UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Jan 20, 2018 · Heavyweight · Completed
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou Next Fight
Age 43
Height 6' 4"
Reach 80.0"
Weight 240 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 39
Height 6' 4"
Reach 83.0"
Weight 250 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Stipe Miocic
4.67 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
4.01 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
1.74 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Francis Ngannou
2.33 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
2.16 SApM
41.0% Str. Def.
0.76 TD Avg
62.0% TD Acc.
71.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Stipe Miocic - Fight History
LOSS vs Jon Jones
TKO (spinning back kick and punches) R3 4:29 · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jon Jones 1 96 of 119 80% 104 of 128 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:51
Stipe Miocic 0 37 of 89 41% 42 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jon Jones 0 42 of 48 87% 49 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:37
Stipe Miocic 0 6 of 13 46% 11 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jon Jones 0 20 of 28 71% 20 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stipe Miocic 0 16 of 37 43% 16 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jon Jones 1 34 of 43 79% 35 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:14
Stipe Miocic 0 15 of 39 38% 15 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jon Jones 96 of 119 80% 70 of 91 16 of 18 10 of 10 54 of 70 2 of 3 40 of 46
Stipe Miocic 37 of 89 41% 24 of 75 7 of 8 6 of 6 32 of 83 4 of 5 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jon Jones 42 of 48 87% 36 of 42 4 of 4 2 of 2 5 of 6 0 of 0 37 of 42
Stipe Miocic 6 of 13 46% 3 of 10 1 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Jon Jones 20 of 28 71% 9 of 16 7 of 8 4 of 4 19 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 16 of 37 43% 9 of 29 4 of 5 3 of 3 16 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jon Jones 34 of 43 79% 25 of 33 5 of 6 4 of 4 30 of 37 1 of 2 3 of 4
Stipe Miocic 15 of 39 38% 12 of 36 2 of 2 1 of 1 11 of 34 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Angelo is very confident in Jon Jones, citing his all-around greatness, youth, and activity compared to Stipe Miocic, who is a full-time fireman on a four-year layoff. He expects Jones to take Miocic down early and dominate. He thinks Jones should be -1500 and will win easily.

Angelo comments on the odds, saying Jones at -700 is a good value and should be -1500.
"Jon Jones is going to win this fight I think he makes it look easy"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Big Brady picks Jon Jones but expects a slow, disappointing fight. He notes that Stipe Miocic is old and washed, having looked slow against Francis Ngannou four years ago, but he doesn't think Jones will finish him early. He cites Jones' recent lackluster performances against Dominick Reyes and Thiago Santos. He predicts a decision win for Jones and likes the over on 40.5 significant strikes for Jones on PrizePicks.

Jon Jones over 40.5 significant strikes
"give me Jon Jones here to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Cody picks Jon Jones, citing Jones' legendary durability and distance management. He notes Stipe is 43, hasn't fought in 3.5 years, and looked slow against Ngannou. Cody expects Jones to win a 49-46 decision or possibly get a late submission, but sees the fight going the distance. He mentions the over 2.5 rounds as a potential prop.

over 2.5 rounds
"I got Jones by decision the over two and a half but again this is a fun fight but it's it's not the Crown Jewel on this card"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Connor also picks Jones, emphasizing that Stipe is old and likely shot, and that Jones's wrestling and size will be too much. He notes that Stipe's last performance against Ngannou was poor and he looked aimless. Connor expects Jones to take Stipe down and submit him, possibly after a tentative first round.

Jones by submission or TKO; fight may be slow early then finish
"I think jones is much worse than he used to be but I can only assume that steep is much much worse than he used to be... That's the pick."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Daniel Vreeland picks Jon Jones to win, citing Jones' superior MMA wrestling, takedown defense (95%), reach advantage, and younger age. He believes Jones will use oblique kicks to immobilize Stipe, mix in takedowns, and dictate the pace. He acknowledges Stipe's boxing and wrestling credentials but thinks Jones' overall MMA game is superior. He notes that Stipe hasn't fought since 2021 and may have declined.

"I do have to go with Jones here to just come out here and uh show why he's one of the most dominant fighters to ever do it"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Vreeland picks Jones emphatically, calling it tragic that this fight is happening. He notes Stipe hasn't fought anyone well-rounded since 2018, is 42, semi-retired, and was knocked out badly by Ngannou. Vreeland believes Jones will win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and that Stipe will look old when he gets knocked out.

Jon Jones wins by knockout (+130)
"I'm taking Jon Jones like no I it's it's tragic that this is like the fight... there's no reason to like stie miic in this fight"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Fox picks Jones, agreeing that Stipe has no chance. He notes Jones is younger, has a reach advantage, and is the better fighter everywhere. Fox expects Jones to win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and thinks Stipe's chin is compromised after the Ngannou KO.

Jon Jones wins by knockout (+130)
"I'm Jon Jones all the way in this one... he's 100% gonna win this fight by knockout"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Lucrative James picks Jon Jones to win, citing Stipe Miocic's age (42) and four-year layoff as major concerns. He believes Stipe will look stiff and has lost athleticism, while Jones has an iron chin, superior striking at all ranges, and much better MMA wrestling and grappling. He predicts Jones will win inside the distance, likely within the first two rounds, and notes that Jones can win however he wants if Stipe is a shell of his former self.

wins inside the distance, wins in first two rounds
"I'm taking Jon Jones to win here. I'm taking Jon Jones to win inside the distance here and I'm taking Jon Jones to win within the first two rounds."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2024 (fight day)
Jon Jones

The host expects Jones to continue his dominant ways as he did against Gane, getting to his grappling and keeping Miocic on his back. He mentions Jones might use 12-to-6 elbows but ultimately finds the neck and gets a submission victory.

submission
"I do believe Jones will be able to continue his dominant ways just as he showcased against sraon last time around and I think we'll see him get to his grappl and keep mius on his back dominate him from …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Paul picks Jon Jones, calling it a freak show fight. He argues Jones has fought weak competition and had close fights with lesser opponents, but Stipe is faded and hasn't fought in three years. Paul expects Jones to win by decision, possibly 49-46, and likes the over 2.5 rounds. He notes Jones' distance management and Stipe's age and inactivity.

over 2.5 rounds
"I would think that Jones has got more than enough left in the tank to just pinpoint this guy and uh you know win a 4946 type decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Jon Jones

The MMA Guru picks Jon Jones, expecting a finish in the first or second round. He describes Jones's oblique kicks and clinch work breaking down the 42-year-old Miocic. He predicts a guillotine choke after a takedown, noting Stipe's tendency to scramble into submissions.

finish in first or second round, guillotine choke
"I'm going to go Jon Jones by finish in the first or second round"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jon Jones

Zane picks Jones, noting that Stipe is old and inactive, having not fought in over three years and showing no interest in fighting. He expects a slog for a round or two, then Jones will take Stipe down and finish him via submission or ground-and-pound. Zane mentions Jones's wrestling and size advantage, and that Stipe's chin and durability are questionable at this stage.

