Career Averages - Mairon Santos
Career Averages - Kaan Ofli
Mairon Santos
Kaan Ofli
Mairon Santos - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Naimov | 0 | 18 of 48 | 37% | 35 of 69 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:08 |
| Mairon Santos | 1 | 27 of 45 | 60% | 43 of 61 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:47 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muhammad Naimov | 0 | 11 of 18 | 61% | 20 of 30 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
| Mairon Santos | 0 | 7 of 15 | 46% | 15 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 | |
| 2 | Muhammad Naimov | 0 | 6 of 26 | 23% | 14 of 35 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:08 |
| Mairon Santos | 0 | 16 of 24 | 66% | 24 of 32 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:25 | |
| 3 | Muhammad Naimov | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mairon Santos | 1 | 4 of 6 | 66% | 4 of 6 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Naimov | 18 of 48 | 37% | 7 of 29 | 6 of 10 | 5 of 9 | 13 of 40 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 |
| Mairon Santos | 27 of 45 | 60% | 11 of 27 | 8 of 10 | 8 of 8 | 19 of 34 | 7 of 8 | 1 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muhammad Naimov | 11 of 18 | 61% | 3 of 9 | 5 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 14 | 3 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Mairon Santos | 7 of 15 | 46% | 2 of 9 | 3 of 4 | 2 of 2 | 6 of 14 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Muhammad Naimov | 6 of 26 | 23% | 3 of 18 | 1 of 4 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 22 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Mairon Santos | 16 of 24 | 66% | 6 of 13 | 5 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 17 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Muhammad Naimov | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mairon Santos | 4 of 6 | 66% | 3 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 3 |
Angelo picks Mairon Santos because he sets a better pace, moves forward, and has power in both hands and feet. He notes that Naimov is well-rounded but lacks urgency and danger, often just trying to win minutes rather than finish. Angelo expects the optics of Santos moving forward and Naimov slowing the pace to favor Santos. He also mentions the over on the round line as a potential bet due to both fighters' durability.
Big Brady picks Mairon Santos over Muhammad Naimov. He criticizes Naimov's volume, cardio, and cheating, calling him one of the biggest cheaters in the UFC. He believes Santos is the better striker with more volume and room for growth, and expects Santos to win by decision as long as he stuffs takedowns and his chin holds up.
Cody picks Santos, citing his youth, takedown defense, and striking. He notes that Santos trains with Fighting Nerds and has improved. He believes Naimov is one-dimensional and low-volume, and that Santos will stuff takedowns and outpoint him. He expects Santos to win by decision.
Connor picks Mairon Santos, noting that Santos is a physical phenom with explosive power and speed. He acknowledges that Santos can be inactive and has poor positioning, but believes Naimov is so hittable that Santos will land big shots. Connor cites Naimov's lack of defense and Santos's power advantage.
Daniel picks Santos, citing his technical striking, improved takedown defense, and overall skill. He believes Santos will dictate the fight on the feet and outclass Naimov, who is solid but not special. He sees Santos as a future top-15 fighter.
Lucrative James believes Mairon Santos is the better striker and will light up Muhammad Naimov on the feet. He notes Naimov's grappling-heavy game plan will cause him to gas out, while Santos' youth and improvement give him a higher ceiling. He predicts Santos wins, possibly by finish or decision, and is confident in the pick.
The host believes Santos is physical enough to stop Naimov's takedowns and is the better striker. He expects Santos to counter Naimov's power shots effectively, batter his legs, and eventually secure a knockout victory.
Paul agrees, noting that Santos is a much better striker and that Naimov's takedowns are his only path. He believes Santos will defend takedowns and win a decision. He mentions that Santos by decision is around even money and is a good play.
The Guru picks Mairon Santos over Muhammad Naimov, citing Santos' superior standup and damage ability compared to Naimov's control-based wins. He notes that Naimov's recent victories were close decisions relying on control time, while Santos has a clear win over Sadique Youssef and a KO of Kofley. The Guru believes Santos will finish Naimov in round two by KO.
