UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs. Cruz · Jan 17, 2016 · Lightweight · Completed
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Age 42
Height 5' 9"
Reach 69.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 39
Height 5' 10"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Eddie Alvarez
4.32 SLpM
41.0% Str. Acc.
4.39 SApM
55.0% Str. Def.
2.92 TD Avg
36.0% TD Acc.
92.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Anthony Pettis
3.05 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
3.44 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.61 TD Avg
50.0% TD Acc.
60.0% TD Def.
1.1 Sub. Avg
Eddie Alvarez - Fight History
LOSS vs Dustin Poirier
TKO (punches and elbow) R2 4:05 · UFC on Fox: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · Jul 28, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Poirier 0 26 of 76 34% 35 of 88 0 of 3 0% 1 0 2:27
Eddie Alvarez 1 54 of 115 46% 76 of 138 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Poirier 0 18 of 47 38% 18 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Eddie Alvarez 0 20 of 63 31% 20 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Dustin Poirier 0 8 of 29 27% 17 of 41 0 of 1 0% 1 0 2:27
Eddie Alvarez 1 34 of 52 65% 56 of 75 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Poirier 26 of 76 34% 10 of 53 10 of 15 6 of 8 21 of 67 1 of 3 4 of 6
Eddie Alvarez 54 of 115 46% 44 of 101 4 of 6 6 of 8 47 of 108 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Poirier 18 of 47 38% 5 of 29 9 of 12 4 of 6 17 of 44 1 of 3 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 20 of 63 31% 13 of 53 1 of 2 6 of 8 19 of 62 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Dustin Poirier 8 of 29 27% 5 of 24 1 of 3 2 of 2 4 of 23 0 of 0 4 of 6
Eddie Alvarez 34 of 52 65% 31 of 48 3 of 4 0 of 0 28 of 46 6 of 6 0 of 0
KO (knee) R3 3:59 · UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · Dec 02, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eddie Alvarez 1 155 of 356 43% 162 of 366 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:20
Justin Gaethje 0 122 of 237 51% 124 of 240 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eddie Alvarez 0 42 of 123 34% 42 of 123 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Justin Gaethje 0 39 of 89 43% 40 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Eddie Alvarez 0 73 of 154 47% 75 of 156 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Justin Gaethje 0 51 of 94 54% 51 of 95 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Eddie Alvarez 1 40 of 79 50% 45 of 87 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:14
Justin Gaethje 0 32 of 54 59% 33 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eddie Alvarez 155 of 356 43% 113 of 299 36 of 49 6 of 8 128 of 325 24 of 28 3 of 3
Justin Gaethje 122 of 237 51% 69 of 180 16 of 17 37 of 40 106 of 218 15 of 16 1 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eddie Alvarez 42 of 123 34% 27 of 100 12 of 19 3 of 4 41 of 122 1 of 1 0 of 0
Justin Gaethje 39 of 89 43% 22 of 72 2 of 2 15 of 15 38 of 86 0 of 0 1 of 3
2 Eddie Alvarez 73 of 154 47% 52 of 128 18 of 22 3 of 4 60 of 139 13 of 15 0 of 0
Justin Gaethje 51 of 94 54% 31 of 73 11 of 12 9 of 9 41 of 83 10 of 11 0 of 0
3 Eddie Alvarez 40 of 79 50% 34 of 71 6 of 8 0 of 0 27 of 64 10 of 12 3 of 3
Justin Gaethje 32 of 54 59% 16 of 35 3 of 3 13 of 16 27 of 49 5 of 5 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Eddie Alvarez vs. Justin Gaethje

Round 1
Gaethje begins pressing the action immediately, forcing Alvarez to the outside with punches and heavy low kicks. Alvarez swings back with a hard right hand, but Gaethje cracks him with a counter on the other side. Alvarez catches a kick and trips Gaethje to the ground, then narrowly avoids kicking the ex-WSOF champion in the head as he stands up. Alvarez begins switching between stances after absorbing some nasty leg kicks; he tries to give Gaethje some kicks in return, but they don't have the same zip behind them. Halfway through the round, Gaethje nearly buckles Alvarez's left leg with another hard chop. Alvarez is still swinging, though, and now catches another kick to trip Gaethje to the floor. Gaethje rolls through and stands up, but Alvarez greets him with a ripping body shot. Alvarez digs into the body again, this time with a pair of hooks. The body work seems to be bothering Gaethje now, but he tags Alvarez back with a left hand. Alvarez wags his finger to say the shot didn't faze him, then blitzes Gaethje with a body shot and more hooks to the midsection. Gaethje is cut on the outside of his left eye, while Alvarez has some damage underneath his left eye. Alvarez tries to surprised Gaethje with a cartwheel kick just before the horn and winds up on his back.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Alvarez
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Alvarez
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Alvarez

