Career Averages - Kauê Fernandes
Career Averages - Mohammad Yahya
Kauê Fernandes
Mohammad Yahya
Kauê Fernandes - Fight History
Angelo picks Kauê Fernandes confidently, criticizing the hype around Ziam. He believes Fernandes' aggression, grappling, and well-rounded skills will be too much for Ziam's point-fighting style. He notes that Ziam's wins are not as impressive as they seem. He plans to bet on Fernandes via a +3.5 round handicap when available, as he only needs Fernandes to win one round for that bet to cash.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Hardwick | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 1 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 24 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harry Hardwick | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 1 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 24 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Hardwick | 8 of 23 | 34% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 24 of 40 | 60% | 11 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 12 | 24 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harry Hardwick | 8 of 23 | 34% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 24 of 40 | 60% | 11 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 12 | 24 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Kauê Fernandes, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He acknowledges Hardwick is taking the fight on short notice and moving up in weight. He believes Fernandes will win the first two rounds and possibly slow in the third, predicting a decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guram Kutateladze | 0 | 29 of 71 | 40% | 36 of 81 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 2 | 79 of 149 | 53% | 79 of 149 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guram Kutateladze | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 7 of 21 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 26 of 50 | 52% | 26 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Guram Kutateladze | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 30 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 | |
| 3 | Guram Kutateladze | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 19 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 1 | 23 of 46 | 50% | 23 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guram Kutateladze | 29 of 71 | 40% | 16 of 51 | 10 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 23 of 64 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 79 of 149 | 53% | 40 of 103 | 16 of 19 | 23 of 27 | 62 of 127 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guram Kutateladze | 7 of 21 | 33% | 3 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 26 of 50 | 52% | 14 of 34 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 10 | 26 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Guram Kutateladze | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 30 of 53 | 56% | 15 of 37 | 7 of 7 | 8 of 9 | 17 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 14 | |
| 3 | Guram Kutateladze | 13 of 29 | 44% | 7 of 19 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 23 of 46 | 50% | 11 of 32 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 8 | 19 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo picks Kauê Fernandes as a 3-to-1 underdog, citing Guram Kutateladze's declining chin and recent struggles. He notes Guram was dropped in his last fight and is not the same prospect he once was. Angelo believes Kauê's forward pressure and power will be too much, though he is not betting the moneyline due to the long odds. He considers prop bets like inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds instead.
Brady sees Guram as a big favorite and expects him to take over as the fight goes on. He notes that Kauê has terrible cardio and takedown defense, so Guram can mix in takedowns and win minutes. Brady predicts a competitive early round but Guram pulling away and winning by decision.
The host believes Kutateladze's Muay Thai and wrestling will nullify most of Fernandes's offense, leading to a decision victory. He emphasizes Kutateladze's overall game and ability to control the fight.
The Guru leans towards Guram Kutateladze, citing him as the more well-rounded and technical fighter. He notes that Kauê Fernandes has a good finish over Muhammad Yaya but considers Yaya a low-level opponent. He believes Guram's recent loss to Elves Brener was competitive and that Guram was winning until he faded. He expects the fight to go to a decision or late finish, with Guram winning 2-1 on rounds.
Angelo leans towards Kauê Fernandes as an underdog, arguing that the odds are too wide. He notes that Jared Gordon's only real path to victory is wrestling, and Fernandes has solid takedown defense (62%) and dangerous striking. He worries about Fernandes' takedown defense but thinks Fernandes can win if he uses leg kicks to take away Gordon's wrestling.
The MMA Guru picks Jared Gordon to win by finish in the second or third round. He heavily criticizes Kauê Fernandes' competition level, noting his opponents have poor records and he has not fought anyone decent. He believes Gordon's well-rounded skills and consistency will overwhelm Fernandes, who likely needs an early finish to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 1 | 37 of 63 | 58% | 37 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 1 | 37 of 63 | 58% | 37 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 18 | 22% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 37 of 63 | 58% | 21 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 18 | 22% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 37 of 63 | 58% | 21 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
Angelo is very confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya terrible and noting he falls over for no reason. He thinks Fernandes is better everywhere and should win a straightforward decision due to Yahya's toughness. He made the pick without much tape study.
Big Brady is confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya's performance against Trevor Peak one of the worst he's ever seen. He thinks Yahya is not UFC level, while Fernandes has solid striking, power, and a sneaky submission game. He predicts Fernandes wins by first-round knockout, noting the line is steep but the pick is clear.
