Career Averages - Jon Jones
Career Averages - Stipe Miocic
Jon Jones
Stipe Miocic
Jon Jones - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 1 | 96 of 119 | 80% | 104 of 128 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 37 of 89 | 41% | 42 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 0 | 42 of 48 | 87% | 49 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 0 | 20 of 28 | 71% | 20 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 16 of 37 | 43% | 16 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 1 | 34 of 43 | 79% | 35 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 96 of 119 | 80% | 70 of 91 | 16 of 18 | 10 of 10 | 54 of 70 | 2 of 3 | 40 of 46 |
| Stipe Miocic | 37 of 89 | 41% | 24 of 75 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 83 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 42 of 48 | 87% | 36 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 37 of 42 |
| Stipe Miocic | 6 of 13 | 46% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 20 of 28 | 71% | 9 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 16 of 37 | 43% | 9 of 29 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 34 of 43 | 79% | 25 of 33 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 30 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
| Stipe Miocic | 15 of 39 | 38% | 12 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 34 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Jon Jones, citing his all-around greatness, youth, and activity compared to Stipe Miocic, who is a full-time fireman on a four-year layoff. He expects Jones to take Miocic down early and dominate. He thinks Jones should be -1500 and will win easily.
Big Brady picks Jon Jones but expects a slow, disappointing fight. He notes that Stipe Miocic is old and washed, having looked slow against Francis Ngannou four years ago, but he doesn't think Jones will finish him early. He cites Jones' recent lackluster performances against Dominick Reyes and Thiago Santos. He predicts a decision win for Jones and likes the over on 40.5 significant strikes for Jones on PrizePicks.
Cody picks Jon Jones, citing Jones' legendary durability and distance management. He notes Stipe is 43, hasn't fought in 3.5 years, and looked slow against Ngannou. Cody expects Jones to win a 49-46 decision or possibly get a late submission, but sees the fight going the distance. He mentions the over 2.5 rounds as a potential prop.
Connor also picks Jones, emphasizing that Stipe is old and likely shot, and that Jones's wrestling and size will be too much. He notes that Stipe's last performance against Ngannou was poor and he looked aimless. Connor expects Jones to take Stipe down and submit him, possibly after a tentative first round.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jon Jones to win, citing Jones' superior MMA wrestling, takedown defense (95%), reach advantage, and younger age. He believes Jones will use oblique kicks to immobilize Stipe, mix in takedowns, and dictate the pace. He acknowledges Stipe's boxing and wrestling credentials but thinks Jones' overall MMA game is superior. He notes that Stipe hasn't fought since 2021 and may have declined.
Vreeland picks Jones emphatically, calling it tragic that this fight is happening. He notes Stipe hasn't fought anyone well-rounded since 2018, is 42, semi-retired, and was knocked out badly by Ngannou. Vreeland believes Jones will win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and that Stipe will look old when he gets knocked out.
Fox picks Jones, agreeing that Stipe has no chance. He notes Jones is younger, has a reach advantage, and is the better fighter everywhere. Fox expects Jones to win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and thinks Stipe's chin is compromised after the Ngannou KO.
Lucrative James picks Jon Jones to win, citing Stipe Miocic's age (42) and four-year layoff as major concerns. He believes Stipe will look stiff and has lost athleticism, while Jones has an iron chin, superior striking at all ranges, and much better MMA wrestling and grappling. He predicts Jones will win inside the distance, likely within the first two rounds, and notes that Jones can win however he wants if Stipe is a shell of his former self.
The host expects Jones to continue his dominant ways as he did against Gane, getting to his grappling and keeping Miocic on his back. He mentions Jones might use 12-to-6 elbows but ultimately finds the neck and gets a submission victory.
Paul picks Jon Jones, calling it a freak show fight. He argues Jones has fought weak competition and had close fights with lesser opponents, but Stipe is faded and hasn't fought in three years. Paul expects Jones to win by decision, possibly 49-46, and likes the over 2.5 rounds. He notes Jones' distance management and Stipe's age and inactivity.
The MMA Guru picks Jon Jones, expecting a finish in the first or second round. He describes Jones's oblique kicks and clinch work breaking down the 42-year-old Miocic. He predicts a guillotine choke after a takedown, noting Stipe's tendency to scramble into submissions.
