UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024 · Women's Flyweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic
Age 32
Height 5' 6"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 4"
Reach 64.0"
Weight 125 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages - Eduarda Moura
2.57 SLpM
37.0% Str. Acc.
2.5 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
3.58 TD Avg
34.0% TD Acc.
80.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Veronica Hardy
3.06 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.24 SApM
50.0% Str. Def.
0.82 TD Avg
41.0% TD Acc.
51.0% TD Def.
0.3 Sub. Avg
Eduarda Moura - Fight History
LOSS vs Wang Cong
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Wang Cong 1 39 of 71 54% 147 of 195 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:11
Eduarda Moura 0 12 of 34 35% 40 of 70 3 of 12 25% 1 0 8:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Wang Cong 1 26 of 46 56% 48 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:57
Eduarda Moura 0 8 of 24 33% 15 of 33 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:57
2 Wang Cong 0 3 of 4 75% 54 of 61 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Eduarda Moura 0 0 of 3 0% 17 of 25 1 of 2 50% 1 0 4:31
3 Wang Cong 0 10 of 21 47% 45 of 60 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:11
Eduarda Moura 0 4 of 7 57% 8 of 12 0 of 6 0% 0 0 1:38
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Wang Cong 39 of 71 54% 16 of 39 15 of 20 8 of 12 23 of 49 10 of 14 6 of 8
Eduarda Moura 12 of 34 35% 12 of 33 0 of 1 0 of 0 11 of 29 1 of 3 0 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Wang Cong 26 of 46 56% 10 of 25 11 of 14 5 of 7 17 of 33 4 of 7 5 of 6
Eduarda Moura 8 of 24 33% 8 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0 7 of 21 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Wang Cong 3 of 4 75% 1 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 0 of 3 0% 0 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2
3 Wang Cong 10 of 21 47% 5 of 13 3 of 4 2 of 4 4 of 13 5 of 6 1 of 2
Eduarda Moura 4 of 7 57% 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Angelo picks Wang Cong confidently, citing her excellent striking, power, speed, and accuracy. He notes her takedown defense has held up well. He thinks Eduarda Moura's striking is nowhere near good enough to hang, and if Wang defends takedowns, she will win easily. He expects Moura to shoot desperate takedowns from far away. He also mentions that Vegas hates wrestlers, so even if Moura gets takedowns, it may not matter.

"Kong Wang's going to be the pick. I think she's the better fighter. Vegas hates wrestlers anyway, so if Eduardo gets a takedown, probably isn't going to matter."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Big Brady picks Wang Cong, praising her as one of the best strikers in the division with excellent takedown defense. He notes that Moura may have early grappling success but will slow down, and Cong will piece her up over 15 minutes. He expects a decision win for Cong.

by decision
"I'm gonna go Kong Wong here. I think she pieces her up and wins a decision here."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Cody agrees, highlighting Wang's volume and Moura's struggles at 125. He notes Moura's weight-cutting issues and inability to bully larger opponents. Cody expects Wang to dominate on the feet and win comfortably.

"Wang Kong's a little bit older... she's big for the division. She's physically strong."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Wang Cong

Connor agrees, noting that Wang has good instincts to counter wrestle and that Moura's game is meat-and-potatoes striking. He points out that Moura threw a lot against Lauren Murphy but landed very little, and that Wang will not be scared off. Connor expects Wang to win comfortably.

Wang opened at -300, currently -350; Moura opened at +250, currently +285
"I think that Wong can stuff enough of the grappling game to keep this fight in a contained distance striking where Mora is not comfortable."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Lucrative James picks Wang Cong to win by TKO in round three. He believes Wang's striking is far superior and that she will defend takedowns, while Moura tends to gas out. James notes Wang's chin might be a concern, but he trusts her takedown defense and striking volume to secure a late finish.

TKO in round 3
"My prediction is a knockout for Kong Wang in round three."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Wang Cong

The host picks Wang Cong by TKO in round three. He believes Wang's superior striking and takedown defense will be too much for Moura, who struggles to get takedowns and has poor cardio. He expects Wang to stick and move, punishing Moura's entries, and eventually put together a barrage in the third round for a finish.

round 3 TKO
"So, give me Kong Wang by round three, TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Wang Cong

Paul picks Wang Cong, citing her elite striking and physical strength. He notes Moura's lack of standout skills and poor striking defense. Paul expects Wang to outwork Moura and win a decision or late stoppage.

"Wang Kong's infinitely better striker. And on top of that, she's pretty good in the clinch."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Wang Cong

The host picks Wang Cong over Eduarda Moura. He notes Wang Cong is fundamentally sound on feet and ground, with good takedown defense. He thinks Moura has had close fights and stinkers, and if someone is sharper and can match her strength, they will do well. He expects Wang Cong to win.

"I'm going to go with Wang Cong over Eduarda Moura in my opinion."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Wang Cong

Zane picks Wang Cong, believing she can stuff enough of Moura's grappling to keep the fight at distance where Moura is uncomfortable. He notes that Moura's high-volume but low-accuracy striking will be dangerous against Wang, who is fast and accurate. Zane expects a tepid fight where Wang works her from long range.

Wang opened at -300, currently -350; Moura opened at +250, currently +285
"If I have to pick Kong Wong in that fight. Yeah. I think that Wong can stuff enough of the grappling game to keep this fight in a contained distance striking where Mora is not comfortable."
WIN vs Lauren Murphy
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Teixeira · Jul 12, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lauren Murphy 0 38 of 145 26% 67 of 179 2 of 9 22% 2 0 1:03
Eduarda Moura 0 64 of 235 27% 74 of 248 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lauren Murphy 0 6 of 33 18% 13 of 41 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:03
Eduarda Moura 0 19 of 58 32% 26 of 68 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:32
2 Lauren Murphy 0 11 of 51 21% 27 of 70 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Eduarda Moura 0 20 of 77 25% 22 of 79 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:23
3 Lauren Murphy 0 21 of 61 34% 27 of 68 1 of 5 20% 2 0 0:59
Eduarda Moura 0 25 of 100 25% 26 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lauren Murphy 38 of 145 26% 38 of 144 0 of 0 0 of 1 34 of 140 4 of 5 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 64 of 235 27% 52 of 221 1 of 2 11 of 12 64 of 234 0 of 0 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lauren Murphy 6 of 33 18% 6 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 1 6 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 19 of 58 32% 14 of 51 0 of 1 5 of 6 19 of 57 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Lauren Murphy 11 of 51 21% 11 of 51 0 of 0 0 of 0 8 of 47 3 of 4 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 20 of 77 25% 17 of 74 0 of 0 3 of 3 20 of 77 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Lauren Murphy 21 of 61 34% 21 of 61 0 of 0 0 of 0 20 of 60 1 of 1 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 25 of 100 25% 21 of 96 1 of 1 3 of 3 25 of 100 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 6, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Angelo believes Eduarda Moura is younger, faster, and a better grappler than the 41-year-old Lauren Murphy, who hasn't fought in two years. He thinks Murphy's toughness won't be enough against Moura's aggressive grappling and solid takedowns. He hates the -600 odds but thinks Moura wins 95% of the time and is okay to parlay.