Zane picks Mairon Santos, noting that Santos is more dangerous moment to moment and has the physical tools to compete. He acknowledges that Naimov could use pressure and wrestling to neutralize Santos, but believes Santos's power and explosiveness give him the edge. Zane calls it a good matchup.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sodiq Yusuff | 0 | 36 of 86 | 41% | 60 of 115 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:02 |
| Mairon Santos | 0 | 40 of 83 | 48% | 71 of 114 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:57 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sodiq Yusuff | 0 | 19 of 30 | 63% | 19 of 30 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:42 |
| Mairon Santos | 0 | 9 of 27 | 33% | 9 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 | |
| 2 | Sodiq Yusuff | 0 | 10 of 26 | 38% | 29 of 48 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
| Mairon Santos | 0 | 16 of 27 | 59% | 26 of 37 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:35 | |
| 3 | Sodiq Yusuff | 0 | 7 of 30 | 23% | 12 of 37 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:19 |
| Mairon Santos | 0 | 15 of 29 | 51% | 36 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sodiq Yusuff | 36 of 86 | 41% | 9 of 44 | 9 of 19 | 18 of 23 | 35 of 84 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mairon Santos | 40 of 83 | 48% | 22 of 56 | 10 of 18 | 8 of 9 | 35 of 77 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sodiq Yusuff | 19 of 30 | 63% | 4 of 11 | 7 of 10 | 8 of 9 | 18 of 29 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mairon Santos | 9 of 27 | 33% | 4 of 18 | 2 of 5 | 3 of 4 | 8 of 26 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Sodiq Yusuff | 10 of 26 | 38% | 3 of 15 | 2 of 6 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 25 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mairon Santos | 16 of 27 | 59% | 11 of 21 | 4 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 12 of 23 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Sodiq Yusuff | 7 of 30 | 23% | 2 of 18 | 0 of 3 | 5 of 9 | 7 of 30 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mairon Santos | 15 of 29 | 51% | 7 of 17 | 4 of 8 | 4 of 4 | 15 of 28 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Sodiq Yusuff as the underdog, but with hesitation. He notes that Yusuff is a fantastic striker with incredible speed and a wide variety of attacks, but is on a two-fight skid. He contrasts Santos's methodical approach with Diego Lopez's aggressive style that troubled Yusuff, suggesting that if Santos lets Yusuff settle in, Yusuff could win. However, he also acknowledges that Santos is good and could control the pace. Angelo's pick seems influenced by personal affinity for Yusuff's social media presence.
Big Brady picks Mairon Santos, citing his power and durability. He notes Sodiq Yusuff's inactivity, injuries, and questionable chin. He expects a standing banger and predicts Santos wins by first-round knockout, though he is not fully confident.
The host thinks the public is low on Santos due to a controversial decision win, but sees this as a winnable fight for him. He expects Santos to dictate the pace with high output and volume, which should muzzle Yusuff, who needs a knockout to win. He leans with Santos to win on the scorecards.