Cody picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was outwrestled by Trevor Peek and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Fernandes can keep the fight standing and use his superior striking. However, Cody worries about Fernandes's cardio and notes that if he doesn't finish early, Yahya could take over. He also mentions that Yahya is the hometown fighter and could get a favorable decision.
Daniel leans towards Fernandes, viewing him as a better version of Yahya with more physicality and experience. However, he is not confident enough to lay -400 on an unproven fighter, so he calls it a pass but gives a lean.
Yahya can grind out Fernandes, who has been grinded out in past fights and spends too much time on his back. At +340, Yahya is worth a sprinkle to win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was dominated by Trevor Peek and has poor wrestling. He thinks Fernandes can implement a similar game plan and possibly find a submission. Paul acknowledges Fernandes's cardio issues but believes he can win early. He also mentions that the line is wide but Fernandes is the better striker.
The MMA Guru picks Kauê Fernandes over Mohammad Yahya, despite Yahya being the local Abu Dhabi fighter. He thinks Fernandes is more technical and composed, and can take advantage of Yahya's sloppy style. He notes Yahya got bruised up by Trevor Peek and that Fernandes is sharper. He mentions the split decision loss to Mark O. Madsen as a good sign.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Diakiese | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 67 of 92 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 65 of 92 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 1 | 8:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc Diakiese | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 17 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:33 | |
| 2 | Marc Diakiese | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 16 of 29 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:50 | |
| 3 | Marc Diakiese | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 30 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 35 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Diakiese | 23 of 42 | 54% | 6 of 20 | 8 of 13 | 9 of 9 | 21 of 38 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 13 of 32 | 40% | 11 of 26 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 18 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc Diakiese | 6 of 13 | 46% | 2 of 6 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | Marc Diakiese | 10 of 19 | 52% | 2 of 9 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marc Diakiese | 7 of 10 | 70% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 5 of 10 | 50% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 5 |
Angelo leans towards Fernandes despite Diakiese's experience and competition edge. He believes Fernandes can defend takedowns and will stay in Diakiese's face with striking, causing trouble. He notes Diakiese has become more of a wrestler lately, but his wrestling is decent at best, while Fernandes has solid takedown defense. Angelo placed a small underdog bet on Fernandes at +145, noting the line is tightening.
Big Brady picks Marc Diakiese to win by decision. He notes that Diakiese has evolved into a wrestler, with 11 takedowns against Slava Borshchev and 8 against Damir Hadzovic. He trusts Diakiese's cardio and fight IQ, and believes Fernandes is dangerous early but fades. He also mentions that Diakiese's submission loss to Joel Alvarez was due to a head clash.
Daniel Levi picks Marc Diakiese, citing his UFC experience, improved cardio, and well-rounded game. He notes that Diakiese has evolved from a dynamic striker to a more complete fighter who uses offensive wrestling. Levi acknowledges Diakiese's inconsistency and tendency to flake, but believes this is a step down in competition. He sees Fernandes as dangerous early with his BJJ and head kicks, but expects Diakiese's cardio and wrestling to take over in later rounds. Levi is leaning Diakiese but not with high confidence.
James acknowledges that Diakiese deserves to be a favorite but sees too much danger on the Fernandes side due to his unproven UFC debut and potential cardio issues. He notes that Diakiese has been submitted multiple times and that Fernandes has speed and power, but he also points out that Fernandes gassed in his last extended fight. Ultimately, James is not betting this fight because he cannot trust either fighter, but he leans Diakiese as the rightful favorite.
Diakiese has a solid submission defense to thwart Fernandes' offensive attacks on the mat. As the fight goes into deeper waters, Diakiese will find it easier to control Fernandes on the mat and do good work from top position. Diakiese is good enough in the striking realm to deal with Fernandes' early threat, and will likely drag the fight to the ground and grind out a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Marc Diakiese over Kauê Fernandes. He notes that Fernandes is a good regional fighter with finishing potential, but he gassed after the first round when facing adversity. Diakiese is tough to finish early, having only lost to Joel Alvarez due to a head clash. The Guru expects Diakiese to weather an early storm and then take over in the later rounds via grappling, predicting a third-round TKO or submission.
