Career Averages - David Zawada
Career Averages - Abubakar Nurmagomedov
David Zawada - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 0 | 90 of 213 | 42% | 96 of 219 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:06 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 86 of 205 | 41% | 91 of 210 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 0 | 37 of 84 | 44% | 39 of 86 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 33 of 83 | 39% | 34 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Alex Morono | 0 | 29 of 76 | 38% | 29 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 31 of 74 | 41% | 31 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Alex Morono | 0 | 24 of 53 | 45% | 28 of 57 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:01 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 26 of 52 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:39 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Morono | 90 of 213 | 42% | 81 of 200 | 8 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 84 of 204 | 6 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| David Zawada | 86 of 205 | 41% | 39 of 150 | 41 of 48 | 6 of 7 | 77 of 187 | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Morono | 37 of 84 | 44% | 32 of 79 | 4 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 33 of 77 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| David Zawada | 33 of 83 | 39% | 19 of 66 | 13 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 27 of 73 | 6 of 10 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alex Morono | 29 of 76 | 38% | 26 of 71 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 29 of 76 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| David Zawada | 31 of 74 | 41% | 11 of 51 | 16 of 19 | 4 of 4 | 30 of 69 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Alex Morono | 24 of 53 | 45% | 23 of 50 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 22 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| David Zawada | 22 of 48 | 45% | 9 of 33 | 12 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 20 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Alex Morono to win by knockout, favoring Morono's higher volume (5.05 sig strikes/min) and positive strike differential. He notes Zawada is dangerous with power and submissions, but has poor takedown defense and has been controlled on the ground. Brady thinks Morono can take Zawada down if needed and has never been submitted. He expects Morono's volume and striking to be the difference, leading to a knockout win.
Cody picks Morono by decision, citing Morono's higher volume and better striking. He notes Zawada's low volume and reliance on takedowns, but thinks Morono's BJJ is good enough to defend and get back up. He expects a close fight going the distance and likes the over 2.5 rounds.
I think Morono is the better fighter here—he keeps an incredibly high pace, is durable, and has beaten better competition. Zawada is defensively void and easy to hit. However, I have concerns about Morono's wrestling; he got taken down multiple times by Max Griffin. But Zawada's takedowns aren't elite, and Morono has good jiu-jitsu to get back up. I think Morono wins by decision, and the fight goes the distance. I like the over 2.5 rounds and Morono by decision.
Paul sees it as a close to pick'em fight and is staying away. He notes Morono's durability issues and Zawada's low volume, but thinks if you got Zawada at +155 earlier it's a good shot. He doesn't make a firm pick.
The MMA Guru picks Alex Morono to win by decision. He believes Morono is tough and can grind out a win, despite taking the fight on short notice. He notes Zawada's submission win over a Nurmagomedov but thinks Morono's durability and experience will carry him to a 29-28 unanimous decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramazan Emeev | 0 | 44 of 114 | 38% | 114 of 190 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 53 of 101 | 52% | 101 of 160 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 0 | 1 | 4:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ramazan Emeev | 0 | 17 of 43 | 39% | 41 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 21 of 41 | 51% | 39 of 61 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:33 | |
| 2 | Ramazan Emeev | 0 | 17 of 49 | 34% | 33 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 18 of 39 | 46% | 31 of 56 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 1:30 | |
| 3 | Ramazan Emeev | 0 | 10 of 22 | 45% | 40 of 54 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 14 of 21 | 66% | 31 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 1 | 1:25 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ramazan Emeev | 44 of 114 | 38% | 24 of 88 | 6 of 10 | 14 of 16 | 30 of 90 | 13 of 23 | 1 of 1 |
| David Zawada | 53 of 101 | 52% | 36 of 81 | 13 of 15 | 4 of 5 | 36 of 82 | 12 of 14 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ramazan Emeev | 17 of 43 | 39% | 7 of 30 | 4 of 7 | 6 of 6 | 10 of 31 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
| David Zawada | 21 of 41 | 51% | 12 of 31 | 7 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 30 | 8 of 9 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Ramazan Emeev | 17 of 49 | 34% | 9 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 6 of 7 | 12 of 40 | 4 of 8 | 1 of 1 |
| David Zawada | 18 of 39 | 46% | 12 of 32 | 5 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 13 of 33 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | |
| 3 | Ramazan Emeev | 10 of 22 | 45% | 8 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 8 of 19 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| David Zawada | 14 of 21 | 66% | 12 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 19 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 |
Big Brady picks Ramazan Emeev to win by grinding decision. He notes that Emeev has better wrestling and cardio, but Zawada is dangerous off his back and on the feet. He thinks Emeev will get takedowns and control the fight, but warns that Zawada is a finisher and Emeev has been knocked out and submitted before. He says he wouldn't bet on it and would leave Emeev out of parlays.
