Career Averages - Viviane Araújo
Career Averages - Karine Silva
Viviane Araújo
Karine Silva
Viviane Araújo - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 22 of 51 | 43% | 39 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:43 |
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 65 of 103 | 63% | 102 of 143 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 1 | 1 | 8:17 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 5 of 13 | 38% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:43 |
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 15 of 20 | 75% | 23 of 28 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 1 | 1 | 2:52 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 12 of 29 | 41% | 17 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 20 of 43 | 46% | 25 of 49 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 5 of 9 | 55% | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Tracy Cortez | 0 | 30 of 40 | 75% | 54 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:10 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 22 of 51 | 43% | 16 of 45 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 48 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Tracy Cortez | 65 of 103 | 63% | 53 of 82 | 8 of 14 | 4 of 7 | 24 of 53 | 2 of 5 | 39 of 45 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 5 of 13 | 38% | 3 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 10 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Tracy Cortez | 15 of 20 | 75% | 10 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 12 of 13 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 12 of 29 | 41% | 8 of 25 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 12 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tracy Cortez | 20 of 43 | 46% | 15 of 33 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 15 of 36 | 1 of 3 | 4 of 4 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 5 of 9 | 55% | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Tracy Cortez | 30 of 40 | 75% | 28 of 35 | 1 of 3 | 1 of 2 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 23 of 28 |
Angelo slightly picks Tracy Cortez because he expects her grappling to wear down Viviane Araújo as the fight goes on, given Araújo's cardio fades and she is 38 years old. He acknowledges that Araújo is the better striker and has good takedown defense, but thinks Cortez can grind out a win. He also suggests the over on the round line is a safe bet, noting that women's fights often go over.
Big Brady thinks Cortez is the better striker and younger, and expects the fight to take place at distance where Cortez will outland Araújo. He notes Araújo has been outlanded at distance in recent fights and is 38 years old. Brady believes Cortez can also mix in takedowns. However, he is surprised by the -230 line, thinking it's too wide, but still picks Cortez to win by decision.
The host is leaning Cortez, believing her wrestling will break down Araújo and lead to dominant second and third rounds, winning on the scorecards.
The host picks Tracy Cortez but is hesitant, expecting a close competitive decision. He notes that Cortez has crisper boxing while Araújo is more well-rounded, and that the fight is likely to be a 29-28 decision. He is tempted by Araújo's underdog odds but ultimately goes with Cortez, believing the judges will favor her in a close fight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 48 of 85 | 56% | 105 of 152 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 58 of 132 | 43% | 76 of 155 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 | 0 | 3:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 22 of 65 | 33% | 22 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 49 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 16 of 20 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 2:37 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 36 of 55 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 25 of 52 | 48% | 38 of 70 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 48 of 85 | 56% | 34 of 70 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 10 | 41 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
| Karine Silva | 58 of 132 | 43% | 26 of 83 | 10 of 19 | 22 of 30 | 45 of 117 | 11 of 13 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 17 of 30 | 56% | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Karine Silva | 22 of 65 | 33% | 10 of 43 | 1 of 6 | 11 of 16 | 21 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 14 of 25 | 56% | 11 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
| Karine Silva | 11 of 15 | 73% | 8 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 17 of 30 | 56% | 10 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Karine Silva | 25 of 52 | 48% | 8 of 29 | 7 of 10 | 10 of 13 | 17 of 42 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-258), Araujo (+210)
Round 1
It’s a battle of momentum as the main card rails on, with Araujo (12-6, 6-5 UFC) struggling at the upper echelon of the flyweight division as of late. The same cannot be said for the younger Silva (18-4, 4-0 UFC), who has cruised through opposition with three subs in her four UFC wins to date. Referee Marc Goddard draws the charge for this 125-pound contest, and it kicks off as the ladies touch ‘em up. Silva marches forward behind a front kick to start, and she aims it a few more times to keep Araujo away from her. Silva uses it to try to close the distance and wrap up her opponent, but Araujo gets away. Silva slaps her with a leg kick, and a second is met with a one-two. Silva crashes the pocket and gets off a leg kick, and she whiffs with a huge overhand right. Araujo splits the guard with a right hand, and Silva pays it no mind and keeps plodding onward. Silva sticks out a jab, and Araujo puts three punches on her before sliding to the side. Silva crashes forward, and Araujo is able to wriggle away before getting clinched. Silva kicks at the front leg and is countered by her fellow countrywoman, and she keeps chasing until getting tagged with a straight right hand. Silva again shakes off the strong strike and trades a low kick with her foe. Araujo steps to the side and sinks in a right hand around the guard, and she stays away from a number of inaccurate kicks. Silva does reach her with a low kick, and the high kick that follows is easily blocked. Araujo moves from side to side, not falling into a pattern and easily shrugging off a Silva shot. Araujo rings her opponent’s bell with a one-two, and Silva does not slow with her constant kick approach. Silva gets off a left hand, and the swings that follow all go wide. Silva paws out with a big right hand, clubbing “Vivi” on the side of the dome. A second shakes Araujo up further, and Silva stalks her down and hits her a third time. Araujo strikes back, and is warned for outstretched fingers. The horn sounds as Silva rushes into attack, and they crash heads together when Goddard grabs them, resulting in a bloody nose for Araujo.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Araujo
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 2
Silva starts off the round as aggressive as ever, with her front kick immediately drawing more blood from Araujo’s nose. Araujo rushes into action, fighting behind several punch combinations that all connect before Silva can strike back. Araujo hammers the front leg with a kick, and Silva runs towards her and gets hold of her against the fencing. Araujo escapes before absorbing anything of note, but blood is trickling out of that nose quicker than before. Araujo backs Silva off with a one-two, and a second two-strike combo finds the mark as Silva rushes towards her. Silva blasts Araujo in the face with an overhand right, and Araujo backs up into the wall and has no way to escape the second that catches her cleanly. When Silva tries to use the close proximity to take the fight down, Araujo repeatedly grabs the fence to keep herself afloat. Silva sells out for a throw, and Araujo turns her around. Silva uses the body lock to lower Araujo to the floor, her own nose bloodied as well. Araujo gets busy off her back with punches, and she throws her legs up and grabs hold of an armbar. Araujo rolls to her stomach and flips Silva over, and she goes belly-down to almost complete the submission. Silva keeps pushing through it, turning the proper direction to survive the maneuver and reposition herself to side control. With Araujo’s nose busted, she gasps for air with her mouth open. Silva transitions her way to north-south position, and she wraps up a brabo choke when Araujo sits up. Silva rolls to her back to lock things up, and Araujo fights her arms and pushes off the knee to get some space. Araujo turns through it to get into north-south, and she considers wrapping up an armbar or another armlock. Araujo opens it up with several unblocked punches, ending the round sitting on Silva’s face but not in a fun way.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Araujo
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Araujo
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 3
The Brazilians hug it out to begin the last round, with scores possibly all over the map. Silva marches forward and shoots in for a takedown with Araujo jabbing her, and the ensuing scramble results in Araujo winding up on top somehow. A bit of blood on both women plus fatigue equals strange positioning. Araujo bails on the position and backs off, allowing Silva to stand. Araujo backs off and lands a low kick and a right hand, and Silva jabs her back in the midsection. Araujo reaches out with a right hand over the top, and Silva’s responses are labored and flailing. Araujo catches a front kick and tosses Silva to her back, with Silva appearing to flop to her back in part due to exhaustion. Silva puts her hands behind her head, with Araujo kicking her legs until Goddard stands her up. Araujo leans back from a head kick to boot Silva in the ribs, and they trade kicks until Araujo drills her with an uppercut. Silva plods forward and absorbs a solid right hand, and she takes a step back and launches several front kicks that all come up short. Araujo kicks the front leg, and she catches a kick her direction and tosses Silva to the mat. Silva again needs Goddard to get between them and let her up, and the fans in the building do not approve of Silva’s strategy. Silva walks into punches and kicks, her face swelling up with a mouse growing on her forehead. Silva’s front kick is swatted away, and she flops to her back. Araujo tells her to stand back up, and she watches Silva’s labored punches soar past her. Silva uses them to get hold of Araujo, and she drives a knee into her jaw. Silva gloms onto her opponent in the clinch, with the occasional knee coming until Araujo head-and-arm throws her to the ground. Silva lands strangely with her head squished against the cage floor and wall, and she is held there until the strange fight closes. Judges may have their hands full here.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Araujo (30-27 Araujo)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Araujo (29-28 Araujo)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Araujo (29-28 Silva)
The Official Result
Viviane Araujo def. Karine Silva via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Karine Silva, noting her powerful grappling and constant submission threats. He acknowledges Viviane Araújo is tough with good takedown defense, but believes Silva will get timely takedowns. He finds the -265 odds too steep to bet and is unsure about prop bets due to Silva's finishing rate.
Big Brady picks Karine Silva, noting that Viviane Araújo is older and slowing down. He acknowledges Araújo's elite takedown defense and good striking volume, but believes Silva has more power and can get takedowns. He thinks Silva's cardio is better than Araújo's, who has slowed in many fights. He predicts a decision win for Silva, though he admits the line is too wide.
Cody picks Karine Silva, citing her grappling advantage and ability to take down and neutralize opponents. He notes Araújo is 38 and has been taken down by lesser grapplers, but Silva's striking is not great and she may struggle to finish. Cody expects a decision win for Silva, possibly by submission if she gets the neck.
Connor also picks Silva, agreeing that she has more dynamic moments and can out-wrestle Araújo. He notes that Araújo's striking is predictable and she struggles against athletic opponents. Connor thinks Silva's reactive takedowns and submission threat will be key.
Vreeland picks Silva because Araújo has struggled against younger, faster opponents. He notes Araújo's only recent win was over Jennifer Maia due to a speed advantage, but Silva is not slower. Silva has good volume, speed, and grappling, including a dangerous guillotine. Vreeland thinks Silva's all-around game will be too much for Araújo.
Daniel Vreeland picks Karine Silva, citing her dominance in getting fights to the mat and her submission threats. He acknowledges Araújo's takedown defense and striking output but believes Silva's assertiveness and ability to dictate the pace will lead to a win. He does not confidently predict a submission but expects Silva to control the fight.
Fox picks Silva, calling her 'killer' and noting she is good everywhere and finishes fights. He agrees with Vreeland that Silva is the better fighter and expects her to win.
