vs
-110 +105
UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024 · Lightweight · Completed
Prev Fight UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov Next Fight
Age 38
Height 6' 1"
Reach 77.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 29
Height 5' 11"
Reach 74.0"
Weight 155 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Jai Herbert
3.07 SLpM
40.0% Str. Acc.
3.26 SApM
53.0% Str. Def.
0.43 TD Avg
21.0% TD Acc.
66.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Rolando Bedoya
6.23 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
5.5 SApM
52.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
75.0% TD Def.
0.2 Sub. Avg
Jai Herbert
Moneyline
Caesars -110
KO/TKO
FanDuel +500
Submission
FanDuel +1400
Decision
BetRivers +180
Rolando Bedoya
Moneyline
BetWay +105
KO/TKO
BetWay +450
Submission
BetRivers +1000
Decision
FanDuel +300
Jai Herbert - Fight History
WIN vs Mandel Nallo
KO R1 2:05 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · Apr 18, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mandel Nallo 1 16 of 31 51% 16 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Jai Herbert 2 19 of 28 67% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mandel Nallo 1 16 of 31 51% 16 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:10
Jai Herbert 2 19 of 28 67% 30 of 43 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:27
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mandel Nallo 16 of 31 51% 13 of 28 1 of 1 2 of 2 15 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 19 of 28 67% 18 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 14 0 of 1 12 of 13
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mandel Nallo 16 of 31 51% 13 of 28 1 of 1 2 of 2 15 of 30 1 of 1 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 19 of 28 67% 18 of 27 0 of 0 1 of 1 7 of 14 0 of 1 12 of 13
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Mandel Nallo
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Nallo (-180); Herbert (+150)

Round 1
A youthful 36 years of age, lightweight finisher Nallo (19-5, 1 NC; 0-0 UFC) finally reached the top echelon of the sport after wallowing in the ranks of Bellator with seemingly little to show for it. To succeed in his UFC debut, he will have to get through “The Black Country Banger” Herbert (13-6-1, 3-5-1 UFC) and his iron fists. Before those fists meet faces, they are bumped together ceremoniously to kick off the bout.
Jason Herzog will be the referee for the promotional debut of “Rat Garbage.” That is his nickname, no matter if he calls himself “Mango” now. It does not take long for Nallo to get Herbert’s attention, kicking him in the face. Herbert stumbles and tries to fire back, but the high kick is finding the dome of the Brit cleanly. Nallo blasts Herbert with another and knocks him back to the wall, nearly dropping him with a clean right hand behind the ear. Herbert takes the punches on the chin and somehow steels himself to swing back with everything he has. He catches Nallo with a thunderous right hand, and shockingly puts Nallo on his seat. Herbert beats down his opponent with hammerfists as Herzog is about to step in, but Nallo rolls for a leglock to show he is still with it and manages to fight his way back to his feet. When Herbert separates and lands again, Nallo’s legs are still not beneath him. Herbert walks Nallo down and drills him with a right hand, resulting in Nallo raising his eyebrow at him.
Nallo goes after a body kick, and three crisp punches from Herbert knock him back down again. Nallo turns to his side in hopes of defending himself, but this time as an onslaught of fists relentlessly rain down, Herzog has no choice but to wave things off while Nallo’s mouth sprays blood from the oncoming fire.
Nallo lays on his back and screams a disappointed profanity, but he is fine with the stoppage and nods to Herzog that he is ultimately ok—or will be soon enough. The Canadian crowd, seeing their athlete getting smoked, does not appear upset as the few minutes of their battle was that thrilling and engaging.

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Mandel Nallo R1 2:05 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Angelo picks Mandel Nallo, citing his diverse striking, kicks, and finishing ability. He criticizes Jai Herbert for hesitating and not throwing enough, noting his only notable moment was almost knocking out Ilia Topuria. He believes Mandel's counter-striking and grappling will secure the win.

"Mandel has incredible kicks, great counter-striking. I see Mandel controlling the striking, getting the win."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Big Brady confidently picks Mandel Nallo, criticizing Jai Herbert's boring, point-fighting style and lack of chin. He notes Nallo has 14 wins, all under 1.5 rounds, and expects a first-round knockout. Brady expresses hope that Herbert gets cut after the fight.

first round knockout
"Give me Manel Nalo to take off the head cleanly of Jai Herbert, and hopefully Jai Herbert gets the hell out of the UFC."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Cody picks Mandel Nallo, citing his higher volume and better ground game compared to Jai Herbert's low output. He notes that Herbert tends to fade and that Nallo has been training with high-level fighters. He also likes the under 2.5 rounds prop.

under 2.5 rounds
"I think Manuel Nolo gets it gets the job done, gets the victory."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Daniel is impressed by Nallo's striking and believes Herbert's chin is questionable. He thinks Nallo's power will be too much for Herbert, despite Nallo's history of fading in longer fights. He predicts a devastating knockout win for Nallo.

"I'm going to pick Nala to win his UFC debut by devastating knockout."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Apr 18, 2026 (fight day)

Nallo is a complete unknown after three years away; his last fights were low-level. Herbert is more experienced but chinny. No strong opinion; if forced, lean Herbert due to value. Not betting this fight.

"I'm not going to be betting this fight this weekend cuz he is a big unknown."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Apr 12, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

James picks Mandel Nallo to win via knockout in round one. He believes Nallo's funky striking and early power will be too much for Jai Herbert, who has chin issues. If the fight goes past round one, he leans Herbert, but he expects an early finish.

"I pick Mandalo to win this fight via KO. I think he's just going to try and land a knockout early and I'm actually going to predict him to do it here."
LU
Lucrative James Expert picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)

The host mentions Mandel Nallo getting a big stage but does not make a pick for the fight.

"They're giving Mandel Nallo a massive stage to get a big highlight knockout over UFC veteran Jai Herbert in the main card as well."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Apr 14, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

The host is surprised by the love on Nallo but thinks he has more paths to victory, including power striking and a BJJ black belt. He expects Nallo to land a big shot and put Herbert away, but thinks the fight will be closer than the odds indicate. He would stay off the fight unless Nallo's line drops to around -125.

"I'm going to go Nallo. I think he eventually lands that big shot and puts Herbert away. But I think it plays out a little bit closer than the odds are indicating as of now."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Apr 15, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Mandel Nallo

Paul leans towards Mandel Nallo but prefers the under 2.5 rounds prop. He notes that Nallo is a finisher and that Herbert's fights often go to decision, but this matchup might end inside the distance.

under 2.5 rounds
"My preferred play in this fight is the under two and a half. Um, rather than a side, but N is the pick for the purposes of this program."
LOSS vs Chris Padilla
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · Mar 22, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 38 of 122 31% 59 of 143 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Chris Padilla 0 39 of 98 39% 88 of 147 0 of 6 0% 0 0 3:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 3 of 16 18% 17 of 30 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Padilla 0 9 of 24 37% 29 of 44 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:51
2 Jai Herbert 0 7 of 42 16% 12 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:01
Chris Padilla 0 13 of 32 40% 32 of 51 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:34
3 Jai Herbert 0 28 of 64 43% 30 of 66 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Chris Padilla 0 17 of 42 40% 27 of 52 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:16
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 38 of 122 31% 19 of 92 10 of 19 9 of 11 37 of 120 1 of 2 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 39 of 98 39% 20 of 60 6 of 9 13 of 29 35 of 94 4 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 3 of 16 18% 0 of 9 1 of 5 2 of 2 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 9 of 24 37% 3 of 11 1 of 2 5 of 11 9 of 24 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Jai Herbert 7 of 42 16% 4 of 33 0 of 5 3 of 4 7 of 41 0 of 1 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 13 of 32 40% 6 of 17 3 of 4 4 of 11 11 of 30 2 of 2 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 28 of 64 43% 15 of 50 9 of 9 4 of 5 27 of 63 1 of 1 0 of 0
Chris Padilla 17 of 42 40% 11 of 32 2 of 3 4 of 7 15 of 40 2 of 2 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Herbert (-125), Padilla (+105)

Round 1
Lukasz Bosacki will ref this featured preliminary bout at lightweight. It’s a very deliberate opening minute. Padilla lands a right over the top during an initial exchange. Halfway through the round and not much in the way of offense has landed. A Herbert kick hits Padilla’s forearm. A kick from Herbert lands below the belt, but Padilla doesn’t need a pause. A front kick finds the range for Herbert. Padilla shoots for a takedown and pushes Herbet into the fence. Padilla with some knees to the thighs late in the round. Padilla keeps the position, landing periodic knees until the end of the round.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Padilla

Round 2
Herbert probes with a front kick. A Herbert head kick partially lands as Padilla throws a body kick at the same time. Padilla steps in with a body kick. Once again, offense is coming at a premium. Padilla sticks a jab. Padilla grabs a body lock after an ill-advised spinning kick by Herbert. Padilla has underhooks against the fence and he’s content to grind away her. Herbert tries for a hip toss, and while it doesn’t work, it gets the fight to the center of the cage. Herbert pumps out his jab and Padilla claims his eyes are poked, but there’s no stop in the fight. Herbert steps in with a right. An inside leg kick lans for the Brit, but Padilla shoves his foe into the cage. Padilla with some short punches and knees in close. Herbert lands a knee as they separate, but he can’t find the range on anything else before the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Padilla
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Padilla

Round 3
Herbert opens with a pair of inside low kicks. A right over the top gets through for Padilla. Herbert threatens with a leaping knee but Padilla sidesteps without issue. Padilla shoots after a Herbert low kick and pushes his adversary into the fence. Padilla lands a short elbow on the break. Herbert lands a 1-2 as he stalks his foe. Herbert has picked up his volume this round, which isn’t saying much. Herbert pressures and is putting some straight punches together. Padilla lands a body kick. Padilla changes levels and secures a body lock. Herbert defends the takedown against the fence, briefly threatening with a guillotine. Herbert lands a knee in the clinch as Padilla drops low for a takedown. Herbert revreses and sperarates. Herbert follows a jab with a knee. The Englishman is doing better mixing in punches and knees, but Padilla, who was busted open at some point during the round, stumbles his foe with an overhand right on the temple during an exchange. Herbert doesn’t seem any worse for wear, though, as he keeps the pressure on. They trade leg kicks as time expires.

Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Padilla)
Ben Duffy scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Padilla)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Padilla)

The Official Result
Chris Padilla def. Jai Herbert via Split Decision (29-28, 28-29, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Angelo picks Chris Padilla, calling Jai Herbert overrated and noting his mediocre takedown defense. He believes Padilla's pressure, durability, and explosiveness will be key. He hopes Padilla wrestles more in this fight. He mentions the line is moving and he's picking Padilla while he's still a slight underdog.