Mohammad Yahya - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 57 of 151 | 37% | 60 of 154 | 0 of 4 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Steven Nguyen | 6 | 92 of 174 | 52% | 108 of 194 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 2:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 33 of 86 | 38% | 33 of 86 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Steven Nguyen | 5 | 59 of 112 | 52% | 65 of 120 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:53 | |
| 2 | Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 24 of 65 | 36% | 27 of 68 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:02 |
| Steven Nguyen | 1 | 33 of 62 | 53% | 43 of 74 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:50 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammad Yahya | 57 of 151 | 37% | 41 of 126 | 14 of 21 | 2 of 4 | 57 of 151 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 92 of 174 | 52% | 76 of 156 | 4 of 4 | 12 of 14 | 50 of 111 | 7 of 7 | 35 of 56 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mohammad Yahya | 33 of 86 | 38% | 22 of 69 | 9 of 13 | 2 of 4 | 33 of 86 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 59 of 112 | 52% | 47 of 98 | 2 of 2 | 10 of 12 | 35 of 70 | 4 of 4 | 20 of 38 | |
| 2 | Mohammad Yahya | 24 of 65 | 36% | 19 of 57 | 5 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 24 of 65 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Steven Nguyen | 33 of 62 | 53% | 29 of 58 | 2 of 2 | 2 of 2 | 15 of 41 | 3 of 3 | 15 of 18 |
Angelo picks Steven Nguyen confidently, calling Mohammad Yahya a fighter who doesn't belong in the UFC. He notes Nguyen's well-rounded skills, heavy hands, slick submissions, and composed striking. He expects a decision but hopes for an over 1.5 rounds line to bet the over, as Yahya is tough enough to take a beating for a while.
Big Brady picks Steven Nguyen by default, calling Muhammad Yahya one of the worst fighters in the UFC. He notes Nguyen is not great but has solid volume, wrestling, and cardio, while Yahya has no power, volume, or grappling. He expects Nguyen to finish Yahya in the later rounds, predicting a third-round knockout.
Both fighters have left a lot to be desired in recent fights, but Nguyen is expected to stop the takedowns of Yahya and pick him apart on the feet, winning on the scorecards.
The MMA Guru picks Steven Nguyen over Mohammad Yahya, calling Yahya 'dog [__]' and suggesting he was only signed because he's from Abu Dhabi. He notes Nguyen's well-roundedness and lack of clear weaknesses, while Yahya has been beaten badly in his UFC fights. He predicts a 30-27 decision win for Nguyen, outclassing Yahya in every round.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 1 | 37 of 63 | 58% | 37 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 1 | 37 of 63 | 58% | 37 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 18 | 22% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 37 of 63 | 58% | 21 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 18 | 22% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 37 of 63 | 58% | 21 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
Angelo is very confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya terrible and noting he falls over for no reason. He thinks Fernandes is better everywhere and should win a straightforward decision due to Yahya's toughness. He made the pick without much tape study.
Big Brady is confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya's performance against Trevor Peak one of the worst he's ever seen. He thinks Yahya is not UFC level, while Fernandes has solid striking, power, and a sneaky submission game. He predicts Fernandes wins by first-round knockout, noting the line is steep but the pick is clear.
Cody picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was outwrestled by Trevor Peek and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Fernandes can keep the fight standing and use his superior striking. However, Cody worries about Fernandes's cardio and notes that if he doesn't finish early, Yahya could take over. He also mentions that Yahya is the hometown fighter and could get a favorable decision.
Daniel leans towards Fernandes, viewing him as a better version of Yahya with more physicality and experience. However, he is not confident enough to lay -400 on an unproven fighter, so he calls it a pass but gives a lean.
Yahya can grind out Fernandes, who has been grinded out in past fights and spends too much time on his back. At +340, Yahya is worth a sprinkle to win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was dominated by Trevor Peek and has poor wrestling. He thinks Fernandes can implement a similar game plan and possibly find a submission. Paul acknowledges Fernandes's cardio issues but believes he can win early. He also mentions that the line is wide but Fernandes is the better striker.