Lucrative James picks Karine Silva confidently, noting she is on an upward trajectory while Araújo is declining. He believes Silva has sharper BJJ and can capitalize on Araújo's takedown attempts to take the back or snatch a front choke. He also thinks Silva can land a knockdown on the feet, as Araújo gets hurt often. He predicts Silva wins inside the distance, though a close decision is possible. He sees value in Silva at -275 compared to Oliveira at the same odds.
The host thinks Silva is not as good as the odds suggest but believes her eventual grappling approach in the second and third rounds will wear out Araújo, who may have early striking success. He predicts Silva grinds it out, possibly getting a submission but officially wins by decision.
Paul leans toward Karine Silva but has reservations. He notes Silva's grappling is solid but she lacks ground and pound, and Araújo has never been submitted. Paul thinks the fight could be competitive and might go to a split decision, so he's considering a split decision prop. He's not confident enough to bet heavily.
The MMA Guru picks Viviane Araújo as an underdog, not sold on Karine Silva's hype. He notes Araújo's competitive fights with Natalia Silva and Alexa Grasso, and believes she can survive Silva's grappling. He doubts Silva's finishing ability.
Zane picks Silva, noting that both fighters are processless but Silva has more dynamic opportunities. He thinks Silva's speed and opportunistic grappling can catch Araújo, who is one-dimensional and losing athleticism. Zane believes Silva has a better chance of finishing or winning rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 0 | 26 of 67 | 38% | 63 of 110 | 1 of 9 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 6:01 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 38 of 128 | 29% | 65 of 157 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 0 | 8 of 15 | 53% | 36 of 43 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 3:31 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 8 of 32 | 25% | 16 of 40 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 18 of 35 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 12 of 38 | 31% | 22 of 48 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 0 | 9 of 31 | 29% | 9 of 32 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 18 of 58 | 31% | 27 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natália Silva | 26 of 67 | 38% | 20 of 58 | 1 of 3 | 5 of 6 | 25 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 38 of 128 | 29% | 24 of 103 | 8 of 16 | 6 of 9 | 38 of 128 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Natália Silva | 8 of 15 | 53% | 6 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 8 of 32 | 25% | 5 of 26 | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 32 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Natália Silva | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 12 of 38 | 31% | 10 of 33 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 3 | 12 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Natália Silva | 9 of 31 | 29% | 8 of 27 | 0 of 2 | 1 of 2 | 9 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 18 of 58 | 31% | 9 of 44 | 5 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 18 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo is very high on Natália Silva, calling her a potential top-five fighter. He notes her footwork, takedown defense (92%), and power that carries into later rounds. He believes she will outclass Viviane Araújo everywhere and get the win.
Big Brady picks Natália Silva to win by decision. He notes that Silva is 10 years younger and has better cardio, while Araújo slows down significantly as fights go on. He expects the fight to be competitive early, possibly with Araújo trying to wrestle, but Silva will take over as the fight progresses and win a decision.
Cody picks Silva, praising her evolution and athleticism. He notes Araújo's cardio issues and inconsistency, expecting Silva to win a decision or possibly get a late finish. He likes Silva by decision prop to avoid the heavy moneyline.
Silva has looked unstoppable in the UFC with her lateral movement, kicks from distance, and submissions off her back. Araújo is a crisp striker early but fades as fights go on, and Silva's volume and output should allow her to win a decision. The host suggests playing Silva live if Araújo wins round one, or using her as a parlay piece.
Paul picks Silva by KO, taking a small stab at +540. He notes Silva's power and Araújo's toughness but thinks Silva's evolving skill set can get the finish. He acknowledges the moneyline is too steep.
The MMA Guru picks Natália Silva over Viviane Araújo, despite a bizarre tangent about fighters' relationship status. He acknowledges Araújo is good but believes Silva has the skill level to make something happen. He notes Silva's wins over Jasmine Jasudavicius, Mayra Bueno Silva, and Andrea Lee, and thinks Araújo may be on the downswing. He predicts a decision win for Silva.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 41 of 101 | 40% | 60 of 126 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 24 of 46 | 52% | 64 of 100 | 2 of 6 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 7:03 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 24 of 58 | 41% | 28 of 63 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 14 of 30 | 46% | 14 of 30 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 8 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 24 of 35 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 4:35 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 17 of 38 | 44% | 24 of 45 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:25 |
| Jennifer Maia | 0 | 8 of 14 | 57% | 26 of 35 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 41 of 101 | 40% | 29 of 87 | 2 of 4 | 10 of 10 | 31 of 88 | 10 of 13 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 24 of 46 | 52% | 15 of 36 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 5 | 22 of 43 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 24 of 58 | 41% | 15 of 48 | 2 of 3 | 7 of 7 | 21 of 54 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 14 of 30 | 46% | 8 of 23 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 4 | 13 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 2 of 2 | 100% | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 17 of 38 | 44% | 14 of 34 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 29 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Jennifer Maia | 8 of 14 | 57% | 5 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
Angelo is very confident in Jennifer Maia, calling her at -141 a great deal. He thinks she is better everywhere except raw takedowns, and expects her to weather Araújo's early storm, take over striking, and win a decision due to superior cardio. He already placed a unit on her and expects the line to widen.
Big Brady picks Viviane Araújo with little confidence. He likes her striking and wrestling advantage early, but worries about her poor cardio and durability. He expects Araújo to win the first round, Maia the third, and the fight to go to a close decision that could be affected by judges.
Cody picks Araújo, citing her superior speed and technique. He notes that at her best, she is faster and cleaner than Maia, and can mix in takedowns to steal rounds. He acknowledges her past cardio issues but believes she has corrected them in recent fights, pointing to her performances against Andrea Lee and Alexa Grasso. He expects a 15-minute fight and thinks Araújo can win two of three rounds.
The host picks Jennifer Maia, citing her superior experience, cardio, and ability to withstand Araújo's early striking. He expects Maia to take over in the second and third rounds, possibly using takedowns to wear on Araújo. He predicts a decision win for Maia.
Paul leans towards Maia based on her high volume in recent fights (109 and 145 significant strikes). He acknowledges Araújo's takedown threat but notes that judges now require control time and damage from top position. He expects a close decision and thinks Maia's volume will edge it. He also mentions the over 2.5 rounds at -450 as a potential play.
The MMA Guru picks Jennifer Maia over Viviane Araújo. He thinks Maia has better boxing and is scrappier. He notes Araújo is on a two-fight losing streak and didn't look good against Amanda Ribas, while Maia is on a two-fight winning streak, including a win over Casey O'Neill. He expects a decision win for Maia, calling it a coin flip but leaning her way due to momentum.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 0 | 46 of 115 | 40% | 86 of 162 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 98 of 183 | 53% | 205 of 320 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 8:20 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 35 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 31 of 71 | 43% | 48 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:25 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 4 of 8 | 50% | 15 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 9 of 15 | 60% | 81 of 112 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 4:40 | |
| 3 | Amanda Ribas | 0 | 24 of 59 | 40% | 36 of 73 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 58 of 97 | 59% | 76 of 117 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amanda Ribas | 46 of 115 | 40% | 37 of 105 | 5 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 45 of 114 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Viviane Araújo | 98 of 183 | 53% | 71 of 149 | 11 of 16 | 16 of 18 | 93 of 176 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amanda Ribas | 18 of 48 | 37% | 13 of 42 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 31 of 71 | 43% | 20 of 58 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 9 | 31 of 70 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Amanda Ribas | 4 of 8 | 50% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Viviane Araújo | 9 of 15 | 60% | 7 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 9 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 6 | |
| 3 | Amanda Ribas | 24 of 59 | 40% | 21 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 24 of 59 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 58 of 97 | 59% | 44 of 78 | 6 of 11 | 8 of 8 | 58 of 97 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Amanda Ribas, citing her faster striking and better cardio. He notes that Viviane Araújo is more dangerous early but fades as the fight goes on. Angelo believes Ribas can point her way to a decision if she stays on the outside and works her striking.
Big Brady picks Viviane Araújo but is hesitant due to her cardio issues. He notes she has 90% takedown defense and is the better striker, but she tends to slow down after the first round. He predicts a 29-28 decision for Araújo, acknowledging Ribas may take the third round.
Cody picks Araújo, believing her takedown defense and striking will be enough to keep the fight standing and win rounds. He notes her cardio issues but thinks she can win two of three rounds. He sees value at plus money.
Connor picks Viviane Araújo, believing her improved striking and range management will allow her to outwork Ribas. He notes that Ribas's striking is technically poor and she relies on aggression and transitions, but Araújo's takedown defense is solid and she is a better athlete. Connor thinks Ribas will struggle to get the fight to the ground and will be picked apart on the feet.
Jacob picks Amanda Ribas but is scared, noting that Araújo is dangerous early and hits hard. He believes Ribas can take over in the second and third rounds as Araújo's cardio fades. Jacob does not have a straight bet on Ribas due to the risk.
Araújo is a solid striker with good power and leg kicks. Ribas has average striking and gets flustered against better strikers. Araújo's takedown defense should hold up, keeping the fight standing where she has the advantage, and she wins a decision.
Paul picks Ribas, citing her youth and takedown ability. He thinks she can get takedowns and control the fight. He acknowledges it's a close fight and won't bet it, but for picks he goes with Ribas.
The MMA Guru picks Amanda Ribas, citing her youth and potential versus Araújo's age. He believes Ribas has a submission advantage and a better chin, predicting a close 29-28 decision.