The Guru picks Mairon Santos, calling him underrated and believing he should have won his last fight against Francis Marshall. He thinks Santos is talented and hungry, while Sodiq Yusuff is chinny and not a full-time fighter anymore. He predicts Santos will finish Yusuff by TKO, noting Yusuff gets wobbled easily.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mairon Santos | 0 | 58 of 129 | 44% | 78 of 154 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Francis Marshall | 0 | 39 of 143 | 27% | 64 of 179 | 3 of 5 | 60% | 0 | 0 | 2:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mairon Santos | 0 | 18 of 42 | 42% | 18 of 42 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Francis Marshall | 0 | 16 of 45 | 35% | 36 of 76 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 2 | Mairon Santos | 0 | 19 of 36 | 52% | 19 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Francis Marshall | 0 | 8 of 40 | 20% | 8 of 40 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:22 | |
| 3 | Mairon Santos | 0 | 21 of 51 | 41% | 41 of 76 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Francis Marshall | 0 | 15 of 58 | 25% | 20 of 63 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:38 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mairon Santos | 58 of 129 | 44% | 29 of 80 | 14 of 30 | 15 of 19 | 57 of 128 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Francis Marshall | 39 of 143 | 27% | 32 of 136 | 1 of 1 | 6 of 6 | 39 of 142 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mairon Santos | 18 of 42 | 42% | 5 of 21 | 4 of 10 | 9 of 11 | 17 of 41 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Francis Marshall | 16 of 45 | 35% | 10 of 39 | 1 of 1 | 5 of 5 | 16 of 44 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 | |
| 2 | Mairon Santos | 19 of 36 | 52% | 10 of 23 | 4 of 7 | 5 of 6 | 19 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Francis Marshall | 8 of 40 | 20% | 8 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 40 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Mairon Santos | 21 of 51 | 41% | 14 of 36 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 2 | 21 of 51 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Francis Marshall | 15 of 58 | 25% | 14 of 57 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 58 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Santos (-355), Marshall (+280)
Round 1
From one Santos to another we go (no relation), as the self-proclaimed “Legend” Santos (14-1, 1-0 UFC) tries to go for two in a row in the Octagon. To prevail, he will need to put out “Fire” Marshall (8-2, 2-2 UFC). The featherweights will be joined by referee Chris Tognoni, who clocks them as they elect not to touch gloves. Santos lunges forward with a front kick, and Marshall slips out of the way and beans him with a right hand over the top that stuns Santos. Santos tries to go one-for-one with his opponent, and Marshall sweeps him off his feet with a powerful calf kick. Marshall shoots in from a distance for a takedown, and the Brazilian skirts out of the way to get back to the center of the cage. When Santos gets off a leg kick, Marshall clips him with a left hand that stumbles him but does not put him down. Santos chambers and fires a low kick, knocking Marshall to his seat for a second. Marshall springs back up and darts in with a one-two, and he scores a leg kick and checks one coming back his way. Marshall backs off with a short combination as Santos bears down on him, and he lashes out with a right hand that just grazes off the chin. When Santos attacks a low kick, Marshall’s counter is primed and ready to fire. Marshall clips Santos with it, and Santos gets back in his face and clubs him with a right hand on the temple. Marshall’s success prompts the fans to cheer “USA” for him until he gets his, and then the chants die down. Marshall gets back to it with a few long punches, only to get chopped at with a leg kick. Marshall gives him one back to think about, and rolls with a booming right hand that bangs into the side of his head. Santos lets loose a leg kick, and Marshall shoots in with a telegraphed takedown and is met with an uppercut. Marshall winds up with a left hand and knocks “The Legend” to the canvas, and he immediately is faced with a takedown attempt. Marshall fights out of it to get to the side while Santos is trying to stand, and he beats on him on the side of the dome. Santos leans himself against the fencing, and Marshall drops in a few more right hands until the horn sounds.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Marshall
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Marshall
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Marshall
Round 2
