notes Nakamura's wrestling and physical strength. He mentions that Vera is a late replacement who lost on TUF and is not UFC caliber. He expects Nakamura to take him down and submit him, though he warns that Fernie Garcia was hard to submit.
Daniel picks Rinya Nakamura, agreeing with Jeff. He says even if it weren't short notice, Nakamura would be the pick. He doesn't elaborate further, but his agreement is clear.
Daniel Vreeland picks Rinya Nakamura, stating he is better everywhere—more explosive, stronger, better striker and grappler. He considers it a mismatch and believes Nakamura can neutralize Vera's opportunistic submissions. He thinks the odds are accurate.
Jeff picks Rinya Nakamura, stating it's an obvious choice. He notes that Carlos Vera lost to Brad Katona on TUF, getting manhandled. He thinks Vera's tendency to jump guillotine will make Nakamura's takedowns easier. He expects Nakamura to dominate on top and suggests looking at round 1 submission props.
Nakamura is a high-level wrestler with Olympic pedigree, but has relied on power punching recently. He has all advantages over the 36-year-old debuting Vera. Expects Nakamura to go 9-0 with an early stoppage.
Paul picks Nakamura, calling him the best prospect from Road to UFC. He notes Nakamura's wrestling accolades, power, and grappling. He sees Vera as a 36-year-old debutant who lost on TUF and is being fed to Nakamura. He suggests a submission prop, as Vera has been submitted before and gives up his back.
The MMA Guru picks Rinya Nakamura, citing his superior grappling potential and dangerous striking. He criticizes Carlos Vera as an older fighter who shouldn't be in the UFC. He predicts Nakamura could get a KO early or a ground-and-pound decision, though he notes Nakamura needs to work on finishing from dominant positions.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 36 of 57 | 63% | 56 of 84 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 3 | 0 | 9:26 |
| Fernie Garcia | 0 | 15 of 66 | 22% | 50 of 106 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 9 of 13 | 69% | 17 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:55 |
| Fernie Garcia | 0 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 21 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 11 of 22 | 50% | 17 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:31 |
| Fernie Garcia | 0 | 6 of 28 | 21% | 16 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 16 of 22 | 72% | 22 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 3:00 |
| Fernie Garcia | 0 | 6 of 30 | 20% | 13 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 36 of 57 | 63% | 16 of 31 | 10 of 13 | 10 of 13 | 25 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 11 of 13 |
| Fernie Garcia | 15 of 66 | 22% | 9 of 53 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 6 | 13 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 9 of 13 | 69% | 3 of 5 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
| Fernie Garcia | 3 of 8 | 37% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Rinya Nakamura | 11 of 22 | 50% | 5 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Fernie Garcia | 6 of 28 | 21% | 3 of 22 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Rinya Nakamura | 16 of 22 | 72% | 8 of 12 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 13 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| Fernie Garcia | 6 of 30 | 20% | 4 of 26 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo believes Nakamura is a high-level wrestler with powerful striking and should dominate Garcia. He notes that Nakamura is a -700 favorite, but he personally avoids betting such heavy favorites due to the risk, citing examples like Valentina Shevchenko losing as a huge favorite. He thinks Nakamura wins 99 out of 100 times but won't lay the price.
Big Brady is very high on Rinya Nakamura, calling him a future star with excellent wrestling, grappling, and power. He sees this as a terrible matchup for Fernie Garcia, who was dominated by a lesser wrestler in Brady Hiestand. He expects Nakamura to finish the fight in the first round, whether by knockout or submission, and criticizes the matchmaking.
Cody is high on Nakamura as a top prospect with elite wrestling and improving striking. He expects Nakamura to dominate Garcia, who has shown poor takedown defense. Cody likes the submission prop at plus 275, noting Nakamura's grappling pedigree.
