UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 · Feb 15, 2020 · Lightweight · Completed
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Age 34
Height 6' 0"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 40
Height 5' 8"
Reach 71.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Brok Weaver
4.78 SLpM
64.0% Str. Acc.
4.35 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
0.41 TD Avg
10.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Kazula Vargas
3.65 SLpM
53.0% Str. Acc.
1.77 SApM
57.0% Str. Def.
0.4 TD Avg
25.0% TD Acc.
30.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Brok Weaver - Fight History
LOSS vs Jalin Turner
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 4:20 · UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · Sep 12, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jalin Turner 0 56 of 80 70% 60 of 85 1 of 6 16% 0 1 0:28
Brok Weaver 2 66 of 152 43% 70 of 156 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jalin Turner 0 29 of 39 74% 31 of 42 1 of 4 25% 0 1 0:28
Brok Weaver 1 35 of 75 46% 36 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
2 Jalin Turner 0 27 of 41 65% 29 of 43 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Brok Weaver 1 31 of 77 40% 34 of 80 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jalin Turner 56 of 80 70% 17 of 34 14 of 19 25 of 27 48 of 70 6 of 8 2 of 2
Brok Weaver 66 of 152 43% 42 of 123 17 of 22 7 of 7 47 of 123 6 of 9 13 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jalin Turner 29 of 39 74% 6 of 11 5 of 9 18 of 19 26 of 35 1 of 2 2 of 2
Brok Weaver 35 of 75 46% 21 of 58 8 of 11 6 of 6 26 of 63 2 of 3 7 of 9
2 Jalin Turner 27 of 41 65% 11 of 23 9 of 10 7 of 8 22 of 35 5 of 6 0 of 0
Brok Weaver 31 of 77 40% 21 of 65 9 of 11 1 of 1 21 of 60 4 of 6 6 of 11
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Sep 10, 2020 (2 days before fight)

Big Brady picks Frank Camacho, but notes that Camacho's chin and cardio are liabilities. He is not high on Weaver, who has poor ground game and lacks power. He says if Camacho looks overweight or bad at weigh-ins, he would switch his pick. He expects Camacho to win, but it's a fight to wait on weigh-ins.

"i like camacho win this fight i think he's the much better fighter"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 11, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Jalin Turner

The host is confident Turner wins, citing his superior jiu-jitsu, length, and improving stand-up. He believes Weaver's only path is to take Turner down and hold him there, but Turner's active guard and reversals will prevent that. He expects a finish via submission or ground and pound, possibly in the first or second round, and considers Turner a good parlay piece even at -325.

Turner inside the distance; parlay piece; first or second round submission
"I'm taking the tarantula to win this fight probably by first or second round submission"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 7, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Jalin Turner

The MMA Guru picks Frank Camacho (Jalin Turner) because he has little respect for Brock Weaver's skills, noting Weaver's close split decisions against low-level opponents and his loss to Roosevelt Roberts. He believes Camacho can win on the feet or via grappling, and expects a unanimous decision victory.

"i'm gonna be going with uh frank camacho i think he gets it done i'm gonna say frank camacho probably gets it done by a unanimous decision win"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 3:26 · UFC on ESPN: Woodley vs. Burns · May 30, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Roosevelt Roberts 0 40 of 61 65% 54 of 76 1 of 3 33% 3 0 3:04
Brok Weaver 0 14 of 48 29% 26 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Roosevelt Roberts 0 21 of 37 56% 24 of 40 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:44
Brok Weaver 0 9 of 36 25% 17 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:58
2 Roosevelt Roberts 0 19 of 24 79% 30 of 36 1 of 2 50% 2 0 2:20
Brok Weaver 0 5 of 12 41% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Roosevelt Roberts 40 of 61 65% 27 of 45 7 of 10 6 of 6 25 of 46 2 of 2 13 of 13
Brok Weaver 14 of 48 29% 5 of 35 9 of 11 0 of 2 10 of 41 4 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Roosevelt Roberts 21 of 37 56% 9 of 23 6 of 8 6 of 6 19 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0
Brok Weaver 9 of 36 25% 5 of 29 4 of 5 0 of 2 9 of 34 0 of 2 0 of 0
2 Roosevelt Roberts 19 of 24 79% 18 of 22 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 11 0 of 0 13 of 13
Brok Weaver 5 of 12 41% 0 of 6 5 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 7 4 of 5 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 27, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Big Brady picks Roosevelt Roberts to win by submission. He believes Roberts is better everywhere and that Weaver's weakness on the ground will be exploited. He notes that Weaver struggled with Vargas's takedowns and ground game, and Roberts is a step up. He thinks the only way Weaver wins is by a fluke knockout, and he is confident in Roberts getting a submission.