Zane also picks Araújo, agreeing that her improved striking and ability to stay at range will be key. He notes that Ribas's best wins are against lower-level competition and that her grappling success may not translate against Araújo's strong takedown defense. Zane adds that Araújo is more accurate and self-contained, and Ribas's aggressive style will leave her open to counters.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 0 | 153 of 311 | 49% | 193 of 353 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 126 of 264 | 47% | 148 of 288 | 2 of 10 | 20% | 0 | 0 | 3:29 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 32 of 66 | 48% | 33 of 67 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 27 of 52 | 51% | 30 of 55 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:29 | |
| 2 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 38 of 73 | 52% | 57 of 92 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 20 of 50 | 40% | 26 of 56 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:38 | |
| 3 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 34 of 64 | 53% | 34 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 30 of 54 | 55% | 30 of 54 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 4 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 24 of 47 | 51% | 36 of 59 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 25 of 56 | 44% | 30 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 | |
| 5 | Alexa Grasso | 0 | 25 of 61 | 40% | 33 of 71 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 24 of 52 | 46% | 32 of 61 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:33 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Grasso | 153 of 311 | 49% | 101 of 243 | 33 of 45 | 19 of 23 | 143 of 298 | 9 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
| Viviane Araújo | 126 of 264 | 47% | 103 of 235 | 17 of 22 | 6 of 7 | 124 of 261 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alexa Grasso | 32 of 66 | 48% | 24 of 55 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 4 | 30 of 63 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 27 of 52 | 51% | 23 of 47 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 27 of 52 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Alexa Grasso | 38 of 73 | 52% | 26 of 60 | 8 of 9 | 4 of 4 | 37 of 71 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 1 |
| Viviane Araújo | 20 of 50 | 40% | 15 of 44 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | 18 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Alexa Grasso | 34 of 64 | 53% | 20 of 45 | 9 of 13 | 5 of 6 | 34 of 64 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 30 of 54 | 55% | 25 of 48 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 30 of 54 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 4 | Alexa Grasso | 24 of 47 | 51% | 15 of 36 | 5 of 7 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 42 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 25 of 56 | 44% | 19 of 50 | 5 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 25 of 56 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 5 | Alexa Grasso | 25 of 61 | 40% | 16 of 47 | 6 of 9 | 3 of 5 | 22 of 58 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 24 of 52 | 46% | 21 of 46 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 2 | 24 of 51 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Alexa Grasso, emphasizing her takedown defense (60% but effective against top wrestlers like Carla Esparza) and striking volume. He notes that Viviane Araújo is a grappler who can strike but has a negative striking differential and conditioning issues. He believes Grasso will defend enough takedowns to out-strike Araújo and win a decision, especially as Araújo fades in later rounds.
Big Brady picks Alexa Grasso to win by decision. He cites the five-round distance as the key factor, noting that Araújo fades in three-round fights due to her high-energy style. He expects Araújo to have early success but fade in rounds 3-5, allowing Grasso to take over. He says he would consider Araújo in a three-round fight but not at five rounds. He will not bet this fight.
Cody picks Grasso to win, likely by decision, citing her superior volume and improved grappling. He notes that Araújo has low volume and may struggle in a five-round fight, but the price at -225 is steep. He also likes the over 90.5 significant strikes prop on PrizePicks, as Grasso has reached that in three-round fights and this is five rounds.
Connor also picks Grasso, emphasizing that since the Harig loss, wrestling has been the main problem for Grasso, but Araujo can get one-tracked and lose to fighters like Jessica Eye. He thinks Grasso can create enough challenge to make Araujo fall into traps. He notes that Grasso has had inconsistent performances but still favors her.
Grasso has youth, cardio, footwork, and combination striking advantages. Araújo has power but tends to slow down in later rounds, and this is a five-round fight. Grasso trains at altitude and has shown great cardio, while Araújo's best path is an early KO. Grasso should take over after the first round and win by decision, possibly finding a late finish. The host mentions being the 'women's MMA whisperer' and is confident in Grasso despite the chalky line.
Paul sees this as a great live betting opportunity. He thinks Araújo may have early success with takedowns and physicality, but her cardio is suspect at 35 and in her first five-round fight. He notes that Araújo has tired in third rounds historically, and Grasso's output should win out over five rounds. He picks Grasso by decision but doesn't love it.
The MMA Guru picks Alexa Grasso, acknowledging that 90% of people are picking her. He likes Araújo as an underdog but believes in Grasso's improvements, especially her hands. He notes Grasso's first-round finish over Joanne Calderwood and win over Maycee Barber. He predicts a technical boxing match with Grasso stuffing takedowns and winning the first three rounds, ultimately 48-47 by decision.
Zane picks Grasso, citing her sharper punching and ability to land cleaner shots over five rounds. He notes that Grasso has been putting together nice combination counters in the pocket, similar to Robert Whittaker, and that Araujo is very hittable. He acknowledges Araujo's wrestling and grappling could be a factor but believes Grasso's scrambling and clinch work will be enough to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 39 of 79 | 49% | 96 of 160 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 2 | 0 | 10:40 |
| Andrea Lee | 1 | 47 of 82 | 57% | 64 of 103 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:48 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 18 of 34 | 52% | 31 of 48 | 2 of 4 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:48 |
| Andrea Lee | 1 | 25 of 51 | 49% | 29 of 55 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:26 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 14 of 27 | 51% | 48 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 4:26 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 9 of 10 | 90% | 13 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 7 of 18 | 38% | 17 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:26 |
| Andrea Lee | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 22 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:22 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 39 of 79 | 49% | 25 of 63 | 9 of 11 | 5 of 5 | 32 of 66 | 0 of 0 | 7 of 13 |
| Andrea Lee | 47 of 82 | 57% | 34 of 65 | 9 of 13 | 4 of 4 | 36 of 64 | 7 of 11 | 4 of 7 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 18 of 34 | 52% | 11 of 26 | 5 of 6 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 31 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Andrea Lee | 25 of 51 | 49% | 19 of 42 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 34 | 6 of 10 | 4 of 7 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 14 of 27 | 51% | 10 of 22 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 9 |
| Andrea Lee | 9 of 10 | 90% | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 9 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 7 of 18 | 38% | 4 of 15 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 7 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
| Andrea Lee | 13 of 21 | 61% | 10 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Cody picks Andrea Lee, noting her improved takedown defense and cardio. He thinks Araújo has cardio issues and fades in the third round. He believes Lee will push the pace, tire Araújo out, and win by volume. He mentions Lee's training with Tony Kelley and her social media showing hard work.
Paul is cautious, warning that Araújo is more of a wrestler and Lee's takedown defense is her kryptonite. He says it could be a situation where Araújo takes Lee down and holds top control, making it risky. He advises not putting this on a top ticket.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 127 of 292 | 43% | 135 of 300 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 89 of 196 | 45% | 129 of 238 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 1 | 0 | 3:04 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 37 of 91 | 40% | 43 of 97 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 32 of 56 | 57% | 36 of 60 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 35 of 76 | 46% | 37 of 78 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 22 of 48 | 45% | 58 of 86 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:06 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 0 | 55 of 125 | 44% | 55 of 125 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 35 of 92 | 38% | 35 of 92 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katlyn Cerminara | 127 of 292 | 43% | 87 of 236 | 31 of 46 | 9 of 10 | 121 of 286 | 6 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 89 of 196 | 45% | 60 of 162 | 24 of 29 | 5 of 5 | 85 of 192 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katlyn Cerminara | 37 of 91 | 40% | 21 of 67 | 13 of 20 | 3 of 4 | 33 of 87 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 32 of 56 | 57% | 17 of 38 | 13 of 16 | 2 of 2 | 29 of 53 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Katlyn Cerminara | 35 of 76 | 46% | 24 of 62 | 9 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 34 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 22 of 48 | 45% | 19 of 45 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 48 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Katlyn Cerminara | 55 of 125 | 44% | 42 of 107 | 9 of 14 | 4 of 4 | 54 of 124 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Viviane Araújo | 35 of 92 | 38% | 24 of 79 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 34 of 91 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Araújo is the better striker with higher volume and power. She also has takedown ability and a black belt in BJJ. Cerminara gets outlanded in most fights and relies on noise to sway judges, but with a crowd that won't work. Araújo's cardio is a concern, but she has been improving. I think she wins a decision.
Cody agrees with Paul, picking Chookagian. He emphasizes that Araújo has poor cardio and gives up takedowns when tired. Cody believes Chookagian's improved wrestling and defensive grappling will allow her to control the fight. He notes that Chookagian's volume and ability to stay on the outside will be effective.
Daniel Levi picks Viviane Araújo as a dog, citing her power, explosiveness, and footwork. He notes that Chookagian struggles when pressured and that Araújo can land big overhand rights. However, he is concerned about Araújo's cardio and whether she can maintain output for three rounds. Levi thinks it's a close fight and a dog-or-pass situation, but leans toward Araújo for a split decision.
The host is confident in Chookagian, citing her endless cardio, movement, and volume. He thinks she will stay on her bicycle, jab, and leg kick, making Araújo uncomfortable and causing her to gas. He notes Araújo's takedown defense is good but Chookagian's style should nullify her. He predicts a decision win and calls minus 135 a great line.
Paul picks Chookagian, noting that she only loses to the elite and has improved her wrestling and grappling. He highlights that Araújo has cardio issues and gives up takedowns when tired. Paul expects Chookagian to use her wrestling to neutralize Araújo's physicality and win the later rounds. He mentions that Chookagian's volume and defensive wrestling will be key.
The MMA Guru picks Katlyn Cerminara over Viviane Araújo, praising Cerminara's underrated skills and her performance against Valentina Shevchenko. He notes Araújo lacks finishing ability and believes Cerminara's grappling and range will be key. He predicts a 29-28 unanimous decision.
Karine Silva - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 18 of 76 | 23% | 72 of 138 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 8:09 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 15 of 43 | 34% | 88 of 127 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 1 of 17 | 5% | 5 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:49 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 7 of 12 | 58% | 36 of 45 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 9 of 37 | 24% | 20 of 50 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:20 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 4 of 21 | 19% | 12 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 0 | 8 of 22 | 36% | 47 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 4:00 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 40 of 51 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasmine Jasudavicius | 18 of 76 | 23% | 11 of 65 | 5 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 17 of 74 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Karine Silva | 15 of 43 | 34% | 5 of 30 | 1 of 3 | 9 of 10 | 14 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 1 of 17 | 5% | 0 of 13 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 17 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Karine Silva | 7 of 12 | 58% | 2 of 6 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 11 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 9 of 37 | 24% | 4 of 32 | 3 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 35 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Karine Silva | 4 of 21 | 19% | 2 of 17 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Jasmine Jasudavicius | 8 of 22 | 36% | 7 of 20 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 22 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Karine Silva | 4 of 10 | 40% | 1 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 | 4 of 10 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Jasudavicius (-300); Silva (+250)
Round 1
The final women’s bout of the evening could perhaps put the victor closer to a title shot than any other match on the billing. Canada’s own Jasudavicius (14-4, 8-3 UFC) had her momentum blunted last October when Manon Fiorot punched her out, so she will look to put another run together. She starts by facing Fighting Nerds representative Silva (19-6, 5-2 UFC). The referee will be Jerin Valel, who watches over the flyweights that elect to touch gloves.
They are tentative to engage right off the bat, both hovering around the center of the Octagon with little more than a single leg kick to show for it after 30 seconds. Silva strikes with another calf kick after the ensuing lull, and her front kick goes wide. Jasudavicius looks to string a right hand down the pipe, but Silva parries it. It is nothing but shadowboxing for the two for minutes at a time.