Jones finishes inside the distance, likely submission or TKO; fight may be a slog early then quick finish
"I think jones is much worse than he used to be but I can only assume that steep is much much worse than he used to be... That's the pick."
LOSS vs Francis Ngannou
KO (punch) R2 0:52 · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 · Mar 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francis Ngannou 0 12 of 13 92% 12 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Stipe Miocic 2 36 of 56 64% 38 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francis Ngannou 0 8 of 8 100% 8 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Stipe Miocic 0 23 of 37 62% 24 of 38 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:19
2 Francis Ngannou 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stipe Miocic 2 13 of 19 68% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francis Ngannou 12 of 13 92% 3 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 7 12 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 36 of 56 64% 28 of 46 2 of 4 6 of 6 17 of 36 8 of 8 11 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francis Ngannou 8 of 8 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 7 8 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 23 of 37 62% 16 of 28 2 of 4 5 of 5 11 of 24 3 of 3 9 of 10
2 Francis Ngannou 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 13 of 19 68% 12 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 12 5 of 5 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

Big Brady picks Stipe Miocic to win by fifth-round TKO. He believes Stipe is the more well-rounded fighter with better cardio and fight IQ. He expects Stipe to survive the early rounds by clinching and attempting takedowns to tire Ngannou, then take over as the fight progresses. He notes that Ngannou only landed two significant strikes after the second round in their first fight. However, he acknowledges Ngannou's one-shot knockout power and says he would not bet the fight at current odds.

Stipe by fifth-round TKO; Ngannou by KO prop; Stipe decision prop; odds comment: Stipe opened +135 now +100, Ngannou by KO is the way to bet Ngannou
"i do think stephen wins i'm going to say steepy wins with a fifth round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Francis Ngannou

Cody backs Ngannou, citing his generational power and the fact that he has been training wrestling defense with Kamaru Usman. He believes Ngannou's strategy is to go out and kill his opponent early, and if he lands, it's over. He acknowledges the cardio concerns but thinks Ngannou's durability held up in the first fight and that he has improved mentally since the Lewis loss.

Francis Ngannou round 1 +200
"francis ngani plus 200 round one that's all i've got action on this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Francis Ngannou

Daniel Levi picks Francis Ngannou to win by first-round knockout. He emphasizes that Ngannou is now focused, has the right team, and has learned from his first fight with Stipe. He notes that Stipe has absorbed over 300 head strikes since their first fight, including a knockout loss, while Ngannou has taken minimal damage. Levi believes Ngannou's power and improved mental approach will lead to a violent finish.

first round knockout
"i'm going francis be a first round knockout i think the trilogy is going to be great but i think it's time for francis to realize his dream"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

The host believes Stipe Miocic will retain his title by third-round TKO. He notes that Stipe has improved his cardio and fight IQ since their first fight, as seen in the Cormier trilogy. He expects Stipe to use head movement, smart takedown entries to the weak side, and mix in grappling to wear down Ngannou, who he thinks will gas after a round and a half if he doesn't get the knockout. He compares the matchup to Lewis vs Blaydes and Gane vs Rozenstruik, where the more skilled fighter won. He advises that if backing Ngannou, take the KO prop because he won't win by decision.

If backing Ngannou, take the KO prop; Stipe by third-round TKO
"I think he gets a third round finish here... I'll take him to win by third round tko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

Paul picks Stipe Miocic, emphasizing his wrestling advantage, cardio advantage, and later-round experience. He notes that Stipe has shown he can take Ngannou's punches and grind him down, as seen in the first fight. He also highlights Stipe's success in rematches, having avenged losses to JDS and Cormier. Paul is confident that if Ngannou doesn't knock him out early, Stipe will take over.

"i gotta i got to backsteep it the same way i did last time i got underdog money"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

The Guru picks Stipe Miocic, emphasizing that Stipe has improved since the first fight: better footwork, cardio, wrestling, and clinch work from his camps against Daniel Cormier. He argues that Stipe's wrestling is the key difference, as he can take Ngannou down and control him, unlike other heavyweights who tried to stand and trade. He predicts Ngannou will be hesitant and gas out, leading to a TKO in the third or fourth round. He acknowledges the puncher's chance for Ngannou but relies on evidence over guesswork.

Stipe by TKO in round 3 or 4
"i'm picking stephen youtube to win he flies under the radar i think in ghana who's going to [ __ ] himself in there after the first round and stipe is going to ragdoll him"
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · Aug 15, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stipe Miocic 1 115 of 187 61% 171 of 244 0 of 6 0% 0 0 5:52
Daniel Cormier 0 105 of 183 57% 145 of 223 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:53
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stipe Miocic 0 20 of 33 60% 22 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniel Cormier 0 14 of 25 56% 14 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:38
2 Stipe Miocic 1 24 of 39 61% 38 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:09
Daniel Cormier 0 26 of 53 49% 26 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Stipe Miocic 0 28 of 48 58% 46 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:53
Daniel Cormier 0 16 of 32 50% 34 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Stipe Miocic 0 16 of 32 50% 23 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:23
Daniel Cormier 0 30 of 43 69% 41 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
5 Stipe Miocic 0 27 of 35 77% 42 of 50 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:27
Daniel Cormier 0 19 of 30 63% 30 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stipe Miocic 115 of 187 61% 67 of 136 31 of 34 17 of 17 101 of 169 14 of 18 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 105 of 183 57% 70 of 132 11 of 24 24 of 27 95 of 171 10 of 12 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stipe Miocic 20 of 33 60% 7 of 19 7 of 8 6 of 6 20 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 14 of 25 56% 7 of 14 2 of 5 5 of 6 11 of 22 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Stipe Miocic 24 of 39 61% 13 of 28 7 of 7 4 of 4 24 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 26 of 53 49% 14 of 36 4 of 9 8 of 8 23 of 50 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Stipe Miocic 28 of 48 58% 18 of 38 8 of 8 2 of 2 22 of 41 6 of 7 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 16 of 32 50% 13 of 27 0 of 2 3 of 3 16 of 31 0 of 1 0 of 0
4 Stipe Miocic 16 of 32 50% 12 of 26 2 of 4 2 of 2 16 of 29 0 of 3 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 30 of 43 69% 21 of 31 2 of 3 7 of 9 29 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
5 Stipe Miocic 27 of 35 77% 17 of 25 7 of 7 3 of 3 19 of 27 8 of 8 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 19 of 30 63% 15 of 24 3 of 5 1 of 1 16 of 27 3 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Aug 12, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Daniel Cormier

