UFC 163: Aldo vs. Korean Zombie · Aug 03, 2013 · Middleweight · Completed
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Age 41
Height 6' 1"
Reach 78.0"
Weight 185 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 42
Height 6' 2"
Reach 76.0"
Weight 205 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Cezar Ferreira
1.9 SLpM
42.0% Str. Acc.
2.44 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
2.69 TD Avg
53.0% TD Acc.
84.0% TD Def.
0.5 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Thiago Santos
3.72 SLpM
48.0% Str. Acc.
2.57 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.88 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
65.0% TD Def.
0.1 Sub. Avg
Cezar Ferreira - Fight History
LOSS vs Marvin Vettori
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: de Randamie vs. Ladd · Jul 13, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Marvin Vettori 0 78 of 148 52% 106 of 176 2 of 4 50% 0 0 2:34
Cezar Ferreira 0 39 of 88 44% 41 of 90 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:09
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Marvin Vettori 0 23 of 46 50% 39 of 62 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:49
Cezar Ferreira 0 17 of 30 56% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Marvin Vettori 0 24 of 44 54% 36 of 56 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:38
Cezar Ferreira 0 12 of 26 46% 14 of 28 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Marvin Vettori 0 31 of 58 53% 31 of 58 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Cezar Ferreira 0 10 of 32 31% 10 of 32 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Marvin Vettori 78 of 148 52% 69 of 137 7 of 9 2 of 2 50 of 107 20 of 30 8 of 11
Cezar Ferreira 39 of 88 44% 17 of 54 7 of 13 15 of 21 33 of 81 6 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Marvin Vettori 23 of 46 50% 21 of 42 2 of 4 0 of 0 13 of 31 4 of 6 6 of 9
Cezar Ferreira 17 of 30 56% 2 of 12 5 of 7 10 of 11 16 of 29 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Marvin Vettori 24 of 44 54% 22 of 42 2 of 2 0 of 0 14 of 32 8 of 10 2 of 2
Cezar Ferreira 12 of 26 46% 6 of 16 2 of 4 4 of 6 10 of 24 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Marvin Vettori 31 of 58 53% 26 of 53 3 of 3 2 of 2 23 of 44 8 of 14 0 of 0
Cezar Ferreira 10 of 32 31% 9 of 26 0 of 2 1 of 4 7 of 28 3 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Cezar Ferreira vs. Marvin Vettori

Round 1
Vettori absorbs an eye poke during an initial exchange, so we have a break in the action. Ferreira gets a warning and the fight resumes. Ferreira lands a low kick and Vettori grins. Vettori is stalking, coming forward with punches. Ferreira blocks most of them, though. “Mutante” lands a nice body shot. Vettori steps in with a left hand. The Italian fighter pursues and lands a one-two. Ferreira answers back with a pair of hard low kicks. Ferreira steps in with an uppercut, Vettori shakes his head and attacks with a combination. Ferreira is having his most success with low kicks. Another heavy low kick from Ferreira. Vettori catches the next kick and lands a takedown with about 1:00 to go. The Italian passes to full mount and lands some ground-and-pound. Ferreira regains guard with 20 seconds, but Vettori drops some elbows that appear to have cut the Brazilian at the end of the frame.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vettori
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Vettori
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vettori

Round 2
A right hook connects early, but Vettori counters with a shot of his own that makes the Brazilian stumble backward. Vettori times a level change and puts Ferreira on the mat. Ferreira scrambles up and eats a knee and some punches. They clinch and Vettori drops for a takedown. Ferreira lands some elbows to the side of the head, so Vettori resets. They separate with about 3:00 to go and Vettori lands a stiff jab and then a right hook moments later. Ferreira lands a hard left hand, and Vettori shakes it off. Vettori slips and counters with a straight left hand. Ferreira goes back to the low kick. Vettori puts the Brazilian on his bike with a combination. Vettori swarms with more punches after Ferreira momentarily slips. Ferreira steps in with a body-head combination. Ferreira attempts a level change and Vettori reverses his man and drives him into the fence. Not much action from the clinch as the round draws to a close. They’ll end in that position.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vettori
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Vettori
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vettori

Round 3
Ferreira shoots for a takedown early, but Vettori shrugs him off. They trade in the pocket, and it’s Vettori landing with more volume. Vettori is working behind his jab. Ferreira shoots again, clinging to a single leg. Vettori frees himself and lands some heavy punches on the feet. Ferreira stumbles on a kick and Vettori forces the clinch. They break and return to the center of the cage. Vettori lands a one-two. The pace is slowing somewhat, and Vettori stuffs a takedown. A clean one-two combo lands for Vettori. Vettori sidesteps a shot and lands a right hook. He tags Ferreira with a couple more clean shots. Vettori snaps his foe’s head back with a hard combination. A left cross connects for the Italian, as he’s feeling comfortable in the late moments of the fight, holding his hands low. Ferreira can’t capitalize, and this one should belong to Vettori.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Vettori (30-27 Vettori)
Cole Shelton scores the round: 10-9 Vettori (30-27 Vettori)
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Vettori (30-27 Vettori)