Daniel picks Rinya Nakamura, citing his Olympic-level wrestling and power. He notes that Nakamura can fall back on his wrestling if the striking gets tough, and that Garcia is a liability on the ground. He mentions that Garcia has heavy hands but low output and poor takedown defense. He is confident Nakamura wins, though he notes that Nakamura sometimes gets clipped standing.
James is confident Nakamura wins but does not bet due to the short odds. He notes Nakamura is a brutal round one finisher but warns that the fight could go to decision if Nakamura wrestles. He sees Garcia as a tough guy who can survive, and considers the over 1.5 rounds at +150 as a potential play, though he ultimately passes.
The host highlights Nakamura's wrestling background and finishing ability, noting he has finished all but one opponent. He expects Nakamura to take Garcia down easily, as Garcia has struggled with wrestlers before (e.g., Brady Hiestand). The host predicts a finish within the first two rounds and likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.
Paul agrees Nakamura is a huge favorite and a setup fight by the UFC. He notes Nakamura's wrestling and physicality will be too much for Garcia. Paul expects a win but is cautious about the price, suggesting a decision or submission.
The MMA Guru picks Rinya Nakamura as the lock of the card, predicting a first-round knockout of Fernie Garcia. He praises Nakamura's wrestling background, KO power, and chin, calling him one of the best prospects. He dismisses Garcia as a 31-year-old on a two-fight losing streak. He believes Nakamura has advantages in wrestling, stand-up, power, and chin, and will smoke Garcia in the first two minutes.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 2 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 2 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 11 of 25 | 44% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 11 of 25 | 44% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady is high on Nakamura's world-class wrestling and knockout power. He thinks Kazama will struggle to take down a wrestler of Nakamura's caliber and will be knocked out early. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody picks Nakamura inside the distance, calling him the best prospect on the card. He notes Nakamura's world-class wrestling pedigree and finishing ability. He expects Nakamura to take Kazama down and finish, possibly by submission. He also considers a small sprinkle on Nakamura by submission at +800.
Connor agrees, noting that Kazama's insistence on wrestling will play into Nakamura's strengths. He points out that Kazama's bag of tricks may not work against a superior athlete, and that Nakamura has shown rapid improvement. He sees this as a winnable matchup for Nakamura to showcase his development.
Paul picks Nakamura inside the distance, emphasizing his wrestling background and MMA upbringing. He notes Nakamura's ability to strike or grapple, and expects him to knock out Kazama. He thinks Kazama's guard-pulling style will not work against Nakamura's physicality.
Zane highlights Nakamura's rapid improvement and wrestling background, noting that he has become a more aggressive combination puncher with natural instincts for pressuring. He contrasts this with Kazama, who is crafty but not a great athlete and tends to lose wrestling exchanges as fights go on. He believes Nakamura's higher ceiling and athleticism will prevail.
Toshiomi Kazama - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Smith | 0 | 37 of 46 | 80% | 61 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 3:49 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 0:05 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elijah Smith | 0 | 37 of 46 | 80% | 61 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 3:49 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 1 | 0:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Smith | 37 of 46 | 80% | 35 of 44 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 43 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elijah Smith | 37 of 46 | 80% | 35 of 44 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 36 of 43 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Elijah Smith, calling him a good grappler with fast hands and solid power. He notes Toshiomi Kazama is a BJJ nerd with a questionable chin. Angelo thinks Smith will run through Kazama, as this is a tune-up fight for the prospect. He acknowledges the -500 odds are high but trusts Smith.
Big Brady is very confident in Elijah Smith, calling him a well-rounded fighter with a massive striking advantage over Kazama, whom he considers the worst striker in the division. He notes Smith's cardio has improved and he can grapple as well. Brady believes Smith will knock out Kazama early, predicting a first-round knockout.
The host acknowledges Kazama's high-level BJJ but believes he struggles to get fights to the ground and will struggle even more against Smith. He expects Smith to use good movement, speed, and striking to line up a big knockout victory.