Big Brady picks Cormier to win by decision, expecting him to implement more wrestling and have better cardio. He thinks Cormier is the better fighter and will fight smarter. He wants to see weigh-ins before betting.

"i'm going to go with cormier here to win by decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Stipe Miocic

Daniel Levi picks Stipe Miocic to win the trilogy. He argues that Stipe made Cormier work hard in the first fight and that Cormier's pace is unsustainable in championship rounds, especially at age 41 with retirement looming. He notes that Stipe is willing to dig deeper and that body shots have historically troubled Cormier. He also points out that if Cormier wrestles more, it will tire him out faster, leading to a Stipe finish.

Stipe by finish in later rounds; Cormier needs perfect fight or early KO; dog money on Stipe is good value
"I think stipe and i hate to say [__] like oh tougher guy or not tougher guy when you're talking about someone like daniel [__] cormier ... but i really think that stipe is willing to dig deeper at this …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 13, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Daniel Cormier

Cormier is the better wrestler with superior fight IQ and will use a grapple-heavy approach, taking Miocic down repeatedly and wearing him out. He learned from the second fight where he abandoned his wrestling and gassed out; this time he will chain-wrestle and finish via ground-and-pound in the later rounds. Miocic's gas tank has shown issues when forced to wrestle, as seen in the Ngannou fight, and Cormier's top pressure is crushing.

Cormier wins by TKO in round 4; also mentions Cormier in rounds 3,4,5 as potential prop bets
"I expect the experience, the fight IQ, and the true skills to come out of Daniel Cormier to really put a stamp on this trilogy."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 9, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

The MMA Guru picks Stipe Miocic by TKO in the third round. He believes Miocic will start body shots earlier than the second fight and that Cormier won't get away with eye pokes. He dismisses arguments that Cormier will wrestle more, noting Miocic stuffed takedowns in previous fights.

