Magomed Ankalaev

12-2-1
Record
Age / DOB 34
(Jun 02, 1992)
Height 6' 3"
Weight 205 lbs.
Reach 75.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
3.65 Sig. Strikes / Min
52.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
2.59 Absorbed / Min
56.0% Strike Defense
0.79 TD Avg / 15 min
22.0% TD Accuracy
87.0% TD Defense
0.0 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (12)
KO/TKO 6
Submission 0
Decision 6
Loss Methods (2)
KO/TKO 1
Submission 1
Decision 0

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Expert Picks (4)
AJ
AJ DeVito Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2026 (9 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

AJ picks Ankalaev confidently, citing his win over Alex Pereira as evidence of his high level. He dismisses Bogdan Guskov as a lesser opponent, stating 'I don't think he loses to Bogdan Guskov.' The pick is straightforward with no hedging.

"Dude, I think it's big Ank time. Guy has a win over Alex Pereira. I don't think he loses to Bogdan Guskov."
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Angelo believes Ankalaev is more technically sound and will manage range effectively against Guskov, who is a heavy-handed but limited striker. He dismisses concerns about Ankalaev's chin after the Pereira knockout, attributing it to injury/illness, and thinks Guskov's power is not comparable to Pereira's. He expects a one-sided affair and thinks the odds are not wide enough.

Odds not wide enough; should be more one-sided
"Ankolive is going to be the pick. I know a ton of you are going to say he's chilly because Alex knocked him out... I actually believe all of the stories that they said. Oh, he came into this injured. He was sick. I actually believe all that."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady picks Ankalaev to win by decision, citing his technical style, defensive responsibility, and ability to win minutes in the clinch and on the ground. He notes Guskov's short notice and vulnerability to takedowns, as seen against Ryan Spann. However, he admits he's not excited about Ankalaev's fights, calling them boring, but acknowledges Ankalaev is a phenomenal fighter who should win outside of a puncher's chance.

"I'm going Ankalaev here to win. And I'll take him to win this fight by decision."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

James picks Ankalaev as the clear winner, citing his superiority in almost all facets of MMA except maybe punch power. He notes Ankalaev's better striking, wrestling, cardio, and experience, and that Guskov is on short notice moving from a 3-round to a 5-round fight. He predicts a decision win for Ankalaev, acknowledging Guskov's puncher's chance but favoring the more proven fighter.

Ankalaev via decision
"I only have one winner here guys and that is Magab anchor live. In my opinion, he's better out almost all facets of MMA outside of maybe punch power."
UFC 320
Oct 04, 2025
KO R1 1:20
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 0 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alex Pereira 0 28 of 45 62% 28 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 0 4 of 9 44% 4 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Alex Pereira 0 28 of 45 62% 28 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 4 of 9 44% 0 of 4 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alex Pereira 28 of 45 62% 21 of 35 3 of 6 4 of 4 5 of 12 0 of 0 23 of 33
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 4 of 9 44% 0 of 4 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0
Alex Pereira 28 of 45 62% 21 of 35 3 of 6 4 of 4 5 of 12 0 of 0 23 of 33
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Angelo picks Magomed Ankalaev, believing the rematch will be similar to the first fight. He argues that Alex Pereira's narrative about trusting his takedown defense and letting his hands go is flawed because Ankalaev almost knocked him out in the first fight. He also notes that defending takedowns is easier when that's all you focus on, and that Ankalaev now knows he can handle Pereira's power. He expects Ankalaev to win more dominantly.

"I'm going to pick Ankolia here. I don't think this fight is any different from the first one. If anything, it will be wider."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady is concerned about Pereira's age (38), potential lack of focus due to newfound wealth and lifestyle, and recent performances. He believes Ankalaev is hungrier and more dedicated. He notes that Ankalaev almost finished Pereira in the second round of their first fight and that Pereira has been hurt multiple times. He predicts Ankalaev wins by third-round knockout.

Magomed Ankalaev by third round knockout.
"I'm actually going to take Ankal alive to win this fight and Ankalive to win this fight by third round knockout."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Connor picks Ankalaev, agreeing with Zane that Pereira's age and the way Ankalaev pressured him in the first fight are key factors. He emphasizes that Ankalaev's ability to make clutch decisions and prevent big swings, combined with Pereira's declining willingness to take risks, makes Ankalaev the likely winner. Connor also notes that Pereira's back-foot game is not strong enough to counter Ankalaev's pressure.

"Seeing the way that first fight played out, it's kind of hard not to pick uncle live."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Magomed Ankalaev

The host expects a more violent and aggressive Pereira, which could work for or against him. He likes the under 3.5 rounds and believes Ankalaev will catch a reckless Pereira and knock him out, replicating the previous fight's success.

under 3.5 rounds, finish
"I really like the under three and a half in this matchup as I think this fight will produce a finish and I ultimately think it's going to be Ankalaev that catches a little bit of a reckless approach from Pereira."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

The MMA Guru picks Magomed Ankalaev, believing his wrestling, boxing, and mental focus will be key. He notes Pereira's difficulty with southpaws and the likelihood that Ankalaev improves his takedown efficiency. He predicts a finish in the championship rounds.

finish in round 4 or 5
"I'm going to go with Magomed Ankalaev. I'm not going to let what I want cloud my opinion and my judgement."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Zane picks Ankalaev because he believes Pereira's age and stylistic progression have made him more cautious and less willing to pull the trigger. He notes that Ankalaev is adept at steering fights and maintaining a narrow lead, and that Pereira struggled to create offense when pressured in their first fight. Zane also mentions that Ankalaev has never been knocked out and has a good chin, though he acknowledges Pereira's power is always a threat.

"I am going to pick him much to the UFC's chagrin. I'm picking uncle."
Decision R5 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Alex Pereira 0 76 of 137 55% 97 of 159 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 94 of 180 52% 127 of 224 0 of 12 0% 0 0 5:42
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Alex Pereira 0 16 of 34 47% 20 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 9 of 27 33% 12 of 30 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:22
2 Alex Pereira 0 18 of 36 50% 18 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 29 of 53 54% 29 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
3 Alex Pereira 0 21 of 34 61% 21 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 17 of 40 42% 18 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
4 Alex Pereira 0 7 of 12 58% 23 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 19 of 24 79% 45 of 61 0 of 6 0% 0 0 3:50
5 Alex Pereira 0 14 of 21 66% 15 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 20 of 36 55% 23 of 39 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:22
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Alex Pereira 76 of 137 55% 11 of 57 17 of 25 48 of 55 69 of 130 7 of 7 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 94 of 180 52% 36 of 112 30 of 39 28 of 29 75 of 159 19 of 21 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Alex Pereira 16 of 34 47% 0 of 11 2 of 5 14 of 18 16 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 9 of 27 33% 1 of 18 3 of 4 5 of 5 9 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Alex Pereira 18 of 36 50% 3 of 16 5 of 7 10 of 13 18 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 29 of 53 54% 18 of 40 9 of 10 2 of 3 29 of 53 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Alex Pereira 21 of 34 61% 4 of 16 2 of 3 15 of 15 20 of 33 1 of 1 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 17 of 40 42% 5 of 26 6 of 8 6 of 6 16 of 38 1 of 2 0 of 0
4 Alex Pereira 7 of 12 58% 0 of 4 6 of 7 1 of 1 1 of 6 6 of 6 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 19 of 24 79% 7 of 11 6 of 7 6 of 6 7 of 11 12 of 13 0 of 0
5 Alex Pereira 14 of 21 66% 4 of 10 2 of 3 8 of 8 14 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 20 of 36 55% 5 of 17 6 of 10 9 of 9 14 of 30 6 of 6 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Fight: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Alex Pereira
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ankalaev (-258), Pereira (+210)

Round 1
In March, Ankalaev (20-1-1, 1 NC; 12-1-1, 1 NC UFC) claimed the throne most expected he would sit atop by outworking Pereira (12-3, 9-2 UFC). After about seven months to prepare for the second engagement, the light heavyweight champs run it back, this time with “Poatan” as the challenger. Violence is expected to be the currency of the main event, and referee Herb Dean will be its banker. The two players are all in, and despite a bit of bad blood blossoming, they do bump their sizeable fists together. Time to spin the wheel.
Pereira rushes right out of his corner to hurl a one-two at the champion, and Ankalaev backs off and pushes off three front kicks to the chest. Pereira marches Ankalaev down, keeping him against the wall as he slaps a kick off the front leg. Ankalaev gains a little space from a swatting combination, and a second misses the mark when Pereira parries. The Brazilian works the other front leg after Ankalaev switches stances, and he clubs Ankalaev with a massive right hand. Ankalaev shoots desperately, his bell rung, and Pereira bowls him over and pounces on top of him. Pereira starts laying into Ankalaev with punches and elbows, and he jackhammers the Russian with devastating 12-to-6 elbows. Dean is paying close attention but observes Ankalaev blocking the majority of the blows so he sits back. Pereira is not about to slow down, knowing that Ankalaev is at least rocked or at best in grave danger. The fired-up “Poatan” batters and brutalizes the sitting champ, crushing him with elbows to the body and finalizing his journey with one last barrage of downward elbows. Dean steps in, and Pereira motions with both hands to the downed Ankalaev like he did in a past triumph, the “chama” version of “you see what happens, Larry!” Pereira goes to embrace his corner, and he checks on his toes that might have sustained some damage in the roughly 80 seconds of demolition.
The crowd goes wild, clearly having picked a side in this dispute and it was not the Russian. “Poatan” has the belt draped around his waist by matchmaker Mick Maynard and not UFC chief Dana White, and he puts his hand to his ear to drink in Bruce Buffer’s victory announcement. “Vengeance is never a good thing,” Pereira admits, even as he exacts revenge on a man that beat him earlier this year. He has handed Ankalaev his first defeat via strikes, and he declares that he was not surprised, mister falcons. Rather than call out former two-division champ Jon Jones, Pereira asks if the audience can give Arthur Jones, recently deceased brother of Jon Jones, a moment of silence. The entire T-Mobile Arena silences itself in an instant, giving Jones’ family and loved ones the respect they deserve. Just like that, the Ankalaev era is over, and Pereira already has a few challengers lined up in the form of Carlos Ulberg and possibly Jiri Prochazka—although the latter has already lost twice to him. The party begins, with Pereira and his crew at Teixeira MMA & Fitness dancing in the Octagon to celebrate the spectacular triumph. When Pereira defends his new belt, we will be here for it. We hope you are too.

