Karol Rosa

Connor picks Rosa, noting that Cornolle's only effective tool is clinch striking, and Rosa should be able to avoid that by using her range and volume. He acknowledges Rosa's inconsistency but believes even on a bad night she can outwork Cornolle, who has a very narrow path to victory.

Angelo picks Ailín Pérez as an underdog, believing her wrestling and forward pressure will be too much for Karol Rosa, who hasn't faced a strong wrestler recently. He notes that Rosa's takedown defense is untested against a wrestler of Pérez's style. He has a small bet on Pérez at +150 and is surprised the odds are widening instead of tightening.

Cody picks Ailín Pérez as an underdog, citing her wrestling and top control. He notes that Pérez has taken down all her UFC opponents and has improved rapidly at Fortis MMA. Rosa has poor takedown defense and no get-up game once taken down, as seen against Sarah McMahon and Norma Dumont. Cody believes Pérez will take Rosa down, control her, and win rounds. He also mentions that Rosa has no power and all her wins are by decision, so Pérez only needs to win the first two rounds.

Daniel picks Pérez for the upset, noting that he has lost money betting on Rosa multiple times. He believes Pérez's relentless takedown attack and improved standup will be key. Daniel thinks if Pérez takes Rosa down, she can win. He mentions that Rosa has poor takedown defense and has faded in fights.

Lucrative James picks Karol Rosa, stating she is the better overall MMA fighter with superior striking, cardio, experience, and grappling. He acknowledges Ailín Pérez's tenacious wrestling and potential to cause problems early, but notes Pérez's poor cardio and striking, which often leads to her fading in round three. James observes that Rosa typically has her best round in the third, while Pérez fades, making a late stoppage or decision win for Rosa likely. He understands the appeal of Pérez as a big underdog due to her grappling, but ultimately favors Rosa's well-rounded game.

The host believes Rosa has a significant striking advantage and can stay upright against Perez's grinding grappling. He expects Rosa to chop away at the lead leg and possibly muster a late finish, but ultimately win on the scorecards.

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Pérez. He notes that if the fight becomes a grappling match, Pérez has the advantage. Paul acknowledges that Pérez's cardio has been problematic in round three, but believes she can win the first two rounds. At plus 210, he sees plenty of value. He also mentions that Rosa has no power, so Pérez can afford to slow down late.

Angelo picks Karol Rosa due to her insane volume (204 significant strikes in a three-round fight), pressure, and grit. He notes that Pannie is a more technical boxer but will struggle if she's on her back foot against Rosa's volume. He also mentions Rosa has solid takedown offense and defense.

Cody also picks Kianzad, calling Rosa's style frustrating and noting she doesn't use her BJJ or adjust game plans. He believes Kianzad lands better shots and has a plus number, making her the play. He mentions both have been knocked down by Lena Lansburg, which is a useless but funny stat.

Rosa is the better overall fighter with a more well-rounded game, but her lack of urgency in past fights is a concern. She can win by mixing in grappling behind her striking, but the fight likely goes to a split decision. The line is a bit high; waiting for a better price around -130 to -140 is advised.

Paul picks Kianzad at plus 180, viewing the fight as a coin flip striking affair. He criticizes Rosa's lack of fight IQ, poor takedown defense, and inability to adjust. He notes Kianzad has better striking volume and can land the better shots.

Angelo picks Irene Aldana but is hesitant, citing concerns about fighters coming off title losses. He acknowledges Rosa's busy striking and takedown ability, but believes Aldana's size and power should prevail. He does not trust her with his money.

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa as a slight underdog, calling it a close fight. He likes Aldana's striking and power but notes Rosa's youth (7 years younger), high volume (over 5 significant strikes per minute), and improving grappling (brown/black belt in BJJ). Brady believes Rosa can get takedowns, as she has in 5 UFC fights, and potentially win minutes on the mat. He predicts a very close split decision for Rosa.