The MMA Guru picks Elijah Smith, calling Kazama a fighter who shouldn't be in the UFC. He notes Smith's close fight with Vince Morales showed he can battle through adversity. He expects Smith to handle Kazama, though he's not sure if Smith will become a top prospect.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toshiomi Kazama | 0 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 67 of 84 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 1 | 1 | 4:19 |
| Charalampos Grigoriou | 1 | 26 of 38 | 68% | 36 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toshiomi Kazama | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 31 of 46 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 1 | 4:09 |
| Charalampos Grigoriou | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 2 | Toshiomi Kazama | 0 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 36 of 38 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:10 |
| Charalampos Grigoriou | 1 | 24 of 34 | 70% | 29 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toshiomi Kazama | 2 of 5 | 40% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Charalampos Grigoriou | 26 of 38 | 68% | 23 of 34 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 18 of 20 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toshiomi Kazama | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
| Charalampos Grigoriou | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 of 1 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Toshiomi Kazama | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Charalampos Grigoriou | 24 of 34 | 70% | 23 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 20 |
Angelo is confident in Grigoriou because Kazama is a grapple-first fighter who has failed to get his grappling going in the UFC, is chinny on the feet, and has back-to-back first-round TKO losses. Grigoriou has powerful leg kicks, solid grappling, and is being set up for success. This is one of Angelo's more confident picks on the card.
Cody agrees with Paul, emphasizing Kazama's poor chin and Grigoriou's striking advantage. He notes Grigoriou's counter-grappling ability from training with high-level grapplers, and that Kazama's submission threats are unlikely to succeed. Cody expects a knockout.
Grigoriou has a clear striking advantage and should be able to touch up Kazama, who has been knocked out in his last two fights. However, Kazama is dangerous on the ground and could pull guard or find a submission. This is the least confident pick on the card, and the minus 220 price is not recommended.
Paul picks Grigoriou despite the high price, citing Kazama's weak chin and one-dimensional grappling. He notes Grigoriou trains at Ray Longo's gym with better partners, has knockout power, and should win by KO. He took Grigoriou by inside the distance at minus 105.
The MMA Guru picks Charalampos Grigoriou, calling him a 'can crusher' but better than Toshiomi Kazama. He notes Grigoriou's wins over Cameron Smotherman and Chris Dutenhoffer, while criticizing Kazama's poor striking defense and recent KO losses. He believes Grigoriou's striking will prevail, especially given Kazama's two consecutive KO defeats.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Armfield | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 1 | 45 of 77 | 58% | 45 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Armfield | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 1 | 45 of 77 | 58% | 45 of 77 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:26 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Garrett Armfield | 15 of 31 | 48% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 45 of 77 | 58% | 36 of 67 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 40 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Garrett Armfield | 15 of 31 | 48% | 8 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 45 of 77 | 58% | 36 of 67 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 40 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 |
Angelo sees Armfield as more well-rounded but notes that he often fights to his opponent's style instead of imposing his own. He acknowledges Kazama's slick BJJ and chin issues, but leans toward Armfield due to his technical striking and takedown defense. He is not betting on this fight, just watching.
Big Brady notes that Garrett Armfield has struggled with wrestlers and grapplers in his losses, being submitted twice. He sees Toshiomi Kazama as a dangerous grappler who can take the fight to the mat and submit Armfield. He also mentions the long flight to Singapore as a potential disadvantage for Armfield. He forgives Kazama for his quick loss to Rinya Nakamura and believes this is a winnable fight for him.
Cody picks Armfield, citing his well-rounded skills and training at Kill Cliff FC. He notes Kazama's chinny history and one-dimensional grappling. Cody expects Armfield to improve after moving to his natural weight class and training with top partners.
Daniel picks Garrett Armfield, noting that he is faster, more accurate, and more technically sound. He mentions that Kazama has a terrible chin and is a one-trick pony with submissions. He is confident Armfield can keep the fight standing and win by striking. He bet 2 units at -147 and is confident in the pick, though he acknowledges the submission threat.