Hates -600 odds but thinks Moura wins 95% of the time and is okay to parlay.
"Eduarda Mora is going to be the pick. I hate that she's minus 600."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jul 8, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady is disgusted by the -600 line on Eduarda Moura. He notes Moura's poor cardio and low volume, and Lauren Murphy's 70% takedown defense. However, he picks Moura by decision because Murphy is 41, hasn't fought in 2.5 years, and this is her retirement fight. He is not confident in the line.

decision
"I'm going to pick more here to win by decision, but I just don't see in what world she looks anywhere minus 600."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jul 9, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

The host is hesitant about this pick, noting that he doesn't understand why Moura is such a heavy favorite. He acknowledges Moura's grappling strength but also points out that Murphy has a physicality and striking advantage and could make the fight close. Ultimately, he expects Moura to win bits and pieces of the fight and get her hand raised on the scorecards.

"Mora again, prohibitive favorite. I don't really understand why. Uh she might be strong enough in the grappling realm to really put it on the 42-year-old uh Lauren Murphy, who's also been out of the cage for 2 and 1/2 …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

The MMA Guru picks Eduarda Moura, citing her better grappling entries and fight IQ in knowing when to shoot for takedowns. He heavily criticizes Lauren Murphy's last performance against Jessica Andrade, where she took a record amount of damage and had no answer. He notes Murphy's long layoff and age, and expects Moura to outwrestle and outstrike her for a 30-27 decision.

decision win 30-27
"I'm going to go with Eduardo Mora over Lauren Murphy. Eduardo Mora... I think she's got better grappling entries and I think that's going to be the difference here."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eduarda Moura 0 46 of 103 44% 61 of 119 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 26 of 76 34% 41 of 96 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eduarda Moura 0 13 of 39 33% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 10 of 35 28% 11 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
2 Eduarda Moura 0 12 of 18 66% 27 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 7 of 13 53% 21 of 31 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:02
3 Eduarda Moura 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 28 32% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eduarda Moura 46 of 103 44% 16 of 61 16 of 26 14 of 16 39 of 94 0 of 1 7 of 8
Veronica Hardy 26 of 76 34% 22 of 71 4 of 5 0 of 0 19 of 68 2 of 2 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eduarda Moura 13 of 39 33% 5 of 28 6 of 8 2 of 3 13 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 10 of 35 28% 8 of 33 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Eduarda Moura 12 of 18 66% 5 of 10 4 of 5 3 of 3 5 of 9 0 of 1 7 of 8
Veronica Hardy 7 of 13 53% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 2 of 2 5 of 6
3 Eduarda Moura 21 of 46 45% 6 of 23 6 of 13 9 of 10 21 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 9 of 28 32% 8 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Angelo picks Veronica Hardy, citing her superior striking, speed, and power. He notes that Eduarda Moura is a grappler with sloppy striking who may lose the same way she lost to Denise Gomes—by being outstruck. He acknowledges that Moura may get takedowns but believes Hardy's striking will be too much. He also mentions Hardy's marriage to Dan Hardy as a positive for her fight IQ and evolution.

"I think Veronica Hardy gets it done she will probably be taken down one or two times on the way but the Striking is so good it's so fast it's so powerful"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady picks the underdog Eduarda Moura, citing Veronica Hardy's poor takedown defense (60%) and tendency to be controlled on the ground. He notes that Hardy has been taken down and controlled by nearly every opponent except Juliana Miller, and believes Moura can use her physicality to get the fight to the mat and win minutes on top. He acknowledges Hardy's striking advantage but thinks Moura's grappling will be the difference, predicting a decision win.

"right off the bat here I'm going to be taking the the underdog in edwarda Mara"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Veronica Hardy, citing her speed, footwork, and improved training with Dan Hardy. He notes Moura is a weight bully moving up who has missed weight and has poor takedown efficiency. Cody expects Hardy to counter-strike and avoid takedowns, winning a decision.

"I took some Hardy a little bit early in the week when it was minus 125 I still think she wins"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Connor agrees, noting that Hardy has become a good fighter under Dan Hardy's coaching. He mentions that Hardy's anxiety issues have improved and that she is now a fast, powerful athlete. Connor thinks Moura's toolkit is only effective against bad athletes and that Hardy will win.

"Yeah, also is probably just another instance of getting to a point where you have a real camp because I think despite being a good athlete. She was also out of shape early in her career."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Daniel Vreeland leans towards Veronica Hardy via decision, citing her speed, footwork, and improved takedown defense. He notes Moura's one-dimensional grappling and tendency to gas. He acknowledges Moura's strength and submission threat but believes Hardy can avoid takedowns and win on the feet. He calls it a 'lean' and not confident.

decision
"I'm gonna lean towards Hardy with with the speed with the footwork"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2024 (fight day)
Veronica Hardy

The host expects Hardy's matured game plan to come through, citing her speed and agility on the feet to touch up Moura. He also notes Hardy's active guard off her back could allow a submission in the second or third round, but officially picks her by decision.

"I'm expecting Hardy's matured game plan to come through here as she has showcased over her last three fights her Speed and Agility on the feet should allow her to touch up Mora and her active guard off her back …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Paul picks Veronica Hardy, agreeing with Cody. He notes Hardy's three-fight winning streak, improved training, and speed advantage. Paul expects Hardy to use her range and counter-striking to win a decision, possibly by outworking Moura.

"I would think Veronica Hardy goes out there and continues the win streak"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, noting that Eduarda Moura is big but lacks skill. He mentions Moura took Denise Gomes to a split decision, but he still favors Hardy's overall ability.

"I'm going to go with Veronica Hardy here... she's actually pretty decent eduard Mora is big I will say that she's a big woman um skill uh doesn't seem to be much of that going"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Zane picks Hardy, impressed by her recent maturation and athleticism. He notes that Moura is slow and one-dimensional, relying solely on takedowns. Zane believes Hardy's speed, power, and improved confidence will allow her to stuff takedowns and punish Moura on the feet.