Zane picks Jones, noting that Stipe is old and inactive, having not fought in over three years and showing no interest in fighting. He expects a slog for a round or two, then Jones will take Stipe down and finish him via submission or ground-and-pound. Zane mentions Jones's wrestling and size advantage, and that Stipe's chin and durability are questionable at this stage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 8 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Ciryl Gane | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 8 of 14 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:57 |
| Ciryl Gane | 0 | 6 of 8 | 75% | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 5 of 10 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ciryl Gane | 6 of 8 | 75% | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 5 of 10 | 50% | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Ciryl Gane | 6 of 8 | 75% | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jones (-155), Gane (+135)
Round 1
This one is for all the marbles. The heavyweight strap is officially on the line with the relinquishment of Francis Ngannou’s heavyweight crown and his subsequent release. The challengers for the vacant strap will be former light heavyweight king Jones (26-1, 1 NC; 20-1, 1 NC UFC), who is taking his first trip up to this division and weighed 248 pounds, against ex-interim champ Gane (11-1, 8-1 UFC). Surprising many, Gane checked in a half pound lighter than Jones. These big men have 25 minutes to work and establish themselves, and referee Marc Goddard will receive the final assignment of the night. After a touch of gloves and Gane patting Jones’ chest, it’s on. Jones comes out of his corner like usual, climbing upright, and the two throw at one another immediately. Jones fires a punch up top, and Gane responds with a low kick that slams into Jones’ cup and causes a pause in the first 10 seconds of the bout. Jones takes 30 seconds to clear it out, and they get back to action. Jones takes a low kick to stick the Frenchman with a right hand, and he walks Gane down firing at him. Jones sweeps low with a kick, and Gane replies with a similar blow. Jones walks through a jab and marches Gane down, pressuring the Frenchman and no-selling any strikes that land on him. Jones swings with a big body shot that misses the mark, and when Gane fires off a big right hand, Jones ducks under and trips Gane out to drop him to his knees and down. Gane fights back up to his knees, and Jones slips a hook in around the side while Gane works to his feet. Jones pulls Gane down, and he sits on Gane’s knees and suddenly grips with a guillotine choke that is crushing around Gane’s noggin. Jones lets go and resets his grip to slip his forearm under the chin, and he presses his full body weight on the submission to completely fasten the guillotine. Gane is shocked, his eyes wide open, and he frantically taps out before he goes out. Jones has done it! He is a two-division UFC champion, and he made it look easy against a phenomenal opponent. His status as one of the greatest if not the greatest of all time is fully cemented with this victory, which clocked in around two minutes as his quickest since he smashed Vladimir Matyushenko in 2010. After thanking his family and training partners, Jones has one name in mind: Stipe Miocic, for International Fight Week in July. We will absolutely be here should that materialize, and we hope you are too. What a night.
The Official Result
Jon Jones def. Ciryl Gane R1 2:04 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo leans towards Ciryl Gane due to Jon Jones' three-year layoff, weight gain, and poor performance in his last fight. He notes that Gane is a technical striker with great footwork and that Jones struggled with wrestling against Dominick Reyes. Angelo is not betting on this fight.
Big Brady picks Jon Jones but is hesitant due to many red flags: a three-year layoff, lackluster recent performances, and moving up to heavyweight. He notes Gane's takedown defense was exposed by Ngannou, and Jones is a great wrestler. He predicts a decision win for Jones, but advises against betting on the fight due to uncertainty.
Cody is very reluctant to take Jones at -160 given the three-year layoff, recent disinterested performances, and move up to heavyweight. He sees Gane as a legitimate heavyweight who fought Francis Ngannou closely, but worries about Gane's wrestling after Ngannou took him down. He ultimately takes the plus money on Gane but will wait for weigh-ins to see Jones's physique.
Connor picks Jones but with significant hesitation. He believes Jones's forward pressure and consistent use of a few tools (lead hook, body kick, side kick) over five rounds will be enough to edge out Gane, despite Jones's decline in activity and wrestling. He expects a close, boring fight where Jones may get hurt but ultimately wins a decision or via a takedown from a Gane error. He notes Gane's poor defensive footwork and tendency to fall apart when pressured, but acknowledges Jones's own defensive flaws and the risk of Gane's jab and kicks.
Jacob is confident in Ciryl Gane, stating that on the feet, Gane will embarrass Jones with his footwork and speed. He believes Jones will struggle to get takedowns because Gane will be ready for them. Jacob thinks Gane will pick Jones apart and win.
Jones is a dominant wrestler with unorthodox striking and a championship mindset. Gane is a slick striker but has shown vulnerability to wrestling, as seen against Francis Ngannou. Jones will drag the fight to the ground and use his top pressure and ground and pound to win. The weight gain shouldn't be detrimental.
Paul picks Jon Jones but says it's a stay away from a betting perspective. He believes Jones's wrestling will be the difference, as Gane was taken down by Ngannou. However, he acknowledges the many question marks around Jones and cannot bet him at -170. He thinks Jones will win but won't put money on it.
The MMA Guru picks Ciryl Gane to upset Jon Jones, citing Jones' long layoff (over 3 years) and recent close fights. He believes Gane's range, leg kicks, and patience will trouble Jones, and that Jones' takedowns won't be as effective at heavyweight. He predicts a decision win for Gane.