The fighters race towards one another to start off the second round, with Marshall looking for his jab early. Santos slaps one away and pops Marshall in the chops with his own. When Santos is faking low kicks, Marshall gets tired of reacting to them and smacks the Brazilian in the face with a left hand. Santos lunges at him with a left hook, and Marshall parries it and cannot get out of the way of two leg kicks, although he partially checks the second. Marshall scoops in a left uppercut when Santos leaves his guard down, and he rails a right hand around the guard to sting Santos. When Santos backpedals, Marshall chases him down and lands a few punches on his foe’s guard. Marshall disengages, and he tries to time a counter but is beaten to the punch by a leaping Santos. Marshall uses his jab to disallow Santos from loading up, and he swats away a front kick to catch his man with a left. The third strike in a combination from Santos busts up Marshall’s nose, which is firmly leaking at this point. Santos slaps a few low kicks in when there is a lull in the action, and Marshall springs into action with a big left hook that brushes past his intended target. Marshall rushes forward with a tackling takedown, taking Santos off his feet and drifting past Santos when the first try fails. Marshall grips Santos from behind and clasps his hands around the waist, kicking Santos’ feet out from underneath him a few times when Santos scampers back upright. Marshall grinds his adversary against the wire, looking for trips until Santos turns around. Marshall considers going after a single-leg takedown, but Santos uses a knee shield to push Marshall away from him and force a separation. Santos lets fly a head kick, and Marshall shrugs it off and blocks another from the other side right before the bell.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Marshall
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Marshall
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Marshall
Round 3
The featherweights clap hands to get going in the last stanza, with Santos again in the center of the cage looking for leg kicks. Marshall spurs himself into action with three clubbing punches, only to back away when Santos is on him with power. Marshall sneaks a right hand in around the guard, and he slips away before Santos can bear down on him. Marshall intercepts an advancing Santos with a stiff jab, and he continues moving so Santos cannot trap him. Marshall leans forward and unleashes a right hand from an odd angle, and he dances out of harm’s way as Santos’ volume has diminished fairly significantly. Santos gets off two punches, but Marshall is elusive and throws back three. The Brazilian absorbs a left hand on the chin when coming forward despite his guard pinned to his jab, and Marshall is slicker and quicker. Santos tries to step in with a knee, and it is a few feet away from a moving Marshall. Marshall sits down on a handful of punches, ignoring what comes back his way and checking a leg kick. Marshall is in and out with a jab, slipping strikes and peppering “The Legend” with offense. Santos is one-and-done with a power overhand right, and he jabs out with a front kick off the midsection. Marshall thumps the front leg with a kick, and he turns his head out of the way of a right hand after completing his own combo. Santos stands firm and plants his fists on Marshall’s chin, and Marshall does not like this and shoots. Santos tries to roll with it, but Marshall smothers him and puts him flat on his back with 25 seconds remaining on the clock. Marshall resides in the closed guard, with Santos swatting at him with his hands that have nothing on them. Before Marshall can get off much ground-and-pound, time expires to conclude the pairing.
Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Marshall (30-27 Marshall)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Marshall (30-27 Marshall)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Marshall (30-27 Marshall)
The Official Result
Mairon Santos def. Francis Marshall via Split Decision (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mairon Santos | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Kaan Ofli | 1 | 31 of 67 | 46% | 32 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mairon Santos | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 20 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mairon Santos | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Kaan Ofli | 1 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mairon Santos | 12 of 28 | 42% | 10 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 4 | 11 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 31 of 67 | 46% | 15 of 48 | 9 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 27 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mairon Santos | 7 of 20 | 35% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 19 of 43 | 44% | 9 of 33 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mairon Santos | 5 of 8 | 62% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 12 of 24 | 50% | 6 of 15 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Cody doesn't have a pick because the opponent for Ofli is not yet determined at the time of recording. He mentions that Santos and Ziggy Montes Rasa are the two best guys and the winner of that fight would beat Ofli. He says he needs to see the odds before making a decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Kaan Ofli as the underdog, noting Ofli is likely the stronger grappler while Santos has big leg kicks but issues on the mat. He admits he is not very familiar with either fighter and advises caution.
Paul doesn't have a pick because the opponent is unknown. He says it's impossible to provide betting advice without odds. He mentions he saw Ofli's fight and he looked solid, but needs more information.
