Career Averages - Joseph Holmes
Career Averages - Alen Amedovski
Joseph Holmes
Alen Amedovski
Joseph Holmes - Fight History
Connor picks Ribeiro as well, noting that Holmes has never shown the ability to confidently pressure like Abdul Razak Alhassan did to beat Ribeiro. He sees Ribeiro's athleticism as the difference, though both are one-dimensional.
Zane picks Ribeiro because of his athleticism and power, which often win at middleweight. He notes Holmes is awkward and limited, and Ribeiro's speed and strength should be enough. However, he acknowledges Holmes could win if he gets to body locks and tires Ribeiro.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 0 | 20 of 40 | 50% | 21 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 48 of 76 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 4:37 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 0 | 18 of 36 | 50% | 19 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:39 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 22 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 0 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 6 of 9 | 66% | 26 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 2:42 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JunYong Park | 20 of 40 | 50% | 8 of 24 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 19 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Joseph Holmes | 18 of 33 | 54% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 | 14 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JunYong Park | 18 of 36 | 50% | 7 of 21 | 5 of 7 | 6 of 8 | 17 of 33 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Joseph Holmes | 12 of 24 | 50% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | JunYong Park | 2 of 4 | 50% | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 6 of 9 | 66% | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 |
Big Brady picks JunYong Park to win by decision. He notes that Park has fought much better competition and has superior cardio and striking volume. He acknowledges Holmes' height and reach advantage but believes Park can mix in takedowns and win minutes against the cage. Brady points out that Holmes has never been finished but expects Park to grind out a decision.
Cody picks Jun Yong Park, noting his durability and forward pressure. He acknowledges Park's poor ring IQ (getting caught by Gregory Rodrigues) but believes Park will break Holmes down over time. Cody is concerned about Holmes' grappling if Park ends up on his back, but expects Park to win a decision.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Park as a clear favorite. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw and tentative, while Park is a busy, well-rounded fighter who can jab, take down, and grind. Connor mentions the size difference but believes Park's technical edge and pressure will be too much for Holmes.
Daniel Levi picks JunYong Park, citing his experience and veteran savvy. He acknowledges Holmes' physical advantages (height, reach) and improvement, but trusts Park's experience against tough competition. He notes Park has been rocked before, so an upset is possible, but leans with the experienced fighter.
Jacob picks Park as the safer pick, expecting him to be the cleaner striker and defend takedowns. However, he is hesitant because Park lacks danger and Holmes has dangerous jiu-jitsu. He calls the -230 odds insane and suggests Holmes is the value underdog.
Park has excellent pace, pressure, and grappling. He gassed against Gregory Rodrigues only because he threw everything at him. Holmes relies on physical attributes but lacks the skill to handle Park's pressure. Park should finish Holmes in the second or third round. The fight doesn't go to decision prop at +120 is a good alternative.
Paul leans toward Park but is not betting due to the -220 price. He notes Holmes' reach advantage and decent grappling, but is unimpressed with Holmes' stand-up. Paul says the market price seems about right and he will pick Park to win but stay away from betting.
The MMA Guru picks JunYong Park over Joseph Holmes, questioning Holmes' gas tank and the quality of his wins. He notes Holmes' win over Alan Amadovsky is not impressive as everyone finishes him early. He praises Park's performances against Eric Anders and Gregory Rodriguez, and believes Park can survive Holmes' early explosiveness and then take over, predicting a third-round TKO.
Zane picks Park confidently, describing him as 'really quite good everywhere' with solid footwork, a good jab, takedowns, and brutal top control. He notes that Holmes is extremely raw, awkward, and uncoordinated, with only a puncher's chance. Zane acknowledges the size advantage Holmes has but believes Park's technical skills and pace will overwhelm him.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Holmes | 1 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 16 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Holmes | 1 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 16 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Holmes | 16 of 23 | 69% | 11 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
| Alen Amedovski | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Holmes | 16 of 23 | 69% | 11 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
| Alen Amedovski | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Joseph Holmes because of his size, versatility, and ability to mix striking and grappling. He notes that Amedovski has been on a long layoff and has shown holes in his grappling. Holmes's length and takedown threat should open up his hands. Angelo will likely stay away from betting but trusts Holmes to get the win.