Odds: Hardy opened -153, now -142; Moura opened +137, now +127.
"I think I'm gonna pick Hardy here. Yeah, I think I've been pretty impressed with Veronica Hardy."
LOSS vs Denise Gomes
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Jun 08, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Denise Gomes 0 18 of 47 38% 27 of 66 5 of 26 19% 0 0 6:36
Eduarda Moura 0 50 of 88 56% 137 of 184 0 of 1 0% 1 2 2:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Denise Gomes 0 4 of 11 36% 9 of 25 2 of 9 22% 0 0 3:11
Eduarda Moura 0 7 of 16 43% 32 of 47 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:48
2 Denise Gomes 0 5 of 7 71% 9 of 12 2 of 9 22% 0 0 1:58
Eduarda Moura 0 21 of 37 56% 69 of 88 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:20
3 Denise Gomes 0 9 of 29 31% 9 of 29 1 of 8 12% 0 0 1:27
Eduarda Moura 0 22 of 35 62% 36 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Denise Gomes 18 of 47 38% 12 of 40 4 of 5 2 of 2 12 of 39 5 of 6 1 of 2
Eduarda Moura 50 of 88 56% 19 of 46 22 of 30 9 of 12 31 of 60 17 of 22 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Denise Gomes 4 of 11 36% 2 of 8 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 5 3 of 4 1 of 2
Eduarda Moura 7 of 16 43% 1 of 7 5 of 7 1 of 2 3 of 9 4 of 6 0 of 1
2 Denise Gomes 5 of 7 71% 3 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 5 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 21 of 37 56% 11 of 24 10 of 12 0 of 1 6 of 17 13 of 15 2 of 5
3 Denise Gomes 9 of 29 31% 7 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0
Eduarda Moura 22 of 35 62% 7 of 15 7 of 11 8 of 9 22 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Angelo picks Eduarda Moura, emphasizing her solid grappling and takedowns. He notes that she took down a national wrestling champion (Monsterrat Ruiz) three times, while Angela Hill took down Denise Gomes five times. He believes Eduarda's wrestling will be too much for Denise, who is primarily a striker. He thinks Eduarda will get takedowns and control the fight, possibly winning a decision or getting a finish.

"if Angela Hill can take down Denise Gomes five times and eduarda MOA can take down a national wrestling champion three times who wins this fight"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady picks Eduarda Moura to win by second-round TKO. He notes that Moura is physically strong and can get the fight to the mat, where she has vicious ground and pound. He is concerned about Moura's chin being up in the air, but believes she can implement her will and finish Denise Gomes, who has shown poor takedown defense against Angela Hill and Loma Lookboonmee.

TKO round 2
"I like MAA still not 100% bought in or nothing like that but I think stylistically this is a match up where she can Implement her will get the fight down to the mat and win this fight I'll say …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Cody picks Moura, noting that Gomes is undersized and has poor takedown defense. Moura is a weight bully with strong grappling and has dominated opponents on the ground. Cody believes Moura will take Gomes down and submit or ground-and-pound her. He sees this as a clear stylistic advantage.

"I honestly think that this is like one way TR it's like the Melissa G fight from a couple weeks ago like it could go another way it could possibly turn into this but it's like you got a girl …"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Denise Gomes

Daniel picks Gomes for the upset, citing a market overcorrection and her striking advantage. He notes Moura must take Gomes down to win, as Gomes has lost when taken down repeatedly. He hopes Gomes can keep the fight standing and light Moura up.

upset
"I'm going Denise here for the upset"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 7, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Denise Gomes

Jacob picks Denise Gomes, disagreeing with Angelo. He argues that Eduarda Moura is a weight bully who will gas after the first round, as seen in her previous fights. He notes that Denise is tough, has power in her hands, and will pressure Eduarda. He predicts that after Eduarda's takedowns slow down in the second round, Denise will land a right hand and finish her. He also points out that Eduarda's standup is poor with her chin up.

Denise Gomes wins by KO/TKO in round 2
"Denise is going to pressure and Denise going to pressure and eventually she GNA land that right hand because if I know anything about darar Mara and her standup game oh is that chin up"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Moura is a weight bully with strong top pressure and grappling, while Gomes has been grinded out by strikers in the past. Moura's height and reach advantage will help her take the fight to the ground and eventually finish via submission or TKO. Gomes' striking advantage won't matter if she can't keep it standing.

inside the distance, submission or TKO
"give me MOA MOA inside the distance maybe submission maybe TKO but do think sh ends up getting the victory here by Finnish"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Paul agrees with Cody's reasoning but is hesitant to lay the minus 170 price in a women's strawweight fight. He acknowledges Moura's grappling advantage but notes that Gomes has knockout power. Paul thinks Moura is the play but might not bet it.

"MOA is the play but uh I don't know minus 170 uh women's straway fight I don't know if I'm going to be betting that to be perfectly honest"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 5, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

The Guru picks Moura because she is a touted undefeated prospect (10-0) with a strong grappling game, and Denise Gomes has shown weaknesses in grappling, recently losing a grappling match. He acknowledges Gomes has KO power but trusts Moura's grappling advantage to get a submission. He also notes Moura missed weight by 4 pounds, which he finds amusing.

Submission win prediction
"I'm going to side with eduarda MOA I think she'll have the grappling Advantage"
TKO (punches) R2 2:14 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · Nov 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eduarda Moura 0 57 of 77 74% 102 of 139 3 of 3 100% 0 0 5:57
Montserrat Ruiz 0 5 of 22 22% 9 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eduarda Moura 0 32 of 40 80% 70 of 92 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:23
Montserrat Ruiz 0 3 of 12 25% 7 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Eduarda Moura 0 25 of 37 67% 32 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:34
Montserrat Ruiz 0 2 of 10 20% 2 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eduarda Moura 57 of 77 74% 55 of 75 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 1 of 1 51 of 64
Montserrat Ruiz 5 of 22 22% 0 of 15 0 of 2 5 of 5 5 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eduarda Moura 32 of 40 80% 32 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 31 of 35
Montserrat Ruiz 3 of 12 25% 0 of 9 0 of 0 3 of 3 3 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Eduarda Moura 25 of 37 67% 23 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 7 1 of 1 20 of 29
Montserrat Ruiz 2 of 10 20% 0 of 6 0 of 2 2 of 2 2 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Angelo picks Eduarda Moura despite fading high-level wrestlers, because Montserrat Ruiz hasn't shown her wrestling consistently in the UFC. He notes Ruiz gets taken down and hit, and thinks the UFC is feeding her to Moura. However, he does not bet on this fight because Moura is a UFC newcomer in the favorite spot.

no bet
"I got to go Edward here I hate fading highle wrestlers but we just haven't seen it at a moner right"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 30, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady picks Eduarda Moura to win by first-round submission. He notes that Moura is much bigger, has vicious ground and pound, and forces opponents to give up their back. He compares her favorably to Jacqueline Amorim, who dominated Ruiz but lacked finishing ground and pound. He questions why Ruiz is in the UFC, citing her inactivity and recent loss.

"give me Ed War to win this fight by first round submission"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Daniel Levi picks Eduarda Moura, noting her physicality, size advantage (6 inches taller), and strong wrestling and grappling. He sees Ruiz as a one-dimensional fighter who relies on head-and-arm throws, which won't work against a stronger opponent. Levi expects Moura to neutralize Ruiz and win by submission or ground-and-pound TKO. He acknowledges the risk of laying heavy chalk on a female fighter making her debut, but believes the matchup is favorable.

