Fight card

UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz 2

February 15, 2020 Santa Ana Star Center Rio Rancho, New Mexico, U.S.
JA

Jan Błachowicz W

KO (punch) R1 3:08
Fight 1 VS Light Heavyweight Completed

Jan Błachowicz

No odds available.

Corey Anderson

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Jan Błachowicz

Age43
Height6' 2"
Reach78"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Corey Anderson

Age36
Height6' 3"
Reach79.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Jan Błachowicz

3.55SLpM
50.0%Str. Acc.
3.14SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
0.98TD Avg
48.0%TD Acc.
69.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Corey Anderson

4.43SLpM
46.0%Str. Acc.
2.22SApM
59.0%Str. Def.
4.89TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
83.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Corey Anderson

Daniel Levi picks Corey Anderson to win by decision, possibly a late finish. He notes Anderson's complete package of boxing, cardio, and wrestling, and that his chin has held up recently. He believes Anderson's pace will be too much for Błachowicz, and that if Błachowicz doesn't get a knockout, Anderson grinds out a win.

decision win, possibly late TKO via ground and pound
"I'm gonna take Corey Anderson by 50 45 49 46 I think he puts a statement"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

DI

Diego Sanchez W

DQ (illegal knee) R3 3:09
Fight 2 VS Welterweight Completed

Diego Sanchez

No odds available.

Michel Pereira

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Diego Sanchez

Age44
Height5' 10"
Reach72.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Michel Pereira

Age32
Height6' 1"
Reach73.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Diego Sanchez

2.69SLpM
37.0%Str. Acc.
3.02SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
1.51TD Avg
24.0%TD Acc.
46.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Michel Pereira

4.46SLpM
51.0%Str. Acc.
4.4SApM
51.0%Str. Def.
1.21TD Avg
56.0%TD Acc.
75.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Michel Pereira

Daniel Levi picks Michel Pereira to win by first-round knockout. He believes Diego Sanchez is a deranged man with a deteriorating chin and questionable training situation, while Pereira is more focused after his first UFC loss. He thinks Pereira's power and striking will be too much for Sanchez, who ducks his head and hasn't evolved.

first-round knockout, possibly a 10-second knockout via flying knee, performance of the night bonus
"I think he gets knocked out in the first round with an e or a punch"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Montana De La Rosa

Montana De La Rosa W

13-9-1
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Fight 3 VS Women's Flyweight Completed

Montana De La Rosa

No odds available.

Mara Romero Borella

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Montana De La Rosa

Age31
Height5' 7"
Reach68.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Mara Romero Borella

Age40
Height5' 6"
Reach69.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Montana De La Rosa

2.9SLpM
37.0%Str. Acc.
3.39SApM
45.0%Str. Def.
1.85TD Avg
33.0%TD Acc.
68.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Mara Romero Borella

2.54SLpM
37.0%Str. Acc.
2.48SApM
71.0%Str. Def.
1.83TD Avg
44.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Montana De La Rosa

Daniel Levi picks Montana De La Rosa to win a close decision. He notes that Borella is timid and has chin issues, while De La Rosa is tougher and will try harder. He expects a back-and-forth fight but believes De La Rosa will take Borella's back and win on effort.

close decision, possibly 1-1 going into third round
"I'm gonna take that larosa for a close decision"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

BR

Brok Weaver W

DQ (illegal knee) R1 4:02
Fight 4 VS Lightweight Completed

Brok Weaver

No odds available.

Kazula Vargas

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Brok Weaver

Age34
Height6' 0"
Reach73.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Kazula Vargas

Age40
Height5' 8"
Reach71.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Brok Weaver

4.78SLpM
64.0%Str. Acc.
4.35SApM
46.0%Str. Def.
0.41TD Avg
10.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Kazula Vargas

3.65SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
1.77SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
0.4TD Avg
25.0%TD Acc.
30.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Brok Weaver

Daniel Levi picks Brok Weaver to win, but thinks the fight will be closer than the line indicates. He notes Weaver's volume striking and wrestling advantage, but also Vargas's knockout power. He expects Weaver to mix in takedowns and win by decision or submission, but warns that Vargas could land a knockdown.

decision or submission, possibly ground-and-pound TKO
"I'm a pig Brock Weaver for a win but I do think the fight plays out closer than the line indicates"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

RA

Ray Borg W

Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–25) R3 5:00
Fight 5 VS Catchweight (128 lb) Completed

Ray Borg

No odds available.