"I keep picking Chris Pilla here... I'm picking him now while he's a slight Underdog"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 18, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

Brady sees Padilla as a live dog who has improved a lot. He notes Herbert is hesitant and low-volume now, and Padilla has finishing upside with grappling and durability. Brady predicts a close decision win for Padilla, possibly with big moments and takedowns.

Padilla by decision
"give me taba to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by a very close decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 20, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The host disagrees with the betting public moving towards Padilla. He believes Herbert is a cleaner striker with improved striking defense and durability, allowing him to operate at distance and win on the scorecards.

"I think Herbert is a cleaner striker and I think we've been seeing an improvement in his striking defense and durability as of late."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lean picked Mar 19, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Chris Padilla

The Guru leans towards Chris Padilla as a slight underdog, citing his finishing streak and ability to get to dominant positions. He notes that Jai Herbert often has close decisions and may be nearing the end of his career at 36. He believes Padilla's dynamism and finishing potential will be the difference, and that Herbert's tendency to let fights get away will cost him.

"I'm going to take a slight Underdog of Chris Padilla to be honest with you"
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 1 82 of 178 46% 89 of 185 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:33
Rolando Bedoya 0 67 of 199 33% 71 of 206 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 1 16 of 34 47% 17 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Rolando Bedoya 0 21 of 58 36% 22 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Jai Herbert 0 29 of 60 48% 29 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rolando Bedoya 0 30 of 78 38% 30 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Jai Herbert 0 37 of 84 44% 43 of 90 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:27
Rolando Bedoya 0 16 of 63 25% 19 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 82 of 178 46% 47 of 132 27 of 36 8 of 10 79 of 173 3 of 4 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 67 of 199 33% 29 of 134 10 of 23 28 of 42 64 of 192 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 16 of 34 47% 7 of 24 8 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 21 of 58 36% 4 of 27 3 of 10 14 of 21 21 of 55 0 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jai Herbert 29 of 60 48% 16 of 38 11 of 18 2 of 4 28 of 58 1 of 2 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 30 of 78 38% 12 of 51 7 of 11 11 of 16 27 of 74 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 37 of 84 44% 24 of 70 8 of 9 5 of 5 37 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 16 of 63 25% 13 of 56 0 of 2 3 of 5 16 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rolando Bedoya vs. Jai Herbert
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Herbert (-155), Bedoya (+130)

Round 1
Like the last pairing, these two combatants have their backs against the wall here. Winner of just two of his seven UFC outings, Herbert (12-5-1, 2-4-1 UFC) needs to get his hand raised today, but the same can be said for Chute Boxe’s Bedoya (14-3, 0-2 UFC), who wants the third time to be a charm. Something’s gotta give between these lightweights, and referee Lukasz Bosacki will be the first to know. There is a quick glove touch between the two, and Bedoya takes to the center of the cage pushing out a front kick and a body kick to find his range. Bedoya lands with a low kick as he bounces from stance to stance, keeping Herbert guessing early. Herbert paws out a jab that is at least two feet away, and Bedoya pitches a few kicks his way. Herbert gets one leg kick back, and he counters a leg kick with a jab to the body as the kick bounces into his cup. Herbert adjusts his athletic supporter and does not need a pause, and Bedoya takes a moment before drilling him in the face with an overhand right. Bedoya remains busy with low kicks, and Herbert looks for overhand right counters. One lands perfectly, briefly short-circuiting “The Machine,” who drops to a knee. Bedoya is able to get his bearings before Herbert can finish the job, and he works his way upright but is still not totally clear. Herbert pins a one-two on the jaw, forcing the Peruvian to tie him up against the fencing. Herbert gets off a pair of knees and escapes from the clinch, and he puts out a front kick that slaps off the chest of his opponent. Herbert slips from side to side, a cut suddenly developed under his right eye, and Bedoya walks him down throwing hands. Herbert replies with a big knee that is caught, and Bedoya slugs him backwards. Bedoya leaps in with a right hand that misses, and a leg kick does connect. Bedoya goes for another low kick that is not accurate, and he has a winging right hand ricochet off the shoulder. Herbert just misses on a counter right, and he takes two low kicks from the Chute Boxe Diego Lima fighter. Bedoya jams more kicks on the front leg, and Herbert replies with a combination ending with a stiff body kick. Bedoya does not slow kicking the front leg of the Brit, with it glowing red, but he eats another power right hand before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
Any bleeding beneath Herbert’s right eye is ceased between rounds, but some serious swelling has developed. Bedoya is quick to target that damage, going after straight left hands and following them with leg kicks. Bedoya gets off a right hook and a left on the eye socket, and he parries a body kick and skirts away. Bedoya loads up on power punches as Herbert tries to keep him at bay with a push kick, resulting in some damage on the Brit’s nose. Bedoya gives chase with a few lunging kicks, and he snaps the head back with a right hand when Bedoya gets careless. Bedoya gets excited and wants to brawl, and Herbert clips him two more times when Bedoya comes at him. Herbert gets caught with a right hand as Bedoya corners him, but he manages to pay him back. As Bedoya rushes at him, they tie up, and he knees Herbert square in the groin. Bosacki calls time and warns Bedoya for the foul, and gives Herbert 30 seconds to recover before Herbert is good to go. Herbert is active at the restart with jabs and front kicks, and Bedoya responds with similar strikes and some to the front leg. Herbert uses a number of jabs to catch Bedoya coming at him with his hands down, and he kicks the ribs and just misses with a high kick. Bedoya strides towards him, belts him with an elbow and escapes. Bedoya kicks at the same time as his opponent, but Herbert doubles up on the body kick. Herbert quadruples his jab and dances away from a looping punch, although he does absorb a low kick. Herbert gets a sneaky left hook in when Bedoya is bearing down on him, and Bedoya tanks it and swings back with reckless abandon. Bedoya assaults the front leg and kicks the body, and they trade heavy punches. Herbert backs him off with a thudding knee, and he ducks the swarming punches when Bedoya approaches him again. Herbert zings a right hand that catches Bedoya flush, and a second stuns Bedoya for a moment. Herbert drills the front leg and rips a left to the ribs, and Bedoya replies with a heavy low kick. They clash together, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 3
The fighters pick up right where they left off, trading strikes from kickboxing range. Bedoya is a bit more reckless than before, swinging just a little harder and slower. Herbert is accurate and quick, beating Bedoya to the punch and mixing things up to throw Bedoya to the mat. The Peruvian springs back up without issue and looks for a trip and throw, only for Herbert to thwart it in part due to a fence grab. Herbert counters with a throw, and Bedoya pulls himself back to his feet by grabbing the fence too—offsetting fouls, but a not particularly thrilled Bosacki. They resume striking, with Herbert jabbing his way into twos, and Bedoya gets his chin checked a few times but is able to take them cleanly. Herbert’s boxing remains crisp, and he mixes in body kicks and slides away from counters. Bedoya reaches him with a low kick, and Herbert doubles up on it and backs off with a right hand. Herbert stumbles, but that might be more due to an awkward step on the edge of the cage, and he recovers. Bedoya closes in on him and tries to take advantage of the moment, but Herbert gets out of danger. Bedoya slips several punches but walks into jabs, and Herbert scoots away from him and again takes a funny step. Bedoya clips Herbert with a right hand, and he lands it again after absorbing a jab. Herbert steps in with a knee, and he chops at the front leg. Bedoya walks him down consistently, keeping his guard up to block a pair of punches. Bedoya connects with a low kick, eats a knee and comes back with a right hand. Bedoya attempts to check a kick and eats a few punches for his effort. Herbert gets in a few punches, and Bedoya goes wide with responsive strikes. Bedoya loads up on a right hand that is easily dodged, and he gets blasted with a right hand but wears it shockingly well. Bedoya misses with a lumbering hook and runs into the wall, and when he recovers, he catches Herbert with a left. Bedoya attempts a spinning back fist, and Herbert boxes him up to the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (30-27 Herbert)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Herbert)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (30-27 Herbert)

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Rolando Bedoya via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Angelo picks Bedoya because of his high output and pressure, noting Herbert is a low-volume technical striker who often stares at opponents. He expects Bedoya to land over 100 significant strikes and win a decision. He placed a half-unit bet on Bedoya at +145, expecting the line to tighten.

Bet half a unit at +145
"Rolando's the pick and I threw a half a unit on him at plus 145"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady is taking another underdog here, citing Jai Herbert's low volume and poor durability. He notes Herbert has become tentative and lacks the chin for brawls, while Bedoya is cutting to lightweight for the first time and has volume and durability advantages. He predicts Bedoya wins by decision.

"I'm going with Boya here ji Herbert is a guy that I've never really been high on"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Cody picks Rolando Bedoya, citing his high volume and pressure. He notes that Bedoya lands over 100 significant strikes per fight, while Herbert has low output and tends to fade under pressure. Cody thinks Bedoya's durability and pace will overwhelm Herbert, who has been knocked out in three of four losses. He also mentions that Bedoya arguably beat Chas Skelly and should have won.

"Rolando bedya is my pick too."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Daniel picks Bedoya, viewing him as a high-volume brawler who can close the distance and overwhelm Herbert. He criticizes Herbert's low output and compares him to a poor man's Leon Edwards. He believes Bedoya's pace and pressure will be too much, especially now that he's at his natural weight class.

"I'm gonna go shoot the Box shoot the Box"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is the technically better fighter. If his durability holds up, he should out-volume and outpace Bedoya to win on the scorecards.

"ji Herbert if his durability can hold up for him I expect him to go out there out volume and outpace bedya and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Paul picks Rolando Bedoya, noting that Herbert has low volume and has been knocked out multiple times. He thinks Bedoya's volume and pressure will be too much for Herbert. Paul also mentions that Herbert was not booked for the UK card, which suggests the UFC doesn't value him highly. He believes Bedoya can win a decision or even stop Herbert.

"I'm going to be taking another Underdog here in Rolando badya."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert over Rolando Bedoya, noting Bedoya's lack of power and that he is moving down in weight. He believes Herbert's record is forged within the UFC and that Herbert will hurt Bedoya, possibly getting a TKO. He criticizes Bedoya's body and power, suggesting Herbert could land a front kick or knee to the body.