Roberts wins by submission
"I'm gonna pick Roberts to win and I'm gonna pick him to win by submission I'm pretty confident in that pick"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked May 29, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

Daniel leans towards Roberts but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation at the current odds. He acknowledges Roberts is the more skilled fighter with a higher ceiling, but notes that Weaver could make it a dogfight. He is not entirely sold on Weaver's level of competition and thinks Roberts should win if he stays focused.

dog or pass situation
"i do lean towards the favorite but i kind of think it's a dog or pass situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 23, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Roosevelt Roberts

The MMA Guru picks Roosevelt Roberts to win by unanimous decision. He is unimpressed by Brok Weaver's UFC debut, noting that Weaver was taken down repeatedly by Rodrigo Vargas and got knocked out by an illegal knee. He believes Roberts is more well-rounded, with good grappling and striking, and will outwork Weaver.

Roberts by decision
"Roosevelt Roberts is gonna get the job done over Brock Weaver I just don't like Brock Weaver's style man I just think is a little bit one-dimensional"
WIN vs Kazula Vargas
DQ (illegal knee) R1 4:02 · UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 · Feb 15, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brok Weaver 0 5 of 9 55% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Kazula Vargas 0 15 of 29 51% 50 of 64 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brok Weaver 0 5 of 9 55% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Kazula Vargas 0 15 of 29 51% 50 of 64 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brok Weaver 5 of 9 55% 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 3 4 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 1
Kazula Vargas 15 of 29 51% 6 of 14 5 of 10 4 of 5 9 of 21 3 of 5 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brok Weaver 5 of 9 55% 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 3 4 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 1
Kazula Vargas 15 of 29 51% 6 of 14 5 of 10 4 of 5 9 of 21 3 of 5 3 of 3
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Brok Weaver

Daniel Levi picks Brok Weaver to win, but thinks the fight will be closer than the line indicates. He notes Weaver's volume striking and wrestling advantage, but also Vargas's knockout power. He expects Weaver to mix in takedowns and win by decision or submission, but warns that Vargas could land a knockdown.

decision or submission, possibly ground-and-pound TKO
"I'm a pig Brock Weaver for a win but I do think the fight plays out closer than the line indicates"
Kazula Vargas - Fight History
LOSS vs Paddy Pimblett
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:49 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paddy Pimblett 0 3 of 6 50% 5 of 8 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:53
Kazula Vargas 0 7 of 9 77% 16 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paddy Pimblett 0 3 of 6 50% 5 of 8 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:53
Kazula Vargas 0 7 of 9 77% 16 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paddy Pimblett 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1
Kazula Vargas 7 of 9 77% 5 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 2 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paddy Pimblett 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1
Kazula Vargas 7 of 9 77% 5 of 7 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 2 of 2 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)

Angelo picks Rodrigo Vargas (Kazula Vargas) with a 51-49 edge, citing Paddy's poor chin and tendency to get hit. He notes that Vargas hits harder than Paddy's last opponent and is less hittable. He acknowledges Paddy's superior ground game but thinks if Paddy stands and trades, his chin will be tested. He calls it the hardest pick on the card and says the odds are crazy (Paddy at -500).

odds comment: Paddy at -500 on some books
"right now i'm going to say rodrigo vargas and i'm going to say it is 51 to 49 and again the only reason is because patty chin up in the air just begging to get hit in the mouth"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Big Brady picks Paddy Pimblett to win by submission. He notes Vargas has poor takedown defense (25%) and is content to stay on his back, which won't work against a black belt like Pimblett. Brady also mentions Vargas is 36 and has fought weak competition. He sees Pimblett getting takedowns and finishing on the mat, possibly late.

submission
"give me a patty pamblet to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kazula Vargas

Cody picks Vargas as a dog, citing Paddy's poor striking defense and chin-up stance. He thinks Vargas has better stand-up and leg kicks, and notes Vargas's sneaky guillotine. He believes Paddy's hype is overblown and that Vargas can win if it stays standing.

took kazula vargas plus 400 on the money line
"i took kazula vargas plus 400 on the money line"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Daniel Levi picks Paddy Pimblett confidently, having bet him earlier at -320 in a parlay. He views Vargas as a sacrificial lamb, too slow and hittable, and believes Pimblett will finish him. Levi notes that Vargas's wins are questionable (e.g., against Zubaira Tukhugov) and that he lacks the tools to exploit Pimblett's flaws. He expects a highlight-reel KO or submission, as Pimblett is motivated by showmanship and stardom.