Zane favors Gane, assuming the fight becomes a slow-paced kickboxing match where Gane's consistency, jab, and kicking variety give him the edge. He doubts Jones's wrestling will be effective due to poor entries and a clench that has deteriorated. He notes Gane's defensive flaws and potential unforced errors (like a bad takedown attempt) could cost him, but overall sees Gane as the more reliable striker at range.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 0 | 104 of 166 | 62% | 107 of 170 | 2 of 9 | 22% | 0 | 0 | 1:41 |
| Dominick Reyes | 0 | 116 of 259 | 44% | 119 of 263 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 0 | 17 of 27 | 62% | 17 of 27 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dominick Reyes | 0 | 23 of 59 | 38% | 23 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 0 | 22 of 37 | 59% | 22 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dominick Reyes | 0 | 33 of 68 | 48% | 33 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 20 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
| Dominick Reyes | 0 | 26 of 45 | 57% | 27 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Jon Jones | 0 | 20 of 34 | 58% | 20 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0:56 |
| Dominick Reyes | 0 | 13 of 41 | 31% | 14 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Jon Jones | 0 | 26 of 34 | 76% | 28 of 36 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:30 |
| Dominick Reyes | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 22 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 104 of 166 | 62% | 31 of 74 | 30 of 39 | 43 of 53 | 101 of 161 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Dominick Reyes | 116 of 259 | 44% | 41 of 169 | 48 of 55 | 27 of 35 | 109 of 252 | 7 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 17 of 27 | 62% | 1 of 5 | 6 of 8 | 10 of 14 | 17 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Dominick Reyes | 23 of 59 | 38% | 7 of 33 | 11 of 14 | 5 of 12 | 20 of 56 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 22 of 37 | 59% | 8 of 19 | 5 of 7 | 9 of 11 | 22 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dominick Reyes | 33 of 68 | 48% | 11 of 46 | 12 of 12 | 10 of 10 | 33 of 68 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 19 of 34 | 55% | 7 of 18 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 19 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dominick Reyes | 26 of 45 | 57% | 7 of 25 | 13 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 23 of 42 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Jon Jones | 20 of 34 | 58% | 8 of 19 | 6 of 8 | 6 of 7 | 17 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Dominick Reyes | 13 of 41 | 31% | 7 of 32 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 40 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Jon Jones | 26 of 34 | 76% | 7 of 13 | 8 of 9 | 11 of 12 | 26 of 34 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dominick Reyes | 21 of 46 | 45% | 9 of 33 | 8 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Daniel Levi picks Jon Jones, citing his unparalleled skill set, fight IQ, and durability. He notes that Jones has a 7-inch reach advantage and gets better as fights go on, while Reyes may fade after the first round. He expects Jones to pick Reyes apart and possibly get a ground-and-pound finish.
The host picks Jon Jones, likely by decision or late finish, citing his reach, kicks, wrestling, and experience. He believes Jones will establish his range and wear down Reyes, who has not faced anyone of Jones' caliber. He plans to parlay Jones with Andrea Lee as his lock of the night play.
The MMA Guru picks Jon Jones to win, noting that Jones has a massive reach advantage and is more focused after time off. He warns not to sleep on Reyes but believes Jones will win. He also suggests betting small on Reyes as an underdog parlay.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 0 | 59 of 90 | 65% | 59 of 90 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Thiago Santos | 0 | 43 of 166 | 25% | 43 of 166 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 7 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Thiago Santos | 0 | 11 of 26 | 42% | 11 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 0 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Thiago Santos | 0 | 7 of 42 | 16% | 7 of 42 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 0 | 14 of 19 | 73% | 14 of 19 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Thiago Santos | 0 | 6 of 33 | 18% | 6 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Jon Jones | 0 | 11 of 17 | 64% | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Thiago Santos | 0 | 8 of 28 | 28% | 8 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Jon Jones | 0 | 16 of 21 | 76% | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Thiago Santos | 0 | 11 of 37 | 29% | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 59 of 90 | 65% | 11 of 32 | 16 of 19 | 32 of 39 | 55 of 84 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Thiago Santos | 43 of 166 | 25% | 9 of 92 | 7 of 21 | 27 of 53 | 42 of 159 | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 7 of 16 | 43% | 0 of 4 | 3 of 5 | 4 of 7 | 7 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Thiago Santos | 11 of 26 | 42% | 3 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 13 | 11 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 11 of 17 | 64% | 2 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 5 of 6 | 10 of 15 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Thiago Santos | 7 of 42 | 16% | 1 of 25 | 2 of 6 | 4 of 11 | 6 of 38 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 14 of 19 | 73% | 4 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 6 of 8 | 11 of 15 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Thiago Santos | 6 of 33 | 18% | 1 of 17 | 1 of 6 | 4 of 10 | 6 of 30 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Jon Jones | 11 of 17 | 64% | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 7 | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Thiago Santos | 8 of 28 | 28% | 0 of 13 | 1 of 5 | 7 of 10 | 8 of 28 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Jon Jones | 16 of 21 | 76% | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 11 | 16 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Thiago Santos | 11 of 37 | 29% | 4 of 25 | 2 of 3 | 5 of 9 | 11 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 0 | 125 of 167 | 74% | 238 of 287 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 0 | 12:58 |
| Anthony Smith | 0 | 36 of 66 | 54% | 45 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 0 | 13 of 25 | 52% | 17 of 29 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:40 |