The Official Result
Marvin Vettori def. Cezar Ferreira via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 30-27) R3 5:00
LOSS vs Ian Heinisch
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · Nov 17, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ian Heinisch 0 26 of 55 47% 38 of 68 5 of 11 45% 0 0 5:20
Cezar Ferreira 1 55 of 95 57% 90 of 133 1 of 7 14% 2 0 1:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ian Heinisch 0 6 of 9 66% 7 of 10 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:25
Cezar Ferreira 0 13 of 21 61% 20 of 29 0 of 0 --- 2 0 0:00
2 Ian Heinisch 0 9 of 18 50% 18 of 27 3 of 4 75% 0 0 1:28
Cezar Ferreira 1 13 of 27 48% 13 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:04
3 Ian Heinisch 0 11 of 28 39% 13 of 31 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:27
Cezar Ferreira 0 29 of 47 61% 57 of 77 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ian Heinisch 26 of 55 47% 17 of 39 3 of 9 6 of 7 22 of 47 4 of 8 0 of 0
Cezar Ferreira 55 of 95 57% 38 of 74 10 of 10 7 of 11 30 of 59 14 of 21 11 of 15
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ian Heinisch 6 of 9 66% 3 of 4 0 of 2 3 of 3 6 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cezar Ferreira 13 of 21 61% 5 of 10 6 of 6 2 of 5 8 of 15 1 of 2 4 of 4
2 Ian Heinisch 9 of 18 50% 6 of 11 2 of 5 1 of 2 9 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Cezar Ferreira 13 of 27 48% 7 of 20 2 of 2 4 of 5 8 of 18 0 of 1 5 of 8
3 Ian Heinisch 11 of 28 39% 8 of 24 1 of 2 2 of 2 7 of 20 4 of 8 0 of 0
Cezar Ferreira 29 of 47 61% 26 of 44 2 of 2 1 of 1 14 of 26 13 of 18 2 of 3
WIN vs Karl Roberson
Technical Submission (arm-triangle choke) R1 4:45 · UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · May 12, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cezar Ferreira 0 5 of 6 83% 14 of 16 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:21
Karl Roberson 0 4 of 6 66% 20 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cezar Ferreira 0 5 of 6 83% 14 of 16 2 of 3 66% 1 0 4:21
Karl Roberson 0 4 of 6 66% 20 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cezar Ferreira 5 of 6 83% 4 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5
Karl Roberson 4 of 6 66% 3 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 2 of 2 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cezar Ferreira 5 of 6 83% 4 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5
Karl Roberson 4 of 6 66% 3 of 5 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 3 2 of 2 1 of 1
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · Nov 11, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cezar Ferreira 1 36 of 65 55% 51 of 82 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:41
Nate Marquardt 0 47 of 81 58% 96 of 135 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cezar Ferreira 0 8 of 18 44% 8 of 18 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Nate Marquardt 0 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cezar Ferreira 1 20 of 37 54% 21 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
Nate Marquardt 0 18 of 38 47% 18 of 38 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:18
3 Cezar Ferreira 0 8 of 10 80% 22 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:15
Nate Marquardt 0 13 of 14 92% 62 of 68 2 of 3 66% 0 0 4:26
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cezar Ferreira 36 of 65 55% 22 of 49 8 of 9 6 of 7 23 of 51 7 of 8 6 of 6
Nate Marquardt 47 of 81 58% 14 of 41 15 of 21 18 of 19 35 of 68 1 of 2 11 of 11
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cezar Ferreira 8 of 18 44% 4 of 13 1 of 1 3 of 4 8 of 18 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nate Marquardt 16 of 29 55% 4 of 15 2 of 4 10 of 10 16 of 28 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Cezar Ferreira 20 of 37 54% 11 of 27 6 of 7 3 of 3 14 of 30 6 of 7 0 of 0
Nate Marquardt 18 of 38 47% 8 of 23 3 of 7 7 of 8 17 of 37 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Cezar Ferreira 8 of 10 80% 7 of 9 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 3 1 of 1 6 of 6
Nate Marquardt 13 of 14 92% 2 of 3 10 of 10 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 11 of 11
LOSS vs Elias Theodorou
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · Feb 19, 2017
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elias Theodorou 0 38 of 116 32% 70 of 155 1 of 4 25% 0 2 2:39
Cezar Ferreira 0 11 of 38 28% 11 of 38 3 of 6 50% 2 0 1:46
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elias Theodorou 0 12 of 51 23% 18 of 63 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:39
Cezar Ferreira 0 9 of 19 47% 9 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Elias Theodorou 0 15 of 31 48% 32 of 48 1 of 2 50% 0 1 1:44
Cezar Ferreira 0 1 of 9 11% 1 of 9 2 of 3 66% 2 0 0:49
3 Elias Theodorou 0 11 of 34 32% 20 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 1 0:16
Cezar Ferreira 0 1 of 10 10% 1 of 10 1 of 3 33% 0 0 0:57
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elias Theodorou 38 of 116 32% 18 of 80 8 of 16 12 of 20 28 of 104 3 of 3 7 of 9
Cezar Ferreira 11 of 38 28% 4 of 26 3 of 6 4 of 6 11 of 36 0 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elias Theodorou 12 of 51 23% 2 of 33 5 of 10 5 of 8 11 of 50 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cezar Ferreira 9 of 19 47% 4 of 14 3 of 3 2 of 2 9 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Elias Theodorou 15 of 31 48% 12 of 25 1 of 3 2 of 3 7 of 21 1 of 1 7 of 9
Cezar Ferreira 1 of 9 11% 0 of 5 0 of 2 1 of 2 1 of 7 0 of 2 0 of 0
3 Elias Theodorou 11 of 34 32% 4 of 22 2 of 3 5 of 9 10 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Cezar Ferreira 1 of 10 10% 0 of 7 0 of 1 1 of 2 1 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Submission (arm-triangle choke) R2 2:11 · UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira 2 · Nov 19, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cezar Ferreira 0 10 of 30 33% 10 of 30 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:21
Jack Hermansson 0 14 of 49 28% 14 of 49 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cezar Ferreira 0 8 of 26 30% 8 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jack Hermansson 0 9 of 35 25% 9 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