Big Brady picks Joseph Holmes to win by first-round submission, but calls it a sketchy fight between two low-level fighters. He notes Holmes has a size advantage and a brown belt in BJJ, while Amedovski has poor takedown defense and ground game. However, Amedovski hits hard and could knock Holmes out early. He says laying -200 on Holmes is not ideal.
Cody picks Holmes, citing his size advantage (6'4", 80-inch reach), youth (26), and multiple paths to victory. He notes Amedovski's poor takedown defense, lack of ground game, and three-year layoff. He believes Holmes' length, clinch knees, and improved cardio after a full camp will be too much for Amedovski.
The host does not discuss this fight in detail. He mentions Holmes in the context of live betting spots, suggesting Holmes after round one if grappling is heavy, but does not make a clear pick or provide analysis.
Paul is hesitant but leans Holmes. He notes Amedovski's terrible UFC performances and long layoff, but also acknowledges Holmes' green stand-up and cardio issues. He thinks Holmes' size and grappling should be enough, but is not fully confident.
The MMA Guru picks Joseph Holmes but is hesitant. He thinks Holmes has a massive advantage on the feet and will land good shots while Amedovski struggles with takedowns. He trusts Holmes more now that he has octagon experience. He predicts a second-round TKO with a fadeaway hook.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Pickett | 0 | 50 of 122 | 40% | 54 of 126 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 51 of 93 | 54% | 59 of 101 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 10 of 23 | 43% | 12 of 25 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 24 of 35 | 68% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:54 | |
| 2 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 23 of 55 | 41% | 24 of 56 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 13 of 27 | 48% | 18 of 32 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 | |
| 3 | Jamie Pickett | 0 | 17 of 44 | 38% | 18 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:20 |
| Joseph Holmes | 0 | 14 of 31 | 45% | 15 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Pickett | 50 of 122 | 40% | 22 of 86 | 19 of 24 | 9 of 12 | 40 of 108 | 10 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 51 of 93 | 54% | 30 of 65 | 13 of 19 | 8 of 9 | 41 of 82 | 10 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jamie Pickett | 10 of 23 | 43% | 4 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 5 | 9 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 24 of 35 | 68% | 13 of 21 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 17 of 28 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jamie Pickett | 23 of 55 | 41% | 12 of 42 | 9 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 18 of 50 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 13 of 27 | 48% | 9 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jamie Pickett | 17 of 44 | 38% | 6 of 29 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 36 | 4 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Joseph Holmes | 14 of 31 | 45% | 8 of 22 | 5 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 27 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo leans toward Pickett due to UFC experience, but worries about Holmes' equal size and grappling threat. He notes Pickett's reach advantage is neutralized and that both can be gun-shy. He calls it a razor-thin pick and says he won't bet on it.
Big Brady thinks the odds are off, as Joseph Holmes is inexperienced and has fought low-level competition, while Jamie Pickett has faced UFC-caliber fighters. He calls it a coin flip and says he would not bet it, but if forced to pick, he takes Pickett as a dog by decision. He notes both fighters have similar skill sets and low volume.
Cody leans toward Holmes, citing his length and reach advantage. He notes Holmes's camp (James Krause) will have a good game plan. He expects Holmes to use his range striking and avoid grappling. However, he admits Holmes looked green and the fight could go either way.
Daniel Levi leans toward Joseph Holmes, citing his physical advantages (6'4", 80-inch reach) and finishing ability (submission and KO). He notes that Pickett has folded under pressure in the past, losing by first-round finishes to Charles Byrd and Jordan Wright. Levi is hesitant because Holmes hasn't been tested at UFC level, but he believes Holmes will outwork Pickett in a close fight. He also mentions Pickett's mental struggles and that he's seeing a therapist.
The host leans toward Joseph Holmes, expecting him to dictate the pace with clinch work and takedowns against the cage. He notes Pickett's durability but thinks Holmes' aggression and control will win rounds. The host is not confident in a finish, predicting a decision. He mentions the over 1.5 rounds as a possible bet due to both fighters' low finishing rates.