Moura wins by submission, Moura wins by TKO
"I will pick that minus 600... probably emphatically too."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 4, 2023 (fight day)
Eduarda Moura

James predicts Moura will dominate due to her size advantage and physicality, noting she has a 6-inch height advantage over Ruiz. He acknowledges that Moura is inexperienced with only 1.5 years as a pro and that she struggled in a grappling exchange against a Muay Thai fighter in 2021, but he believes she has improved significantly since then. He sees Ruiz as offering little and expects Moura to get takedowns easily and control the fight. However, he is annoyed that the line is -600, which he considers crazy, and he would have liked to bet against Moura if the opponent were different.

James mentions that Moura missed weight by 4 pounds, but he still expects her to win. He does not place a bet due to the high price.
"I am predicting Mora to like dominate I I I really am because I've seen Ruiz taken down multiple times."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Moura is very strong and physical for the weight class, and will likely take Ruiz to the ground and smash her from top position. Ruiz is a one-trick pony with a head and arm throw, and Moura will be too big and strong for her. Moura should get the fight to the ground and eventually get a finish.

"I think Mara is just going to be too big for her, too strong for her and that should allow Mara to get this fight to the ground and I think that will eventually allow her to get to a …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 31, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

The MMA Guru picks Eduarda Moura over Montserrat Ruiz. He highlights Moura's grappling advantage, noting her impressive takedown entries on the Contender Series. He also points out a significant size and reach advantage for Moura, with Ruiz being very small for the division. The Guru believes Moura is more skilled overall and will win convincingly, likely via grappling.

"I'm going to go with Eduardo Mora... she's a way more skilled opponent... edir MOA going to be a lot taller got a 6in reach Advantage here"
Veronica Hardy - Fight History
SCHED vs Dione Barbosa
UFC Fight Night 281 · Jul 18, 2026
WIN vs Brogan Walker
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 1 39 of 75 52% 53 of 94 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:36
Brogan Walker 0 22 of 60 36% 30 of 70 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:55
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 20 45% 23 of 39 0 of 0 --- 1 0 2:36
Brogan Walker 0 7 of 15 46% 15 of 25 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:11
2 Veronica Hardy 1 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brogan Walker 0 8 of 25 32% 8 of 25 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:13
3 Veronica Hardy 0 14 of 26 53% 14 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Brogan Walker 0 7 of 20 35% 7 of 20 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 39 of 75 52% 31 of 65 2 of 4 6 of 6 32 of 65 4 of 4 3 of 6
Brogan Walker 22 of 60 36% 12 of 49 3 of 3 7 of 8 16 of 49 2 of 2 4 of 9
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 9 of 20 45% 8 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1 5 of 13 1 of 1 3 of 6
Brogan Walker 7 of 15 46% 1 of 9 2 of 2 4 of 4 2 of 8 2 of 2 3 of 5
2 Veronica Hardy 16 of 29 55% 12 of 24 2 of 3 2 of 2 14 of 27 2 of 2 0 of 0
Brogan Walker 8 of 25 32% 5 of 21 1 of 1 2 of 3 7 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 4
3 Veronica Hardy 14 of 26 53% 11 of 22 0 of 1 3 of 3 13 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
Brogan Walker 7 of 20 35% 6 of 19 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Angelo is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her a 5-to-1 favorite who should be 10-to-1. He highlights her Taekwondo background, good footwork, technical striking, and ability to cut angles. He notes she also has clean takedowns and high fight IQ, while Brogan Walker is described as not very good at fighting, with a gifted BJJ black belt and infrequent fights. He expects an easy win for Hardy.

"Veronica Hardy at more than a 5 to1 favorite taking on Broen Walker. Frankly, she should be a 10 to1 favorite."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Big Brady is very confident in Veronica Hardy, calling her the second biggest favorite at -825. He notes that Brogan Walker is 36 years old, hasn't fought in two and a half years, and looked awful in her last two fights. He believes Hardy is better everywhere—striking, wrestling, and grappling—and that Hardy would have to try really hard to lose. He predicts a decision win for Hardy.

"Veronica Hardy should win this fight. I think she's better everywhere. She's the better striker. She's the better wrestler. ... Give me Veronica Hardy. Veronica Hardy by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Hardy because Walker is uncoordinated and has not shown improvement. He notes that Hardy is a good athlete with a technical base, and even though she used to fall apart early in her career, she has become a more competitive fighter. He expects Hardy to win easily.

Hardy opened at -400, currently -825; Walker opened at +330, currently +575. Connor comments: 'You don't need Brogan Walker in the UFC.'
"I just have to assume she's kind of raised by Walker."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Veronica Hardy

Hardy is a heavy favorite at minus 800, but the host does not consider it bet-worthy. He expects Hardy to chip away at Walker and win on the scorecards, noting Walker's extended layoff of two and a half years.

not bet worthy at -800
"Hardy, even at minus 800, is just not betting bet worthy in this spot. I still expect her to go out there, chip away at Walker, and win this fight on the scorecards."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, citing her technical striking and submission game. He notes that while she struggles against physical opponents, Brogan Walker hasn't shown enough to win. He expects a close 29-28 decision, with Hardy's technical kicks and submissions being the difference.

"I'm going to go with Veronica Hardy to start this off."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Zane picks Hardy confidently, stating that Brogan Walker is really bad and uncoordinated, and has not fought in over two years. He notes that Hardy is fast, technical, and has become a consistent round-to-round fighter with good conditioning and well-rounded skills. He believes Hardy will easily outclass Walker.

Hardy opened at -400, currently -825; Walker opened at +330, currently +575. Zane comments: 'You don't need Brogan Walker in the UFC.'
"I just have to assume she's kind of raised by Walker."
LOSS vs Eduarda Moura
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · Nov 16, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eduarda Moura 0 46 of 103 44% 61 of 119 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 26 of 76 34% 41 of 96 3 of 4 75% 0 0 4:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eduarda Moura 0 13 of 39 33% 13 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 10 of 35 28% 11 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:11
2 Eduarda Moura 0 12 of 18 66% 27 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 7 of 13 53% 21 of 31 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:02
3 Eduarda Moura 0 21 of 46 45% 21 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 28 32% 9 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eduarda Moura 46 of 103 44% 16 of 61 16 of 26 14 of 16 39 of 94 0 of 1 7 of 8
Veronica Hardy 26 of 76 34% 22 of 71 4 of 5 0 of 0 19 of 68 2 of 2 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eduarda Moura 13 of 39 33% 5 of 28 6 of 8 2 of 3 13 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 10 of 35 28% 8 of 33 2 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Eduarda Moura 12 of 18 66% 5 of 10 4 of 5 3 of 3 5 of 9 0 of 1 7 of 8
Veronica Hardy 7 of 13 53% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 5 2 of 2 5 of 6
3 Eduarda Moura 21 of 46 45% 6 of 23 6 of 13 9 of 10 21 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 9 of 28 32% 8 of 26 1 of 2 0 of 0 9 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Angelo picks Veronica Hardy, citing her superior striking, speed, and power. He notes that Eduarda Moura is a grappler with sloppy striking who may lose the same way she lost to Denise Gomes—by being outstruck. He acknowledges that Moura may get takedowns but believes Hardy's striking will be too much. He also mentions Hardy's marriage to Dan Hardy as a positive for her fight IQ and evolution.

