UFC 170: Rousey vs. McMann · Feb 22, 2014 · Women's Bantamweight · Completed
UFC 170: Rousey vs. McMann Next Fight
Age 39
Height 5' 7"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 45
Height 5' 6"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Ronda Rousey
4.17 SLpM
52.0% Str. Acc.
4.14 SApM
44.0% Str. Def.
6.26 TD Avg
68.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
4.8 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Sara McMann
2.26 SLpM
46.0% Str. Acc.
1.92 SApM
47.0% Str. Def.
4.38 TD Avg
65.0% TD Acc.
50.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Ronda Rousey - Fight History
LOSS vs Amanda Nunes
TKO (punches) R1 0:48 · UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · Dec 30, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Amanda Nunes 0 27 of 47 57% 27 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ronda Rousey 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Amanda Nunes 0 27 of 47 57% 27 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ronda Rousey 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Amanda Nunes 27 of 47 57% 23 of 43 3 of 3 1 of 1 27 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ronda Rousey 7 of 14 50% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 1 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Amanda Nunes 27 of 47 57% 23 of 43 3 of 3 1 of 1 27 of 46 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ronda Rousey 7 of 14 50% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 1 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
LOSS vs Holly Holm
KO (head kick and punches) R2 0:59 · UFC 193: Rousey vs. Holm · Nov 15, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Holly Holm 0 17 of 65 26% 21 of 69 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Ronda Rousey 1 38 of 53 71% 38 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Holly Holm 0 15 of 50 30% 19 of 54 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
Ronda Rousey 0 27 of 40 67% 27 of 40 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:12
2 Holly Holm 0 2 of 15 13% 2 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ronda Rousey 1 11 of 13 84% 11 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Holly Holm 17 of 65 26% 13 of 59 4 of 6 0 of 0 13 of 59 4 of 6 0 of 0
Ronda Rousey 38 of 53 71% 29 of 44 4 of 4 5 of 5 31 of 45 4 of 4 3 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Holly Holm 15 of 50 30% 11 of 44 4 of 6 0 of 0 11 of 45 4 of 5 0 of 0
Ronda Rousey 27 of 40 67% 19 of 32 3 of 3 5 of 5 23 of 35 4 of 4 0 of 1
2 Holly Holm 2 of 15 13% 2 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 14 0 of 1 0 of 0
Ronda Rousey 11 of 13 84% 10 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 3
WIN vs Bethe Correia
KO (punch) R1 0:34 · UFC 190: Rousey vs. Correia · Aug 01, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronda Rousey 1 19 of 32 59% 19 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Bethe Correia 0 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronda Rousey 1 19 of 32 59% 19 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Bethe Correia 0 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronda Rousey 19 of 32 59% 17 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 11 14 of 21 0 of 0
Bethe Correia 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 6 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronda Rousey 19 of 32 59% 17 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 11 14 of 21 0 of 0
Bethe Correia 9 of 14 64% 9 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 6 6 of 8 0 of 0
WIN vs Cat Zingano
Submission (straight armbar) R1 0:14 · UFC 184: Rousey vs. Zingano · Feb 28, 2015
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronda Rousey 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:05
Cat Zingano 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronda Rousey 0 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:05
Cat Zingano 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronda Rousey 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cat Zingano 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronda Rousey 0 of 0 --- 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cat Zingano 0 of 1 0% 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Alexis Davis
KO (punches) R1 0:16 · UFC 175: Weidman vs. Machida · Jul 05, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronda Rousey 0 14 of 16 87% 14 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
Alexis Davis 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronda Rousey 0 14 of 16 87% 14 of 16 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:04
Alexis Davis 0 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronda Rousey 14 of 16 87% 13 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 9
Alexis Davis 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronda Rousey 14 of 16 87% 13 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 6 1 of 1 9 of 9
Alexis Davis 2 of 6 33% 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Sara McMann
TKO (knee to the body) R1 1:06 · UFC 170: Rousey vs. McMann · Feb 22, 2014
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronda Rousey 1 14 of 23 60% 21 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:43
Sara McMann 0 13 of 20 65% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronda Rousey 1 14 of 23 60% 21 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:43
Sara McMann 0 13 of 20 65% 14 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronda Rousey 14 of 23 60% 4 of 12 9 of 10 1 of 1 2 of 8 12 of 15 0 of 0
Sara McMann 13 of 20 65% 8 of 14 5 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 10 7 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronda Rousey 14 of 23 60% 4 of 12 9 of 10 1 of 1 2 of 8 12 of 15 0 of 0
Sara McMann 13 of 20 65% 8 of 14 5 of 6 0 of 0 6 of 10 7 of 10 0 of 0
WIN vs Miesha Tate
Submission (armbar) R3 0:58 · UFC 168: Weidman vs. Silva 2 · Dec 28, 2013
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronda Rousey 0 40 of 63 63% 134 of 161 6 of 8 75% 3 0 7:05
Miesha Tate 0 24 of 50 48% 28 of 54 1 of 3 33% 0 1 1:58
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronda Rousey 0 20 of 33 60% 63 of 78 3 of 4 75% 0 0 2:08
Miesha Tate 0 12 of 30 40% 14 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:41
2 Ronda Rousey 0 16 of 23 69% 65 of 74 3 of 3 100% 2 0 4:20
Miesha Tate 0 12 of 19 63% 14 of 21 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
3 Ronda Rousey 0 4 of 7 57% 6 of 9 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:37
Miesha Tate 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronda Rousey 40 of 63 63% 24 of 46 6 of 7 10 of 10 7 of 24 17 of 21 16 of 18
Miesha Tate 24 of 50 48% 20 of 45 4 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 31 10 of 18 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronda Rousey 20 of 33 60% 14 of 27 1 of 1 5 of 5 3 of 11 9 of 12 8 of 10
Miesha Tate 12 of 30 40% 10 of 27 2 of 3 0 of 0 9 of 23 2 of 6 1 of 1
2 Ronda Rousey 16 of 23 69% 7 of 14 4 of 4 5 of 5 2 of 9 6 of 6 8 of 8
Miesha Tate 12 of 19 63% 10 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 7 8 of 12 0 of 0
3 Ronda Rousey 4 of 7 57% 3 of 5 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 2 of 3 0 of 0
Miesha Tate 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Liz Carmouche
Submission (armbar) R1 4:49 · UFC 157: Rousey vs. Carmouche · Feb 23, 2013
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ronda Rousey 0 7 of 14 50% 41 of 50 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:47
Liz Carmouche 0 4 of 6 66% 22 of 24 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:52
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ronda Rousey 0 7 of 14 50% 41 of 50 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:47
Liz Carmouche 0 4 of 6 66% 22 of 24 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:52
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ronda Rousey 7 of 14 50% 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 7
Liz Carmouche 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ronda Rousey 7 of 14 50% 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 7
Liz Carmouche 4 of 6 66% 4 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0 3 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0
Sara McMann - Fight History
WIN vs Karol Rosa
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Mar 26, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sara McMann 0 24 of 41 58% 73 of 100 4 of 6 66% 0 0 10:27
Karol Rosa 0 26 of 43 60% 92 of 120 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sara McMann 0 10 of 15 66% 31 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:44
Karol Rosa 0 7 of 11 63% 31 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sara McMann 0 5 of 13 38% 7 of 15 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:45
Karol Rosa 0 6 of 12 50% 9 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 1 0:00
3 Sara McMann 0 9 of 13 69% 35 of 48 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:58
Karol Rosa 0 13 of 20 65% 52 of 67 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sara McMann 24 of 41 58% 15 of 28 6 of 8 3 of 5 7 of 21 7 of 8 10 of 12
Karol Rosa 26 of 43 60% 20 of 36 4 of 4 2 of 3 13 of 25 7 of 7 6 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sara McMann 10 of 15 66% 8 of 11 2 of 3 0 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 6 of 7
Karol Rosa 7 of 11 63% 5 of 9 0 of 0 2 of 2 7 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sara McMann 5 of 13 38% 1 of 7 4 of 5 0 of 1 3 of 10 2 of 3 0 of 0
Karol Rosa 6 of 12 50% 3 of 9 3 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 8 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Sara McMann 9 of 13 69% 6 of 10 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 3 5 of 5 4 of 5
Karol Rosa 13 of 20 65% 12 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 1 4 of 6 6 of 6 3 of 8
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sara McMann vs. Karol Rosa