Paul leans toward Pickett as an underdog, citing his experience and durability. He notes Holmes is very green and his striking is telegraphed. He expects Pickett's strength in the clinch to be a factor. However, he acknowledges Holmes's length and potential if he keeps the fight at range.
The MMA Guru picks Joseph Holmes to win by first-round TKO. He highlights Holmes' Muay Thai background, range, power, and accuracy on the feet, and notes that Holmes already beat Pickett on the regional scene by first-round destruction. He doesn't see Pickett's grappling as a threat, as Holmes is rangier and better at controlling distance. He expects Holmes to land a clean shot early and finish the fight quickly, similar to how Jordan Wright did.
Alen Amedovski - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Pyfer | 1 | 14 of 45 | 31% | 14 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Pyfer | 1 | 14 of 45 | 31% | 14 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 11 of 30 | 36% | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Pyfer | 14 of 45 | 31% | 12 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Alen Amedovski | 11 of 30 | 36% | 4 of 19 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Pyfer | 14 of 45 | 31% | 12 of 42 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Alen Amedovski | 11 of 30 | 36% | 4 of 19 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 7 | 11 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Pyfer, praising his power, pressure, and wrestling. He notes that Amedovski is a knockout-or-bust fighter who has lost three in a row and looked disinterested. Angelo believes Pyfer can win by knockout or submission and is safe for parlays.
Big Brady is very confident in Joe Pyfer to win by first-round submission. He notes that Pyfer is well-rounded with good wrestling, grappling, and power, while Amedovski has looked horrible in the UFC with a 0% takedown defense. Brady expects Pyfer to take the easiest path: take down Amedovski, beat him up, and submit him. He also mentions that Amedovski's only threat is landing a big shot in the first 60 seconds, but Pyfer should have him covered everywhere.
Cody thinks Pyfer has Amedovski beat everywhere: striking, wrestling, and ground game. He notes Amedovski's poor takedown defense and chin issues. Cody calls Pyfer a top ticket play and a good parlay piece, though he acknowledges the price is steep.
Daniel Levi picks Joe Pyfer to win but refuses to bet at minus 425. He thinks Pyfer is overrated, with low volume and a susceptibility to being taken down, as seen in his contender series fight. He expects Pyfer to win due to Amedovski's poor UFC performances, but views Pyfer as a -400 type and plans to fade him in future fights against better competition.
Jacob is very confident in Pyfer, noting that Amedovski looked like he didn't want to be there in his last fight. He believes Pyfer is hungry and can finish early. Jacob wanted to bet under 1.5 rounds but the odds moved. He thinks Pyfer can win by knockout or submission.
Amedovski has shown terrible fight IQ and durability, getting knocked out quickly by John Phillips and submitted by Joseph Holmes. Pyfer is bigger, faster, and more skilled everywhere. Pyfer should take this to the ground and submit him or knock him out early. The under 1.5 rounds is a strong play. I took a sprinkle on Pyfer by submission at +550 but he may look for the knockout instead.
Paul calls Amedovski the worst fighter on the roster and says Pyfer should roll. He notes Pyfer's well-rounded skills and that Amedovski has been finished by lower-level opponents. Paul says he wouldn't bat an eye at people parlaying Pyfer.
The MMA Guru picks Joe Pyfer by KO in the first round. He views Alen Amedovski as a fighter paid to lose, noting he was easily submitted by Joseph Holmes and KO'd by John Phillips. He thinks Amedovski is small for the division, out of shape, and 34 years old. He believes Pyfer's power, reach advantage, youth, and momentum will lead to a first-round knockout.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Holmes | 1 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 16 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Holmes | 1 | 16 of 23 | 69% | 16 of 23 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Holmes | 16 of 23 | 69% | 11 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
| Alen Amedovski | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joseph Holmes | 16 of 23 | 69% | 11 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
| Alen Amedovski | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Joseph Holmes because of his size, versatility, and ability to mix striking and grappling. He notes that Amedovski has been on a long layoff and has shown holes in his grappling. Holmes's length and takedown threat should open up his hands. Angelo will likely stay away from betting but trusts Holmes to get the win.