Daniel Levi picks Ramazan Emeev via decision, citing Emeev's patient clinch-heavy style and Zawada's grappling mistakes and poor cardio. He notes Zawada is exciting but makes too many errors, and Emeev has never been bullied. He expects Emeev to avoid big shots and win a decision.
Emeev is an efficient fighter with a good mix of striking, clinch, and takedowns. He has low output but lands effective shots, especially his right hand. However, his takedowns can leave him vulnerable to submissions, which is a concern against a high-level jiu-jitsu player like Zawada. Zawada has shown he can pull off upsets, but his striking is less technical. Emeev should win a striking battle and has better cardio. The line is too high for a lock, but Emeev is a solid parlay piece.
The MMA Guru picks Ramazan Emeev over David Zawada, arguing that Zawada's losses to lower-level competition (like Danny Roberts) indicate he's not ready for Emeev. He uses MMA math comparing their common opponents (Anthony Rocco Martin and Li Jingliang) to suggest Emeev is the better fighter. He also notes Emeev's reach advantage despite being shorter.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Zawada | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Zawada | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Zawada | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Zawada | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Li Jingliang | 1 | 89 of 222 | 40% | 97 of 234 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| David Zawada | 1 | 73 of 184 | 39% | 74 of 185 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Li Jingliang | 0 | 13 of 41 | 31% | 21 of 53 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
| David Zawada | 1 | 24 of 55 | 43% | 25 of 56 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:36 | |
| 2 | Li Jingliang | 0 | 40 of 97 | 41% | 40 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 31 of 83 | 37% | 31 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Li Jingliang | 1 | 36 of 84 | 42% | 36 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 18 of 46 | 39% | 18 of 46 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Li Jingliang | 89 of 222 | 40% | 59 of 183 | 10 of 11 | 20 of 28 | 81 of 204 | 3 of 12 | 5 of 6 |
| David Zawada | 73 of 184 | 39% | 52 of 159 | 19 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 63 of 162 | 10 of 20 | 0 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Li Jingliang | 13 of 41 | 31% | 10 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 3 | 9 of 31 | 0 of 6 | 4 of 4 |
| David Zawada | 24 of 55 | 43% | 15 of 46 | 9 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 40 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 2 | |
| 2 | Li Jingliang | 40 of 97 | 41% | 23 of 77 | 6 of 6 | 11 of 14 | 40 of 95 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| David Zawada | 31 of 83 | 37% | 22 of 72 | 8 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 80 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Li Jingliang | 36 of 84 | 42% | 26 of 70 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 11 | 32 of 78 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 |
| David Zawada | 18 of 46 | 39% | 15 of 41 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 42 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Roberts | 0 | 45 of 87 | 51% | 68 of 117 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 8:47 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 33 of 64 | 51% | 63 of 99 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 5 | 1 | 2:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Roberts | 0 | 19 of 40 | 47% | 21 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 3:29 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Danny Roberts | 0 | 5 of 12 | 41% | 16 of 27 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:31 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 8 of 21 | 38% | 20 of 37 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 | 1 | 1:44 | |
| 3 | Danny Roberts | 0 | 21 of 35 | 60% | 31 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:47 |
| David Zawada | 0 | 11 of 19 | 57% | 17 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 2 | 0 | 0:54 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danny Roberts | 45 of 87 | 51% | 32 of 73 | 6 of 6 | 7 of 8 | 14 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 41 |
| David Zawada | 33 of 64 | 51% | 21 of 51 | 10 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 48 | 10 of 11 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Danny Roberts | 19 of 40 | 47% | 12 of 33 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 17 |
| David Zawada | 14 of 24 | 58% | 7 of 17 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 17 | 6 of 6 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Danny Roberts | 5 of 12 | 41% | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
| David Zawada | 8 of 21 | 38% | 7 of 19 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 16 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Danny Roberts | 21 of 35 | 60% | 15 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 21 |
| David Zawada | 11 of 19 | 57% | 7 of 15 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Abubakar Nurmagomedov - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 29 of 54 | 53% | 48 of 76 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 0 | 0 | 6:16 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 42 of 113 | 37% | 50 of 132 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 15 of 20 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:39 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 10 of 34 | 29% | 10 of 37 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 5 of 16 | 31% | 20 of 33 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 14 of 32 | 43% | 19 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 3 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 22 | 54% | 13 of 23 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:17 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 18 of 47 | 38% | 21 of 53 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 29 of 54 | 53% | 13 of 37 | 6 of 7 | 10 of 10 | 23 of 48 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 42 of 113 | 37% | 16 of 75 | 13 of 22 | 13 of 16 | 27 of 87 | 15 of 26 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 12 of 16 | 75% | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 6 of 10 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 10 of 34 | 29% | 3 of 21 | 5 of 10 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 22 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 5 of 16 | 31% | 2 of 13 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 14 of 32 | 43% | 3 of 17 | 4 of 6 | 7 of 9 | 10 of 26 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos | 12 of 22 | 54% | 6 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 18 of 47 | 38% | 10 of 37 | 4 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 39 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Nurmagomedov, citing the long layoff for Zaleski (1.5 years) and Nurmagomedov's wrestling pressure. He thinks Zaleski tends to lose to wrestlers and has been taken down by non-wrestlers. Angelo bet Nurmagomedov at +120 for a quarter unit. He acknowledges the line is tightening but still favors the active fighter.