The Official Result
Alex Pereira def. Magomed Ankalaev R1 1:20 via TKO (Punches and Elbows)
Expert Picks (3)
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Alex Pereira

Connor picks Pereira because he trusts Pereira's durability and defensive instincts, and believes Pereira's pressure and willingness to punch in the pocket will force Ankalaev out of his comfort zone. He notes that Ankalaev has a history of complacency and inconsistency, and that Pereira's jab and combination punching are poison for counter punchers like Ankalaev. Connor acknowledges that Ankalaev has the tools to win but is not trustworthy.

Odds are dead even; Connor is surprised Ankalaev opened as favorite and thinks Pereira should be favored.
"I think I'm going to pick it. Yeah. And I think the reason is that I think Pereira can, I think, A, I'm going to trust his durability..."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Lucrative James believes Ankalaev's wrestling advantage is the key factor. He notes that Ankalaev has been wrestling since childhood, while Pereira's grappling is a clear weakness. He argues that if Ankalaev uses his wrestling consistently, he will dominate from top position and win the fight. He also mentions that Pereira's hype has driven the line to a pick'em, but he sees Ankalaev as the rightful favorite. He acknowledges Pereira's elite striking and power, but thinks Ankalaev's low-paced kickboxing style minimizes danger and allows him to set up takedowns.

Ankalaev via wrestling control, decision or submission; odds are pick'em (-110) but James thinks Ankalaev should be favored
"I think anal is going to be smart in this one I think he's going to use his wrestling I think he's going to take Alex Pereira down and I think he's going to dominate from top position and that is what he's going to ultimately get him the win"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Mar 6, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Zane picks Ankalaev despite his inconsistency, believing that the threat of Pereira's power will force Ankalaev to take risks and finally put together a complete performance. He notes that Ankalaev has the technical ability to trouble Pereira, especially with his southpaw right hook and counter punching, and that he has historically risen to the occasion when pressured. However, Zane admits it's a feast-or-famine pick and that Pereira is the smarter choice.

Odds are dead even; Zane is surprised Ankalaev opened as favorite and thinks Pereira should be favored.
"I'm going to take it, but I, you know, I do think like the, the core crux of what is wrong with his game really, really makes this a feast or famine fight when it shouldn't be."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 0 55 of 114 48% 75 of 142 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:31
Aleksandar Rakić 0 53 of 117 45% 59 of 123 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 0 19 of 34 55% 19 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Aleksandar Rakić 0 22 of 45 48% 22 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Magomed Ankalaev 0 23 of 50 46% 24 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Aleksandar Rakić 0 19 of 43 44% 20 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Magomed Ankalaev 0 13 of 30 43% 32 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
Aleksandar Rakić 0 12 of 29 41% 17 of 34 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:54
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 55 of 114 48% 20 of 72 22 of 29 13 of 13 50 of 105 5 of 9 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 53 of 117 45% 10 of 65 9 of 12 34 of 40 50 of 111 3 of 6 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 19 of 34 55% 7 of 19 8 of 11 4 of 4 19 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 22 of 45 48% 4 of 24 3 of 4 15 of 17 22 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Magomed Ankalaev 23 of 50 46% 8 of 33 7 of 9 8 of 8 23 of 49 0 of 1 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 19 of 43 44% 3 of 24 3 of 5 13 of 14 18 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
3 Magomed Ankalaev 13 of 30 43% 5 of 20 7 of 9 1 of 1 8 of 22 5 of 8 0 of 0
Aleksandar Rakić 12 of 29 41% 3 of 17 3 of 3 6 of 9 10 of 25 2 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Magomed Ankalaev vs. Aleksandar Rakic
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ankalaev (-345), Rakic (+275)

Round 1
Austria has dual representation on the lineup, a rarity among UFC cards let alone ones that take place in the Middle East and not Europe. Russian title challenger Ankalaev (18-1-1, 1 NC; 10-1-1, 1 NC UFC) will try to grind, smash and press towards another crack at gold, but standing in his way is a recovered Rakic (14-4, 6-3 UFC). While Rakic is riding the first losing streak of his career, and has not won in over three years, he still serves as a solid test that Ankalaev has not already passed at the depleted light heavyweight ranks. Joining them in the cage will be referee “Shaolin” Vitor Ribeiro, who gets things started as the combatants decide against touching gloves. Ankalaev opens up wildly, hurling a huge left hand, only to slow down when Rakic fires a head kick at him. Ankalaev responds with a body kick, and they trade kicks to varied targets. Rakic comes up short with a right hand, and they hand-fight in alternating stances. Body kicks land with thumps on one another, and Rakic doubles up on it and tries to catch a low kick. Ankalaev digs another kick to the ribs, and Ribeiro asks for the fighters to close their fists. They don’t. Rakic chains a right hand into a head kick, and he scoots away when Ankalaev bears down on him. Ankalaev reaches his target with a straight left hand, and Rakic sits down on an inside low kick to retaliate. Ankalaev put a few fists on the midsection, keeping his guard up to block the inevitable head kick. Rakic scores a low kick and is punched in the face for his effort, and he times a head kick that nearly splits the guard. Ankalaev goes after a body kick after he leans back to dodge a punch, and Rakic chips away at the lead leg effectively. Ankalaev stalks him down, protecting his face when Rakic punches and kicks his way. Rakic kicks the front leg on the inside and outside, and Ribeiro keeps telling the fighters to close their hands to no avail. Ankalaev gets countered with a right hand over the top, and he eats a jab after landing his own left. Rakic beats on the guard with his shin, and he whiffs on a haymaker as Ankalaev comes up close. The horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rakic
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rakic

Round 2
Rakic picks up right where he left off, feeding Ankalaev a steady diet of leg kicks. Ankalaev crashes the pocket and turns to smack Rakic in the face with a clever up-elbow, and Rakic wears it well. Both men whiff punches, and Ankalaev’s head kick grazes the beard. Rakic reaches out with a right hand, and he jabs the body with the ball of his foot. Rakic splits the guard with a solid right, and he leans back to bash Ankalaev in the face with an intercepting left. Ankalaev reaches his target with punches to the head and body, and he ends as labored combination with a body kick. Ankalaev jabs his way in, but a left to the body is his best blow, as Rakic keeps a solid poker face but might be hurt. Rakic backs off and measures with distant strikes, and the crowd works into a lather in support of the Russian, who is landing cleaner. Ankalaev digs a left to the body and fires off a head kick that is blocked just in time, and he strings a few punches together to get Rakic’s attention. Rakic snaps out several more low kicks, reddening and welting his opponent’s front leg, but not seemingly compromising him. Ankalaev’s forward movement results in a clinch, and he pushes the Austrian to the wall and holds on. They both swing fists at the break but miss the mark, and Ankalaev rushes after him and tags his foe with a straight left. Ankalaev stabs the torso with a left hand, and he has a left hook brush past the top of Rakic’s dome. Rakic kicks high to get blocked, and he looks for a right hand on the inside as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev

Round 3
The fighters get going immediately, trading hands and feet without fear of reprisal. Ankalaev lunges with a left hand, snapping the head back and whiffing on a follow-up right. High kicks from both men bounce off the other’s guard, and Rakic backs off and spins with a back fist as Ankalaev is after him. Ankalaev slams his foot in the liver of his opponent, and Rakic comes up hitting air on the counter. As Rakic lands a right hand, sweat flies, and Ankalaev responds with a left that makes more fly off his opponent. Rakic digs for a body shot and leans back to avoid a huge hook, and Ankalaev walks him down and busts him in the chops with a scooping left hook. Rakic backs off and absorbs a second cleanly, and he gets on his bike and strafes to the side. Rakic suddenly shoots for a single, and Ankalaev hops back to the wall to keep his balance and set his limb down. Rakic transitions to a single on the other side, and he succeeds in leaning against Ankalaev but can do little else with his wrestling. Ankalaev turns his man about in the clinch, working the body with punches and knees until Rakic surges into action and spins him about. Ankalaev plants a solid knee on the torso, and he measures another as Rakic leans over. Ankalaev puts knees on the body as Rakic gains enough space to dirty box, and the Russian holds him tight until the slow-paced contest comes to a merciful conclusion—with neither looking like a strong threat to claim the throne of Alex Pereira.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (29-28 Ankalaev)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (29-28 Ankalaev)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (29-28 Ankalaev)

The Official Result
Magomed Ankalaev def. Aleksandar Rakic via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (11)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Angelo picks Magomed Ankalaev as the first leg of his 'villain parlay' with a full unit bet. He acknowledges Ankalaev is a good kickboxer with wrestling, but he dislikes him and hopes the parlay loses. He thinks Ankalaev should win because Rakić is coming off two losses and hasn't won since 2021, and Ankalaev has the technical striking and wrestling advantage.

First leg of a villain parlay with a full unit bet; hopes it loses.
"mag anv has the wrestling he's got the technical striking he's just as long anv should win he is the first leg of the villain parlay a parlay that I put a full unit on and I hope it breaks."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady slightly favors Ankalaev but thinks the fight will be close and competitive. He expects the striking to be competitive and the fight to go to decision. He notes that Ankalaev has a path to victory via wrestling, as Rakić hasn't faced many wrestlers in the UFC. He calls the line 'kind of dumb' but picks Ankalaev to win a close decision.

"I'll take ank live to win a close decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody picks Magomed Ankalaev, stating he is the uncrowned champion of the division and should roll over Rakić. He notes that Rakić hasn't looked good since 2019, has been knocked out in his last two fights, and lacks durability and volume. Cody believes Ankalaev's wrestling and striking will be too much, and that he will be motivated to make a statement to earn a title shot.

