vs
+124 -125
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira Next Fight
Age 33
Height 6' 1"
Reach 71"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 40
Height 5' 11"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Uroš Medić
5.59 SLpM
60.0% Str. Acc.
3.42 SApM
56.0% Str. Def.
0.34 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
55.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Omar Morales
3.42 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
3.18 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
0.46 TD Avg
100.0% TD Acc.
63.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Uroš Medić
Moneyline
FanDuel +124
KO/TKO
FanDuel +280
Submission
DraftKings +1400
Decision
BetMGM +500
Omar Morales
Moneyline
BetWay -125
KO/TKO
FanDuel +230
Submission
FanDuel +600
Decision
FanDuel +380
Uroš Medić - Fight History
WIN vs Geoff Neal
KO R1 1:19 · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · Feb 21, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Geoff Neal 0 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 10 of 19 52% 10 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Geoff Neal 0 3 of 10 30% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 10 of 19 52% 10 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Geoff Neal 3 of 10 30% 1 of 6 1 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 10 of 19 52% 4 of 10 6 of 9 0 of 0 10 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Geoff Neal 3 of 10 30% 1 of 6 1 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 10 of 19 52% 4 of 10 6 of 9 0 of 0 10 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Angelo picks Geoff Neal despite recent knockout loss, citing his overall experience and well-rounded skill set. He acknowledges Uroš Medić's power and finishing ability but notes Medić's questionable chin. He is hesitant because Neal is 35 and coming off a KO, but believes Neal is the better fighter.

"Geoff Neal's going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Big Brady picks Geoff Neal to defeat Uroš Medić, citing Medić's suspect chin and Neal's heavy hands. He notes that Medić has been dropped by lesser punchers like Gilbert Urbina, while Neal hits like a truck. He predicts a first-round knockout, possibly requiring a stretcher for Medić. He acknowledges Neal was knocked out in his last fight but calls that a fluke spinning elbow that would KO most of the division.

Geoff Neal by first-round knockout
"I think Geoff Neal's going to hit Medich very hard and I'm just not sure Medich is going to be able to take it. I got to go Geoff Neal here to win and I'm going to take Geoff Neal …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Cody buys into Neal's sobriety narrative and thinks this is his easiest fight in a while. He notes Medić is an under machine who either finishes or gets finished, and expects Neal to win by KO early. He recommends under 1.5 rounds.

under 1.5 rounds
"Neil's the pick for me, but give me unders. Fight doesn't go to decision as parlay pieces."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Connor picks Neal confidently, stating that Medić is a glass cannon who gets hurt easily and sells out on his shots, leaving him vulnerable to counters. He notes that Neal has been tested against much better competition and has always been competitive, while Medić's wins have aged poorly. He believes Neal's composure and athleticism will be too much for Medić.

Connor thinks the odds should be more like -400; Neal opened -180, now -212; Medić opened +155, now +182
"I'm going to be real honest. I think this should be like your plus minus 400 odds kind of fight."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)

The host rules out betting on Neal due to red flags from an interview where Neal discussed past issues with drugs, alcohol, and diet, making him unreliable at -225. He is tempted by Medic as a +178 underdog, noting Medic's dynamic striking and power, but passes because Medic has slowed in past fights and Neal has excellent cardio. He concludes it's an easy pass on both sides.

Neal's lifestyle red flags; Medic's cardio concerns
"There is no [__] way that anyone with a brain can bet Jeff Neil after he has literally told you his diet might not be the best and he has issues with drugs slash alcohol."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

James picks Geoff Neal to win by first-round KO, citing Neal's experience against elite competition and the step down in competition for Medic. He notes that Medic is volatile and prone to getting knocked out early, and that Neal's power and boxing should be enough to finish him. James also likes the under 1.5 rounds and doesn't go to decision props.

under 1.5 rounds at -175, doesn't go to decision
"I will pick Jeff Neil to get it done via KO in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Neal is a crafty striker with good power and range management, and he has fought tougher competition. Medic is a Muay Thai specialist but has durability issues and poor grappling defense. Neal should be able to land a big shot and finish Medic, likely in the first round. The line is fair given Neal's experience and home crowd.

"I think Neil wins pretty easily here and I think he gets the knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Paul thinks Neal's step up in competition is significant and that Medić's chin is suspect. He notes Neal has fought top welterweights and held his own, while Medić has been knocked out by lesser opponents. He expects Neal to win by KO, possibly in the first round.

Neal by KO -133
"Neil Neil KO minus 133 any round minus 133. Yeah, looks like the way to go."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Geoff Neal, despite concerns about his chin and motivation after a KO loss. He believes Medić makes mistakes and is explosive but can be caught coming in. He predicts Neal will find a way to put Medić away in round two after Medić expends his energy.

TKO round two
"I'm going to go with Geoff Neal by TKO round two."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Zane agrees with Connor, calling Medić a 'one hitter quitter' who is extremely vulnerable on the counter. He notes that Medić has no defense and gets hurt easily, even in fights he wins. He believes Neal is significantly better in the pocket and should be able to weather Medić's early power and then take over.

"I think Jeff Neil is significantly better and more composed in the pocket than Medic. If Jeff Neil doesn't absolutely dust rose Medic, then that'll be a huge shock."
KO R1 1:03 · UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Nov 08, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muslim Salikhov 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 8 of 13 61% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muslim Salikhov 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 1 8 of 13 61% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muslim Salikhov 2 of 5 40% 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 8 of 13 61% 5 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muslim Salikhov 2 of 5 40% 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 3 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 8 of 13 61% 5 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 1 5 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Uros Medic vs. Muslim Salikhov
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Medic (-180); Salikhov (+150)

Round 1
If rankings and relevant pairings do not litter the lineup, at least the matchmakers have lined up a few bangers. At 41, Salikhov (22-5, 9-4 UFC) may be looking as good as ever, with three wins in a row including two knockouts making his twilight years quite something. He will have to contend with brick-fisted Serb Medic (11-3, 5-3 UFC), who has come from Alaska to train down in California at Kings MMA. The two welterweights will be joined in the Octagon by referee Kerry Hatley, who has already donned his proverbial hard hat, fully cognizant that this one could be a doozey. There is a touch of gloves to open things up.
Medic tries early to swat away Salikhov’s staging left hand, stomping his way forward to threaten with strikes to the lead knee. Both men lash out with blows at the same time, and they need some time before re-engaging. They kick simultaneously, with Medic putting a scare in the Dagestan native by going upstairs. Medic tosses one out with his other leg, wrapping it around the back of the Russian’s melon.
Salikhov has to back off, and Medic rifles off a straight left hand that puts Salikhov on his seat. Salikhov tries to scoot around to grab hold of the leg of “The Doctor,” but Medic slams him in the side of the head with his angry Alaskan fist a few times until Salikhov shells up.
Hatley sees that Salikhov has physically surrendered at that point and steps in to save the Russian from any further harm. That is two knockouts in a row for Medic right around one minute, as he iced Gilbert Urbina in August in 63 seconds. The 100% finish rate remains intact as well, as Medic calls for bigger opportunities in the future.

