UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · Oct 05, 2019 · Women's Featherweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya Next Fight
Age 36
Height 6' 0"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 42
Height 5' 8"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Megan Anderson
1.76 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
3.35 SApM
37.0% Str. Def.
0.52 TD Avg
25.0% TD Acc.
53.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Zarah Fairn
4.55 SLpM
31.0% Str. Acc.
7.4 SApM
45.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
60.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Megan Anderson - Fight History
LOSS vs Amanda Nunes
Submission (triangle armbar) R1 2:03 · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 18 of 25 72% 19 of 26 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:42
Megan Anderson 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 18 of 25 72% 19 of 26 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:42
Megan Anderson 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 18 of 25 72% 15 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 3 10 of 16 0 of 0 8 of 9
Megan Anderson 2 of 5 40% 0 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 18 of 25 72% 15 of 22 0 of 0 3 of 3 10 of 16 0 of 0 8 of 9
Megan Anderson 2 of 5 40% 0 of 3 1 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Big Brady picks Amanda Nunes confidently, citing her massive advantages in striking volume, takedown ability, and competition level. He notes Anderson's poor striking defense (38%) and takedown defense (53%). He predicts a first-round submission, but passes on betting the moneyline due to the high price.

first round submission
"give me a man of nunes here give me a man of nunes i'm gonna say first round um submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Daniel picks Amanda Nunes, stating she is on a completely different level than Megan Anderson. He notes Anderson's weakness on the mat and suggests looking at the under for betting, expecting an early stoppage.

under
"she's just on a completely different level than uh megan anderson so for that reason she's winning this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lock picked Mar 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

Nunes is the greatest female fighter ever and should dominate everywhere. Anderson's only chance is a lucky KO, but Nunes's takedowns and ground game are too much. The host predicts a submission in the second round and recommends the under 2.5 rounds.

under 2.5 rounds minus 220, fight does not start round three minus 175, round two nunes plus 300
"i think that the lock of the night play for ufc 259 would easily be the under two and a half in this fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Amanda Nunes

The MMA Guru picks Amanda Nunes to win, likely by decision. He dismisses Megan Anderson's competition and notes Nunes has improved her grappling, taking down top opponents. He believes Nunes will take Anderson down and outgrapple her, as Anderson was ragdolled by Holly Holm and Felicia Spencer.

"nunez is going to get the job done taking her down out grappling her it's food chain stuff"
WIN vs Norma Dumont
KO (punch) R1 3:31 · UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · Feb 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Megan Anderson 1 7 of 14 50% 32 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:14
Norma Dumont 0 5 of 16 31% 14 of 25 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Megan Anderson 1 7 of 14 50% 32 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:14
Norma Dumont 0 5 of 16 31% 14 of 25 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Megan Anderson 7 of 14 50% 6 of 12 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 1
Norma Dumont 5 of 16 31% 1 of 9 4 of 5 0 of 2 1 of 11 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Megan Anderson 7 of 14 50% 6 of 12 1 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 1
Norma Dumont 5 of 16 31% 1 of 9 4 of 5 0 of 2 1 of 11 4 of 5 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Megan Anderson vs. Norma Dumont Viana

Round 1
In the first of two significant women’s featherweight matchups, former Invicta FC champ Anderson (10-4, 2-2 UFC) takes on undefeated newcomer Dumont Viana (4-0, 0-0 UFC). The winner of this bout or the victor of the other bout in this division later may get a crack at Amanda Nunes in May, and referee Kevin MacDonald will make this contest official. There is no glove touch, and Dumont opens up with a low kick that is well shy of the mark. They come together, and Anderson cracks her with an elbow. Backing off, Dumont loads up on a right, and misses the mark. Dumont crashes in and clinches up with her, while she lands a heavy knee and nearly hits a trip. The Brazilian lands another solid few knees to each thigh, brings an elbow over the top while Anderson tries to push her face away. Dumont is hanging on tight, and nearly lands another trip, but the long legs of the Aussie keep her upright. Anderson spins her around and fires a knee up the middle, but Dumont eats it like a sandwich and stays glued to her adversary. Dumont brings up a few knees to the torso, and drops down low for a single that she lands. Anderson reverses the position, so Dumont gets out of the bad spot and pushes Anderson back against the cage. The Aussie pushes free, and Dumont whiffs on a low kick while Anderson comes up top with a jab.
Out of nowhere, Anderson unloads a ferocious right hand that lands right on the button and plants Dumont on her posterior. The Brazilian’s eyes roll around, and any follow-up is unnecessary as MacDonald races in to save the doomed fighter.
With that one-hitter quitter, has Anderson done enough to win a title shot? That remains to be seen, but she persevered after being put in a tough spot to deliver a devastating knockout and remove Dumont from the ranks of the unbeaten.