Rogério Bontorin

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Ray Borg

Age32
Height5' 4"
Reach63.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Rogério Bontorin

Age34
Height5' 5"
Reach67"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Ray Borg

1.52SLpM
52.0%Str. Acc.
1.93SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
3.89TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
46.0%TD Def.
1.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Rogério Bontorin

2.63SLpM
52.0%Str. Acc.
3.27SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
2.9TD Avg
60.0%TD Acc.
51.0%TD Def.
1.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Rogério Bontorin

Daniel Levi picks Rogério Bontorin for the upset due to his power and strength. He believes Bontorin will win the first two rounds with harder shots, and that Borg may struggle to take him down. He notes Bontorin's heart and jiu-jitsu pedigree, but is not overly confident because Borg could return to his old form.

upset win, Bontorin wins first two rounds
"I'm gonna take bond serine for the upset due to his power"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Lando Vannata

Lando Vannata W

12-8-2
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00
Fight 6 VS Lightweight Completed

Lando Vannata

No odds available.

Yancy Medeiros

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Lando Vannata

Age34
Height5' 9"
Reach71.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Yancy Medeiros

Age38
Height5' 10"
Reach75.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Lando Vannata

4.52SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
4.71SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
1.24TD Avg
36.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Yancy Medeiros

4.36SLpM
37.0%Str. Acc.
5.67SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
0.33TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
73.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Yancy Medeiros

Daniel Levi picks Yancy Medeiros to win by unanimous decision or third-round submission. He believes Vannata is a lost cause with a fragile chin and poor fight IQ, while Medeiros has the Hawaiian spirit and will take over after the first round. He notes Vannata's tendency to gas at the 7-minute mark and not check kicks.

unanimous decision, third-round submission, live betting opportunity on Medeiros after first round
"I'm going in see materials by unanimous decision"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Daniel Rodriguez

Daniel Rodriguez W

20-5
Submission (guillotine choke) R2 3:37
Fight 7 VS Welterweight Completed

Daniel Rodriguez

No odds available.

Tim Means

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Daniel Rodriguez

Age39
Height6' 1"
Reach74.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Tim Means

Age42
Height6' 2"
Reach75.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Daniel Rodriguez

7.2SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
5.4SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
0.51TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
64.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Tim Means

5.04SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
3.65SApM
60.0%Str. Def.
1.14TD Avg
40.0%TD Acc.
64.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Tim Means

Daniel Levi picks Tim Means to win by knockout. He notes Means' experience against this level of competition and his ability to finish newcomers. He believes Means will slip and rip something down the middle and knock out Rodriguez, who is taking a big step up in competition on short notice.

knockout, possibly via straight left hand
"I'm going with Tim means to get a very big win here in New Mexico"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

JO

John Dodson W

TKO (punches) R3 0:16
Fight 8 VS Bantamweight Completed

John Dodson

No odds available.

Nathaniel Wood

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

John Dodson

Age41
Height5' 3"
Reach66.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Nathaniel Wood

Age33
Height5' 6"
Reach69.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - John Dodson

3.2SLpM
40.0%Str. Acc.
3.58SApM
61.0%Str. Def.
0.71TD Avg
28.0%TD Acc.
82.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Nathaniel Wood

5.64SLpM
51.0%Str. Acc.
4.25SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
1.35TD Avg
48.0%TD Acc.
73.0%TD Def.
0.5Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Nathaniel Wood

Daniel Levi picks Nathaniel Wood to win, possibly becoming the first man to finish John Dodson. He likes Wood's well-rounded game, consistent boxing, calf kicks, and ability to take down Dodson. He notes Dodson's recent decline and that Wood will be the bigger fighter, which should help him wear Dodson down.

first man to finish John Dodson, decision win, takedowns and ground control
"I think Nathaniel Wood is going to show I use the prospect but now it might be the contender"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Scott Holtzman

Scott Holtzman W

14-6
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 9 VS Lightweight Completed

Scott Holtzman

No odds available.