TKO in the third round
"i think stipe miocic goes out there tko's daniel cormier in the third round"
TKO (punches) R4 4:09 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stipe Miocic 0 181 of 263 68% 230 of 317 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:02
Daniel Cormier 1 123 of 229 53% 135 of 244 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stipe Miocic 0 37 of 46 80% 71 of 83 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:44
Daniel Cormier 0 7 of 13 53% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Stipe Miocic 0 56 of 82 68% 59 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Daniel Cormier 0 46 of 82 56% 48 of 84 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
3 Stipe Miocic 0 57 of 86 66% 69 of 100 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Daniel Cormier 0 34 of 67 50% 40 of 73 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:01
4 Stipe Miocic 0 31 of 49 63% 31 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Daniel Cormier 1 36 of 67 53% 38 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stipe Miocic 181 of 263 68% 162 of 243 9 of 9 10 of 11 139 of 209 21 of 27 21 of 27
Daniel Cormier 123 of 229 53% 86 of 188 27 of 30 10 of 11 102 of 195 19 of 28 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stipe Miocic 37 of 46 80% 25 of 34 7 of 7 5 of 5 13 of 16 3 of 3 21 of 27
Daniel Cormier 7 of 13 53% 3 of 8 0 of 0 4 of 5 6 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Stipe Miocic 56 of 82 68% 56 of 81 0 of 0 0 of 1 45 of 68 11 of 14 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 46 of 82 56% 37 of 72 8 of 9 1 of 1 42 of 76 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Stipe Miocic 57 of 86 66% 53 of 82 1 of 1 3 of 3 50 of 76 7 of 10 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 34 of 67 50% 28 of 61 5 of 5 1 of 1 24 of 50 10 of 17 0 of 0
4 Stipe Miocic 31 of 49 63% 28 of 46 1 of 1 2 of 2 31 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Daniel Cormier 36 of 67 53% 18 of 47 14 of 16 4 of 4 30 of 57 5 of 5 1 of 5
LOSS vs Daniel Cormier
KO (punches) R1 4:33 · UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Jul 07, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Daniel Cormier 0 24 of 51 47% 29 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:21
Stipe Miocic 1 25 of 37 67% 31 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Daniel Cormier 0 24 of 51 47% 29 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:21
Stipe Miocic 1 25 of 37 67% 31 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Daniel Cormier 24 of 51 47% 15 of 41 6 of 7 3 of 3 19 of 42 5 of 9 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 25 of 37 67% 20 of 30 1 of 1 4 of 6 19 of 31 2 of 2 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Daniel Cormier 24 of 51 47% 15 of 41 6 of 7 3 of 3 19 of 42 5 of 9 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 25 of 37 67% 20 of 30 1 of 1 4 of 6 19 of 31 2 of 2 4 of 4
Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–44, 50–44) R5 5:00 · UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Jan 20, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stipe Miocic 0 70 of 95 73% 200 of 244 6 of 14 42% 0 0 15:02
Francis Ngannou 0 21 of 113 18% 33 of 126 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stipe Miocic 0 16 of 25 64% 24 of 33 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:57
Francis Ngannou 0 15 of 62 24% 18 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Stipe Miocic 0 17 of 24 70% 29 of 37 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:17
Francis Ngannou 0 4 of 27 14% 4 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Stipe Miocic 0 12 of 16 75% 47 of 58 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:47
Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 8 12% 7 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
4 Stipe Miocic 0 18 of 21 85% 82 of 95 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:39
Francis Ngannou 0 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Stipe Miocic 0 7 of 9 77% 18 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:22
Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 13 7% 4 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stipe Miocic 70 of 95 73% 45 of 67 9 of 11 16 of 17 37 of 52 5 of 6 28 of 37
Francis Ngannou 21 of 113 18% 17 of 106 4 of 7 0 of 0 19 of 105 2 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stipe Miocic 16 of 25 64% 13 of 22 2 of 2 1 of 1 12 of 19 2 of 2 2 of 4
Francis Ngannou 15 of 62 24% 14 of 61 1 of 1 0 of 0 13 of 55 2 of 7 0 of 0
2 Stipe Miocic 17 of 24 70% 7 of 13 4 of 5 6 of 6 14 of 20 0 of 0 3 of 4
Francis Ngannou 4 of 27 14% 2 of 23 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Stipe Miocic 12 of 16 75% 8 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 4 4 of 5 2 of 2 6 of 9
Francis Ngannou 1 of 8 12% 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Stipe Miocic 18 of 21 85% 15 of 18 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 17 of 20
Francis Ngannou 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Stipe Miocic 7 of 9 77% 2 of 2 1 of 2 4 of 5 6 of 7 1 of 2 0 of 0
Francis Ngannou 1 of 13 7% 0 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R1 2:22 · UFC 211: Miocic vs. dos Santos 2 · May 13, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stipe Miocic 1 26 of 56 46% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Junior dos Santos 0 12 of 18 66% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stipe Miocic 1 26 of 56 46% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Junior dos Santos 0 12 of 18 66% 12 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stipe Miocic 26 of 56 46% 23 of 50 0 of 2 3 of 4 15 of 39 3 of 4 8 of 13
Junior dos Santos 12 of 18 66% 4 of 9 3 of 4 5 of 5 12 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stipe Miocic 26 of 56 46% 23 of 50 0 of 2 3 of 4 15 of 39 3 of 4 8 of 13
Junior dos Santos 12 of 18 66% 4 of 9 3 of 4 5 of 5 12 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
KO (punches) R1 4:27 · UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · Sep 10, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stipe Miocic 0 34 of 60 56% 34 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:21
Alistair Overeem 1 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stipe Miocic 0 34 of 60 56% 34 of 60 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:21
Alistair Overeem 1 9 of 17 52% 9 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stipe Miocic 34 of 60 56% 31 of 55 3 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 36 6 of 9 12 of 15
Alistair Overeem 9 of 17 52% 5 of 10 3 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stipe Miocic 34 of 60 56% 31 of 55 3 of 5 0 of 0 16 of 36 6 of 9 12 of 15
Alistair Overeem 9 of 17 52% 5 of 10 3 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 14 2 of 3 0 of 0
Francis Ngannou - Fight History
WIN vs Ciryl Gane
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 49–46) R5 5:00 · UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · Jan 22, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francis Ngannou 0 43 of 104 41% 71 of 139 4 of 5 80% 0 1 8:29
Ciryl Gane 0 63 of 91 69% 79 of 107 1 of 3 33% 3 0 2:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francis Ngannou 0 12 of 31 38% 14 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Ciryl Gane 0 15 of 20 75% 24 of 29 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:05
2 Francis Ngannou 0 10 of 27 37% 10 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Ciryl Gane 0 19 of 33 57% 19 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Francis Ngannou 0 9 of 20 45% 19 of 30 2 of 3 66% 0 0 1:55
Ciryl Gane 0 6 of 9 66% 11 of 14 0 of 0 --- 1 0 1:07
4 Francis Ngannou 0 7 of 13 53% 15 of 25 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:57
Ciryl Gane 0 16 of 17 94% 18 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Francis Ngannou 0 5 of 13 38% 13 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:44
Ciryl Gane 0 7 of 12 58% 7 of 12 1 of 1 100% 2 0 0:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francis Ngannou 43 of 104 41% 9 of 56 21 of 33 13 of 15 34 of 87 6 of 10 3 of 7
Ciryl Gane 63 of 91 69% 15 of 32 20 of 29 28 of 30 57 of 84 6 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francis Ngannou 12 of 31 38% 3 of 18 8 of 11 1 of 2 8 of 24 4 of 7 0 of 0
Ciryl Gane 15 of 20 75% 4 of 7 9 of 11 2 of 2 10 of 14 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Francis Ngannou 10 of 27 37% 1 of 11 4 of 10 5 of 6 9 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
Ciryl Gane 19 of 33 57% 4 of 11 4 of 10 11 of 12 19 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Francis Ngannou 9 of 20 45% 3 of 13 5 of 6 1 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 2 2 of 5
Ciryl Gane 6 of 9 66% 2 of 4 1 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 8 1 of 1 0 of 0
4 Francis Ngannou 7 of 13 53% 0 of 6 4 of 4 3 of 3 6 of 12 0 of 0 1 of 1
Ciryl Gane 16 of 17 94% 2 of 3 3 of 3 11 of 11 16 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Francis Ngannou 5 of 13 38% 2 of 8 0 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 1
Ciryl Gane 7 of 12 58% 3 of 7 3 of 3 1 of 2 7 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Heavyweight Title Fight: Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane

Round 1
Former teammates collide in the UFC 270 main event, which comes in the form of a heavyweight championship unification battle. Ngannou (16-3, 11-2 UFC) will come in on a five-fight knockout streak that includes victories over three of the last five champions to hold the heavyweight strap before him, while Gane (10-0, 7-0 UFC) is a spotless 10 up and none down as he continues his quest for the undisputed belt. A bit of bad blood infiltrated the matchup due to a dispute about old sparring footage, but they still do elect to touch gloves as a prepared referee Herb Dean stands firm as the Octagon sentinel. Ngannou takes the center of the cage and starts to pressure Gane, only for Gane to rush in and pursue a takedown that gets stopped. The close range of Gane allows him to avoid the power shots, but when Ngannou gets backed up across the cage to the wall, he gets off a high knee. Gane pushes off and retreats, keeping a safe distance and kicking and Ngannou’s lead knee – both of the champ’s knees have braces on them. Ngannou closes in with a big punch, and he blocks a rising knee from Gane as they are tied up in the center of the cage. Gane gets some space with a short elbow, but Ngannou walks him down and delivers a painful uppercut up the middle that stuns Gane for a moment. Gane regains his composure and backs off, but he gets clipped with an uppercut, Gane escapes out the edge and evades most of the power punches that come his way, and he spins with a kick to the body. Ngannou walks him down, but Gane is light on his feet and staying away. Gane steps in suddenly with a knee before breaking away to get into a safe range, and he does so just when Ngannou loads up on a right hand. “The Predator” stalks his prey, only to come up short with a looping right hand. Ngannou kicks the knee and comes up high, and Gane pushes it off and ends in grappling range with the champ. Ngannou flirts with a takedown effort, but he abandons the try to knee Gane in the chest. “Bon Gamin” turns him about on the wall, staying tightly pressed to Ngannou so as to not absorb any short but powerful shots. Gane clings to his opponent, stifling Ngannou for a moment, but Ngannou still manages to land a knee and an uppercut as Gane pushes off. Ngannou marches ahead, and they stare down one another as the round comes to an end.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ngannou
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gane
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ngannou