TKO
"I'm going to go J Herber over Rolando bedya... I just don't think Rolando badya has the power to get respect from ji Herber"
LOSS vs Farès Ziam
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · Jul 22, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Farès Ziam 0 49 of 134 36% 58 of 150 0 of 6 0% 0 0 4:12
Jai Herbert 0 61 of 113 53% 96 of 153 1 of 5 20% 0 0 1:30
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Farès Ziam 0 14 of 42 33% 15 of 46 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:08
Jai Herbert 0 20 of 32 62% 34 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:34
2 Farès Ziam 0 15 of 44 34% 22 of 53 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:04
Jai Herbert 0 20 of 38 52% 34 of 54 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:16
3 Farès Ziam 0 20 of 48 41% 21 of 51 0 of 3 0% 0 0 1:00
Jai Herbert 0 21 of 43 48% 28 of 52 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:40
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Farès Ziam 49 of 134 36% 7 of 79 23 of 31 19 of 24 38 of 119 11 of 15 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 61 of 113 53% 29 of 74 19 of 23 13 of 16 45 of 93 16 of 20 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Farès Ziam 14 of 42 33% 1 of 24 6 of 9 7 of 9 12 of 38 2 of 4 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 20 of 32 62% 8 of 17 8 of 9 4 of 6 13 of 24 7 of 8 0 of 0
2 Farès Ziam 15 of 44 34% 2 of 28 11 of 14 2 of 2 9 of 36 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 20 of 38 52% 12 of 28 6 of 8 2 of 2 14 of 30 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Farès Ziam 20 of 48 41% 4 of 27 6 of 8 10 of 13 17 of 45 3 of 3 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 21 of 43 48% 9 of 29 5 of 6 7 of 8 18 of 39 3 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Fares Ziam
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Ziam (-155), Herbert (+135)

Round 1
Moving right along on this main card, two lightweights hovering around the .500 threshold in the UFC will come to blows. Looking to lift his record to that even mark, Herbert (12-4-1, 2-3-1 UFC) almost certainly wishes to turn this fight into a brawl. Kill Cliff FC rep Ziam (13-4, 3-2 UFC) should mind his P’s and Q’s in this one, as should referee Jason Herzog. Before the melee commences, the fighters touch gloves. Ziam claims the center of the cage, and he measures jabs only to get jabbed in response. Ziam plants a heavy leg kick down low early, and he sneaks out a body kick while getting countered. Herbert swipes out with a left hook, and he splits the guard with a jab. Ziam reaches his man with a body kick, and he skirts away when Herbert kicks him in the calf. Herbert chambers and fires another leg kick, and Ziam reacts poorly from it. Ziam steels himself and lunges with straight punches, and his straight left finds the target a few times. Herbert comes up short by a matter of inches with two looping hooks, but his leg kicks do hit the mark much to the dismay of the Frenchman. As they both try to swing hard at one another, their chests clap together and this results in a clinch. The corner of Herbert continues to shout “head position” like Tito Ortiz shouting for his fighter on “The Ultimate Fighter” to get up. As they jockey for position against the wall, they break off and end up clinched on the other side of the cage wall. Both men think about a potential level change, and this results in a positional stalemate of failed attempts. Herbert gets cracked with a short elbow as he tries to separate, and he walks Ziam down and puts a jab in his face. The French fighter responds in kind, and they proceed to let go with single strikes one after the other. Herbert lands a body kick, and Ziam clips him with a left hook. A front kick from Ziam punctuates the close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
There is a brief fist bump to start off the round, and the two lightweights ply their trade with jabs. Herbert fires off a left hook in a series of punches, driving Ziam back to the fence. Herbert ups his output, laying into Ziam with strikes to the head and body. Herbert mixes things up with a leg kick, and he dodges a counter and plants his fist on Ziam’s forehead. The momentum from Herbert results in a clinch, but they break out of it and trade fists. Ziam lands the heavier of a strike with a right hand, but “The Black Country Banger” relishes this and wings a right hook back. Herbert again pushes into a clinch, and after a lull, Herbert pushes off and elbows Ziam in the face. Ziam pokes out several jabs, and he blocks a head kick as Herbert comes at him. Again, Herbert ties Ziam up, considering a takedown but unable to get it. Herbert knees the body several times, and Ziam decides to do the same. Ziam gains a full head of steam, and he is able to turn the tables on Herbert by taking him down with ease. Herbert hits a sweep, briefly puts Ziam on his back, and the two scramble back to their feet. Herbert returns to pressing his full weight on his opponent, and Ziam manages to eventually get out of the grip. Ziam knocks the advancing Herbert back with two punches, only to get popped by counters from the Brit. They trade punches, and Herbert jabs his way in and follows it with a head kick. When Herbert charges him, Ziam sneaks up an uppercut, and the grueling round ends in the clinch.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 3
Coming into the last round, scores could be all over the map. They greet in the center of the cage spamming kicks, trading them one after the other fearlessly. Ziam throws the first punch, and Herbert leans back and kicks at him. Ziam sticks out a jab and takes one back on the chin, and he swipes out with a short hook. Ziam comes up shy of the mark with two big punches, and Herbert sits back and smacks him with a kick on either side of his calf. “Smile Killer” jabs and whips a left hook over the top, and the crowd is growing restless by the relative sparring match after a fairly lackluster event thus far. The fighters proceed to take turns striking at one another, and Ziam connects with a big leg kick that makes Herbert hobble back and shake his leg out. Ziam ends another combination with a thudding kick, and Herbert rushes towards him and ties him up before looking for a body lock takedown. The Frenchman keeps his balance and leans himself against the chain-link fencing, and he manages to turn himself around and stop Herbert from taking his back. Ziam counters with an inside trip, and they both topple to the ground for a second before jumping back up, locked together in a mean-spirited embrace. Ziam secures another trip, and once more Herbert falls over and gets back up. The two split up with 90 seconds to go in the fight, and neither man engages with anything of note. After the lull in activity, they trade leg kicks and jabs, and Ziam wipes his eye as if he was reacting from an eye poke. Herbert does not let him have a moment to take care of it, as he turns his hips into a heavy leg kick. Ziam drops to a knee in a takedown shot, and Herbert easily stands him up and bullies him towards the fence. Ziam spins him around, and he hangs on until this disappointing affair comes to a close after 15 slogging minutes pass. It’s anyone’s guess who will get the nod after this one.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (29-28 Herbert)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (29-28 Ziam)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Ziam (29-28 Herbert)

The Official Result
Fares Ziam def. Jai Herbert via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 30-27)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 16, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Angelo thinks Jai Herbert will win by out-pointing in a boring striking match, citing Herbert's power and danger. However, he is concerned about Herbert's poor takedown defense and will not bet on him because of that vulnerability.

"I think Jai Herbert's gonna get it done uh I think he'll out point in a boring striking match"
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jul 18, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Big Brady picks Farès Ziam by decision, but says it's his least favorite fight on the card. He notes Ziam is a point fighter with no power but good defense, while Herbert has power but has become tentative after being knocked out multiple times. He thinks Ziam's youth and improvements give him the edge, but expects a boring fight.

by decision
"give me Zion to win like a decision but it's not a fight I'm really looking forward to"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Cody sees the fighters as similar but notes Ziam showed improved wrestling against Figlak. However, he thinks Herbert's reach advantage and home crowd could sway a close decision. He likes Herbert at +140 as a dog or pass.

"I think a plus 140 can do a lot worse uh in and Underdog than Jai Herbert"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Daniel picks Farès Ziam, citing his durability advantage over Jai Herbert, who has been dropped multiple times. He notes both are long, low-output strikers but Ziam has better defense and more impact. He has been waiting for a highlight-reel KO from Ziam and thinks this could be the fight. He also mentions Ziam's improved grappling and training in jiu-jitsu. He acknowledges Herbert's power but believes Ziam's durability and defense will be the difference.

Daniel says he has been waiting for a highlight-reel KO from Ziam and thinks this weekend might be the time. He mentions the line: Ziam -155, Herbert +135.
"I've been waiting for this highlight reel KO from ferez yam and I think this weekend might be the time he finally gets it"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

The host picks Farès Ziam, citing his youth, improvements, and ability to mix striking with takedowns. He believes Herbert is slowing down and that Ziam will put the hurting on him. He predicts a decision win for Ziam.

"give me Mr ziam to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 19, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Farès Ziam

Paul picks Ziam, citing his youth (26 vs 34), improvement, and cardio advantage. He thinks Ziam's volume and durability will overcome Herbert's power. He notes Ziam's similar reach negates Herbert's length advantage.

"I think the French kid's gonna put a beating on him"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 17, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert as an underdog, citing his talent and training at Team Renegades with Leon Edwards. He criticizes Farès Ziam for not impressing and notes Herbert's head kick knockdown of Ilia Topuria. The Guru believes Herbert's finishing potential and momentum will lead to a TKO win on the feet, despite his chinny reputation.

TKO
"I'm going with another Underdog I'm going with dry Herbert"
LOSS vs Ľudovít Klein
Draw (majority) (29–27, 28–28, 28–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · Mar 18, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 43 of 90 47% 96 of 168 1 of 3 33% 0 0 2:54
Ľudovít Klein 0 47 of 97 48% 78 of 132 2 of 3 66% 0 0 3:14
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 11 of 30 36% 32 of 58 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Ľudovít Klein 0 11 of 24 45% 23 of 38 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:53
2 Jai Herbert 0 15 of 28 53% 20 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
Ľudovít Klein 0 11 of 29 37% 17 of 35 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:49
3 Jai Herbert 0 17 of 32 53% 44 of 77 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:26
Ľudovít Klein 0 25 of 44 56% 38 of 59 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:32
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 43 of 90 47% 15 of 59 17 of 19 11 of 12 24 of 68 12 of 13 7 of 9
Ľudovít Klein 47 of 97 48% 30 of 75 11 of 15 6 of 7 30 of 76 15 of 19 2 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 11 of 30 36% 5 of 23 5 of 6 1 of 1 3 of 20 5 of 5 3 of 5
Ľudovít Klein 11 of 24 45% 7 of 19 3 of 4 1 of 1 4 of 16 5 of 6 2 of 2
2 Jai Herbert 15 of 28 53% 2 of 14 7 of 7 6 of 7 12 of 25 3 of 3 0 of 0
Ľudovít Klein 11 of 29 37% 7 of 23 1 of 2 3 of 4 7 of 24 4 of 5 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 17 of 32 53% 8 of 22 5 of 6 4 of 4 9 of 23 4 of 5 4 of 4
Ľudovít Klein 25 of 44 56% 16 of 33 7 of 9 2 of 2 19 of 36 6 of 8 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Ludovit Klein
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Klein (-190), Herbert (+160)

