UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov Next Fight
Age 34
Height 5' 11"
Reach 72.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 30
Height 5' 10"
Reach 73.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Guram Kutateladze
3.53 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
4.22 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.61 TD Avg
15.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jordan Vucenic
2.11 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
1.9 SApM
58.0% Str. Def.
0.63 TD Avg
14.0% TD Acc.
44.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Guram Kutateladze
Moneyline
DraftKings -160
KO/TKO
BetRivers +350
Submission
BetRivers +1500
Decision
FanDuel +125
Jordan Vucenic
Moneyline
FanDuel +190
KO/TKO
FanDuel +1100
Submission
FanDuel +600
Decision
BetRivers +525
Guram Kutateladze - Fight History
LOSS vs Kauê Fernandes
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guram Kutateladze 0 29 of 71 40% 36 of 81 0 of 5 0% 0 0 0:05
Kauê Fernandes 2 79 of 149 53% 79 of 149 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:43
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guram Kutateladze 0 7 of 21 33% 7 of 21 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:05
Kauê Fernandes 0 26 of 50 52% 26 of 50 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
2 Guram Kutateladze 0 9 of 21 42% 10 of 22 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 30 of 53 56% 30 of 53 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:05
3 Guram Kutateladze 0 13 of 29 44% 19 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Kauê Fernandes 1 23 of 46 50% 23 of 46 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:31
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guram Kutateladze 29 of 71 40% 16 of 51 10 of 15 3 of 5 23 of 64 6 of 7 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 79 of 149 53% 40 of 103 16 of 19 23 of 27 62 of 127 5 of 5 12 of 17
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guram Kutateladze 7 of 21 33% 3 of 14 3 of 5 1 of 2 5 of 18 2 of 3 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 26 of 50 52% 14 of 34 5 of 6 7 of 10 26 of 50 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Guram Kutateladze 9 of 21 42% 6 of 18 3 of 3 0 of 0 6 of 18 3 of 3 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 30 of 53 56% 15 of 37 7 of 7 8 of 9 17 of 35 4 of 4 9 of 14
3 Guram Kutateladze 13 of 29 44% 7 of 19 4 of 7 2 of 3 12 of 28 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kauê Fernandes 23 of 46 50% 11 of 32 4 of 6 8 of 8 19 of 42 1 of 1 3 of 3
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Kauê Fernandes

Angelo picks Kauê Fernandes as a 3-to-1 underdog, citing Guram Kutateladze's declining chin and recent struggles. He notes Guram was dropped in his last fight and is not the same prospect he once was. Angelo believes Kauê's forward pressure and power will be too much, though he is not betting the moneyline due to the long odds. He considers prop bets like inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds instead.

Considering win inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds props when they drop
"I'm going to go against the grain... I think Caillou Hernandez wins this fight flat out."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Brady sees Guram as a big favorite and expects him to take over as the fight goes on. He notes that Kauê has terrible cardio and takedown defense, so Guram can mix in takedowns and win minutes. Brady predicts a competitive early round but Guram pulling away and winning by decision.

Guram by decision
"I'm kind of leaning at guram Cuda to L by decision so give me guram here and Guam to win this fight by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The host believes Kutateladze's Muay Thai and wrestling will nullify most of Fernandes's offense, leading to a decision victory. He emphasizes Kutateladze's overall game and ability to control the fight.

"I believe the overall game here from the Muay Thai to the wrestling of Couta Tadz should nullify most of Fernandez's offense."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The Guru leans towards Guram Kutateladze, citing him as the more well-rounded and technical fighter. He notes that Kauê Fernandes has a good finish over Muhammad Yaya but considers Yaya a low-level opponent. He believes Guram's recent loss to Elves Brener was competitive and that Guram was winning until he faded. He expects the fight to go to a decision or late finish, with Guram winning 2-1 on rounds.