"ankle should in theory absolutely roll here"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Aleksandar Rakić

Connor picks Rakić, mainly because he wants Ankalaev to suffer and because Rakić is a more powerful striker with better fundamentals. He notes that Ankalaev tends to fight at a slow pace and rely on his wrestling, but often doesn't use it. Connor believes Rakić's jab and counter-punching could give him an edge in a kickboxing match.

Ankalaev opened at -350, currently -361; Rakić opened at +288, currently +296
"I'm going to pick Rocketch mostly because though I don't think he deserves it in any philosophical sense, I do want Magomed Uncle Liev to suffer."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel Vreeland picks Magomed Ankalaev to win, citing his superior hands and ability to capitalize on Rakić's tendency to exit the pocket with his chin up. He expects Rakić to have early leg kick success but believes Ankalaev will make adjustments and either win by knockout or a 29-28 decision. Vreeland notes that Ankalaev is on a 12-fight unbeaten streak and that Rakić has been underwhelming despite his physique.

"I see ankle live winning this fight"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Lucrative James picks Magomed Ankalaev to win but is hesitant due to Ankalaev's poor fight IQ and tendency to make fights close. He notes that Ankalaev is the better all-around fighter with grappling upside, but his low volume and lack of power could lead to a close decision. He sees value on Rakić as an underdog and expects a split decision type fight. He is not confident enough to bet on Ankalaev at -360 odds.

"I am going to pick anive to win... but his fight IQ is worse"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 25, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Ankalaev's overall game is too much for Rakić. Many expect a grapple-heavy approach, but Ankalaev may unleash his striking to catch Rakić off guard, leading to a knockout victory. This would help him overcome the 'boring' label and earn a title shot.

Ankalaev wins by knockout
"give me anive by knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul picks Ankalaev, agreeing that he is the best in the division and that Rakić is not a top-five fighter. He points out that Rakić has been outworked and knocked out in his recent fights, and that Ankalaev's wrestling and striking will be decisive. Paul also mentions that Ankalaev needs to put his foot on the gas to impress the UFC.

"he's the uncrowned champ he's the best guy in the division"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

The Guru picks Ankalaev by decision, despite acknowledging Rakić's technical skills. He believes Ankalaev's pressure and clinch work will wear on Rakić, and that Ankalaev will mix in takedowns to secure rounds. He notes that Rakić has struggled to finish opponents and that Ankalaev's boxing will become more effective as the fight goes on. The Guru also mentions that the odds are too wide in Ankalaev's favor, suggesting Rakić offers value as an underdog, but ultimately sticks with Ankalaev via 29-28 decision.

Odds comment: Ankalaev nearly 4-to-1 favorite, should be 2-to-1 at most; suggests Rakić underdog value
"I'm going with Ankalaev 29-28 decision very eerily similar to the Nikita Krylov performance."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Oct 24, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Zane picks Ankalaev, expecting a slow-paced kickboxing match where Ankalaev edges out a decision. He acknowledges Rakić's power and technique but thinks Ankalaev will control the tempo and win a close fight, as he has done before. Zane is not confident but sees Ankalaev as the likely winner.

Ankalaev opened at -350, currently -361; Rakić opened at +288, currently +296
"And Uncle Liev will win 55 strikes to 51. That's really it."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert picked Oct 26, 2024 (fight day)
No clear pick

Zane did not make a pick for this fight. He criticized the matchup as boring, noting both fighters are consistent, risk-averse range strikers who favor high-percentage low-power strikes. He expressed disappointment that the UFC booked this fight knowing their styles, and predicted Ankalaev will likely get a title shot anyway due to lack of other options.

"booking fights like uncle ayah versus below which and uncle ayah versus rackage you're just asking for lame you're asking for boring fights that nobody gets thrilled by"
KO (punches) R2 2:42
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 1 39 of 58 67% 39 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Johnny Walker 0 24 of 71 33% 26 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 0 17 of 33 51% 17 of 33 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Johnny Walker 0 15 of 50 30% 17 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Magomed Ankalaev 1 22 of 25 88% 22 of 25 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Johnny Walker 0 9 of 21 42% 9 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 39 of 58 67% 8 of 22 6 of 7 25 of 29 38 of 57 0 of 0 1 of 1
Johnny Walker 24 of 71 33% 2 of 34 3 of 6 19 of 31 24 of 71 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 17 of 33 51% 2 of 13 2 of 3 13 of 17 17 of 33 0 of 0 0 of 0
Johnny Walker 15 of 50 30% 2 of 26 2 of 5 11 of 19 15 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Magomed Ankalaev 22 of 25 88% 6 of 9 4 of 4 12 of 12 21 of 24 0 of 0 1 of 1
Johnny Walker 9 of 21 42% 0 of 8 1 of 1 8 of 12 9 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 6, 2024 (7 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Angelo picks Magomed Ankalaev, expecting him to avoid Johnny Walker's wild strikes, clinch, and take him down to wear him out. He notes Ankalaev's wrestling backup and thinks he is desperate for a win. He finds the -500 odds too steep to bet given Walker's danger and Ankalaev's recent no-contest and draw.

"I think maked ankal is going to win this fight."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady believes Ankalaev can win however he wants, but prefers the wrestling path. He notes Ankalaev's durability and wrestling are superior, while Walker is chinny and unpredictable. He expects Ankalaev to control the fight and win by decision, avoiding prolonged striking exchanges.

decision
"I'll take anive to win this fight and win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody picks Ankalaev despite acknowledging his tendency to make fights closer than necessary. He notes that in the brief first fight, Walker had nothing for Ankalaev and that Ankalaev is clearly the more skilled fighter. He believes Ankalaev will win even if he fights a stupid game plan, citing durability and overall skill advantage.

"ankle is clearly the pick for me"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (fight day)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody picks Ankalaev to win by decision, noting that Ankalaev won the first fight and can mix in wrestling for cage control. He believes Ankalaev is faster and has a better gas tank, and that Pereira is 38 and unlikely to make major adjustments. He expects another close fight but edges it to Ankalaev.

Ankalaev by decision
"I'm just going to plug my nose and take ankle live by decision because I don't like this pre flop uh pre flop money line at all."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel Vreeland picks Magomed Ankalaev to defeat Johnny Walker. He acknowledges Ankalaev's well-rounded skill set and size, but notes he sometimes underwhelms. He believes Ankalaev will make adjustments after the first fight, where Walker targeted his legs. Vreeland is confident Ankalaev can get the job done wherever the fight goes, though he worries about Walker's athleticism and unorthodox attacks.

"I'm going with Magomed Ankalaev to defeat Johnny Walker."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (fight day)
Magomed Ankalaev

James picks Ankalaev to win via KO, citing that Ankalaev hurt Pereira in round two of their first fight and nearly knocked him out. He believes Pereira's chin may give out this time, and Ankalaev could also secure takedowns and dominate on the ground. James notes that Pereira's calf kicks were effective in the first fight but thinks Ankalaev may have adjusted. He also likes the under 4.5 rounds.

Ankalaev wins by KO (+400), under 4.5 rounds
"I'm going to pick Magaman alive. I'm going to pick him via KO because I think that he can get a KO on the feet and on the ground."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Magomed Ankalaev is a smooth, technical striker who is comfortable in both stances and has a strong clinch and wrestling game. He showed in the first fight that he could take Walker down and control him. Johnny Walker is on a three-fight winning streak and looks confident, but he has historically struggled against technical fighters and can be overwhelmed by grappling. Ankalaev's discipline and wrestling should allow him to neutralize Walker's power and grind out a decision. The over 1.5 rounds is a good play given Ankalaev's grappling approach.

Over 1.5 rounds, Ankalaev by decision
"the official prediction is going to be on anive by decision low confidence on the decision prop but I do think that anive gets his hand raised relatively easily"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 11, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul picks Ankalaev but expresses concern about his ring IQ and tendency to make fights close. He notes that Ankalaev has the skills to beat anyone but often ignores the wrestling path to victory. He believes Ankalaev is durable enough to take Walker's big shots and will win even if he fights a stupid game plan.

"we got to go with the more skillful guy that wins more often than not and ank alive is that guy"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 1, 2025 (fight day)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul leans towards Ankalaev but acknowledges the fight is close. He notes that Pereira took rounds off and that Ankalaev's wrestling, even if not successful, gave him cage control. He thinks the line is too wide and prefers the decision prop for Pereira, but ultimately sticks with Ankalaev.

Pereira by decision (prop bet)
"I find myself leaning towards Ankaliva, but I agree with you 100%. This thing's probably close uh plays out closer to even money or minus 140 minus 150 ankle of not minus 220 - 230 - 240 depending on the book you're with that seems a little bit wide."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Johnny Walker

The MMA Guru picks Johnny Walker as an underdog, citing Walker's finishing ability and reach advantage (82 inches vs 75). He notes that Ankalaev may be frustrated by recent events (draw with Jan, no-contest with Walker) and that Walker got back up quickly from a takedown in the first fight. He predicts Walker will get a TKO/KO, benefiting from Ankalaev's potential emotional state.

KO
"I'm going to go Johnny Walker... I think he's going to beat him I think he has a much better finishing ability on the feet"
No Contest (illegal knee) R1 3:13
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 0 13 of 19 68% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:06
Johnny Walker 0 14 of 27 51% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 0 13 of 19 68% 16 of 23 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:06
Johnny Walker 0 14 of 27 51% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 13 of 19 68% 7 of 13 3 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 11 1 of 1 5 of 7
Johnny Walker 14 of 27 51% 4 of 15 1 of 2 9 of 10 14 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 13 of 19 68% 7 of 13 3 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 11 1 of 1 5 of 7
Johnny Walker 14 of 27 51% 4 of 15 1 of 2 9 of 10 14 of 27 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Angelo picks Magomed Ankalaev, calling him one of the best light heavyweights. He thinks Ankalaev will slow the pace and fight his fight. He notes Johnny Walker's danger if he makes it ugly, but expects Ankalaev to earn a title shot. He considers Ankalaev a safe bet.