Big Brady picks Joseph Holmes to win by first-round submission, but calls it a sketchy fight between two low-level fighters. He notes Holmes has a size advantage and a brown belt in BJJ, while Amedovski has poor takedown defense and ground game. However, Amedovski hits hard and could knock Holmes out early. He says laying -200 on Holmes is not ideal.
Cody picks Holmes, citing his size advantage (6'4", 80-inch reach), youth (26), and multiple paths to victory. He notes Amedovski's poor takedown defense, lack of ground game, and three-year layoff. He believes Holmes' length, clinch knees, and improved cardio after a full camp will be too much for Amedovski.
The host does not discuss this fight in detail. He mentions Holmes in the context of live betting spots, suggesting Holmes after round one if grappling is heavy, but does not make a clear pick or provide analysis.
Paul is hesitant but leans Holmes. He notes Amedovski's terrible UFC performances and long layoff, but also acknowledges Holmes' green stand-up and cardio issues. He thinks Holmes' size and grappling should be enough, but is not fully confident.
The MMA Guru picks Joseph Holmes but is hesitant. He thinks Holmes has a massive advantage on the feet and will land good shots while Amedovski struggles with takedowns. He trusts Holmes more now that he has octagon experience. He predicts a second-round TKO with a fadeaway hook.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Phillips | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alen Amedovski | 1 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Phillips | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alen Amedovski | 1 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Phillips | 2 of 11 | 18% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alen Amedovski | 5 of 8 | 62% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | John Phillips | 2 of 11 | 18% | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Alen Amedovski | 5 of 8 | 62% | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 43 of 69 | 62% | 111 of 149 | 4 of 4 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 9:37 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 6 of 17 | 35% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 12 of 20 | 60% | 16 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:13 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 17 of 32 | 53% | 45 of 69 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:38 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 0 | 14 of 17 | 82% | 50 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:34 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Krzysztof Jotko | 43 of 69 | 62% | 37 of 56 | 4 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 35 of 44 |
| Alen Amedovski | 6 of 17 | 35% | 6 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Krzysztof Jotko | 12 of 20 | 60% | 9 of 13 | 1 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 6 |
| Alen Amedovski | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | Krzysztof Jotko | 17 of 32 | 53% | 17 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 26 |
| Alen Amedovski | 2 of 3 | 66% | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Krzysztof Jotko | 14 of 17 | 82% | 11 of 13 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 12 |
| Alen Amedovski | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (6)
Angelo picks Joseph Holmes because of his size, versatility, and ability to mix striking and grappling. He notes that Amedovski has been on a long layoff and has shown holes in his grappling. Holmes's length and takedown threat should open up his hands. Angelo will likely stay away from betting but trusts Holmes to get the win.
Big Brady picks Joseph Holmes to win by first-round submission, but calls it a sketchy fight between two low-level fighters. He notes Holmes has a size advantage and a brown belt in BJJ, while Amedovski has poor takedown defense and ground game. However, Amedovski hits hard and could knock Holmes out early. He says laying -200 on Holmes is not ideal.
Cody picks Holmes, citing his size advantage (6'4", 80-inch reach), youth (26), and multiple paths to victory. He notes Amedovski's poor takedown defense, lack of ground game, and three-year layoff. He believes Holmes' length, clinch knees, and improved cardio after a full camp will be too much for Amedovski.
The host does not discuss this fight in detail. He mentions Holmes in the context of live betting spots, suggesting Holmes after round one if grappling is heavy, but does not make a clear pick or provide analysis.
Paul is hesitant but leans Holmes. He notes Amedovski's terrible UFC performances and long layoff, but also acknowledges Holmes' green stand-up and cardio issues. He thinks Holmes' size and grappling should be enough, but is not fully confident.
The MMA Guru picks Joseph Holmes but is hesitant. He thinks Holmes has a massive advantage on the feet and will land good shots while Amedovski struggles with takedowns. He trusts Holmes more now that he has octagon experience. He predicts a second-round TKO with a fadeaway hook.
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