"I am going to have to lean towards gram cedi he's just a better fighter overall"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guram Kutateladze 0 30 of 68 44% 87 of 152 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:05
Jordan Vucenic 1 34 of 85 40% 81 of 139 0 of 5 0% 0 0 4:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guram Kutateladze 0 3 of 13 23% 16 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Vucenic 1 17 of 39 43% 38 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:06
2 Guram Kutateladze 0 19 of 42 45% 22 of 45 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:03
Jordan Vucenic 0 15 of 39 38% 26 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:52
3 Guram Kutateladze 0 8 of 13 61% 49 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:02
Jordan Vucenic 0 2 of 7 28% 17 of 23 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guram Kutateladze 30 of 68 44% 13 of 48 13 of 16 4 of 4 15 of 50 11 of 11 4 of 7
Jordan Vucenic 34 of 85 40% 23 of 72 10 of 12 1 of 1 24 of 71 7 of 9 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guram Kutateladze 3 of 13 23% 1 of 10 0 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Vucenic 17 of 39 43% 14 of 35 3 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 34 0 of 0 3 of 5
2 Guram Kutateladze 19 of 42 45% 6 of 27 11 of 13 2 of 2 10 of 32 9 of 9 0 of 1
Jordan Vucenic 15 of 39 38% 8 of 31 6 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 31 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Guram Kutateladze 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 6
Jordan Vucenic 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Angelo leans Guram because he is the more technical striker with professional kickboxing experience, but notes ring rust after a year layoff. He thinks Guram will stay outside and be cautious, not looking for a finish. He hopes Guram is a heavy favorite so he can bet on Jordan Vucenic to win inside the distance (decision no action) as a plus-money prop.

If Guram is a 3-to-1 favorite, bet Jordan Vucenic wins inside distance (decision no action) at plus money
"I'm going to lean gam... I'm hoping gam is a massive favorite so that I could grab Jordan venic wins inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Big Brady sees this as a big step up for Vucenic and a stylistic nightmare. He thinks Vucenic won't be able to take down Kutateladze or submit him, as Kutateladze is a great grappler himself. He expects Kutateladze to keep the fight standing and out-strike Vucenic over 15 minutes, winning by decision.

"I think Cuda toad is a great Grappler in his own right uh I think the wrestling is going to be in favor of kudu toades"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Cody picks Jordan Vucenic as an underdog, noting that Guram Kutateladze has cardio issues and tends to fade after the first round. He thinks Vucenic's durability and striking volume can carry him to a decision win. Cody also mentions that Vucenic is a Cage Warriors champion with good submissions and that Guram may not have improved much. He suggests live betting Vucenic after the first round.

"I might take that Underdog shot and Jordan vinich to get a spring the upset in his debut."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Daniel picks Kutateladze, citing his size and UFC experience as key factors. He notes Vucenic is a featherweight moving up and questions whether he can out-duel Kutateladze physically. He views this as a last chance for Kutateladze to prove himself and thinks he will be slightly more physical.

"I'm gonna pick guram here I think the UFC experience and the size as well can make a difference"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Vucenic is taking this fight on short notice and moving up a weight class. Kutateladze's strength and overall game should overpower him, winning on the scorecards.

"I think was heut Dead's strength and overall game overpower vuich here and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Paul picks Jordan Vucenic, noting that Guram has cardio issues and tends to blow his load early. He thinks Vucenic's striking and durability can allow him to take over in later rounds. Paul also mentions that Vucenic has good submissions and that Guram may not have improved. He acknowledges the short notice but notes that Vucenic stays close to fight weight.

"I think I'm gonna lean I want to take the cowards way and just take guram he's had the full Camp."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The MMA Guru picks Guram Kutateladze over Jordan Vucenic, despite having hyped Vucenic. He notes Vucenic is making his UFC debut on short notice up a weight class, which is not ideal. He believes Kutateladze's power and size will be too much, and that Vucenic lacks the power to keep Kutateladze honest. He also mentions Vucenic's best work is at featherweight as a taller, rangier fighter.