Round 2
It's a slower start to round two, as Gaethje strikes from a little further out, picking at Alvarez's damaged lead leg. Gaethje presses forward with snappy jabs, while Alvarez blasts back with a big uppercut to the body. Alvarez rocks Gaethje's head with a nasty jab, changes levels to dodge Gaethje's return fire, but Gaethje times a clean right hand over the top. Gaethje jacks the jaw of Alvarez with a lead uppercut as the 155ers continue to try and knock off one another's heads. Alvarez seems to be the fresher and busier fighter at the midway point of the round, but every time it looks like Gaethje is hurt, the Coloradoan comes storming back with an uppercut or left hand. Alvarez's body blows are starting to take a toll in the latter half of the round; Gaethje goes back to his leg-kicking, briefly forcing Alvarez to switch to southpaw. Alvarez connects with a series of uppercuts, dodges a big left hook from Gaethje and then digs into the body again. Body-head goes Alvarez, now catching a kick and flipping Gaethje head-over-heels to the floor at the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round 10-9 Alvarez
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 Alvarez
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 Alvarez

Round 3
Alvarez comes out for the final round with the entire right side of his mouth swollen. Gaethje eats a few shots from the ex-Bellator champ to walk forward and land a leg kick. The first kick of the round nearly takes the legs out from underneath Alvarez, who tries to pull guard after absorbing a few more kicks. Alvarez switches to southpaw again to protect his left leg, but he flips back to orthodox as he tries to mount an attack. Gaethje blasts Alvarez with an uppercut, but Alvarez responds with a clinch knee to the body. Two more heavy kicks land to Alvarez's left knee, but he just keeps coming forward. Alvarez ducks under a punch from Gaethje and spins to take his back, then rides him to the floor, but Gaethje quickly climbs back to his feet. Gaethje goes straight back to leg-kicking, trying to chop down Alvarez, now inside the final three minutes of this brutal bout. A clinch from Alvarez offers a brief respite for a suddenly exhausted Gaethje, who looks like he's barely staying standing, wobbling all around the cage. Alvarez walks into the pocket and gets his jaw jacked by a Gaethje uppercut. Standing in the center of the cage, Alvarez pulls down Gaethje's head in the Thai clinch and blasts him with a clean knee to the jaw. Gaethje hits the deck in a daze, and a few follow-up punches from Alvarez is all referee Herb Dean needs to see before stopping the fight. Eddie Alvarez becomes the first man to finish Justin Gaethje in an instant classic and "Fight of the Year" contender.