Jim Miller

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Scott Holtzman

Age42
Height5' 9"
Reach69.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Jim Miller

Age42
Height5' 8"
Reach71.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Scott Holtzman

4.32SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
3.66SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
1.88TD Avg
56.0%TD Acc.
67.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Jim Miller

2.92SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
3.44SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
1.5TD Avg
45.0%TD Acc.
48.0%TD Def.
1.7Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Scott Holtzman

Daniel Levi picks Scott Holtzman to win by unanimous decision, possibly a late TKO. He believes Holtzman is the more physical fighter with more left in the tank, and that if he avoids Miller's early guillotine and big shots, he can implement calf kicks and grind out a win. He notes Miller's tendency to gas if extended.

unanimous decision, late TKO, calf kicks as key weapon
"I'm gonna go with Scott Holtzman view a decision as well possibly a late TKO"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Devin Clark

Devin Clark W

14-9
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00
Fight 10 VS Light Heavyweight Completed

Devin Clark

No odds available.

Dequan Townsend

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Devin Clark

Age36
Height6' 0"
Reach75.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Dequan Townsend

Age40
Height6' 3"
Reach79.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Devin Clark

3.03SLpM
54.0%Str. Acc.
3.24SApM
44.0%Str. Def.
2.17TD Avg
32.0%TD Acc.
58.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Dequan Townsend

1.23SLpM
34.0%Str. Acc.
3.92SApM
38.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
46.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Devin Clark

Daniel Levi picks Devin Clark to grind out a win, potentially by decision or submission. He notes Clark's explosiveness and wrestling, and that Townsend is not UFC caliber, with questionable grappling. However, he warns that Clark can be untrustworthy and might get caught, so he doesn't like the -380 price.

decision, possibly a choke submission
"I'll still go with Devin Clark to the grind this one out potentially powder choke this guy out but most likely a decision"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Merab Dvalishvili

Merab Dvalishvili W

21-5
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–25, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 11 VS Bantamweight Completed

Merab Dvalishvili

No odds available.

Casey Kenney

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Merab Dvalishvili

Age35
Height5' 6"
Reach68.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Casey Kenney

Age35
Height5' 7"
Reach68.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Merab Dvalishvili

4.42SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
2.8SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
5.97TD Avg
35.0%TD Acc.
76.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Casey Kenney

4.85SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
4.67SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
1.09TD Avg
35.0%TD Acc.
61.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Merab Dvalishvili

Daniel Levi picks Merab Dvalishvili to edge out a close decision, but is not very confident. He notes Dvalishvili's relentless pressure and takedowns, but also his tendency to gas and become predictable. He acknowledges Kenney's underrated skills and ability to win fights he's not supposed to, making this a tough call.

close decision, fight of the night potential, value on Kenney at plus money
"I think my Rob's probably gonna edge out a decision but it's not a very confident pick"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Macy Chiasson

Macy Chiasson W

11-6
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00
Fight 12 VS Women's Bantamweight Completed

Macy Chiasson

No odds available.

Shanna Young

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Macy Chiasson

Age34
Height5' 11"
Reach72.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Shanna Young

Age35
Height5' 7"
Reach65.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Macy Chiasson

3.21SLpM
46.0%Str. Acc.
2.76SApM
44.0%Str. Def.
1.87TD Avg
35.0%TD Acc.
62.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Shanna Young

3.18SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
4.88SApM
43.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
53.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Macy Chiasson

Daniel Levi picks Macy Chiasson to win by first-round submission or ground-and-pound TKO. He notes Young's poor grappling defense, having been submitted twice recently, and believes Chiasson will take her down and finish quickly.

first-round rear-naked choke or ground-and-pound stoppage
"I think it's going to be a first round rear naked choke or a ground-and-pound stoppage"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

RA

Raulian Paiva W

KO (punches) R2 4:42
Fight 13 VS Flyweight Completed

Raulian Paiva

No odds available.

Mark De La Rosa

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Raulian Paiva

Age30
Height5' 8"
Reach69.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Mark De La Rosa

Age31
Height5' 6"
Reach65.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Raulian Paiva

4.14SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
5.01SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
0.65TD Avg
23.0%TD Acc.
77.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Mark De La Rosa

3.13SLpM
35.0%Str. Acc.
5.0SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
0.54TD Avg
13.0%TD Acc.
40.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Raulian Paiva

Daniel Levi picks Raulian Paiva to win, likely by finish. He notes Paiva's height, reach, durability, and scrambling ability, while De La Rosa is smaller and makes mistakes in boxing. He believes Paiva is more ferocious and will overwhelm De La Rosa with left hooks and knees.

finish, possibly via left hook or knee
"I think Paiva comes in here and roles I think pyv was better than de la Rosa everywhere"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.