"I know I've been hyping up Jordan venik and he's probably going to watch this rather I can't pick you to win this one but it's gam kedi in your debut on short notice up a weight class it's not …"
LOSS vs Elves Brener
TKO (punches) R3 3:17 · UFC on ESPN: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Jul 01, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Elves Brener 0 85 of 163 52% 99 of 177 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:23
Guram Kutateladze 1 65 of 132 49% 93 of 165 2 of 7 28% 0 0 2:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Elves Brener 0 30 of 48 62% 33 of 51 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Guram Kutateladze 0 9 of 22 40% 26 of 42 2 of 6 33% 0 0 2:11
2 Elves Brener 0 33 of 73 45% 41 of 81 1 of 2 50% 0 0 1:09
Guram Kutateladze 0 27 of 57 47% 36 of 68 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:05
3 Elves Brener 0 22 of 42 52% 25 of 45 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:26
Guram Kutateladze 1 29 of 53 54% 31 of 55 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Elves Brener 85 of 163 52% 49 of 114 28 of 40 8 of 9 54 of 122 25 of 30 6 of 11
Guram Kutateladze 65 of 132 49% 42 of 101 15 of 18 8 of 13 53 of 112 6 of 8 6 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Elves Brener 30 of 48 62% 17 of 30 10 of 15 3 of 3 18 of 30 12 of 16 0 of 2
Guram Kutateladze 9 of 22 40% 3 of 15 4 of 4 2 of 3 8 of 20 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Elves Brener 33 of 73 45% 21 of 54 7 of 13 5 of 6 23 of 60 4 of 4 6 of 9
Guram Kutateladze 27 of 57 47% 18 of 44 5 of 6 4 of 7 20 of 46 3 of 3 4 of 8
3 Elves Brener 22 of 42 52% 11 of 30 11 of 12 0 of 0 13 of 32 9 of 10 0 of 0
Guram Kutateladze 29 of 53 54% 21 of 42 6 of 8 2 of 3 25 of 46 2 of 3 2 of 4
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 25, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Angelo picks Guram Kutateladze confidently, stating his striking is light years ahead and his takedown defense is some of the best in the division. He believes Elves Brener has no path to victory, as Guram won't get taken down or submitted. He thinks the line should be much higher, like -1100.

"this is definitely a garam spot I gotta go gram all the way here his striking is going to be light years ahead his takedown defense is some of the best in the division"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Big Brady picks Guram Kutateladze to win by second-round knockout. He sees a massive skill discrepancy, noting Kutateladze went competitive with Mateusz Gamrot and Damir Ismagulov, while Brener's best attribute is grappling, which won't work against Kutateladze's takedown defense. He believes Kutateladze will land repeatedly and eventually finish Brener.

second round knockout
"I'll say garam kudet wins this fight by knockout in the second round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Cody thinks Kutateladze is a legitimate top-15 talent with strong wrestling and physicality. He notes Brenner's win over Zubaira Tukhugov was controversial (all media scored for Tukhugov) and that Tukhugov was an undersized featherweight. Cody expects Kutateladze to win by KO or decision, but acknowledges his injury history and short notice. He still picks Kutateladze.

"I gotta go with Cuda leads to just get him out of there probably with before the third round starts"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 29, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Daniel confidently picks Kutateladze, citing his superior striking and power. He notes Brener has never been finished but expects Kutateladze to dominate, possibly by knockout or decision. He acknowledges Brener's toughness and submission threat but believes Kutateladze is on a different level, as reflected in the -600 line. He expects a clear win, though he leans decision.

"he's minus 600 for a reason and he will be my pick"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 28, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Paul picks Kutateladze but notes the minus-700 price is hard to back. He mentions Kutateladze's layoff and injury issues, but believes his talent is far superior. Brenner's win over Tukhugov was controversial and Tukhugov was out of shape. Paul thinks Kutateladze should win, but it's risky at such short odds.

"kutata LEDs is the pick but at minus 700 I really don't think there's much there"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 27, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The Guru picks Guram Kutateladze, citing a massive stylistic mismatch for Elves Brener, who was preparing for Jordan Levitt's slow, non-athletic striking and wet blanket wrestling. He notes Kutateladze's speed and danger, and his impressive performance against Damir Ismagulov, which showed top-15 level. He predicts a TKO finish, as Kutateladze's striking will overwhelm Brener.