2 Cezar Ferreira 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:21
Jack Hermansson 0 5 of 14 35% 5 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cezar Ferreira 10 of 30 33% 3 of 20 5 of 6 2 of 4 10 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 14 of 49 28% 3 of 21 3 of 9 8 of 19 14 of 48 0 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cezar Ferreira 8 of 26 30% 3 of 18 3 of 4 2 of 4 8 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 9 of 35 25% 3 of 16 1 of 6 5 of 13 9 of 34 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Cezar Ferreira 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jack Hermansson 5 of 14 35% 0 of 5 2 of 3 3 of 6 5 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
WIN vs Anthony Smith
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Joanna vs. Team Claudia Finale · Jul 08, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cezar Ferreira 0 30 of 51 58% 120 of 148 6 of 6 100% 0 0 8:39
Anthony Smith 0 33 of 63 52% 41 of 71 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cezar Ferreira 0 11 of 18 61% 18 of 25 2 of 2 100% 0 0 2:33
Anthony Smith 0 13 of 24 54% 13 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Cezar Ferreira 0 14 of 24 58% 32 of 42 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:50
Anthony Smith 0 15 of 31 48% 16 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Cezar Ferreira 0 5 of 9 55% 70 of 81 2 of 2 100% 0 0 4:16
Anthony Smith 0 5 of 8 62% 12 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cezar Ferreira 30 of 51 58% 17 of 35 6 of 8 7 of 8 23 of 41 1 of 1 6 of 9
Anthony Smith 33 of 63 52% 22 of 45 6 of 13 5 of 5 26 of 54 6 of 7 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cezar Ferreira 11 of 18 61% 7 of 12 4 of 6 0 of 0 7 of 13 0 of 0 4 of 5
Anthony Smith 13 of 24 54% 7 of 17 3 of 4 3 of 3 12 of 23 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Cezar Ferreira 14 of 24 58% 7 of 17 0 of 0 7 of 7 12 of 21 1 of 1 1 of 2
Anthony Smith 15 of 31 48% 11 of 21 3 of 9 1 of 1 10 of 25 5 of 6 0 of 0
3 Cezar Ferreira 5 of 9 55% 3 of 6 2 of 2 0 of 1 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 2
Anthony Smith 5 of 8 62% 4 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 2
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on Fox: Teixeira vs. Evans · Apr 16, 2016
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Cezar Ferreira 1 20 of 51 39% 66 of 107 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:55
Oluwale Bamgbose 0 26 of 58 44% 62 of 99 3 of 5 60% 0 0 6:49
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Cezar Ferreira 1 17 of 38 44% 23 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:55
Oluwale Bamgbose 0 4 of 15 26% 7 of 18 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:54
2 Cezar Ferreira 0 1 of 4 25% 40 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Oluwale Bamgbose 0 14 of 24 58% 40 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:09
3 Cezar Ferreira 0 2 of 9 22% 3 of 10 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Oluwale Bamgbose 0 8 of 19 42% 15 of 27 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:46
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Cezar Ferreira 20 of 51 39% 13 of 41 3 of 5 4 of 5 12 of 36 0 of 0 8 of 15
Oluwale Bamgbose 26 of 58 44% 21 of 47 1 of 4 4 of 7 8 of 27 0 of 0 18 of 31
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Cezar Ferreira 17 of 38 44% 11 of 32 2 of 2 4 of 4 9 of 24 0 of 0 8 of 14
Oluwale Bamgbose 4 of 15 26% 2 of 10 0 of 1 2 of 4 2 of 10 0 of 0 2 of 5
2 Cezar Ferreira 1 of 4 25% 0 of 2 1 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 1
Oluwale Bamgbose 14 of 24 58% 12 of 22 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 4 0 of 0 11 of 20
3 Cezar Ferreira 2 of 9 22% 2 of 7 0 of 1 0 of 1 2 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Oluwale Bamgbose 8 of 19 42% 7 of 15 0 of 2 1 of 2 3 of 13 0 of 0 5 of 6
Thiago Santos - Fight History
LOSS vs Jamahal Hill
TKO (punches and elbows) R4 2:31 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Hill · Aug 06, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamahal Hill 0 53 of 94 56% 56 of 98 6 of 20 30% 0 0 5:54
Thiago Santos 0 89 of 152 58% 130 of 194 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:26
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamahal Hill 0 10 of 18 55% 11 of 19 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:23
Thiago Santos 0 9 of 30 30% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jamahal Hill 0 16 of 38 42% 16 of 38 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:41
Thiago Santos 0 31 of 52 59% 35 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:22
3 Jamahal Hill 0 8 of 11 72% 10 of 14 5 of 11 45% 0 0 3:50
Thiago Santos 0 9 of 11 81% 23 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:33
4 Jamahal Hill 0 19 of 27 70% 19 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 40 of 59 67% 54 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamahal Hill 53 of 94 56% 28 of 66 13 of 16 12 of 12 43 of 82 8 of 9 2 of 3
Thiago Santos 89 of 152 58% 68 of 131 12 of 12 9 of 9 52 of 107 19 of 21 18 of 24
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamahal Hill 10 of 18 55% 1 of 8 3 of 4 6 of 6 9 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 9 of 30 30% 5 of 26 4 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 26 4 of 4 0 of 0
2 Jamahal Hill 16 of 38 42% 9 of 29 5 of 7 2 of 2 14 of 35 2 of 2 0 of 1
Thiago Santos 31 of 52 59% 19 of 40 5 of 5 7 of 7 28 of 48 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Jamahal Hill 8 of 11 72% 6 of 9 1 of 1 1 of 1 3 of 6 3 of 3 2 of 2
Thiago Santos 9 of 11 81% 5 of 7 3 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 4 7 of 7 0 of 0
4 Jamahal Hill 19 of 27 70% 12 of 20 4 of 4 3 of 3 17 of 24 2 of 3 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 40 of 59 67% 39 of 58 0 of 0 1 of 1 17 of 29 5 of 6 18 of 24
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Angelo picks Jamahal Hill, citing Thiago Santos's decline in power and speed since his injuries. He notes Hill's excellent striking differential and accuracy, and believes he can outpoint Santos. However, he acknowledges Santos's durability and championship-round experience, leaving some uncertainty if the fight goes deep. He cannot bet on 'survive logic' and sticks with Hill.