The Official Result
Megan Anderson def. Norma Dumont Viana R1 3:31 via KO (Punch)
WIN vs Zarah Fairn
Submission (triangle choke) R1 3:57 · UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · Oct 05, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Megan Anderson 0 10 of 18 55% 22 of 33 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:23
Zarah Fairn 0 2 of 5 40% 32 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Megan Anderson 0 10 of 18 55% 22 of 33 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:23
Zarah Fairn 0 2 of 5 40% 32 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Megan Anderson 10 of 18 55% 10 of 17 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 1 10 of 13
Zarah Fairn 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Megan Anderson 10 of 18 55% 10 of 17 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 1 10 of 13
Zarah Fairn 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Felicia Spencer
Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 3:24 · UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Lee · May 18, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Felicia Spencer 0 3 of 6 50% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Megan Anderson 0 22 of 31 70% 25 of 34 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Felicia Spencer 0 3 of 6 50% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Megan Anderson 0 22 of 31 70% 25 of 34 1 of 2 50% 1 0 2:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Felicia Spencer 3 of 6 50% 2 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0
Megan Anderson 22 of 31 70% 13 of 17 0 of 5 9 of 9 1 of 7 8 of 9 13 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Felicia Spencer 3 of 6 50% 2 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 4 1 of 2 0 of 0
Megan Anderson 22 of 31 70% 13 of 17 0 of 5 9 of 9 1 of 7 8 of 9 13 of 15
WIN vs Cat Zingano
TKO (eye injury) R1 1:01 · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Dec 29, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Megan Anderson 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cat Zingano 0 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Megan Anderson 0 3 of 6 50% 3 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cat Zingano 0 3 of 9 33% 3 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Megan Anderson 3 of 6 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cat Zingano 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Megan Anderson 3 of 6 50% 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 3 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cat Zingano 3 of 9 33% 2 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Holly Holm
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–26, 30–26) R3 5:00 · UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · Jun 09, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Holly Holm 0 47 of 71 66% 143 of 176 4 of 8 50% 1 0 10:44
Megan Anderson 0 26 of 58 44% 48 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Holly Holm 0 12 of 17 70% 35 of 42 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:33
Megan Anderson 0 15 of 31 48% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Holly Holm 0 18 of 31 58% 57 of 74 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:39
Megan Anderson 0 7 of 19 36% 16 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Holly Holm 0 17 of 23 73% 51 of 60 2 of 4 50% 1 0 3:32
Megan Anderson 0 4 of 8 50% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Holly Holm 47 of 71 66% 27 of 47 12 of 14 8 of 10 19 of 35 8 of 10 20 of 26
Megan Anderson 26 of 58 44% 15 of 42 11 of 16 0 of 0 19 of 48 7 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Holly Holm 12 of 17 70% 4 of 7 5 of 5 3 of 5 5 of 8 6 of 8 1 of 1
Megan Anderson 15 of 31 48% 9 of 24 6 of 7 0 of 0 8 of 21 7 of 10 0 of 0
2 Holly Holm 18 of 31 58% 15 of 27 2 of 3 1 of 1 7 of 16 1 of 1 10 of 14
Megan Anderson 7 of 19 36% 4 of 14 3 of 5 0 of 0 7 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Holly Holm 17 of 23 73% 8 of 13 5 of 6 4 of 4 7 of 11 1 of 1 9 of 11
Megan Anderson 4 of 8 50% 2 of 4 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zarah Fairn - Fight History
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · Sep 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 39 of 259 15% 39 of 259 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Zarah Fairn 0 126 of 221 57% 127 of 222 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 5 of 86 5% 5 of 86 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zarah Fairn 0 36 of 62 58% 36 of 62 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 10 of 80 12% 10 of 80 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Zarah Fairn 0 46 of 81 56% 46 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jacqueline Cavalcanti 0 24 of 93 25% 24 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Zarah Fairn 0 44 of 78 56% 45 of 79 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacqueline Cavalcanti 39 of 259 15% 25 of 241 8 of 12 6 of 6 39 of 258 0 of 1 0 of 0
Zarah Fairn 126 of 221 57% 43 of 127 20 of 22 63 of 72 116 of 209 10 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacqueline Cavalcanti 5 of 86 5% 2 of 82 2 of 3 1 of 1 5 of 86 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zarah Fairn 36 of 62 58% 4 of 26 8 of 8 24 of 28 36 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jacqueline Cavalcanti 10 of 80 12% 6 of 74 2 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 80 0 of 0 0 of 0
Zarah Fairn 46 of 81 56% 19 of 48 4 of 6 23 of 27 41 of 74 5 of 7 0 of 0
3 Jacqueline Cavalcanti 24 of 93 25% 17 of 85 4 of 5 3 of 3 24 of 92 0 of 1 0 of 0
Zarah Fairn 44 of 78 56% 20 of 53 8 of 8 16 of 17 39 of 73 5 of 5 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jacqueline Cavalcanti vs. Zarah Fairn dos Santos
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Cavalcanti (-375), Fairn dos Santos (+295)