"I think it's literally that simple pickwise I'm going to go with ankalia here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady picks Magomed Ankalaev to win by decision, though he expects a boring fight. He notes that Ankalaev has good wrestling, as seen against Jan Blachowicz, and that Johnny Walker struggled on the ground against Nikita Krylov. Brady believes Ankalaev will mix in takedowns, control Walker, and win a dull decision.

decision
"I'm going to take ink live to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody picks Ankalaev, emphasizing that he should use his wrestling to neutralize Walker. He notes that Ankalaev has excellent wrestling and ground control, and that Walker is inconsistent and can be taken down. Cody believes that even if Ankalaev fights to his opponent's level, he should edge out a decision or get a finish. He also mentions the Abu Dhabi factor favoring Ankalaev in a close fight.

"I think Ankalaev is goat I think he is God I think he's got all the tools and these are the kind of lines that I overplay the guy and I lose a bunch of money but I'm still going to play him"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel picks Magomed Ankalaev to win, acknowledging Ankalaev's superior technical skills and experience but expressing concern that he sometimes fights down to his competition. He notes Ankalaev's vulnerabilities, such as being dropped by Thiago Santos and leg kicks from Jan Błachowicz, and thinks Johnny Walker's leg kick game plan could be effective. However, he believes Ankalaev is on a different level and should win if he is aggressive, but he is not confident enough to bet at -350.

Ankalaev minus 350, Walker plus 285; mentions possibility of Walker's leg kicks and Ankalaev's inconsistency
"I do have to favor aniv I think that you know he was this close to winning the Bell... I just do think Mago Med's on a different level."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Ankalaev is one of the most complete fighters at 205 lbs, with high-level striking and wrestling. He can mix in takedowns to wear on Walker's cardio and slow him down. Walker is explosive but when unable to set the pace, he slows down and gives up positions. Expects Ankalaev to win a decision and earn another title shot.

"I fully expect kive to just go out there and do what he does best get the better strikes off when he needs to get the better takedowns uh off when he needs to and I just expect him to put a better of body work together here and I expect him to win a decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 17, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul picks Ankalaev but is hesitant, noting that Ankalaev often fights to the level of his competition and has had close fights with lesser opponents. He worries that Ankalaev may not use his wrestling early and could get into a striking match where Walker's reach is an advantage. However, Paul believes Ankalaev's wrestling and the Abu Dhabi location give him the edge in a close decision.

Walker inside the distance (+425) as a sprinkle
"I think it's dogger pass just on the pure fact that I don't know Ankalaev is going to come right out of the gate and shoot for takedowns right out of the gate"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Johnny Walker

The MMA Guru picks Johnny Walker as a big underdog, citing a feeling that Walker will finish Ankalaev in a weird way. He notes Walker's 7-inch reach advantage and wild style that Ankalaev hasn't faced recently. He recalls Ankalaev being dropped by Thiago Santos and thinks Walker's takedown defense is underrated. He believes Ankalaev doesn't use his grappling unless losing and that Walker's momentum and size will be key.

Walker is a massive underdog; mentions 'I'm taking it The Underdogs that I like'
"I'm going Johnny Walker over maged analay I've got a feeling that he is going to finish magamed an kayv in a weird way"
Draw (split) (48–47, 46–48, 47–47) R5 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jan Błachowicz 0 55 of 117 47% 79 of 141 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 78 of 184 42% 191 of 312 2 of 10 20% 0 0 11:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jan Błachowicz 0 14 of 35 40% 14 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 19 of 43 44% 19 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jan Błachowicz 0 23 of 43 53% 23 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 13 of 37 35% 23 of 47 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:32
3 Jan Błachowicz 0 17 of 34 50% 18 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 18 of 48 37% 40 of 70 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:26
4 Jan Błachowicz 0 1 of 3 33% 11 of 13 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 10 of 19 52% 55 of 70 1 of 2 50% 0 0 4:32
5 Jan Błachowicz 0 0 of 2 0% 13 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 18 of 37 48% 54 of 82 0 of 1 0% 0 0 4:50
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jan Błachowicz 55 of 117 47% 19 of 71 11 of 17 25 of 29 50 of 109 5 of 7 0 of 1
Magomed Ankalaev 78 of 184 42% 49 of 139 19 of 33 10 of 12 50 of 134 6 of 8 22 of 42
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jan Błachowicz 14 of 35 40% 3 of 20 4 of 8 7 of 7 14 of 35 0 of 0 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 19 of 43 44% 10 of 28 7 of 12 2 of 3 19 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jan Błachowicz 23 of 43 53% 10 of 27 3 of 4 10 of 12 18 of 36 5 of 7 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 13 of 37 35% 7 of 24 2 of 8 4 of 5 13 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Jan Błachowicz 17 of 34 50% 5 of 19 4 of 5 8 of 10 17 of 34 0 of 0 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 18 of 48 37% 10 of 37 6 of 9 2 of 2 16 of 44 2 of 3 0 of 1
4 Jan Błachowicz 1 of 3 33% 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 10 of 19 52% 4 of 13 4 of 4 2 of 2 1 of 8 4 of 5 5 of 6
5 Jan Błachowicz 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1
Magomed Ankalaev 18 of 37 48% 18 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 17 of 35
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
UFC Light Heavyweight Title Fight: Jan Blachowicz vs. Magomed Ankalaev
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ankalaev (-280), Blachowicz (+235)

Round 1
In this headliner, the vacant light heavyweight strap is on the line, as champ Jiri Prochazka surrendered it due to a severe shoulder injury. Once expecting to fight three rounds tonight, ex-titleholder Blachowicz (29-9, 12-6 UFC) and the streaking Dagestani wrestle-kickboxer Ankalaev (17-1, 9-1 UFC) are now going for five rounds and 10ish pounds of gold. While they are both touted for knockout power, they each post exactly nine knockouts in their respective careers, which account for 31% of the Polish fighter’s victories compared to 53% for the Russian. Whether it all ends by knockout, submission, decision or something else, referee Marc Goddard draws the final charge for this championship contest. The 205-pound challengers – this is a vacant title – stoically refuse to touch gloves to seal the cage around them, and it’s on with the show. Blachowicz moves to the middle of the cage to commence the match, and he backs off when Ankalaev throws a right hand at him. Blachowicz kicks the low calf, and he swats away a jab. Blachowicz sits down on another low kick, and he absorbs a front kick to the breadbasket for his work. Ankalaev jabs at the body, and Blachowicz pursues another calf kick. Ankalaev just misses with a left hand over the top, and he catches Blachowicz with a right hand as the Polish fighter comes at him. Ankalaev measures out with a right hook, and he scoots away before Blachowicz can plunk him with a haymaker. Blachowicz continues his work on the lead leg, and he backs away when Ankalaev bears down on him with a string of punches. The inside kick from Blachowicz irritates his opponent, and he connects with a right hand over the top that bounces off the forehead. The light heavyweights trade in the pocket, and Blachowicz slides back to rip a kick to the body. Ankalaev fires off a head kick after a lull in the action, but this careens off the guard to little effect. When the Russian tries to give chase, Blachowicz backpedals and evades the blows. Blachowicz sinks in another body kick, and Ankalaev counters him and pushes the ex-champ back with a front kick. The front kick from Ankalaev may be his best weapon, as he gets Blachowicz’ attention every time he lands it. Ankalaev barely ducks a left hook on his way forward, and he slaps a body kick home. Ankalaev checks a low kick, and the two tentatively walk one another down until the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz

Round 2
The second round opens with a far fiercer exchange, as Blachowicz loads up on punches that miss while Ankalaev chambers and fires off a head kick that skims off the dome. Blachowicz has second thoughts about blitzing, and settles down on a calf kick again. Blachowicz scores a right hand over the top, and he sneaks a left hook around the guard. The Russian sneaks up another high kick, but this too is guarded. The two light heavyweights swing and miss with their kicks, and Ankalaev wings two punches that breeze past the intended target. Blachowicz continues to target the low calf of his adversary, and they clash shins at the same time when kicking. Blachowicz continues his work on the lead leg, and he darts forward with an uppercut to redden the face of the Russian. Ankalaev loads up on a big right hand, but his straight left is far more accurate. Blachowicz gets in sweeping kick to the shin, and this causes a stumble from Ankalaev, who is wearing it. Blachowicz blasts his man with another kick, and Ankalaev falls over briefly before charging forward, Blachowicz whips a kick to the side, and Ankalaev catches it and pushes forward for a possible takedown. Blachowicz tees off with his leg in the air, keeping his balance and belting Ankalaev with unanswered fists. When Ankalaev releases it and backs away, he changes stances. This prompts Blachowicz to attack the newly front calf, and this takes the sting out of an overhand right from the Russian. Blachowicz does not slow down pounding on the calf, and Ankalaev charges for a takedown. He does not get it before the round ends. and he limps back to his corner in serious pain.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz

Round 3
Ankalaev races forward to attack in the third round, and after one landed punch, Blachowicz wrecks his leg once more. Ankalaev wobbles and changes his stance to orthodox, so Blachowicz kicks that other leg. Ankalaev strafes from left to right, pushing out a front kick but getting pushed away from a body kick. Like a lumberjack felling a mighty oak, Blachowicz continues chopping down any leg he can find, and each strike has an appreciable effect. Playing through the pain, Ankalaev wings a huge overhand right that grazes the side of the head, and he rushes forward to throw bombs. No longer willing to sit and get potshotted, Ankalaev steps in to unload with two hooks that Blachowicz eats like pierogis. The Russian continues pressuring forward, but Blachowicz greets him with two leg kicks that nearly down Ankalaev. Ankalaev hops back and considers holding his left leg in the air, only to bite down on his mouthpiece and sling leather. When the blows largely get blocked, he sprints forward for a failed takedown. Blachowicz’ takedown defense holds up and he manages to escape, as Ankalaev kicks him in the chest. Ankalaev eats one more calf kick and walks the former champ down, throwing kicks with both lets. A knee from Ankalaev comes up in the clinch, and Blachowicz groans. Goddard recognizes this and halts the action, as Blachowicz goes to a neutral corner to try to shake it out and adjust his neoprene ankle sleeves. When they resume, Ankalaev re-engages closely to not let Blachowicz kick him again, ending up in the clinch. Ankalaev lifts up a single and dumps Blachowicz to the canvas with 10 seconds to spare, and he gets in two elbows before the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Blachowicz