The Official Result
Uros Medic def. Muslim Salikhov R1 1:03 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Uros Medic because he is younger, faster, and more technical, but he is not confident. He notes that Muslim Salikhov hits extremely hard and has wrestling, making him a phenomenal underdog. He acknowledges that Medic was almost finished by Gilbert Urbina, which raises concerns about his chin.

"I'm going to pick the younger, faster, more technical striker, but damn, like this is a tough-ass fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 7, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Big Brady has a hot take predicting Salikhov wins by spinning wheel kick knockout in the first round. He highlights Salikhov's patented spinning wheel kick, which he has used to knock out multiple opponents, including Carlos Leia. He questions Medić's durability, noting he got knocked down by Gilbert Urbina, which is a bad sign. He expects an early knockout.

spinning wheel kick knockout, first round, under 1.5 rounds
"I'm gonna go Salakov here. Salakov spinning old kick. First round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Cody picks Salikhov, noting his power and counter-striking ability. He thinks Medić's aggressive, forward-moving style plays into Salikhov's hands, and that Salikhov will land a knockout early.

"It's a solo play for me as well."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Nov 2, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Lucrative James picks Muslim Salikhov despite acknowledging the volatility of the matchup. He notes Salikhov's higher level of competition and experience, as well as his recent training camp improvements. However, he admits both fighters have poor chins and heavy hands, making it a coin flip. He predicts Salikhov wins by knockout in round one, but also considers betting on the under or 'doesn't go to decision'.

KO in round 1
"I will pick Muslim Salikov for those reasons I just mentioned. I will pick him via knockout in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The host expects a firecracker fight and loves the under 1.5 rounds. He believes Medic will snipe Salikhov from distance and win by knockout within five minutes.

Under 1.5 rounds, knockout
"I love the under one and a half in this fight, but I ultimately think it's going to be Medic from distance who ends up sniping Salakov and getting him out of there within five minutes."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 5, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

Paul also picks Salikhov, calling the fight a 'car crash' and expecting a knockout. He likes the plus money on the older fighter and thinks Medić's durability issues will be exposed.

"Give me the old man Salikov because he's plus money."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Muslim Salikhov

The Guru picks Muslim Salikhov to win by first-round KO. He believes Uroš Medić is too easily hit and erratic, lunging in with punches, while Salikhov has powerful spinning attacks and counters. He expects Salikhov to catch Medić coming in and finish him early.

round 1 KO
"I'm going to go with Muslim Salakov getting this one done by KO victory in the first round."
KO R1 1:03 · UFC on ESPN: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · Aug 09, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Uroš Medić 1 5 of 9 55% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Gilbert Urbina 1 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Uroš Medić 1 5 of 9 55% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Gilbert Urbina 1 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Uroš Medić 5 of 9 55% 4 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1
Gilbert Urbina 5 of 10 50% 3 of 7 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Uroš Medić 5 of 9 55% 4 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 1
Gilbert Urbina 5 of 10 50% 3 of 7 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Aug 3, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Uroš Medić but hates the odds at -350. He notes Medić is a technical striker with 100% finish rate and killer instinct, but his takedown defense is low. Gilbert Urbina is a grappler with high output but poor striking defense. Angelo thinks Medić will win because strikers are having more success, but the odds are too wide for his liking.

Odds comment: hates the -350 line, thinks it's too wide.
"Uros Medic is going to be the pick, but I hate these odds. minus 350."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 6, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Big Brady is confident in Uroš Medić, citing his 100% finish rate and legitimate striking power. He criticizes Gilbert Urbina's chin, noting he was dropped multiple times by Tawn Gore and knocked out by Charles Raki. Brady believes Medić is a much better striker than Raki and will knock out Urbina early. He predicts a first-round knockout for Medić.

first round knockout
"I like Medic here. I think he's knocking out Erbena. I think it's going to be early. I think it's going to be in the first round. Give me Earos Medic by first round knockout here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Despite not being a big fan of Medic, the host sees this as a winnable fight and expects it to be violent. He thinks Medic will consistently crash the pocket and produce car crashes that could result in a finish, leading him to pick Medic by knockout.

by KO
"I'm not a big fan of Medic, but this is a very winnable fight for him and one that I expect to be violent from jump."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 8, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Uroš Medić

The MMA Guru picks Uroš Medić over Gilbert Urbina, noting that Urbina's height is likely misreported and he lacks presence. He believes Medić has better offensive skills and finishing potential, and that his losses are to higher-level opponents. He predicts a TKO win for Medić.

"I'm going with Uros Medic. I think he's better offensively. I think he's got more finishing potential."
KO (punches) R1 0:31 · UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · Jan 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Punahele Soriano 1 13 of 17 76% 13 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Uroš Medić 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Punahele Soriano 1 13 of 17 76% 13 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Uroš Medić 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Punahele Soriano 13 of 17 76% 12 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 9
Uroš Medić 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Punahele Soriano 13 of 17 76% 12 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 8 0 of 0 8 of 9
Uroš Medić 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Uroš Medić, citing his superior striking, speed, and power. He notes that Punahele Soriano's only path to victory is wrestling, but Medić's takedown defense is a concern. However, he believes Medić is the better striker and will land clean shots. He has Medić in a parlay with César Almeida, though he expresses some nervousness about the bet.

Parlay with César Almeida
"I'm going to go ahead and pick uros medik and I actually have him parlay I'll give you the other half of that parlay in a little bit"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Big Brady sees a clear path for Soriano: take Medić down. He notes Medić's takedown defense and ground game are questionable, and Soriano looked dominant at welterweight against Baeza, landing 331 strikes. He worries Soriano might strike instead of wrestle, but believes if he uses his wrestling, he can win by TKO or decision. He picks Soriano to win, possibly by TKO via ground and pound.

"I got to go pun haly Serano here I think the path is clear as day"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Cody picks Medić, questioning Soriano's one good performance at 170 against a shot Miguel Baeza. He believes Medić's power and pace will cause Soriano to fatigue. He notes Medić's finishing ability and Soriano's history of gassing.

"I'm going to take medic as the official pick but he's not going to be U like someone I want to have a ton of investment on"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Connor picks Soriano because he believes Soriano's wrestling and physicality will be effective at welterweight. He notes that Soriano showed a grinding game against Miguel Baeza, and Medić is bad at dealing with sustained pressure and takedowns. While Soriano is uncreative and has shown little improvement, Connor thinks his size and strength advantage will allow him to control the fight. He acknowledges it's not a smart pick but sees a path.

"So I'm going to pick Soriano."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Daniel notes Medić is more technically sound on the feet with better volume and diversity, while Soriano has big power in his left hand but shaky in-between and cardio concerns at welterweight. He thinks Medić will win the minutes, but Soriano could land a big shot or use wrestling. He picks Medić but is not interested in betting.

not interested in betting
"I'm going go with medic here um cuz I do think that if this fight's staying standing yes Puna has a chance to land one big shot but just in terms of the volume the output and the action it's …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Lucrative James picks Uroš Medić to win, citing Medić's superior striking and cleaner kickboxing. He acknowledges Soriano's wrestling advantage and power, but believes Medić's skill on the feet will prevail over three rounds. He notes Soriano's cardio issues and that Medić has decent takedown defense. He also mentions that Soriano moved down from 185 and Medić moved up from 155, but still favors Medić's higher ceiling.