"given what tiago santos has become we got to go with jamal hill here right"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 2, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Big Brady picks Jamahal Hill, noting his high volume and power compared to Thiago Santos, who has been low-volume and inactive in his recent fights. He acknowledges Santos's power and the fact that Hill is hittable, but believes Hill's pressure and output will overwhelm Santos. He predicts a second or third-round knockout win for Hill, expressing hope that Hill makes it exciting after Santos's recent boring performances.

second or third round knockout prediction
"i like jamal hill i'd like to help you win by knockout i'll say like second or third round knockout here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Cody also picks Hill, citing Santos's decline since the Jones fight and his knee injuries. He notes that Santos has become a shell of himself, with low output and a tendency to wait for counters. Cody believes Hill's length, southpaw stance, and left hand will be key, and that Hill can carry his power into later rounds. He predicts a late stoppage or decision for Hill.

Hill over 30.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks; Hill by late stoppage (rounds 4-5) or decision
"I got Hill as well... I'm just not on team Thiago Santos... he's a lot older... since he's come back has just been less than kind."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Daniel Levi picks Jamahal Hill, citing his superior output (nearly double Santos's), power, and heart. He notes Hill's ability to fight in the pocket and force Santos to engage, while Santos has declined since knee surgeries and lacks the output to keep up. Levi is concerned about Santos's power and opportunistic hooks but believes Hill's durability and pace will prevail. He parlayed Hill with Oleksiejczuk to win 2 units.

Parlayed with Michał Oleksiejczuk at -158 to win 2 units
"I gotta go with Jamal Hill here so I took Jamal Hill minus 260 and I parlayed him with... Mija Oleg Zach"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Aug 3, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

Paul picks Jamahal Hill, noting that Hill is too fast for Thiago Santos. He points out that Santos has been in a decline since his fight with Jon Jones, with knee injuries and poor performances. Paul is concerned about the -315 price but still sees Hill as the rightful favorite. He mentions that Hill's speed and power should be enough to win, possibly by late stoppage or decision.

Hill over 30.5 significant strikes on PrizePicks; Hill by decision or late stoppage (rounds 4-5)
"I think Jamahal Hill is a little bit too fast for Thiago Santos... Hill will be the pick don't know if I'm gonna get there from a betting perspective."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jamahal Hill

The MMA Guru picks Jamahal Hill by second-round TKO. He notes Santos's age (38) and lack of leg kicks since injury. He believes Hill's rangy punching and pressure will be effective, and compares to David Branch's KO of Santos. He expects Hill to land a one-two against the cage after a competitive first round.

second round tko
"i'm gonna go jamal hill... i'm gonna see jamal hill pressuring him down walking him down landing some good combos and then maybe just like landing a good straight one two right on thiago santos against the cage at the …"
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · Mar 12, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 1 60 of 138 43% 81 of 160 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Thiago Santos 0 78 of 155 50% 114 of 191 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 0 10 of 21 47% 10 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Magomed Ankalaev 1 15 of 36 41% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Thiago Santos 0 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Magomed Ankalaev 0 18 of 30 60% 18 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 19 of 31 61% 19 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Magomed Ankalaev 0 10 of 32 31% 16 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 21 of 48 43% 36 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:56
5 Magomed Ankalaev 0 7 of 19 36% 19 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 15 of 21 71% 36 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 60 of 138 43% 14 of 75 16 of 26 30 of 37 57 of 135 1 of 1 2 of 2
Thiago Santos 78 of 155 50% 33 of 94 35 of 51 10 of 10 64 of 140 12 of 13 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 10 of 21 47% 0 of 6 3 of 6 7 of 9 10 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 8 of 23 34% 3 of 13 4 of 9 1 of 1 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Magomed Ankalaev 15 of 36 41% 7 of 22 3 of 6 5 of 8 13 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 2
Thiago Santos 15 of 32 46% 6 of 18 6 of 11 3 of 3 14 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Magomed Ankalaev 18 of 30 60% 2 of 13 4 of 4 12 of 13 18 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 19 of 31 61% 7 of 17 7 of 9 5 of 5 18 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
4 Magomed Ankalaev 10 of 32 31% 4 of 23 4 of 7 2 of 2 10 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 21 of 48 43% 13 of 38 8 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 45 1 of 1 2 of 2
5 Magomed Ankalaev 7 of 19 36% 1 of 11 2 of 3 4 of 5 6 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 15 of 21 71% 4 of 8 10 of 12 1 of 1 6 of 11 9 of 10 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Angelo picks Magomed Ankalaev, noting that Thiago Santos has slowed down at 38 and is not the same fighter who knocked out Jan Blachowicz. He believes Ankalaev's forward pressure, heavy kicks, and constant takedown threats will be too much. He expects a one-sided win, though not necessarily a stoppage.

"i have ankalive winning i think he does it with forward pressure heavy kicks that manage range and just constant takedown threats"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady picks Magomed Ankalaev to win by decision. He notes Santos is 38, looks washed, has low volume (44 strikes in 25 minutes vs Walker), and has never recovered from his knee injuries after the Jones fight. He thinks Ankalaev is well-rounded, has power, and will outpoint Santos easily over five rounds. He expects the fight to be somewhat uneventful but Ankalaev will dominate. He mentions the line has moved from -330 to -500.

"i'm gonna say inca live wins this one actually by decision i'm gonna say he just kind of you know out points santos pretty cleanly easily"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody is confident in Ankalaev, citing his pace, cardio, chin, and improved striking. He notes Santos is 38, has declined since knee surgery, and lacks volume. Cody sees Ankalaev as the best at 205 and expects him to win via pressure and volume, possibly a late stoppage. He mentions a parlay with Murzakanov at -106.

Parlay with Murzakanov at -106
"i think ankle alive is the best guy at 205 pounds"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel Levi picks Magomed Ankalaev to win, citing Ankalaev's upward trajectory and the emergence of a new era of light heavyweights. He notes that Thiago Santos has had lackluster performances since the Jon Jones fight, with his knees falling apart. Levi expects a chess match early but sees Ankalaev landing a big counter or takedown with ground and pound. He acknowledges Santos's power but believes Ankalaev's counters are sharp and that he will eventually get a title shot.

"i think mago med and cleave is trending upwards i think that he will get a title shot at some point and i think that the new era of light heavyweights are emerging"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Ankalaev is seen as the uncrowned champ, with a seven-fight win streak and granite chin. He's a technical striker with high striking defense, and his ability to adjust mid-fight is praised. Santos is past his prime at 38, with ACL surgery and tentative performances. Ankalaev is expected to win via decision, possibly a one-sided chess match.

