Angelo picks Spivac but says he wouldn't bet the fight due to heavyweight volatility. He notes Spivac needs to wrestle early and often, and that Hardy has power but poor grappling. He mentions Spivac had trouble with Oleinik but chalks it up to fear of the ground. He expects Spivac to shoot immediately.

Big Brady picks Greg Hardy to win by first-round knockout. He is not high on Spivac, noting that Spivac often waits too long to shoot takedowns and has poor striking defense. Brady acknowledges Hardy's power and good takedown defense early, but admits Hardy's ground game is weak. He sees the fight as a coin flip: if Spivac gets it to the mat, he wins; if not, Hardy knocks him out. Brady leans toward Hardy because he doubts Spivac's game plan.

Cody does not have a strong lean on this fight. He acknowledges Hardy's early power and finishing ability but notes his cardio and grappling holes. He suggests a live betting opportunity if Spivac takes Hardy down early, but he has no interest in betting the fight outright.

Daniel Levi picks Serghei Spivac via ground and pound TKO. He believes Spivac will take Hardy down and dominate on the ground, as Hardy has nothing off his back and gasses out. He notes that Spivac doesn't like getting hit but should avoid striking exchanges. He criticizes Hardy's mental toughness and cardio, citing the inhaler incident and recent losses.

Spivak is a big heavyweight who should dominate Hardy on the ground. Hardy gasses and gives up when taken down, as seen in the Tai Tuivasa fight. Spivak can take Hardy down, wear on him, and finish with a submission or ground and pound. The line should be closer to -300. Hardy's only chance is an early KO, but Spivak can survive the first round and take over.

Paul sees this as closer to 50/50 than the odds suggest. He notes Hardy's early power and nearly finishing Tai Tuivasa and Marcin Tybura, but acknowledges his cardio and grappling deficiencies. Paul thinks Hardy could finish Spivac early, but if not, Spivac will take over. He calls it a dog-or-pass situation and leans Hardy as a live underdog.

Angelo is very confident in Tuivasa, calling it a mismatch. He highlights Tuivasa's technical striking, heavy hands, Samoan chin, and takedown defense. He notes Hardy has no ground game and is clueless on the mat. He has a moneyline bet on Tuivasa and has him in his DraftKings lineup.

Big Brady picks Greg Hardy to win by decision. He notes Hardy's volume (4.83 strikes per minute) and positive strike differential, and believes the bigger cage favors Hardy's range management. He expects Hardy to stay on the outside and outland Tuivasa. He acknowledges Hardy's cardio concerns but thinks Tuivasa won't attempt takedowns, so Hardy won't gas. He also notes Tuivasa's chin but thinks Hardy can avoid getting clipped.

Cody picks Tuivasa but is hesitant. He notes Hardy's cardio issues and asthma, and Tuivasa's durability and leg kicks. He expects Hardy to win the first round but fade, allowing Tuivasa to come back. He suggests betting Tuivasa live after the first round.

Daniel Levi picks Tai Tuivasa to win. He highlights Tuivasa's better technique, volume, and experience against higher-level competition, including former champions. He notes that Greg Hardy has cardio issues and tends to fade in later rounds, as seen in the Marcin Tybura fight. He believes Tuivasa's leg kicks and will to dig deeper will be decisive, and that Hardy is unlikely to take the fight to the ground. He expects Tuivasa to win a decision or possibly get a finish in the later rounds.

Jacob picks Hardy as a value play, expecting a first-round finish either way. He thinks Hardy's wild, powerful striking from odd angles could catch Tuivasa early. He admits it's a coin flip but likes Hardy at 7800 in DraftKings. He acknowledges this is his last time backing Hardy after being burned before.

I'm taking Tuivasa here. Hardy has cardio issues and will struggle to get his stick-and-move game off. Tuivasa will pressure him, land combinations, and push him against the cage. Hardy gassed against Tybura, and I think Tuivasa will knock him out in the second or third round. I like Tuivasa by KO round 2 or 3.

Paul picks Tuivasa but is hesitant. He notes Hardy's athleticism and improvements but questions his cardio. He thinks Tuivasa's durability and ability to keep coming will be key. He expects Hardy to win the first round but fade, and Tuivasa to take over.

Angelo picks Greg Hardy, citing his toughness and one-punch power. He notes Hardy can get in the pocket and take a shot, but expresses a caveat about him not getting worn out.

Big Brady picks Marcin Tybura over Greg Hardy, despite Hardy being a slight favorite. He notes Tybura's solid wrestling and BJJ black belt, and believes he can take Hardy down, where Hardy looks like a 'fish out of water'. Brady predicts a submission win in the third round, citing Hardy's poor gas tank and Tybura's experience advantage.

The host likes Tybura as a dog, citing Hardy's narrow path to victory (KO only) and suspect gas tank. He believes Tybura's well-rounded game, including takedowns and volume, will overwhelm Hardy as the fight progresses. He predicts a third-round TKO or decision for Tybura.

Big Brady favors Hardy's power and athleticism, noting Greene's poor striking defense and chin. He thinks Greene's kicks leave openings and that the smaller cage will lead to a knockout. He predicts a second-round KO.

Hardy has power and has shown improvement in his last few fights, but his cardio is questionable. Greene is mobile and can chip away from distance, but his cardio also fades. Hardy likely wins by KO in the second round, but the -310 line is too steep.

Big Brady picks Greg Hardy, citing his athleticism, reach advantage, and improvement. He compares the fight to Hardy's win over Juan Adams. He acknowledges De Castro's power but expects Hardy to be busier and win by first-round knockout. He thinks the line at minus 190 is a bit wide and would not bet it due to heavyweight volatility.

Daniel Levi picks Greg Hardy, citing his athleticism, size, and UFC experience. He notes Hardy's improvement in patience and jab, and believes De Castro may gas in later rounds. Levi acknowledges De Castro's power and timing but thinks Hardy's reach advantage and ability to avoid big shots will be key.