"I think uros medes is the better fighter and I think he's going to win the fight I think he has too many skills in the strik in and he has decent take down defense at least initially"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Soriano is a solid wrestler as shown in his welterweight debut against Miguel Baeza. He will get to his grappling, keep Medić on his back, and grind out a decision win as long as he doesn't get finished early.

"I think we'll see him get to that grappling once again here keeping uros medic on his back and as long as he doesn't get finished early he should be able to Gra this match up out and win it …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul picks Soriano as a plus-money underdog, citing his impressive wrestling at 170 in his last fight. He expects fireworks and has bet under 1.5 rounds. He acknowledges Medić's danger but likes Soriano's path via takedowns.

under 1.5 rounds
"all side with with Puna because of me uh plus money Underdog plus the fact that like he showed us some of that wrestling there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The Guru picks Medić, noting his size as a big lightweight at welterweight, his KO of Tim Means, and his better technique and speed. He criticizes Soriano's recent performances, including losses to Dustin Stoltzfus and a poor showing against Miguel Baeza. He predicts an early TKO for Medić.

early TKO
"I'm going to go uros medic here over penelli Sano it might be a dangerous fight but I think he'll have way better technique and he'll be a lot faster so I could actually see anos medic early TKO over …"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Zane picks Medić because he is a more dangerous finisher and expects Soriano to struggle to impose his game plan. Medić's movement and kicks could frustrate Soriano, who is hittable and plotting. Zane notes that Soriano's win over Baeza was more about Baeza's poor performance than Soriano's skill. Medić's ability to keep the fight in open space and avoid being clinched gives him the edge.

"I'm going to go with meditch."
WIN vs Tim Means
TKO (punches) R1 2:09 · UFC on ESPN: Nicolau vs. Perez · Apr 27, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Uroš Medić 0 7 of 17 41% 10 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:18
Tim Means 1 7 of 12 58% 11 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Uroš Medić 0 7 of 17 41% 10 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:18
Tim Means 1 7 of 12 58% 11 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Uroš Medić 7 of 17 41% 1 of 10 5 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
Tim Means 7 of 12 58% 5 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 9 1 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Uroš Medić 7 of 17 41% 1 of 10 5 of 6 1 of 1 5 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
Tim Means 7 of 12 58% 5 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 9 1 of 2 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 21, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo is very confident Uroš Medić wins, citing his youth, speed, power, and superior striking. He notes Medić has a 100% finish rate and killer instinct. The only concern is Medić's 46% takedown defense, but he thinks Tim Means at 40 years old may not be able to exploit it. He expects a finish and suggests waiting for prop bets, hoping for a 2.5 round line to bet the under.

Under 2.5 rounds (if available)
"uros medic should win this fight I very confident in him to win this fight I don't know if I trust these odds just yet let's wait for the prop bets"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Cody picks Means as a dog, citing his experience and cleaner striking. He notes Means' body work and straight left, and believes he can hurt Medić, who has been rocked before. However, he admits Means' age and cardio are concerns, making it a doger pass.

"it's pretty clear dogger pass here means could beat him on volume too"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Daniel thinks Means is durable but at 40 may not dig deep when hurt. He notes Medić is younger, more dangerous, and showed heart in the Semelsberger fight. He leans Medić but won't bet at -310, though he might take Means as a dog if the price gets better.

"I'm gonna go medic but I mean I'd love to see the Dirty Bird win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 26, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Uroš Medić

Medić is younger, faster, and more powerful. Means is 40 with a lot of mileage. Medić's Muay Thai and power should overwhelm Means as the fight goes on. I expect Medić to finish Means, possibly by knockout. The inside distance prop is a good option.

Medić wins inside distance
"I think that medic as he continues to land and starts landing on means uh it's going to cause means to you know I think it will cause him to break and I think that will eventually see means actually …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 24, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Tim Means

Paul also picks Means, highlighting his experience against better competition and his opportunistic submission game. He thinks Means' grappling advantage could be key, as Medić has poor takedown defense. He calls it a clear doger pass.

"it's pretty clear dogger pass here means could beat him on volume too"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The MMA Guru picks Uroš Medić, calling him more explosive and dangerous on the feet. He criticizes Tim Means as hitting a veteran decline and notes his loss to Matt Semelsberger. He highlights Medić's good cardio and nasty body kicks, predicting a TKO via liver shot. He also mentions Medić's near-finish of Orolbai and his ability to handle Means' grinding style.

TKO via liver shot
"I'm going to go uros medic I think he's really dangerous"
Submission (neck crank) R2 4:12 · UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · Nov 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Myktybek Orolbai 0 14 of 27 51% 17 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Uroš Medić 0 8 of 20 40% 16 of 31 7 of 10 70% 1 0 7:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Myktybek Orolbai 0 14 of 25 56% 15 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Uroš Medić 0 5 of 13 38% 6 of 14 5 of 8 62% 0 0 3:49
2 Myktybek Orolbai 0 0 of 2 0% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Uroš Medić 0 3 of 7 42% 10 of 17 2 of 2 100% 1 0 3:37
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Myktybek Orolbai 14 of 27 51% 10 of 20 4 of 7 0 of 0 5 of 14 8 of 12 1 of 1
Uroš Medić 8 of 20 40% 6 of 16 0 of 0 2 of 4 3 of 8 1 of 1 4 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Myktybek Orolbai 14 of 25 56% 10 of 20 4 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 12 8 of 12 1 of 1
Uroš Medić 5 of 13 38% 4 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 3 1 of 1 3 of 9
2 Myktybek Orolbai 0 of 2 0% 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Uroš Medić 3 of 7 42% 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 12, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

Angelo picks Uroš Medić, expecting his technical striking and patience to light up the brawler Johnny Parsons. He notes Medić has speed, footwork, and a killer instinct. He warns that Parsons is always live for a knockout but does not think he will find it here.

"I think uros medic is going to light up Johnny Parsons because he's going to be more technical he's going to stay on the outside"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Uroš Medić

Big Brady was impressed with Orolbai's skills but notes he's coming in on short notice, which affects his cardio for a wrestling-heavy game plan. He thinks Medić is dangerous, has shown three-round cardio, and can finish fights late. He picks Medić by third-round knockout, but says on a full camp he would pick Orolbai. He doesn't see himself betting this fight.

"I'm gonna pick medic just due to the fact that oral is coming in here on short notice"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Cody does not make a clear pick due to lack of information on Orolbai. He notes the fight was added late and he hasn't studied it. He mentions Orolbai looks like a 'bad man' but is on short notice. He leans towards passing or taking the favorite but is uncertain.

"I don't really got a concrete answer for you I guess orbi is the cowards way yet I'll just take the favorite"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 17, 2023 (1 day before fight)
Myktybek Orolbai

Orolbai has relentless grappling and crushing top pressure, with improved striking leading to knockouts. Medić is a striker with questionable ground game. Orolbai will dictate the pace with wrestling, land big shots, and find a finish in the second round. The fight doesn't go to decision is a favorite prop.

fight doesn't go to decision, Orolbai inside the distance
"give me oral by by uh let's say TKO inside the distance but even his betting line at minus 140 I think that is a gift of a line or obai inside the distance"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Nov 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)

Paul also does not make a clear pick, stating he hasn't looked into Orolbai enough. He mentions Medić's toughness and power but cannot confidently pick a side. He suggests the fight will be violent but passes on betting.