Cody picks Rosa, arguing that Aldana's takedown defense is a major liability and that Rosa has the volume and wrestling to win. He notes that Aldana was nearly beaten by Macy Chiasson before landing a lucky upkick, and that Rosa is younger and has shown improvement. Cody believes Rosa can swarm Aldana with volume and mix in takedowns to secure a decision. He is not fully confident but sees Rosa as the dog pick.

Daniel Vreeland picks Irene Aldana as his lock, stating that Karol Rosa is in over her head in the striking department and won't get enough grappling going. He thinks the line on Aldana is nice at around -200.

Lucrative James is confident Karol Rosa is the side at plus money. He believes Irene Aldana's win over Macy Chiasson was a fluke (upkick from bottom) and that she was losing that fight. He thinks Rosa can get takedowns and control from top, and that the fight is close on the feet. He calls betting on Aldana at minus 230 'mental' and says Rosa should not be plus 180.

The host picks Rosa as an underdog, citing her youth, potential, and well-rounded game. He believes Rosa can out-grapple Aldana, who has shown vulnerabilities in the clinch and on the ground. He notes that Rosa can be competitive on the feet but should look to close the distance and implement her grappling. He expects Rosa to win a decision by putting together a better MMA package.

Paul picks Rosa as an underdog, citing Aldana's poor takedown defense and Rosa's volume and wrestling. He notes that Aldana has been taken down easily in past fights and that Rosa can win on the feet or by mixing in takedowns. Paul acknowledges both fighters are untrustworthy but sees value in Rosa at +160. He believes Rosa's cardio and volume will be key.

Angelo picks Karol Rosa, expecting her volume and takedown threats to disrupt Yana Santos's rhythm. He notes Yana is the better technical striker but Rosa's busy output and wrestling will be key. He predicts a decision win for Rosa, similar to her win over Lina Lansberg but without a knockdown. He likes the over 2.5 rounds.

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by decision. He notes Yana Santos has looked atrocious lately, with poor takedown defense (45%) and losses to Holly Holm and Irene Aldana. He believes Rosa's black belt in BJJ and superior striking volume will allow her to control the fight on the mat and on the feet. He acknowledges the fight could get greasy but is confident Rosa has her covered everywhere.

Cody likes Rosa's volume and wrestling advantage. He notes Santos has poor takedown defense and get-up game, as seen in fights against Vieira and Holm. Rosa can wrestle and has good durability. Cody thinks Rosa will press Santos against the cage, take her down, and grind out a decision. He also notes Rosa's ability to put up high strike numbers.

Daniel leans Rosa but is concerned about her recent drop in volume and defensive grappling holes. He notes Rosa's past high-volume performances and toughness, but worries that Yana could control her against the fence and win close rounds. He expects Rosa to win but sees a path for Yana via grinding decisions, making the -150 price unappealing. He calls it a pass at these odds.

Paul picks Rosa, citing her significant strike volume (125 vs Kohaya, 171 vs Procopio) compared to Santos' low volume. He notes Rosa's wrestling advantage and Santos' recent losses. Paul thinks Rosa by decision is likely, but he may not bet it due to the price.

Angelo picks Norma Dumont as an underdog, surprised she is +125. He trusts her size, takedown defense, and striking acumen. He notes that while Rosa has high volume, she gets hit twice as often. He thinks Dumont's technical striking will be the difference and that she can pull off the upset.

Big Brady leans with Norma Dumont to win by split decision, but has no confidence in the pick. He notes that the fight is at featherweight, which favors Dumont's size, and that the grappling exchanges will decide the winner. He sees both fighters having been taken down in the past, but gives a slight edge to Dumont's size to get on top and win minutes on the ground. He is passing on betting this fight entirely.

Cody picks Rosa, hoping she can use her volume and speed to outwork Dumont. He notes Dumont doesn't wrestle enough and Rosa has good takedown defense. However, he admits it's a close fight and he is relying on Dumont fighting a bad game plan. He acknowledges Dumont's wrestling could be a problem if she uses it.

Connor picks Karol Rosa, arguing that Dumont is too patient and doesn't know how to grapple, which will be a problem against Rosa's willingness to wrestle. He notes that Rosa flourishes when she can dictate the nature of the fight, and Dumont's lack of pressure will allow Rosa to work. Connor also criticizes Dumont's resume, saying she has mostly beaten non-threatening opponents.