"I'm gonna be going with Graham katatzi and I just want to point out... this is a really unfair situation for elves Brenner"
LOSS vs Damir Ismagulov
Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC on ESPN: Kattar vs. Emmett · Jun 18, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Damir Ismagulov 0 79 of 192 41% 83 of 197 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:46
Guram Kutateladze 0 78 of 187 41% 80 of 190 1 of 7 14% 0 0 0:39
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Damir Ismagulov 0 21 of 57 36% 23 of 60 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:15
Guram Kutateladze 0 26 of 63 41% 27 of 65 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:17
2 Damir Ismagulov 0 30 of 65 46% 32 of 67 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Guram Kutateladze 0 23 of 58 39% 23 of 58 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:02
3 Damir Ismagulov 0 28 of 70 40% 28 of 70 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:20
Guram Kutateladze 0 29 of 66 43% 30 of 67 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Damir Ismagulov 79 of 192 41% 63 of 173 14 of 17 2 of 2 76 of 184 3 of 8 0 of 0
Guram Kutateladze 78 of 187 41% 29 of 129 28 of 33 21 of 25 64 of 170 13 of 16 1 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Damir Ismagulov 21 of 57 36% 17 of 52 3 of 4 1 of 1 19 of 55 2 of 2 0 of 0
Guram Kutateladze 26 of 63 41% 13 of 44 8 of 11 5 of 8 20 of 55 6 of 8 0 of 0
2 Damir Ismagulov 30 of 65 46% 22 of 55 8 of 10 0 of 0 30 of 63 0 of 2 0 of 0
Guram Kutateladze 23 of 58 39% 7 of 40 10 of 11 6 of 7 20 of 54 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Damir Ismagulov 28 of 70 40% 24 of 66 3 of 3 1 of 1 27 of 66 1 of 4 0 of 0
Guram Kutateladze 29 of 66 43% 9 of 45 10 of 11 10 of 10 24 of 61 4 of 4 1 of 1
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 12, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Angelo picks Guram Kutateladze, citing his powerful striking, kicks, and submission threats. He notes that even when taken down, Kutateladze is active on the ground and can work back up. He believes Kutateladze will frustrate Ismagulov both on feet and ground. He suggests betting on Kutateladze moneyline or safety net bets like 'wins inside distance decision no action' or plus 3.5 rounds.

moneyline or wins inside distance decision no action or plus 3.5 round bet (available at BetOnline)
"i like garam to frustrate dimir both on his feet and on the ground and i like him to take another underdog win over a solid wrestler"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Damir Ismagulov

Big Brady picks Damir Ismagulov to win by decision, contingent on a good weight cut. He notes Ismagulov has excellent fight IQ, volume, and striking defense, while Kutateladze is powerful but low volume. He expects Ismagulov to be the minute winner on the feet and can mix in takedowns. He expresses concern about Ismagulov's weight cut and past eye issue.

decision
"I think damiri magulov wins a decision here as long as the weight cut goes good so dimir damir by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Damir Ismagulov

Cody picks Ismagulov, citing his technical striking, excellent chin, and wrestling defense. He notes Kutateladze's cardio issues and two-year layoff, and believes Ismagulov will outpoint him over three rounds. He suggests Ismagulov by decision as a prop.

Damir Ismagulov by decision
"i think demir is able to get the job done dimir is also not super active but in the time away he's fought well"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Damir Ismagulov

Daniel Levi is confident in Damir Ismagulov, praising his elite striking defense (1.9 strikes absorbed per minute), 100% takedown defense, and sharp boxing. He believes Ismagulov is a potential top-five talent and will outpoint Guram Kutateladze, who is tough but less polished. Levi notes Kutateladze's kicking game is dangerous, but thinks Ismagulov's fight IQ and experience will carry him to a unanimous decision. He is considering a bet on Ismagulov.

considering a bet on Ismagulov; expects unanimous decision
"i'm going dimir ismagullah via unanimous decision here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Paul picks Kutateladze as a dog, noting his training with Khamzat Chimaev and his power. He thinks Kutateladze can walk through Ismagulov's shots and land heavier strikes. He grabbed the line at +150 and believes the volume difference will be close, giving the edge to the Georgian.

"i grabbed some plus 150 um yesterday yeah because i kind of saw the line moving"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Jun 13, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The MMA Guru picks Guram Kutateladze, calling it risky. He notes Kutateladze is younger and more explosive, with good body kicks and skills off his back. He believes Damir Ismagulov has looked worse since his return, struggling against Rafael Alves. He thinks Kutateladze has a higher chance of a finish and will push the pace in later rounds, though he acknowledges Ismagulov is a good underdog.