Round 1
Once an undefeated title challenger, now at the age of 41 having lost three of her last four, McMann (12-6, 6-6 UFC) will be fighting now to keep her UFC record above the .500 mark when she takes on surging Brazilian Rosa (15-3, 4-0 UFC). The Octagon ranger for this bantamweight battle and preliminary headliner will be Chad Trukovich, and the two ladies show nothing but respect as they touch ‘em up first. McMann takes the center of the cage and starts off with a kick to the knee, and she wades forward with a pair of punches to the midsection. The two are tentative to engage with much else, as Rosa swings and misses with a pair of punches. The ladies whiff on punches, until McMann closes the distance and rips an uppercut up close. Rosa tries to reply, and McMann shoots through to hit a double and set the Brazilian on the canvas. Rosa looks to try to scramble and sweep her, but McMann uses this to nearly take her back and then place her flat on her back. McMann works with a few elbows in half guard, using heavy shoulder pressure to keep Rosa stuck without a way up. Rosa flails with strikes off her back, and McMann completely ignores them to isolate an arm and punch Rosa in the body repeatedly. McMann smothers her foe and smashes her in the face before isolating a wrist in search of a keylock. Rosa scrambles just enough to free her arm, but she is nowhere near getting off her back as the Olympian holds her down with ease. McMann grinds with elbows as she makes Rosa’s life miserable, posturing up every so often to land a few strikes before lowering herself down. McMann goes after another Americana briefly before letting it go to slash with a few elbows, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 McMann
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann

Round 2
Rosa comes out of her corner to claim the center of the cage in Round 2, and she throws a high front kick that misses early. McMann bullies her way into a clinch, scoring a stern knee to the solar plexus, before Rosa pushes away and tries to gain space. McMann ducks a strike to throw three to the head and body. Rosa tries to counter, inaccurately doing so, and she takes a right hand to the body. The Brazilian fights off a single-leg takedown try, and as soon as McMann gets a hold of her, she elevates Rosa and tosses her down to the mat. From there, Rosa surrenders her back, with McMann getting both hooks in very quickly. Rosa looks to spin, but cannot, as McMann keeps wrist control. This position stalls out, with McMann easily holding dominant position but doing little else with it besides racking up riding time. Rosa is stuck and throws a few punches from behind her head, and McMann does not change her strategy one bit. The crowd begins to grow restless as McMann hangs on in back control, and McMann answers this by hooking up a body triangle. The Brazilian keeps a tight grip on her own wrists when McMann tries to isolate one in search of an armbar, and McMann throws her legs up in a full-throated effort for the armbar. Rosa winces as she is stuck in a very precarious position, and she stacks the Olympian up to protect herself from the greatest submission danger. McMann keeps that armbar locked down, and Rosa knees her in the side a few times while she remains in this predicament. Luckily for Rosa, she is able to keep her weight pressed on McMann to not succumb to the submission, but she can do little else until the bell rings.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-8 McMann
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann

Round 3
Rosa charges out of her corner like a woman possessed, jumping out with a flying knee and surprising McMann. The 41-year-old wrestler quickly gathers herself and shoots in for a double, where she successfully puts Rosa down to the mat. Rosa climbs back to her knees, and as she does, McMann hops on to her back to serve as a 135-pound backpack. McMann gets both of her hooks in when the Brazilian stands up, as McMann remains piggybacked on her. Rosa wriggles to shake McMann off of her, and as soon as McMann’s feet hit the ground, she throws Rosa down to the mat with emphasis. Rosa cannot get McMann off of her, even when she stands back up again, and an attempted mat return from McMann goes south. McMann gets flipped over to her back, and she starts frantically scrambling to push Rosa off of her. When Rosa is above her, McMann nails her with a few upkicks, until Rosa lowers herself back to the guard. Rosa stands back up again to try to pass to a better position, blocking the upkicks that come at her this time. Rosa gets on top and starts dropping down strikes wildly, only to get kicked off again. McMann starts to engage in a slugfest from her back, and Rosa once more stands and begins to kick at McMann’s legs. McMann replies with a few more upkicks, and she sits up quickly to grab hold of a single. Rosa defends by standing up with her back to the wall, and she begins to slam elbows in the side of McMann’s head. McMann may be stunned from these blows, and Rosa stops throwing them for some reason. This allows McMann to clear her head if she was hurt, and she hits a throw to put Rosa down to the mat. Rosa turns the corner and looks for her own takedown, but there is nothing there. The final bell sounds, and they hug it out and immediately begin to discuss some of the events that transpired in their 15 minutes of combat.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-28 McMann)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rosa (29-26 McMann)
Mike Sloan scores the round: 10-9 McMann (30-27 McMann)

The Official Result
Sara McMann def. Karol Rosa via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 20, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Sara McMann

Angelo picks Sara McMann as a big underdog, acknowledging it could be a sucker bet. He believes McMann's wrestling will be the difference, as Karol Rosa lacks the offensive BJJ to submit her or the power to knock her out. He notes Rosa's high striking volume and takedown defense but thinks McMann can push the wrestling pace and win.

"i'm going with the big underdog here ... i'm going sarah mcmahon"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by third-round KO. He expects McMann to have early success with her wrestling, winning the first round, but then fade due to her age (41) and poor cardio. He believes Rosa will weather the storm and finish McMann late. He notes that McMann has been submitted four times in the UFC, but here he predicts a KO. He suggests live betting McMann in the first round.

Karol Rosa wins by KO in round 3; live bet McMann in round 1
"I'm gonna take carol hosa for a late like second or third round finish against sarah mcmahon... I'll say a third round ko for carol hoza."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Cody picks Rosa, expecting McMann to get takedowns early but fade. He notes McMann's history of blowing leads and getting submitted. He thinks Rosa is active off her back and will take over as the fight goes on. He likes Rosa at -225 better than Grasso at the same price.

"i gotta say kyle rosa gets the job done but it's another wide line"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 24, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Daniel Levi picks Karol Rosa confidently, highlighting her incredible striking volume (over 100 significant strikes in multiple fights) and youth. He breaks down McMann's flaws: poor fight IQ, questionable durability, and tendency to fade. He notes Rosa has improved her submission defense since early losses and earned a black belt. He expects Rosa to break McMann down as the fight progresses, possibly finishing her. He parlayed Rosa with Khizriev at -108.

Rosa by TKO/KO in rounds 2-3, parlayed with Khizriev at -108
"I think carl jose breaks her down the stretch... I parlayed his riff and uh carl hosa and -108"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 23, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Sara McMann

The host picks McMann despite her age and gas tank issues, believing her wrestling and strength will be the difference. He notes Rosa's takedown defense hasn't been tested at UFC level and that McMann can grind out a decision. However, he admits he's not confident enough to bet it, calling it a 50/50 fight.

McMann by decision at +400; also mentions possibility of a draw or Rosa round 3 at +1000
"i'm gonna go mcmahon as my prediction i think she wins this fight via decision plus 400 is that line"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

Paul picks Rosa but is hesitant. He notes McMann's elite wrestling and early takedowns, but expects her to fade. He thinks Rosa can out-volume her on the feet and possibly submit her. He suggests live betting Rosa after round one if McMann tires.

live betting after round one
"i like rosa to win here but sarah mcmahon is an elite wrestler"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 21, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Karol Rosa

The MMA Guru picks Karol Rosa over Sara McMann, citing McMann's age (41) and inactivity since early 2021. He acknowledges McMann's grappling but believes Rosa is younger, more athletic, and technically sound, with a reach advantage. The Guru expects Rosa to control the fight against the cage and win a unanimous decision, as she doesn't leave herself out of position for takedowns.

