UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · Oct 05, 2019 · Welterweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya Next Fight
Age 41
Height 6' 0"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 170 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 35
Height 5' 10"
Reach 75.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Callan Potter
3.18 SLpM
50.0% Str. Acc.
4.72 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
3.29 TD Avg
66.0% TD Acc.
100.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Maki Pitolo
4.1 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.93 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
2.24 TD Avg
52.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.8 Sub. Avg
Callan Potter - Fight History
LOSS vs Song Kenan
KO (punches) R1 2:20 · UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hooker · Feb 23, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Song Kenan 0 7 of 15 46% 8 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
Callan Potter 1 17 of 35 48% 21 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Song Kenan 0 7 of 15 46% 8 of 17 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
Callan Potter 1 17 of 35 48% 21 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Song Kenan 7 of 15 46% 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0
Callan Potter 17 of 35 48% 12 of 29 5 of 6 0 of 0 14 of 29 2 of 5 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Song Kenan 7 of 15 46% 6 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 12 2 of 3 0 of 0
Callan Potter 17 of 35 48% 12 of 29 5 of 6 0 of 0 14 of 29 2 of 5 1 of 1
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Daniel Levi picks Song Kenan, arguing that Callan Potter takes too many punches and has a questionable chin. He believes Kenan's right hand will be the difference, and that Potter's toughness won't hold up. Levi predicts a knockout in the second round, noting that Potter's win over Mikey Patola was not impressive and that Kenan beats the guys he's supposed to beat.

knockout in the second round
"I'll take Song Kenan by knockout in the second round."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Song Kenan

The host picks Song Kenan over Callan Potter, calling both fighters 'garbage' but preferring the younger Song Kenan who has a win in his UFC debut. He notes Potter is older, has taken wear and tear, and was knocked out by Jalin Turner, whom he also calls trash.

"I am gonna go of Caen and song here over Colin Potter I like Colin Potter he's the older guy though I don't like that one bit"
WIN vs Maki Pitolo
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · Oct 05, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Callan Potter 0 48 of 96 50% 127 of 198 3 of 4 75% 0 1 8:25
Maki Pitolo 0 60 of 155 38% 103 of 198 0 of 2 0% 1 1 1:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Callan Potter 0 20 of 38 52% 35 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:13
Maki Pitolo 0 26 of 62 41% 45 of 81 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:55
2 Callan Potter 0 23 of 48 47% 49 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:13
Maki Pitolo 0 27 of 73 36% 45 of 91 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
3 Callan Potter 0 5 of 10 50% 43 of 57 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:59
Maki Pitolo 0 7 of 20 35% 13 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Callan Potter 48 of 96 50% 44 of 91 2 of 3 2 of 2 41 of 89 4 of 4 3 of 3
Maki Pitolo 60 of 155 38% 49 of 142 9 of 11 2 of 2 60 of 155 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Callan Potter 20 of 38 52% 20 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0 19 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 26 of 62 41% 21 of 56 4 of 5 1 of 1 26 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Callan Potter 23 of 48 47% 19 of 43 2 of 3 2 of 2 20 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 27 of 73 36% 24 of 69 3 of 4 0 of 0 27 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Callan Potter 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 3
Maki Pitolo 7 of 20 35% 4 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Jalin Turner
KO (punches) R1 0:53 · UFC 234: Adesanya vs. Silva · Feb 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jalin Turner 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Callan Potter 1 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jalin Turner 0 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Callan Potter 1 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jalin Turner 3 of 4 75% 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Callan Potter 9 of 17 52% 6 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 12 1 of 1 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jalin Turner 3 of 4 75% 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Callan Potter 9 of 17 52% 6 of 14 3 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 12 1 of 1 3 of 4
Maki Pitolo - Fight History
TKO (punches) R1 4:34 · UFC on ESPN: Font vs. Aldo · Dec 04, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Duško Todorović 0 13 of 29 44% 13 of 29 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 53 56% 67 of 91 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Duško Todorović 13 of 29 44% 5 of 20 5 of 6 3 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 53 56% 28 of 51 1 of 1 1 of 1 9 of 22 0 of 1 21 of 30
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Angelo picks Maki Pitolo but does not bet the moneyline; instead he takes inside the distance/decision no action at +140. He notes Maki has power, solid takedowns, and a tough chin, and that Dusko's chin is questionable. He believes Maki can win by stoppage, and if not, he gets a refund.