Kaan Ofli - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 48 of 107 | 44% | 53 of 114 | 0 of 7 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:57 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 68 of 124 | 54% | 75 of 133 | 3 of 3 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaan Ofli | 0 | 23 of 38 | 60% | 28 of 44 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 1 | 2:20 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 19 of 34 | 55% | 22 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 | |
| 2 | Kaan Ofli | 0 | 10 of 38 | 26% | 10 of 39 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Yi Zha | 1 | 31 of 57 | 54% | 34 of 61 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:35 | |
| 3 | Kaan Ofli | 0 | 15 of 31 | 48% | 15 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:37 |
| Yi Zha | 0 | 18 of 33 | 54% | 19 of 34 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:34 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaan Ofli | 48 of 107 | 44% | 22 of 78 | 19 of 22 | 7 of 7 | 38 of 91 | 7 of 11 | 3 of 5 |
| Yi Zha | 68 of 124 | 54% | 44 of 93 | 17 of 24 | 7 of 7 | 58 of 109 | 5 of 7 | 5 of 8 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kaan Ofli | 23 of 38 | 60% | 10 of 24 | 12 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 26 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 5 |
| Yi Zha | 19 of 34 | 55% | 14 of 26 | 1 of 4 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 33 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | |
| 2 | Kaan Ofli | 10 of 38 | 26% | 5 of 33 | 2 of 2 | 3 of 3 | 10 of 38 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 31 of 57 | 54% | 20 of 44 | 9 of 11 | 2 of 2 | 26 of 48 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 7 | |
| 3 | Kaan Ofli | 15 of 31 | 48% | 7 of 21 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 13 of 27 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Yi Zha | 18 of 33 | 54% | 10 of 23 | 7 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 14 of 28 | 4 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Kaan Ofli as a slight lean, stating he is the better grappler and if he shoots first, he can have success because Yi Zha's takedown defense sucks. He acknowledges Yi Zha is the better striker and offensive grappler, but thinks Ofli's jiu-jitsu is better on the ground. He says betting moneyline would be dumb, but plus 3.5 might make sense.
Big Brady picks Yi Zha based on activity, as Kaan Ofli does nothing in fights. He notes Zha is aggressive with wrestling and grappling, while Ofli has shown no output. He expects a decision win for Zha, though he doesn't love the -215 price.
Cody is picking Ofli as a value underdog, noting that Yi Zha has been outmuscled by stronger opponents and that Ofli has shown durability and a strong clinch game. He expects Ofli to win by decision or late stoppage.
Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ofli. He notes that Yi Zha's competition is weak and Ofli's power and bullying style should be effective. Connor also comments that the odds are not too bothersome, as both fighters are similar in level.
Daniel Vreeland picks Yi Zha, viewing him as a tough, battle-tested journeyman who is hungrier and more durable than Ofli. He dismisses Ofli as a mid-level fighter and believes Yi Zha's experience and toughness will carry him to victory.
James picks Yi Zha, citing his better boxing, takedown ability, and veteran savvy. He believes Yi Zha can reverse Ofli's takedowns and win scrambles, and that his experience will lead to a decision victory.
Ofli is a BJJ black belt with good wrestling and striking, though he has had some losses. Yi Zha is a grappler but not as aggressive or dominant as Ofli's previous opponents. Ofli should be able to stuff takedowns and have success on the feet, where he has an edge in explosiveness. The host is surprised Ofli is an underdog and expects him to win by decision, possibly pulling off the upset.
Paul also leans toward Ofli, noting that Yi Zha was knocked out by Myron Santos and that Ofli has shown he will cheat to win. He sees value in the underdog.
The Guru picks Yi Zha, calling him underrated and noting his impressive debut knockout of Weston Wilson. He highlights Yi's grappling ability, chin advantage, and striking power. He predicts a first-round TKO, citing Yi's aggression and experience from Road to UFC.