Round 1
The two men set to hit the cage next combine for just five decision wins across their 31 victories. Referee Rich Mitchell is going to need to be ready to jump in at a moment’s notice once “The Black Country Banger” Herbert (12-4, 2-3 UFC) and “Mr. Highlight” Klein (19-4, 3-2 UFC) start throwing down. The all-action lightweights elect to touch gloves before swinging for the bleachers, and Herbert immediately slings a head kick. Klein blocks it and fires right back, causing him to tumble to the mat. The Slovakian fighter gets back up without issue, and he faces long jabs coming from Herbert when he resets. Herbert quickly reaches him with a head kick, only for the kick to bounce off the guard. Herbert lets loose a kick to the body, and he leaves it out too long to allow Klein to grab it. Klein trips “The Black Country Banger” down to the canvas, and he lands in the guard and looks to get some ground offense going. The Brit stays active, using a butterfly sweep to keep Klein honest until he rolls for a quick armbar. Klein slides out of it and jumps back into the guard, but he finds himself struggling to get low as Herbert’s butterfly looks keep him elevated. Herbert chew up his man with punches from below, and he stings Klein with an upkick and rips open a huge cut on Klein’s left eyebrow. Klein backs off after getting rocked, and he stands back up to stop the unexpected assault. Herbert aims a head kick to that busted eye, and Klein advances to clinch up and trade knees. Herbert wings an elbow on the inside, and a knee from the Brit skims off the cup but is not called. Herbert hurts Klein again with a knee up the middle, and he lets go of the tie-up to admire his work. Herbert waits, and slips a head kick to hope to disrupt the timing, but the guard is there is time. Klein tries to reply in kind, but he misses the target by a wide margin. Klein threads the needle with his fists, breaking through Herbert’s guard, but they are few and far between. The round ends.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Shane Clifford scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
A quick touch of gloves is followed by Klein trying to throw a strike, but Herbert is well out of harm’s way. Klein misses with a swinging head kick, and Herbert does the same as they still look for their range. A body kick from Herbert is up too close, so Klein can counter him over the top with a short left. Herbert moves forward to clinch up, where he pats Klein’s thighs with light knees until Klein turns him about. Klein escapes, and he keeps a close range with Herbert to not allow the Brit to get off his rangy kicks. A body kick from Herbert is countered with a left, and Klein pushes up tightly again to trade knees. Klein aims an elbow during the break, and he slides it off the top of the forehead. The two trade leg kicks, and Herbert mixes up with a head kick before skirting away when Klein bears down on him. Klein blocks two successive head kicks and tries to pay him back with one, but Herbert is far busier with low kicks and distance strikes. A right hand from the Brit opens up an additional cut around Klein’s right eye, and Klein pays it no mind as he continues to advance cautiously. Klein crashes the pocket and manages to get off an elbow, leading Herbert to push off and circle away. Klein continues to push forward, and he wobbles Herbert momentarily with a standing elbow. Herbert separates and kicks the side a few times before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Shane Clifford scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 3
Klein walks out of his corner a man on a mission, launching an immediate head kick and chasing his man around the cage. Herbert circles to aim a high kick back at him, and Klein keeps his guard up safely. Klein punches his way into a clinch, and he rips the body with a knee. “The Black Country Banger” spins him around and drills a knee square in the cup, and Klein lets out a yelp and crouches down as Mitchell steps in to pause the fight. After 40 seconds of recovery time, the fight is reset in the middle of the cage, and Klein is fired up. Klein charges out, blasting the body with a knee that lifts Herbert off the ground. They tie up, and Herbert gets one back on the dome as they are putting big power into their strikes. Klein blitzes in, leading to a clinch, and knees are spammed. Herbert belts Klein in the groin again, and Klein doubles over in pain as Mitchell stops the action. Due to the second foul in rapid succession, Mitchell deducts a point from Herbert, and they restart after a minute. Herbert swings a head kick at his man when they resume, and when that misses, he advances to hit a picturesque sweep to dump Klein to the mat. Klein sits up close on the ground to protect his mug from strikes, and Herbert asks Mitchell if he can throw elbows from his particular position without it being another foul. Herbert lands a few before Klein rolls to his back, and Herbert welcomes this so that he can continue mounting offense and controlling his opponent. Klein bursts back to his feet, and he turns the tables and tackles Klein to the canvas. Herbert hits his back and utilizes his butterfly hooks to keep Klein from settling on top, but he eats a few elbows. Herbert stands back up and attempts a hip toss, but they both land on their knees and climb back up. Herbert looks to try to take the back standing, and he lowers Klein back to his knees and works him over with left hands. Herbert fights off one last takedown, and the horn sounds to end this close fight.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)
Shane Clifford scores the round: 9-9 (29-27 Herbert)

The Official Result
Jai Herbert vs. Ludovit Klein is Ruled a Majority Draw (29-27, 28-28, 28-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Angelo believes Klein is the more technical striker and can lean on grappling if needed. He notes Klein has a nice kick behind his jab and is never out of position. He thinks Jai Herbert has a size and power advantage but finds ways to lose. He likes Klein to win but thinks -190 is a bit wide given Klein's vulnerability.

significant strikes prop on Klein (over/under not specified)
"I like Ludovic Klein to get the win here minus 190 seems a bit wide because this is two Strikers and ludovic's not Invincible."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Big Brady picks Klein, citing his power in hands and head kicks, and Herbert's poor striking defense (42%) and questionable chin. He notes Klein has more ways to win, including takedowns if needed, as Herbert's takedown defense is 55%. He predicts a second-round knockout, but acknowledges Herbert's size and reach advantage.

"I'm gonna take Klein to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Cody picks Klein by knockout, citing his power and athleticism. He notes Klein is a finisher on the regional scene and has improved his wrestling and cardio. He thinks Herbert's durability is suspect and Klein will land a straight shot up the middle. He says Klein likes fighting taller opponents and can find gaps in Herbert's guard.

Ľudovít Klein by knockout
"I'm thinking Klein by knockout to be honest with you... I think this has got the recipe for a highlight reel KO for Ludovic Klein"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Connor picks Klein, noting that Herbert is fragile and lacks assertiveness in the clinch. He points out that Klein is durable, hits hard, and is comfortable at the same range Herbert wants to fight. Connor believes Klein's power and durability will overwhelm Herbert, who tends to fall apart when pressured.

"I'm gonna pick Klein just for being a harder hitting, tough, more durable fighter."
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lean picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Jacob thinks Klein is the play but is not putting money on it because he sees better value elsewhere. He notes Jai Herbert is a very good striker when confident, but his confidence has been shaken since the Ilia fight. He thinks Klein has wrestling as an ace in the hole and should withstand Herbert's striking, but Herbert could land a sniper shot.

"ludovic's the play but there's better places to put your money."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is a good distance striker with height and reach advantages, but has durability issues and has been knocked out before. Klein has a two-fight winning streak but his grappling success came against opponents who gave up positions. If Herbert stays safe at distance and avoids getting flatlined, he should outpoint Klein over 15 minutes. The comparison is made to Jonathan Martinez's recent upset win.

"if he can stay safe calm in bad positions he can put together a very good body of work to take home a decision Victory"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 15, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Paul picks Klein, noting he can utilize wrestling and top control to win a decision. He says Klein's takedowns and top game are effective, and Herbert's takedown defense is a question. He thinks Klein by decision is a likely outcome, but also acknowledges Klein's power. He says the prop prices for Klein by KO and by decision are both plus 225.

"I'm thinking Klein by decision somewhat of a snooze Fest... takedowns holds top control and wins the fight"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 13, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

The MMA Guru picks Ľudovít Klein over Jai Herbert, praising Klein's toughness and explosiveness on the feet. He notes Herbert is underrated but has a suspect chin and ground game, while Klein has better durability and can win in multiple areas including striking and grappling. He believes Herbert cannot pressure Klein over the distance like others have, and Klein's regional submission wins give him an edge.

"I'm gonna go with Ludovic Klein over Jai Herbert"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Ľudovít Klein

Zane also picks Klein, emphasizing that Herbert's style is not tuned to beat Klein. He notes that Klein is a specialist at middle-distance striking and has never been knocked out. Zane believes Herbert's lack of control and fragility will be exploited, and Klein's power will be the difference.

"I'm picking Klein in that."
WIN vs Kyle Nelson
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · Jul 23, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 36 of 64 56% 84 of 116 0 of 1 0% 0 0 5:57
Kyle Nelson 0 41 of 62 66% 55 of 77 0 of 4 0% 0 0 3:06
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 7 of 19 36% 17 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:18
Kyle Nelson 0 19 of 27 70% 21 of 30 0 of 2 0% 0 0 1:18
2 Jai Herbert 0 24 of 36 66% 35 of 47 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Kyle Nelson 0 17 of 29 58% 21 of 33 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:59
3 Jai Herbert 0 5 of 9 55% 32 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:28
Kyle Nelson 0 5 of 6 83% 13 of 14 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:49
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 36 of 64 56% 16 of 43 17 of 18 3 of 3 22 of 50 13 of 13 1 of 1
Kyle Nelson 41 of 62 66% 15 of 34 11 of 13 15 of 15 28 of 47 13 of 15 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 7 of 19 36% 1 of 13 6 of 6 0 of 0 3 of 15 4 of 4 0 of 0
Kyle Nelson 19 of 27 70% 8 of 14 4 of 6 7 of 7 12 of 20 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Jai Herbert 24 of 36 66% 11 of 22 11 of 12 2 of 2 15 of 27 9 of 9 0 of 0
Kyle Nelson 17 of 29 58% 5 of 17 6 of 6 6 of 6 11 of 21 6 of 8 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 5 of 9 55% 4 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 8 0 of 0 1 of 1
Kyle Nelson 5 of 6 83% 2 of 3 1 of 1 2 of 2 5 of 6 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Kyle Nelson
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Herbert (-265), Nelson (+225)

Round 1
Both Herbert and Nelson have lost three of their last four promotional appearances, so jobs could be at stake in this lightweight affair, which will be governed by veteran official Herb Dean. They touch gloves and we’re underway, with Nelson moving up from featherweight. Nelson lands a hard body kick to start out. Herbert extends a long jab. Nelson with a body kick followed by a calf kick. Nelson lands another low kick. Nelson grabs a leg as Herbert lands a knee to the midsection. The Canadian is in on a takedown and he shoves Herbert into the fence. Herbert is defending well so far, but Nelson is persistent in his approach. Nelson lands a knee before Herbert reverses position. Nelson creates space and lands a big elbow with his back to the fence. They continue to battle in the clinch, with Herbert currently controlling position. Another elbow for Nelson, but not as powerful as the first. Nelson with a short elbow before breaking free. Nelson throws a high kick but it’s blocked. A calf kick from the Canadian finds its mark, though. Nelson ends the period with another low kick. 10-9 Nelson.

Round 2
Herbert opens up with a kick to the body as he circles on the outside of the cage. Nelson stalks his man and lands a body kick. Herbert answers with a jab. Nelson dodges a pair of high kicks and then attacks with the calf kick again. The action picks up as both men trade low kicks and Herbert opens up a little bit more. Herbert jab the body and then lands a left hook to the body. They clinch and Nelson drives a knee into the midsection before shoving his foe into the cage. Herbert circles off the fence, but Nelson reverses and goes high with a knee. Nelson defends a trip attempt by Herbert as the clinch battle wages on. Herbert connects with an elbow in close quarters, and he defends a hip toss and continues to control position. Herbert with a nice right hand on the break. Nelson appears to be slowing down somewhat. Herbert pressures and absorbs a low kick. Herbert tags Nelson with a right before clinching with Nelson. After a spirited exchange in close quarters, Herbert sprawls nicely on a Nelson shot, and the lightweights end the round in the clinch. 10-9 Herbert.