Round 4
The championship rounds have arrived, and Ankalaev’s legs may be swollen and welted, but he is good to go. The Russian sprints forward with a surge of adrenaline to swing hammers, and he punches his way into a single-leg entry. Blachowicz meets him on the way forward with an uppercut, and he absorbs a knee to the body when Ankalaev clinches him up. Ankalaev keeps tightly pressed on his man while Blachowicz attempts to escape, and they trade knees on the inside. Ankalaev gets short knees off on the inside, thumping up the body of the former champ. Blachowicz bursts to get away, but Ankalaev races ahead and sweeps him off his feet. Ankalaev lands in the guard of his foe, which closes around his waist, but he does not mind as he punches Blachowicz in the face from this position. Ankalaev cannot get enough space to do much damage from his short shots, but he does take the back when Blachowicz turns. Ankalaev considers attempting his first submission in the form of a rear-naked choke, but settles to drum up punches on the side of the head. Blachowicz returns to a knee, and Ankalaev wrestles him right back down. Ankalaev drops down the occasional left hand while he keeps a leg trapped, sitting comfortably in half guard with Blachowicz pinned to his back. Ankalaev grinds until he finds a way to posture up, and then he stands to rain down a few power punches. The round ends before any serious damage comes from this position.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev

Round 5
There is a double glove touch and a hug to start off the last round, and Ankalaev shocks his foe shortly after the embrace with a punch salvo. Ankalaev hurts Blachowicz with a barrage of blows, but his real purpose is to put Blachowicz on his back. The former champ tumbles to his back, and Ankalaev happily jumps on top to pick up where he left off. The crowd showers them with boos as they slow down considerably, with Ankalaev holding on from top position while Blachowicz looks for a low-percentage kimura sweep. Ankalaev easily wriggles his arm out, and he takes an arm away and starts pounding on Blachowicz with left hands. Blachowicz responds with no-look elbows, but there is no steam on them as Ankalaev continues to pound on the downed Polish fighter. Ankalaev hammers with punches and elbows, and a few get through as Blachowicz has his right arm trapped. Ankalaev continues to batter Blachowicz, whose eye is busted open from the strikes, and Blachowicz groans loudly either from frustration, injury or exertion. Ankalaev allows his foe to turn to his back so that he can smack him with left hands, and Goddard tells Ankalaev to stay busy. Ankalaev answers with a number of short elbows, and Jan is stuck on his back taking non-fight-ending punishment. Ankalaev continues his methodical ground-and-pound breakdown, and Blachowicz sits up in hopes of break this up. Ankalaev grinds right to the bitter end, and the light heavyweights have left their grueling match in the hands of the judges. They conclude a night that started strong and fell flat in the marquee attractions.
When the scorecards are read, the crowd is baffled and quite upset. The first scorecard went to Blachowicz by a 48-47 tally, the second read 48-46 for Ankalaev, and the third ended up as a 47-47 for a remarkable split draw. The UFC light heavyweight throne remains vacant, and Blachowicz admits in his post-fight interview that he feels Ankalaev won the fight. When Ankalaev speaks, he demands his title in belief that he should have been the victor, and the ultra-honorable Blachowicz interrupts him to again say that the UFC should give the belt to Ankalaev. An apoplectic Ankalaev declares in his post-fight interview that he may not fight in the UFC again, because the judges took the win away from him. With this event in the books, the UFC has one more this year. We will be here for it, and we hope you are too.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (48-47 Ankalaev)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (49-46 Ankalaev)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (48-47 Blachowicz)

The Official Result
Magomed Ankalaev vs. Jan Blachowicz is Ruled a Split Draw (47-48, 48-46, 47-47)
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 4, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Angelo is very confident in Ankalaev, calling him the most complete fighter in the division with methodical, technical striking and wrestling. He believes Błachowicz's only chance is to land a big shot in close range, but Ankalaev's length, accuracy, and control will prevent that. He considers Ankalaev at -255 incredible value.

"ankalayev is absolutely the pick he is incredible value at minus 255."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady picks Magomed Ankalaev, citing his wrestling as the key difference. He notes Błachowicz has poor getup game once taken down, and Ankalaev will mix in takedowns to win rounds. He expects a competitive but boring fight on the feet, with Ankalaev winning by decision. He expresses disappointment in the matchup.

Ankalaev wins by decision; fight goes to decision
"I think ankle live takes behovich down and once he does that's probably going to be the round there... I like ankle I had to get it done and to get it done by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody picks Ankalaev, believing he is better in all facets and the number one guy in the division. He notes Ankalaev's high fight IQ, cardio, durability, and ability to adapt to opponents. He thinks Jan is older and his body is deteriorating, citing the Glover fight where Jan tapped quickly to a neck crank. Cody sees Ankalaev winning inside the distance, possibly in rounds 3-5, as Jan fades.

Ankalaev inside the distance (slight plus money)
"I think ankle live is better really in all facets of the game... I got Uncle life winning I don't think the money Line's terrible but if I was to try to chase a prop I got a feeling he's gonna do it inside the distance"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Dec 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Jan Błachowicz

Connor picks Błachowicz as a flyer, believing Ankalaev will wait too long to wrestle, which could be fatal against a striker as good and defensively sound as Błachowicz. He notes Błachowicz's jab, footwork, and counterpunching will trouble Ankalaev, and that Ankalaev's single-strike approach plays into Błachowicz's hands. However, he acknowledges Ankalaev could dominate if he wrestles early.

Odds: Błachowicz opened +170, now +224; Ankalaev opened -200, now -278.
"So I'm taking the flyer on block of it here."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Dec 6, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel Levi picks Magomed Ankalaev to win the vacant light heavyweight title. He emphasizes Ankalaev's patient, risk-averse style that frustrates opponents and his southpaw stance with a nasty counter right hook. Levi notes that Jan Błachowicz tends to attack in a straight line, which plays into Ankalaev's counters, and that Ankalaev can mix in takedowns from his Greco-Roman background. He acknowledges Błachowicz's power and body kicks but believes Ankalaev is defensively sound enough to avoid big moments and will win a decision, likely 4-1. Levi placed a 2-unit bet on Ankalaev at -250.

Bet 2 units on Ankalaev moneyline at -250. Expects decision win, possibly 4-1 rounds.
"I bet on magomed and Khalif... I played magomed minus 250 I played him to win two units"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Dec 9, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Lock is confident in Ankalaev, having bet him as his lock of the week at -255. He believes Ankalaev is that much better than Błachowicz and will rule the light heavyweight division for years. From a PredictionStrike perspective, he thinks $5.26 is not too late to buy in, as Ankalaev has longevity and could reach $8-9 after defending the belt. He recommends holding onto the stock long-term rather than selling immediately.

lock of the week play at -255
"I personally bet him as my Lachlan I play earlier this week at minus 255. I thought that was a great line because I think he's just that much better than blowovich"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Dec 7, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul picks Ankalaev, noting he is a minus 255 favorite and that he believes Ankalaev is better in all facets. He struggles with Ankalaev's tendency to fight safe and not always press for finishes, making it hard to bet props. He thinks Ankalaev wins but is not confident in the moneyline at that price, considering a parlay or prop instead.

Ankalaev inside the distance (slight plus money)
"I think ankle live is better really in all facets of the game... I think he wins minus 255 as a favorite I don't hate it I don't love it I'll be picking him maybe I'll end up with him on a parlay"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Dec 5, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

The MMA Guru picks Magomed Ankalaev over Jan Błachowicz by decision. He believes Ankalaev will be patient at range, use front kicks and jabs, and mix in takedowns after making Błachowicz hesitant. He notes Ankalaev's experience over five rounds and his ability to drain opponents, predicting a 49-46 decision where Ankalaev loses the first round but dominates later rounds.

"I'm gonna be going with yamla no magamed and Goliath winning this one options win fights"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Dec 8, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Zane picks Ankalaev, citing his durability, patience, and power. He believes Ankalaev will find a moment to take Błachowicz down and win three rounds, as Błachowicz has historically struggled against takedown artists. Zane trusts Ankalaev to be consistent enough to capitalize on opportunities.

Odds: Ankalaev opened -200, now -278.
"I'll take uncle live just to be patient enough and powerful enough and consistent enough to take advantage of his opportunities when he gets some out of the fight."
TKO (punches) R2 3:09
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 0 46 of 79 58% 64 of 102 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:26
Anthony Smith 0 18 of 36 50% 21 of 39 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:51
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 0 20 of 41 48% 23 of 48 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Anthony Smith 0 13 of 23 56% 16 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Magomed Ankalaev 0 26 of 38 68% 41 of 54 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:51
Anthony Smith 0 5 of 13 38% 5 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:51
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 46 of 79 58% 31 of 60 6 of 9 9 of 10 23 of 46 1 of 1 22 of 32
Anthony Smith 18 of 36 50% 6 of 21 5 of 8 7 of 7 17 of 35 0 of 0 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 20 of 41 48% 9 of 26 3 of 6 8 of 9 19 of 40 0 of 0 1 of 1
Anthony Smith 13 of 23 56% 3 of 11 4 of 6 6 of 6 12 of 22 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Magomed Ankalaev 26 of 38 68% 22 of 34 3 of 3 1 of 1 4 of 6 1 of 1 21 of 31
Anthony Smith 5 of 13 38% 3 of 10 1 of 2 1 of 1 5 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 25, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady picks Magomed Ankalaev to win by decision. He acknowledges Ankalaev's low volume but praises his power and defensive soundness. He doubts Smith can take Ankalaev down and notes Smith is hittable. He expects Ankalaev to win comfortably but not look like a -600 favorite unless he finishes early.

"i like anka live here to win i like him to win by i'll say decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody picks Ankalaev but expresses concern about his ring IQ and tendency to make fights harder than necessary. He notes that Ankalaev has a history of not using his wrestling enough, standing with opponents and getting clipped. He thinks if Ankalaev sticks to takedowns, he wins easily, but he's not sure he will. He calls it a potential lock but worries about Ankalaev's decision-making. He also notes that Smith is crafty and has good cardio.