"I think Veronica Hardy gets it done she will probably be taken down one or two times on the way but the Striking is so good it's so fast it's so powerful"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady picks the underdog Eduarda Moura, citing Veronica Hardy's poor takedown defense (60%) and tendency to be controlled on the ground. He notes that Hardy has been taken down and controlled by nearly every opponent except Juliana Miller, and believes Moura can use her physicality to get the fight to the mat and win minutes on top. He acknowledges Hardy's striking advantage but thinks Moura's grappling will be the difference, predicting a decision win.

"right off the bat here I'm going to be taking the the underdog in edwarda Mara"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Veronica Hardy, citing her speed, footwork, and improved training with Dan Hardy. He notes Moura is a weight bully moving up who has missed weight and has poor takedown efficiency. Cody expects Hardy to counter-strike and avoid takedowns, winning a decision.

"I took some Hardy a little bit early in the week when it was minus 125 I still think she wins"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Connor agrees, noting that Hardy has become a good fighter under Dan Hardy's coaching. He mentions that Hardy's anxiety issues have improved and that she is now a fast, powerful athlete. Connor thinks Moura's toolkit is only effective against bad athletes and that Hardy will win.

"Yeah, also is probably just another instance of getting to a point where you have a real camp because I think despite being a good athlete. She was also out of shape early in her career."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Daniel Vreeland leans towards Veronica Hardy via decision, citing her speed, footwork, and improved takedown defense. He notes Moura's one-dimensional grappling and tendency to gas. He acknowledges Moura's strength and submission threat but believes Hardy can avoid takedowns and win on the feet. He calls it a 'lean' and not confident.

decision
"I'm gonna lean towards Hardy with with the speed with the footwork"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2024 (fight day)
Veronica Hardy

The host expects Hardy's matured game plan to come through, citing her speed and agility on the feet to touch up Moura. He also notes Hardy's active guard off her back could allow a submission in the second or third round, but officially picks her by decision.

"I'm expecting Hardy's matured game plan to come through here as she has showcased over her last three fights her Speed and Agility on the feet should allow her to touch up Mora and her active guard off her back …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Paul picks Veronica Hardy, agreeing with Cody. He notes Hardy's three-fight winning streak, improved training, and speed advantage. Paul expects Hardy to use her range and counter-striking to win a decision, possibly by outworking Moura.

"I would think Veronica Hardy goes out there and continues the win streak"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, noting that Eduarda Moura is big but lacks skill. He mentions Moura took Denise Gomes to a split decision, but he still favors Hardy's overall ability.

"I'm going to go with Veronica Hardy here... she's actually pretty decent eduard Mora is big I will say that she's a big woman um skill uh doesn't seem to be much of that going"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Zane picks Hardy, impressed by her recent maturation and athleticism. He notes that Moura is slow and one-dimensional, relying solely on takedowns. Zane believes Hardy's speed, power, and improved confidence will allow her to stuff takedowns and punish Moura on the feet.

Odds: Hardy opened -153, now -142; Moura opened +137, now +127.
"I think I'm gonna pick Hardy here. Yeah, I think I've been pretty impressed with Veronica Hardy."
WIN vs JJ Aldrich
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Lewis vs. Nascimento · May 11, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 27 of 63 42% 38 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 5:09
JJ Aldrich 0 36 of 78 46% 69 of 113 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 9 of 24 37% 10 of 25 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:34
JJ Aldrich 0 14 of 24 58% 26 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Veronica Hardy 0 8 of 18 44% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:12
JJ Aldrich 0 15 of 35 42% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Veronica Hardy 0 10 of 21 47% 18 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:23
JJ Aldrich 0 7 of 19 36% 22 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 27 of 63 42% 19 of 51 8 of 11 0 of 1 15 of 47 8 of 9 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 36 of 78 46% 22 of 60 3 of 6 11 of 12 30 of 68 6 of 9 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 9 of 24 37% 8 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 19 4 of 5 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 14 of 24 58% 10 of 19 0 of 1 4 of 4 11 of 19 3 of 5 0 of 0
2 Veronica Hardy 8 of 18 44% 5 of 14 3 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 14 4 of 4 0 of 0
JJ Aldrich 15 of 35 42% 10 of 28 2 of 3 3 of 4 12 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Veronica Hardy 10 of 21 47% 6 of 14 4 of 6 0 of 1 6 of 14 0 of 0 4 of 7
JJ Aldrich 7 of 19 36% 2 of 13 1 of 2 4 of 4 7 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked May 5, 2024 (6 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

Angelo picks JJ Aldrich as an underdog, citing her improved striking and takedown defense in her last two fights. He notes she has an experience edge and a willingness to move forward. He acknowledges Veronica Hardy's technical striking and wrestling but believes Aldrich is more well-rounded. He also bets the over 2.5 rounds.

over 2.5 rounds
"the slight lean is going to be JJ Aldrich"
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked May 8, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Big Brady picks Veronica Hardy because she is younger and has shown improvement since her layoff, looking like a completely different fighter. He notes that Hardy beat Juliana Miller decisively and had a competitive split decision win over Jamey-Lyn Horth. However, he acknowledges the fight is extremely close and expects it to go to a split decision, with the judges being unreliable. He prefers Hardy's upside over Aldridge's decent but limited game.

"as far as a pick I'm going to go Hardy just because she's younger I think she's going to be more likely to be making improvements"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Hardy, citing her improvements since marrying Dan Hardy. He notes that she has shown a well-rounded game, including takedowns and smart game plans. He believes she can mix in takedowns to keep Aldrich guessing and outwork her on the feet. Cody also mentions that Hardy trained at Renzo Gracie's for this camp, indicating a focus on grappling. He expects Hardy to win a competitive decision.

"I think Veronica Hardy keeps the momentum going keeps the win streak going"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 9, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Daniel Vreeland picks Veronica Hardy, noting her improvements in strength and conditioning and her ability to get back up from bottom. He believes Hardy has leveled up, while JJ Aldrich has remained the same. He predicts a decision win for Hardy, though he doesn't like the short price.

by decision
"I'm going to go Veronica Hardy to win this decision."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The host leans Hardy due to her movement and speed, which will allow her to land effective damage in the first 6-7 minutes. He notes that Aldrich is not as aggressive as Hardy's previous opponent, allowing Hardy to dictate range. He expects Hardy to win on the scorecards, though Aldrich's countering ability could catch up later. The pick is a lean, not a strong bet.