Round 3
They trade leg kicks early, but Herbert appeared to be more affected by the blow. Nelson with a body kick and Herbert answers with a combination. Herbert defends a takedown and powers his way into top position, where he sets up in Nelson’s half guard and drops a shoulder strike. Nelson holds Herbert close to neutralize his offense from above. Herbert seems content to remain in half guard rather than looking to advance to mount. A few short right hands land for the Englishman. Nelson recovers full guard. Nelson is able to work his way to a knee as Herbert attempts to circle his way to the Canadian’s back. Nelson is now up with a minute left. He turns off the fence and shoves Herbert into the cage. Nelson works for a takedown but Herbert defends all the way until the horn. A late shot from Nelson at the horn draws a displeased reaction from “The Black Country Banger.” 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Herbert).

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Kyle Nelson via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28) R3 5:00
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jul 17, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Angelo picks Jai Herbert but expresses concern about Kyle Nelson's two-year layoff, noting it's hard to know what version of Nelson will show up. He highlights Herbert's technical striking and movement, and that he looked sharp before being knocked out by Ilia Topuria. He advises leaving Herbert out of parlays due to the uncertainty.

leave out of parlays
"i gotta go with jai here because even in that loss to ilia he looked sharp before the knockout"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Big Brady picks Jai Herbert to win by first-round knockout. He loves Herbert's striking and power but notes his poor striking defense and chin. He thinks Kyle Nelson has power but a bad gas tank, and if the fight goes past the first round, Herbert takes over. He expects a knockout in the first round.

Herbert by KO in round 1
"i'll take jai herbert to knock out kyle nelson to do it in the very first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Cody picks Jai Herbert, citing his length, reach advantage, and excellent jab. He notes Nelson has been inactive for two years, moving up in weight, and has poor cardio and takedown defense. Cody thinks Herbert will dictate the outside and jab Nelson's face off. He predicts a first or second round knockout for Herbert.

"j herbert catches them that seems all pretty uh pretty well balanced"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Daniel Levi picks Jai Herbert, noting that this is a massive step down in competition for Herbert, who has been fighting tough opponents. He believes Herbert has better technique, length, and shot selection. Levi points out that Kyle Nelson is essentially knockout or bust, having only one KO since 2018, and questions Nelson's toughness relative to other UFC fighters.

"i think herbert's got him covered across the board so i think kyle is basically knockout or bust"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is technically better, has a six-inch reach advantage, and should touch Nelson up. However, Herbert has a glass chin and Nelson has power. I think Herbert finishes him in the second or third round. The fight doesn't go to decision is a good parlay piece.

fight doesn't go to decision (parlay piece); Jai Herbert second or third round finish
"I'm gonna go dry Herbert try Herbert probably second or third round finish but I don't mind that fight doesn't go to decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jul 20, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Kyle Nelson

Paul picks Kyle Nelson at +235, calling it a dogger pass. He notes Nelson throws absolute hammers and Herbert's chin is questionable. Paul thinks the fight is high variance and Herbert has been rocked many times. He likes Nelson inside the distance at +350 or by KO at +600.

Nelson inside the distance +350, Nelson by KO +600
"dogger pass for me i'll take kyle nelson"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 18, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru confidently picks Jai Herbert to win by first-round TKO. He believes Herbert is a much better fighter than Kyle Nelson, who has been out since September 2020. Herbert has been active and will start fast. Nelson has power in the first round but fades, and Herbert can weather the storm and finish him.

first round TKO
"joy herbert's got this one in the bag i do believe um i feel like he's gonna get it done yeah nelson's been out for too long herbert's been active i think he's gonna start fast and put away nelson …"
LOSS vs Ilia Topuria
KO (punches) R2 1:07 · UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · Mar 19, 2022
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ilia Topuria 1 22 of 63 34% 50 of 94 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Jai Herbert 1 20 of 41 48% 31 of 55 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ilia Topuria 1 19 of 47 40% 47 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Jai Herbert 0 12 of 27 44% 23 of 41 1 of 4 25% 0 0 2:38
2 Ilia Topuria 0 3 of 16 18% 3 of 16 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jai Herbert 1 8 of 14 57% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ilia Topuria 22 of 63 34% 20 of 60 1 of 2 1 of 1 19 of 59 1 of 1 2 of 3
Jai Herbert 20 of 41 48% 17 of 37 3 of 4 0 of 0 14 of 35 2 of 2 4 of 4
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ilia Topuria 19 of 47 40% 18 of 45 0 of 1 1 of 1 16 of 43 1 of 1 2 of 3
Jai Herbert 12 of 27 44% 11 of 25 1 of 2 0 of 0 6 of 21 2 of 2 4 of 4
2 Ilia Topuria 3 of 16 18% 2 of 15 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 16 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jai Herbert 8 of 14 57% 6 of 12 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Jai Herbert vs. Ilia Topuria

Round 1
Kicking off the main card is a classic stylistic battle when the appropriately titled “Black Country Banger” Herbert (11-3, 1-2 UFC) faces off against Spanish submission threat Topuria (11-0, 3-0 UFC) in the lightweight division. Trying to keep a lid on what is sure to be a fast-paced tilt will be referee Marc Goddard, although he does not need to worry about disrespect as the two touch gloves first. Herbert bounces up and down before snapping out a jab, and he steps in with a knee when Topuria advances towards him. Herbert keeps his opponent at bay with long, rangy strikes, getting the smaller Topuria’s attention quickly. Herbert lets his hands go and follows it with a head kick, dropping Topuria in the opening minute, and the audience bursts into cheers for their local man. “El Matador” springs back to his feet and crashes forward to go after a takedown, pushing Herbert all the way back to the cage but not getting him down. After multiple fence grabs from Herbert, Topuria is finally able to lift him up off the ground and slam him to the mat with emphasis. Topuria lands in side control, where he starts to isolate Herbert’s right arm and set up a crucifix. The scrambling Brit is able to recover his position, and he drags Topuria all the way back to his guard. Topuria madly dashes to try to pass guard, smashing Herbert in the face a few times, and he gets kicked off briefly but dives back on top. Herbert ties Topuria up, defending himself from much offense and keeping Topuria in his guard, but Topuria slowly works his way to open up on punches. Herbert scrambles, and he forces his way back to his feet and blasts Topuria with a back-elbow. Topuria is wobbled, and Herbert drills him with a long combination that knocks Topuria back. Goddard stops the fight for a second to replace Topuria’s mouthpiece, as it had been knocked out from the heavy punches from the Brit. Topuria gathers himself, as Herbert lets him off the hook and allows the Georgian to attack with winging punches. Herbert intercepts his man with a knee as Topuria comes in, and the mouthpiece goes flying again in a cinematic fashion. Topuria’s chin holds up, and the two lightweights furiously slug it out to the bell. What a round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
The second round begins with Topuria aggressive, stalking Herbert down and trying to take the Brit’s reach advantage away from him. Topuria wings a right hand that just misses as Herbert kicks the body, and Herbert ducks back by an inch to avoid the massive blow. Herbert aims an uppercut that comes up short, and he strafes back and forth while Topuria comes after him.
With bad intentions in his eyes, Topuria stalks Herbert down and wings a few punches at him. Herbert reaches out with a jab, and “El Matador” unleashes a right behind the ear, a thudding left to the body and an earthshattering right hand flush on the chin that sends Herbert collapsing to the ground in a crumpled heap.
As the crowd goes completely silent, Topuria walks away without bothering to deliver a follow-up blow, with Herbert out cold beneath him. Making the most of his post-fight interview moment, Topuria does not call for bonus money – his work should speak for itself – but instead sets his sights on “that blonde b---ch” Paddy Pimblett. Should Pimblett win later tonight, matchmakers can take the day off as that came together without them having to budge.

The Official Result
Ilia Topuria def. Jai Herbert R2 1:07 via KO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 12, 2022 (7 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Angelo picks Ilia Topuria to win by stoppage, citing his well-rounded game and ability to win on the feet or via wrestling. He notes that Jai Herbert has been taken down multiple times by opponents like Moicano and Trinaldo, and expects Topuria to do the same. He plans to bet on an Ilia Topuria wins inside the distance prop.

wins inside the distance prop bet
"i'm probably going to be looking for an iliad supporia wins inside the distance prop bet here when those lines drop"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Big Brady picks Ilia Topuria to win by first-round submission. He notes Topuria is moving up a weight class on short notice and faces a massive size disadvantage, but he believes Topuria's grappling is elite and Jai Herbert has shown horrendous takedown defense and a weak chin. Brady expects Topuria to take the fight to the mat and submit Herbert quickly, as Herbert has little ground game and poor durability.

first round submission
"give me deforia first round submission i think there are levels to this"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lock picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Cody picks Topuria as a lock, citing his superior grappling and Herbert's weak chin. He thinks Topuria can win by submission or KO, and notes that Herbert has been knocked out by lesser fighters. He calls Topuria the top ticket.

"topuria is your top ticket and i can't really argue against that in any way shape or form"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Mar 17, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Daniel Levi picks Ilia Topuria, but with reservations. He notes that Topuria has finished all his UFC fights in the first round except against a short-notice opponent, where he gassed. Levi believes Topuria's ground game is a huge advantage, as Herbert has poor wrestling and chin issues. However, he warns against overhyping Topuria, as Herbert has a puncher's chance with his reach and power. Levi expects a finish inside the distance.

Herbert by KO/TKO +700; Topuria by submission +100
"give me toporia to win this fight but i think we need to kind of pump the brakes on this future top five talk"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Topuria should replicate what Moicano did to Herbert: get the fight to the ground and use superior jiu-jitsu for a finish. Herbert is a good striker but struggles against grapplers with heavy top pressure. 23 of 25 fights for these two haven't gone to decision, and that trend should continue. The fight doesn't go to decision at -350 is a better bet than Topuria straight. I'm picking Topuria via first-round submission.

Fight doesn't go to decision (-350); Topuria via submission round 1
"I like Topuria quite a bit here I think he goes out there runs through Jai Herbert and gets that first round finish."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lock picked Mar 16, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

Paul picks Topuria as a lock, emphasizing Herbert's defensive liabilities and Topuria's all-around game. He notes that Herbert has been knocked out by lesser punchers and that Topuria's grappling is a major threat. He agrees Topuria is the top ticket.