Inside the distance/decision no action at +140
"i like maki there i think he can win by stoppage and if he doesn't i'll get a full refund"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Nov 30, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Big Brady picks Maki Pitolo as a dog, but with low confidence. He notes that neither fighter is reliable, but he likes Pitolo's game plan in his last fight against Julian Marquez, where he fought smart and used takedowns. He criticizes Todorović's terrible striking defense (48%) and poor takedown defense (50%), and believes Pitolo can exploit those weaknesses. However, he acknowledges Pitolo's inconsistency and loss to Callan Potter as red flags.

by decision
"i'm gonna take the dog and maki vitolo to win... by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Cody also picks Pitolo, emphasizing Todorović's defensive flaws and Pitolo's sharper hands. He thinks Pitolo can beat him to the punch and potentially knock him out. Cody notes that Pitolo has cardio issues but believes he can win the first two rounds.

"so i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Dec 2, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Daniel Levi leans towards Duško Todorović, citing his body work, clinch fighting, dirty boxing, and vicious ground and pound. He notes that Todorović fights with his hands down and relies on head movement, which could be exploited by Pitolo's power. He acknowledges that Pitolo can crack and that Todorović leaves his chin up, making him vulnerable. He thinks Todorović can make the right decisions in a close fight.

"I lean dusko because i think if it's 1-1 going in that third round that dusko can make the right decisions to to make it happen"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Duško Todorović

Jacob picks Dusko Todorovic, noting his striking confidence and head movement. He thinks Dusko can win by submission at +285, but the odds are too short. He believes Maki's path is wrestling but he will gas, and Dusko's guard is active. Jacob likes Dusko all the way.

Dusko by submission at +285 (considered but not played)
"i like desco here i think he does win by sub but... the path to victory for mako is to wrestle and control him but i just don't think he's able to do that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 3, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Maki Pitolo

I like Pitolo here. He is better on the feet, throws more volume, and has better striking stats across the board. Todorović has defensive issues and tends to lose minutes. Pitolo should win the striking exchanges and can mix in takedowns. I expect him to win a decision, and the decision prop at plus 450 offers great value.

Pitolo by decision +450
"i like pitolo here i like him by decision as well i do think he'll kind of get the favor of the judges being the one kind of pushing the pace"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Dec 1, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Paul picks Pitolo, citing his cleaner boxing and power. He notes that Todorović is a defensive liability with poor head movement and has been rocked in recent fights. Paul thinks Pitolo can knock him out or win a decision, but worries about Pitolo's cardio in the third round.

"i got maki but i'm definitely looking at this thing from a live betting perspective"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Dec 4, 2021 (fight day)
Maki Pitolo

The MMA Guru picks Maki Pitolo to win by split decision. He expects a back-and-forth war where Todorović may drop Pitolo in the first but uses too much energy. Pitolo will grind out the second and third rounds with better pacing, landing knees and takedowns. He calls it a close fight, 29-28 split decision.

"i'm going to go with mackie patolo via decision i'm going to go split decision"
LOSS vs Julian Marquez
Submission (anaconda choke) R3 4:17 · UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · Feb 13, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julian Marquez 0 32 of 65 49% 70 of 110 5 of 11 45% 1 1 9:07
Maki Pitolo 0 41 of 100 41% 61 of 129 0 of 1 0% 4 1 1:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julian Marquez 0 10 of 16 62% 18 of 29 1 of 3 33% 0 0 4:24
Maki Pitolo 0 4 of 8 50% 8 of 13 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:11
2 Julian Marquez 0 11 of 23 47% 41 of 54 3 of 4 75% 0 1 3:02
Maki Pitolo 0 11 of 40 27% 17 of 49 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:57
3 Julian Marquez 0 11 of 26 42% 11 of 27 1 of 4 25% 1 0 1:41
Maki Pitolo 0 26 of 52 50% 36 of 67 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julian Marquez 32 of 65 49% 16 of 46 12 of 14 4 of 5 22 of 52 7 of 8 3 of 5
Maki Pitolo 41 of 100 41% 37 of 94 3 of 4 1 of 2 18 of 72 15 of 16 8 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julian Marquez 10 of 16 62% 5 of 11 4 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 7 5 of 6 2 of 3
Maki Pitolo 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Julian Marquez 11 of 23 47% 7 of 17 3 of 5 1 of 1 8 of 19 2 of 2 1 of 2
Maki Pitolo 11 of 40 27% 11 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 1 4 of 29 0 of 0 7 of 11
3 Julian Marquez 11 of 26 42% 4 of 18 5 of 5 2 of 3 11 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 26 of 52 50% 22 of 47 3 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 38 12 of 13 1 of 1
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Julian Marquez