"I'm going to lean Hardy here and I think we see her go out there touch up JJ Aldrich over the course of 15 minutes and win this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Paul picks Hardy, noting that she was his first bet of the week. He highlights her takedown game and improved grappling since her return. He thinks Aldrich's takedown defense is inconsistent and that Hardy can exploit it. Paul also notes that Hardy's striking is competitive and that the threat of takedowns will slow Aldrich's volume. He is confident in Hardy.

"Hardy was the first bet that I made this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 7, 2024 (4 days before fight)
JJ Aldrich

The MMA Guru picks JJ Aldrich over Veronica Hardy, citing Aldrich's superior competition, size, reach, and aggression. He notes Hardy's recent wins came against lower-level opponents and that Aldrich is a career fighter with more to prove. He also mentions Aldrich's takedown defense and physicality in the clinch as key factors.

"I'm actually going to go against Veronica Hardy here... I think JJ Aldridge is a step above her recent competition."
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · Dec 02, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 43 of 101 42% 61 of 122 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:34
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 43 of 87 49% 74 of 125 1 of 3 33% 0 0 3:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 17 of 37 45% 17 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 16 of 34 47% 16 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Veronica Hardy 0 13 of 33 39% 19 of 40 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:51
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 7 of 21 33% 23 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:43
3 Veronica Hardy 0 13 of 31 41% 25 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:30
Jamey-Lyn Horth 0 20 of 32 62% 35 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 43 of 101 42% 29 of 86 11 of 11 3 of 4 30 of 81 13 of 20 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 43 of 87 49% 16 of 49 20 of 26 7 of 12 23 of 59 20 of 28 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 17 of 37 45% 12 of 31 4 of 4 1 of 2 12 of 31 5 of 6 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 16 of 34 47% 5 of 17 6 of 8 5 of 9 12 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Veronica Hardy 13 of 33 39% 10 of 30 3 of 3 0 of 0 8 of 26 5 of 7 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 7 of 21 33% 0 of 12 6 of 7 1 of 2 4 of 16 3 of 5 0 of 0
3 Veronica Hardy 13 of 31 41% 7 of 25 4 of 4 2 of 2 10 of 24 3 of 7 0 of 0
Jamey-Lyn Horth 20 of 32 62% 11 of 20 8 of 11 1 of 1 7 of 13 13 of 19 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Veronica Hardy vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Hardy (-112), Horth (-108)

Round 1
Women’s flyweights get the ball rolling, as Hardy (7-4-1, 2-4 UFC) takes on the undefeated Horth at 125 pounds. The 33-year-old Horth (6-0, 1-0 UFC) has finished five of her first six opponents. Mark Smith draws the officiating assignment. They touch gloves, and we are underway in the Texas capital. They spend the first 45 seconds sizing up one another. Horth slips on a kick and eats a right hand for her troubles. The Canadian has a significant size advantage. They trade body kicks, and Hardy circles on the perimeter. The Venezuelan lands an inside leg kicks, and Horth returns fire with one of her own. Not much in terms of meaningful offense from either women in what has been a tepid start. Hardy unleashes and overhand left, setting off a brief flurry between the two. She then pins Horth along the fence and scores with punches from both hands. Hardy initiating a majority of the exchanges. She sits down an off-balance Horth with a one-two, then engages the Canadian in the clinch. Hardy complains about an eye poke, and Smith decides to pause the action. Horth declines attention from the cageside physician, and the two women get back to business.
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Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy

Round 2
Hardy pumps out her jab in a bid to gauge distance, then fires a few left hands over the top. Horth not doing much to maximize her physical advantages. Hardy darts in and out of the pocket, punctuating a combination with a kick to the body. Speed a definite factor in the Venezuelan’s favor. Hardy gets in and gets out with punches before the Canadian can answer. Horth pulls guard, but Hardy lifts her back to her feet and engages her in the clinch. She lands a close-range elbow over the top but absorbs a few knees to the body. They continue to jockey for position in the clinch, then separate. Horth closes the distance and completes a takedown, setting up shop in full guard with a minute to go. She scores with body-head combinations from the top but not yet connecting with anything significant. Horth stands up and absorbs a upkick to the chest that knocks her off-balance for an instant. She finishes the round in top position.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Hardy
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Hardy

Round 3
Hardy steps into a two-punch combination from her southpaw stance, then fires a kick to the body and another to the leg. Horth lands an elbow over the top that gets Hardy’s attention, then sticks the Venezuelan with a right hand. Hardy follows a body kick with a left hook. Horth turning to elbows in the standup exchanges, making her first noticeable adjustment on the feet. She once again ties up Hardy along the fence, fires a knee to the body and separates. They both connect on the break. Hardy slams another kick into the Canadian’s midsection. Horth closes the distance, plants an elbow upstairs and moves into the clinch. They trade knees to the legs. Hardy doing everything she can to stay upright. Horth hacks away with elbows to the head and eats a few punches. She drops an off-balance Hardy with a stepping elbow, but the Venezuelan gets back to her feet. They engage one another in the clinch. Hardy counters a takedown into top position, and they scramble back to a standing position, trading along the fence to close it out.

Sherdog Scores
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Horth (29-28 Hardy)

The Official Result
Veronica Hardy def. Jamey Lyn-Horth—Split Decision (28-29, 29-28, 29-28)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Big Brady believes Jamey-Lyn Horth is being undervalued after the line flipped from Hardy being a big underdog. He notes Horth has a three-inch height and reach advantage, plus a strength advantage, and should be able to dictate where the fight takes place. He thinks Horth is the better striker and can stuff takedowns or get her own. He predicts a decision win for Horth.

"I like jam Lin horth here to win this fight win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Hardy as an underdog. He thinks Hardy's speed, footwork, and game plan with Dan Hardy can overcome Horth's size. He notes Hardy looked great in her last fight after a layoff. He believes if Hardy uses lateral movement and mixes in takedowns, she can win. He acknowledges Horth's strength but thinks Hardy's technique and game plan are key.

"Hardy will be the pick for me horth is the pick for you the markets are insane on that one"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Lucrative James picks Veronica Hardy, citing her improved striking and speed advantage. He notes that while Jamey-Lyn Horth is a decent fighter with good wins, Hardy's in-and-out movement and early-round success should carry her. He acknowledges that Horth may grow into the fight later, but believes Hardy will have enough gas to win the early rounds and secure the victory.

"overall I think hard's gonna win the fight I feel like she's going to have enough gas to last and she's probably going to win the early round so I'm going to give her the edge for that reason"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 30, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Hardy's lateral footwork, speed, and striking from distance, combined with improved grappling from training with Dan Hardy, should allow her to exploit Horth's weaknesses on the ground. Horth is undefeated but has shown vulnerability when put in bad positions. Hardy's fight IQ and cardio will be key to wearing Horth down over three rounds. The plus 155 underdog price is seen as a good value spot.

plus 155 underdog, decision win predicted
"I see Hardy around plus 155 right now I think that's a damn good Underdog spot here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Nov 29, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

Paul picks Horth, citing her size and strength. He thinks she can grind out Hardy. He notes the line movement is strange but he's going with the Canadian. He acknowledges Hardy's speed and game plan but believes Horth's physicality will be too much.