| Anthony Smith | 0 | 12 of 21 | 57% | 13 of 22 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 0 | 30 of 44 | 68% | 35 of 49 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:45 |
| Anthony Smith | 0 | 14 of 24 | 58% | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 0 | 27 of 30 | 90% | 57 of 60 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 4:21 |
| Anthony Smith | 0 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Jon Jones | 0 | 35 of 39 | 89% | 51 of 58 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:38 |
| Anthony Smith | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Jon Jones | 0 | 20 of 29 | 68% | 78 of 91 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:34 |
| Anthony Smith | 0 | 7 of 17 | 41% | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 125 of 167 | 74% | 45 of 80 | 35 of 40 | 45 of 47 | 64 of 102 | 31 of 34 | 30 of 31 |
| Anthony Smith | 36 of 66 | 54% | 15 of 40 | 9 of 14 | 12 of 12 | 31 of 59 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 13 of 25 | 52% | 1 of 11 | 5 of 7 | 7 of 7 | 12 of 22 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Smith | 12 of 21 | 57% | 1 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 8 | 10 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 30 of 44 | 68% | 6 of 17 | 8 of 10 | 16 of 17 | 28 of 42 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Smith | 14 of 24 | 58% | 8 of 15 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 14 of 24 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 27 of 30 | 90% | 4 of 6 | 10 of 11 | 13 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 17 of 18 | 6 of 6 |
| Anthony Smith | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 of 0 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Jon Jones | 35 of 39 | 89% | 25 of 29 | 9 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 25 |
| Anthony Smith | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Jon Jones | 20 of 29 | 68% | 9 of 17 | 3 of 3 | 8 of 9 | 10 of 19 | 10 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Anthony Smith | 7 of 17 | 41% | 6 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 0 | 59 of 102 | 57% | 63 of 106 | 1 of 5 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Alexander Gustafsson | 0 | 22 of 83 | 26% | 24 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 20 of 37 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexander Gustafsson | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 0 | 27 of 51 | 52% | 27 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Alexander Gustafsson | 0 | 8 of 48 | 16% | 8 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 0 | 13 of 15 | 86% | 16 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:28 |
| Alexander Gustafsson | 0 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 59 of 102 | 57% | 26 of 52 | 15 of 22 | 18 of 28 | 40 of 81 | 7 of 8 | 12 of 13 |
| Alexander Gustafsson | 22 of 83 | 26% | 12 of 62 | 4 of 11 | 6 of 10 | 19 of 80 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 19 of 36 | 52% | 5 of 17 | 7 of 8 | 7 of 11 | 15 of 31 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexander Gustafsson | 13 of 32 | 40% | 4 of 18 | 4 of 6 | 5 of 8 | 10 of 29 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 27 of 51 | 52% | 8 of 20 | 8 of 14 | 11 of 17 | 24 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Alexander Gustafsson | 8 of 48 | 16% | 7 of 42 | 0 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 8 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 13 of 15 | 86% | 13 of 15 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 12 of 13 |
| Alexander Gustafsson | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 58 of 140 | 41% | 60 of 142 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jon Jones | 1 | 95 of 165 | 57% | 95 of 165 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:16 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Cormier | 0 | 31 of 60 | 51% | 31 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jon Jones | 0 | 34 of 66 | 51% | 34 of 66 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 | |
| 2 | Daniel Cormier | 0 | 22 of 54 | 40% | 24 of 56 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jon Jones | 0 | 30 of 47 | 63% | 30 of 47 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Daniel Cormier | 0 | 5 of 26 | 19% | 5 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jon Jones | 1 | 31 of 52 | 59% | 31 of 52 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Cormier | 58 of 140 | 41% | 29 of 99 | 12 of 16 | 17 of 25 | 46 of 123 | 12 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
| Jon Jones | 95 of 165 | 57% | 33 of 74 | 32 of 43 | 30 of 48 | 76 of 142 | 4 of 6 | 15 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Cormier | 31 of 60 | 51% | 13 of 36 | 7 of 9 | 11 of 15 | 26 of 50 | 5 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Jon Jones | 34 of 66 | 51% | 8 of 27 | 13 of 19 | 13 of 20 | 31 of 62 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Daniel Cormier | 22 of 54 | 40% | 14 of 41 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 9 | 17 of 49 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Jon Jones | 30 of 47 | 63% | 7 of 17 | 11 of 14 | 12 of 16 | 29 of 45 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Daniel Cormier | 5 of 26 | 19% | 2 of 22 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 24 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Jon Jones | 31 of 52 | 59% | 18 of 30 | 8 of 10 | 5 of 12 | 16 of 35 | 0 of 0 | 15 of 17 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 0 | 105 of 157 | 66% | 111 of 163 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 3:54 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 0 | 57 of 160 | 35% | 58 of 161 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 0 | 13 of 26 | 50% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 0 | 12 of 31 | 38% | 13 of 32 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 20 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 0 | 17 of 39 | 43% | 17 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 0 | 30 of 46 | 65% | 30 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 0 | 11 of 40 | 27% | 11 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Jon Jones | 0 | 26 of 29 | 89% | 27 of 30 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 0 | 6 of 12 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Jon Jones | 0 | 18 of 28 | 64% | 21 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:13 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 0 | 11 of 38 | 28% | 11 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 105 of 157 | 66% | 35 of 63 | 24 of 29 | 46 