Big Brady picks Julian Marquez to win by finish, likely knockout in the second round. He thinks Marquez is the better fighter and that Pitolo has looked poor in the UFC, slowing down and being finished multiple times. He notes Marquez has a 100% finish rate and a sneaky ground game. He is concerned about Marquez's long layoff but thinks he will be prepared.

Marquez by finish; under 1.5 rounds; would bet Marquez if line drops to -120 or -110
"I like marcus here i like marcus here i know it's a risk with the long layoff"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Feb 12, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Julian Marquez

Daniel Levi leans toward Julian Marquez but calls it a 'dog or pass' situation. He notes Marquez's size and power, and that he can wear on Pitolo. However, he worries about Marquez's layoff and cardio, and thinks Pitolo could have improved training with Brad Tavares. He believes if Marquez doesn't finish early, Pitolo's volume and hands could take over. He ultimately says the lean is Marquez but it might be a pass.

Marquez by finish if early; Pitolo could win if fight extends; mentions Marquez's layoff and Pitolo's training partners
"the lean is marcus but i think it might be dog or pass actually"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 9, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

The host leans toward Pitolo as an underdog, citing his better technical striking and hand speed. He notes that Marquez has been out for three years and relies on forward pressure and big shots, which Pitolo can counter with movement. He expects Pitolo to outpoint Marquez over three rounds, though he admits some hesitation.

"i feel like the technical aspects of mackie pitolo's game will cause julian marquez some issues"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

The Guru picks Maki Pitolo as an underdog, citing Julian Marquez's long layoff and sloppy technique. He believes Pitolo's cardio and chin will allow him to survive Marquez's early power, then wear him down with body shots in the clinch and secure a third-round TKO. He notes that Marquez has never looked impressive and that Pitolo is more technical.

Pitolo by third round TKO
"i'm going to pick mackie patolo as an underdog here... i think he goes out there and just eventually wears on julian marquez and i will actually call a third round tko for mackie patolo"
LOSS vs Impa Kasanganay
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · Aug 29, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Impa Kasanganay 0 71 of 173 41% 72 of 174 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Maki Pitolo 0 85 of 198 42% 86 of 199 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Impa Kasanganay 0 31 of 66 46% 31 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 28 of 69 40% 29 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
2 Impa Kasanganay 0 19 of 50 38% 20 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:16
Maki Pitolo 0 30 of 70 42% 30 of 70 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
3 Impa Kasanganay 0 21 of 57 36% 21 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Maki Pitolo 0 27 of 59 45% 27 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Impa Kasanganay 71 of 173 41% 54 of 141 13 of 27 4 of 5 71 of 172 0 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 85 of 198 42% 68 of 164 12 of 29 5 of 5 82 of 190 3 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Impa Kasanganay 31 of 66 46% 21 of 52 7 of 11 3 of 3 31 of 65 0 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 28 of 69 40% 20 of 55 5 of 11 3 of 3 27 of 66 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Impa Kasanganay 19 of 50 38% 15 of 42 3 of 7 1 of 1 19 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 30 of 70 42% 27 of 61 3 of 9 0 of 0 28 of 66 2 of 4 0 of 0
3 Impa Kasanganay 21 of 57 36% 18 of 47 3 of 9 0 of 1 21 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 27 of 59 45% 21 of 48 4 of 9 2 of 2 27 of 58 0 of 1 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 27, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Big Brady picks Kasanganay but is hesitant, acknowledging Pitolo is being disrespected by the odds and should be a slight favorite. He thinks Kasanganay can grind out a decision by using his size, takedowns, and top control, but worries about Pitolo's power and finishing ability in the first round. He notes Kasanganay has only one finish in seven fights.