"I'm a coward so I'm go with the Canadian girl hor"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Nov 28, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Jamey-Lyn Horth

The MMA Guru picks Jamey-Lyn Horth over Veronica Hardy, citing Horth's physicality advantage and post-30-year-old female rage. He acknowledges Hardy may be more technical but believes Horth's size and reach will be decisive. He expects a close decision, likely 29-28, and goes with the larger fighter.

decision likely, 29-28
"I am going to be going against Veronica Hardy here and I'm going to be going with Jamey-Lyn Horth... she's a lot larger than Veronica Hardy as well... I think she's going to have a big physicality advantage."
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 30 of 79 37% 49 of 98 0 of 3 0% 3 0 1:19
Juliana Miller 0 62 of 77 80% 78 of 95 4 of 4 100% 0 0 7:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 19 of 45 42% 25 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:46
Juliana Miller 0 26 of 35 74% 32 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:42
2 Veronica Hardy 0 8 of 20 40% 12 of 24 0 of 2 0% 2 0 0:19
Juliana Miller 0 16 of 19 84% 20 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:45
3 Veronica Hardy 0 3 of 14 21% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:14
Juliana Miller 0 20 of 23 86% 26 of 30 4 of 4 100% 0 0 3:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 30 of 79 37% 20 of 63 9 of 14 1 of 2 22 of 65 7 of 9 1 of 5
Juliana Miller 62 of 77 80% 39 of 52 12 of 14 11 of 11 32 of 43 5 of 6 25 of 28
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 19 of 45 42% 12 of 35 7 of 9 0 of 1 14 of 39 5 of 6 0 of 0
Juliana Miller 26 of 35 74% 19 of 27 1 of 2 6 of 6 18 of 27 5 of 5 3 of 3
2 Veronica Hardy 8 of 20 40% 7 of 18 0 of 1 1 of 1 7 of 16 0 of 0 1 of 4
Juliana Miller 16 of 19 84% 14 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 7 0 of 0 9 of 12
3 Veronica Hardy 3 of 14 21% 1 of 10 2 of 4 0 of 0 1 of 10 2 of 3 0 of 1
Juliana Miller 20 of 23 86% 6 of 8 9 of 10 5 of 5 7 of 9 0 of 1 13 of 13
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Angelo acknowledges Juliana Miller is ferocious and has impressive scramble skills, but he notes she is not very polished and only has four professional fights. He is wary of betting on women's MMA after JJ Aldrich's loss and refuses to lay -450 on a fighter he considers not very good. He sees this as a setup win for Miller but is staying away from betting.

"Juliana Miller is not very good she's not polished she's a little wild she is tenacious she will go out there she will fight for your money but she's not very good and there is not a world where I'm …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Big Brady picks Juliana Miller, noting she made improvements in her last fight against Brogan Walker, especially in wrestling. He is concerned about Miller's striking defense and hittability, but believes she can take the fight down and finish. He is not confident enough to lay -450, but sees Miller's path to victory via TKO or submission. He mentions Hardy has not fought in three years and looked awful in her last UFC stint.

"I like Juliana Miller here I like her to finish this fight"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Cody picks Miller, citing her grappling advantage and Hardy's susceptibility to takedowns. He notes Miller's striking is poor but if she gets the fight to the ground, she should win. He worries about Miller's mental lapses and the crowd atmosphere, but thinks she is the better fighter. He says minus 450 is scary but Miller should roll.

Juliana Miller by submission
"I gotta go with Juliana Miller but again like minus 450 screams big favorite and we're confident and love it and it's going to be up there and she may go in there and look like a minus 10 000 …"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Connor picks Miller, citing Hardy's inefficiency and poor fight IQ. He notes that Hardy burns energy quickly and makes bad decisions, while Miller is relentless with her wrestling and top pressure. Connor believes Miller will take Hardy down and grind her out, despite Miller's own technical flaws.

"Miller is a huge favorite... she's going to get to strong positions and just slowly break Veronica Hardy."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Jacob thinks Juliana Miller should win but has low confidence due to the unpredictability of women's MMA. He notes Veronica Hardy has been away for three years and could look great or rusty. He likes the under 2.5 rounds at even money because Miller should steamroll Hardy, but he is not betting the moneyline.

under 2.5 rounds at +100
"I think that under two and a half is pretty good value at even money because Julian Miller should hypothetically come in and just kind of steamroll Veronica."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Miller's grappling is her calling card, but her striking is technically deficient and leaves openings. Hardy has a long layoff and is poor off her back unless she throws up a Hail Mary submission. Miller's relentless pace and top control should lead to a finish in the latter half. The fight doesn't go to decision is the favorite spot.

fight doesn't go to decision
"what I'll be looking at Target is actually the fight doesn't go to decision with Miller likely getting her hand raised with that top control"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Paul picks Miller, noting Hardy's strange career path and long layoff. He says Hardy is surprisingly only 27 but has been doing broadcasting and may not be fully committed. He thinks Miller's tenacity and grappling will be too much. He says minus 450 scares him but he sees more upside from Miller.

"I'm picking Miller as well... Hardy is surprisingly still only 27... I see more upside from a uh Prospect uh standpoint from Julianna Miller"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

The MMA Guru picks Juliana Miller over Veronica Hardy, citing Hardy's lack of commitment and long layoffs. He notes Hardy has not been active and seems to treat MMA as a hobby, while Miller has more recent experience including fights on The Ultimate Fighter. He predicts Miller will win by decision, acknowledging Hardy's dangerous submission game off her back but favoring Miller's mindset and activity.

Miller wins by decision
"I'm gonna go with Juliana Miller to hustle when she needs to and win herself this fight by decision over Veronica macedo"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Juliana Miller

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Hardy's taekwondo-based style leaves her vulnerable to pressure. He points out that Hardy gasses quickly and cannot manage distance well. Zane expects Miller's aggressive wrestling and top control to be too much for Hardy, who has no answer for a relentless grappler.