"I don't have I really don't know nearly enough about oral by to pick them"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

The MMA Guru picks Uroš Medić to finish Myktybek Orolbai with a body kick. He notes Medić's size at welterweight and his win over Matthew Semelsberger, where he survived a knockdown and finished him in the third round at altitude. He criticizes Orolbai for making Danny Roberts look competitive and believes Medić's reach and height advantage will lead to a finish.

kick to the body finish
"I'm going to go with Uros Medic over Johnny Parsons... I reckon OS is going to finish him with a kick to the body."
TKO (spinning backfist and punches) R3 2:36 · UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · Jul 29, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Uroš Medić 1 52 of 120 43% 53 of 121 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:13
Matthew Semelsberger 1 69 of 128 53% 76 of 135 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Uroš Medić 1 17 of 36 47% 18 of 37 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
Matthew Semelsberger 0 18 of 31 58% 19 of 32 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:19
2 Uroš Medić 0 24 of 58 41% 24 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Matthew Semelsberger 0 25 of 55 45% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Uroš Medić 0 11 of 26 42% 11 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:19
Matthew Semelsberger 1 26 of 42 61% 31 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Uroš Medić 52 of 120 43% 31 of 91 8 of 14 13 of 15 42 of 106 3 of 5 7 of 9
Matthew Semelsberger 69 of 128 53% 49 of 98 17 of 27 3 of 3 50 of 104 13 of 18 6 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Uroš Medić 17 of 36 47% 10 of 29 5 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 25 1 of 2 7 of 9
Matthew Semelsberger 18 of 31 58% 12 of 22 5 of 8 1 of 1 13 of 24 5 of 7 0 of 0
2 Uroš Medić 24 of 58 41% 12 of 40 3 of 8 9 of 10 23 of 57 1 of 1 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 25 of 55 45% 16 of 43 7 of 10 2 of 2 24 of 53 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Uroš Medić 11 of 26 42% 9 of 22 0 of 1 2 of 3 10 of 24 1 of 2 0 of 0
Matthew Semelsberger 26 of 42 61% 21 of 33 5 of 9 0 of 0 13 of 27 7 of 9 6 of 6
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 23, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Angelo picks Semelsberger because he believes Semelsberger has enough chin to weather Medić's striking and can then work in his grappling advantage. He notes that Semelsberger has solid leg kicks, body work, and power, but can be sloppy. He trusts Semelsberger to close the gap and drag the fight into later rounds, where his grappling should take over. He already placed a half-unit bet at -150.

half a unit at -150
"The pick is going to be Samuel's Burger because he should have enough chin to weather what other storm comes his way and then he can work in grappling."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Big Brady picks Matthew Semelsberger to win by second-round knockout. He argues that Semelsberger has more paths to victory: better durability, cardio, wrestling, and grappling, plus massive power (nine knockdowns in eight fights). He expects Medić, coming up in weight on short notice at elevation, to fade after an early onslaught, and Semelsberger's chin will hold up to finish him.

second round knockout
"I'll say semmelsberger's second round knockout though after medic starts to slow down a little bit"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Cody picks Semelsberger but is hesitant at -200. He notes Medić's power and early finishing ability but questions his cardio. Semelsberger has good volume and takedown defense issues but can survive early onslaughts. He suggests a live bet on Semelsberger if he survives the first round.

"someone's Burger is going to be the pick I'm not gonna get to it at minus 200 though"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Uroš Medić

James believes Medić is a cleaner striker with better timing and technique, while Semelsberger has more power but an elite chin that may eventually crack. He notes the line has moved heavily toward Semelsberger, creating value on Medić as an underdog. He thinks the fight is fairly even and that Medić's striking prowess gives him the edge.

"I do tend to think that there's some value on the uros medit side for me I think Urus medic is a cleaner Striker"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 24, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Semelsberger has more knockdowns than fights and his forward pressure and power punching will be too much for Medić. Medić is a glass cannon with a hand injury history and doesn't have the grappling to exploit Semelsberger's weakness. Semelsberger will land a big punch and knock him out. Fight doesn't go to decision is a great play.

fight doesn't go to decision
"I fully believe that the forward pressure and aggressive movement and power punching style of samuelsberger will be too much for medichair and I think that will allow him to get the win"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 26, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Paul also picks Semelsberger, citing his superior cardio and volume. He notes Medić's limited cardio and tendency to fade after the first round. Semelsberger has faced wrestlers and power punchers but has shown durability. He advises a live bet if Medić doesn't finish early.

"I gotta lead towards Summer's Burger having that Superior volume being able to actually fight 15 minutes"
WIN vs Omar Morales
TKO (punches) R2 3:05 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Uroš Medić 0 33 of 85 38% 33 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omar Morales 2 47 of 86 54% 47 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Uroš Medić 0 17 of 52 32% 17 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omar Morales 0 24 of 50 48% 24 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Uroš Medić 0 16 of 33 48% 16 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omar Morales 2 23 of 36 63% 23 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Uroš Medić 33 of 85 38% 18 of 64 8 of 14 7 of 7 32 of 82 1 of 3 0 of 0
Omar Morales 47 of 86 54% 21 of 57 13 of 16 13 of 13 45 of 83 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Uroš Medić 17 of 52 32% 6 of 37 7 of 11 4 of 4 17 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
Omar Morales 24 of 50 48% 11 of 35 8 of 10 5 of 5 23 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Uroš Medić 16 of 33 48% 12 of 27 1 of 3 3 of 3 15 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Omar Morales 23 of 36 63% 10 of 22 5 of 6 8 of 8 22 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Angelo picks Omar Morales because he believes Morales's strength and ability to mix in grappling will be the difference. He notes that Uroš Medić is a kill-or-be-killed first-round striker who has shown poor grappling defense. Morales needs to survive the first round and work takedowns to avoid danger. Angelo expects a decision win for Morales.

"i think omar's strength and a touch of that grappling that we've seen will be the difference here so i think omar will win a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Big Brady picks Omar Morales to win by second-round submission, but expresses low confidence due to Morales' poor fight IQ. He notes Morales has a BJJ black belt and should take the fight to the mat to exploit Medić's weak ground game and cardio. However, he worries Morales might stand and trade, which would give Medić a knockout chance. He says he cannot trust Morales at -160.

second round submission
"give me morales to win remember alice to win by second round submission but i just can't trust him and i can't trust him at minus 160 as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Cody picks Morales, citing his durability, experience, and return to lightweight where he performed best. He notes Medić's tendency to fade after the first round and lack of deep fight experience. He expects Morales to weather an early storm and take over as Medić tires, possibly winning by decision or late finish.

"i'm actually expecting to see a little bit better version of him here and i think a slightly better version of him here gets the win against euros medic"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)

The host does not make a clear pick for this fight. He mentions it as a potential live bet spot (Medic after round one) and includes it in a totals parlay (under 2.5 rounds), but does not state a winner.

under 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"medic obviously after or sorry uh omar morales after round one"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Morales' durability and return to lightweight should be key. He notes Medić's early explosiveness but thinks Morales can survive and take over. He is confident in Morales.