Shortly after the midpoint of the round, Silva tries to clinch up and knee, but Jasudavicius pushes her away before long and they resume their staring contest. Jasudavicius considers catching a kick to take the fight down, Silva recoils it in time. This results in a clinch, and when Silva tries to throw her foe down, Jasudavicius counters her and trips her to the mat. The Canadian lowers herself into the guard, and Silva fastens it tightly around her waist. Silva lifts one leg up for a rubber guard, and she brings her other to tie Jasudavicius up and even sit up for an insanely flexible triangle choke setup. Jasudavicius mashes her back down to smother Silva down, but she is still caught in this arms-in triangle choke. Silva has her leg cinched around the right shoulder, the pressure on the back of Jasudavicius’ squeezing her into the chest of the Brazilian. The round ends seconds before the clock said the round was over, possibly saving Jasudavicius from a precarious predicament.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 2
There are no strikes seriously thrown for the first 25 seconds of the round, until Jasudavicius attempts to string a jab and follow-up behind it. Silva elbows her on the forehead, and Jasudavicius kicks her away. Silva leans and offers up a right hand, and she sways back to evade the expected counter that does not come in full force. Jasudavicius probes with a long front kick as the lulls in the action begin to grow, punctuated with brief exchanges of two or three punches and a possible kick. Silva catches the body kick and knocks her back a step with a right hand, releasing the limb to get more going but nothing follows it. Jasudavicius pinpoints a one-two while Silva ducks down for a possible level change, and she is out of range of a front kick tossed her direction. Jasudavicius marches Silva down and shoots in for a single, and she finds herself in immediate guillotine choke submission danger. Jasudavicius lets go of the takedown, and Silva jumps guard in hopes of locking it down but recovers her footing when Jasudavicius is not going down.
Jasudavicius shakes out of the sub attempt and resets of her own accord, where she proceeds to jab her way forward. The Canadian dives after a double, completing it to put Silva on her back on the corner between the floor and the fencing. Jasudavicius pulls Silva away from the cage to position herself in side control, and Silva wraps her legs around the back of her foe’s head for a potential reverse triangle choke. Jasudavicius frees herself without much concern and drops down punches and knees to the side. Silva pushes her feet off the cage to put herself in a better place than the north-south that has materialized, but Jasudavicius smothers her down and begins drumming on her face with her free right hand. Silva protects her self by placing it under Jasudavicius’ backside until Jasudavicius turns to put herself in a more traditional side control. The round ends with Jasudavicius hacking down with short elbows, and she stands up and raises up her index finger to the crowd.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 3
The first official strike comes seven seconds into the round courtesy of the Brazilian, who chops at the inside and outside of Jasudavicius’ lead leg. Jasudavicius reaches with a right hand and comes up short. Jasudavicius fakes a level change and stands Silva up with an uppercut, appearing to come out more aggressively as she dings Silva with a second uppercut. Jasudavicius shoots in on the hips and places Silva gingerly to her back. Silva uses her rubber guard right leg to wrap it up behind Jasudavicius’ head early, but she does not have the flexibility or gumption at the moment to do the same with her left. This results in nothing but pitter-patter bops to the side of Jasudavicius’ face. Silva slithers her leg up around the shoulder to tie up a triangle choke, and Jasudavicius sits up to keep the pressure off her neck and pitches the legs to the side to climb into side control. From there, the Canadian drops down the shortest of elbows anywhere she can find them, be it the shoulder, face, stomach or elsewhere.
Silva bucks and kicks, bringing Jasudavicius back to half guard but not taking any pressure off herself as Jasudavicius is using heavy shoulder and chest pressure to keep Silva stuck in this position. Jasudavicius is active enough with her offense, nothing overwhelmingly damaging but it is enough to keep Valel at bay. Silva pushes and kicks off the cage, getting warned for hooking her toes in it to move herself around, and she wraps her right leg up and around the back to set up an extremely unorthodox buggy choke. This stifles Jasudavicius from getting off more offense, although the submission danger is not very great from this specific angle. Silva clings to her sub effort until she runs out of steam in her arms and bursts over to flip to her knees. Jasudavicius follows her and keeps her on her back while raining down elbows, and time expires. The judges could go either way here.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Silva)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Silva)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Jasudavicius (29-28 Silva)
The Official Result
Jasmine Jasudavicius def. Karine Silva via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo confidently picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, using MMA math: Macy Barber took down Karine Silva three times, so Jasmine will do the same. He notes Karine struggles under pressure, while Jasmine never backs down. He dismisses Jasmine's recent loss to Manon Fiorot as a high-level opponent.
Big Brady confidently picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, highlighting her size, strength, and vicious ground and pound. He notes Karine Silva's poor takedown defense (20%) and tendency to slow down. Brady predicts Jasudavicius will take Silva down, beat her up with elbows, and eventually find a submission in the third round.
Cody picks Jasmine Jasudavicius, citing her superior wrestling and top control. He notes that Karine Silva struggles when taken down and that Jasudavicius has multiple paths to victory. He acknowledges the price is high but expects her to win.
Daniel views Jasudavicius as a top contender who has improved her striking and maintains a relentless pace. He thinks Silva is dangerous but will fade, and that Jasudavicius can avoid submissions and dominate. He picks Jasudavicius to get back in the win column.
Jasudavicius is a nightmare stylistic matchup for Silva. She is Canadian with home crowd, aggressive, well-rounded, and has a size advantage. Silva has poor takedown defense and gives up position on the ground. Jasudavicius can win standing or on the ground. Very high confidence she wins.
James predicts Jasmine Jasudavicius will win via round three finish. He expects Jasudavicius to survive early submission threats and use her pressure and cardio to gas out Silva, leading to a late TKO. He also suggests a 'round three or decision' prop.
The host believes Jasudavicius will be safe enough in the striking realm and that it's a matter of time before the fight hits the mat. He trusts her submission defense and thinks she will grind out Silva from top position, landing big damage. He predicts a decision win, as Silva has shown cardio issues and Jasudavicius can accrue control time and damage.
Paul also picks Jasudavicius but is not heavily invested due to the price. He thinks she wins by decision and notes the Canadian crowd support. He mentions that the line is accurate but sees no value at -300.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 0 | 55 of 85 | 64% | 89 of 130 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 1 | 6:20 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 21 of 45 | 46% | 57 of 87 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 1 | 3:28 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 20 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:21 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 8 of 18 | 44% | 14 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 2:49 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 21 of 25 | 84% | 32 of 39 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 3:57 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 11 of 16 | 68% | 27 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 0:11 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 0 | 19 of 29 | 65% | 37 of 54 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 2 of 11 | 18% | 16 of 29 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 0:28 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maycee Barber | 55 of 85 | 64% | 41 of 66 | 4 of 7 | 10 of 12 | 30 of 52 | 0 of 1 | 25 of 32 |
| Karine Silva | 21 of 45 | 46% | 8 of 30 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 10 | 16 of 32 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 9 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maycee Barber | 15 of 31 | 48% | 13 of 26 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 11 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 8 |
| Karine Silva | 8 of 18 | 44% | 1 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 7 | 8 of 16 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Maycee Barber | 21 of 25 | 84% | 18 of 22 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 1 | 15 of 16 |
| Karine Silva | 11 of 16 | 68% | 7 of 12 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 7 | |
| 3 | Maycee Barber | 19 of 29 | 65% | 10 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 8 | 13 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 8 |
| Karine Silva | 2 of 11 | 18% | 0 of 8 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 2 of 8 | 0 of 2 | 0 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Barber (-192), Silva (+160)
Round 1
Mark Smith is the referee. Barber looks to get in range behind her jab, but Silva lands a hard low kick. A “USA” chant breaks out within 30 seconds. Barber is firing off her right hand, but hasn’t quite found the range yet. Silva is having success with low kicks early. Barber kicks the body and Silva answers with another low kick. Barber partially lands a high kick, but Silva takes the opportunity to close distance and take the American down. Silva is trying to take the back, but she’s falling off the side. The Brazilian adjusts the position and locks in a body triangle. Silva almost falls off the side again, but Barber can’t shake free. Silva recovers once again and they’re now seated against the fence. Silva creates openings for some short punches. Silva attacks the choke as they fall to the mat. The arm was only across the face, and Barber frees herself. Silva is still on Barber’s back. Barber is able to spin and take top position with about 20 seconds to go. Barber wastes no time, as she attacks with purposeful ground-and-pound while dodging upkicks until the horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Round 2
Barber comes out slinging right hands at the outset of the round. Silva with a body kick. Barber lands a combination followed by a low kick. Barber catches a leg and takes Silva to the fence. Silva jumps a guillotine with her back to the fence. Silva adjusts to avoid winding up on the bottom. Barber pops her head free and eventually dumps Silva on the canvas. Silva creates a scramble but inadvertently lands an upkick on the downed Barber. Barber points it out and Smith calls time. The kick lands to Barber’s chin, but Smith tells her it’s only a glancing shot. A doctor comes in to examine Barber during the break. Barber says she’s a little dizzy but she’s ready to go. The action resumes with no point deduction. Barber wastes no time taking Silva down in the center of the cage. Barber lands some solid punches from top position. Silva is turtled, eating punches and fighting off Barber’s hands. Barber is now looking to take the back. In the meantime, she punishes Silva with several elbows to the side of the head. Barber continues to work, alternating between right hands and elbows to the head. Barber pulls her foe back to the mat with her. Rather than hunt for a submission, Barber transitions to top position. Silva looks to frame a triangle from her back and then she rolls into top position with the triangle in place. Fortunately for Barber, there were only a few seconds left in the period.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barber
Round 3
Silva fires a front kick and Barber responds with a pair of leg kicks. Barber pumps her jab into Silva’s face. Barber partially lands a high kick. Silva marches forward, and Barber lands a front kick. The flyweights nearly clash heads during an exchange. Barber lands a front kick down the middle. A left gets through for Barber, and Silva shoots for a takedown against the fence. Silva lands the takedown and is in her foe’s full guard. Barber is active with her guard, and Silva falls back for a heel hook. Barber scoots away, but Silva switches focus to the other leg. Barber frees herself and scrambles into top position with 2:00 to go. Silva wants to set up a triangle from her back. Silva can’t quite complete the maneuver, and Barber stacks her up. Barber stands and kicks her foe’s legs. Barber eats an upkick and then shoves Silva into the fence as she stands. Silva is taken down one more time at the final horn.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Barber (29-28 Barber)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Barber (30-27 Barber)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Barber (30-27 Barber)
The Official Result
Maycee Barber def. Karine Silva via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
Angelo picks Maycee Barber assuming she is healthy after recent medical issues including a seizure. He considers her the more well-rounded fighter with better striking and athleticism. He notes that if she can defend takedowns, she should win on the feet. However, he expresses uncertainty about her health and the risk of her being rushed back. He also likes the over 2.5 rounds.