Zane picks Kaan Ofli because he is a powerful, bullying fighter who will overwhelm Yi Zha with aggression. He notes that Yi Zha's record is padded with low-level competition and he does not have applicable skills for the UFC. Ofli's power and athleticism should be too much for Yi Zha.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:56 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 0 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | --- | 3 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 1:56 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Ramos | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ricardo Ramos | 1 of 4 | 25% | 1 of 2 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 1 of 4 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Ricardo Ramos, trusting his wrestling training at Team Alpha Male to be ahead in exchanges. He believes Ramos is the better striker and can keep the fight standing. However, he is shocked at the 2-to-1 odds and does not like them, noting Ramos has been taken down before and could be ridden out.
Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos despite being hesitant, as he considers Ramos the much more skilled fighter. He questions Ramos's durability, fight IQ, submission defense, and heart, noting he has been submitted multiple times and looked for ways out. He also questions Ofli's chin, grappling, wrestling, and striking. Brady expects Ramos to win by decision but acknowledges Ramos might beat himself.
Cody picks Ramos but is cautious, noting his lack of game plan and reliance on flashy techniques. He believes Ramos's size and experience advantage, plus training at Fighting Nerds, could lead to a win, but he's not confident at -175.
Lucrative James picks Ricardo Ramos, believing he is a level above Kaan Ofli, who hasn't proven to be UFC caliber. He notes Ramos's dangerous spinning attacks and submission skills, but also his tendency to gas out. He expects a finish inside the distance, possibly by submission or KO. He is not very confident due to Ramos's inconsistency.
Manpreet leans towards Ramos but with low confidence, citing Ramos's recent poor form. He believes Ramos's takedown defense and grappling will force Ofli to strike, where Ramos is the better technical striker. He expects Ramos to win by decision, but notes that Ofli's wide hooks could be countered. He is not confident enough to bet the chalk.
Paul picks Ramos but is hesitant due to his volatility. He notes Ramos's higher ceiling and home crowd advantage, but acknowledges the risk of laying chalk on an inconsistent fighter. He expects a win but warns against heavy investment.
The MMA Guru picks Kaan Ofli over Ricardo Ramos, despite a rule against picking Ramos. He notes Ramos has lost 4 of his last 5 and is untrustworthy, while Ofli has good pressure and wrestling. He predicts a close decision win for Ofli based on control time.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Naimov | 0 | 32 of 92 | 34% | 79 of 176 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 5:36 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 31 of 66 | 46% | 57 of 97 | 0 of 6 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 3:35 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muhammad Naimov | 0 | 14 of 34 | 41% | 32 of 56 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:55 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 11 of 27 | 40% | 23 of 41 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 1:21 | |
| 2 | Muhammad Naimov | 0 | 10 of 33 | 30% | 25 of 51 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:16 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 11 of 21 | 52% | 19 of 31 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 2:03 | |
| 3 | Muhammad Naimov | 0 | 8 of 25 | 32% | 22 of 69 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 3:25 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 9 of 18 | 50% | 15 of 25 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:11 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhammad Naimov | 32 of 92 | 34% | 23 of 79 | 8 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 22 of 73 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 13 |
| Kaan Ofli | 31 of 66 | 46% | 5 of 30 | 16 of 21 | 10 of 15 | 14 of 44 | 17 of 22 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Muhammad Naimov | 14 of 34 | 41% | 7 of 23 | 6 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 10 of 30 | 4 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 11 of 27 | 40% | 2 of 12 | 7 of 9 | 2 of 6 | 6 of 21 | 5 of 6 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Muhammad Naimov | 10 of 33 | 30% | 8 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 31 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 11 of 21 | 52% | 1 of 10 | 4 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 6 of 16 | 5 of 5 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Muhammad Naimov | 8 of 25 | 32% | 8 of 25 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 12 | 0 of 0 | 4 of 13 |
| Kaan Ofli | 9 of 18 | 50% | 2 of 8 | 5 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 7 | 7 of 11 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Muhammad Naimov, citing his well-rounded skills, speed, and athleticism. He notes that Kaan Ofli is a BJJ black belt but lacks the length and wrestling to be effective at this level. He believes Naimov's striking and takedown defense will be key, and he is growing more confident in Naimov as fight week progresses.