Round 2
The heavyweights touch gloves to start off the second frame, and Gane leads off with a front kick that splits the guard. Ngannou mimics the blow with one of his own, and it gets swatted away. Ngannou is continually advancing as Gane is light on his feet with his hands low, so Ngannou kicks him in the thigh a few times with the ball of his foot. Gane then turns to side kick Ngannou in the knee, and darts away before Ngannou can get in on him. This does not stop Ngannou from trying, and when he misses, Gane chips away at his lead leg from a distance. Ngannou lifts up a high kick, and he then goes low with a stomping kick to the knee. Gane sticks out a jab, and his mobility keeps him away from the swinging shots that come at him. Ngannou eats a clean right hand that glances off the side of his ear, and he appears no worse for wear as he plods forward. Ngannou swings with a huge right hand, and the power is there but the accuracy is not, so Gane ducks it without concern. The punch leads Ngannou to tie him up, and he breaks off and misses by an inch with an overhand right. Gane picks and pokes Ngannou with low kicks before spinning with a wheel kick that clocks Ngannou in the top of the head. “The Predator” barely registers that the strike landed, and he continues to march ahead to line up a missile of a right hand. Ngannou kicks at the leg, and he absorbs one that comes back at him and makes him lift his leg up. Gane is loose and has his hands very low given the opponent staring across from him, and he relies on his movement to not let Ngannou get a hold of him. Ngannou sits down on a body kick, one that sneaks under Gane’s blocking elbow. Gane bounces around as Ngannou slowly aims for a big strike, and he walks face-first into a powerful uppercut that knocks Gane back but does not hurt him. The Frenchman gathers himself and delivers a kick on the outside of Ngannou’s leg, and then goes with the other leg to the midsection. Ngannou checks one more kick as the round comes to an end, and the crowd is not overly thrilled with the pace of these two big men.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Gane
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Gane
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Gane

Round 3
The big gentlemen meet in the middle, only for Gane to give ground immediately and back off. Gane keeps his hand up and his fingers outstretched in hopes that he can anticipate a power strike from Ngannou and block it. Ngannou secures a short uppercut on the chin, but whiffs badly on the power left hand. Gane sees another powerful left hand come at him, and he darts away and kicks Ngannou in the side. “The Predator” is enraged by this kick, and he lifts a 250-pound Gane up in the air like a sack of potatoes and slams him down to the mat with emphasis. Ngannou lands in side control, and he is heavily positioned on top and does not let Gane twist and turn. Gane ends up surrendering mount as he tries to scramble, and he turns over to give up his back in the process. Ngannou starts dropping down a few sledgehammers in the form of his ground-and-pound, and when Gane walks his way to his knees, Ngannou trips him back down. Gane is able to defend his face from punishment, standing up safely and getting up against the wall. Ngannou deftly throws Gane down to the mat, face-first, in what appears to be a painful slam. “Bon Gamin” does not seem concerned, calmly working his way up to his feet. As Gane is composed in the clinch, he smoothly breaks the grip and spins around to elbow Ngannou in the face. Ngannou eats the Frenchman’s spinning elbow like a baguette, and he continues to lumber forward and narrowly evades a spinning wheel kick that grazes his hair. Ngannou pursues his man and loads up on a punch to the body, only to change levels and hit a double-leg takedown and ground the interim titleholder. Gane tries to defend off his back with a kimura, but there is nothing there. The champ rides out the round on top without landing strikes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ngannou
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ngannou
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ngannou

Round 4
Ngannou stands right in the center of the cage to begin the fourth round, and he lifts his leg up to check a kick that comes at him. “Bon Gamin” gets off a jab and scampers away from the power strikes that are telegraphed and not coming at him as frequently. The pitter-patter leg kicks and jabs from Gane frustrate Ngannou but do not appear to have an appreciable effect, and the crowd lets the two have it. Ngannou continues to ignore leg kicks, and he absorbs a clean side kick to the body while missing on the right hand counter. Gane gets interrupted on the way in with a low kick, so he replies with a slapping kick to Ngannou’s face. Ngannou does not appear thrilled by the kick, leading him to blitz forward and set up a body lock. “The Predator” succeeds on a toss to plant Gane on the mat again, and Gane is effective at protecting his mug from damage although he does give up control time. Gane works his way up to his knee and stand, but Ngannou trips him back down in a sneaky mat return. The Frenchman maneuvers his way up, and he pursues a standing kimura when Ngannou wrenches his legs out beneath him and puts Gane down again. Ngannou steps over to mount, and he loses it when Gane nearly sits up and out of it. Gane finds himself on his back, with a 260-ish pound Ngannou on top of him relying more on pressure than ground strikes. Gane sits up against the fence, and Ngannou knees him square in the chest in a very risky maneuver. Gane is struggling to stand as Ngannou is tightly pinned to him, and the champion holds him down to end the fourth frame.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ngannou
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ngannou
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ngannou