Cody picks Nurmagomedov, citing Zaleski's poor takedown defense (67%) and history of being taken down by wrestlers. He notes Zaleski has never faced a wrestler like Nurmagomedov, and that his long layoff and past drug test issues are red flags. Cody thinks Nurmagomedov's wrestling will be enough to grind out a win, even if he's not a high-volume takedown artist.
Connor picks Zaleski despite acknowledging Abubakar's wrestling advantage, because he believes Abubakar's poor athleticism and tendency to gas will lead to a fade. He notes that Zaleski is a physical freak who doesn't fall apart easily, and that Abubakar's wrestling often leads to his own cardio issues. Connor expects Zaleski to rally after an initial tough round, possibly winning by KO as Abubakar tires.
Daniel picks Abubakar, citing Zaleski's age (36) and recent PED suspension as reasons he may not look the same. He believes Abubakar is catching him at the perfect time and can outwork him with a grinding decision. He notes that Zaleski has historically been a violence king, but the suspension and age are major concerns.
Jacob picks Zaleski, believing his leg kicks and striking will neutralize Nurmagomedov's takedowns. He thinks Zaleski's performance against Saint Denis showed improved takedown defense. Jacob notes Nurmagomedov is flat-footed and not overly dominant in wrestling. He expects Zaleski to light up the lead leg and win by finish or decision.
Nurmagomedov has shown improved striking and a reliable grappling game. Zaleski is dangerous but coming off a long layoff and suspension. Nurmagomedov will land takedowns, control from top, and grind out a decision. Zaleski could pull off a submission or knockout, but the Dagestani wrestler is the safer pick.
Paul picks Zaleski dos Santos as a slight underdog. He notes the line movement to Nurmagomedov as favorite is undeserved, and that Zaleski is the more dangerous striker with freakish power. Paul mentions Zaleski's takedown defense is a concern, but he thinks if the fight stays standing, Zaleski has a significant advantage. He also notes Zaleski's long layoff and past drug test issues but still sides with him.
The MMA Guru picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov, comparing the matchup to a knockoff Khabib vs Edson Barboza. He notes that Zaleski dos Santos throws a lot of kicks on the back foot and lacks pace, and hasn't fought since October 2021 (over a year and a half off). He believes Nurmagomedov's grappling, pressure, and pace will be the difference, though he acknowledges Nurmagomedov has had iffy performances. He thinks the grappling of Nurmagomedov gets the win.
Zane picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov based on his strong positional grappling and wrestling advantage. He notes that Zaleski has poor takedown defense, having been taken down six times by Nicolas Dalby, and that few opponents have tested his wrestling since. Zane believes Abubakar's takedowns and top control will be decisive, though he acknowledges Abubakar's cardio issues could be a factor if he fails to finish early.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 40 of 67 | 59% | 76 of 104 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 7:55 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 38 of 99 | 38% | 79 of 142 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 33 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:57 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 13 of 25 | 52% | 36 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 5 of 15 | 33% | 13 of 24 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 23 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 3 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 28 of 38 | 73% | 30 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:07 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 0 | 16 of 53 | 30% | 20 of 58 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:32 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 40 of 67 | 59% | 29 of 55 | 5 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 36 of 61 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 2 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 38 of 99 | 38% | 22 of 69 | 13 of 26 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 81 | 12 of 14 | 1 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 7 of 14 | 50% | 5 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 13 of 25 | 52% | 7 of 16 | 4 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 16 | 8 of 9 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 5 of 15 | 33% | 4 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 9 of 21 | 42% | 2 of 11 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 4 | |
| 3 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 28 of 38 | 73% | 20 of 29 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 27 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Gadzhi Omargadzhiev | 16 of 53 | 30% | 13 of 42 | 2 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 48 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks the underdog Omargadzhiev, citing Nurmagomedov's inactivity (only two fights in three years) and tendency to drop the ball as a favorite. He notes Omargadzhiev looked impressive outside the UFC but had a poor debut; he expects a better version to show up. He predicts Omargadzhiev catches Nurmagomedov in a submission, possibly a 'club and sub' off his back.