"i'm going with garam... another risky one though another real risky one... i'm going to side with garam cutter to let's younger and on short notice"
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The Korean Zombie · Oct 18, 2020
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guram Kutateladze 0 52 of 126 41% 69 of 151 5 of 16 31% 0 0 3:29
Mateusz Gamrot 1 37 of 86 43% 43 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guram Kutateladze 0 15 of 32 46% 25 of 43 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:01
Mateusz Gamrot 0 11 of 20 55% 12 of 22 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Guram Kutateladze 0 16 of 45 35% 18 of 52 1 of 5 20% 0 0 0:56
Mateusz Gamrot 1 15 of 37 40% 20 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Guram Kutateladze 0 21 of 49 42% 26 of 56 3 of 7 42% 0 0 1:32
Mateusz Gamrot 0 11 of 29 37% 11 of 29 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guram Kutateladze 52 of 126 41% 42 of 112 6 of 10 4 of 4 37 of 103 4 of 4 11 of 19
Mateusz Gamrot 37 of 86 43% 12 of 48 12 of 24 13 of 14 35 of 84 0 of 0 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guram Kutateladze 15 of 32 46% 13 of 29 1 of 2 1 of 1 9 of 24 0 of 0 6 of 8
Mateusz Gamrot 11 of 20 55% 1 of 6 6 of 10 4 of 4 9 of 18 0 of 0 2 of 2
2 Guram Kutateladze 16 of 45 35% 12 of 40 3 of 4 1 of 1 13 of 41 2 of 2 1 of 2
Mateusz Gamrot 15 of 37 40% 6 of 24 4 of 8 5 of 5 15 of 37 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Guram Kutateladze 21 of 49 42% 17 of 43 2 of 4 2 of 2 15 of 38 2 of 2 4 of 9
Mateusz Gamrot 11 of 29 37% 5 of 18 2 of 6 4 of 5 11 of 29 0 of 0 0 of 0
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 14, 2020 (4 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

Big Brady picks Gamrot as the more technical fighter with good striking defense and accuracy. He notes Kutateladze is dangerous but very hittable, and Gamrot's defense should keep him safe. He predicts a decision win for Gamrot, though he thinks the line might be a bit wide given Kutateladze's danger.

"give me a game rock to win by decision"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2020 (7 days before fight)
Mateusz Gamrot

The MMA Guru is very high on Mateusz Gamrot, citing his impressive resume in KSW against tough competition, including beating Norman Parke three times. He notes Gamrot's jiu-jitsu and grappling credentials, including competing with Gary Tonon. He expects Gamrot to win by TKO or submission in the second or third round.

tko in the second or third round
"i'll say by tko in the second or third round or in any way a finish as the fight goes on in the second and third he'll grind him down a little bit first"
Jordan Vucenic - Fight History
LOSS vs Chris Duncan
Submission R2 3:42 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jordan Vucenic 0 16 of 26 61% 22 of 32 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:12
Chris Duncan 1 15 of 40 37% 24 of 50 4 of 5 80% 1 0 5:37
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jordan Vucenic 0 1 of 3 33% 4 of 6 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Duncan 1 9 of 13 69% 16 of 21 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:55
2 Jordan Vucenic 0 15 of 23 65% 18 of 26 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:12
Chris Duncan 0 6 of 27 22% 8 of 29 3 of 4 75% 1 0 1:42
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jordan Vucenic 16 of 26 61% 13 of 21 1 of 1 2 of 4 12 of 22 2 of 2 2 of 2
Chris Duncan 15 of 40 37% 9 of 31 5 of 5 1 of 4 8 of 30 1 of 2 6 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jordan Vucenic 1 of 3 33% 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 2 1 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Duncan 9 of 13 69% 5 of 7 4 of 4 0 of 2 3 of 5 0 of 0 6 of 8
2 Jordan Vucenic 15 of 23 65% 12 of 20 1 of 1 2 of 2 11 of 19 2 of 2 2 of 2
Chris Duncan 6 of 27 22% 4 of 24 1 of 1 1 of 2 5 of 25 1 of 2 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Angelo picks Jordan Vucenic but is hesitant due to the heavy -350 odds. He acknowledges Vucenic looked good in his debut despite the loss, showing durability and danger. He worries about Chris Duncan's incredible durability and ability to come back from being beaten. He decides not to bet the fight due to the poor value.

"I am going to pick Jordan here but I I don't love these minus 350 odds and I'm not going to touch them"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Brady is high on Vucenic, praising his striking and opportunistic submission game. He thinks Vucenic has advantages everywhere: speed, durability, and grappling. He notes Chris Duncan is a walking punching bag and was submitted by Manuel Torres. Brady predicts a second-round submission.

Vucenic by submission round 2
"give me Jordan venage to win this fight by second round submission"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Vucenic. He emphasizes Vucenic's technical boxing, lead right hand, and ability to finish fights, while Duncan struggles going backwards and lacks a jab. He believes Vucenic will boss Duncan around from the start.