The Official Result
Eddie Alvarez def. Justin Gaethje via KO (Knee) R3 3:59
LOSS vs Dustin Poirier
No Contest (illegal knees) R2 4:12 · UFC 211: Miocic vs. dos Santos 2 · May 13, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eddie Alvarez 0 44 of 127 34% 44 of 128 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:16
Dustin Poirier 0 73 of 144 50% 79 of 150 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eddie Alvarez 0 17 of 55 30% 17 of 55 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Dustin Poirier 0 29 of 75 38% 29 of 75 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Eddie Alvarez 0 27 of 72 37% 27 of 73 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:16
Dustin Poirier 0 44 of 69 63% 50 of 75 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eddie Alvarez 44 of 127 34% 32 of 111 11 of 13 1 of 3 36 of 112 5 of 12 3 of 3
Dustin Poirier 73 of 144 50% 61 of 128 7 of 11 5 of 5 61 of 127 12 of 17 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eddie Alvarez 17 of 55 30% 9 of 44 7 of 9 1 of 2 17 of 55 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dustin Poirier 29 of 75 38% 19 of 62 5 of 8 5 of 5 28 of 74 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Eddie Alvarez 27 of 72 37% 23 of 67 4 of 4 0 of 1 19 of 57 5 of 12 3 of 3
Dustin Poirier 44 of 69 63% 42 of 66 2 of 3 0 of 0 33 of 53 11 of 16 0 of 0
LOSS vs Conor McGregor
TKO (punches) R2 3:04 · UFC 205: Alvarez vs. McGregor · Nov 12, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Conor McGregor 0 9 of 41 21% 12 of 46 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:57
Eddie Alvarez 3 32 of 84 38% 40 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Conor McGregor 0 6 of 29 20% 6 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Eddie Alvarez 2 18 of 57 31% 20 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:52
2 Conor McGregor 0 3 of 12 25% 6 of 17 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:57
Eddie Alvarez 1 14 of 27 51% 20 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Conor McGregor 9 of 41 21% 2 of 27 6 of 10 1 of 4 9 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 32 of 84 38% 24 of 71 7 of 11 1 of 2 24 of 67 3 of 5 5 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Conor McGregor 6 of 29 20% 1 of 18 4 of 7 1 of 4 6 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 18 of 57 31% 15 of 51 3 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 45 1 of 2 4 of 10
2 Conor McGregor 3 of 12 25% 1 of 9 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 14 of 27 51% 9 of 20 4 of 5 1 of 2 11 of 22 2 of 3 1 of 2
TKO (punches) R1 3:49 · UFC Fight Night: dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · Jul 07, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eddie Alvarez 0 12 of 41 29% 12 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Rafael dos Anjos 0 45 of 78 57% 49 of 83 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eddie Alvarez 0 12 of 41 29% 12 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
Rafael dos Anjos 0 45 of 78 57% 49 of 83 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eddie Alvarez 12 of 41 29% 9 of 38 2 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 38 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rafael dos Anjos 45 of 78 57% 34 of 67 8 of 8 3 of 3 20 of 45 22 of 30 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eddie Alvarez 12 of 41 29% 9 of 38 2 of 2 1 of 1 10 of 38 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rafael dos Anjos 45 of 78 57% 34 of 67 8 of 8 3 of 3 20 of 45 22 of 30 3 of 3
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs. Cruz · Jan 17, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eddie Alvarez 0 56 of 109 51% 109 of 164 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 42 of 90 46% 74 of 129 6 of 15 40% 0 0 7:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eddie Alvarez 0 11 of 23 47% 35 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 4 of 10 40% 18 of 26 3 of 5 60% 0 0 3:07
2 Eddie Alvarez 0 25 of 55 45% 32 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 16 of 44 36% 18 of 48 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:08
3 Eddie Alvarez 0 20 of 31 64% 42 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 22 of 36 61% 38 of 55 3 of 6 50% 0 0 3:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eddie Alvarez 56 of 109 51% 33 of 79 13 of 20 10 of 10 50 of 97 6 of 12 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 42 of 90 46% 20 of 61 12 of 18 10 of 11 36 of 82 3 of 4 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eddie Alvarez 11 of 23 47% 3 of 13 7 of 9 1 of 1 8 of 17 3 of 6 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 4 of 10 40% 0 of 6 2 of 2 2 of 2 3 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Eddie Alvarez 25 of 55 45% 17 of 43 2 of 6 6 of 6 24 of 53 1 of 2 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 16 of 44 36% 7 of 31 4 of 7 5 of 6 15 of 42 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Eddie Alvarez 20 of 31 64% 13 of 23 4 of 5 3 of 3 18 of 27 2 of 4 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 22 of 36 61% 13 of 24 6 of 9 3 of 3 18 of 31 1 of 1 3 of 4