Round 1
Come l’enfer ou hautes eaux, the promotion was going to put on more than 10 fights on this card, no matter what it had to do with the matchups already on the table. With eight of the 11 pairings on the billing containing at least one French fighter, the deck is stacked for local fight fans to get their money’s worth. We begin with a catchweight contest of 140 pounds, between two women who could not safely reach the bantamweight limit in time. After a bit of struggle, Paris-based Fairn (6-5, 0-3 UFC) managed to make the 140-pound cap, while her debuting Portuguese opponent Cavalcanti (5-1, 0-0 UFC) was all smiles on the scales. Someone here has to earn their first UFC victory, and referee Rich Mitchell will be there every step of the way. The first fight of the early afternoon card – for stateside audiences on the east coast – kicks off with a touch of gloves. Fairn takes to the center of the cage, where she paws out jabs and a right hand to follow one in order to find her range. The newcomer skirts along the outside, and she slaps a few leg kicks out while also swiping with a jab or two. The crowd booms in favor of Fairn, making sure to voice support for the French woman, and she continues moving forward aggressively. Cavalcanti chops at her from the outer edge of the cage, and she swats away the two-punch combos that aim her way. Neither woman engages with much of note, as they are tossing out pitter-patter strikes with very little on them. Fairn continues to plod forward, and Cavalcanti stays on her bike, poking out with low kicks here and there. Fairn follows her and swings, but she cannot find her target cleanly. Cavalcanti parries the punches and kicks the lead leg, and she mixes things up with a front kick. Fairn struggles to reach her foe with her fists, and Cavalcanti hand-fights to defend the majority of the punches that come her way. The Portuguese fighter turns her hips into a few heavier leg kicks, and the former kickboxer Fairn is doing nothing to check or counter them. Cavalcanti connects with a pair of punches, and Fairn pushes off to break up the combination and her fingers jam into both eye sockets of Cavalcanti at the same time. Mitchell calls time to allow Cavalcanti to recover from the Three Stooges-esque double eye poke, and he calls in the doctor to bring in a towel to allow her to wipe her eyes out. Cavalcanti is taking the time she needs to recover instead of rushing things, ignoring the jeers and whistles from the partisan crowd. After about half the time of the five-minute recovery period elapses, the doctor clears her to continue, and Cavalcanti is good to go. There is no apology glove touch offered from the French woman, who instead engages out of the gate by putting her foot on the gas. Mitchell warns Fairn again for her outstretched fingers, and Cavalcanti darts away from the flurries and largely avoids them until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
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Round 2
The second round opens with a more aggressive Fairn, who keeps busy with jabs and reaching push kicks. Mitchell informs the Portuguese fighter to close her fists now, as both women are leading with their fingers pointed at their targets. Fairn catches her foe at the end of a right hand, countering a low kick. Fairn does not change her approach much, with the same patterns and movements that Cavalcanti has picked up on already. Cavalcanti continues to pepper her with frustrating leg kicks, and she strafes to the side to evade the lion’s share of what “Infinite” slings her way. Fairn walks forward swinging a right hand, and Cavalcanti responds with a slapping left hand. The most effective strikes of the fight so far are Cavalcanti’s kicks, as neither land with anything noteworthy with their fists. Cavalcanti closes the distance and suddenly tags Fairn with a crisp combination, and Fairn looks to bully her back but hits nothing but air. Cavalcanti pops the Frenchwoman with another few kicks, and Fairn’s methodical jab is not able to get any respect. Cavalcanti loops a right hand over the guard, and she stings Fairn and throws the same strike two more times. Fairn shakes it off and gets back into her slow, inaccurate groove, seemingly stuck in first gear. Cavalcanti strings a few punches into a leg kick, and Fairn grabs hold of her to set up a clinch or potential takedown. Cavalcanti shrugs it off and resets, and she chops down the lead leg of her opponent from both sides. The kicks force Fairn to preemptively raise her lead leg, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti

Round 3
Cavalcanti leads the dance in the third round, moving right to the middle of the Octagon to strike with jabs and leg kicks. Fairn flails back with impunity, and she ends up walking into the chopping kicks that continue to work on her lead wheel. As the commentary booth loses interest in the matchup, the three men of John Gooden, Michael Bisping and Paul Felder begin to discuss their favorite sandwich – ending up settling on breakfast sandwiches with bacon and chipotle sauce as their top idea. All the while, the 140-pound ladies continue their slow, unhazardous kickboxing match, where there seems to be very little zip on any strikes. Fairn does not change her strategy, allowing Cavalcanti to pick away at her and counter her with small but scoring strikes. When Fairn lunges with a jab, Cavalcanti has a right hand read to smack her in the cheek. Cavalcanti uses head movement to make Fairn miss, and the accuracy rate of the Frenchwoman is likely very low in this contest. Fairn, with little options, moves forward into a clinch. Cavalcanti allows her to do this so that she can bust Fairn in the chops with several clean uppercuts. Fairn lets go of the grip and rebounds off the cage wall, and she is stuck eating shots while Cavalcanti slips the responses. Fairn reaches her with a right hand, and Cavalcanti keeps her guard high as the crowd gives it up for the briefly aggressive Fairn. This surge slows, as Fairn’s left eye begins to swell from the constant right hands she eats. Fairn shoots in for an ill-advised takedown, and Cavalcanti stuffs it with ease and moves around to take her back standing. Fairn shucks her way out of the body control, and Cavalcanti lays into her with a few more punches. The fight ends, and barring an extreme miscarriage of justice, France will be down 0-1 against the world today.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Cavalcanti (30-27 Cavalcanti)

The Official Result
Jacqueline Cavalcanti def. Zarah Fairn via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (7 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Angelo picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti because Zarah Fairn is pushing 40 and fades as fights go on. He notes Fairn's striking is technical but age and cardio are issues. Cavalcanti can push pace and stay in Fairn's face, and even if Fairn has early success, she will tire. Angelo acknowledges Fairn would have been his pick a few years ago.

"based on how tired Faron got in that last fight and the fact that she's pushing 40 this is going to be a very clear spot for Jacqueline"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Big Brady is confident in Cavalcanti, citing her youth, size, and superior skills everywhere. He notes Fairn's age (36 or 39) and questionable UFC caliber, and expects Cavalcanti to dominate on the ground or on the feet. He predicts a finish within the first two rounds, specifically a second-round TKO. He also mentions Fairn's history of missing weight, casting doubt on the fight happening.