Vucenic opened at -367, currently -400; Duncan opened at +254, currently +344.
"It does just look like this is good. Yeah, he's just gonna get to boss. Duncan around from the get-go."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

The host thinks the line is a bit wide but expects Vucenic to put together a better body of work and win on the scorecards. He suggests the over 1.5 rounds is the best way to bet this fight.

over 1.5 rounds
"I think the over one and a half is probably the best way to win this fight for Vu Chennich or at least bet this fight."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

The Guru is confident in Jordan Vucenic, citing his speed, technical striking, and composure. He notes that Vucenic is much faster than Duncan and has reach at lightweight. He expects Vucenic to school Duncan over three rounds, winning a 30-27 decision, as Duncan is too slow and susceptible to getting caught in submissions.

decision 30-27
"I'm going with Jordan venik"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Zane picks Vucenic confidently, highlighting his improved pressure fighting, technical striking, and finishing instincts. He contrasts Duncan's lack of a range game and poor defense going backwards, predicting Vucenic will overwhelm him. He notes Vucenic's loss to Kutateladze was competitive and he has since improved.

Vucenic opened at -367, currently -400; Duncan opened at +254, currently +344. Zane is surprised the line isn't wider.
"This feels like a very good fight for vucenic. Absolutely. One of the easier picks on the card for me."
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Guram Kutateladze 0 30 of 68 44% 87 of 152 1 of 4 25% 0 0 4:05
Jordan Vucenic 1 34 of 85 40% 81 of 139 0 of 5 0% 0 0 4:32
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Guram Kutateladze 0 3 of 13 23% 16 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jordan Vucenic 1 17 of 39 43% 38 of 65 0 of 0 --- 0 0 2:06
2 Guram Kutateladze 0 19 of 42 45% 22 of 45 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:03
Jordan Vucenic 0 15 of 39 38% 26 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:52
3 Guram Kutateladze 0 8 of 13 61% 49 of 80 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:02
Jordan Vucenic 0 2 of 7 28% 17 of 23 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Guram Kutateladze 30 of 68 44% 13 of 48 13 of 16 4 of 4 15 of 50 11 of 11 4 of 7
Jordan Vucenic 34 of 85 40% 23 of 72 10 of 12 1 of 1 24 of 71 7 of 9 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Guram Kutateladze 3 of 13 23% 1 of 10 0 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 13 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jordan Vucenic 17 of 39 43% 14 of 35 3 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 34 0 of 0 3 of 5
2 Guram Kutateladze 19 of 42 45% 6 of 27 11 of 13 2 of 2 10 of 32 9 of 9 0 of 1
Jordan Vucenic 15 of 39 38% 8 of 31 6 of 7 1 of 1 9 of 31 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Guram Kutateladze 8 of 13 61% 6 of 11 2 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 2 of 2 4 of 6
Jordan Vucenic 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Angelo leans Guram because he is the more technical striker with professional kickboxing experience, but notes ring rust after a year layoff. He thinks Guram will stay outside and be cautious, not looking for a finish. He hopes Guram is a heavy favorite so he can bet on Jordan Vucenic to win inside the distance (decision no action) as a plus-money prop.

If Guram is a 3-to-1 favorite, bet Jordan Vucenic wins inside distance (decision no action) at plus money
"I'm going to lean gam... I'm hoping gam is a massive favorite so that I could grab Jordan venic wins inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Big Brady sees this as a big step up for Vucenic and a stylistic nightmare. He thinks Vucenic won't be able to take down Kutateladze or submit him, as Kutateladze is a great grappler himself. He expects Kutateladze to keep the fight standing and out-strike Vucenic over 15 minutes, winning by decision.

"I think Cuda toad is a great Grappler in his own right uh I think the wrestling is going to be in favor of kudu toades"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Cody picks Jordan Vucenic as an underdog, noting that Guram Kutateladze has cardio issues and tends to fade after the first round. He thinks Vucenic's durability and striking volume can carry him to a decision win. Cody also mentions that Vucenic is a Cage Warriors champion with good submissions and that Guram may not have improved much. He suggests live betting Vucenic after the first round.