"that makes sense to me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Omar Morales

The MMA Guru picks Omar Morales, citing his toughness and durability. He worries about Uroš Medić's cardio and thinks Morales can survive the early storm and take over in later rounds. He notes Morales has a reach advantage and can pressure Medić in the second and third rounds. He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision for Morales.

"i'm going to trust omar morales not to get finished early"
Omar Morales - Fight History
LOSS vs Chris Duncan
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Chris Duncan 0 53 of 83 63% 62 of 92 5 of 14 35% 0 0 6:31
Omar Morales 0 47 of 80 58% 53 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Chris Duncan 0 24 of 40 60% 24 of 40 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:12
Omar Morales 0 26 of 42 61% 27 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Chris Duncan 0 14 of 24 58% 20 of 30 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:42
Omar Morales 0 7 of 17 41% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:02
3 Chris Duncan 0 15 of 19 78% 18 of 22 4 of 7 57% 0 0 3:37
Omar Morales 0 14 of 21 66% 16 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Chris Duncan 53 of 83 63% 12 of 25 17 of 21 24 of 37 43 of 73 3 of 3 7 of 7
Omar Morales 47 of 80 58% 32 of 64 5 of 6 10 of 10 41 of 73 5 of 6 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Chris Duncan 24 of 40 60% 6 of 13 6 of 8 12 of 19 21 of 37 3 of 3 0 of 0
Omar Morales 26 of 42 61% 18 of 34 2 of 2 6 of 6 22 of 37 3 of 4 1 of 1
2 Chris Duncan 14 of 24 58% 1 of 4 5 of 7 8 of 13 9 of 19 0 of 0 5 of 5
Omar Morales 7 of 17 41% 4 of 14 2 of 2 1 of 1 6 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Chris Duncan 15 of 19 78% 5 of 8 6 of 6 4 of 5 13 of 17 0 of 0 2 of 2
Omar Morales 14 of 21 66% 10 of 16 1 of 2 3 of 3 13 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Angelo likes Chris Duncan because of his toughness and ability to recover from being dropped. He thinks Omar Morales' chin is effectively gone after back-to-back stoppage losses. He placed a half-unit bet on Duncan at -108 and expected the line to move. He believes Duncan will take damage but get the win.

bet at -108
"I do have a half of a unit moneyline bet on him at minus 108."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

Big Brady picks Chris Duncan as a slight underdog, citing his youth (29 vs 37), power, and toughness despite terrible striking defense. He notes Morales has not shown finishing ability at UFC level and is getting older. He predicts a second-round knockout, but admits he could care less about this fight and finds it hard to call.

"I'm going to take the slight dog here and Chris Duncan and knock out Omar Morales"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Cody picks Morales, despite his low volume and recent KO loss. He notes Duncan is a brawler who gets hit a lot and has poor defense. He thinks Morales has power and can land a big shot, especially with his training at Kill Cliff. He says Morales needs to show aggression and pounce if he hurts Duncan. He admits it's a risky pick but sees value.

"Omar Morales for me as well for a lot of the same points like it's just I don't think Chris Duncan is UFC caliber"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Connor picks Morales but with alarm bells, noting that Morales has mentally deteriorated after three hard losses and a failed weight cut. He believes the matchup is winnable because Duncan is a brawler who will trade at Morales's preferred range. However, he worries that Morales may break if frustrated, as seen in his last fight where he brawled wildly.

"I'll still pick Morales, but I did have to open with a big like alarm bells are ringing."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Jacob picks Omar Morales, citing experience and technical striking. He thinks Chris Duncan is slower than Uros Medic and not as relentless a wrestler as Jonathan Pearce, who beat Morales. He believes Morales can touch up Duncan on the feet and that Duncan will default to wrestling, where Morales is no joke on the ground.

"I am on the Omar side I think experience plays a big factor in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Morales is a disciplined striker with good distance management and kicks, while Duncan is a brawler who leaves himself open to counters. Morales should use his technical advantage to pick Duncan apart from range, likely winning a decision. If Duncan gets reckless, Morales could even get a knockout.

"I think he's the more disciplined Striker here which is going to be the main X Factor"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Paul picks Morales, echoing that Duncan is not UFC caliber. He notes Morales used to be durable but questions his chin after the KO. He thinks Morales has a better camp and can win, but if it goes to decision, the UK crowd might favor Duncan. He says it's a pick'em price and expects fireworks.

"Omar Morales for me as well... it should be fireworks... it's probably relatively right at a at a pickum type of price"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Chris Duncan

The MMA Guru picks Chris Duncan over Omar Morales, citing Duncan's youth and toughness. He notes Duncan had a rough weight cut before his contender series loss but has since recovered. Morales is 37 and coming off a KO loss, and his competition outside the UFC is not impressive. He predicts a fun scrap with Duncan winning a 29-28 decision, having more in the tank.

Duncan wins by decision 29-28
"I'm going with Chris Duncan winning this fight by decision I reckon 29-28 in a fun scrap"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Zane also picks Morales but is cautious. He notes that Duncan is a wild brawler who gets hurt often, and Morales has the counter ability and sharpness to exploit that. However, he acknowledges that Morales's recent performances have been poor and that the fight is a referendum on where Morales is mentally.

"The matchup feels more than anything like a referendum on where Morales is at."
LOSS vs Uroš Medić
TKO (punches) R2 3:05 · UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · May 21, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Uroš Medić 0 33 of 85 38% 33 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omar Morales 2 47 of 86 54% 47 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Uroš Medić 0 17 of 52 32% 17 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omar Morales 0 24 of 50 48% 24 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Uroš Medić 0 16 of 33 48% 16 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omar Morales 2 23 of 36 63% 23 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Uroš Medić 33 of 85 38% 18 of 64 8 of 14 7 of 7 32 of 82 1 of 3 0 of 0
Omar Morales 47 of 86 54% 21 of 57 13 of 16 13 of 13 45 of 83 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Uroš Medić 17 of 52 32% 6 of 37 7 of 11 4 of 4 17 of 51 0 of 1 0 of 0
Omar Morales 24 of 50 48% 11 of 35 8 of 10 5 of 5 23 of 48 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Uroš Medić 16 of 33 48% 12 of 27 1 of 3 3 of 3 15 of 31 1 of 2 0 of 0
Omar Morales 23 of 36 63% 10 of 22 5 of 6 8 of 8 22 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Angelo picks Omar Morales because he believes Morales's strength and ability to mix in grappling will be the difference. He notes that Uroš Medić is a kill-or-be-killed first-round striker who has shown poor grappling defense. Morales needs to survive the first round and work takedowns to avoid danger. Angelo expects a decision win for Morales.

"i think omar's strength and a touch of that grappling that we've seen will be the difference here so i think omar will win a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Big Brady picks Omar Morales to win by second-round submission, but expresses low confidence due to Morales' poor fight IQ. He notes Morales has a BJJ black belt and should take the fight to the mat to exploit Medić's weak ground game and cardio. However, he worries Morales might stand and trade, which would give Medić a knockout chance. He says he cannot trust Morales at -160.

second round submission
"give me morales to win remember alice to win by second round submission but i just can't trust him and i can't trust him at minus 160 as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Cody picks Morales, citing his durability, experience, and return to lightweight where he performed best. He notes Medić's tendency to fade after the first round and lack of deep fight experience. He expects Morales to weather an early storm and take over as Medić tires, possibly winning by decision or late finish.