"i want to say this is my lock of the card... but like i don't know if it is man like i'm gonna play it i'll take it collide but like i think this is greasier than it needs to be"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 27, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel picks Ankalaev to win, but notes the fight depends on Smith's approach. If Smith is content to survive, it will be a boring decision for Ankalaev. If Smith pushes the pace, it could be exciting with a finish on either side. He acknowledges Ankalaev's counter-striking style and power, but says Smith needs to take risks to win. He expects Ankalaev to piece Smith apart over three rounds if Smith doesn't engage.

"I'm gonna pick Ankalaev to win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Magomed Ankalaev

Preet picks Ankalaev by decision and likes the over 2.5 rounds, expecting Ankalaev to slow the fight with clinch and takedowns, grinding out Smith. He notes Ankalaev's ability to make adjustments, as seen against Krylov, and that Smith's pressure could make it exciting but ultimately Ankalaev's discipline wins. He avoids the moneyline at -560.

over 2.5 rounds
"give me uncle live on collab by decision over two and a half is probably the bet i would go with"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 26, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul picks Ankalaev, noting that he is the best guy at 205 pounds and has an easy path to victory by taking Smith down repeatedly. He acknowledges that Ankalaev sometimes makes fights harder by standing, but he expects him to win. He mentions that Smith's takedown defense has always been an issue and that Ankalaev should stick to the game plan. He also notes that the -600 price is wide but that's the price you have to pay.

"i think he wins probably 30 27 maybe he gets him out of there but like it's angle eye is a tough nut to crack"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2022 (fight day)
Magomed Ankalaev

The MMA Guru predicts Magomed Ankalaev wins by 29-28 or 30-27 decision. He expects a lackluster fight where Smith may win the first round but then shells up as Ankalaev chops the legs, lands ground-and-pound, and controls the later rounds. The Guru notes Ankalaev's patience and Smith's inability to create offense.

decision
"i think magamet anglia is going to win the fight as it goes on"
Decision (unanimous) (49–46, 49–46, 48–47) R5 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 1 60 of 138 43% 81 of 160 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Thiago Santos 0 78 of 155 50% 114 of 191 1 of 2 50% 0 0 3:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 0 10 of 21 47% 10 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 8 of 23 34% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Magomed Ankalaev 1 15 of 36 41% 18 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Thiago Santos 0 15 of 32 46% 15 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Magomed Ankalaev 0 18 of 30 60% 18 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 19 of 31 61% 19 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Magomed Ankalaev 0 10 of 32 31% 16 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 21 of 48 43% 36 of 63 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:56
5 Magomed Ankalaev 0 7 of 19 36% 19 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Thiago Santos 0 15 of 21 71% 36 of 42 0 of 1 0% 0 0 2:39
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 60 of 138 43% 14 of 75 16 of 26 30 of 37 57 of 135 1 of 1 2 of 2
Thiago Santos 78 of 155 50% 33 of 94 35 of 51 10 of 10 64 of 140 12 of 13 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 10 of 21 47% 0 of 6 3 of 6 7 of 9 10 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 8 of 23 34% 3 of 13 4 of 9 1 of 1 8 of 23 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Magomed Ankalaev 15 of 36 41% 7 of 22 3 of 6 5 of 8 13 of 34 0 of 0 2 of 2
Thiago Santos 15 of 32 46% 6 of 18 6 of 11 3 of 3 14 of 31 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Magomed Ankalaev 18 of 30 60% 2 of 13 4 of 4 12 of 13 18 of 30 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 19 of 31 61% 7 of 17 7 of 9 5 of 5 18 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
4 Magomed Ankalaev 10 of 32 31% 4 of 23 4 of 7 2 of 2 10 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 21 of 48 43% 13 of 38 8 of 10 0 of 0 18 of 45 1 of 1 2 of 2
5 Magomed Ankalaev 7 of 19 36% 1 of 11 2 of 3 4 of 5 6 of 18 1 of 1 0 of 0
Thiago Santos 15 of 21 71% 4 of 8 10 of 12 1 of 1 6 of 11 9 of 10 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Angelo picks Magomed Ankalaev, noting that Thiago Santos has slowed down at 38 and is not the same fighter who knocked out Jan Blachowicz. He believes Ankalaev's forward pressure, heavy kicks, and constant takedown threats will be too much. He expects a one-sided win, though not necessarily a stoppage.

"i have ankalive winning i think he does it with forward pressure heavy kicks that manage range and just constant takedown threats"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady picks Magomed Ankalaev to win by decision. He notes Santos is 38, looks washed, has low volume (44 strikes in 25 minutes vs Walker), and has never recovered from his knee injuries after the Jones fight. He thinks Ankalaev is well-rounded, has power, and will outpoint Santos easily over five rounds. He expects the fight to be somewhat uneventful but Ankalaev will dominate. He mentions the line has moved from -330 to -500.

"i'm gonna say inca live wins this one actually by decision i'm gonna say he just kind of you know out points santos pretty cleanly easily"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody is confident in Ankalaev, citing his pace, cardio, chin, and improved striking. He notes Santos is 38, has declined since knee surgery, and lacks volume. Cody sees Ankalaev as the best at 205 and expects him to win via pressure and volume, possibly a late stoppage. He mentions a parlay with Murzakanov at -106.

Parlay with Murzakanov at -106
"i think ankle alive is the best guy at 205 pounds"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 11, 2022 (1 day before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel Levi picks Magomed Ankalaev to win, citing Ankalaev's upward trajectory and the emergence of a new era of light heavyweights. He notes that Thiago Santos has had lackluster performances since the Jon Jones fight, with his knees falling apart. Levi expects a chess match early but sees Ankalaev landing a big counter or takedown with ground and pound. He acknowledges Santos's power but believes Ankalaev's counters are sharp and that he will eventually get a title shot.

"i think mago med and cleave is trending upwards i think that he will get a title shot at some point and i think that the new era of light heavyweights are emerging"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 9, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Ankalaev is seen as the uncrowned champ, with a seven-fight win streak and granite chin. He's a technical striker with high striking defense, and his ability to adjust mid-fight is praised. Santos is past his prime at 38, with ACL surgery and tentative performances. Ankalaev is expected to win via decision, possibly a one-sided chess match.

Decision prop for Ankalaev is suggested as a good play; round 4 or 5 decision if available.
"I think he is probably the best light heavyweight on planet Earth right now, and I think it's just a matter of time before he captures that gold."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 10, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul echoes Cody's view, emphasizing Santos' decline and Ankalaev's advantages in speed, volume, and wrestling. He notes the price is high but believes Ankalaev is the best in the division. He also mentions a parlay with Murzakanov.

Parlay with Murzakanov
"i think ankle alive is the best guy at 205 pounds"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 7, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

The MMA Guru picks Magomed Ankalaev over Thiago Santos, citing Santos' hesitancy and lack of ligaments in his leg. He believes Ankalaev will chop at the legs early, mix in takedowns, and expose Santos' poor ground game as Glover Teixeira did. He expects a late second-round ground-and-pound TKO, noting that Ankalaev's patient counter-striking style works well against Santos. He admits Santos is a decent underdog but says the odds won't sway him, as Ankalaev wins this fight seven or eight times out of ten.

ground and pound TKO in round 2
"i'm going to trust magman angliev very patient on the fee doesn't rush his work likes to play the counter game as well which i think works against thiago santos"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 1 66 of 108 61% 76 of 118 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:45
Volkan Oezdemir 0 48 of 102 47% 56 of 112 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 1 27 of 41 65% 27 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:45
Volkan Oezdemir 0 16 of 36 44% 22 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Magomed Ankalaev 0 13 of 26 50% 23 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:54
Volkan Oezdemir 0 19 of 34 55% 21 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Magomed Ankalaev 0 26 of 41 63% 26 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:06
Volkan Oezdemir 0 13 of 32 40% 13 of 32 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 66 of 108 61% 43 of 82 20 of 23 3 of 3 59 of 100 6 of 7 1 of 1
Volkan Oezdemir 48 of 102 47% 23 of 67 3 of 12 22 of 23 41 of 92 7 of 10 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 27 of 41 65% 18 of 32 8 of 8 1 of 1 23 of 37 3 of 3 1 of 1
Volkan Oezdemir 16 of 36 44% 9 of 27 2 of 4 5 of 5 11 of 29 5 of 7 0 of 0
2 Magomed Ankalaev 13 of 26 50% 8 of 18 3 of 6 2 of 2 10 of 22 3 of 4 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 19 of 34 55% 6 of 16 1 of 5 12 of 13 17 of 31 2 of 3 0 of 0
3 Magomed Ankalaev 26 of 41 63% 17 of 32 9 of 9 0 of 0 26 of 41 0 of 0 0 of 0
Volkan Oezdemir 13 of 32 40% 8 of 24 0 of 3 5 of 5 13 of 32 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 26, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady picks Magomed Ankalaev to win a close decision. He notes Ankalaev is a good striker with a well-rounded game, but this is a step up in competition. Oezdemir is more hittable and has been finished before. He thinks Ankalaev will slightly edge out a decision, possibly mixing in takedowns. He hates the price tag but believes Ankalaev gets it done.

"I think it's be close guys uh but yeah i'm going to go with inca live to get it done."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Cody is fully sold on Ankalaev, calling him a well-rounded package with wrestling, pressure, cardio, and submission game. He thinks Ankalaev could be the best LHW after Jones. He notes Oezdemir has decent takedown defense (80%) but has been inactive (only 2 fights in 2 years) and coming off a knee injury. He expects Ankalaev to pressure, tire Oezdemir, and get takedowns in later rounds.

"i'm fully sold on him i think he does everything excellent"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel picks Magomed Ankalaev, noting his improvement and discipline. He believes Oezdemir hasn't improved and is too basic, relying on hooks and overhands. Daniel thinks Ankalaev will pick him apart and possibly get a knockout. He acknowledges Oezdemir's toughness but sees Ankalaev as the more complete fighter with more ways to win.

predicts knockout
"i think he's gonna make a statement here i think he's gonna knock him out like finish him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 28, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Ankalaev is patient and disciplined, with excellent striking defense and takedowns. Oezdemir's volume could be a factor, but Ankalaev can win wherever the fight goes. He likely controls the fight and wins a decision, possibly with a submission if he grapples.