"he's a top ticket guy he's our play this week"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 14, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Ilia Topuria

The Guru picks Ilia Topuria but thinks the odds are too wide; he should be around -200. He notes Jai Herbert's weak chin and lack of physical strength, calling him a 'malnourished lightweight.' He believes Topuria's grappling and power will be too much, predicting a first-round TKO. He acknowledges an upset is possible but favors Topuria's skill set.

first round TKO, odds should be -200
"i'm going to go with ilya superior... the odds should not be what they are... i'll say first round tko"
WIN vs Khama Worthy
TKO (punches) R1 2:47 · UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · Oct 23, 2021
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 0 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khama Worthy 1 24 of 46 52% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 0 11 of 21 52% 11 of 21 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khama Worthy 1 24 of 46 52% 25 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:05
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 11 of 21 52% 5 of 13 1 of 1 5 of 7 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khama Worthy 24 of 46 52% 21 of 40 1 of 1 2 of 5 19 of 39 2 of 2 3 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 11 of 21 52% 5 of 13 1 of 1 5 of 7 11 of 21 0 of 0 0 of 0
Khama Worthy 24 of 46 52% 21 of 40 1 of 1 2 of 5 19 of 39 2 of 2 3 of 5
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Khama Worthy vs. Jai Herbert

Round 1
Hold on to your hats, because a lightweight banger is on deck when “The Deathstar” Worthy (16-8, 2-2 UFC) seeks to become the ultimate power in the universe at the expense of “The Black Country Banger” Herbert (10-3, 0-2 UFC). Fists and feet are sure to fly, and referee Chris Tognoni may need to keep his head on a swivel from the exchanges that follow the glove touch. Worthy is jittery as he starts off the round, with his hands shaking back and forth as he tries to counter Herbert. With both preparing to counter the other, very little happens the first 30 seconds of the match. Worthy steps in with a punch to the body, and he blocks an overhand right that comes at him. The Brit fires off a body kick, and he steps out of the way from a prodding jab. Herbert slings a high kick that is blocked in time, and he chambers a body kick that collides loudly to the midsection. Worthy walks through a punch to try to land a heavy front kick, but he settles for a slapping leg kick instead. Worthy sneaks a right hand around the guard, and thumps a low calf kick to follow. As Herbert tries to pay him back, a low kick of his own gets checked. “The Deathstar” blasts Herbert with a heavy leg kick that makes Herbert do a little spin, but he gathers himself to start slinging leather. Herbert catches Worthy as he starts to unload with a brutal punching combination and a head kick in the middle. A right hand wobbles Worthy, and the continuous strikes of Herbert appear to have found the thermal exhaust port of his opponent, detonating one by one as Worthy’s legs betray him. The onslaught continues, and a left hook puts Worthy face-down down on the mat. As Worthy rolls to his side, barely grasping on to his consciousness, “The Black Country Banger” continues to bang with ferocious punches from on high. As Tognoni notices that Worthy may be out, he intervenes to stop the fight and award Herbert with his first UFC win in three tries.

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Khama Worthy R1 2:47 via TKO (Punches)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Oct 20, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khama Worthy

Angelo calls this a razor-thin pick. He notes that Khama has power and a good counter-striking game, while Jai is technical but gets hit a lot (1.3 strikes landed vs 2.66 absorbed). He thinks the odds are wide due to recency bias from Khama's knockout losses. He's not confident and won't bet the round line, but he likes Khama by a hair.

won't bet the 1.5 round line; considers 'does not go the distance'; likes less on Jai, more on Khama for monkey knife fight
"i do like camera here but my god is it a razor thin pick"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 19, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Big Brady picks Herbert as the younger, more talented fighter with height and reach advantages. He notes both fighters have poor striking defense and chins, but believes Worthy's chin is shot after seven knockout losses. He predicts a first-round knockout by Herbert, though acknowledges Worthy's power makes him live.

first round knockout
"i've gotta pick herbert here because he is the better fighter he's younger he's going to have a height advantage"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Cody picks Jai Herbert by knockout, citing Herbert's reach advantage and Worthy's notorious inability to take a punch. He notes that Worthy has been knocked out in seven of his eight losses, often in the first minute. Cody believes Herbert will find his range and land a straight right to knock Worthy out. He expects the fight to end inside one and a half rounds.

Herbert by KO/TKO; under 1.5 rounds
"i gotta go with jay herbert i think he's a talented enough guy he looked awesome in cage warriors where he was the welterweight champion"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 22, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Jai Herbert

Lock picks Herbert based on technical striking. He notes Herbert is the better boxer and should be able to outpoint Worthy. He expects Herbert to finish later in the fight as Worthy fades. He likes Herbert inside the distance.

Herbert inside the distance +100, Worthy by KO +380
"i like herbert but it's going to be difficult for me to pull the trigger here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Oct 21, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Paul leans towards Jai Herbert, noting his reach advantage and better cardio. He expects a high-variance fight where someone gets knocked out, and he believes it will be Worthy. However, Paul acknowledges that Herbert's chin is questionable and that he could get knocked out as well. He sees this as a firefight.

Under 1.5 rounds
"i think jai herbert probably wins on volume has better cardio i think from what we have seen and has a bit of a reach advantage so i will lean towards him here"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert, citing Khama Worthy's recent KO losses and questionable chin. He notes Herbert's reach advantage, first-round KO power, and better competition faced. He believes Herbert's cardio and striking will be too much for Worthy, predicting a first-round KO.

first round ko
"i'm gonna trust joy herbert to get this one done by first round ko"
Rolando Bedoya - Fight History
LOSS vs Jamie Mullarkey
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Sep 28, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jamie Mullarkey 0 43 of 89 48% 47 of 94 3 of 17 17% 0 0 5:41
Rolando Bedoya 0 46 of 116 39% 55 of 129 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jamie Mullarkey 0 3 of 8 37% 3 of 9 2 of 2 100% 0 0 3:49
Rolando Bedoya 0 5 of 10 50% 8 of 14 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Jamie Mullarkey 0 15 of 27 55% 18 of 30 0 of 8 0% 0 0 1:38
Rolando Bedoya 0 10 of 33 30% 15 of 40 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Jamie Mullarkey 0 25 of 54 46% 26 of 55 1 of 7 14% 0 0 0:14
Rolando Bedoya 0 31 of 73 42% 32 of 75 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jamie Mullarkey 43 of 89 48% 32 of 74 7 of 10 4 of 5 40 of 82 3 of 6 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 46 of 116 39% 32 of 93 8 of 13 6 of 10 37 of 99 9 of 16 0 of 1
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jamie Mullarkey 3 of 8 37% 1 of 5 0 of 1 2 of 2 3 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 5 of 10 50% 2 of 5 0 of 2 3 of 3 5 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 1
2 Jamie Mullarkey 15 of 27 55% 12 of 22 2 of 3 1 of 2 13 of 24 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 10 of 33 30% 6 of 25 2 of 4 2 of 4 8 of 28 2 of 5 0 of 0
3 Jamie Mullarkey 25 of 54 46% 19 of 47 5 of 6 1 of 1 24 of 51 1 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 31 of 73 42% 24 of 63 6 of 7 1 of 3 24 of 62 7 of 11 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Angelo picks Jamie Mullarkey despite his weak chin, because he believes Mullarkey is the better overall fighter with good grappling and striking. He notes that Mullarkey's opponent Rolando Bedoya has no power and is essentially a human punching bag. Angelo is surprised Mullarkey is the underdog and thinks the line will swing back.

"I think Jamie Malarkey wins this fight. I don't have a bet on him just yet. I'm going to keep an eye on the line. It's kind of tightening, but it hasn't tightened enough for me to be like, 'Ah, …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 25, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady picks Rolando Bedoya to win by third-round knockout. He argues that while Mullarkey is more skilled, his chin is extremely fragile and he has been knocked out or dropped repeatedly. He believes Bedoya's durability and volume will be key, and that Mullarkey will eventually get hurt. He notes Bedoya is 0-3 in the UFC but tough.

third round knockout
"I'm going to say Bedoya does knock him out. I'm going to say Bedoya knocks out Malarkey."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 23, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Cody picks Mullarkey, believing his striking and wrestling will be enough to outwork Bedoya. He notes Bedoya lacks power and has poor takedown defense, while Mullarkey has fought better strikers and mixed in takedowns. He acknowledges Mullarkey's chin is a concern but thinks Bedoya doesn't have the power to exploit it.

"I end up taking Jamie Malarkey. No doubt about it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Connor agrees, emphasizing that Bedoya is a slow, unpowerful kickboxer with no footwork or speed, while Mullarkey is a tough wrestle-boxer who will make him fight tooth and nail. He notes that Mullarkey's losses are to athletic monsters, and Bedoya is not that. He expects Mullarkey to win a solid all-round MMA fight.

"Yeah, I mean... Mullarkey's got more breadth, more options, and I don't think Bedoya is nearly dangerous enough to put him away."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Sep 19, 2025 (9 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

James picks Jamie Mullarkey with his logical head, citing Mullarkey's better boxing fundamentals and takedown threat. However, he is very hesitant because Mullarkey's chin has degraded from wars and Bedoya throws high volume. He admits he might bet a Bedoya KO prop if the odds are right, showing low conviction.

Bedoya by KO (potential bet)
"I'm going to pick Jamie Malaki. I'm going to go with my logical head, but honestly, if they give me a prop on Bedoya, I'll probably KO prop on Bedoya, I might take the shot."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 24, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

The host thinks Mullarkey is the better overall fighter. He expects Mullarkey's durability to hold up and for him to mix in takedowns and volume to stifle Bedoya and win on the scorecards.

"I think Malarkey is the better overall fighter. If his durability can hold up, look for him to put together a better body of work, mixing in takedowns and volume to really stifle Bedoya and win this fight on the …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

The Guru picks Rolando Bedoya over Jamie Mullarkey, citing Mullarkey's tendency to get wobbled and cut open. He believes Bedoya can handle Mullarkey's physicality, as seen in his fight against Chaos Williams. He expects a scrap where Mullarkey is more prone to damage.

"I'm going against Jamie Malarkey here. I'm gonna go over Orlando Badoya."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Sep 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jamie Mullarkey

Zane sees Mullarkey as having more breadth and options than Bedoya, who is a slow, unpowerful pocket kickboxer. He notes that Mullarkey's wrestle-boxing approach and durability should be enough to outwork Bedoya, who has lost all three UFC fights and looked bad. He points out that Mullarkey has beaten athletic fighters and lost only to elite power punchers.