"i'm actually expecting to see a little bit better version of him here and i think a slightly better version of him here gets the win against euros medic"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)

The host does not make a clear pick for this fight. He mentions it as a potential live bet spot (Medic after round one) and includes it in a totals parlay (under 2.5 rounds), but does not state a winner.

under 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"medic obviously after or sorry uh omar morales after round one"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Morales' durability and return to lightweight should be key. He notes Medić's early explosiveness but thinks Morales can survive and take over. He is confident in Morales.

"that makes sense to me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Omar Morales

The MMA Guru picks Omar Morales, citing his toughness and durability. He worries about Uroš Medić's cardio and thinks Morales can survive the early storm and take over in later rounds. He notes Morales has a reach advantage and can pressure Medić in the second and third rounds. He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision for Morales.

"i'm going to trust omar morales not to get finished early"
LOSS vs Jonathan Pearce
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:31 · UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · Sep 25, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jonathan Pearce 0 12 of 35 34% 55 of 83 6 of 11 54% 1 0 5:33
Omar Morales 0 12 of 25 48% 27 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 2 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jonathan Pearce 0 10 of 29 34% 28 of 48 4 of 7 57% 0 0 2:22
Omar Morales 0 11 of 21 52% 21 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:08
2 Jonathan Pearce 0 2 of 6 33% 27 of 35 2 of 4 50% 1 0 3:11
Omar Morales 0 1 of 4 25% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jonathan Pearce 12 of 35 34% 9 of 28 3 of 4 0 of 3 11 of 33 1 of 2 0 of 0
Omar Morales 12 of 25 48% 9 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 3 8 of 18 4 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jonathan Pearce 10 of 29 34% 7 of 22 3 of 4 0 of 3 10 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Omar Morales 11 of 21 52% 8 of 18 0 of 0 3 of 3 8 of 15 3 of 6 0 of 0
2 Jonathan Pearce 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0
Omar Morales 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Angelo picks Omar Morales, citing his strong kickboxing, solid takedown defense, and forward pressure. He notes that Morales' only loss is to Giga Chikadze, which looks better after Giga's recent win. Angelo believes Morales' striking and ability to control the cage will be key, and he expects a stoppage win.

Angelo suggests less less on Monkey Knife Fight strike line, expecting a stoppage.
"I gotta go with Omar Morales"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Big Brady picks Omar Morales to win by first-round knockout. He notes that Jonathan Pierce is very hittable and relies on his chin, while Morales has good takedown defense and is a black belt in BJJ. He believes Morales can take advantage of Pierce's sloppy striking and potentially finish him early, though he acknowledges Pierce's cardio could be a factor if the fight goes longer.

first round knockout
"i'm gonna say he knocks out jonathan pierce i'm gonna say this is going to be an absolute war"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Cody picks Pearce as an underdog, citing his volume, pace, cardio, and wrestling. He notes Morales' low output and questions his power at UFC level. He worries about Morales' calf kicks but believes Pearce's pressure will overwhelm Morales over three rounds.

"i'm gonna take the underdog shot here and go with jonathan pierce"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Omar Morales

Daniel Levi picks Omar Morales because he believes Morales can slow the pace and fight at his own methodical rhythm. He notes that Jonathan Pearce absorbs too many strikes (upwards of seven per minute) and that Morales has a solid wrestling base and is in his prime at 35. Levi also mentions that Morales addressed medical issues that held him back previously, and expects a finish or decision win.

"you cannot eat seven strikes per minute and beat omar morales in a fight so give me omar morales either via decision or via knockout"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jonathan Pearce

Jacob picks Jonathan Pearce, citing his wrestling, pace, and a quote from Pearce: 'I've never seen a striker out wrestle a wrestler.' Jacob believes Pearce will get takedowns and wear down Omar Morales. He also notes that Pearce has already beaten Morales once before.

Jacob calls Pearce his 'lock of the week' and plans to include him in DraftKings lineup at $7,700.
"Jonathan Pierce, I think and I made this decision literally 15 minutes before the podcast started... I just love Jonathan Pierce"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2021 (fight day)
Omar Morales

The host believes Omar Morales will win via decision. He thinks Morales has a much more hard-nosed striking style that will march down Jonathan Pierce. He expects Pierce to struggle to close the distance and land takedowns due to the heavy onslaught from Morales. He notes that Pierce's grappling success is necessary for him to win, but he doubts Pierce can break Morales.

"I'm going to be going with omar morales and i'm going to take him to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Sep 23, 2021 (2 days before fight)

Paul does not have a clear pick. He is staying away from this fight, noting he has been burned by Pearce before (the Joe Lauzon loss). He respects others who like Morales but has no edge.

"i'm not going to step in front of you on that one that that's a fight that i'm going to probably stay away from"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 19, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Omar Morales

The MMA Guru picks Omar Morales over Jonathan Pearce, citing Morales' composed striking and takedown defense. He notes that Morales' only loss is to Giga Chikadze, which has aged well, and that Pearce, while looking good against Kaikamaka, is not at Morales' level. He expects Morales to win a unanimous decision, as he doesn't see the fight hitting the ground and believes Morales is a more versatile and dangerous striker.

"i'm going to be going with omar morales here this bout takes place in the featherweight division both guys very big for the featherweight division as well"
WIN vs Shane Young
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 · Mar 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Omar Morales 0 46 of 105 43% 59 of 120 1 of 5 20% 0 0 3:26
Shane Young 0 69 of 144 47% 74 of 150 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Omar Morales 0 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:37
Shane Young 0 7 of 14 50% 11 of 19 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:46
2 Omar Morales 0 18 of 37 48% 18 of 37 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
Shane Young 0 28 of 61 45% 28 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
3 Omar Morales 0 20 of 54 37% 33 of 69 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:11
Shane Young 0 34 of 69 49% 35 of 70 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Omar Morales 46 of 105 43% 17 of 65 19 of 26 10 of 14 40 of 99 6 of 6 0 of 0
Shane Young 69 of 144 47% 48 of 120 7 of 10 14 of 14 59 of 133 9 of 10 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Omar Morales 8 of 14 57% 2 of 5 3 of 4 3 of 5 5 of 11 3 of 3 0 of 0
Shane Young 7 of 14 50% 2 of 9 4 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 10 3 of 3 1 of 1
2 Omar Morales 18 of 37 48% 5 of 20 9 of 11 4 of 6 17 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
Shane Young 28 of 61 45% 19 of 50 2 of 4 7 of 7 27 of 59 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Omar Morales 20 of 54 37% 10 of 40 7 of 11 3 of 3 18 of 52 2 of 2 0 of 0
Shane Young 34 of 69 49% 27 of 61 1 of 2 6 of 6 29 of 64 5 of 5 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Big Brady picks Omar Morales to win by second-round knockout, likely via head kick. He notes Morales' power and body kicks, and that Young is very hittable with poor striking defense (56% striking defense, absorbs 5.15 strikes per minute). He references Young's last fight where he was hurt by a head kick. He believes Morales is levels above Young technically and will put him away.