Cavalcanti wins by second-round finish
"I like Calvin Concha here to get it done and get it done in pretty dominating fashion... give me a Cava conchi to win this fight Cava Concha to win by second round finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Cody picks Cavalcanti, citing her youth (26), improvements, and win over Melissa Croden. He notes Fairn is 40, has missed weight badly, and has poor striking and grappling. Cavalcanti has a striking advantage and can grapple if needed. However, he warns that betting heavy favorites on debut fighters is risky, comparing the card to Minesweeper.

Cavalcanti over 50.5 significant strikes (prize picks)
"cavakanti seems like one of the pieces I'm willing to place because she's fighting Zara fair and at the end of the day"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Daniel Levi picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti, citing her physicality, power, and well-rounded skills. He notes that Fairn is 39 years old and has a history of slowing down, while Cavalcanti is younger and more athletic. Levi acknowledges the risk of a debutant stun but believes Cavalcanti should win if she doesn't suffer from stage fright. He is not laying chalk at this price.

"Jacqueline kavikanchi should come out here and get it done in her debut"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 31, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Zarah Fairn

I'm going with Fairn as a big underdog. She has better experience and can outwork Cavalcanti if the fight stays at range. Cavalcanti is a low-volume striker and may be too patient. Fairn has shown she can put up numbers even in losses. I only take a half unit shot because it's low-level women's MMA and Fairn has weight issues, but I think she wins by decision.

half unit bet
"I'm gonna go with the fair inside here you know plus 285 for a fight that I believe is going to be very close"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 30, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Zarah Fairn

Paul picks Fairn as a contrarian underdog, noting that Fairn outstruck Josiane Nunes 117-102 in her last fight and is a boxer who can stand and trade. He thinks Cavalcanti's loss to Gendrova (who lost to Liv Rock) is concerning. He also mentions the French crowd could influence judges. He takes a three-to-one chewy bet challenge from Cody, betting Fairn.

Fairn by decision +500 (mentioned as a possible prop)
"if you're giving me an opportunity to be fader in some capacity... I'm gonna bite down and say yes"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jacqueline Cavalcanti

The MMA Guru picks Jacqueline Cavalcanti, noting she looks decent as a prospect with a good record, while Zarah Fairn lacks technique and has been dominated. He acknowledges uncertainty with women's MMA prospects but believes Cavalcanti will win by decision.

"I'm gonna go with Jacqueline Kabul Canty winning this one in her debut"
LOSS vs Josiane Nunes
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · Jan 21, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Josiane Nunes 0 102 of 211 48% 107 of 216 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:02
Zarah Fairn 0 117 of 251 46% 122 of 256 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Josiane Nunes 0 41 of 87 47% 44 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Zarah Fairn 0 48 of 90 53% 49 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
2 Josiane Nunes 0 27 of 49 55% 28 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:16
Zarah Fairn 0 35 of 64 54% 38 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
3 Josiane Nunes 0 34 of 75 45% 35 of 76 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
Zarah Fairn 0 34 of 97 35% 35 of 98 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Josiane Nunes 102 of 211 48% 58 of 150 38 of 52 6 of 9 82 of 180 20 of 31 0 of 0
Zarah Fairn 117 of 251 46% 89 of 220 17 of 20 11 of 11 107 of 238 10 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Josiane Nunes 41 of 87 47% 22 of 59 16 of 23 3 of 5 34 of 77 7 of 10 0 of 0
Zarah Fairn 48 of 90 53% 31 of 73 9 of 9 8 of 8 43 of 83 5 of 7 0 of 0
2 Josiane Nunes 27 of 49 55% 11 of 28 13 of 17 3 of 4 20 of 39 7 of 10 0 of 0
Zarah Fairn 35 of 64 54% 29 of 58 4 of 4 2 of 2 31 of 59 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Josiane Nunes 34 of 75 45% 25 of 63 9 of 12 0 of 0 28 of 64 6 of 11 0 of 0
Zarah Fairn 34 of 97 35% 29 of 89 4 of 7 1 of 1 33 of 96 1 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Josiane Nunes