Big Brady picks Karine Silva, citing Barber's long layoff, mental and physical question marks, and poor takedown defense. He notes Silva's finishing ability and ground game, and expects Silva to win by decision, though he mentions she could win by submission.
Cody leans toward Barber, citing her power and striking advantage. He notes that Barber has never been submitted and has bullied opponents. He acknowledges concerns about her mental state and layoff but believes she will keep the fight standing and land bigger shots. He is not fully confident due to the narrative noise.
Connor picks Maycee Barber, citing her improved clinch game and physical strength. He notes that Silva is still the same fighter who relies on opponents' mistakes, while Barber has never been submitted and has shown durability. He believes Barber's physicality and persistence will be too much for Silva.
Lucrative James heavily factors in Maycee Barber's recent medical scare (passing out before a fight) and her history of being taken down. He believes Karine Silva's physicality and black belt jiu-jitsu will lead to a submission, especially early. He notes Barber's cardio advantage but thinks Silva can finish before it becomes a factor. He picks Silva as the underdog.
The host conditions his pick on Barber making weight and looking like her old self. He expects her to be physical enough to keep Silva standing and then use her superior striking to secure a knockout victory.
Paul leans toward Silva, citing Barber's takedown defense issues and Silva's submission threat. He notes that Barber has been taken down in her last six fights and Silva has good wrestling and submissions. He is concerned about Barber's mental state and long layoff. He thinks Silva can take Barber down and submit her.
The Guru picks Maycee Barber, despite concerns about her motivation. He believes Barber's takedown defense and clinch work will neutralize Silva's submission game. The Guru predicts a TKO finish in round two or three.
Zane picks Maycee Barber, noting that Barber has developed a sharp clinch game and is physically strong. He acknowledges Silva's submission threat but points out that Barber has never been submitted and has survived tough spots. Zane believes Barber's physicality and durability give her the edge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 0 | 26 of 70 | 37% | 90 of 154 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 2 | 1 | 2:23 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 31 of 87 | 35% | 67 of 132 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 1 | 1 | 5:18 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 0 | 10 of 30 | 33% | 11 of 31 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 15 of 41 | 36% | 19 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:44 | |
| 2 | Karine Silva | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 49 of 68 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 1:24 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 7 of 16 | 43% | 23 of 34 | 1 of 2 | 50% | 0 | 0 | 2:29 | |
| 3 | Karine Silva | 0 | 7 of 22 | 31% | 30 of 55 | 0 of 0 | --- | 2 | 1 | 0:59 |
| Dione Barbosa | 0 | 9 of 30 | 30% | 25 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:05 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 26 of 70 | 37% | 11 of 50 | 9 of 14 | 6 of 6 | 22 of 66 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Dione Barbosa | 31 of 87 | 35% | 11 of 62 | 15 of 19 | 5 of 6 | 26 of 80 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 10 of 30 | 33% | 6 of 24 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Dione Barbosa | 15 of 41 | 36% | 4 of 27 | 7 of 9 | 4 of 5 | 15 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Karine Silva | 9 of 18 | 50% | 1 of 9 | 5 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 15 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Dione Barbosa | 7 of 16 | 43% | 4 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 12 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 1 | |
| 3 | Karine Silva | 7 of 22 | 31% | 4 of 17 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Dione Barbosa | 9 of 30 | 30% | 3 of 23 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 27 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-218), Barbosa (+180)
Round 1
Moving to the standard fights with no extra stipulations beyond win and move up/lose and move down, Silva (18-5, 4-1 UFC) learned last November about the latter when she lost her nine-fight win streak. Barbosa (8-3, 2-1 UFC) too had a good stretch halted last year, although she turned things around by throttling Diana Belbita. The flyweights will be joined in the cage by referee Rob Madrigal, who observes the countrywomen meeting in the middle without sharing a fist bump.
Silva takes to the center of the cage, and within 15 seconds of inactivity, the crowd is already fussing at the two athletes. Barbosa tosses out a half-hearted low kick to quell the woo birds, and Silva comes back with one-two out of range. Barbosa flicks out a few jabs and parries a front kick, and she comes back to aim a straight shot to the torso. They do not do much other than potshot one another for a good minute until Barbosa steels herself and fires off two heavy punches.
The inactivity generally continues for both ladies, other than the occasional shot from either side as if they are taking turns. Barbosa scores well with body shots, staying just busy enough while Silva is stuck in first gear whiffing. Silva does reach one or two of her strikes, and she fails on a takedown shot and stands back up to get caught with a right hand. Barbosa sneaks in an elbow, and she digs kicks to the body. Silva responds with her own jab to knock her back, and she backpedals but is in a bad spot almost immediately. Barbosa hits a beautiful trip to hurl her countrywoman to the floor, and she zips down to secure the back, get both hooks in and fish for a rear-naked choke. The forearm gets beneath the chin for a moment, but Barbosa bails on it to transition into an armbar. She rolls with the armbar at the last second, and Silva is saved by the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa
Round 2
The Brazilians rush out to meet one another to start the second round, and Silva wants to keep Barbosa away from her early by throwing high kicks in bunches. Silva mixes in a body shot, and she swats down a one-two aimed at her. Barbosa pecks and pokes with her jab, beating Silva to the punch most of the time and keeping her guard up to block the worst of a punch combo. Barbosa uses a knee shield to block body kicks, and she wraps her foot up and around Silva’s head. Silva catches the kick and tackles Barbosa to the floor, with Barbosa not too upset about this decision. Barbosa decides that she does not want to be on her back, so she explodes back up but is still grabbed by Silva. Barbosa turns her foe around and starts kneeing her to the body, grinding out “Killer” on the cage wall.
Barbosa gets off a knee to the body or two before Silva spins her around, and when she gives a knee back, Barbosa spins her about once more. Silva tries to hit a takedown, and Barbosa falls on top of her. Silva lifts her legs up to set up a high guard, and Barbosa stays tightly pressed to her opponent to not give up anything. Silva hunts for a triangle choke and grabs hold of both arms as well, and she starts hacking with elbows while Barbosa is trapped with her arms in. Barbosa stacks Silva up and keeps taking elbows on the top of her head, and she lands a few punches to end the round.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 3
Silva walks her adversary down to open the last round, and Barbosa backs off and probes her with jabs. The jabs continue to score as one of the few effective weapons on either side, and when Silva considers bending over for a takedown, Barbosa knees her in the gut a few times. Silva lets go with a big right hand, and she hurls a left after it to get Barbosa’s attention. Another two punches land for Silva, only to take a right hand on the chin in a counter. They tie up, and Barbosa shoulder-throws her foe flat to her back. Silva hits her back and employs rubber guard to wrap her right leg around the back of the neck, and Barbosa lifts her up to slam her out of it. With Silva attempting a surprise Gogoplata as she was slipping her shin around to get under the neck, Barbosa has to scramble suddenly, and she turns to her knees.
“Killer” attacks with a killer power guillotine choke, using it to push Barbosa over in an attempt to get to mount. Barbosa fights out of the submission but is still stuck on her knees, and she elects to roll to her back so she can spin around and find top position. All the while, Silva slashes with elbows until she is placed on her back again. Of the two, Silva is the more active member striking, with Barbosa getting off little more than a couple hammerfists. Barbosa is warned for putting her fingers in the eyes while she smothers Silva’s mouth, and she drops 12-to-6 elbows to the body and chest. Fans are not amused as Barbosa smothers out the rest of the fight, but it is in the books and the lingering question may be how the judges score the second stanza. It could be a close one.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (29-28 Barbosa)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (29-28 Barbosa)
Scottie Smith scores the round: 10-9 Barbosa (29-28 Barbosa)
The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Dione Barbosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo acknowledges Karine Silva is a strong grappler and a favorite, but notes her takedown defense is lacking and she hasn't finished at the UFC level. He trusts Dione Barbosa's strength, pressure, and ability to stay safe, though he has concerns about her cardio on short notice. He leans toward the dog, calling it an easy plus money bet but says he won't touch it if it becomes -250.
Big Brady picks Karine Silva to win by decision. He notes Silva has more power on the feet and is a dangerous grappler, while Barbosa is also a dangerous grappler but Silva is a higher level. He mentions Silva's experience advantage with 23 fights compared to Barbosa's 11, and that Silva has fought tougher competition in the UFC. He acknowledges Silva's last fight against Vivian Araujo wasn't great but thinks Araujo is underrated. He expects Silva to mix in takedowns and land better shots, but doesn't think she'll finish Barbosa due to Barbosa's black belt and decent chin.
The host notes this is a rematch from six years ago where Barbosa won. He believes Barbosa will nullify Silva's aggressive BJJ approach, grind her out from top position, and win by decision on short notice.