"give me input a win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 29, 2020 (fight day)
Impa Kasanganay

Daniel Levi picks Impa Kasanganay, citing his heart and ability to dig deep in tough spots, as seen on Contender Series. He believes Kasanganay's wrestling and clinch work will tire Pitolo, and that Pitolo has a history of making mistakes and getting finished. He expects Kasanganay to win by decision, though the first round could be a sweat due to Pitolo's power.

"i'm gonna say he's got enough to come out here and beat uh maki patolo in his ufc debut"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 28, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Impa Kasanganay

Kasanganay is more well-rounded with better striking and can wrestle if needed. Pitolo has power but poor cardio and has been submitted recently. Kasanganay should avoid early bombs and take over later, winning by decision via grappling and clinch work.

"i'm going to take him pakistani to win this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 23, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

The host picks Maki Pitolo, noting that Impa Kasanganay has not fought good competition and his legs were chewed up in his Contender Series fight. He believes Pitolo's experience and ability to build momentum as the fight goes on will lead to a finish in the third round.

finish in round 3
"i'll go with the experience of mackie pitollo getting a finish in the third round against impact"
LOSS vs Darren Stewart
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 3:41 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · Aug 08, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Darren Stewart 0 12 of 31 38% 14 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Maki Pitolo 0 13 of 38 34% 14 of 39 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Darren Stewart 0 12 of 31 38% 14 of 33 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:17
Maki Pitolo 0 13 of 38 34% 14 of 39 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:19
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Darren Stewart 12 of 31 38% 7 of 22 4 of 8 1 of 1 12 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 13 of 38 34% 9 of 32 2 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Darren Stewart 12 of 31 38% 7 of 22 4 of 8 1 of 1 12 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 13 of 38 34% 9 of 32 2 of 4 2 of 2 13 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 5, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Big Brady picks Pitolo as an underdog, believing his volume striking and improved cardio at 185 will be key. He notes Stewart's power but thinks Pitolo can outwork him and possibly get a knockout, as Stewart has never been knocked out. He predicts a second-round knockout for Pitolo.

"i think patola's going to win by knockout uh give me round two knockout for maki patolo gonna be the first person to knock out darren stewart there"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 7, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Maki Pitolo

Daniel Levi picks Maki Pitolo to win, citing that Pitolo is a different fighter at 185 pounds compared to 170, where he had brutal weight cuts. He notes Pitolo's improved durability, volume striking, and wrestling, and believes he is the better fighter across the board. Levi acknowledges the risk of Stewart's knockout power but thinks Pitolo can avoid it and win a decision or finish.

"i'm going with mackie coconut bombs patolo to extend his win streak to two here in the 85 division"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Aug 4, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Darren Stewart

Stewart is the better striker with more power and technical kicking. Pitolo may try to grapple, but his takedowns are not as good as Stewart's previous opponents. Stewart's cardio is a question, but Pitolo has also gassed in the past. The fight likely ends inside the distance, but the line at -160 is a bit steep. Stewart by TKO in the second or third round.

fight doesn't go to decision -155
"I'm going to pick Darren Stewart to win this fight by second round tko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Darren Stewart

The MMA Guru picks Darren Stewart because he is too big, strong, and dangerous in the clinch. He notes that Pitolo has dangerous body shots in the clinch, but Stewart has nasty elbows there. He expects Stewart to crack Pitolo with an elbow and win by unanimous decision, possibly a TKO.