of 65 | 76 of 120 | 11 of 18 | 18 of 19 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 57 of 160 | 35% | 29 of 113 | 12 of 23 | 16 of 24 | 46 of 143 | 11 of 17 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 13 of 26 | 50% | 1 of 7 | 7 of 9 | 5 of 10 | 11 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 12 of 31 | 38% | 4 of 16 | 3 of 7 | 5 of 8 | 11 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 18 of 28 | 64% | 4 of 10 | 4 of 4 | 10 of 14 | 13 of 21 | 5 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 17 of 39 | 43% | 12 of 30 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 6 | 10 of 28 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 30 of 46 | 65% | 5 of 12 | 6 of 8 | 19 of 26 | 29 of 44 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 11 of 40 | 27% | 7 of 31 | 2 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 10 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Jon Jones | 26 of 29 | 89% | 19 of 20 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 17 of 18 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 6 of 12 | 50% | 1 of 6 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Jon Jones | 18 of 28 | 64% | 6 of 14 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 11 | 15 of 22 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
| Ovince Saint Preux | 11 of 38 | 28% | 5 of 30 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 4 | 9 of 34 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Stipe Miocic - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 1 | 96 of 119 | 80% | 104 of 128 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:51 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 37 of 89 | 41% | 42 of 94 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 0 | 42 of 48 | 87% | 49 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:37 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 11 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 0 | 20 of 28 | 71% | 20 of 28 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 16 of 37 | 43% | 16 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 1 | 34 of 43 | 79% | 35 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:14 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 15 of 39 | 38% | 15 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon Jones | 96 of 119 | 80% | 70 of 91 | 16 of 18 | 10 of 10 | 54 of 70 | 2 of 3 | 40 of 46 |
| Stipe Miocic | 37 of 89 | 41% | 24 of 75 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 32 of 83 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jon Jones | 42 of 48 | 87% | 36 of 42 | 4 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 37 of 42 |
| Stipe Miocic | 6 of 13 | 46% | 3 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Jon Jones | 20 of 28 | 71% | 9 of 16 | 7 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 19 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 16 of 37 | 43% | 9 of 29 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jon Jones | 34 of 43 | 79% | 25 of 33 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 30 of 37 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 4 |
| Stipe Miocic | 15 of 39 | 38% | 12 of 36 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 11 of 34 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very confident in Jon Jones, citing his all-around greatness, youth, and activity compared to Stipe Miocic, who is a full-time fireman on a four-year layoff. He expects Jones to take Miocic down early and dominate. He thinks Jones should be -1500 and will win easily.
Big Brady picks Jon Jones but expects a slow, disappointing fight. He notes that Stipe Miocic is old and washed, having looked slow against Francis Ngannou four years ago, but he doesn't think Jones will finish him early. He cites Jones' recent lackluster performances against Dominick Reyes and Thiago Santos. He predicts a decision win for Jones and likes the over on 40.5 significant strikes for Jones on PrizePicks.
Cody picks Jon Jones, citing Jones' legendary durability and distance management. He notes Stipe is 43, hasn't fought in 3.5 years, and looked slow against Ngannou. Cody expects Jones to win a 49-46 decision or possibly get a late submission, but sees the fight going the distance. He mentions the over 2.5 rounds as a potential prop.
Connor also picks Jones, emphasizing that Stipe is old and likely shot, and that Jones's wrestling and size will be too much. He notes that Stipe's last performance against Ngannou was poor and he looked aimless. Connor expects Jones to take Stipe down and submit him, possibly after a tentative first round.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jon Jones to win, citing Jones' superior MMA wrestling, takedown defense (95%), reach advantage, and younger age. He believes Jones will use oblique kicks to immobilize Stipe, mix in takedowns, and dictate the pace. He acknowledges Stipe's boxing and wrestling credentials but thinks Jones' overall MMA game is superior. He notes that Stipe hasn't fought since 2021 and may have declined.
Vreeland picks Jones emphatically, calling it tragic that this fight is happening. He notes Stipe hasn't fought anyone well-rounded since 2018, is 42, semi-retired, and was knocked out badly by Ngannou. Vreeland believes Jones will win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and that Stipe will look old when he gets knocked out.
Fox picks Jones, agreeing that Stipe has no chance. He notes Jones is younger, has a reach advantage, and is the better fighter everywhere. Fox expects Jones to win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and thinks Stipe's chin is compromised after the Ngannou KO.
Lucrative James picks Jon Jones to win, citing Stipe Miocic's age (42) and four-year layoff as major concerns. He believes Stipe will look stiff and has lost athleticism, while Jones has an iron chin, superior striking at all ranges, and much better MMA wrestling and grappling. He predicts Jones will win inside the distance, likely within the first two rounds, and notes that Jones can win however he wants if Stipe is a shell of his former self.
The host expects Jones to continue his dominant ways as he did against Gane, getting to his grappling and keeping Miocic on his back. He mentions Jones might use 12-to-6 elbows but ultimately finds the neck and gets a submission victory.
Paul picks Jon Jones, calling it a freak show fight. He argues Jones has fought weak competition and had close fights with lesser opponents, but Stipe is faded and hasn't fought in three years. Paul expects Jones to win by decision, possibly 49-46, and likes the over 2.5 rounds. He notes Jones' distance management and Stipe's age and inactivity.