"I might take that Underdog shot and Jordan vinich to get a spring the upset in his debut."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Daniel picks Kutateladze, citing his size and UFC experience as key factors. He notes Vucenic is a featherweight moving up and questions whether he can out-duel Kutateladze physically. He views this as a last chance for Kutateladze to prove himself and thinks he will be slightly more physical.

"I'm gonna pick guram here I think the UFC experience and the size as well can make a difference"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Vucenic is taking this fight on short notice and moving up a weight class. Kutateladze's strength and overall game should overpower him, winning on the scorecards.

"I think was heut Dead's strength and overall game overpower vuich here and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Paul picks Jordan Vucenic, noting that Guram has cardio issues and tends to blow his load early. He thinks Vucenic's striking and durability can allow him to take over in later rounds. Paul also mentions that Vucenic has good submissions and that Guram may not have improved. He acknowledges the short notice but notes that Vucenic stays close to fight weight.

"I think I'm gonna lean I want to take the cowards way and just take guram he's had the full Camp."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The MMA Guru picks Guram Kutateladze over Jordan Vucenic, despite having hyped Vucenic. He notes Vucenic is making his UFC debut on short notice up a weight class, which is not ideal. He believes Kutateladze's power and size will be too much, and that Vucenic lacks the power to keep Kutateladze honest. He also mentions Vucenic's best work is at featherweight as a taller, rangier fighter.

"I know I've been hyping up Jordan venik and he's probably going to watch this rather I can't pick you to win this one but it's gam kedi in your debut on short notice up a weight class it's not …"
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Angelo leans Guram because he is the more technical striker with professional kickboxing experience, but notes ring rust after a year layoff. He thinks Guram will stay outside and be cautious, not looking for a finish. He hopes Guram is a heavy favorite so he can bet on Jordan Vucenic to win inside the distance (decision no action) as a plus-money prop.

If Guram is a 3-to-1 favorite, bet Jordan Vucenic wins inside distance (decision no action) at plus money
"I'm going to lean gam... I'm hoping gam is a massive favorite so that I could grab Jordan venic wins inside the distance decision no action"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Big Brady sees this as a big step up for Vucenic and a stylistic nightmare. He thinks Vucenic won't be able to take down Kutateladze or submit him, as Kutateladze is a great grappler himself. He expects Kutateladze to keep the fight standing and out-strike Vucenic over 15 minutes, winning by decision.

"I think Cuda toad is a great Grappler in his own right uh I think the wrestling is going to be in favor of kudu toades"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Cody picks Jordan Vucenic as an underdog, noting that Guram Kutateladze has cardio issues and tends to fade after the first round. He thinks Vucenic's durability and striking volume can carry him to a decision win. Cody also mentions that Vucenic is a Cage Warriors champion with good submissions and that Guram may not have improved much. He suggests live betting Vucenic after the first round.

"I might take that Underdog shot and Jordan vinich to get a spring the upset in his debut."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Daniel picks Kutateladze, citing his size and UFC experience as key factors. He notes Vucenic is a featherweight moving up and questions whether he can out-duel Kutateladze physically. He views this as a last chance for Kutateladze to prove himself and thinks he will be slightly more physical.

"I'm gonna pick guram here I think the UFC experience and the size as well can make a difference"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

Vucenic is taking this fight on short notice and moving up a weight class. Kutateladze's strength and overall game should overpower him, winning on the scorecards.

"I think was heut Dead's strength and overall game overpower vuich here and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jordan Vucenic

Paul picks Jordan Vucenic, noting that Guram has cardio issues and tends to blow his load early. He thinks Vucenic's striking and durability can allow him to take over in later rounds. Paul also mentions that Vucenic has good submissions and that Guram may not have improved. He acknowledges the short notice but notes that Vucenic stays close to fight weight.

"I think I'm gonna lean I want to take the cowards way and just take guram he's had the full Camp."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Guram Kutateladze

The MMA Guru picks Guram Kutateladze over Jordan Vucenic, despite having hyped Vucenic. He notes Vucenic is making his UFC debut on short notice up a weight class, which is not ideal. He believes Kutateladze's power and size will be too much, and that Vucenic lacks the power to keep Kutateladze honest. He also mentions Vucenic's best work is at featherweight as a taller, rangier fighter.

"I know I've been hyping up Jordan venik and he's probably going to watch this rather I can't pick you to win this one but it's gam kedi in your debut on short notice up a weight class it's not looking good bro"