Odds comment: glad the gambler has realized Bedoya shouldn't be a favorite; Mullarkey opened +140 now -120, Bedoya opened -160 now +100
"I'll take Jamie Mullarkey. He's got more breadth, more options, and I don't think Bedoya is nearly dangerous enough to put him away."
LOSS vs Jai Herbert
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC on ABC: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Aug 03, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jai Herbert 1 82 of 178 46% 89 of 185 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:33
Rolando Bedoya 0 67 of 199 33% 71 of 206 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:11
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jai Herbert 1 16 of 34 47% 17 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Rolando Bedoya 0 21 of 58 36% 22 of 60 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:23
2 Jai Herbert 0 29 of 60 48% 29 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rolando Bedoya 0 30 of 78 38% 30 of 78 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Jai Herbert 0 37 of 84 44% 43 of 90 2 of 3 66% 0 0 0:27
Rolando Bedoya 0 16 of 63 25% 19 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jai Herbert 82 of 178 46% 47 of 132 27 of 36 8 of 10 79 of 173 3 of 4 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 67 of 199 33% 29 of 134 10 of 23 28 of 42 64 of 192 3 of 7 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jai Herbert 16 of 34 47% 7 of 24 8 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 21 of 58 36% 4 of 27 3 of 10 14 of 21 21 of 55 0 of 3 0 of 0
2 Jai Herbert 29 of 60 48% 16 of 38 11 of 18 2 of 4 28 of 58 1 of 2 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 30 of 78 38% 12 of 51 7 of 11 11 of 16 27 of 74 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Jai Herbert 37 of 84 44% 24 of 70 8 of 9 5 of 5 37 of 84 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 16 of 63 25% 13 of 56 0 of 2 3 of 5 16 of 63 0 of 0 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rolando Bedoya vs. Jai Herbert
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Herbert (-155), Bedoya (+130)

Round 1
Like the last pairing, these two combatants have their backs against the wall here. Winner of just two of his seven UFC outings, Herbert (12-5-1, 2-4-1 UFC) needs to get his hand raised today, but the same can be said for Chute Boxe’s Bedoya (14-3, 0-2 UFC), who wants the third time to be a charm. Something’s gotta give between these lightweights, and referee Lukasz Bosacki will be the first to know. There is a quick glove touch between the two, and Bedoya takes to the center of the cage pushing out a front kick and a body kick to find his range. Bedoya lands with a low kick as he bounces from stance to stance, keeping Herbert guessing early. Herbert paws out a jab that is at least two feet away, and Bedoya pitches a few kicks his way. Herbert gets one leg kick back, and he counters a leg kick with a jab to the body as the kick bounces into his cup. Herbert adjusts his athletic supporter and does not need a pause, and Bedoya takes a moment before drilling him in the face with an overhand right. Bedoya remains busy with low kicks, and Herbert looks for overhand right counters. One lands perfectly, briefly short-circuiting “The Machine,” who drops to a knee. Bedoya is able to get his bearings before Herbert can finish the job, and he works his way upright but is still not totally clear. Herbert pins a one-two on the jaw, forcing the Peruvian to tie him up against the fencing. Herbert gets off a pair of knees and escapes from the clinch, and he puts out a front kick that slaps off the chest of his opponent. Herbert slips from side to side, a cut suddenly developed under his right eye, and Bedoya walks him down throwing hands. Herbert replies with a big knee that is caught, and Bedoya slugs him backwards. Bedoya leaps in with a right hand that misses, and a leg kick does connect. Bedoya goes for another low kick that is not accurate, and he has a winging right hand ricochet off the shoulder. Herbert just misses on a counter right, and he takes two low kicks from the Chute Boxe Diego Lima fighter. Bedoya jams more kicks on the front leg, and Herbert replies with a combination ending with a stiff body kick. Bedoya does not slow kicking the front leg of the Brit, with it glowing red, but he eats another power right hand before the bell.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 2
Any bleeding beneath Herbert’s right eye is ceased between rounds, but some serious swelling has developed. Bedoya is quick to target that damage, going after straight left hands and following them with leg kicks. Bedoya gets off a right hook and a left on the eye socket, and he parries a body kick and skirts away. Bedoya loads up on power punches as Herbert tries to keep him at bay with a push kick, resulting in some damage on the Brit’s nose. Bedoya gives chase with a few lunging kicks, and he snaps the head back with a right hand when Bedoya gets careless. Bedoya gets excited and wants to brawl, and Herbert clips him two more times when Bedoya comes at him. Herbert gets caught with a right hand as Bedoya corners him, but he manages to pay him back. As Bedoya rushes at him, they tie up, and he knees Herbert square in the groin. Bosacki calls time and warns Bedoya for the foul, and gives Herbert 30 seconds to recover before Herbert is good to go. Herbert is active at the restart with jabs and front kicks, and Bedoya responds with similar strikes and some to the front leg. Herbert uses a number of jabs to catch Bedoya coming at him with his hands down, and he kicks the ribs and just misses with a high kick. Bedoya strides towards him, belts him with an elbow and escapes. Bedoya kicks at the same time as his opponent, but Herbert doubles up on the body kick. Herbert quadruples his jab and dances away from a looping punch, although he does absorb a low kick. Herbert gets a sneaky left hook in when Bedoya is bearing down on him, and Bedoya tanks it and swings back with reckless abandon. Bedoya assaults the front leg and kicks the body, and they trade heavy punches. Herbert backs him off with a thudding knee, and he ducks the swarming punches when Bedoya approaches him again. Herbert zings a right hand that catches Bedoya flush, and a second stuns Bedoya for a moment. Herbert drills the front leg and rips a left to the ribs, and Bedoya replies with a heavy low kick. They clash together, and the horn sounds.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert

Round 3
The fighters pick up right where they left off, trading strikes from kickboxing range. Bedoya is a bit more reckless than before, swinging just a little harder and slower. Herbert is accurate and quick, beating Bedoya to the punch and mixing things up to throw Bedoya to the mat. The Peruvian springs back up without issue and looks for a trip and throw, only for Herbert to thwart it in part due to a fence grab. Herbert counters with a throw, and Bedoya pulls himself back to his feet by grabbing the fence too—offsetting fouls, but a not particularly thrilled Bosacki. They resume striking, with Herbert jabbing his way into twos, and Bedoya gets his chin checked a few times but is able to take them cleanly. Herbert’s boxing remains crisp, and he mixes in body kicks and slides away from counters. Bedoya reaches him with a low kick, and Herbert doubles up on it and backs off with a right hand. Herbert stumbles, but that might be more due to an awkward step on the edge of the cage, and he recovers. Bedoya closes in on him and tries to take advantage of the moment, but Herbert gets out of danger. Bedoya slips several punches but walks into jabs, and Herbert scoots away from him and again takes a funny step. Bedoya clips Herbert with a right hand, and he lands it again after absorbing a jab. Herbert steps in with a knee, and he chops at the front leg. Bedoya walks him down consistently, keeping his guard up to block a pair of punches. Bedoya connects with a low kick, eats a knee and comes back with a right hand. Bedoya attempts to check a kick and eats a few punches for his effort. Herbert gets in a few punches, and Bedoya goes wide with responsive strikes. Bedoya loads up on a right hand that is easily dodged, and he gets blasted with a right hand but wears it shockingly well. Bedoya misses with a lumbering hook and runs into the wall, and when he recovers, he catches Herbert with a left. Bedoya attempts a spinning back fist, and Herbert boxes him up to the horn.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (30-27 Herbert)
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (29-28 Herbert)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Herbert (30-27 Herbert)

The Official Result
Jai Herbert def. Rolando Bedoya via Unanimous Decision (30-27, 30-27, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Angelo picks Bedoya because of his high output and pressure, noting Herbert is a low-volume technical striker who often stares at opponents. He expects Bedoya to land over 100 significant strikes and win a decision. He placed a half-unit bet on Bedoya at +145, expecting the line to tighten.

Bet half a unit at +145
"Rolando's the pick and I threw a half a unit on him at plus 145"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady is taking another underdog here, citing Jai Herbert's low volume and poor durability. He notes Herbert has become tentative and lacks the chin for brawls, while Bedoya is cutting to lightweight for the first time and has volume and durability advantages. He predicts Bedoya wins by decision.

"I'm going with Boya here ji Herbert is a guy that I've never really been high on"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Cody picks Rolando Bedoya, citing his high volume and pressure. He notes that Bedoya lands over 100 significant strikes per fight, while Herbert has low output and tends to fade under pressure. Cody thinks Bedoya's durability and pace will overwhelm Herbert, who has been knocked out in three of four losses. He also mentions that Bedoya arguably beat Chas Skelly and should have won.

"Rolando bedya is my pick too."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Daniel picks Bedoya, viewing him as a high-volume brawler who can close the distance and overwhelm Herbert. He criticizes Herbert's low output and compares him to a poor man's Leon Edwards. He believes Bedoya's pace and pressure will be too much, especially now that he's at his natural weight class.

"I'm gonna go shoot the Box shoot the Box"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is the technically better fighter. If his durability holds up, he should out-volume and outpace Bedoya to win on the scorecards.

"ji Herbert if his durability can hold up for him I expect him to go out there out volume and outpace bedya and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Paul picks Rolando Bedoya, noting that Herbert has low volume and has been knocked out multiple times. He thinks Bedoya's volume and pressure will be too much for Herbert. Paul also mentions that Herbert was not booked for the UK card, which suggests the UFC doesn't value him highly. He believes Bedoya can win a decision or even stop Herbert.

"I'm going to be taking another Underdog here in Rolando badya."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert over Rolando Bedoya, noting Bedoya's lack of power and that he is moving down in weight. He believes Herbert's record is forged within the UFC and that Herbert will hurt Bedoya, possibly getting a TKO. He criticizes Bedoya's body and power, suggesting Herbert could land a front kick or knee to the body.

TKO
"I'm going to go J Herber over Rolando bedya... I just don't think Rolando badya has the power to get respect from ji Herber"
LOSS vs Song Kenan
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · Aug 26, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Song Kenan 1 75 of 149 50% 85 of 161 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:40
Rolando Bedoya 0 112 of 258 43% 112 of 260 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Song Kenan 0 16 of 34 47% 17 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Rolando Bedoya 0 32 of 77 41% 32 of 77 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
2 Song Kenan 0 24 of 50 48% 26 of 52 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:23
Rolando Bedoya 0 39 of 85 45% 39 of 86 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:13
3 Song Kenan 1 35 of 65 53% 42 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:17
Rolando Bedoya 0 41 of 96 42% 41 of 97 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Song Kenan 75 of 149 50% 54 of 118 16 of 24 5 of 7 68 of 140 6 of 8 1 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 112 of 258 43% 36 of 146 27 of 49 49 of 63 104 of 245 8 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Song Kenan 16 of 34 47% 7 of 22 6 of 8 3 of 4 15 of 31 1 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 32 of 77 41% 11 of 40 4 of 16 17 of 21 30 of 72 2 of 5 0 of 0
2 Song Kenan 24 of 50 48% 20 of 42 3 of 6 1 of 2 23 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 39 of 85 45% 10 of 49 14 of 19 15 of 17 36 of 81 3 of 4 0 of 0
3 Song Kenan 35 of 65 53% 27 of 54 7 of 10 1 of 1 30 of 60 4 of 4 1 of 1
Rolando Bedoya 41 of 96 42% 15 of 57 9 of 14 17 of 25 38 of 92 3 of 4 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 20, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Angelo believes Bedoya has a good chin to withstand Song's power, forward pressure, and grinding ability. He notes that Bedoya is a three-to-one favorite but winless in the UFC, so he includes him in a small two-fighter parlay to improve the odds. He is confident Bedoya wins.