The MMA Guru picks Jon Jones, expecting a finish in the first or second round. He describes Jones's oblique kicks and clinch work breaking down the 42-year-old Miocic. He predicts a guillotine choke after a takedown, noting Stipe's tendency to scramble into submissions.
Zane picks Jones, noting that Stipe is old and inactive, having not fought in over three years and showing no interest in fighting. He expects a slog for a round or two, then Jones will take Stipe down and finish him via submission or ground-and-pound. Zane mentions Jones's wrestling and size advantage, and that Stipe's chin and durability are questionable at this stage.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 12 of 13 | 92% | 12 of 13 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Stipe Miocic | 2 | 36 of 56 | 64% | 38 of 58 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francis Ngannou | 0 | 8 of 8 | 100% | 8 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 23 of 37 | 62% | 24 of 38 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Francis Ngannou | 0 | 4 of 5 | 80% | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Stipe Miocic | 2 | 13 of 19 | 68% | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francis Ngannou | 12 of 13 | 92% | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 7 | 12 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 36 of 56 | 64% | 28 of 46 | 2 of 4 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 36 | 8 of 8 | 11 of 12 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francis Ngannou | 8 of 8 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 7 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 23 of 37 | 62% | 16 of 28 | 2 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 11 of 24 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 10 | |
| 2 | Francis Ngannou | 4 of 5 | 80% | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 13 of 19 | 68% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 12 | 5 of 5 | 2 of 2 |
Big Brady picks Stipe Miocic to win by fifth-round TKO. He believes Stipe is the more well-rounded fighter with better cardio and fight IQ. He expects Stipe to survive the early rounds by clinching and attempting takedowns to tire Ngannou, then take over as the fight progresses. He notes that Ngannou only landed two significant strikes after the second round in their first fight. However, he acknowledges Ngannou's one-shot knockout power and says he would not bet the fight at current odds.
Cody backs Ngannou, citing his generational power and the fact that he has been training wrestling defense with Kamaru Usman. He believes Ngannou's strategy is to go out and kill his opponent early, and if he lands, it's over. He acknowledges the cardio concerns but thinks Ngannou's durability held up in the first fight and that he has improved mentally since the Lewis loss.
Daniel Levi picks Francis Ngannou to win by first-round knockout. He emphasizes that Ngannou is now focused, has the right team, and has learned from his first fight with Stipe. He notes that Stipe has absorbed over 300 head strikes since their first fight, including a knockout loss, while Ngannou has taken minimal damage. Levi believes Ngannou's power and improved mental approach will lead to a violent finish.
The host believes Stipe Miocic will retain his title by third-round TKO. He notes that Stipe has improved his cardio and fight IQ since their first fight, as seen in the Cormier trilogy. He expects Stipe to use head movement, smart takedown entries to the weak side, and mix in grappling to wear down Ngannou, who he thinks will gas after a round and a half if he doesn't get the knockout. He compares the matchup to Lewis vs Blaydes and Gane vs Rozenstruik, where the more skilled fighter won. He advises that if backing Ngannou, take the KO prop because he won't win by decision.
Paul picks Stipe Miocic, emphasizing his wrestling advantage, cardio advantage, and later-round experience. He notes that Stipe has shown he can take Ngannou's punches and grind him down, as seen in the first fight. He also highlights Stipe's success in rematches, having avenged losses to JDS and Cormier. Paul is confident that if Ngannou doesn't knock him out early, Stipe will take over.
The Guru picks Stipe Miocic, emphasizing that Stipe has improved since the first fight: better footwork, cardio, wrestling, and clinch work from his camps against Daniel Cormier. He argues that Stipe's wrestling is the key difference, as he can take Ngannou down and control him, unlike other heavyweights who tried to stand and trade. He predicts Ngannou will be hesitant and gas out, leading to a TKO in the third or fourth round. He acknowledges the puncher's chance for Ngannou but relies on evidence over guesswork.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 1 | 115 of 187 | 61% | 171 of 244 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 5:52 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 105 of 183 | 57% | 145 of 223 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:53 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 20 of 33 | 60% | 22 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 14 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 1 | 24 of 39 | 61% | 38 of 54 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 26 of 53 | 49% | 26 of 53 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 28 of 48 | 58% | 46 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:53 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 34 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 16 of 32 | 50% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:23 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 30 of 43 | 69% | 41 of 54 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 27 of 35 | 77% | 42 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:27 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 19 of 30 | 63% | 30 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 115 of 187 | 61% | 67 of 136 | 31 of 34 | 17 of 17 | 101 of 169 | 14 of 18 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 105 of 183 | 57% | 70 of 132 | 11 of 24 | 24 of 27 | 95 of 171 | 10 of 12 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 20 of 33 | 60% | 7 of 19 | 7 of 8 | 6 of 6 | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 14 of 25 | 56% | 7 of 14 | 2 of 5 | 5 of 6 | 11 of 22 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 24 of 39 | 61% | 13 of 28 | 7 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 24 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 26 of 53 | 49% | 14 of 36 | 4 of 9 | 8 of 8 | 23 of 50 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 28 of 48 | 58% | 18 of 38 | 8 of 8 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 41 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 16 of 32 | 50% | 13 of 27 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 16 of 32 | 50% | 12 of 26 | 2 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 29 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 30 of 43 | 69% | 21 of 31 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 9 | 29 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Stipe Miocic | 27 of 35 | 77% | 17 of 25 | 7 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 27 | 8 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 19 of 30 | 63% | 15 of 24 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 16 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Big Brady picks Cormier to win by decision, expecting him to implement more wrestling and have better cardio. He thinks Cormier is the better fighter and will fight smarter. He wants to see weigh-ins before betting.