Decision prop for Ankalaev is suggested as a good play; round 4 or 5 decision if available.
"I think he is probably the best light heavyweight on planet Earth right now, and I think it's just a matter of time before he captures that gold."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul echoes Cody's view, emphasizing Santos' decline and Ankalaev's advantages in speed, volume, and wrestling. He notes the price is high but believes Ankalaev is the best in the division. He also mentions a parlay with Murzakanov.

Parlay with Murzakanov
"i think ankle alive is the best guy at 205 pounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

The MMA Guru picks Magomed Ankalaev over Thiago Santos, citing Santos' hesitancy and lack of ligaments in his leg. He believes Ankalaev will chop at the legs early, mix in takedowns, and expose Santos' poor ground game as Glover Teixeira did. He expects a late second-round ground-and-pound TKO, noting that Ankalaev's patient counter-striking style works well against Santos. He admits Santos is a decent underdog but says the odds won't sway him, as Ankalaev wins this fight seven or eight times out of ten.

ground and pound TKO in round 2
"i'm going to trust magman angliev very patient on the fee doesn't rush his work likes to play the counter game as well which i think works against thiago santos"
WIN vs Johnny Walker
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 48–47, 48–47) R5 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · Oct 02, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Thiago Santos 0 44 of 105 41% 44 of 105 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Johnny Walker 0 48 of 130 36% 48 of 130 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Thiago Santos 0 3 of 13 23% 3 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Walker 0 9 of 15 60% 9 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Thiago Santos 0 11 of 22 50% 11 of 22 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Johnny Walker 0 10 of 20 50% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Thiago Santos 0 11 of 25 44% 11 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Walker 0 10 of 25 40% 10 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Thiago Santos 0 9 of 22 40% 9 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Walker 0 11 of 41 26% 11 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Thiago Santos 0 10 of 23 43% 10 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Johnny Walker 0 8 of 29 27% 8 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Thiago Santos 44 of 105 41% 9 of 40 16 of 28 19 of 37 42 of 103 2 of 2 0 of 0
Johnny Walker 48 of 130 36% 7 of 55 9 of 20 32 of 55 46 of 127 2 of 3 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Thiago Santos 3 of 13 23% 0 of 6 1 of 4 2 of 3 3 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Walker 9 of 15 60% 0 of 2 1 of 3 8 of 10 9 of 15 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Thiago Santos 11 of 22 50% 2 of 5 6 of 8 3 of 9 9 of 20 2 of 2 0 of 0
Johnny Walker 10 of 20 50% 2 of 6 2 of 3 6 of 11 8 of 17 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Thiago Santos 11 of 25 44% 2 of 10 1 of 4 8 of 11 11 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Walker 10 of 25 40% 2 of 10 2 of 6 6 of 9 10 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0
4 Thiago Santos 9 of 22 40% 2 of 9 4 of 6 3 of 7 9 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Walker 11 of 41 26% 1 of 22 2 of 3 8 of 16 11 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Thiago Santos 10 of 23 43% 3 of 10 4 of 6 3 of 7 10 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Walker 8 of 29 27% 2 of 15 2 of 5 4 of 9 8 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Johnny Walker

Angelo picks Johnny Walker, expecting his forward pressure, craziness, and size to frustrate Thiago Santos, who is a shell of his former self after knee injuries and three straight losses. He notes that Santos has massive power and could knock anyone out, but his cardio suffers and he may be gun-shy. Walker is never afraid to throw and will stay busy. Angelo likes Walker at plus 145 moneyline and in DraftKings at $7,400. He also likes the over on rounds and the more more monkey knife fight pick.

moneyline bet at +145, over on rounds, more more monkey knife fight
"johnny walker is the pick johnny walker will be in my my draftkings lineup i will probably have a money line bet on him"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 30, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Thiago Santos

Big Brady picks Thiago Santos to win, citing his experience, better competition, and more paths to victory. He notes Santos has fought Jon Jones, Glover Teixeira, and Rakic, while Walker's best wins are over lesser competition. Walker is very hittable (31% striking defense) and chinny, while Santos hits hard. Santos has better cardio, having gone five rounds with Jones, while Walker fades after the first round. Brady suggests a ground game path for Santos, similar to his win over Kevin Holland. He recommends a violence play rather than the moneyline.

fight ends inside distance (violence play)
"i'm gonna go santos here i'm gonna go with more experience fighter better competition a better gas tank"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Thiago Santos

Cody picks Thiago Santos based on superior experience and durability. He notes that Santos has slowed down and his knees are shot, but he still hits hard and can drag the fight into later rounds. He expects Santos to survive Walker's early explosiveness and then pressure him, eventually landing a finish in the second, third, or fourth round. He highlights that Santos outstruck Alexander Rakic in their fight and has better cardio than Walker, who has never gone five rounds.

"the official pick will be thiago santos based on the superior experience and durability"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Johnny Walker

Daniel Levi picks Johnny Walker as the underdog, citing that both fighters have declined since their surgeries—Santos after ACL surgery and Walker after shoulder injury. He notes Walker's dynamic striking and finishing ability but acknowledges his poor durability and tendency to flop when hit. Levi believes the fight is a coin flip about who lands first, but he leans Walker because of motivation concerns for the nearly 40-year-old Santos with a baby on the way. He expects a knockout either way and takes the underdog.

fight doesn't go to decision; knockout likely
"give me the underdog give me johnny walker to knock out thiago santos but don't quote me on it cause i mean it's one of these things where either guy can hit the deck"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Thiago Santos

I think Santos is the more disciplined striker and should be able to counter Walker's wildness. Walker is explosive but hittable and has poor durability. However, I'm concerned about Santos's recent performances and knee surgeries. I like Santos inside the distance at -120 and also like the under 1.5 rounds. I'm picking Santos but not with high confidence.

Santos inside the distance -120, under 1.5 rounds even money
"I kind of like santo's itd minus 120"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Sep 29, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Thiago Santos

Paul agrees with Cody, picking Santos but with less confidence. He notes that Walker is dangerous early but has never gone five rounds and his cardio is suspect. He believes Santos's chin holds up better at 205 and that Walker's grappling is not a major concern. He does not have a bet on Santos straight up but suggests looking at live betting after the first round if Santos survives.