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 188: Velasquez vs. Werdum · Jun 13, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Eddie Alvarez 0 37 of 129 28% 93 of 187 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Melendez 0 31 of 64 48% 43 of 79 3 of 11 27% 0 0 3:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Eddie Alvarez 0 15 of 53 28% 15 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Melendez 0 8 of 17 47% 8 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Eddie Alvarez 0 6 of 31 19% 26 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Melendez 0 9 of 17 52% 18 of 27 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:32
3 Eddie Alvarez 0 16 of 45 35% 52 of 83 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Gilbert Melendez 0 14 of 30 46% 17 of 35 2 of 8 25% 0 0 2:15
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Eddie Alvarez 37 of 129 28% 33 of 119 4 of 10 0 of 0 36 of 123 1 of 6 0 of 0
Gilbert Melendez 31 of 64 48% 16 of 47 8 of 10 7 of 7 29 of 61 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Eddie Alvarez 15 of 53 28% 13 of 47 2 of 6 0 of 0 15 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
Gilbert Melendez 8 of 17 47% 0 of 8 5 of 6 3 of 3 8 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Eddie Alvarez 6 of 31 19% 5 of 28 1 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 29 1 of 2 0 of 0
Gilbert Melendez 9 of 17 52% 6 of 14 1 of 1 2 of 2 8 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Eddie Alvarez 16 of 45 35% 15 of 44 1 of 1 0 of 0 16 of 41 0 of 4 0 of 0
Gilbert Melendez 14 of 30 46% 10 of 25 2 of 3 2 of 2 13 of 28 1 of 2 0 of 0
LOSS vs Donald Cerrone
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 178: Johnson vs. Cariaso · Sep 27, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Donald Cerrone 1 88 of 166 53% 101 of 182 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:57
Eddie Alvarez 0 48 of 138 34% 64 of 157 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:38
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Donald Cerrone 0 19 of 47 40% 19 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Eddie Alvarez 0 23 of 63 36% 28 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
2 Donald Cerrone 0 27 of 57 47% 27 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Eddie Alvarez 0 16 of 36 44% 18 of 38 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Donald Cerrone 1 42 of 62 67% 55 of 78 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:37
Eddie Alvarez 0 9 of 39 23% 18 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Donald Cerrone 88 of 166 53% 34 of 104 28 of 35 26 of 27 65 of 132 17 of 23 6 of 11
Eddie Alvarez 48 of 138 34% 36 of 111 10 of 24 2 of 3 34 of 114 14 of 24 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Donald Cerrone 19 of 47 40% 6 of 31 8 of 11 5 of 5 16 of 42 3 of 5 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 23 of 63 36% 17 of 50 5 of 12 1 of 1 12 of 44 11 of 19 0 of 0
2 Donald Cerrone 27 of 57 47% 5 of 30 11 of 15 11 of 12 20 of 47 7 of 10 0 of 0
Eddie Alvarez 16 of 36 44% 10 of 27 5 of 8 1 of 1 15 of 35 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Donald Cerrone 42 of 62 67% 23 of 43 9 of 9 10 of 10 29 of 43 7 of 8 6 of 11
Eddie Alvarez 9 of 39 23% 9 of 34 0 of 4 0 of 1 7 of 35 2 of 4 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis - Fight History
WIN vs Alex Morono
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · Dec 19, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Anthony Pettis 0 50 of 80 62% 80 of 115 0 of 1 0% 0 1 4:32
Alex Morono 0 31 of 78 39% 50 of 102 1 of 5 20% 0 0 2:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Anthony Pettis 0 6 of 14 42% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:31
Alex Morono 0 11 of 24 45% 18 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:30
2 Anthony Pettis 0 32 of 51 62% 32 of 51 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:03
Alex Morono 0 17 of 46 36% 17 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Anthony Pettis 0 12 of 15 80% 39 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:58
Alex Morono 0 3 of 8 37% 15 of 21 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Anthony Pettis 50 of 80 62% 26 of 51 11 of 14 13 of 15 48 of 75 1 of 3 1 of 2
Alex Morono 31 of 78 39% 22 of 61 6 of 12 3 of 5 26 of 70 0 of 1 5 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Anthony Pettis 6 of 14 42% 2 of 9 2 of 3 2 of 2 6 of 12 0 of 2 0 of 0
Alex Morono 11 of 24 45% 9 of 21 2 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 17 0 of 0 5 of 7
2 Anthony Pettis 32 of 51 62% 15 of 30 8 of 10 9 of 11 31 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
Alex Morono 17 of 46 36% 11 of 34 4 of 8 2 of 4 17 of 45 0 of 1 0 of 0
3 Anthony Pettis 12 of 15 80% 9 of 12 1 of 1 2 of 2 11 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 2
Alex Morono 3 of 8 37% 2 of 6 0 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Alex Morono