Round 5
The champ and interim champ meet in the middle for one final touch of gloves. Gane backs away, and he steps in with a cheeky elbow that catches Ngannou clean. Gane lands a punch that makes Ngannou backpedal for a moment, and Gane stands right in front of him and kicks him in the leg and punches him in the body. Gane rushes ahead with a short combination, and Ngannou chows down on it like a steak. When Ngannou swings with a big punch, Gane ducks down and hits a takedown to plant the champion flat on his back. Ngannou looks to sit up, but he miraculously hits a sweep and turns Gane over to put him on his back. Gane defends effectively by dropping down with a heel hook, and Ngannou grimaces but grits it out to not allow Gane to sit up and get on top. Ngannou pops his leg out, and Gane goes for another that is not under the knee, so it is not as dangerous as the first. Like a snake, “The Predator” slithers over to re-take top control, sliding up to half guard and nearly claiming mount. Ngannou begins to set up an arm-triangle choke, but he does not present any other offense as Dean tells them to keep working. Gane sits up, allowing Ngannou to defend with a potential guillotine choke to sit him back down. The Frenchman keeps moving off his back, scooting his way towards the wall, and Ngannou pushes him back over as precious seconds tick off the clock. Gane is furious that he is being held down, and Ngannou finally lets a few punches go to end the fight on top. Some may be surprised that this fight went the distance, but
many
would be surprised that it was Ngannou that leaned on wrestling and effectively controlled Gane for long stretches of the fight. The bout in the books after 25 grueling minutes, the two men embrace and appear to have squashed the potentially manufactured beef. When Buffer announces the winner, it is not UFC President Dana White but matchmaker Mick Maynard that is in the cage to place the belt around the winner’s waist.
In his post-fight interview, Ngannou tells the crowd that he went through a great deal in this training camp, and three weeks ago, he completely tore his MCL tendon and hurt his ACL as well. Ngannou expresses his love for his home country and the fans, and tells the crowd that boxing is always in his back pocket but not an immediate goal for him. With that, UFC 270 is in the books, and the organization is taking a week off. When it comes back with UFC Fight Night 200 in February, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ngannou (49-46 Ngannou)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ngannou (48-47 Ngannou)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ngannou (49-46 Ngannou)

The Official Result
Francis Ngannou def. Ciryl Gane via Unanimous Decision (48-47, 48-47, 49-46)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ciryl Gane

Angelo picks Ciryl Gane primarily due to contract negotiation factors, believing Ngannou may have motivation issues. He acknowledges Ngannou is the better fighter with power and takedown defense, but thinks Gane's only path is a decision. He notes the sparring footage where Gane's strikes didn't bother Ngannou.

contract negotiation factors
"i'm going to go with cyril gone because of the contract factors but the reality is francis ingano is more dangerous and i think francis inganu is the better fighter but the contract negotiation that stuff is very real and …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ciryl Gane

Big Brady picks Ciryl Gane to win by decision, citing Gane's superior cardio, output, footwork, fight IQ, and defensive soundness. He acknowledges Ngannou's devastating power and the threat of a one-punch knockout, comparing it to the Derrick Lewis fight. He expects Gane to fight smart, stay at range, and avoid danger, similar to his performance against Rozenstruik. He notes that Ngannou has never won a fight past the second round and has never been knocked out, but believes Gane has more paths to victory.

Gane by decision; mentions Ngannou's power and that the line should be closer; compares to Rozenstruik fight
"I'm going to take gone to win by decision maybe a late finish but nganu 19 fights never been knocked out and gano's durability is phenomenal"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ciryl Gane

Cody picks Ciryl Gane, emphasizing Gane's superior technique, footwork, cardio, and activity rate compared to Ngannou. He notes that Ngannou, despite his power, is 35 and fights infrequently, while Gane has gone five rounds and shown precision. Cody believes Gane's risk-averse style will allow him to avoid damage and tire Ngannou out in deeper waters. He also mentions the narrative that Ngannou may be distracted by contract disputes and a potential boxing career.

"I gotta go with the speed, the precision, and just the better all-around skill set, so sign me up for Ciryl Gane."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Francis Ngannou

Daniel Levi picks Francis Ngannou to win by knockout. He argues that Ngannou's power is generational and that Ciryl Gane has not faced anyone who can put him on the back foot. Levi notes that Gane drops his hands off kicks and leaves his chin exposed, and believes Ngannou's improved wrestling and fight IQ under Eric Nicksick will be key. He acknowledges Gane's elite movement but thinks Ngannou's power is a different level. Levi also mentions that Ngannou is in a great mental space and that the underdog price is too good to pass up.

Ngannou by KO; underdog price +132 is value
"you give me a line like that on francis and i'm taking my chances so uh yeah i'm gonna go with francis and ganu to knock out the very elusive and talented uh cyril god"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Ciryl Gane

The host believes Ciryl Gane's mastery of range management and ability to avoid significant strikes will be key. He notes that Gane has passed the 'heavyweight power punching gauntlet' against Jairzinho Rozenstruik, Derrick Lewis, and now faces Ngannou. He expects Gane to use his southpaw stance, body work, and fight IQ to weather the early storm and finish Ngannou in the later rounds, possibly round 4 or 5. He also mentions that Ngannou's cardio is a concern and that Gane is the type of fighter who can exploit that.

Gane round 4 (+1500), Gane round 5 (+2500), live betting on Gane as rounds progress
"i think if there's anybody that's going to be francis it's going to be sirigon sir gone and you i'm going to take him to win this fight around via round you know what let's call round five round five …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Francis Ngannou

Paul picks Francis Ngannou, arguing that Ngannou's power and speed combination gives him at least a 50-50 chance to knock out anyone. He acknowledges Gane's technical advantages and the big cage, but believes Ngannou's power carries into later rounds. Paul also mentions the narrative that Ngannou is motivated to prove himself and secure a better contract. He notes that Ngannou by KO is available at +175 and considers that a play.

Francis Ngannou by knockout +175 at DraftKings
"I'm of the opinion that Francis Ngannou against any person on earth when Francis Ngannou is wearing four ounce gloves has at least a 50-50 shot to knock them out."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ciryl Gane

The MMA Guru picks Ciryl Gane, calling him a future heavyweight GOAT. He praises Gane's technical striking, including oblique kicks, jabs, and leg kicks, which he believes will neutralize Ngannou's power. He notes Ngannou's distractions (contract disputes, movie appearances) and predicts a fourth-round TKO, as Gane's versatility and range management will be too much.

fourth round tko
"i'm trusting in cyril ghan i've never seen a heavyweight move like this i think he's going to be the goat"
WIN vs Stipe Miocic
KO (punch) R2 0:52 · UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou 2 · Mar 27, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francis Ngannou 0 12 of 13 92% 12 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Stipe Miocic 2 36 of 56 64% 38 of 58 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:22
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francis Ngannou 0 8 of 8 100% 8 of 8 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Stipe Miocic 0 23 of 37 62% 24 of 38 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:19
2 Francis Ngannou 0 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stipe Miocic 2 13 of 19 68% 14 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francis Ngannou 12 of 13 92% 3 of 4 2 of 2 7 of 7 12 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 36 of 56 64% 28 of 46 2 of 4 6 of 6 17 of 36 8 of 8 11 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francis Ngannou 8 of 8 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 7 8 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 23 of 37 62% 16 of 28 2 of 4 5 of 5 11 of 24 3 of 3 9 of 10
2 Francis Ngannou 4 of 5 80% 3 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stipe Miocic 13 of 19 68% 12 of 18 0 of 0 1 of 1 6 of 12 5 of 5 2 of 2
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

Big Brady picks Stipe Miocic to win by fifth-round TKO. He believes Stipe is the more well-rounded fighter with better cardio and fight IQ. He expects Stipe to survive the early rounds by clinching and attempting takedowns to tire Ngannou, then take over as the fight progresses. He notes that Ngannou only landed two significant strikes after the second round in their first fight. However, he acknowledges Ngannou's one-shot knockout power and says he would not bet the fight at current odds.