The Guru picks Karine Silva to win, noting that Dione Barbosa is coming off a win but on a quick turnaround without a training camp. He believes Silva will have the advantage due to Barbosa's lack of preparation.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 0 | 48 of 85 | 56% | 105 of 152 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:25 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 58 of 132 | 43% | 76 of 155 | 1 of 7 | 14% | 1 | 0 | 3:30 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 20 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 22 of 65 | 33% | 22 of 65 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 14 of 25 | 56% | 49 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 | 0 | 1:04 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 11 of 15 | 73% | 16 of 20 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 | 0 | 2:37 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 0 | 17 of 30 | 56% | 36 of 55 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Karine Silva | 0 | 25 of 52 | 48% | 38 of 70 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:49 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viviane Araújo | 48 of 85 | 56% | 34 of 70 | 4 of 5 | 10 of 10 | 41 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 8 |
| Karine Silva | 58 of 132 | 43% | 26 of 83 | 10 of 19 | 22 of 30 | 45 of 117 | 11 of 13 | 2 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Viviane Araújo | 17 of 30 | 56% | 13 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 16 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Karine Silva | 22 of 65 | 33% | 10 of 43 | 1 of 6 | 11 of 16 | 21 of 64 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Viviane Araújo | 14 of 25 | 56% | 11 of 21 | 1 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 9 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 7 |
| Karine Silva | 11 of 15 | 73% | 8 of 11 | 2 of 3 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | |
| 3 | Viviane Araújo | 17 of 30 | 56% | 10 of 23 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 29 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 |
| Karine Silva | 25 of 52 | 48% | 8 of 29 | 7 of 10 | 10 of 13 | 17 of 42 | 8 of 10 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-258), Araujo (+210)
Round 1
It’s a battle of momentum as the main card rails on, with Araujo (12-6, 6-5 UFC) struggling at the upper echelon of the flyweight division as of late. The same cannot be said for the younger Silva (18-4, 4-0 UFC), who has cruised through opposition with three subs in her four UFC wins to date. Referee Marc Goddard draws the charge for this 125-pound contest, and it kicks off as the ladies touch ‘em up. Silva marches forward behind a front kick to start, and she aims it a few more times to keep Araujo away from her. Silva uses it to try to close the distance and wrap up her opponent, but Araujo gets away. Silva slaps her with a leg kick, and a second is met with a one-two. Silva crashes the pocket and gets off a leg kick, and she whiffs with a huge overhand right. Araujo splits the guard with a right hand, and Silva pays it no mind and keeps plodding onward. Silva sticks out a jab, and Araujo puts three punches on her before sliding to the side. Silva crashes forward, and Araujo is able to wriggle away before getting clinched. Silva kicks at the front leg and is countered by her fellow countrywoman, and she keeps chasing until getting tagged with a straight right hand. Silva again shakes off the strong strike and trades a low kick with her foe. Araujo steps to the side and sinks in a right hand around the guard, and she stays away from a number of inaccurate kicks. Silva does reach her with a low kick, and the high kick that follows is easily blocked. Araujo moves from side to side, not falling into a pattern and easily shrugging off a Silva shot. Araujo rings her opponent’s bell with a one-two, and Silva does not slow with her constant kick approach. Silva gets off a left hand, and the swings that follow all go wide. Silva paws out with a big right hand, clubbing “Vivi” on the side of the dome. A second shakes Araujo up further, and Silva stalks her down and hits her a third time. Araujo strikes back, and is warned for outstretched fingers. The horn sounds as Silva rushes into attack, and they crash heads together when Goddard grabs them, resulting in a bloody nose for Araujo.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Araujo
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 2
Silva starts off the round as aggressive as ever, with her front kick immediately drawing more blood from Araujo’s nose. Araujo rushes into action, fighting behind several punch combinations that all connect before Silva can strike back. Araujo hammers the front leg with a kick, and Silva runs towards her and gets hold of her against the fencing. Araujo escapes before absorbing anything of note, but blood is trickling out of that nose quicker than before. Araujo backs Silva off with a one-two, and a second two-strike combo finds the mark as Silva rushes towards her. Silva blasts Araujo in the face with an overhand right, and Araujo backs up into the wall and has no way to escape the second that catches her cleanly. When Silva tries to use the close proximity to take the fight down, Araujo repeatedly grabs the fence to keep herself afloat. Silva sells out for a throw, and Araujo turns her around. Silva uses the body lock to lower Araujo to the floor, her own nose bloodied as well. Araujo gets busy off her back with punches, and she throws her legs up and grabs hold of an armbar. Araujo rolls to her stomach and flips Silva over, and she goes belly-down to almost complete the submission. Silva keeps pushing through it, turning the proper direction to survive the maneuver and reposition herself to side control. With Araujo’s nose busted, she gasps for air with her mouth open. Silva transitions her way to north-south position, and she wraps up a brabo choke when Araujo sits up. Silva rolls to her back to lock things up, and Araujo fights her arms and pushes off the knee to get some space. Araujo turns through it to get into north-south, and she considers wrapping up an armbar or another armlock. Araujo opens it up with several unblocked punches, ending the round sitting on Silva’s face but not in a fun way.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Araujo
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Araujo
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 3
The Brazilians hug it out to begin the last round, with scores possibly all over the map. Silva marches forward and shoots in for a takedown with Araujo jabbing her, and the ensuing scramble results in Araujo winding up on top somehow. A bit of blood on both women plus fatigue equals strange positioning. Araujo bails on the position and backs off, allowing Silva to stand. Araujo backs off and lands a low kick and a right hand, and Silva jabs her back in the midsection. Araujo reaches out with a right hand over the top, and Silva’s responses are labored and flailing. Araujo catches a front kick and tosses Silva to her back, with Silva appearing to flop to her back in part due to exhaustion. Silva puts her hands behind her head, with Araujo kicking her legs until Goddard stands her up. Araujo leans back from a head kick to boot Silva in the ribs, and they trade kicks until Araujo drills her with an uppercut. Silva plods forward and absorbs a solid right hand, and she takes a step back and launches several front kicks that all come up short. Araujo kicks the front leg, and she catches a kick her direction and tosses Silva to the mat. Silva again needs Goddard to get between them and let her up, and the fans in the building do not approve of Silva’s strategy. Silva walks into punches and kicks, her face swelling up with a mouse growing on her forehead. Silva’s front kick is swatted away, and she flops to her back. Araujo tells her to stand back up, and she watches Silva’s labored punches soar past her. Silva uses them to get hold of Araujo, and she drives a knee into her jaw. Silva gloms onto her opponent in the clinch, with the occasional knee coming until Araujo head-and-arm throws her to the ground. Silva lands strangely with her head squished against the cage floor and wall, and she is held there until the strange fight closes. Judges may have their hands full here.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Araujo (30-27 Araujo)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Araujo (29-28 Araujo)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Araujo (29-28 Silva)
The Official Result
Viviane Araujo def. Karine Silva via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Angelo picks Karine Silva, noting her powerful grappling and constant submission threats. He acknowledges Viviane Araújo is tough with good takedown defense, but believes Silva will get timely takedowns. He finds the -265 odds too steep to bet and is unsure about prop bets due to Silva's finishing rate.
Big Brady picks Karine Silva, noting that Viviane Araújo is older and slowing down. He acknowledges Araújo's elite takedown defense and good striking volume, but believes Silva has more power and can get takedowns. He thinks Silva's cardio is better than Araújo's, who has slowed in many fights. He predicts a decision win for Silva, though he admits the line is too wide.
Cody picks Karine Silva, citing her grappling advantage and ability to take down and neutralize opponents. He notes Araújo is 38 and has been taken down by lesser grapplers, but Silva's striking is not great and she may struggle to finish. Cody expects a decision win for Silva, possibly by submission if she gets the neck.
Connor also picks Silva, agreeing that she has more dynamic moments and can out-wrestle Araújo. He notes that Araújo's striking is predictable and she struggles against athletic opponents. Connor thinks Silva's reactive takedowns and submission threat will be key.
Vreeland picks Silva because Araújo has struggled against younger, faster opponents. He notes Araújo's only recent win was over Jennifer Maia due to a speed advantage, but Silva is not slower. Silva has good volume, speed, and grappling, including a dangerous guillotine. Vreeland thinks Silva's all-around game will be too much for Araújo.
Daniel Vreeland picks Karine Silva, citing her dominance in getting fights to the mat and her submission threats. He acknowledges Araújo's takedown defense and striking output but believes Silva's assertiveness and ability to dictate the pace will lead to a win. He does not confidently predict a submission but expects Silva to control the fight.
Fox picks Silva, calling her 'killer' and noting she is good everywhere and finishes fights. He agrees with Vreeland that Silva is the better fighter and expects her to win.
Lucrative James picks Karine Silva confidently, noting she is on an upward trajectory while Araújo is declining. He believes Silva has sharper BJJ and can capitalize on Araújo's takedown attempts to take the back or snatch a front choke. He also thinks Silva can land a knockdown on the feet, as Araújo gets hurt often. He predicts Silva wins inside the distance, though a close decision is possible. He sees value in Silva at -275 compared to Oliveira at the same odds.
The host thinks Silva is not as good as the odds suggest but believes her eventual grappling approach in the second and third rounds will wear out Araújo, who may have early striking success. He predicts Silva grinds it out, possibly getting a submission but officially wins by decision.
Paul leans toward Karine Silva but has reservations. He notes Silva's grappling is solid but she lacks ground and pound, and Araújo has never been submitted. Paul thinks the fight could be competitive and might go to a split decision, so he's considering a split decision prop. He's not confident enough to bet heavily.
The MMA Guru picks Viviane Araújo as an underdog, not sold on Karine Silva's hype. He notes Araújo's competitive fights with Natalia Silva and Alexa Grasso, and believes she can survive Silva's grappling. He doubts Silva's finishing ability.
Zane picks Silva, noting that both fighters are processless but Silva has more dynamic opportunities. He thinks Silva's speed and opportunistic grappling can catch Araújo, who is one-dimensional and losing athleticism. Zane believes Silva has a better chance of finishing or winning rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 0 | 42 of 81 | 51% | 89 of 153 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:06 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 27 of 75 | 36% | 53 of 120 | 5 of 6 | 83% | 0 | 0 | 7:32 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 0 | 7 of 13 | 53% | 20 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 4 of 17 | 23% | 15 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:58 | |
| 2 | Karine Silva | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 22 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 10 of 20 | 50% | 23 of 39 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:39 | |
| 3 | Karine Silva | 0 | 26 of 50 | 52% | 47 of 75 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:23 |
| Ariane da Silva | 0 | 13 of 38 | 34% | 15 of 42 | 2 of 3 | 66% | 0 | 0 | 1:55 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 42 of 81 | 51% | 12 of 37 | 22 of 29 | 8 of 15 | 31 of 66 | 8 of 11 | 3 of 4 |
| Ariane da Silva | 27 of 75 | 36% | 8 of 29 | 9 of 32 | 10 of 14 | 21 of 65 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 6 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 7 of 13 | 53% | 4 of 8 | 2 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 8 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 4 |
| Ariane da Silva | 4 of 17 | 23% | 0 of 7 | 2 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 4 of 16 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Karine Silva | 9 of 18 | 50% | 1 of 8 | 4 of 5 | 4 of 5 | 9 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 10 of 20 | 50% | 4 of 10 | 3 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 6 of 14 | 0 of 1 | 4 of 5 | |
| 3 | Karine Silva | 26 of 50 | 52% | 7 of 21 | 16 of 20 | 3 of 9 | 19 of 41 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 0 |
| Ariane da Silva | 13 of 38 | 34% | 4 of 12 | 4 of 18 | 5 of 8 | 11 of 35 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogRound 1
Jason Herzog is the referee. Lipski catches a kick and lands the first punch. Silva lands a jumping kick to the body. Lipski uses her jab and lands a straight right to the body. Silva gets a takedown and winds up in half-guard. Elbows from Silva land. Lipski pushes her opponent off. Silva engages on the ground again and gets into side control. Lipski gives up her neck as Silva is cranking. Lipski gets out of the submission attempt. Silva gets pushed off again, and Lipski gets up. Lipski lands leg kicks and gets into guard. Lipski finishes the round on top, landing a few elbows.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 2
The two fighters exchange leg kicks on the feet. Lipski uses her jab and goes high with a kick. Silva catches a leg and is forced to give it up after Lipski throws a bunch of punches. Silva is able to throw Lipski to the ground. Silva is in half-guard and in full control of Lipski. Some nice elbows are landing for Silva. Lipski goes for a leg lock. Silva defends well. Silva gets to her feet and lands a few leg kicks. Lipski with a good upkick. Silva lands a damaging body kick as Lipski gets up. Silva drags Lipski back to the ground and has her back. Lipski defends well and survives the round.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Silva
Round 3
Lipski comes out swinging as she knows she needs a finish. Silva slows the pace with some leg kicks. Lipski answers with some body kicks. Silva catches a kick and goes for a takedown. Lipski rips her hands free, but the two are still clinched against the fence. A few knees land for Lipski, who then backs away. Silva throws a front kick. Halfway through the round. Lipski landing more kicks but isn't putting Silva in any danger. They clinch again. Silva is just holding on and not doing any damage. Lipski gets back to her feet, although Silva manages to scramble and take the back. Silva looks for a rear-naked choke as the fight ends.