Live betting after round one if Santos survives
"santos for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 27, 2021 (5 days before fight)
Thiago Santos

The MMA Guru picks Thiago Santos, despite rooting for Johnny Walker. He notes Santos' check hook is his best weapon and Walker leaves himself open when rushing in. Walker has been KO'd in most of his losses by rushing in. Santos has five-round experience and still has power. He predicts Santos will catch Walker with a check hook and finish him by KO.

Santos by KO
"i'm gonna go with thiago santos catching johnny walker rushing in with a check hook putting him down finishing him off"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · Mar 06, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Aleksandar Rakić 0 49 of 97 50% 61 of 109 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 36 of 89 40% 50 of 103 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Aleksandar Rakić 0 15 of 27 55% 15 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 14 of 30 46% 14 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Aleksandar Rakić 0 11 of 31 35% 18 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 15 of 35 42% 24 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:11
3 Aleksandar Rakić 0 23 of 39 58% 28 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 7 of 24 29% 12 of 29 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:21
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Aleksandar Rakić 49 of 97 50% 10 of 41 23 of 33 16 of 23 35 of 82 14 of 15 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 36 of 89 40% 8 of 47 13 of 16 15 of 26 29 of 82 7 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Aleksandar Rakić 15 of 27 55% 1 of 8 8 of 11 6 of 8 15 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 14 of 30 46% 3 of 16 3 of 4 8 of 10 14 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Aleksandar Rakić 11 of 31 35% 3 of 16 6 of 10 2 of 5 5 of 25 6 of 6 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 15 of 35 42% 3 of 17 8 of 9 4 of 9 8 of 28 7 of 7 0 of 0
3 Aleksandar Rakić 23 of 39 58% 6 of 17 9 of 12 8 of 10 15 of 30 8 of 9 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 7 of 24 29% 2 of 14 2 of 3 3 of 7 7 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Thiago Santos vs. Aleksandar Rakic

Round 1
Officially the heaviest bout of the night at a solid 412 pounds, two light heavyweights who vastly prefer the knockout come to blows in the main card opener. Brazil’s Santos (21-8, 13-7 UFC) will be attempting to get back to title contention and defuse “Rocket” Rakic (13-2, 5-1 UFC) on the way back up. Keeping his head on a swivel will be referee Herb Dean, as fists and feet will soon be flying in all directions following the glove touch. Rakic slowly and patiently advances, sticking out his jab early and avoiding a counter right hook. Santos pushes out a front kick and lifts his leg to avoid a leg kick, and rushes in to attack. Rakic deflects the strikes and he takes a kick to the knee, but there is no major damage done. Both men score leg kicks, and Santos winds up on a big left hand. Rakic is able to avoid the bomb and throw a kick back, and Santos returns fire with one of his own. Rakic slings a head kick that the Brazilian is barely able to block in time. Santos delivers a big body kick and has one glance off his torso as he backs away. Santos once more scores a heavy body kick, and he takes a kick square on the knee that nearly makes it buckle. “Marreta” throws a hammer of a right hand that crashes into Rakic’s jaw, but the Austrian wears it well and kicks the leg on his way out. Rakic pressures forward and slaps a leg kick off the mark, and Santos replies with a kick. Santos swings with a massive left hand, and when it misses, he barely ducks a head kick that brushes past his cleanly shaven head. Santos whiffs on a massive punch to the body, but he does kick the body to make Rakic exhale sharply. Neither man is willing to pull the trigger on anything of note, and they trade leg kicks and body kicks. Santos jumps and misses with a flying knee, and the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rakic

Round 2
The light heavyweights touch gloves, and Rakic resumes his pressure to make Santos back away to the fence. Rakic sticks Santos with a low kick and a jab, and the Brazilian tries and fails to counter effectively. Santos comes up short on a superman punch, and he looses a head kick that Rakic easily blocks. Rakic slowly advances and throws a long left jab and a leg kick that makes Santos turn about. Santos responds with his own leg kick, but the two are largely throwing single strikes and not engaging often. Rakic chops at the leg, and Santos charges at him but hits air as he has his lead leg hacked at once more. Santos pushes into a clinch, and Rakic easily reverses him and lands a few knees on the inside. The Brazilian gives him a few back, as they stall out against the cage wall. Santos breaks and scores on the end of a left hook, and when he backs off, he checks a kick to make Rakic recoil it sharply. Rakic kicks the chest, and Santos gives Rakic a heavy reply with a slapping kick to the knee. Santos charges but pulls back before throwing a strike, and Rakic plants his left hand on the chin to no effect. Santos jumps in with a switch kick, but it gets blocked and he is countered with a stiff left hand. Rakic nails Santos with a flying knee, and the two clinch up to end the slow round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rakic

Round 3
There is a final glove touch to open the last round, and Rakic starts things off with a head kick that is easily blocked. Santos punches the thigh, and “Rocket” starts rocketing out several stiff jabs to keep Santos at bay. The Brazilian walks through them to charge in for a takedown, and Rakic stuffs it without breaking a sweat and turns Santos around into the wire. Santos fights out of the clinch but cannot land any of merit on the break, and he takes a jab to score a leg kick. Both men kick at one another’s knee, and Santos kicks the leg once more to draw a smile from his opponent. When Rakic rushes in, Santos belts him with a spinning back kick to the body, and Rakic keeps a solid poker face by not showing that it hurt. Rakic pokes and prods at Santos with a few jabs, one-twos and low kicks. Santos loads up on a head kick, and Rakic sees it coming and pays it no mind. Santos narrowly misses a blazing fast left hook, and Rakic tries to fire one back but also comes up short. Santos slams his shin into the body, and Rakic stays patient on the outside with sporadic jabs. The jab does enough to slow an advancing Santos, and Rakic makes Santos bounce off the cage wall with a kick. Rakic ducks an overhand left to shoot in for a takedown, and Santos defends with several elbows to the side of the head. Rakic does not like these strikes, and he bails on the attempt to put himself in a better position away from those damaging shots. Rakic grinds on Santos against the fence, mashing his man into the chain-link as precious seconds tick off the clock. The Brazilian finally pushes off, and he takes a hard leg kick on the inside. Santos comes back with one, and the two swing and miss until the tepid fight mercifully comes to a close.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Santos (29-28 Rakic)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Santos (29-28 Rakic)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Santos (29-28 Rakic)

The Official Result
Aleksandar Rakic def. Thiago Santos via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Mar 3, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Big Brady picks Aleksandar Rakić, favoring him on the feet and heavily on the ground. He notes Rakić has been dropped before (by Devin Clark) and is hittable, while Santos has one-shot power. He recommends a ground game plan and predicts a TKO ground-and-pound finish in the second round, but passes on betting.