Big Brady picks Alex Morono over Anthony Pettis, calling the odds 'insane' and believing the fight is 50-50. He notes Pettis' decline at 170, his slow pace, and that he should be 1-4 in his last five. Morono lands more volume (5.32 strikes per minute) and has a wrestling/ground game he can use. Brady predicts a volume-based decision win for Morono, though he acknowledges judging could favor Pettis' flashiness.

volume-based decision
"i'm going to pick um reno to win a volume based decision here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Alex Morono

The host leans Morono as a dog, believing his high volume and forward pressure can overwhelm an aging Pettis. He notes Pettis has historically struggled against pressure fighters and that Morono's output could earn a decision. He suggests waiting for a better line (plus 200) before betting.

Morono by decision
"i'm going to stick back i'm going to sit back and just watch how this line uh shakes out but my play is going to be morono"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 13, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Anthony Pettis

The Guru picks Anthony Pettis, citing his reach advantage and better striking. He believes Morono is rushing a turnaround after taking damage in his last fight. He notes Pettis looked good against Cerrone and that Morono's win over Rhys McKee is not impressive. He predicts a 30-27 unanimous decision for Pettis.

Mentions that Pettis could call out Nick Diaz after a win and that he is fighting for a potential big fight.
"i think perez is going to get the job done against morono... i think he gets it done by a unanimous decision 30 27 just out striking alex moreno over three rounds"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · May 09, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Anthony Pettis 0 63 of 113 55% 81 of 133 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Donald Cerrone 0 62 of 148 41% 62 of 148 2 of 8 25% 0 0 1:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Anthony Pettis 0 15 of 27 55% 21 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Donald Cerrone 0 17 of 31 54% 17 of 31 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:00
2 Anthony Pettis 0 21 of 38 55% 33 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Donald Cerrone 0 20 of 52 38% 20 of 52 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:38
3 Anthony Pettis 0 27 of 48 56% 27 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Donald Cerrone 0 25 of 65 38% 25 of 65 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Anthony Pettis 63 of 113 55% 44 of 84 10 of 18 9 of 11 60 of 110 1 of 1 2 of 2
Donald Cerrone 62 of 148 41% 31 of 112 18 of 22 13 of 14 59 of 143 3 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Anthony Pettis 15 of 27 55% 7 of 13 4 of 8 4 of 6 13 of 25 0 of 0 2 of 2
Donald Cerrone 17 of 31 54% 10 of 23 5 of 5 2 of 3 16 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Anthony Pettis 21 of 38 55% 13 of 28 4 of 6 4 of 4 21 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Donald Cerrone 20 of 52 38% 8 of 38 5 of 7 7 of 7 19 of 51 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Anthony Pettis 27 of 48 56% 24 of 43 2 of 4 1 of 1 26 of 47 1 of 1 0 of 0
Donald Cerrone 25 of 65 38% 13 of 51 8 of 10 4 of 4 24 of 62 1 of 3 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Apr 30, 2020 (9 days before fight)
Donald Cerrone

Big Brady picks Donald Cerrone, but with low confidence. He notes both fighters are past their prime and have shown signs of quitting. He believes Cerrone has a step down in competition and more heart, but worries about his durability. He predicts a decision win for Cerrone.

Cerrone by decision
"I'm going to go with Cerrone here. Um both these fighters are like out of their prime for sure. ... I think Cerrone has a little bit more left in the tank than Pettis."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked May 5, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Donald Cerrone

Daniel Levi picks Donald Cerrone, arguing that Pettis is not the same fighter as in 2013 and lacks sustainability. He believes if Cerrone avoids an early fight-ending blow, he will take over with takedowns and pressure. Levi notes that Cerrone is a slow starter but should dominate if he gets to the second round, and that Pettis tends to quit when pressured.

Cerrone by decision or finish
"I think if he avoids taking a fight ending blow in the early going he will eventually begin to take over the fight mix in takedowns along the way and either edge of decision or finish Pettis along the way"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked May 6, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Anthony Pettis

Matt picks Pettis but is not confident, citing both fighters' mental fragility and recent losses. He thinks Pettis can establish pressure and leg kicks early to get a finish, but he doesn't trust either guy. He calls the fight a pass for betting and suggests Cerrone as the value side if forced to bet.

Pettis by second-round TKO, best bet is Cerrone for value
"I am gonna pick Paris I can't believe I'm doing it I'm picking Pettis to win but in terms of betting I'm not trusting him"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R2 1:46 · UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy · Jan 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Carlos Diego Ferreira 0 22 of 45 48% 28 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 25 of 53 47% 43 of 74 3 of 7 42% 1 0 3:54
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Carlos Diego Ferreira 0 20 of 41 48% 24 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 20 of 44 45% 33 of 57 2 of 5 40% 0 0 2:24
2 Carlos Diego Ferreira 0 2 of 4 50% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 5 of 9 55% 10 of 17 1 of 2 50% 1 0 1:30
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Carlos Diego Ferreira 22 of 45 48% 12 of 33 9 of 11 1 of 1 18 of 41 3 of 3 1 of 1
Anthony Pettis 25 of 53 47% 18 of 43 4 of 6 3 of 4 16 of 39 3 of 4 6 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Carlos Diego Ferreira 20 of 41 48% 11 of 30 8 of 10 1 of 1 17 of 38 2 of 2 1 of 1
Anthony Pettis 20 of 44 45% 14 of 36 4 of 6 2 of 2 14 of 36 3 of 4 3 of 4
2 Carlos Diego Ferreira 2 of 4 50% 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 5 of 9 55% 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2 2 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 6
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 16, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Carlos Diego Ferreira