Big Brady is very confident in Nunes, calling it one of the lowest level fights he's seen. He notes Fairn has been finished in both UFC losses in the first round, has no takedown defense, no ground game, and terrible striking defense with low hands and no head movement. Nunes is much better and should win by first-round knockout, either by walking forward and landing big shots or by grappling. He expects violence and a quick finish.

first round knockout
"you know nunition win this fight and she should win it by first round knockout so give me Nunez"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josiane Nunes

Cody picks Josiane Nunes confidently, expecting her to smash Zarah Fairn. He notes Nunes' power and aggression, and says Fairn has been finished early in both UFC fights. He thinks Nunes will finish early, possibly by TKO. He mentions Nunes' size disadvantage but says her pressure will be too much. He bet the under 1.5 rounds and under 2.5 rounds.

bet under 1.5 rounds at +145 and under 2.5 rounds; mentions Nunes' power
"I think Josie Ann Nunes should absolutely smash I'm surprised it's jazera fair and still in the organization at this point"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Josiane Nunes

Connor picks Nunes, believing her aggression and power will overwhelm Fairn. He notes Fairn is measured and slow-paced, and may not handle Nunes' pressure. He expects a ugly clinch fight where Nunes lands devastating shots.

"I'm still going to take her. I just think she's hyper aggressive and Fairn is like a measured slow paced fighter."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 18, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Josiane Nunes

Paul picks Josiane Nunes but with some hesitation, noting the trap line feel. He says Fairn has a reach and height advantage and could potentially strike. He mentions Nunes' limited grappling and that she might not take Fairn down. He thinks Nunes should win but wouldn't put her on a parlay. He says Fairn is not very good but could cause problems.

mentions Fairn's reach advantage; says Nunes' grappling is limited
"I'll bet Nunez I don't like it I don't love it I got some like weird pit in my stomach feeling about it for whatever reason"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Josiane Nunes

The Guru is confident Nunes will starch Fairn by KO. He highlights Nunes' punching power, saying she 'throws punches like a man,' and notes she showed good cardio and grappling escapes against Ramona Pascal. Fairn hasn't fought since February 2022 and is coming off a TKO loss. The Guru also points out that taller female fighters often leave their chin up against shorter opponents, making them vulnerable to Nunes' power. He predicts a first-round KO.

KO in first round
"I really see her starching xeraphan by KO who hasn't been in a cage since February of 2022"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jan 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Zarah Fairn

Zane picks Fairn as an upset, citing her height and reach advantage. He notes Nunes is a short overhand-reliant brawler who may struggle to close distance. Fairn's jab and range could keep Nunes at bay, though Fairn is a poor grappler and may get overwhelmed.

"I'm going to take Zara Fairn to score an ugly upset."
LOSS vs Felicia Spencer
TKO (elbows and punches) R1 3:37 · UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · Feb 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Felicia Spencer 0 40 of 64 62% 68 of 98 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:20
Zarah Fairn 0 13 of 28 46% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Felicia Spencer 0 40 of 64 62% 68 of 98 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:20
Zarah Fairn 0 13 of 28 46% 14 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Felicia Spencer 40 of 64 62% 38 of 61 1 of 1 1 of 2 9 of 24 1 of 1 30 of 39
Zarah Fairn 13 of 28 46% 12 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Felicia Spencer 40 of 64 62% 38 of 61 1 of 1 1 of 2 9 of 24 1 of 1 30 of 39
Zarah Fairn 13 of 28 46% 12 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0 12 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0
LOSS vs Megan Anderson
Submission (triangle choke) R1 3:57 · UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · Oct 05, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Megan Anderson 0 10 of 18 55% 22 of 33 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:23
Zarah Fairn 0 2 of 5 40% 32 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Megan Anderson 0 10 of 18 55% 22 of 33 1 of 2 50% 1 0 3:23
Zarah Fairn 0 2 of 5 40% 32 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:23
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Megan Anderson 10 of 18 55% 10 of 17 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 1 10 of 13
Zarah Fairn 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Megan Anderson 10 of 18 55% 10 of 17 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 1 10 of 13
Zarah Fairn 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0