Parlayed Pimblett with Kevin Holland for +2 units; Pimblett by KO/TKO +140 mentioned as value
"vargas is a sacrificial lamb in this fight he's being brought in to lose and he's going to be treated accordingly"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Pimblett should use his grappling to dominate Vargas, who was taken down by Rongzhu. Pimblett has good top pressure and submissions, and Vargas won't be ready for that approach. The fight doesn't go to decision at -270 is a good parlay piece. Pimblett isn't top-10 material, but this is a squash match. I'm picking Pimblett via second-round submission.

Fight doesn't go to decision (-270); Pimblett via submission round 2
"I do think he runs through Vargas on the spot."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

Paul picks Paddy, arguing that Vargas is old and has poor grappling and takedown defense. He believes Paddy's grappling will be the difference, and that even if it stays standing, Paddy has better volume and cardio. He acknowledges the price is high but thinks Paddy wins.

"i gotta go with patty"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Paddy Pimblett

The Guru picks Paddy Pimblett but thinks the odds (-400) are too high; he should be around -200. He predicts a first-round submission via rear-naked choke after a hip toss. He acknowledges Vargas is a solid prospect and notes Pimblett has been dropped before, but believes his grappling will be the difference. He expects a back-and-forth on the feet before Pimblett takes over.

first round submission, odds should be -200
"i think paddy pimlet's gonna win this fight by submission in the first round... but should he be a four to one favorite? no"
WIN vs Rong Zhu
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · Apr 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kazula Vargas 0 96 of 176 54% 111 of 192 0 of 1 0% 1 1 1:10
Rong Zhu 0 42 of 105 40% 49 of 114 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kazula Vargas 0 47 of 82 57% 47 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rong Zhu 0 13 of 32 40% 13 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Kazula Vargas 0 8 of 13 61% 23 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 1 1:10
Rong Zhu 0 2 of 7 28% 7 of 12 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:32
3 Kazula Vargas 0 41 of 81 50% 41 of 81 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Rong Zhu 0 27 of 66 40% 29 of 70 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kazula Vargas 96 of 176 54% 50 of 121 29 of 34 17 of 21 94 of 174 1 of 1 1 of 1
Rong Zhu 42 of 105 40% 40 of 101 2 of 4 0 of 0 40 of 100 0 of 0 2 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kazula Vargas 47 of 82 57% 17 of 47 18 of 21 12 of 14 47 of 82 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 13 of 32 40% 11 of 29 2 of 3 0 of 0 13 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Kazula Vargas 8 of 13 61% 3 of 8 2 of 2 3 of 3 6 of 11 1 of 1 1 of 1
Rong Zhu 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 2
3 Kazula Vargas 41 of 81 50% 30 of 66 9 of 11 2 of 4 41 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rong Zhu 27 of 66 40% 27 of 65 0 of 1 0 of 0 26 of 63 0 of 0 1 of 3
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Big Brady picks Rong Zhu to win by second-round knockout. He believes Rong Zhu is a much more technical striker with harder hits, and that Vargas is wild and low-output. He also notes Rong Zhu has good ground and pound if he takes Vargas down. He expects a finish because both fighters have high finish rates.

Rong Zhu by KO in round 2
"i'm gonna take wrong zoo to win this fight i'm going to say he wins by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

Cody leans toward Zhu, noting his youth and striking. He acknowledges Vargas's wrestling but thinks Zhu's aggression and cardio will be factors. He is not confident due to the lack of tape on Zhu and the -255 price. He passes on betting.

"i think this kid's gonna outlast him i think this kid's gonna last him the strike is gonna be a little bit better he's aggressive he's got a good gasoline"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Rong Zhu

Daniel picks Rong Zhu, believing he is the best Chinese prospect on the card and that Kazula Vargas is not UFC caliber. He notes Zhu's length and aggression, and expects him to land better shots. He is not sure about the -250 line but still picks Zhu to win.