The MMA Guru picks Kauê Fernandes over Mohammad Yahya, despite Yahya being the local Abu Dhabi fighter. He thinks Fernandes is more technical and composed, and can take advantage of Yahya's sloppy style. He notes Yahya got bruised up by Trevor Peek and that Fernandes is sharper. He mentions the split decision loss to Mark O. Madsen as a good sign.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 0 | 43 of 92 | 46% | 47 of 96 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:24 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 61 of 97 | 62% | 83 of 123 | 4 of 7 | 57% | 0 | 0 | 5:10 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 8 of 13 | 61% | 12 of 17 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 0:18 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 16 of 25 | 64% | 25 of 34 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 2:13 | |
| 2 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 21 of 46 | 45% | 21 of 46 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 23 of 39 | 58% | 23 of 39 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 | |
| 3 | Trevor Peek | 0 | 14 of 33 | 42% | 14 of 33 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 0 | 22 of 33 | 66% | 35 of 50 | 3 of 4 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 2:44 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Peek | 43 of 92 | 46% | 28 of 70 | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 41 of 90 | 2 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 61 of 97 | 62% | 32 of 61 | 16 of 23 | 13 of 13 | 50 of 83 | 6 of 9 | 5 of 5 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trevor Peek | 8 of 13 | 61% | 5 of 10 | 2 of 2 | 1 of 1 | 8 of 13 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 16 of 25 | 64% | 6 of 13 | 4 of 6 | 6 of 6 | 13 of 20 | 1 of 3 | 2 of 2 | |
| 2 | Trevor Peek | 21 of 46 | 45% | 16 of 35 | 5 of 11 | 0 of 0 | 20 of 45 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 23 of 39 | 58% | 12 of 26 | 6 of 8 | 5 of 5 | 21 of 36 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Trevor Peek | 14 of 33 | 42% | 7 of 25 | 7 of 8 | 0 of 0 | 13 of 32 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 22 of 33 | 66% | 14 of 22 | 6 of 9 | 2 of 2 | 16 of 27 | 3 of 3 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo picks Trevor Peek after initially wanting to bet on Yahya. He notes Yahya gets hit too often and doesn't wrestle well, while Peek has a granite chin and relentless pressure. He thinks Peek's toughness and forward pressure will be enough to win, even though Peek is not very skilled.
Big Brady picks Trevor Peek to win by first round knockout. He describes Peek as a wild, durable brawler with incredible toughness and cardio, while Yahya is just okay and has been finished in all three of his losses. Brady expects Peek to set a pace Yahya cannot handle and win a chaotic brawl. He also likes the prop of Peek over 77.5 fantasy score on PrizePicks.
Cody picks Peek, emphasizing his toughness and power. He notes that Yahya is a one-dimensional striker with no grappling, and that Peek's pressure will eventually land. Cody expects a KO, possibly in the second round after Yahya tires.
Daniel picks Trevor Peek to win, describing him as an elite brawler with durability and power. He notes that Mohammad Yahya has been dropped by lower-level competition and thinks Peek's firepower will be too much. He acknowledges that Peek can fade and is not technically sound, but believes Peek's durability and brawling style will prevail. He also mentions the possibility of hometown judging but thinks a finish would negate that.
Yahya is hittable and leaves his chin on the center line, which plays into Peek's power. Peek is durable and has better grappling defense than expected. Expects Peek to land big shots and find a knockout within the first two rounds. However, he feels queasy playing Peek at short odds due to his skill shortage.
Paul picks Peek, noting that Yahya is a local fighter with limited skills and poor grappling. He believes Peek's pressure, durability, and power will overwhelm Yahya, who has a weak chin and no plan B. Paul expects a KO finish, likely in the first two rounds.
The MMA Guru picks Trevor Peek by first-round KO. He was initially leaning towards Yahya but was unimpressed by Yahya's regional fight where he was dropped and outgrappled. He trusts Peek's chin and believes the fight will be a sloppy brawl that favors Peek. He notes Peek has good takedown defense and Yahya's grappling isn't good enough to win.
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo is very confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya terrible and noting he falls over for no reason. He thinks Fernandes is better everywhere and should win a straightforward decision due to Yahya's toughness. He made the pick without much tape study.
Big Brady is confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya's performance against Trevor Peak one of the worst he's ever seen. He thinks Yahya is not UFC level, while Fernandes has solid striking, power, and a sneaky submission game. He predicts Fernandes wins by first-round knockout, noting the line is steep but the pick is clear.
Cody picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was outwrestled by Trevor Peek and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Fernandes can keep the fight standing and use his superior striking. However, Cody worries about Fernandes's cardio and notes that if he doesn't finish early, Yahya could take over. He also mentions that Yahya is the hometown fighter and could get a favorable decision.
Daniel leans towards Fernandes, viewing him as a better version of Yahya with more physicality and experience. However, he is not confident enough to lay -400 on an unproven fighter, so he calls it a pass but gives a lean.
Yahya can grind out Fernandes, who has been grinded out in past fights and spends too much time on his back. At +340, Yahya is worth a sprinkle to win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was dominated by Trevor Peek and has poor wrestling. He thinks Fernandes can implement a similar game plan and possibly find a submission. Paul acknowledges Fernandes's cardio issues but believes he can win early. He also mentions that the line is wide but Fernandes is the better striker.
The MMA Guru picks Kauê Fernandes over Mohammad Yahya, despite Yahya being the local Abu Dhabi fighter. He thinks Fernandes is more technical and composed, and can take advantage of Yahya's sloppy style. He notes Yahya got bruised up by Trevor Peek and that Fernandes is sharper. He mentions the split decision loss to Mark O. Madsen as a good sign.
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