Ankalaev by decision +190, over 2.5 rounds +105, Ankalaev by submission +2500.
"My pick is going to be magamad on goliath uh and i'll take him to win this fight via decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 27, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Paul agrees strongly, saying Ankalaev has all the skills and on any given night could become champion. He thinks Ankalaev can beat Jan on his best night. He is not jumping off the Ankalaev train.

"i think anglais may be the best in the biz"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 24, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

The MMA Guru picks Magomed Ankalaev over Volkan Oezdemir. He thinks Ankalaev is more technical on the feet and has great grappling to fall back on. He notes Oezdemir's recent KO loss to Prochazka and long layoff may affect his confidence and aggression. He expects Oezdemir to be hesitant, giving Ankalaev space to work. He predicts a close 29-28 decision for Ankalaev, possibly with Oezdemir winning the first round.

"i'm going to go with magamet ankle i have here over volcanoes to me i think he does get this one done"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 0 47 of 120 39% 58 of 132 1 of 6 16% 0 0 1:44
Nikita Krylov 0 43 of 92 46% 89 of 143 3 of 9 33% 0 0 5:59
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 0 21 of 49 42% 25 of 54 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:44
Nikita Krylov 0 11 of 35 31% 18 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:14
2 Magomed Ankalaev 0 16 of 52 30% 17 of 53 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Nikita Krylov 0 19 of 37 51% 32 of 50 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:05
3 Magomed Ankalaev 0 10 of 19 52% 16 of 25 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Nikita Krylov 0 13 of 20 65% 39 of 51 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 47 of 120 39% 18 of 78 22 of 34 7 of 8 45 of 116 2 of 4 0 of 0
Nikita Krylov 43 of 92 46% 37 of 83 4 of 7 2 of 2 29 of 76 2 of 2 12 of 14
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 21 of 49 42% 9 of 29 10 of 18 2 of 2 21 of 49 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nikita Krylov 11 of 35 31% 10 of 32 1 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Magomed Ankalaev 16 of 52 30% 7 of 39 5 of 9 4 of 4 14 of 48 2 of 4 0 of 0
Nikita Krylov 19 of 37 51% 17 of 34 2 of 3 0 of 0 14 of 32 1 of 1 4 of 4
3 Magomed Ankalaev 10 of 19 52% 2 of 10 7 of 7 1 of 2 10 of 19 0 of 0 0 of 0
Nikita Krylov 13 of 20 65% 10 of 17 1 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 10 0 of 0 8 of 10
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Nikita Krylov vs. Magomed Ankalaev

Round 1
Two light heavyweights who practically only know one speed come to brawl in the center of the cage, when Krylov (27-7, 8-5 UFC) takes on Ankalaev (14-1, 5-1 UFC). With 35 finishes in 41 wins, action is sure to come between these two finishing machines, and referee Mark Smith will need to keep his head on a swivel as there is a glove touch ahead of this co-main event. Krylov starts off with a head kick that gets blocked, and he throws another as Ankalaev respond with an overhand right. Krylov wades forward with a right hand as he closes the distance to trip Ankalaev to the ground, and Ankalaev gets away with a fence grab to stay on his feet. Krylov drags him down despite another fence grab, and Ankalaev once more interlocks his fingers in the fence and slaps Ankalaev’s hand out. Krylov has his opponent’s leg trapped beneath him as he vies to keep Ankalaev on his back, but the fighter from Dagestan powers back to his feet. Krylov keeps his foe pinned to the cage wall, and Ankalaev drops in a knee to the chest. Ankalaev breaks free and marches forward to sling a right hand, all while blocking a head kick that soars towards his face. Both men land flush, and Ankalaev gets the better of the exchange with a stiff right hand that makes Krylov take a step back. Krylov digs to the body with a kick, and snaps Ankalaev’s head back with a high kick. Ankalaev counters a body kick with a right hand, and he plants the ball of his foot on Krylov’s torso. Krylov steps in with a body kick, and both men crack one another. Practically every time Krylov kicks the body, Ankalaev is ready with a right hand counter. Ankalaev fires off his own body kick, and he once more counters a push kick with a slapping right hook. Both men engage in a brief but furious exchange of strikes, and Ankalaev shoots in for a takedown suddenly but cannot secure it before the round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Krylov
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Krylov

Round 2
Krylov kicks the lead leg early, and rushes in to throw. Ankalaev pushes back and nearly shoves Krylov to his back. Ankalaev charges in to throw bombs, but then pulls back before pulling the trigger. Krylov backs off to kick the body, and when he steps in, Ankalaev pops him with a right hook. Krylov replies with his own right hook, and Ankalaev ignores it and walks forward to throw. Krylov walks face-first into an uppercut, and he kicks Ankalaev’s lead leg as he circles away. Krylov chains a right hand into a body kick, and he backs off before Ankalaev can tag him. Ankalaev marches him down and stings him with a front kick to the face. The Ukrainian chips at the lead leg, and the two clinch together as Ankalaev drills him in the face with a knee. Ankalaev follows it with a body kick that planted square on the liver, and he counters an advancing Krylov with a right hook. He tags Krylov again with this short hook, and he digs the body with a front kick. Ankalaev delivers that right hand to the side of the head, and when Krylov tries to sling leather, Ankalaev scores again on the temple. Krylov spins with a strike, but Ankalaev catches him and puts him on his back. Krylov defends with butterfly hooks, and the man from Dagestan is unable to advance position as Krylov keeps him at bay. Krylov protects himself from damage, springs up and tries to reverse the position, but Ankalaev bulldozes him over and climbs into the guard of “The Miner.” Ankalaev postures up to land a few left hands, and one of his elbows scores flush on the forehead. Ankalaev works a few more elbows to punctuate the round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev

Round 3
Krylov starts off throwing long punches and body kicks. Ankalaev aims a kick to the body, and Krylov backs away, spins in a full revolution and fires off a leg kick with emphasis. Ankalaev nails his man with an overhand right, and Krylov is hurt and falls back but keeps a poker face. The Ukrainian shoots in low and gets shoved aside, and when he stands up, he eats a big right hand right on the button. Lesser strikes have felled greater men, but Krylov keeps a stiff upper lip and fires right back. Ankalaev presses into the clinch, and he looks to take the fight down and grind out the remainder of the fight. Ankalaev pulls Krylov’s legs apart against the cage to drag the fight down, and he starts opening up with punches. Krylov struggles with his leg caught under Ankalaev, and he starts to absorb big left hands flush. “The Miner” digs deep and fights his way back to his feet, but Ankalaev is putting everything he has into keeping Krylov trapped and nullified. Ankalaev muscles the fight back down, where he connects with a pair of left hands. Ankalaev swings an elbow that Krylov is able to duck, even though Krylov is trapped against the cage wall. Ankalaev drops down left hands and pulls Krylov away from the fencing, but Krylov scoots back to an odd angle as Ankalaev pounds on him with left hands and elbows. Ankalaev marks him up with left hands but they are not of the fight-ending variety, and the numbers may add up but there is no stoppage. Like almost every other bout thus far tonight, this match goes the distance.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (29-28 Ankalaev)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (30-27 Ankalaev)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ankalaev (29-28 Ankalaev)

The Official Result
Magomed Ankalaev def. Nikita Krylov via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 24, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady picks Magomed Ankalaev to win by close decision, but he is hesitant. He thinks Ankalaev is the much better striker and has shown good takedown defense, but he questions the level of competition Ankalaev has faced compared to Krylov. He brings up the Paul Craig submission loss as a concern. He notes Krylov's 97% finish rate and danger on the ground, but believes Ankalaev can keep it standing and outpoint him. He says the line at -360 is too wide and recommends dog or pass.

decision win for Ankalaev
"i'm gonna slightly take ink alive here... i'm actually gonna go with mega man goliath by a really close decision"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 26, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel Levi picks Magomed Ankalaev, emphasizing his technical, fundamental approach and defensive skills (defends nearly 70% of strikes). He notes Krylov's exciting, loose style but believes Ankalaev can exploit that and control the fight via decision or knockout. Levi acknowledges the wide line but thinks Ankalaev has more ways to win and has learned from his submission loss to Paul Craig.

"I think that ink alive has the much more professional approach... he's very fundamental he's very technical and i think he's the more capable fighter here so i am going to pick him for the win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 23, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Ankalaev is a future champion at 205, with elite striking from both stances and solid wrestling. He has only been taken down twice in his UFC career and gets back up quickly. Krylov's path is volume or submission, but Ankalaev's counter-striking and defensive wrestling should nullify that. Expect a knockout in the second or third round, as Krylov's reckless style leaves openings.

Ankalaev by KO round 2 or 3; also considering decision prop at +315 and over 1.5 rounds at -125
"i truly think that this guy is a 205 pound champion and i think he's going to be able to run through nikita krillov here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

The MMA Guru picks Magomed Ankalaev, but notes the odds are too high (over 3-to-1 favorite) and suggests Krylov is a good betting underdog. He believes Ankalaev is improving fight to fight and has the power to finish Krylov in later rounds, while Krylov may have peaked and taken more damage. He expects Ankalaev to win but warns the betting line is inflated.

odds comment: Ankalaev should barely be a 2-to-1 favorite, suggests betting on Krylov as underdog
"he is a ridiculous [ __ ] favorite that's over a three to one favorite... if you want to make some money bet on nikita krylov"
KO (punches) R1 4:19
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 2 21 of 41 51% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ion Cuțelaba 0 11 of 36 30% 11 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 2 21 of 41 51% 21 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ion Cuțelaba 0 11 of 36 30% 11 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 21 of 41 51% 17 of 36 2 of 3 2 of 2 14 of 31 1 of 1 6 of 9
Ion Cuțelaba 11 of 36 30% 5 of 27 2 of 4 4 of 5 11 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 21 of 41 51% 17 of 36 2 of 3 2 of 2 14 of 31 1 of 1 6 of 9
Ion Cuțelaba 11 of 36 30% 5 of 27 2 of 4 4 of 5 11 of 36 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 20, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Big Brady picks Magomed Ankalaev, noting he is the more technical fighter and has good wrestling. He expects Cuțelaba to be dangerous in the first round but fade, and predicts a third-round knockout. He is not worried about Cuțelaba's submission threat.

third round knockout
"give me ink alive to win with a third round knockout"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Oct 23, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

Daniel Levi picks Ankalaev, citing his improvements and training at Extreme Couture with coach Eric Nixick. He notes that Cuțelaba is a first-round-or-bust fighter, and if Ankalaev survives the initial storm, he will take over with head kicks and combinations. He blames Cuțelaba for the poor stoppage in the first fight and believes Ankalaev is the more well-rounded fighter.