Karol Rosa is the more well-rounded fighter with better output, technical striking, and ground game. However, she is moving up to featherweight, where Norma Dumont has a size and strength advantage. Rosa struggled against the physicality of Sarah McMahon in the past. Dumont is a wild card with inconsistent performances and weight issues. Rosa should use her footwork and volume to outpoint Dumont, but it's a close fight. Prediction: Rosa by decision, with low confidence.

Paul picks Dumont, noting he got her at plus 125 earlier. He believes Dumont has the power and wrestling advantage, and can take Rosa down and control her. He acknowledges Rosa's volume and speed but thinks Dumont's size and strength will be decisive. He mentions the line has moved to minus 120 and there may not be much value left.

The MMA Guru picks Norma Dumont, agreeing with a coin flip. He thinks Dumont is a much better fighter than Karol Rosa, noting Rosa's lack of takedown ability and Dumont's decent takedown defense. He cites Dumont's clean win over Danielle Wolfe and believes she will outclass Rosa on the feet. He predicts a decision win, 29-28 or 30-27.

Angelo picks Karol Rosa because she is the more well-rounded fighter with solid takedown offense and defense. He notes that Lina Länsberg is a better striker but was recently out-struck by Pannie Kianzad, and Rosa can avoid the clinch and use her own takedowns. He emphasizes that Rosa needs to avoid getting into a Muay Thai clinch.

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by decision. He notes Rosa is 13 years younger, has higher volume (6.65 significant strikes per minute vs 2.74), and believes Länsberg would need to clinch or take the fight down to win, which he doesn't see happening. He expects Rosa to keep it upright and outpoint Länsberg over 15 minutes.

Cody is confident in Rosa, noting her superior volume and striking. He thinks Länsberg is low volume and lacks power. Cody expects Rosa to win by decision, and likes the decision prop at -110.

Daniel Levi picks Karol Rosa to win, citing her huge output advantage (nearly 7 strikes per minute vs Lina Länsberg's under 3). He notes Rosa's well-rounded game including takedowns, and that she is 27 while Länsberg is 40. Levi is only wary of Länsberg's elbows but thinks Rosa's knees in the clinch and overall volume will prevail. He bet 1 unit at -225.

Karol Rosa is a solid prospect with great output, often landing over 100 significant strikes. She has good body work in the clinch and can also take a grapple-heavy approach to nullify Länsberg's elbows. Länsberg is 40 years old and coming off a loss to Pannie Kianzad, who is not as good as Rosa. Rosa should win via decision, and the chalk is worthy even at -295.

Paul is confident in Rosa, noting Länsberg's age and lack of finishing ability. He thinks Rosa's volume and grappling will be too much. Paul has already bet Rosa by decision at -110.

Angelo picks Sara McMann as a big underdog, acknowledging it could be a sucker bet. He believes McMann's wrestling will be the difference, as Karol Rosa lacks the offensive BJJ to submit her or the power to knock her out. He notes Rosa's high striking volume and takedown defense but thinks McMann can push the wrestling pace and win.

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by third-round KO. He expects McMann to have early success with her wrestling, winning the first round, but then fade due to her age (41) and poor cardio. He believes Rosa will weather the storm and finish McMann late. He notes that McMann has been submitted four times in the UFC, but here he predicts a KO. He suggests live betting McMann in the first round.

Cody picks Rosa, expecting McMann to get takedowns early but fade. He notes McMann's history of blowing leads and getting submitted. He thinks Rosa is active off her back and will take over as the fight goes on. He likes Rosa at -225 better than Grasso at the same price.

Daniel Levi picks Karol Rosa confidently, highlighting her incredible striking volume (over 100 significant strikes in multiple fights) and youth. He breaks down McMann's flaws: poor fight IQ, questionable durability, and tendency to fade. He notes Rosa has improved her submission defense since early losses and earned a black belt. He expects Rosa to break McMann down as the fight progresses, possibly finishing her. He parlayed Rosa with Khizriev at -108.