"i'm gonna pick him to win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 23, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Rong Zhu

I think Rong Zhu has the most potential among the Chinese debutants. He's well-rounded with solid grappling and striking, and he's only 21 with 20 pro fights. Vargas is durable but limited; he's been finished only by Jose Caceres. I expect the fight to stay standing and Zhu to outpoint him, possibly finishing late. The prop I like is Zhu by KO at +135, but I'm not investing serious money due to the unknowns.

Zhu by KO +135
"i think that we'll get wrong uh having the upper hand pretty much at all times in this fight"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kazula Vargas

Paul picks Vargas as a dog, citing Zhu's takedown defense issues and Vargas's wrestling. He notes Zhu's youth and potential but thinks Vargas can exploit the grappling gap. He likes the plus money and thinks the line should be closer to a pick 'em. He also mentions that Zhu is on the card because of the Chinese market.

"i took a shot on the duck and i don't hate it you know what i wouldn't hate it either it's plus 215 it's a dog shot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 16, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Rong Zhu

The MMA Guru picks Rong Zhu by TKO in the second round. He is impressed by Zhu's highlight reel and activity, noting he has a 10-fight win streak and disguises his wins among lesser competition. He thinks Vargas is older and not as good, and that Zhu will finish him via ground and pound after Vargas survives a bit.

TKO in second round
"i'm going with wrong zhu"
LOSS vs Brok Weaver
DQ (illegal knee) R1 4:02 · UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2 · Feb 15, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Brok Weaver 0 5 of 9 55% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Kazula Vargas 0 15 of 29 51% 50 of 64 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Brok Weaver 0 5 of 9 55% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Kazula Vargas 0 15 of 29 51% 50 of 64 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Brok Weaver 5 of 9 55% 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 3 4 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 1
Kazula Vargas 15 of 29 51% 6 of 14 5 of 10 4 of 5 9 of 21 3 of 5 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Brok Weaver 5 of 9 55% 3 of 6 0 of 0 2 of 3 4 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 1
Kazula Vargas 15 of 29 51% 6 of 14 5 of 10 4 of 5 9 of 21 3 of 5 3 of 3
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Brok Weaver

Daniel Levi picks Brok Weaver to win, but thinks the fight will be closer than the line indicates. He notes Weaver's volume striking and wrestling advantage, but also Vargas's knockout power. He expects Weaver to mix in takedowns and win by decision or submission, but warns that Vargas could land a knockdown.

decision or submission, possibly ground-and-pound TKO
"I'm a pig Brock Weaver for a win but I do think the fight plays out closer than the line indicates"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Aug 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex da Silva Coelho 0 20 of 42 47% 59 of 92 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:18
Kazula Vargas 0 17 of 39 43% 88 of 130 3 of 4 75% 0 0 12:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex da Silva Coelho 0 8 of 12 66% 21 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:18
Kazula Vargas 0 3 of 6 50% 16 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:31
2 Alex da Silva Coelho 0 6 of 13 46% 27 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Kazula Vargas 0 9 of 17 52% 41 of 57 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:14
3 Alex da Silva Coelho 0 6 of 17 35% 11 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kazula Vargas 0 5 of 16 31% 31 of 48 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex da Silva Coelho 20 of 42 47% 16 of 37 2 of 3 2 of 2 13 of 34 0 of 0 7 of 8
Kazula Vargas 17 of 39 43% 14 of 35 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 28 1 of 1 9 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex da Silva Coelho 8 of 12 66% 8 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 7
Kazula Vargas 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Alex da Silva Coelho 6 of 13 46% 3 of 10 1 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
Kazula Vargas 9 of 17 52% 8 of 15 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 10 0 of 0 6 of 7
3 Alex da Silva Coelho 6 of 17 35% 5 of 15 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kazula Vargas 5 of 16 31% 3 of 14 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 1
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Brok Weaver

Daniel Levi picks Brok Weaver to win, but thinks the fight will be closer than the line indicates. He notes Weaver's volume striking and wrestling advantage, but also Vargas's knockout power. He expects Weaver to mix in takedowns and win by decision or submission, but warns that Vargas could land a knockdown.

decision or submission, possibly ground-and-pound TKO
"I'm a pig Brock Weaver for a win but I do think the fight plays out closer than the line indicates"