"i'm gonna go with carol rosa over sarah mcmahon"
LOSS vs Julianna Peña
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 3:39 · UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor 2 · Jan 24, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Julianna Peña 0 38 of 76 50% 140 of 192 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:55
Sara McMann 0 21 of 54 38% 28 of 63 3 of 3 100% 0 0 7:21
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Julianna Peña 0 5 of 20 25% 37 of 57 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Sara McMann 0 12 of 30 40% 15 of 33 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:58
2 Julianna Peña 0 13 of 29 44% 70 of 93 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Sara McMann 0 8 of 17 47% 11 of 22 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:11
3 Julianna Peña 0 20 of 27 74% 33 of 42 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:47
Sara McMann 0 1 of 7 14% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:12
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Julianna Peña 38 of 76 50% 27 of 65 11 of 11 0 of 0 20 of 57 10 of 10 8 of 9
Sara McMann 21 of 54 38% 10 of 39 7 of 10 4 of 5 12 of 43 6 of 6 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Julianna Peña 5 of 20 25% 5 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0 5 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sara McMann 12 of 30 40% 7 of 23 3 of 5 2 of 2 9 of 27 2 of 2 1 of 1
2 Julianna Peña 13 of 29 44% 7 of 23 6 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 23 6 of 6 0 of 0
Sara McMann 8 of 17 47% 3 of 10 3 of 4 2 of 3 2 of 9 4 of 4 2 of 4
3 Julianna Peña 20 of 27 74% 15 of 22 5 of 5 0 of 0 8 of 14 4 of 4 8 of 9
Sara McMann 1 of 7 14% 0 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 21, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Sara McMann

Big Brady picks Sara McMann by decision, citing her wrestling advantage and Peña's poor takedown defense (28%). He notes McMann lands 4.5 takedowns per 15 minutes with 60% accuracy. He expects McMann to control Peña on the ground for at least two rounds. He is not confident enough to bet but leans towards McMann.

"give me sarah mcmahon 29 28 maybe 30 27"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sara McMann

Daniel Levi picks Sara McMann, highlighting her superior wrestling and power. He criticizes Julianna Peña's poor takedown defense (28%) and lack of submissions. Levi believes McMann can dominate with top control and avoid Peña's comeback attempts, as long as she stays focused for 15 minutes.

"i'll go with sarah just stay in it for 15 straight minutes keep your head on straight and you win this fight"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jan 22, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Sara McMann

McMann is the better wrestler and should be able to get takedowns and control Peña on the ground. Peña has poor takedown defense and her jiu-jitsu off her back is not great. However, McMann is 40 years old and has cardio issues, which is a concern. I think McMann grinds out a decision, but I'm not confident enough to bet on her.

"I'm going with Sara McMann to win this fight via decision."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2021 (7 days before fight)
Sara McMann

The MMA Guru picks Sara McMann to win by controlling Peña on the ground with top control. He criticizes Peña's submission game, noting she hasn't submitted anyone of note and has been submitted herself. He believes McMann's wrestling and top control will be effective, especially since women's fights are not stood up quickly. He predicts a 30-27 decision via ground control.

30-27 unanimous decision, ground control
"i'm going to go sarah mcmahon smushing her on the ground in half guard with top control the entire round landing total strikes winning herself to fight that way"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–26, 30–25) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. dos Santos · Jan 25, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sara McMann 0 38 of 50 76% 62 of 84 3 of 5 60% 1 0 13:22
Lina Länsberg 0 1 of 5 20% 36 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sara McMann 0 10 of 12 83% 22 of 25 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:29
Lina Länsberg 0 0 of 2 0% 6 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sara McMann 0 10 of 16 62% 15 of 23 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:11
Lina Länsberg 0 1 of 2 50% 14 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sara McMann 0 18 of 22 81% 25 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:42
Lina Länsberg 0 0 of 1 0% 16 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sara McMann 38 of 50 76% 22 of 32 15 of 17 1 of 1 1 of 8 1 of 1 36 of 41
Lina Länsberg 1 of 5 20% 0 of 4 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sara McMann 10 of 12 83% 0 of 2 9 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 10 of 10
Lina Länsberg 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sara McMann 10 of 16 62% 4 of 8 6 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 0 9 of 11
Lina Länsberg 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Sara McMann 18 of 22 81% 18 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 1 of 1 17 of 20
Lina Länsberg 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 24, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Lina Länsberg