Daniel picks Carlos Diego Ferreira to win, likely by decision or submission. He highlights Ferreira's superior volume, boxing, wrestling, and jiu-jitsu, noting that Pettis has a history of quitting when pressured. He believes Ferreira will break Pettis with pressure and get his arm raised.

submission
"I think if Diego doesn't get finished by a big shot he will eventually break Pettis with his pressure and get his arm raised."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Diego Ferreira

The host is very confident in Diego Ferreira, planning to bet 4 units at -230. He highlights Ferreira's pressure, consistent one-two combinations, and improvements, contrasting with Pettis's tendency to conform to opponents' pace and gas out. He believes Pettis's only path to victory is a flash knockout, as Ferreira is superior on the ground. He notes that Ferreira's loss to Mairbek Taisumov was due to a hard shot, but Pettis doesn't hit as hard.

4 units at -230; might parlay with Nasrat Haqparast; if line drops to -200, will bet more.
"I love Diego for hidden in the spot"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2020 (12 days before fight)
Carlos Diego Ferreira

The host strongly favors Carlos Diego Ferreira, citing Pettis's history of breaking bones in fights (hand, foot, rib) and the wear and tear on his body. He notes Ferreira's dominant decision win over Mairbek Taisumov and his clean record with only two losses. He cannot bet on Pettis due to his fragility and predicts Ferreira wins by clear-cut decision.