"i'm going to take rakash to win i'm going to say he wins by a tikiyo ground and pound finish in the second round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Daniel picks Aleksandar Rakić to win, citing his well-rounded game, wrestling, and smart game planning. He notes Santos' submission defense issues and believes Rakić can mix in takedowns and possibly finish on the mat or win a decision.

"i'm gonna go with rockets here uh to edge this one out man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Rakić is younger, stronger, and has a wrestling advantage. Santos is 37 with knee injuries and poor jiu-jitsu off his back. The host expects Rakić to use his kicks and takedowns to control the fight and win by decision.

"i'm going to take rockets to when this fight via decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

The MMA Guru picks Aleksandar Rakić over Thiago Santos. He highlights Rakić's dangerous leg kicks and improved grappling, and notes Santos has no ligaments in his legs. He believes Rakić will chop at Santos's legs, inhibit his movement, and win by 30-27 unanimous decision, possibly mixing in takedowns.

"i'm gonna go with alexander wreckage i like thiago santos you've got no ligaments in your legs and wreckage has the best leg kicks i've ever seen"
LOSS vs Glover Teixeira
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 1:49 · UFC on ESPN: Santos vs. Teixeira · Nov 07, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Glover Teixeira 1 40 of 64 62% 81 of 109 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
Thiago Santos 0 46 of 63 73% 148 of 180 4 of 7 57% 2 0 9:03
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Glover Teixeira 0 15 of 24 62% 40 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Thiago Santos 0 20 of 27 74% 77 of 87 2 of 4 50% 0 0 4:02
2 Glover Teixeira 0 3 of 7 42% 9 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 22 of 31 70% 58 of 78 1 of 1 100% 1 0 4:39
3 Glover Teixeira 1 22 of 33 66% 32 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:14
Thiago Santos 0 4 of 5 80% 13 of 15 1 of 2 50% 1 0 0:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Glover Teixeira 40 of 64 62% 38 of 58 0 of 4 2 of 2 11 of 24 0 of 0 29 of 40
Thiago Santos 46 of 63 73% 46 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 44 of 58
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Glover Teixeira 15 of 24 62% 15 of 23 0 of 1 0 of 0 8 of 16 0 of 0 7 of 8
Thiago Santos 20 of 27 74% 20 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 19 of 24
2 Glover Teixeira 3 of 7 42% 1 of 3 0 of 2 2 of 2 2 of 6 0 of 0 1 of 1
Thiago Santos 22 of 31 70% 22 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 21 of 30
3 Glover Teixeira 22 of 33 66% 22 of 32 0 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 21 of 31
Thiago Santos 4 of 5 80% 4 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Nov 3, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Big Brady picks Teixeira as an underdog, citing Santos' injury layoff and questionable losses. He thinks Teixeira has more paths to victory, including takedowns and submissions. He notes Teixeira's recent form and improved conditioning.

submission
"I'm going to take the underdog plus 200 I don't really agree with that I think there's too many question marks I'm going to take glover to shara"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Nov 6, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Glover Teixeira

Daniel Levi leans toward Glover Teixeira as a betting pick, despite acknowledging Thiago Santos should be the favorite. He believes Teixeira's ground game is a huge edge; if he gets Santos down, the fight is likely over via submission. Levi notes that Santos is explosive and powerful on the feet, and Teixeira has been wobbled before, but he thinks Teixeira can take him down and submit him. He calls it a 'dog or pass' situation and picks Teixeira at plus money.

submission; plus 200 underdog
"when i'm having this much trouble picking you gotta lean with the plus 200 dog so i'm gonna lean with glover to i'm gonna lean with thiago in terms of like he should be the favorite but as far as …"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Nov 2, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Glover Teixeira

The host is very confident in Glover Teixeira at plus money, citing Thiago Santos coming off a severe ACL injury and a 16-month layoff. He believes Glover's durability, top pressure, and jiu-jitsu will be too much, especially in a five-round fight where Glover can drown Santos. He notes that Santos is not a one-punch knockout artist and that Glover has only been finished once in 3.5 years. He plans to wait for a better line, expecting it to reach +200.

He loves Glover by submission, likely second or third round. He mentions waiting for the submission prop. He also notes the public is 72% on Santos, which he sees as value on Glover.
"I love love love glover to share at this price... I'm taking at least a two unit shot here i'm glad to share it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Nov 1, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Thiago Santos

The MMA Guru picks Thiago Santos to win by first-round TKO. He believes Santos is too dangerous in the first round and Teixeira has a habit of getting cracked early. He notes Santos's power and cardio, and that Teixeira cannot afford to take the same shots he took against lesser opponents.