Stipe by fifth-round TKO; Ngannou by KO prop; Stipe decision prop; odds comment: Stipe opened +135 now +100, Ngannou by KO is the way to bet Ngannou
"i do think stephen wins i'm going to say steepy wins with a fifth round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Francis Ngannou

Cody backs Ngannou, citing his generational power and the fact that he has been training wrestling defense with Kamaru Usman. He believes Ngannou's strategy is to go out and kill his opponent early, and if he lands, it's over. He acknowledges the cardio concerns but thinks Ngannou's durability held up in the first fight and that he has improved mentally since the Lewis loss.

Francis Ngannou round 1 +200
"francis ngani plus 200 round one that's all i've got action on this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Francis Ngannou

Daniel Levi picks Francis Ngannou to win by first-round knockout. He emphasizes that Ngannou is now focused, has the right team, and has learned from his first fight with Stipe. He notes that Stipe has absorbed over 300 head strikes since their first fight, including a knockout loss, while Ngannou has taken minimal damage. Levi believes Ngannou's power and improved mental approach will lead to a violent finish.

first round knockout
"i'm going francis be a first round knockout i think the trilogy is going to be great but i think it's time for francis to realize his dream"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

The host believes Stipe Miocic will retain his title by third-round TKO. He notes that Stipe has improved his cardio and fight IQ since their first fight, as seen in the Cormier trilogy. He expects Stipe to use head movement, smart takedown entries to the weak side, and mix in grappling to wear down Ngannou, who he thinks will gas after a round and a half if he doesn't get the knockout. He compares the matchup to Lewis vs Blaydes and Gane vs Rozenstruik, where the more skilled fighter won. He advises that if backing Ngannou, take the KO prop because he won't win by decision.

If backing Ngannou, take the KO prop; Stipe by third-round TKO
"I think he gets a third round finish here... I'll take him to win by third round tko"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

Paul picks Stipe Miocic, emphasizing his wrestling advantage, cardio advantage, and later-round experience. He notes that Stipe has shown he can take Ngannou's punches and grind him down, as seen in the first fight. He also highlights Stipe's success in rematches, having avenged losses to JDS and Cormier. Paul is confident that if Ngannou doesn't knock him out early, Stipe will take over.

"i gotta i got to backsteep it the same way i did last time i got underdog money"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Stipe Miocic

The Guru picks Stipe Miocic, emphasizing that Stipe has improved since the first fight: better footwork, cardio, wrestling, and clinch work from his camps against Daniel Cormier. He argues that Stipe's wrestling is the key difference, as he can take Ngannou down and control him, unlike other heavyweights who tried to stand and trade. He predicts Ngannou will be hesitant and gas out, leading to a TKO in the third or fourth round. He acknowledges the puncher's chance for Ngannou but relies on evidence over guesswork.

Stipe by TKO in round 3 or 4
"i'm picking stephen youtube to win he flies under the radar i think in ghana who's going to [ __ ] himself in there after the first round and stipe is going to ragdoll him"
KO (punches) R1 0:20 · UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · May 09, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francis Ngannou 1 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francis Ngannou 1 6 of 13 46% 6 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 0 5 of 5 100% 5 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francis Ngannou 6 of 13 46% 5 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 5 of 5 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francis Ngannou 6 of 13 46% 5 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0 3 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 4
Jairzinho Rozenstruik 5 of 5 100% 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 2 5 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Francis Ngannou

Big Brady picks Francis Ngannou by first-round knockout, expecting him to land a hard punch early. He notes that if Ngannou doesn't get the knockout, Rozenstruik could win a decision due to Ngannou's low activity. He sees value in betting Rozenstruik but ultimately goes with Ngannou.

Ngannou by first round knockout; Rozenstruik by decision value
"I'm going to go with Enanu first round knockout. Uh if he does not get that knockout, I am worried that Rosen Shrew will win a decision."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Francis Ngannou

Daniel Levi picks Francis Ngannou, acknowledging the risk due to Rozenstruik's timing and power, but believes Ngannou is the better fighter with more tools. He suggests Ngannou should use a clinch and takedown game plan, as Rozenstruik's takedown defense is weak. Levi notes that Ngannou's confidence is high after three wins, unlike the Lewis fight, and expects a knockout.

Ngannou by knockout
"I'm gonna take Francis but I don't want to say it's dog or pass you know because Francis has been coming out here and but these guys that he's been dealing our [ __ ] done man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 6, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Matt picks Rozenstruik as an underdog, believing the line at -270 for Ngannou is too wide. He notes Ngannou's rudimentary striking and reliance on power, while Rozenstruik has a wider arsenal and better kickboxing experience. He thinks if Rozenstruik can survive the early power, he can take over and finish Ngannou in the second round.