Morales by KO round 2; head kick finish
"i'm going to take home morales i'm going to say second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Shane Young

Cody leans towards Young as an underdog, noting that Morales is 35 and may have peaked. He thinks Young's volume and pace could be key, and that Morales was hesitant in his last fight. He is tentatively picking Young for the parlay, but is not fully confident.

"i'm gonna pencil in shane young tentatively"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

The host is confident in Omar Morales to win by second-round KO. He notes Morales' power, pressure, and durability, and believes Shane Young will struggle with Morales' ferocity and size. He compares Young's losses to fighters who pressured him, like Volkanovski and Ludovit Klein, and expects Morales to do the same. He calls Morales his 'strongest lean' on the card and thinks he will overwhelm Young with strikes and possibly a takedown.

"I'll take him by second round ko... probably my strongest lean on this card"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Shane Young

Paul also leans towards Young, citing Morales' poor game plan against Giga Chikadze and his reluctance to wrestle. He thinks Young's pressure and cardio could be too much for Morales, who has shown low volume. He is not fully confident but likes the underdog value.

"i'm gonna take shane young for the time being"
LOSS vs Giga Chikadze
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · Oct 11, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Giga Chikadze 1 65 of 157 41% 69 of 163 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:29
Omar Morales 0 34 of 128 26% 35 of 130 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Giga Chikadze 0 23 of 50 46% 23 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Omar Morales 0 11 of 31 35% 11 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
2 Giga Chikadze 0 11 of 39 28% 13 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Omar Morales 0 11 of 50 22% 12 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
3 Giga Chikadze 1 31 of 68 45% 33 of 72 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Omar Morales 0 12 of 47 25% 12 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Giga Chikadze 65 of 157 41% 32 of 117 24 of 28 9 of 12 54 of 134 0 of 2 11 of 21
Omar Morales 34 of 128 26% 23 of 111 7 of 11 4 of 6 34 of 125 0 of 0 0 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Giga Chikadze 23 of 50 46% 10 of 35 7 of 7 6 of 8 23 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Omar Morales 11 of 31 35% 8 of 27 1 of 1 2 of 3 11 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Giga Chikadze 11 of 39 28% 8 of 33 3 of 5 0 of 1 11 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Omar Morales 11 of 50 22% 5 of 42 4 of 5 2 of 3 11 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Giga Chikadze 31 of 68 45% 14 of 49 14 of 16 3 of 3 20 of 45 0 of 2 11 of 21
Omar Morales 12 of 47 25% 10 of 42 2 of 5 0 of 0 12 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 3
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Giga Chikadze vs. Omar Morales

Round 1
Moving now to the 145-pound weight category, the recently nicknamed “Ninja” Chikadze (10-2, 3-0 UFC) looks to become the first man to beat the hard-charging Venezuelan Morales (10-0, 2-0 UFC). This interesting striker vs. grappler stylistic matchup will be overseen by referee Marc Goddard, and the two men have no interest in touch gloves to clock in their fight. Both stay at a distance to find their range in the early going, letting off heavy but sporadic kicks at the body while Chikadze attacks the calf as well. Morales closes in to land a few punches, and Chikadze fires back with some blazing fast kicks. The unbeaten fighter again lands a couple punches and breaks away, and Chikadze spins with a back kick to plant Morales on his backside. The Venezuelan fighter springs back up and engages, but Chikadze is the one to land in the exchange. Morales dodges a spinning strike and walks forward to clinch up, but Chikadze pushes off to gain a separation a few seconds later. Chikadze attacks the calf again and points at it to admire his work, and he goes after it again. Chikadze stomps the canvas a few times to draw a reaction, and winds up with another heavy low kick. Morales’ calf is swelling up already, and he walks forward and gets clipped with a right hand. When Morales kicks his opponent's leg, Chikadze laughs at him and taunts him to kick it again. Chikadze winds up and fires off a body kick that lands with an audible thud, and the two brawl it out for a moment. Another leg kick from Chikadze ends this tense round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze

Round 2
The two men pick up where they left off with the intensity, trash talking each other as they unload loud kicks. Morales closes in on him and hits a sudden takedown, and Chikadze looks surprised as he sits against the fence until deciding it is time to stand up again. When they get to their feet, Chikadze considers keeping the dominant position in the clinch but pushes off and fires a low kick. The two duck down to sling big overhand rights, and practically every strike is a home run shot as they put everything they have into their offense. Morales rushes in and his leg gives out, but he is able to stand back up as Chikadze stares at him from afar. “Ninja” swings and misses with a head kick, and he hops backwards and lands a right hand. Chikadze dances and hops around, and dodges a right hand from Morales to crack Morales with a huge left hand. When Morales swings and misses as a response, Chikadze goads him on to keep it coming. Chikadze slips in and out with shots, able to close the distance and disengage before absorbing any counter. Chikadze retreats as Morales gets in a one-two, and Chikadze makes him pay with a heavy right hand that bloodies the bridge of the undefeated fighter’s nose. Morales kicks Chikadze’s lead leg, and slams a body kick off Chikadze’s arm. Chikadze dips and wings a right hand, and his head movement helps him avoid the counter as he hammers home two nasty body kicks. The round ends as Morales gives chase.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze

Round 3
The two featherweights come charging out of their corners to unload big right hands, but they close the distance too quickly to connect. Chikadze backs away to chip away with a few kicks, and Morales follows after him. Chikadze obliges his opponent chasing him by zinging a head kick that just misses the mark. Instead of just walking straight towards Chikadze like earlier in the match, Morales tries to circle around but only manages to land a few jabs. Chikadze dances out of the way from the barrage of strikes that come from his undefeated adversary, and he sneaks in a quick leg kick. Morales is hobbled with his left leg swollen and bloodied, and Chikadze cracks him to the body with a kick as Morales walks in. Chikadze tries to follow the kick with two booming hooks, but Morales is barely able to get out of the way in time. Chikadze stings the body again and slings a left hand that catches Morales on the chin, but Morales eats it like a sandwich. Chikadze winds up with a huge right hand and puts Morales down hard, where the kickboxer leaps on top and starts raining down heavy shots. Morales takes everything on the chin and fights his way back to his feet, so Chikadze kicks him to the body again. Morales is on wobbled legs as Chikadze just misses a head kick. Chikadze looks away and slings a left hook, and the punch blows the hair back but comes up shy of the mark. Chikadze catches a kick and lets it go, before letting loose with an axe kick. Morales gets energized and starts throwing, but he cannot land flush with anything of note. Chikadze backs away and fires off a rolling thunder kick that clatters off the guard of his foe, and Morales stands over him until the final horn ends the fight and likely ends Morales' undefeated record.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze (30-27 Chikadze)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze (30-27 Chikadze)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Chikadze (30-27 Chikadze)

The Official Result
Giga Chikadze def. Omar Morales via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 7, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Big Brady picks Morales, noting he is not impressed with Chikadze's low volume (3.3 strikes per minute) and cardio issues. He believes Morales will press forward, land harder shots, and has a BJJ black belt advantage if the fight goes to the ground. He expects Morales to win a decision, especially winning the third round.