Sherdog Scores
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Lipski (29-28 Silva)
Devin Tejada scores the round: 10-9 Silva (30-27 Silva)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Lipski (29-28 Silva)
The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Ariane Lipski via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28); R3, 5:00.
Angelo bet Karine Silva at +118 underdog, noting she has 17 wins all by stoppage. He believes she can get the fight to the ground and find a submission or ground-and-pound. He gives credit to Ariane da Silva for improving her grappling and takedown defense, but thinks Karine's finishing ability will be the difference. He is confident she wins and notes the line has since flipped to -140.
Cody picks Lipski as a dog, citing her improved takedown defense (stuffed 19 of 20 attempts in last three fights) and volume striking. He believes she can survive Silva's early submission threats and win a decision, noting she has never been submitted.
Daniel is impressed by Silva's 100% finish rate (17 finishes) and her dangerous ground game, including a rare leg lock. He thinks her striking is hittable but she's confident because she's dangerous on the ground. He believes she will finish Lipski, noting that in women's MMA, such finishing upside is huge.
Ariane da Silva has shown improved takedown defense, stuffing all 25 takedown attempts in her last five fights. She should be able to keep the fight standing and use her striking to beat Karine Silva. Karine Silva is dangerous on the ground but has holes in her striking. I lean Ariane da Silva by decision.
Paul also picks Lipski, highlighting her three-fight winning streak as an underdog since moving to American Top Team. He notes her takedown defense and ability to keep fights standing, and expects her volume to outwork Silva over three rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Karine Silva, highlighting her consistent finishing ability with five or six submissions in a row. He criticizes Ariane da Silva's wins as over weak competition and notes her submission game is more opportunistic. He believes Silva's ability to force submissions will be the difference, and predicts she will get past da Silva.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 52 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 16 of 55 | 29% | 25 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 52 of 76 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:51 |
| Maryna Moroz | 0 | 16 of 55 | 29% | 25 of 66 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 1 | 1:41 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 30 of 53 | 56% | 15 of 31 | 7 of 9 | 8 of 13 | 18 of 40 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 16 of 55 | 29% | 8 of 41 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 47 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 30 of 53 | 56% | 15 of 31 | 7 of 9 | 8 of 13 | 18 of 40 | 11 of 12 | 1 of 1 |
| Maryna Moroz | 16 of 55 | 29% | 8 of 41 | 7 of 12 | 1 of 2 | 10 of 47 | 6 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-155), Moroz (+130)
Round 1
I’m a sailor peg, and I lost my leg. Climbing up the topsails, I lost my leg! I’m shipping up to Boston, to find my wooden leg. As it turns out, the UFC is also shipping off to Boston, for the first time since UFC on ESPN 6 back in 2019. There may be wooden legs in the TD Garden, but there will absolutely be fights – a dozen, in fact. The first comes in the flyweight division between a pair of action fighters, as Silva (16-4, 2-0 UFC) brings her destructive ways to the table in a revenge match against extremely tough out Moroz (11-4, 6-4 UFC). Combined, the two have 23 stoppages in their 27 pro wins, although all four decisions are on the ledger of the Ukrainian. The action begins without a glove of touch under the watchful eye of referee John English, and instead Silva looks to find her immediate range with kicks high and low. Moroz stays on the outside with a jab stuck out every so often, and she gets in to back Silva off momentarily. Moroz strides forward to land a few strikes, and Silva gives three back in rapid succession. Moroz checks a kick as she resets, and she misses the mark with a head kick by a short distance. Moroz jabs the midsection, and Silva swings back with counters that are just out of reach. Silva peppers the lead leg and waist with kicks, and she loads up with a sharp left hand that intercepts Moroz and knocks her to her seat. Moroz springs back up and clinches up to get her wits back about her. The two jockey for position, and Moroz is the one to separate first as she lands three strikes in rapid succession. Silva lashes out with a head kick, and she catches Moroz with a subsequent combination. Silva surges forward to mix things up, shooting in for a double-leg takedown, and she manages to trip Moroz up and set her down on the mat. Silva passes guard easily to move all the way to north-south position, and she hangs onto Moroz’ neck with her right arm. As Moroz sits up,
Silva jumps guard for a guillotine choke, but “The Iron Lady” steels herself and passes through it to claim top position. Silva is still clinging to the neck, and she stretches Moroz out to reposition herself with the choke and crank it with all her might. There are just seconds left on the clock, and Moroz hangs on and tries to grit it out. The submission is frighteningly tight. On the verge of consciousness, Moroz taps out
, and the horn immediately blows after English intervenes. Silva releases the grip and lets out a shout of victory, and she leaps atop the cage wall to motion to the crowd to celebrate with her. Exacting revenge on a woman that beat her in 2014, Silva becomes the first fighter to ever finish Moroz as a professional.
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The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Maryna Moroz R1 4:59 via Submission (Guillotine Choke)
Angelo is very confident that Karine Silva will win, citing her powerful takedowns and insane grappling. However, he cautions that Silva's cardio is untested past the first round, as she has only been to a decision once and lost. He worries that if Maryna Moroz keeps the fight standing and tires Silva out, an upset could happen. Despite this, he picks Silva but leaves her out of parlays due to the cardio concern.
Big Brady picks Maryna Moroz to win by late second-round submission, trusting her durability and cardio over Karine Silva's early danger. He notes Silva is a kill-or-be-killed fighter with 19 finishes in 20 wins, but her cardio is suspect and she tires in later rounds. Moroz has never been finished in 15 fights, and Brady believes she can weather the early storm, extend the fight, and submit Silva as she tires.
Cody likes Moroz as a plus-money underdog due to her boxing and takedown defense. He notes Silva has had bad spots and may fatigue if she doesn't get a quick submission. Moroz has a high work rate and keeps fights competitive.
Daniel Levi picks Karine Silva, believing she is hungry to avenge her 2014 loss and has shown advanced submissions. He notes that Moroz has never been finished and has good submission defense, but Silva is stronger now and can take her down. Levi is not confident and predicts Silva by submission, but acknowledges it could be a decision. He also bet the over 2.5 rounds.
Lucrative James likes the underdog Maryna Moroz here, citing her superior strength of schedule and experience against high-level competition like Buena Silva and Maria Agapova. He notes that Karine Silva has never won a decision and tends to finish or get finished, while Moroz has never been submitted. He believes the odds are off and that Moroz should not be an underdog.
Moroz is the better technical striker and should be able to land from distance. She has defensive grappling to avoid Silva's submission threats and will likely win rounds with striking. Silva's striking is limited to setting up takedowns, but Moroz can nullify control time. Expect a close fight early but Moroz pulls away on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Karine Silva but calls it a tricky pick. He notes Silva's first-round finishes and believes she has improved since her earlier loss to Moroz by armbar. He thinks Silva is the more talented, younger, and improving fighter with momentum. However, he acknowledges Moroz's win over Mayra Bueno Silva and the unpredictability of women's MMA, making him hesitant.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 0 | 3 of 10 | 30% | 4 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:21 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 | 0 of 0 | --- | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 3 of 10 | 30% | 1 of 6 | 0 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 7 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
| Ketlen Souza | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-225), Souza (+190)
Round 1
Two Brazilian flyweights will come to blows for this next encounter, as Silva (15-4, 1-0 UFC) hopes to keep her 100% stoppage rate intact at the expense of former Invicta champ Souza (13-3, 0-0 UFC). While Silva is an equal opportunity finisher, the majority of the debuting Souza’s victories have come due to strikes or an opponent saying “no mas.” The ladies will be joined in the cage by Octagon overseer Chris Tognoni, and they introduce themselves to one another with a glove touch. Silva leads the dance with a few low kicks from both legs, and she aims one to the side before lunging ahead with punches. The ladies end up in the clinch, and Silva is quick to muscle Souza right down to the floor. Silva moves to half guard, while Souza defends from her side instead of laying flat on her back. Souza recovers guard as she takes an elbow to the dome, and Souza lines up a big left from her back only to get blasted with a response.
Silva drops to her back out of nowhere hunting for a leglock, and she places her foe’s ankle beneath her armpit. Before she focuses on the ankle or Achilles, Silva cranks the knee to the side calmly but viciously. Souza’s knee completely blows out as Silva torques it, in what is not quite a kneebar or an Achilles lock, as kneebars tend to hyperextend the knee and not wrench it to the side laterally. Souza immediately grimaces in pain and taps out, tendons and ligaments having snapped and popped like overtuned guitar strings.
Silva releases the grip to get up and celebrate, while Souza needs help standing up. Souza is aided getting out of the cage, her knee totally thrashed, and she could be facing a lengthy layoff. Silva, however, validates her “Killer” nickname with the nasty sub, and her finish rate remains a scary 100%.