"She just has some fundamental issues that she cannot iron out."
LOSS vs Bea Malecki
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · Mar 14, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Bea Malecki 0 93 of 258 36% 106 of 271 0 of 9 0% 0 0 0:12
Veronica Hardy 0 130 of 247 52% 190 of 326 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:23
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Bea Malecki 0 37 of 112 33% 37 of 112 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Veronica Hardy 0 36 of 81 44% 36 of 81 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Bea Malecki 0 24 of 70 34% 28 of 74 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:02
Veronica Hardy 0 48 of 87 55% 84 of 139 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:54
3 Bea Malecki 0 32 of 76 42% 41 of 85 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:10
Veronica Hardy 0 46 of 79 58% 70 of 106 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Bea Malecki 93 of 258 36% 67 of 213 14 of 30 12 of 15 90 of 246 3 of 12 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 130 of 247 52% 92 of 191 34 of 50 4 of 6 107 of 214 11 of 13 12 of 20
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Bea Malecki 37 of 112 33% 19 of 83 10 of 21 8 of 8 36 of 106 1 of 6 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 36 of 81 44% 25 of 59 9 of 20 2 of 2 35 of 78 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Bea Malecki 24 of 70 34% 18 of 61 3 of 3 3 of 6 24 of 67 0 of 3 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 48 of 87 55% 35 of 70 13 of 16 0 of 1 32 of 64 6 of 6 10 of 17
3 Bea Malecki 32 of 76 42% 30 of 69 1 of 6 1 of 1 30 of 73 2 of 3 0 of 0
Veronica Hardy 46 of 79 58% 32 of 62 12 of 14 2 of 3 40 of 72 4 of 4 2 of 3
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Mar 12, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Bea Malecki

Daniel sees this as a 50/50 fight and likes the dog. He notes Malecki's size advantage and Muay Thai skills, and thinks she can keep the fight at range. He's not confident in Macedo's ability to take over in the third round, so he sides with the underdog.

"I actually think my Leki's gonna come out here with their one a no record and pull off the upset"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The host picks Veronica Hardy (referred to as Veronica Macedo) over Bea Malecki. He notes that Malecki was destroyed by Duda Santana but managed a Hail Mary submission, while Hardy has fought better opponents and is 6-3. He expects Hardy to win by unanimous decision.

"Veronica Macedo is gonna win this fight she's six and free but she has some decent wins she's fought better opponents"
WIN vs Polyana Viana
Submission (armbar) R1 1:09 · UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · Aug 10, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Veronica Hardy 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:04
Polyana Viana 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Veronica Hardy 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:04
Polyana Viana 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:43
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Veronica Hardy 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Veronica Hardy 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Polyana Viana 1 of 3 33% 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Veronica Macedo vs. Polyana Viana

Round 1
Kicking off the
Ultimate Fighting Championship's
debut in Uruguay is a flyweight fight between two women desperately seeking a win in Macedo (5-3-1, 0-3 UFC) and Viana (10-3, 1-2 UFC). Our referee for this first contest is Keith Peterson. Viana comes out with a body kick to start off the night, and then scores one more. Macedo tries for a spinning back kick but misses and ends up on her back, where Viana takes half guard. Viana advances position by trapping Macedo's arm under her knee for a moment, but Macedo slips out.
Out of nowhere, Macedo throws her legs up to snatch an armbar, and Viana rolls to try to defend it but ends up on her back, and Viana has no choice but to tap out!
Macedo earns the first win of her UFC career, and in the process becomes the first fighter to ever finish Viana.

The Official Result
Veronica Macedo def. Polyana Viana R1 1:09 via Submission (Armbar)
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Nov 10, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Angelo picks Veronica Hardy, citing her superior striking, speed, and power. He notes that Eduarda Moura is a grappler with sloppy striking who may lose the same way she lost to Denise Gomes—by being outstruck. He acknowledges that Moura may get takedowns but believes Hardy's striking will be too much. He also mentions Hardy's marriage to Dan Hardy as a positive for her fight IQ and evolution.

"I think Veronica Hardy gets it done she will probably be taken down one or two times on the way but the Striking is so good it's so fast it's so powerful"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 14, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Eduarda Moura

Big Brady picks the underdog Eduarda Moura, citing Veronica Hardy's poor takedown defense (60%) and tendency to be controlled on the ground. He notes that Hardy has been taken down and controlled by nearly every opponent except Juliana Miller, and believes Moura can use her physicality to get the fight to the mat and win minutes on top. He acknowledges Hardy's striking advantage but thinks Moura's grappling will be the difference, predicting a decision win.

"right off the bat here I'm going to be taking the the underdog in edwarda Mara"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Cody picks Veronica Hardy, citing her speed, footwork, and improved training with Dan Hardy. He notes Moura is a weight bully moving up who has missed weight and has poor takedown efficiency. Cody expects Hardy to counter-strike and avoid takedowns, winning a decision.

"I took some Hardy a little bit early in the week when it was minus 125 I still think she wins"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Connor agrees, noting that Hardy has become a good fighter under Dan Hardy's coaching. He mentions that Hardy's anxiety issues have improved and that she is now a fast, powerful athlete. Connor thinks Moura's toolkit is only effective against bad athletes and that Hardy will win.

"Yeah, also is probably just another instance of getting to a point where you have a real camp because I think despite being a good athlete. She was also out of shape early in her career."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Daniel Vreeland leans towards Veronica Hardy via decision, citing her speed, footwork, and improved takedown defense. He notes Moura's one-dimensional grappling and tendency to gas. He acknowledges Moura's strength and submission threat but believes Hardy can avoid takedowns and win on the feet. He calls it a 'lean' and not confident.

decision
"I'm gonna lean towards Hardy with with the speed with the footwork"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 16, 2024 (fight day)
Veronica Hardy

The host expects Hardy's matured game plan to come through, citing her speed and agility on the feet to touch up Moura. He also notes Hardy's active guard off her back could allow a submission in the second or third round, but officially picks her by decision.

"I'm expecting Hardy's matured game plan to come through here as she has showcased over her last three fights her Speed and Agility on the feet should allow her to touch up Mora and her active guard off her back could potentially allow her to lock up a submission in …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Nov 13, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Paul picks Veronica Hardy, agreeing with Cody. He notes Hardy's three-fight winning streak, improved training, and speed advantage. Paul expects Hardy to use her range and counter-striking to win a decision, possibly by outworking Moura.

"I would think Veronica Hardy goes out there and continues the win streak"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 11, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Veronica Hardy

The MMA Guru picks Veronica Hardy, noting that Eduarda Moura is big but lacks skill. He mentions Moura took Denise Gomes to a split decision, but he still favors Hardy's overall ability.

"I'm going to go with Veronica Hardy here... she's actually pretty decent eduard Mora is big I will say that she's a big woman um skill uh doesn't seem to be much of that going"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Nov 15, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Veronica Hardy

Zane picks Hardy, impressed by her recent maturation and athleticism. He notes that Moura is slow and one-dimensional, relying solely on takedowns. Zane believes Hardy's speed, power, and improved confidence will allow her to stuff takedowns and punish Moura on the feet.

Odds: Hardy opened -153, now -142; Moura opened +137, now +127.
"I think I'm gonna pick Hardy here. Yeah, I think I've been pretty impressed with Veronica Hardy."
Comments (1)
BR
brian 8 months ago

Ed was bigger. Hardy bops on the the toes of her feet. Nice body kick from Hardy. Size was a factor. Wrestled to the ground at times, lost the fight.