"i feel as though darren stewart is going to get the job done too big too strong and too dangerous up close in the clinch"
WIN vs Charles Byrd
TKO (punches) R2 1:10 · UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · Jun 06, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Maki Pitolo 0 11 of 25 44% 16 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:54
Charles Byrd 0 29 of 59 49% 33 of 65 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Maki Pitolo 0 5 of 10 50% 10 of 16 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:54
Charles Byrd 0 2 of 10 20% 6 of 16 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:44
2 Maki Pitolo 0 6 of 15 40% 6 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Charles Byrd 0 27 of 49 55% 27 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Maki Pitolo 11 of 25 44% 10 of 24 1 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 17 0 of 0 4 of 8
Charles Byrd 29 of 59 49% 20 of 48 9 of 11 0 of 0 16 of 39 5 of 5 8 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Maki Pitolo 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 8
Charles Byrd 2 of 10 20% 2 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 2
2 Maki Pitolo 6 of 15 40% 5 of 14 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
Charles Byrd 27 of 49 55% 18 of 38 9 of 11 0 of 0 14 of 31 5 of 5 8 of 13
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Charles Byrd

Big Brady picks Charles Byrd by first-round submission, confident that Byrd's superior ground game will overcome Pitolo's one-dimensional striking. He notes Pitolo hits hard but has no ground game, and Byrd should take him down early to avoid getting knocked out. He acknowledges Byrd's age and recent losses but believes he is the better fighter overall.

Byrd by first-round submission
"I think if bird takes him down I think he can get him down pretty easy if he tries for the takedowns and once it's on the ground I think it will be over shortly after"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 4, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Charles Byrd

Daniel is not confident in Byrd, calling him basic and old, but still leans toward him as the more skilled fighter. He notes Pitolo is undefeated at 185 but has been knocked out badly at 170. He says he would not lay -170 on Byrd and that nothing would surprise him, but ultimately picks Byrd by decision.

decision
"I'll go with Charles bird man I think he'll probably have a decision but man I'm not confident in that"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Charles Byrd

Charles Byrd is a grappler who will look to take the fight to the ground, where he has a submission threat. Maki Pitolo has gas tank issues and has been submitted before. If Pitolo doesn't get a knockout in the first round, he tends to fade, and Byrd can exploit that. Byrd's takedowns and top control should wear on Pitolo. Byrd is a solid play at -170.

Charles Byrd by submission in round 2
"i really like charles byrd in this spot i i wasn't expecting to really have a play going into this fight but i really like charles byrd"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 29, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Charles Byrd

The MMA Guru picks Charles Byrd over Maki Pitolo. He notes that Byrd was doing well against Darren Stewart before getting KO'd, while Pitolo is a glider coming off a loss to Callum Potter. He expects Byrd to use his size advantage to bully Pitolo against the cage and win by decision.

"I'm gonna be going with Charles bird in this fight by decision"
LOSS vs Callan Potter
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 243: Whittaker vs. Adesanya · Oct 05, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Callan Potter 0 48 of 96 50% 127 of 198 3 of 4 75% 0 1 8:25
Maki Pitolo 0 60 of 155 38% 103 of 198 0 of 2 0% 1 1 1:34
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Callan Potter 0 20 of 38 52% 35 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 1 2:13
Maki Pitolo 0 26 of 62 41% 45 of 81 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:55
2 Callan Potter 0 23 of 48 47% 49 of 82 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:13
Maki Pitolo 0 27 of 73 36% 45 of 91 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:14
3 Callan Potter 0 5 of 10 50% 43 of 57 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:59
Maki Pitolo 0 7 of 20 35% 13 of 26 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:25
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Callan Potter 48 of 96 50% 44 of 91 2 of 3 2 of 2 41 of 89 4 of 4 3 of 3
Maki Pitolo 60 of 155 38% 49 of 142 9 of 11 2 of 2 60 of 155 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Callan Potter 20 of 38 52% 20 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0 19 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 26 of 62 41% 21 of 56 4 of 5 1 of 1 26 of 62 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Callan Potter 23 of 48 47% 19 of 43 2 of 3 2 of 2 20 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Maki Pitolo 27 of 73 36% 24 of 69 3 of 4 0 of 0 27 of 73 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Callan Potter 5 of 10 50% 5 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 3 of 3
Maki Pitolo 7 of 20 35% 4 of 17 2 of 2 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0