James picks Garrett Armfield as the better all-around MMA fighter. He believes Armfield is the superior striker and that Kazama's wrestling is not good enough to take Armfield down consistently. He notes Kazama's Jiu-Jitsu is a lower-percentage path from the bottom, and Armfield should be able to avoid submissions and win on the feet.
The host describes Kazama as a BJJ black belt with poor striking who relies on pulling guard and sweeps. He believes Armfield will use his wrestling defensively to keep the fight standing and utilize his speed and striking advantage to damage Kazama. The host expects Armfield to eventually get a knockout due to accumulative damage, noting that Kazama leaves many openings.
Paul picks Kazama as an underdog, citing the Asian fighter advantage in Singapore and jet lag concerns for Armfield. He notes Kazama's submission skills but acknowledges his poor chin. Paul is not confident but likes the value.
The MMA Guru picks Garrett Armfield over Toshiomi Kazama, trusting the American regional scene and Kill Cliff FC training over Kazama's Japanese scene. He notes Armfield's tough debut against David Onama but believes he is more well-rounded. He criticizes Kazama's KO loss to a 2-2 opponent and unimpressive Road to UFC win. He predicts Armfield's superior substance of competition will prevail.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 2 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 2 | 11 of 25 | 44% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rinya Nakamura | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 11 of 25 | 44% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rinya Nakamura | 4 of 10 | 40% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Toshiomi Kazama | 11 of 25 | 44% | 11 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
Big Brady is high on Nakamura's world-class wrestling and knockout power. He thinks Kazama will struggle to take down a wrestler of Nakamura's caliber and will be knocked out early. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody picks Nakamura inside the distance, calling him the best prospect on the card. He notes Nakamura's world-class wrestling pedigree and finishing ability. He expects Nakamura to take Kazama down and finish, possibly by submission. He also considers a small sprinkle on Nakamura by submission at +800.
Connor agrees, noting that Kazama's insistence on wrestling will play into Nakamura's strengths. He points out that Kazama's bag of tricks may not work against a superior athlete, and that Nakamura has shown rapid improvement. He sees this as a winnable matchup for Nakamura to showcase his development.
Paul picks Nakamura inside the distance, emphasizing his wrestling background and MMA upbringing. He notes Nakamura's ability to strike or grapple, and expects him to knock out Kazama. He thinks Kazama's guard-pulling style will not work against Nakamura's physicality.
Zane highlights Nakamura's rapid improvement and wrestling background, noting that he has become a more aggressive combination puncher with natural instincts for pressuring. He contrasts this with Kazama, who is crafty but not a great athlete and tends to lose wrestling exchanges as fights go on. He believes Nakamura's higher ceiling and athleticism will prevail.
Expert Picks (5)
Big Brady is high on Nakamura's world-class wrestling and knockout power. He thinks Kazama will struggle to take down a wrestler of Nakamura's caliber and will be knocked out early. He predicts a first-round knockout.
Cody picks Nakamura inside the distance, calling him the best prospect on the card. He notes Nakamura's world-class wrestling pedigree and finishing ability. He expects Nakamura to take Kazama down and finish, possibly by submission. He also considers a small sprinkle on Nakamura by submission at +800.
Connor agrees, noting that Kazama's insistence on wrestling will play into Nakamura's strengths. He points out that Kazama's bag of tricks may not work against a superior athlete, and that Nakamura has shown rapid improvement. He sees this as a winnable matchup for Nakamura to showcase his development.
Paul picks Nakamura inside the distance, emphasizing his wrestling background and MMA upbringing. He notes Nakamura's ability to strike or grapple, and expects him to knock out Kazama. He thinks Kazama's guard-pulling style will not work against Nakamura's physicality.
Zane highlights Nakamura's rapid improvement and wrestling background, noting that he has become a more aggressive combination puncher with natural instincts for pressuring. He contrasts this with Kazama, who is crafty but not a great athlete and tends to lose wrestling exchanges as fights go on. He believes Nakamura's higher ceiling and athleticism will prevail.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!