The host picks McMann despite her age and gas tank issues, believing her wrestling and strength will be the difference. He notes Rosa's takedown defense hasn't been tested at UFC level and that McMann can grind out a decision. However, he admits he's not confident enough to bet it, calling it a 50/50 fight.

Paul picks Rosa but is hesitant. He notes McMann's elite wrestling and early takedowns, but expects her to fade. He thinks Rosa can out-volume her on the feet and possibly submit her. He suggests live betting Rosa after round one if McMann tires.

Angelo picks Karol Rosa, citing her high volume striking and upward trajectory against a declining Bethe Correia. He notes that Rosa is a decision fighter with solid takedown defense, while Correia has fought top competition but is older and beat up. Angelo thinks the most likely outcome is Rosa touching up Correia over three rounds, but he acknowledges that Correia could make it dirty and uncomfortable. He believes the odds are too wide and that Rosa should be around -150, not -350. He likes the less less monkey knife fight pick.

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa to win by decision, citing her youth (26 vs 38), volume striking (7.73 significant strikes per minute), and black belt BJJ. He notes Correia has good takedown defense (84%) but gets outlanded in every fight and hasn't outlanded anyone since 2014. Rosa is hittable (48% striking defense) but should outvolume Correia to a one-sided decision. Brady expects this to be Correia's retirement fight.

Cody picks Rosa, calling her a pick of the week. He notes that Rosa is young, has high volume, good grappling, and a solid chin. Correia is 38 and has not looked good in years. He expects Rosa to win by decision, as she is not a big finisher. He suggests betting Rosa by decision or including her in parlays.

Daniel Levi picks Karol Rosa confidently, citing her incredible volume (over 100 significant strikes in each UFC fight) and youth. He notes the matchup heavily favors Rosa, who is faster, fresher, and not in retirement mode like Correia. His only concern is a potential 'respect factor' between Brazilians, but he expects Rosa to dominate via decision or even knockout. He does not recommend betting at -600 due to lack of value.

I think Rosa is levels above Correia. Rosa has great volume and technique, while Correia is a brawler with poor defense. Rosa should outland her easily and win a decision. I like Rosa by decision at -170, but the moneyline is fine too. I don't see Correia having a path to victory.

Paul also picks Rosa, noting that she is well-rounded with good cardio and chin. He believes Correia is past her prime and that Rosa will have her way everywhere. He expects a decision win for Rosa.

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa, highlighting her high output and the threat of takedowns against Joselyne Edwards, who struggles off her back. He notes that Edwards is coming in on short notice and may fade in the third round. He expects Rosa to win a decision, but thinks the line at -230 is a bit wide and would have preferred the opener at -185.

Daniel Levi picks Karol Rosa, citing her well-rounded game, volume striking, and ability to mix in takedowns. He notes Edwards' bright future but believes Rosa's experience and clinch/ground advantage will be decisive. He expects a decision win for Rosa.

Rosa has a more complete game with good combinations, leg kicks, and fight IQ. She trains with Jessica Andrade and has a size advantage. Edwards is still green and this is a tough test on short notice. Rosa's volume and pressure should be key. Edwards has speed and power, but Rosa's durability and experience should carry her. I expect Rosa to win a decision by outworking Edwards.

Big Brady picks Karol Rosa by decision, believing she is the better striker despite absorbing many strikes. He thinks the fight will be closer than the line indicates but Rosa's volume and skill edge will earn her a decision win.

Daniel Levi picks Karol Rosa, emphasizing her high output in her UFC debut (176 significant strikes) and her ability to out-strike and potentially take down Vanessa Melo. He acknowledges Rosa's defensive flaws (leaving chin up) but believes her camp (Entourage) and durability will carry her. He sees Melo as slow and basic, and expects Rosa to win by decision or finish.

Karol Rosa has good stand-up technique for the bantamweight division, which is more than enough to handle Vanessa Melo, who is essentially a human punching bag. Rosa should outpoint Melo on the feet to a decision victory. Not willing to pay -245, but expects Rosa to win comfortably.