Daniel Levi picks Stipe Miocic to win the trilogy. He argues that Stipe made Cormier work hard in the first fight and that Cormier's pace is unsustainable in championship rounds, especially at age 41 with retirement looming. He notes that Stipe is willing to dig deeper and that body shots have historically troubled Cormier. He also points out that if Cormier wrestles more, it will tire him out faster, leading to a Stipe finish.
Cormier is the better wrestler with superior fight IQ and will use a grapple-heavy approach, taking Miocic down repeatedly and wearing him out. He learned from the second fight where he abandoned his wrestling and gassed out; this time he will chain-wrestle and finish via ground-and-pound in the later rounds. Miocic's gas tank has shown issues when forced to wrestle, as seen in the Ngannou fight, and Cormier's top pressure is crushing.
The MMA Guru picks Stipe Miocic by TKO in the third round. He believes Miocic will start body shots earlier than the second fight and that Cormier won't get away with eye pokes. He dismisses arguments that Cormier will wrestle more, noting Miocic stuffed takedowns in previous fights.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 181 of 263 | 68% | 230 of 317 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:02 |
| Daniel Cormier | 1 | 123 of 229 | 53% | 135 of 244 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 37 of 46 | 80% | 71 of 83 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 56 of 82 | 68% | 59 of 85 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 46 of 82 | 56% | 48 of 84 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:20 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 57 of 86 | 66% | 69 of 100 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 34 of 67 | 50% | 40 of 73 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 1:01 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 31 of 49 | 63% | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Daniel Cormier | 1 | 36 of 67 | 53% | 38 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 181 of 263 | 68% | 162 of 243 | 9 of 9 | 10 of 11 | 139 of 209 | 21 of 27 | 21 of 27 |
| Daniel Cormier | 123 of 229 | 53% | 86 of 188 | 27 of 30 | 10 of 11 | 102 of 195 | 19 of 28 | 2 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 37 of 46 | 80% | 25 of 34 | 7 of 7 | 5 of 5 | 13 of 16 | 3 of 3 | 21 of 27 |
| Daniel Cormier | 7 of 13 | 53% | 3 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 56 of 82 | 68% | 56 of 81 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | 45 of 68 | 11 of 14 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 46 of 82 | 56% | 37 of 72 | 8 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 42 of 76 | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 57 of 86 | 66% | 53 of 82 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 50 of 76 | 7 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 34 of 67 | 50% | 28 of 61 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 24 of 50 | 10 of 17 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 31 of 49 | 63% | 28 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 31 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Daniel Cormier | 36 of 67 | 53% | 18 of 47 | 14 of 16 | 4 of 4 | 30 of 57 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 5 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Cormier | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 29 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Stipe Miocic | 1 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 31 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Cormier | 0 | 24 of 51 | 47% | 29 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Stipe Miocic | 1 | 25 of 37 | 67% | 31 of 43 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Cormier | 24 of 51 | 47% | 15 of 41 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 42 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 25 of 37 | 67% | 20 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 19 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Daniel Cormier | 24 of 51 | 47% | 15 of 41 | 6 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 42 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Stipe Miocic | 25 of 37 | 67% | 20 of 30 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 6 | 19 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 4 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 70 of 95 | 73% | 200 of 244 | 6 of 14 | 42% | 0 | 0 | 15:02 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 21 of 113 | 18% | 33 of 126 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 24 of 33 | 2 of 5 | 40% | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 15 of 62 | 24% | 18 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 17 of 24 | 70% | 29 of 37 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 2:17 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 4 of 27 | 14% | 4 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 12 of 16 | 75% | 47 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:47 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 1 of 8 | 12% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 18 of 21 | 85% | 82 of 95 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:39 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 5 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 7 of 9 | 77% | 18 of 21 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:22 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 | 1 of 13 | 7% | 4 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 70 of 95 | 73% | 45 of 67 | 9 of 11 | 16 of 17 | 37 of 52 | 5 of 6 | 28 of 37 |
| Francis Ngannou | 21 of 113 | 18% | 17 of 106 | 4 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 19 of 105 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 16 of 25 | 64% | 13 of 22 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 19 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 4 |
| Francis Ngannou | 15 of 62 | 24% | 14 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 55 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Stipe Miocic | 17 of 24 | 70% | 7 of 13 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 14 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 |