Morales by decision; waiting for Chikadze money to come in to get better line
"i gotta go morales here and i actually like that line a lot at -145"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Oct 9, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Daniel slightly edges Omar Morales, citing his toughness, strong fundamentals, and better cardio. He notes that Giga Chikadze tends to fade in the third round, while Morales gets better as the fight progresses. Daniel also thinks Morales might mix in takedowns if needed. He acknowledges Chikadze's dynamic kicking but believes Morales' pressure and durability will carry him.

Daniel mentions that this is a pass fight for betting. He also notes that Morales is dropping to 145 and should look shredded.
"I slightly edge morales because i think that if [ __ ] does start to get kind of sketchy on the feet he might be able to mix in a takedown or two"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 8, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Morales has higher output and fight IQ, and his leg kicks will be effective against Chikadze's wide karate stance. Chikadze is a skilled kickboxer but may be outworked. Morales' first cut to 145 is a concern, but he should win a decision.

under 2.5 rounds at +180
"i do like omar i think it's gonna be his output that ends up winning him this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Omar Morales

The Guru picks Morales, expressing disdain for Chikadze's padded record against cans. He notes Morales has overperformed against good competition (e.g., Gabriel Benitez). He believes Chikadze struggles against anyone with a winning record and will lose by unanimous decision.

"he'll lose to omar morales morale is a witness fight by unanimous decision"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · May 13, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Omar Morales 0 50 of 179 27% 50 of 179 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Benítez 0 63 of 215 29% 63 of 215 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Omar Morales 0 15 of 53 28% 15 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Benítez 0 12 of 55 21% 12 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Omar Morales 0 13 of 53 24% 13 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Benítez 0 20 of 60 33% 20 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Omar Morales 0 22 of 73 30% 22 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gabriel Benítez 0 31 of 100 31% 31 of 100 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Omar Morales 50 of 179 27% 17 of 133 21 of 28 12 of 18 50 of 179 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Benítez 63 of 215 29% 36 of 178 20 of 28 7 of 9 61 of 210 2 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Omar Morales 15 of 53 28% 6 of 39 5 of 7 4 of 7 15 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Benítez 12 of 55 21% 7 of 49 1 of 1 4 of 5 12 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Omar Morales 13 of 53 24% 4 of 39 5 of 8 4 of 6 13 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Benítez 20 of 60 33% 9 of 45 9 of 13 2 of 2 20 of 59 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Omar Morales 22 of 73 30% 7 of 55 11 of 13 4 of 5 22 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gabriel Benítez 31 of 100 31% 20 of 84 10 of 14 1 of 2 29 of 96 2 of 4 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 11, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Big Brady picks Omar Morales due to Benítez moving up in weight, making Morales the much bigger fighter. He believes Morales can take Benítez down at will and win a comfortable decision, possibly by knockout. He notes Benítez has been knocked out before and that Morales is very green but should dominate due to the size difference.

Morales wins by decision (29-28 or 30-27), possible knockout
"I like Omar Morales here to win a comfortable decision and possibly in a knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 12, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Omar Morales

Daniel Levi picks Omar Morales, predicting a knockout via right high kick or counter. He criticizes Benítez's predictable offense (straight left, left kick) and suspect chin, noting that Morales is a former kickboxer with cleaner technique and power. He believes Morales will move to 2-0 in the UFC.

"I think Omar Morales is gonna knock him out"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 6, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Gabriel Benítez

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Benítez, stating he is not sold on Omar Morales after his lackluster UFC debut against Dong Hyun Ma. He notes that Benítez is in his prime at 31 and has had good showings in the UFC, including rocking Sadiq Yusuf. He predicts Benítez will win by decision or TKO, calling Morales an 'old man' making his debut too late.

"Gabriel Benitez is gonna go out there and get a huge upset over Omar Morales... by decision or TKO."
WIN vs Dong Hyun Ma
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–26, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · Dec 21, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Omar Morales 0 15 of 56 26% 21 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dong Hyun Ma 1 32 of 89 35% 60 of 123 1 of 1 100% 0 0 6:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Omar Morales 0 4 of 13 30% 6 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dong Hyun Ma 0 7 of 14 50% 24 of 34 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:11
2 Omar Morales 0 8 of 28 28% 8 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dong Hyun Ma 0 11 of 37 29% 11 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Omar Morales 0 3 of 15 20% 7 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Dong Hyun Ma 1 14 of 38 36% 25 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Omar Morales 15 of 56 26% 6 of 43 2 of 5 7 of 8 15 of 56 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dong Hyun Ma 32 of 89 35% 22 of 78 9 of 10 1 of 1 20 of 69 0 of 0 12 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Omar Morales 4 of 13 30% 0 of 8 0 of 1 4 of 4 4 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dong Hyun Ma 7 of 14 50% 3 of 10 4 of 4 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 4 of 5
2 Omar Morales 8 of 28 28% 4 of 22 1 of 2 3 of 4 8 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dong Hyun Ma 11 of 37 29% 6 of 32 5 of 5 0 of 0 11 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Omar Morales 3 of 15 20% 2 of 13 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dong Hyun Ma 14 of 38 36% 13 of 36 0 of 1 1 of 1 6 of 23 0 of 0 8 of 15
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Angelo picks Omar Morales because he believes Morales's strength and ability to mix in grappling will be the difference. He notes that Uroš Medić is a kill-or-be-killed first-round striker who has shown poor grappling defense. Morales needs to survive the first round and work takedowns to avoid danger. Angelo expects a decision win for Morales.

"i think omar's strength and a touch of that grappling that we've seen will be the difference here so i think omar will win a decision"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Big Brady picks Omar Morales to win by second-round submission, but expresses low confidence due to Morales' poor fight IQ. He notes Morales has a BJJ black belt and should take the fight to the mat to exploit Medić's weak ground game and cardio. However, he worries Morales might stand and trade, which would give Medić a knockout chance. He says he cannot trust Morales at -160.

second round submission
"give me morales to win remember alice to win by second round submission but i just can't trust him and i can't trust him at minus 160 as well"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Cody picks Morales, citing his durability, experience, and return to lightweight where he performed best. He notes Medić's tendency to fade after the first round and lack of deep fight experience. He expects Morales to weather an early storm and take over as Medić tires, possibly winning by decision or late finish.

"i'm actually expecting to see a little bit better version of him here and i think a slightly better version of him here gets the win against euros medic"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)
No clear pick

The host does not make a clear pick for this fight. He mentions it as a potential live bet spot (Medic after round one) and includes it in a totals parlay (under 2.5 rounds), but does not state a winner.

under 2.5 rounds (part of totals parlay)
"medic obviously after or sorry uh omar morales after round one"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Omar Morales

Paul agrees with Cody, saying Morales' durability and return to lightweight should be key. He notes Medić's early explosiveness but thinks Morales can survive and take over. He is confident in Morales.

"that makes sense to me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Omar Morales

The MMA Guru picks Omar Morales, citing his toughness and durability. He worries about Uroš Medić's cardio and thinks Morales can survive the early storm and take over in later rounds. He notes Morales has a reach advantage and can pressure Medić in the second and third rounds. He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision for Morales.

"i'm going to trust omar morales not to get finished early"