Daniel picks Lina Länsberg for the upset, predicting that McMann will dominate the first round but then fade and get cut open by elbows in the second. He notes that McMann has a history of quitting and that Länsberg has improved her takedown defense. He expects a cut stoppage in the second round.

cut stoppage in the second round due to elbows
"I'm gonna take Lina in Landsberg for an upset"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Jan 20, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Lina Länsberg

The MMA Guru picks Lina Länsberg based on recency and activity, noting Sara McMann is 49 years old and hasn't fought since 2018. He acknowledges the women's bantamweight division is mixed but believes Länsberg's recency and ability to hold McMann against the cage will be key.

"I'm going with the activity I'm going with the recency and I'm going with Lena Landsberg getting the job done"
LOSS vs Marion Reneau
Submission (triangle choke) R2 3:40 · UFC on Fox: Emmett vs. Stephens · Feb 24, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marion Reneau 0 9 of 49 18% 76 of 120 2 of 5 40% 0 0 5:10
Sara McMann 0 23 of 39 58% 37 of 55 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marion Reneau 0 3 of 14 21% 68 of 83 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:00
Sara McMann 0 2 of 3 66% 5 of 7 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marion Reneau 0 6 of 35 17% 8 of 37 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:10
Sara McMann 0 21 of 36 58% 32 of 48 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marion Reneau 9 of 49 18% 5 of 42 2 of 5 2 of 2 6 of 45 3 of 4 0 of 0
Sara McMann 23 of 39 58% 23 of 38 0 of 1 0 of 0 11 of 24 1 of 2 11 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marion Reneau 3 of 14 21% 2 of 13 0 of 0 1 of 1 3 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Sara McMann 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Marion Reneau 6 of 35 17% 3 of 29 2 of 5 1 of 1 3 of 31 3 of 4 0 of 0
Sara McMann 21 of 36 58% 21 of 35 0 of 1 0 of 0 9 of 21 1 of 2 11 of 13
LOSS vs Ketlen Vieira
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 4:16 · UFC 215: Nunes vs. Shevchenko 2 · Sep 09, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ketlen Vieira 0 29 of 58 50% 36 of 67 1 of 5 20% 0 0 5:32
Sara McMann 0 17 of 21 80% 35 of 45 1 of 1 100% 2 0 1:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ketlen Vieira 0 20 of 44 45% 26 of 51 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:07
Sara McMann 0 3 of 4 75% 12 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
2 Ketlen Vieira 0 9 of 14 64% 10 of 16 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:25
Sara McMann 0 14 of 17 82% 23 of 30 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ketlen Vieira 29 of 58 50% 25 of 52 2 of 3 2 of 3 1 of 9 9 of 11 19 of 38
Sara McMann 17 of 21 80% 16 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 4 14 of 14 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ketlen Vieira 20 of 44 45% 19 of 42 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 4 1 of 2 19 of 38
Sara McMann 3 of 4 75% 3 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3
2 Ketlen Vieira 9 of 14 64% 6 of 10 2 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 5 8 of 9 0 of 0
Sara McMann 14 of 17 82% 13 of 16 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 3 14 of 14 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Sara McMann vs. Ketlen Vieira

Round 1
McMann swings a right hand at the body of Vieira, but it's only a cover for the wrestler to dive at Vieira and work for a takedown. Vieira stays standing, pressed against the cage by McMann with over-unders. One minute into the round, McMann completes the takedown and sets up in Vieira's closed guard. Vieira is looking to trap an arm, but McMann pulls herself free to slam the Brazilian with a heavy elbow to the face. More elbows fall on the grill of Vieira, who's still trying to creep up her guard to snare McMann in a submission attempt. The elbows of McMann have raised an enormous hematoma on the forehead of Vieira, but it's not stopping Vieira from hunting for a triangle. McMann ably defends the triangle setup and steps over to side control on Vieira's right side. McMann threatens with an arm-triangle choke, then releases and steps over to full mount. Vieira is dodging most of McMann's punches, and now she shrimps underneath to grab for a leg. Vieira finishes the round going for a kneebar, but McMann stays safe to see round two.