Ankalaev has been knocking dudes out with head kicks in the gym; Cuțelaba is first round or bust
"i feel like it favors anka leave and i'm picking him in the spot to win the rematch"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Magomed Ankalaev

The host picks Magomed Ankalaev confidently, noting his superior striking, discipline, and ability to fight at range. He believes Cuțelaba's aggressive style will play into Ankalaev's hands and that Ankalaev will finish him in the third round.

Ankalaev by TKO in round 3, over 1.5 rounds
"i got on clive i'm gonna say third round finish"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 16, 2020 (8 days before fight)
Ion Cuțelaba

The MMA Guru picks Ion Cuțelaba to win by first-round TKO as an underdog. He argues that Cuțelaba landed the cleanest shots in their first fight (which ended in a no-contest) and that Ankalaev is overrated, citing his lackluster performance against Paul Craig. He believes Cuțelaba will come out aggressive and catch Ankalaev early.

first round TKO
"i'm going to go with iron kuta laba getting the job done in the first round by tko"
TKO (head kicks and punches) R1 0:38
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ion Cuțelaba 0 8 of 12 66% 8 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 0 5 of 11 45% 5 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Ion Cuțelaba 0 8 of 12 66% 8 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 5 of 11 45% 3 of 8 0 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ion Cuțelaba 8 of 12 66% 6 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 8 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 5 of 11 45% 3 of 8 0 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 11 0 of 0 0 of 0
Ion Cuțelaba 8 of 12 66% 6 of 10 1 of 1 1 of 1 8 of 12 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Magomed Ankalaev vs. Ion Cutelaba

Round 1
It’s time to get crazy, as the main card of UFC 254 begins with a rematch of one of the more controversial results of 2020 between Ankalaev (13-1, 4-1 UFC) and Cutelaba (15-5, 1 NC; 4-4 UFC). In a light heavyweight clash that is very unlikely to reach the scorecards, referee Anders Ohlsson will need to keep his head on a swivel for the bout’s presumably short duration. There is no love lost and no glove touch between these two men looking to separate one another’s head from their shoulders, and neither man comes out firing. Instead, Cutelaba slowly plods forward and kicks out a low kick. The Moldovan fighter misses with a front kick, and Ankalaev returns fire with a slapping leg kick. We have already reached the point in the fight where their previous meeting was stopped, and a very small number of strikes have landed. Ankalaev scores a front kick and follows it with a right hook, but Cutelaba is unfazed. Cutelaba swings and misses to the body, and Ankalaev is unable to catch him with a counter. Both men land kicks one after the other, and Cutelaba rushes in with a right hand. Cutelaba clips him with another right hand, and Ankalaev responds with a body kick. Cutelaba walks through it while pawing out a jab, and Ankalaev is unable to find the home with a left hook. “The Hulk” swings and misses wildly, and Ankalaev tags him on the way in with a crisp right hand. Cutelaba charges in with a blitz, and after he lands, Ankalaev counters with a knee up the middle. Cutelaba leads the dance with several jabs and he is chasing after Ankalaev around the cage, but the Russian circles around and sticks Cutelaba with a straight left hand. Ankalaev times another left hand and counters effectively with a short right hook when Cutelaba swings and misses. Ankalaev cracks him with a sharp left hand, connecting it right before Cutelaba was going to spin for a strike. “The Hulk” regains his composure and blasts back to his feet, only to swing and miss. Ankalaev sits back as Cutelaba charges in, and unloads a hellacious left hook that sends Cutelaba falling to the canvas. Ankalaev unleashes a fury of punches as he climbs on top, and while Cutelaba is able to defend himself from a few, the Russian splits the guard and puts Cutelaba out cold as he pounds on him. What a way to end the rivalry, and there is no question in this result.

The Official Result
Magomed Ankalaev def. Ion Cutelaba R1 4:19 via KO (Punches)
KO (front kick and punch) R3 0:29
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 1 44 of 67 65% 91 of 123 1 of 3 33% 0 0 5:34
Dalcha Lungiambula 0 6 of 26 23% 13 of 33 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:20
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 0 20 of 37 54% 28 of 46 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:07
Dalcha Lungiambula 0 5 of 20 25% 8 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
2 Magomed Ankalaev 0 22 of 25 88% 61 of 72 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:25
Dalcha Lungiambula 0 1 of 2 50% 5 of 6 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:02
3 Magomed Ankalaev 1 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Dalcha Lungiambula 0 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 44 of 67 65% 28 of 45 12 of 16 4 of 6 23 of 44 4 of 5 17 of 18
Dalcha Lungiambula 6 of 26 23% 4 of 23 2 of 3 0 of 0 5 of 25 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 20 of 37 54% 10 of 22 8 of 11 2 of 4 18 of 34 2 of 3 0 of 0
Dalcha Lungiambula 5 of 20 25% 4 of 18 1 of 2 0 of 0 4 of 19 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Magomed Ankalaev 22 of 25 88% 16 of 18 4 of 5 2 of 2 3 of 5 2 of 2 17 of 18
Dalcha Lungiambula 1 of 2 50% 0 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Magomed Ankalaev 2 of 5 40% 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Dalcha Lungiambula 0 of 4 0% 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 1 30 of 67 44% 66 of 107 1 of 3 33% 0 0 5:48
Klidson Abreu 0 23 of 62 37% 32 of 73 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:28
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 1 9 of 22 40% 27 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:43
Klidson Abreu 0 8 of 21 38% 11 of 25 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:03
2 Magomed Ankalaev 0 9 of 19 47% 13 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:39
Klidson Abreu 0 11 of 17 64% 16 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:25
3 Magomed Ankalaev 0 12 of 26 46% 26 of 41 1 of 3 33% 0 0 1:26
Klidson Abreu 0 4 of 24 16% 5 of 26 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 30 of 67 44% 22 of 55 6 of 9 2 of 3 18 of 51 6 of 9 6 of 7
Klidson Abreu 23 of 62 37% 10 of 41 8 of 15 5 of 6 16 of 53 7 of 9 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 9 of 22 40% 7 of 18 1 of 2 1 of 2 4 of 14 2 of 4 3 of 4
Klidson Abreu 8 of 21 38% 5 of 15 0 of 2 3 of 4 8 of 20 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Magomed Ankalaev 9 of 19 47% 7 of 15 2 of 4 0 of 0 5 of 14 2 of 3 2 of 2
Klidson Abreu 11 of 17 64% 4 of 9 5 of 6 2 of 2 7 of 13 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Magomed Ankalaev 12 of 26 46% 8 of 22 3 of 3 1 of 1 9 of 23 2 of 2 1 of 1
Klidson Abreu 4 of 24 16% 1 of 17 3 of 7 0 of 0 1 of 20 3 of 4 0 of 0
KO (head kick and punches) R1 3:09
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Magomed Ankalaev 1 12 of 27 44% 12 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Marcin Prachnio 0 3 of 22 13% 3 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Magomed Ankalaev 1 12 of 27 44% 12 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Marcin Prachnio 0 3 of 22 13% 3 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Magomed Ankalaev 12 of 27 44% 10 of 25 1 of 1 1 of 1 8 of 21 2 of 4 2 of 2
Marcin Prachnio 3 of 22 13% 1 of 15 0 of 3 2 of 4 3 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Magomed Ankalaev 12 of 27 44% 10 of 25 1 of 1 1 of 1 8 of 21 2 of 4 2 of 2
Marcin Prachnio 3 of 22 13% 1 of 15 0 of 3 2 of 4 3 of 22 0 of 0 0 of 0
Loss
Submission (triangle choke) R3 4:59
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Paul Craig 0 18 of 50 36% 34 of 70 2 of 7 28% 1 0 1:47
Magomed Ankalaev 0 59 of 96 61% 89 of 129 0 of 0 --- 0 2 6:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Paul Craig 0 8 of 20 40% 20 of 36 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:14
Magomed Ankalaev 0 18 of 29 62% 24 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 1 1:26
2 Paul Craig 0 9 of 20 45% 13 of 24 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:33
Magomed Ankalaev 0 15 of 27 55% 23 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 1 2:08
3 Paul Craig 0 1 of 10 10% 1 of 10 0 of 3 0% 1 0 0:00
Magomed Ankalaev 0 26 of 40 65% 42 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:09
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Paul Craig 18 of 50 36% 2 of 30 10 of 14 6 of 6 12 of 41 6 of 7 0 of 2
Magomed Ankalaev 59 of 96 61% 36 of 70 19 of 21 4 of 5 20 of 44 8 of 11 31 of 41
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Paul Craig 8 of 20 40% 0 of 11 6 of 7 2 of 2 5 of 14 3 of 4 0 of 2
Magomed Ankalaev 18 of 29 62% 9 of 19 6 of 6 3 of 4 9 of 15 3 of 4 6 of 10
2 Paul Craig 9 of 20 45% 1 of 11 4 of 5 4 of 4 6 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 15 of 27 55% 10 of 21 4 of 5 1 of 1 4 of 15 5 of 6 6 of 6
3 Paul Craig 1 of 10 10% 1 of 8 0 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 10 0 of 0 0 of 0
Magomed Ankalaev 26 of 40 65% 17 of 30 9 of 10 0 of 0 7 of 14 0 of 1 19 of 25