Cody leans Omargadzhiev, noting that Abubakar is the weakest of the Nurmagomedov family. He thinks Omargadzhiev has better stand-up and power, and that Abubakar's takedowns may not be effective. Cody is not confident and says it's a dog-or-pass situation.
Daniel Levi picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by decision. He thinks Abubakar's fundamentally sound Russian style will be enough against Gadzhi Omargadzhiev, who he is not sold on. Levi notes that Omargadzhiev's regional fights are suspect and that Abubakar showed a jab-heavy game plan in his last fight. He expects Abubakar to grind out a decision.
Paul is confident in Omargadzhiev, calling Abubakar overrated. He notes Omargadzhiev's submission skills and that Abubakar has been submitted before. Paul likes the plus money and has already bet Omargadzhiev at +150. He also likes Omargadzhiev by submission at +1050.
The MMA Guru picks underdog Gadzhi Omargadzhiev over Abubakar Nurmagomedov. He believes Abubakar is past his prime and not as skilled as other Nurmagomedovs, while Omargadzhiev is moving to a more suitable weight class (170 lbs). He predicts a late-round submission win, likely a rear-naked choke, as the fight gets sloppy.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 43 of 136 | 31% | 111 of 207 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Gooden | 0 | 60 of 120 | 50% | 100 of 164 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 4:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 14 of 49 | 28% | 14 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Gooden | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 17 of 62 | 27% | 17 of 62 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Gooden | 0 | 30 of 63 | 47% | 30 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 3 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 12 of 25 | 48% | 80 of 96 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jared Gooden | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 47 of 59 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 4:07 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 43 of 136 | 31% | 30 of 110 | 12 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 35 of 127 | 3 of 3 | 5 of 6 |
| Jared Gooden | 60 of 120 | 50% | 45 of 105 | 9 of 9 | 6 of 6 | 56 of 115 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 14 of 49 | 28% | 12 of 42 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 48 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Gooden | 23 of 42 | 54% | 12 of 31 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 22 of 40 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 17 of 62 | 27% | 9 of 47 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 62 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jared Gooden | 30 of 63 | 47% | 28 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 27 of 60 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 12 of 25 | 48% | 9 of 21 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 17 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 |
| Jared Gooden | 7 of 15 | 46% | 5 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by dominant decision (30-27). He believes Nurmagomedov's wrestling will be the key, as Gooden can be taken down and controlled easily. He notes that Gooden has submissions on his record but thinks Nurmagomedov will avoid playing on the feet. However, he says he probably wouldn't bet the -235 line due to Nurmagomedov's mistakes in his last fight.
Cody leans towards Gooden as a live underdog, noting that Abubakar's price is inflated by his last name. He thinks Gooden has better striking and a reach advantage, and that Abubakar's chin is questionable. He is considering a play on Gooden but wants to see weigh-ins first.
Daniel Levi picks Jared Gooden to get his first UFC win. He acknowledges Gooden's struggles with wrestlers but believes he has worked tirelessly to patch that hole in his game at ATT. Levi criticizes Abubakar as a lesser version of the Dagestani style with no stand-up and a questionable chin. He thinks Gooden will get back to his feet and knock Abubakar out.
The host hesitantly picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov to win by decision. He notes that Abubakar has a 'Nurmagomedov tax' on his line and is not impressed with his grappling or cardio. He thinks Abubakar will struggle to get Gooden down and keep him there, but Gooden's cardio and durability are also question marks. He mentions Gooden's KO power at +650 as a potential sprinkle, but ultimately expects Abubakar to grind out a decision if he can get takedowns.
Paul leans towards Abubakar but thinks the price is way off. He notes that Abubakar has good wrestling and cardio, and that Gooden is hittable. However, he is not confident because Abubakar's chin is suspect and he has been knocked out before. He calls it a dogger pass situation.
The Guru picks Abubakar Nurmagomedov by unanimous decision, citing his takedown advantage and better competition. He criticizes Jared Gooden's takedown defense and lack of impressive wins. He expects a sloppy fight with Nurmagomedov dictating the pace with wrestling, taking Gooden down whenever it gets risky on the feet. He notes Nurmagomedov is the worst of the Nurmagomedovs but still good enough to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Zawada | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Zawada | 0 | 4 of 9 | 44% | 22 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 25 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Zawada | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | David Zawada | 4 of 9 | 44% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Abubakar Nurmagomedov | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
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