first round TKO
"santos by first round tko win"
LOSS vs Jon Jones
Decision (split) (48–47, 48–47, 47–48) R5 5:00 · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · Jul 06, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jon Jones 0 59 of 90 65% 59 of 90 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 43 of 166 25% 43 of 166 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jon Jones 0 7 of 16 43% 7 of 16 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 11 of 26 42% 11 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jon Jones 0 11 of 17 64% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 7 of 42 16% 7 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jon Jones 0 14 of 19 73% 14 of 19 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 6 of 33 18% 6 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Jon Jones 0 11 of 17 64% 11 of 17 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 8 of 28 28% 8 of 28 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
5 Jon Jones 0 16 of 21 76% 16 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 11 of 37 29% 11 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jon Jones 59 of 90 65% 11 of 32 16 of 19 32 of 39 55 of 84 4 of 6 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 43 of 166 25% 9 of 92 7 of 21 27 of 53 42 of 159 1 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jon Jones 7 of 16 43% 0 of 4 3 of 5 4 of 7 7 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 11 of 26 42% 3 of 12 1 of 1 7 of 13 11 of 26 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jon Jones 11 of 17 64% 2 of 7 4 of 4 5 of 6 10 of 15 1 of 2 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 7 of 42 16% 1 of 25 2 of 6 4 of 11 6 of 38 1 of 4 0 of 0
3 Jon Jones 14 of 19 73% 4 of 7 4 of 4 6 of 8 11 of 15 3 of 4 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 6 of 33 18% 1 of 17 1 of 6 4 of 10 6 of 30 0 of 3 0 of 0
4 Jon Jones 11 of 17 64% 2 of 7 2 of 3 7 of 7 11 of 17 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 8 of 28 28% 0 of 13 1 of 5 7 of 10 8 of 28 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Jon Jones 16 of 21 76% 3 of 7 3 of 3 10 of 11 16 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 11 of 37 29% 4 of 25 2 of 3 5 of 9 11 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
TKO (punches) R3 0:39 · UFC Fight Night: Błachowicz vs. Santos · Feb 23, 2019
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Thiago Santos 0 20 of 53 37% 20 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Jan Błachowicz 1 52 of 104 50% 52 of 104 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Thiago Santos 0 7 of 27 25% 7 of 27 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
Jan Błachowicz 0 22 of 44 50% 22 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Thiago Santos 0 12 of 23 52% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jan Błachowicz 0 13 of 34 38% 13 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Thiago Santos 0 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jan Błachowicz 1 17 of 26 65% 17 of 26 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:08
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Thiago Santos 20 of 53 37% 7 of 31 6 of 12 7 of 10 19 of 51 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jan Błachowicz 52 of 104 50% 21 of 58 5 of 10 26 of 36 38 of 82 1 of 1 13 of 21
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Thiago Santos 7 of 27 25% 3 of 16 2 of 7 2 of 4 6 of 25 1 of 2 0 of 0
Jan Błachowicz 22 of 44 50% 4 of 19 4 of 7 14 of 18 21 of 43 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Thiago Santos 12 of 23 52% 3 of 12 4 of 5 5 of 6 12 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jan Błachowicz 13 of 34 38% 2 of 16 1 of 3 10 of 15 13 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Thiago Santos 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jan Błachowicz 17 of 26 65% 15 of 23 0 of 0 2 of 3 4 of 5 0 of 0 13 of 21
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jan Blachowicz vs. Thiago Santos

Round 1
We’ve finally arrived at the main event, a five-round fight between top light heavyweight contenders Jan Blachowicz and Thiago Santos. Herb Dean is the referee for this main event. They touch gloves. Santos with a body kick. Blachowicz lands a beautiful jab. Blachowicz just misses a high kick, but he lands a body kick for good measure. They exchange heavy low kicks. Blachowicz lands another jab and Santos returns with a low kick. Blachowicz lands a heavy low kick of his own. Santos returns a low kick now. Blachowicz lands a jab but Santos returns with a heavy counter right cross. Blachowicz lands another low kick. Santos lands a heavy left hook but Blachowicz eats it. Santos lands a low kick but Blachowicz catches the kick and nearly lands a double leg takedown. Santos stuffs it and they break. They exchange low kicks and the round is over.

Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Santos
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos

Round 2
Round two starts. Blachowicz lands a low kick, and then a body kick. They continue to exchange low kicks. Santos moves in for a clubbing left hand but Blachowicz moves away. Blachowicz lands a nice body kick, and then a hard low kick. Blachowicz lands an overhand right and then follows it up with a kick to the body. Santos with a low kick. He just misses a spinning wheel kick as Blachowicz circles away. Blachowicz leads with the uppercut but Santos circles away from danger. Blachowicz with the jab and Santos returns fire with a low kick. Blachowicz lands a low kick of his own. Santos just misses landing a huge left hook. Blachowicz lands another low kick. Santos nearly lands a straight left but Blachowicz backs away. The 10-second clapper rings and the round is soon over.

Sherdog Scores
Adam Martin scores the round: 10-9 Santos
John Brannigan scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Santos

Round 3
Time for the third round. Santos starts off with a low kick.
Blachowicz charges in with his chin down and Santos lands a right hook and then a brutal left hook that drops him. Blachowicz is down on the mat and Santos is pounding away at the head of Blachowicz, who is trying his best to cover up. Santos keeps pounding away and the referee has seen enough and the fight is over
. Huge win for Santos.

The Official Result
Thiago Santos def. Jan Blachowicz via TKO (Punches) R3, 0:39
WIN vs Jimi Manuwa
KO (punch) R2 0:41 · UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · Dec 08, 2018
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Thiago Santos 0 27 of 42 64% 30 of 45 0 of 2 0% 0 0 2:25
Jimi Manuwa 2 42 of 74 56% 65 of 97 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Thiago Santos 0 26 of 36 72% 29 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:23
Jimi Manuwa 1 33 of 55 60% 55 of 77 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:16
2 Thiago Santos 0 1 of 6 16% 1 of 6 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
Jimi Manuwa 1 9 of 19 47% 10 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Thiago Santos 27 of 42 64% 15 of 30 12 of 12 0 of 0 8 of 20 17 of 19 2 of 3
Jimi Manuwa 42 of 74 56% 27 of 58 13 of 14 2 of 2 20 of 45 22 of 28 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Thiago Santos 26 of 36 72% 15 of 25 11 of 11 0 of 0 7 of 15 17 of 18 2 of 3
Jimi Manuwa 33 of 55 60% 20 of 41 11 of 12 2 of 2 15 of 32 18 of 22 0 of 1
2 Thiago Santos 1 of 6 16% 0 of 5 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 5 0 of 1 0 of 0
Jimi Manuwa 9 of 19 47% 7 of 17 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 13 4 of 6 0 of 0