Rozenstruik by second-round TKO
"I'm actually gonna take Rosen strike by I'm gonna pick him to win... Rosen strike second-round TKO"
TKO (punches) R1 1:11 · UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. dos Santos · Jun 29, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francis Ngannou 1 9 of 19 47% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Junior dos Santos 0 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francis Ngannou 1 9 of 19 47% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Junior dos Santos 0 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francis Ngannou 9 of 19 47% 5 of 14 1 of 1 3 of 4 5 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 7
Junior dos Santos 4 of 6 66% 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francis Ngannou 9 of 19 47% 5 of 14 1 of 1 3 of 4 5 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 7
Junior dos Santos 4 of 6 66% 1 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 2 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
KO (punches) R1 0:26 · UFC on ESPN: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · Feb 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francis Ngannou 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cain Velasquez 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francis Ngannou 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Cain Velasquez 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francis Ngannou 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 3
Cain Velasquez 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francis Ngannou 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 1 of 1 2 of 3
Cain Velasquez 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R1 0:45 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · Nov 24, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 8 12% 1 of 8 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Curtis Blaydes 1 13 of 17 76% 13 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 8 12% 1 of 8 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Curtis Blaydes 1 13 of 17 76% 13 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Francis Ngannou 1 of 8 12% 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Curtis Blaydes 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 5 of 5 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Francis Ngannou 1 of 8 12% 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Curtis Blaydes 13 of 17 76% 11 of 15 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 5 of 5 5 of 6
LOSS vs Derrick Lewis
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Jul 07, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Derrick Lewis 0 11 of 46 23% 11 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francis Ngannou 0 20 of 54 37% 20 of 54 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Derrick Lewis 0 1 of 7 14% 1 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francis Ngannou 0 5 of 15 33% 5 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Derrick Lewis 0 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francis Ngannou 0 4 of 15 26% 4 of 15 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Derrick Lewis 0 4 of 21 19% 4 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Francis Ngannou 0 11 of 24 45% 11 of 24 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Derrick Lewis 11 of 46 23% 7 of 39 3 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 43 2 of 3 0 of 0
Francis Ngannou 20 of 54 37% 1 of 26 11 of 18 8 of 10 18 of 52 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Derrick Lewis 1 of 7 14% 1 of 6 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Francis Ngannou 5 of 15 33% 1 of 9 3 of 5 1 of 1 5 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Derrick Lewis 6 of 18 33% 5 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 16 1 of 2 0 of 0
Francis Ngannou 4 of 15 26% 0 of 9 3 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Derrick Lewis 4 of 21 19% 1 of 16 2 of 4 1 of 1 3 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0
Francis Ngannou 11 of 24 45% 0 of 8 5 of 8 6 of 8 9 of 22 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Derrick Lewis vs. Francis Ngannou

Round 1
Ngannou creeps forward in the southpaw stance, testing the range with an outstretched hand, offering a few fakes. Neither heavyweight offers much of anything in the opening minute. Lewis, circling off his back foot, pauses and steps forward to counter an Ngannou low kick with a right hand. Ngannou switches to orthodox after Lewis throws a switch kick to the body. Lewis is being backed up to the fence, creating some space with kicks, then getting backed up again. Despite his constant forward pressure, Ngannou has done virtually nothing in terms of significant offense. Lewis tries a high single, gets shoved away by the "Predator," and the big men continue their stroll around the cage until the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Lewis
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Lewis
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-10

Round 2
The boo birds are out early in round two, following another 60 seconds of incactivity from the heavyweights. Ninety seconds in, Lewis comes over the top with a glancing right hand, then tries to get hold of Ngannou's legs, only to be shoved away by the hulking Frenchman. Ngannou pressures Lewis backward to the fence until Lewis backs him up with a high switch kick. Ngannou switches between stances as he jumps around in front of the "Black Beast." A few leg kicks land for Lewis as the tepid pace continues. With 1:10 on the clock, referee Herb Dean finally intervenes, cautioning the fighters to engage or risk a point deduction. Lewis gets a bit busier after the restart, though not by much, and the final minute ticks away without incident.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-10
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Lewis
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-10

Round 3
It's more of the same as the final round begins, with another minute of nothing between the big men. Ngannou fires a quick left high kick from the southpaw stance, but Lewis gets a glove up to block it. Referee Dean calls for action again; Lewis grabs for a clinch or takedown and is shoved away. With two minutes left, Lewis counters a kick from Ngannou with a left hand that puts the "Predator" in reverse. Lewis ducks as he steps forward and puts a punch on Ngannou's body. Ngannou throws a high kick and winds up spinning around as Lewis ducks underneath. Down to the final 40 seconds, Lewis lands a body kick and slips his head off center to avoid Ngannou's left hand. Ngannou catches a kick and tries to take down Lewis in the final 10 seconds. With Lewis leaning forward, balancing on his hands, Ngannou lands a cheap shot after the horn, a fittingly ugly end to one of the worst fights you'll see this year.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Lewis (30-28 Lewis)
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Lewis (30-27 Lewis)
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Lewis (30-29 Lewis)

The Official Result
Derrick Lewis def. Francis Ngannou via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
LOSS vs Stipe Miocic
Decision (unanimous) (50–44, 50–44, 50–44) R5 5:00 · UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Jan 20, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Stipe Miocic 0 70 of 95 73% 200 of 244 6 of 14 42% 0 0 15:02
Francis Ngannou 0 21 of 113 18% 33 of 126 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Stipe Miocic 0 16 of 25 64% 24 of 33 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:57
Francis Ngannou 0 15 of 62 24% 18 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Stipe Miocic 0 17 of 24 70% 29 of 37 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:17
Francis Ngannou 0 4 of 27 14% 4 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Stipe Miocic 0 12 of 16 75% 47 of 58 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:47
Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 8 12% 7 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
4 Stipe Miocic 0 18 of 21 85% 82 of 95 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:39
Francis Ngannou 0 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Stipe Miocic 0 7 of 9 77% 18 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:22
Francis Ngannou 0 1 of 13 7% 4 of 17 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Stipe Miocic 70 of 95 73% 45 of 67 9 of 11 16 of 17 37 of 52 5 of 6 28 of 37
Francis Ngannou 21 of 113 18% 17 of 106 4 of 7 0 of 0 19 of 105 2 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Stipe Miocic 16 of 25 64% 13 of 22 2 of 2 1 of 1 12 of 19 2 of 2 2 of 4
Francis Ngannou 15 of 62 24% 14 of 61 1 of 1 0 of 0 13 of 55 2 of 7 0 of 0
2 Stipe Miocic 17 of 24 70% 7 of 13 4 of 5 6 of 6 14 of 20 0 of 0 3 of 4
Francis Ngannou 4 of 27 14% 2 of 23 2 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Stipe Miocic 12 of 16 75% 8 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 4 4 of 5 2 of 2 6 of 9
Francis Ngannou 1 of 8 12% 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Stipe Miocic 18 of 21 85% 15 of 18 2 of 2 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 17 of 20
Francis Ngannou 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Stipe Miocic 7 of 9 77% 2 of 2 1 of 2 4 of 5 6 of 7 1 of 2 0 of 0
Francis Ngannou 1 of 13 7% 0 of 11 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 12 0 of 1 0 of 0