The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Ketlen Souza R1 1:45 via Submission (Kneebar)
Angelo picks Silva, citing her powerful grappling and 15 stoppage wins. He thinks Souza is too committed to her strikes, which will leave her open to takedowns. He is concerned Silva has never been to a decision and may fade late, but still expects her to win. He has bets on Silva.
Cody is hesitant on Silva at -225. He notes Silva's wrestling and physical strength could lead to a grappling match, which favors her. However, he questions whether Silva's wins over lower-level competition justify the price. He thinks Souza could be a decent prospect but is unsure how quickly she can adapt. Cody doesn't feel confident enough to bet Silva at this price.
Connor picks Silva, noting that she is more durable and has better grappling. He points out that Souza has been TKO'd by kicks before and is likely a strawweight. Connor believes Silva's single-strike power and takedown ability will be enough to win a slow-paced fight.
Daniel picks Karine Silva, noting that both fighters are finishers but Silva has a 100% finish rate. He sees Souza's lack of takedown defense as a major vulnerability, and Silva's improving striking and grappling should lead to a finish. However, he doesn't have a bet on it, calling it a dog-or-pass.
Jacob picks Silva, believing her ground game will be too much for Souza. He notes Souza stays on her back and doesn't work to get up, which plays into Silva's strengths. Jacob thinks Silva's striking defense is sound and she will get takedowns and look for finishes. He likes Silva for future fights but expects her to win here.
Silva is aggressive and prefers grappling, with most of her wins by submission. Souza is a mobile striker with good kicks but questionable takedown defense. Silva will use a grapple-heavy approach, but Souza is active off her back, so the fight may go over 2.5 rounds. Silva wins by decision.
Paul picks the underdog Ketlen Souza at +190. He notes the price is too big on Karine Silva due to unknowns about Souza's UFC debut. He mentions Souza's recent improvements, including a spinning back kick win in Invicta. However, he acknowledges Souza is uncomfortable on her back, which is Silva's path to victory. Paul is hesitant and says he'll pass on betting this fight.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Karine Silva, citing her massive finishing potential and experience in the UFC. He notes Silva has four first-round finishes in a row, including against Pollyanna Botelho, while Souza has mostly decisions against lower-level opponents. He believes Silva will hurt Souza on the feet and then secure a submission, likely a choke. He thinks if it goes to decision, Silva still wins.
Zane picks Silva, citing her better grappling and durability. He notes that Silva has solid wrestling and submission skills, while Souza is more one-dimensional and positionally sacrificial. Zane expects Silva to win the grappling exchanges and outwork Souza in a slow-paced kickboxing match.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 0 | 17 of 68 | 25% | 23 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Poliana Botelho | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 19 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 0 | 17 of 68 | 25% | 23 of 75 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:47 |
| Poliana Botelho | 0 | 19 of 26 | 73% | 19 of 26 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karine Silva | 17 of 68 | 25% | 9 of 49 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 11 | 12 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
| Poliana Botelho | 19 of 26 | 73% | 10 of 17 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Karine Silva | 17 of 68 | 25% | 9 of 49 | 5 of 8 | 3 of 11 | 12 of 63 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 5 |
| Poliana Botelho | 19 of 26 | 73% | 10 of 17 | 6 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 19 of 26 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Silva (-125), Botelho (+105)
Round 1
The final women’s bout of the day comes at flyweight, when two absolute finishers collide in search of a crucial UFC win. Signed off of the 2021 season of DWCS, Silva (14-4, 0-0 UFC) maintains a perfect 100% stoppage rate, with none of her wins coming after the second round. She will have her hands full of powerful countrywoman Botelho (8-4, 3-3 UFC), who on her own right celebrates 75% of her victories by knockout. Referee Chris Tognoni is prepared for whether this fight goes 15 seconds or 15 minutes, and there is no chance of gloves touching as these two are fired up. Botelho starts off with a few kicks, and Silva mimics them although they come up short. Silva stays busy with push kicks from a distance, and even though they don’t land, they keep Botelho off of her. Botelho sits down on a leg kick, and Silva gives one right back to her, as if this were a mirror match thus far. Two identical kicks from the women land at the same time, and Botelho follows with two more as Silva is still trying to get her bearings. It’s primarily a kick fight thus far, as the punches are coming up short from each Brazilian. Silva goes up high with a kick, and she lets go with another as she starts putting punches between the kicks to mix things up. A few jabs succeed from “Killer Karine,” who begins to pick up the pace and chip away as Botelho comes forward without throwing much offense. Silva lands at the end of a right hand, and she is loading up on the strikes, but Botelho is largely able to avoid or dodge the worst of them. Botelho catches Silva coming up with an uppercut, but it is one-and-done as Silva paws out a jab and a front kick of her own. The Silva jab misses the mark a few times, and Botelho goes to the body with a left. Silva strides forward with an overhand right, and she knocks Botelho over and tackles her down to the ground, not letting the knockdown completely register. Silva unleashes a barrage of speedy hammerfists, and she settles to get hold of an arm-triangle from on top.
Botelho sits up and finds herself in brabo choke danger, and Silva rolls her to the side and sets up this maneuver. Botelho twists and looks to free her neck and sit up to ride out the round, but Silva locks her down and cranks so that there is no escape. The crushing choke forces Botelho to surrender,
and Silva has now made a splash in the UFC while maintaining her 100% finish rate with an impressive submission. Her brabo choke is just the second in UFC women’s divisional history, with the first coming from Tatiana Suarez in 2016.
The Official Result
Karine Silva def. Poliana Botelho R1 4:55 via Submission (Brabo Choke)
Angelo describes Karine Silva as a powerful grappler who constantly works for submissions, with all 14 wins by stoppage. Poliana Botelho is a creative striker but with poor fight IQ. Angelo believes Silva will take Botelho down and control her, similar to how Gillian Robertson won. He already placed a moneyline bet on Silva at -115.
Big Brady picks Karine Silva to win by first-round submission. He notes Silva has a 100% finish rate and is very dangerous on the ground with submissions like heel hooks and armbars. He points out that Botelho has been taken down and controlled by wrestlers like Calvillo and Robertson, and thinks Silva will get her to the mat and finish her. He warns that if the fight goes past the first round, Botelho could win due to Silva's cardio issues, but expects an early finish.
Cody provides a detailed analysis, highlighting Botelho's cardio and size issues, and Silva's composed performance against Qiu Yuyan. He believes Silva's striking, wrestling, and grappling are superior, and that she will win via decision or submission.
Daniel Levi picks Karine Silva, believing the line is too short and that Silva's aggression and finishing ability will overwhelm Botelho, who has a history of gassing. He compares Silva to Melissa Gatto and thinks she will get a finish, making the current price a value. He plans to bet Silva straight moneyline, not in a parlay.
Paul picks Silva, citing her size, strength, and recent improvements. He notes Botelho's struggles at flyweight and her lack of striking combinations. He thinks Silva can win on the feet or via grappling and likes the price.
The MMA Guru picks Karine Silva to win by submission in the first or second round. He notes Silva's good wins on the contender series and her momentum. He criticizes Botelho's recent losses and believes Silva's grappling and aggression will be decisive. He makes crude remarks about Silva's appearance but ultimately trusts her skills.
Expert Picks (12)
Angelo picks Karine Silva, noting her powerful grappling and constant submission threats. He acknowledges Viviane Araújo is tough with good takedown defense, but believes Silva will get timely takedowns. He finds the -265 odds too steep to bet and is unsure about prop bets due to Silva's finishing rate.
Big Brady picks Karine Silva, noting that Viviane Araújo is older and slowing down. He acknowledges Araújo's elite takedown defense and good striking volume, but believes Silva has more power and can get takedowns. He thinks Silva's cardio is better than Araújo's, who has slowed in many fights. He predicts a decision win for Silva, though he admits the line is too wide.
Cody picks Karine Silva, citing her grappling advantage and ability to take down and neutralize opponents. He notes Araújo is 38 and has been taken down by lesser grapplers, but Silva's striking is not great and she may struggle to finish. Cody expects a decision win for Silva, possibly by submission if she gets the neck.
Connor also picks Silva, agreeing that she has more dynamic moments and can out-wrestle Araújo. He notes that Araújo's striking is predictable and she struggles against athletic opponents. Connor thinks Silva's reactive takedowns and submission threat will be key.
Vreeland picks Silva because Araújo has struggled against younger, faster opponents. He notes Araújo's only recent win was over Jennifer Maia due to a speed advantage, but Silva is not slower. Silva has good volume, speed, and grappling, including a dangerous guillotine. Vreeland thinks Silva's all-around game will be too much for Araújo.
Daniel Vreeland picks Karine Silva, citing her dominance in getting fights to the mat and her submission threats. He acknowledges Araújo's takedown defense and striking output but believes Silva's assertiveness and ability to dictate the pace will lead to a win. He does not confidently predict a submission but expects Silva to control the fight.
Fox picks Silva, calling her 'killer' and noting she is good everywhere and finishes fights. He agrees with Vreeland that Silva is the better fighter and expects her to win.
Lucrative James picks Karine Silva confidently, noting she is on an upward trajectory while Araújo is declining. He believes Silva has sharper BJJ and can capitalize on Araújo's takedown attempts to take the back or snatch a front choke. He also thinks Silva can land a knockdown on the feet, as Araújo gets hurt often. He predicts Silva wins inside the distance, though a close decision is possible. He sees value in Silva at -275 compared to Oliveira at the same odds.
The host thinks Silva is not as good as the odds suggest but believes her eventual grappling approach in the second and third rounds will wear out Araújo, who may have early striking success. He predicts Silva grinds it out, possibly getting a submission but officially wins by decision.
Paul leans toward Karine Silva but has reservations. He notes Silva's grappling is solid but she lacks ground and pound, and Araújo has never been submitted. Paul thinks the fight could be competitive and might go to a split decision, so he's considering a split decision prop. He's not confident enough to bet heavily.
The MMA Guru picks Viviane Araújo as an underdog, not sold on Karine Silva's hype. He notes Araújo's competitive fights with Natalia Silva and Alexa Grasso, and believes she can survive Silva's grappling. He doubts Silva's finishing ability.
Zane picks Silva, noting that both fighters are processless but Silva has more dynamic opportunities. He thinks Silva's speed and opportunistic grappling can catch Araújo, who is one-dimensional and losing athleticism. Zane believes Silva has a better chance of finishing or winning rounds.
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