Sherdog Scores
Jordan Breen scores the round 10-9 McMann
Brian Knapp scores the round 10-9 McMann
Chris Nelson scores the round 10-9 McMann

Round 2
McMann tries to repeat her approach from round one, charging Vieira with her head down and using punches to set up a takedown. This time, Vieira is ready for it and plunks the wrestler with a right hand counter. McMann's next attempt yields a single-leg attempt against the fence, but Vieira defends well and drills the side of McMann's head with elbows and punches. McMann releases the leg in favor of holding Vieira against the wall; Vieira reverses to the outside, and now the bantamweights clinch in a neutral position on the fence. McMann digs an underhook and drives a hard knee into the body of Vieira. Suddenly, Vieira hits a trip takedown and comes down atop McMann in half guard. Now it's Vieira looking for an arm-triangle choke, and it looks like she may have it. McMann scoots her left side tight to the fence, but Vieira's squeeze from half guard is enough for force a tap from the American.

The Official Result
Ketlen Vieira def. Sara McMann via Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke) R2 4:16
WIN vs Gina Mazany
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 1:14 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · Feb 19, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sara McMann 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:02
Gina Mazany 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sara McMann 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:02
Gina Mazany 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sara McMann 7 of 14 50% 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 9
Gina Mazany 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sara McMann 7 of 14 50% 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 5 0 of 0 4 of 9
Gina Mazany 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 1 0 of 0
WIN vs Alexis Davis
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 2:52 · The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · Dec 03, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sara McMann 0 14 of 36 38% 25 of 47 2 of 2 100% 1 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 21 of 29 72% 55 of 66 0 of 0 --- 1 0 6:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sara McMann 0 12 of 30 40% 21 of 39 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 17 of 21 80% 51 of 58 0 of 0 --- 1 0 3:50
2 Sara McMann 0 2 of 6 33% 4 of 8 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:00
Alexis Davis 0 4 of 8 50% 4 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sara McMann 14 of 36 38% 11 of 32 2 of 3 1 of 1 8 of 29 0 of 0 6 of 7
Alexis Davis 21 of 29 72% 17 of 25 1 of 1 3 of 3 11 of 19 0 of 0 10 of 10
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sara McMann 12 of 30 40% 10 of 28 2 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 23 0 of 0 6 of 7
Alexis Davis 17 of 21 80% 14 of 18 1 of 1 2 of 2 7 of 11 0 of 0 10 of 10
2 Sara McMann 2 of 6 33% 1 of 4 0 of 1 1 of 1 2 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alexis Davis 4 of 8 50% 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Jessica Eye
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Garbrandt · May 29, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Sara McMann 0 22 of 51 43% 56 of 88 2 of 5 40% 1 0 8:00
Jessica Eye 0 10 of 24 41% 19 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Sara McMann 0 10 of 24 41% 11 of 25 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:41
Jessica Eye 0 4 of 9 44% 5 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Sara McMann 0 7 of 19 36% 19 of 32 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:27
Jessica Eye 0 2 of 8 25% 2 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Sara McMann 0 5 of 8 62% 26 of 31 1 of 1 100% 1 0 3:52
Jessica Eye 0 4 of 7 57% 12 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Sara McMann 22 of 51 43% 8 of 34 12 of 15 2 of 2 3 of 29 11 of 13 8 of 9
Jessica Eye 10 of 24 41% 6 of 20 1 of 1 3 of 3 9 of 23 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Sara McMann 10 of 24 41% 0 of 12 10 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 13 10 of 11 0 of 0
Jessica Eye 4 of 9 44% 3 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Sara McMann 7 of 19 36% 4 of 15 2 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 12 1 of 2 4 of 5
Jessica Eye 2 of 8 25% 1 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 2 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Sara McMann 5 of 8 62% 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 4 of 4
Jessica Eye 4 of 7 57% 2 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1