decision
"I feel like Carlos Diego if hair is gonna take the win here and get it done in dominant decision fashion Pettis is probably gonna break another hand I can't bet on him"
LOSS vs Nate Diaz
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Aug 17, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Nate Diaz 0 69 of 133 51% 86 of 153 0 of 0 --- 1 2 1:49
Anthony Pettis 1 114 of 201 56% 205 of 306 1 of 1 100% 0 1 5:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Nate Diaz 0 14 of 31 45% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 22 of 42 52% 62 of 88 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:22
2 Nate Diaz 0 36 of 66 54% 40 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 54 of 100 54% 65 of 114 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:49
3 Nate Diaz 0 19 of 36 52% 23 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 2 1:49
Anthony Pettis 1 38 of 59 64% 78 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:48
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Nate Diaz 69 of 133 51% 54 of 111 10 of 12 5 of 10 46 of 102 20 of 27 3 of 4
Anthony Pettis 114 of 201 56% 94 of 172 16 of 23 4 of 6 51 of 109 43 of 63 20 of 29
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Nate Diaz 14 of 31 45% 9 of 22 2 of 2 3 of 7 9 of 24 5 of 7 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 22 of 42 52% 15 of 33 5 of 6 2 of 3 9 of 23 6 of 9 7 of 10
2 Nate Diaz 36 of 66 54% 28 of 55 7 of 9 1 of 2 26 of 54 10 of 12 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 54 of 100 54% 45 of 87 7 of 11 2 of 2 29 of 63 25 of 37 0 of 0
3 Nate Diaz 19 of 36 52% 17 of 34 1 of 1 1 of 1 11 of 24 5 of 8 3 of 4
Anthony Pettis 38 of 59 64% 34 of 52 4 of 6 0 of 1 13 of 23 12 of 17 13 of 19
KO (punches) R2 4:55 · UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · Mar 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Anthony Pettis 0 47 of 107 43% 47 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stephen Thompson 1 32 of 55 58% 32 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Anthony Pettis 0 17 of 44 38% 17 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stephen Thompson 0 12 of 25 48% 12 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Anthony Pettis 0 30 of 63 47% 30 of 63 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Stephen Thompson 1 20 of 30 66% 20 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Anthony Pettis 47 of 107 43% 28 of 70 9 of 20 10 of 17 47 of 107 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stephen Thompson 32 of 55 58% 5 of 21 7 of 12 20 of 22 30 of 53 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Anthony Pettis 17 of 44 38% 11 of 29 4 of 8 2 of 7 17 of 44 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stephen Thompson 12 of 25 48% 1 of 8 4 of 8 7 of 9 12 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Anthony Pettis 30 of 63 47% 17 of 41 5 of 12 8 of 10 30 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
Stephen Thompson 20 of 30 66% 4 of 13 3 of 4 13 of 13 18 of 28 0 of 0 2 of 2
LOSS vs Tony Ferguson
TKO (corner stoppage) R2 5:00 · UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · Oct 06, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tony Ferguson 0 114 of 194 58% 115 of 195 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Anthony Pettis 1 45 of 99 45% 49 of 104 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tony Ferguson 0 49 of 85 57% 49 of 85 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Anthony Pettis 0 18 of 49 36% 18 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Tony Ferguson 0 65 of 109 59% 66 of 110 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Anthony Pettis 1 27 of 50 54% 31 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tony Ferguson 114 of 194 58% 66 of 131 21 of 32 27 of 31 106 of 181 4 of 7 4 of 6
Anthony Pettis 45 of 99 45% 32 of 80 9 of 13 4 of 6 38 of 90 2 of 3 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tony Ferguson 49 of 85 57% 21 of 52 8 of 13 20 of 20 49 of 82 0 of 3 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 18 of 49 36% 8 of 35 6 of 8 4 of 6 18 of 48 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Tony Ferguson 65 of 109 59% 45 of 79 13 of 19 7 of 11 57 of 99 4 of 4 4 of 6
Anthony Pettis 27 of 50 54% 24 of 45 3 of 5 0 of 0 20 of 42 2 of 2 5 of 6
Submission (triangle armbar) R2 0:52 · UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Jul 07, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Anthony Pettis 0 12 of 26 46% 19 of 35 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:39
Michael Chiesa 0 9 of 22 40% 13 of 26 0 of 0 --- 2 0 1:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Anthony Pettis 0 11 of 24 45% 17 of 32 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:10
Michael Chiesa 0 7 of 17 41% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:57
2 Anthony Pettis 0 1 of 2 50% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:29
Michael Chiesa 0 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:06
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Anthony Pettis 12 of 26 46% 4 of 17 7 of 7 1 of 2 8 of 21 3 of 3 1 of 2
Michael Chiesa 9 of 22 40% 3 of 13 4 of 6 2 of 3 7 of 19 1 of 1 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Anthony Pettis 11 of 24 45% 4 of 17 6 of 6 1 of 1 7 of 19 3 of 3 1 of 2
Michael Chiesa 7 of 17 41% 2 of 10 3 of 4 2 of 3 5 of 14 1 of 1 1 of 2
2 Anthony Pettis 1 of 2 50% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michael Chiesa 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Dustin Poirier
Submission (body triangle) R3 2:08 · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · Nov 11, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Dustin Poirier 0 53 of 100 53% 71 of 119 5 of 6 83% 0 0 6:49
Anthony Pettis 0 34 of 54 62% 46 of 66 1 of 1 100% 4 2 1:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Dustin Poirier 0 33 of 63 52% 39 of 70 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:50
Anthony Pettis 0 18 of 30 60% 21 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:34
2 Dustin Poirier 0 19 of 31 61% 29 of 41 3 of 3 100% 0 0 3:23
Anthony Pettis 0 15 of 22 68% 23 of 30 1 of 1 100% 2 1 1:01
3 Dustin Poirier 0 1 of 6 16% 3 of 8 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:36
Anthony Pettis 0 1 of 2 50% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Dustin Poirier 53 of 100 53% 47 of 92 5 of 6 1 of 2 25 of 62 8 of 10 20 of 28
Anthony Pettis 34 of 54 62% 29 of 45 3 of 7 2 of 2 23 of 43 1 of 1 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Dustin Poirier 33 of 63 52% 28 of 56 5 of 6 0 of 1 21 of 49 8 of 10 4 of 4
Anthony Pettis 18 of 30 60% 14 of 24 2 of 4 2 of 2 17 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Dustin Poirier 19 of 31 61% 18 of 30 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 7 0 of 0 16 of 24
Anthony Pettis 15 of 22 68% 15 of 20 0 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 12 0 of 0 10 of 10
3 Dustin Poirier 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Anthony Pettis 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0