| Francis Ngannou | 4 of 27 | 14% | 2 of 23 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 27 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Stipe Miocic | 12 of 16 | 75% | 8 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 4 | 4 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 9 |
| Francis Ngannou | 1 of 8 | 12% | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Stipe Miocic | 18 of 21 | 85% | 15 of 18 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 17 of 20 |
| Francis Ngannou | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Stipe Miocic | 7 of 9 | 77% | 2 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 7 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Francis Ngannou | 1 of 13 | 7% | 0 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 1 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 1 | 26 of 56 | 46% | 26 of 56 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Junior dos Santos | 0 | 12 of 18 | 66% | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 26 of 56 | 46% | 23 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 13 |
| Junior dos Santos | 12 of 18 | 66% | 4 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 26 of 56 | 46% | 23 of 50 | 0 of 2 | 3 of 4 | 15 of 39 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 13 |
| Junior dos Santos | 12 of 18 | 66% | 4 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 0 | 34 of 60 | 56% | 34 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:06 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 0 | 34 of 60 | 56% | 34 of 60 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Alistair Overeem | 1 | 9 of 17 | 52% | 9 of 17 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:06 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stipe Miocic | 34 of 60 | 56% | 31 of 55 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 36 | 6 of 9 | 12 of 15 |
| Alistair Overeem | 9 of 17 | 52% | 5 of 10 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stipe Miocic | 34 of 60 | 56% | 31 of 55 | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 16 of 36 | 6 of 9 | 12 of 15 |
| Alistair Overeem | 9 of 17 | 52% | 5 of 10 | 3 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 14 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (12)
Angelo is very confident in Jon Jones, citing his all-around greatness, youth, and activity compared to Stipe Miocic, who is a full-time fireman on a four-year layoff. He expects Jones to take Miocic down early and dominate. He thinks Jones should be -1500 and will win easily.
Big Brady picks Jon Jones but expects a slow, disappointing fight. He notes that Stipe Miocic is old and washed, having looked slow against Francis Ngannou four years ago, but he doesn't think Jones will finish him early. He cites Jones' recent lackluster performances against Dominick Reyes and Thiago Santos. He predicts a decision win for Jones and likes the over on 40.5 significant strikes for Jones on PrizePicks.
Cody picks Jon Jones, citing Jones' legendary durability and distance management. He notes Stipe is 43, hasn't fought in 3.5 years, and looked slow against Ngannou. Cody expects Jones to win a 49-46 decision or possibly get a late submission, but sees the fight going the distance. He mentions the over 2.5 rounds as a potential prop.
Connor also picks Jones, emphasizing that Stipe is old and likely shot, and that Jones's wrestling and size will be too much. He notes that Stipe's last performance against Ngannou was poor and he looked aimless. Connor expects Jones to take Stipe down and submit him, possibly after a tentative first round.
Vreeland picks Jones emphatically, calling it tragic that this fight is happening. He notes Stipe hasn't fought anyone well-rounded since 2018, is 42, semi-retired, and was knocked out badly by Ngannou. Vreeland believes Jones will win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and that Stipe will look old when he gets knocked out.
Daniel Vreeland picks Jon Jones to win, citing Jones' superior MMA wrestling, takedown defense (95%), reach advantage, and younger age. He believes Jones will use oblique kicks to immobilize Stipe, mix in takedowns, and dictate the pace. He acknowledges Stipe's boxing and wrestling credentials but thinks Jones' overall MMA game is superior. He notes that Stipe hasn't fought since 2021 and may have declined.
Fox picks Jones, agreeing that Stipe has no chance. He notes Jones is younger, has a reach advantage, and is the better fighter everywhere. Fox expects Jones to win by knockout, possibly with a 12-to-6 elbow, and thinks Stipe's chin is compromised after the Ngannou KO.
Lucrative James picks Jon Jones to win, citing Stipe Miocic's age (42) and four-year layoff as major concerns. He believes Stipe will look stiff and has lost athleticism, while Jones has an iron chin, superior striking at all ranges, and much better MMA wrestling and grappling. He predicts Jones will win inside the distance, likely within the first two rounds, and notes that Jones can win however he wants if Stipe is a shell of his former self.
The host expects Jones to continue his dominant ways as he did against Gane, getting to his grappling and keeping Miocic on his back. He mentions Jones might use 12-to-6 elbows but ultimately finds the neck and gets a submission victory.
Paul picks Jon Jones, calling it a freak show fight. He argues Jones has fought weak competition and had close fights with lesser opponents, but Stipe is faded and hasn't fought in three years. Paul expects Jones to win by decision, possibly 49-46, and likes the over 2.5 rounds. He notes Jones' distance management and Stipe's age and inactivity.
The MMA Guru picks Jon Jones, expecting a finish in the first or second round. He describes Jones's oblique kicks and clinch work breaking down the 42-year-old Miocic. He predicts a guillotine choke after a takedown, noting Stipe's tendency to scramble into submissions.
Zane picks Jones, noting that Stipe is old and inactive, having not fought in over three years and showing no interest in fighting. He expects a slog for a round or two, then Jones will take Stipe down and finish him via submission or ground-and-pound. Zane mentions Jones's wrestling and size advantage, and that Stipe's chin and durability are questionable at this stage.
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