Big Brady is not high on Muhammad Naimov but thinks this is a good matchup for him. He notes Kaan Ofli laid an egg in his last fight and was brutally knocked out. Brady expects Naimov to be the better striker and knock Ofli out in the first round, though he would never lay -300 on Naimov.
Connor picks Naimov, citing his superior athleticism and strength. He notes that both fighters are similar brawlers, but Naimov is a slightly better athlete and has a more durable chin. Connor believes Naimov's physicality and ability to win scrambles will be the difference, and that Ofli's tendency to crash the pocket will play into Naimov's strengths.
Naimov has more powerful striking and will land more often, winning on the scorecards if he can't get a late finish. Both fighters like to wrestle and have power, but Naimov's output and power are expected to be the difference.
The MMA Guru picks Muhammad Naimov to win by KO in the second round or late first. He believes Naimov has wicked grappling skills and knockout power, and that Ofli's short reach (66 inches) will be a disadvantage. He thinks Naimov will have an advantage on the feet and won't be outmuscled.
Zane picks Naimov, agreeing that he is the stronger athlete and more likely to win the physical exchanges. He notes that Ofli's game is one-dimensional and that Naimov's durability and power should carry him. Zane also points out that Ofli's loss to Myron Santos showed he can be overwhelmed, and Naimov presents a similar challenge.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mairon Santos | 0 | 12 of 28 | 42% | 19 of 35 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:33 |
| Kaan Ofli | 1 | 31 of 67 | 46% | 32 of 68 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mairon Santos | 0 | 7 of 20 | 35% | 14 of 27 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:29 |
| Kaan Ofli | 0 | 19 of 43 | 44% | 20 of 44 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 | |
| 2 | Mairon Santos | 0 | 5 of 8 | 62% | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:04 |
| Kaan Ofli | 1 | 12 of 24 | 50% | 12 of 24 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mairon Santos | 12 of 28 | 42% | 10 of 22 | 1 of 2 | 1 of 4 | 11 of 27 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 31 of 67 | 46% | 15 of 48 | 9 of 12 | 7 of 7 | 27 of 62 | 1 of 2 | 3 of 3 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mairon Santos | 7 of 20 | 35% | 7 of 17 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 2 | 7 of 20 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 19 of 43 | 44% | 9 of 33 | 6 of 6 | 4 of 4 | 18 of 41 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Mairon Santos | 5 of 8 | 62% | 3 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 | 4 of 7 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kaan Ofli | 12 of 24 | 50% | 6 of 15 | 3 of 6 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 3 |
Cody doesn't have a pick because the opponent for Ofli is not yet determined at the time of recording. He mentions that Santos and Ziggy Montes Rasa are the two best guys and the winner of that fight would beat Ofli. He says he needs to see the odds before making a decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Kaan Ofli as the underdog, noting Ofli is likely the stronger grappler while Santos has big leg kicks but issues on the mat. He admits he is not very familiar with either fighter and advises caution.
Paul doesn't have a pick because the opponent is unknown. He says it's impossible to provide betting advice without odds. He mentions he saw Ofli's fight and he looked solid, but needs more information.
Expert Picks (3)
Cody doesn't have a pick because the opponent for Ofli is not yet determined at the time of recording. He mentions that Santos and Ziggy Montes Rasa are the two best guys and the winner of that fight would beat Ofli. He says he needs to see the odds before making a decision.
Daniel Vreeland picks Kaan Ofli as the underdog, noting Ofli is likely the stronger grappler while Santos has big leg kicks but issues on the mat. He admits he is not very familiar with either fighter and advises caution.
Paul doesn't have a pick because the opponent is unknown. He says it's impossible to provide betting advice without odds. He mentions he saw Ofli's fight and he looked solid, but needs more information.
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