Included in a small two-fighter parlay
"Ronaldo bedoya should win this fight he's got good enough chin to wear songs power probably won't matter"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady highlights Bedoya's incredible chin and durability, noting he has a brick for a head and can eat shots. He criticizes Bedoya's striking defense but believes his volume and power will overwhelm Song Kenan. He questions how Song can knock out someone with such a durable chin and predicts Bedoya will land big shots and finish Song.

knockout
"give me badoi to win this fight I'll say knocks out song Canon"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Cody picks Bedoya despite the high price, noting his impressive debut against Chaos Williams. He thinks Bedoya's durability and cardio will overwhelm Song Kenan, who has been inactive. Cody is not thrilled with the price but expects Bedoya to win.

"I think you walk so 350 yeah it's too much for an 0-1 guy but I mean that all in one guy should probably go out here and perform"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Daniel picks Rolando Bedoya, citing his massive volume advantage. He notes that Bedoya landed more strikes in round three of his last fight than Song has in any UFC fight. He believes Song's only path is a knockout, but Bedoya has a great chin and head movement. He mentions that Bedoya's calf kicks will be a major weapon against Song's heavy lead leg. He bet 2 units at -225 and is confident.

"I took Rolando at minus 225 about a week or two ago and uh you know so I take it on minus 225 and then the next day the line has already moved to minus 240 minus 250"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Aug 26, 2023 (fight day)
Rolando Bedoya

James is confident Bedoya wins, citing his pace, pressure, and durability after surviving Chaos Williams' power. He notes Song Kenan has low volume, poor cardio, and is getting older. He expects Bedoya to put the pace on Song and likely finish him late. He also mentions Bedoya's youth and grit as advantages.

Bedoya round 2 or 3 finish mentioned as likely
"I think bedoy is going to put the pace on him probably finish him"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

The host notes Song Kenan is on a two-fight losing streak and has moved to Kill Cliff FC to save his roster spot. He believes Song can be outworked and that Bedoya's forward pressure, relentless combinations, and power will catch up to Song. The host expects Bedoya to get his first UFC win by knockout, possibly in the second or third round, and calls Bedoya a 'star waiting to pop'.

"I think that bedoya is a star with waiting to pop he just needs a little bit more experience and this was the perfect matchup for him to try to bounce back."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Aug 24, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Song Kenan

Paul is tempted by the underdog on Song Kenan, citing the Asian fighter advantage and potential overvaluation of Bedoya after one fight. He notes Bedoya's price is inflated and Song Kenan has power. Paul is not confident but likes the value.

"I don't like song but like plus 250 you know Asian fighter in Asia"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

The MMA Guru picks Rolando Bedoya over Song Kenan, impressed by Bedoya's debut against Chaos Williams where he landed cleaner shots and showed composure. He notes Bedoya's youth (26), boxing technique, and low kicks. He criticizes Song Kenan's recent losses and damage taken, including a KO by Max Griffin and a beating from Ian Garry. He predicts a unanimous decision win for Bedoya, possibly 30-27.

Unanimous decision predicted
"I'm gonna swipe with Rolando bedoya very impressed with his debut and for a 26 year old I think he's got a bright future in the sport"
LOSS vs Khaos Williams
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · May 06, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Khaos Williams 0 130 of 283 45% 131 of 284 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:13
Rolando Bedoya 0 149 of 209 71% 150 of 210 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Khaos Williams 0 44 of 88 50% 45 of 89 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:48
Rolando Bedoya 0 44 of 56 78% 45 of 57 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
2 Khaos Williams 0 39 of 90 43% 39 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:18
Rolando Bedoya 0 40 of 60 66% 40 of 60 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Khaos Williams 0 47 of 105 44% 47 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Rolando Bedoya 0 65 of 93 69% 65 of 93 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Khaos Williams 130 of 283 45% 68 of 205 29 of 38 33 of 40 126 of 276 4 of 7 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 149 of 209 71% 103 of 150 15 of 17 31 of 42 136 of 196 13 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Khaos Williams 44 of 88 50% 21 of 59 15 of 19 8 of 10 42 of 84 2 of 4 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 44 of 56 78% 26 of 34 9 of 10 9 of 12 37 of 49 7 of 7 0 of 0
2 Khaos Williams 39 of 90 43% 17 of 60 8 of 13 14 of 17 37 of 87 2 of 3 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 40 of 60 66% 25 of 38 3 of 4 12 of 18 37 of 57 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Khaos Williams 47 of 105 44% 30 of 86 6 of 6 11 of 13 47 of 105 0 of 0 0 of 0
Rolando Bedoya 65 of 93 69% 52 of 78 3 of 3 10 of 12 62 of 90 3 of 3 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Rolando Bedoya vs. Kalinn Williams
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Williams (-305), Bedoya (+255)

Round 1
Carrying on the prelims is a welterweight clash when power puncher Williams (13-3, 4-2 UFC) introduces Peruvian newcomer Bedoya (14-1, 0-0 UFC) to the promotion. Fists are sure to fly soon, and referee Keith Peterson is right on top of the nonsense-free action when it begins. Before the looming slugfest, they tap their gloves together. Bedoya starts off with a leg kick, and Williams marches him down and slugs him in the face. Bedoya wobbles back, keeping his head on a swivel, and he appears no worse for wear after the charging salvo. Williams continues plodding forward, stringing punches together, and Bedoya skirts on the outside to protect his mug from the brunt of the damage. Williams shows no fear and throws caution to the wind, catching Bedoya but not hurting him, and the two wind up in the clinch. Bedoya sneaks up a few knees before breaking off, and he flashes out a jab when Williams comes at him. Bedoya pushes out a front kick and a one-two, and Williams no-sells it and throws a straight right hand down the pipe. Bedoya attacks the body with a kick, and he loads up with a few punches to the midsection. Bedoya grins and circles away, smacking the lead leg with a kick but getting belted in the face with a right hand from “Khaos.” Bedoya hammers the breadbasket with a few knees, and Williams gets one off on the break. Williams whiffs with a right hand, and he counters with a left over the guard. Williams intercepts his foe with a short right hand, and Bedoya flashes a big grin after taking it flush. “The Ox Fighter” goes for a kick to the body, and he strings several punches into a body kick as Bedoya grimaces. Bedoya fires back, and Williams grabs hold of his foe to conclude the close round.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 2
The second round kicks off with a body kick from the Peruvian fighter, and brimming with confidence, he throws one low. Williams counters with a calf kick, and he slides back from a windmilling right hand that zooms past his face. “Khaos” digs in another low kick, and he catches a front kick to land his shin on the inside. Williams cracks the chin with a few punches, and Bedoya smiles at him and shakes it off, only to absorb a chopping low kick at the end of a combination. Bedoya lets go with a leg kick, and he counters a kick with a right hand around the guard. Williams surges forward with three punches, making the Peruvian smile. They trade leg kicks, and Bedoya gets in a right hand and a front kick. Williams ignores it and comes out firing, and Bedoya catches him with another right on the chin. After a brief clinch, Williams splits it up with a sharp uppercut, and Bedoya answers with a leg kick that makes Williams frown. Williams scores two punches coming forward, and Bedoya shakes them off and starts showboating and taunting his foe. Williams does not bite, instead loading up with two leg kicks, and Bedoya makes a matador motion. Williams clubs his man with a looping left and a hard right leg kick, and Bedoya replies with a knee up the middle. The Peruvian fighter kicks low and then high, surprising “Khaos” with his shin to the chin. Williams tanks it without flinching, and he springs into action with a few punches and a body kick. Williams splits the guard with a pair of punches, and Bedoya answers with a leg kick that irritates Williams. To respond to that, the American pops him with a few punches, and both men tag the other in a fierce exchange. The two welterweights clash legs together with one final kick, and the round concludes.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 3
There is a final clap of hands to open up the last round, and they begin trading shortly thereafter. Williams smacks his shin on the inside of the leg, and he counters Bedoya’s kick with two punches down Broadway. This leads to a clinch, and they break away and sting one another with power shots. Williams lets fly four punches and a leg kick, and Bedoya replies with a few leg kicks to draw a reaction. Williams is intercepted when lunging, and he takes an elbow that stuns him. Bedoya decides to throw leather, and Williams obliges him and does not throw as many kicks. Bedoya flicks out a few jabs and shells up when Williams swings back at him with a vengeance. Bedoya slips back when tossing out a low kick, and Williams stands right in front of him and strikes. Williams absorbs a flush leg kick that makes him stumble, and his plant leg is compromised and he cannot throw quite as hard as before. Bedoya jabs and sticks a leg kick, and Williams replies in kind. They both push off with lefts, and Bedoya pops his man with a one-two. Williams gets clinched and breaks away with a vertical elbow, and he loops a right hand that smashes square into the newcomer’s chin. Bedoya’s beard is made of tougher stuff, as he does not appear fazed and instead goes right back to chopping at Williams’ leg. Bedoya throws, and Williams replies. Bedoya doubles up on a few jabs, and Williams hurts him with a leg kick. The two rock one another with right hands, and they gather their bearings and hear the final horn blare. This one could go either way.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Bedoya (29-28 Williams)

The Official Result
Kalinn Williams def. Rolando Bedoya via Split Decision (27-30, 29-28, 29-28)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams confidently, citing his insane power and durability. He notes that Rolando Bedoya is hittable, as seen in his fight against Pablo de Horta where he was consistently landed on. Angelo believes if Khaos lands with even 10% of the accuracy Pablo did, he will win by knockout. However, he acknowledges that if Bedoya's chin holds up, his volume could win a decision. Angelo plans to wait for round props before betting.

waiting for round props
"chaos is going to be the pick here he's as I mentioned the at least for now the biggest favorite on this card"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady picks Williams, calling it a terrible matchup for Bedoya. He notes Bedoya has awful striking defense, walking forward with his hands low, and Williams has elite power. He believes Williams will knock Bedoya out within the first two minutes, as Bedoya's style of eating punches won't work against a power puncher like Williams.

First round knockout prediction
"I think chaos Williams starches bedoya within the first two minutes"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Cody is very confident in Williams, describing Bedoya as a 'dead man walking.' He notes Bedoya's competition in Peru is weak, his striking is wild and technical, and he has no wrestling to avoid Williams' power. Williams has improved significantly, training with top guys, and has knockout power in both hands. He expects an early KO.

Williams inside the distance; Williams round 1
"I would think Roland bedoya is a Dead Man Walking On The Green Mile"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Connor agrees, noting Williams has power and a blitzing style that will work against Bedoya's poor defense. He mentions Williams is durable and has been in scrappy fights. Bedoya is fun but too reckless, and Williams should win.

Bedoya opened +231, now +264; Williams opened -280, now -313.
"Yeah, I mean, I think the prevailing feeling about this matchup should be, why is it happening?"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The host picks Khaos Williams by knockout in the second round. He believes Williams' higher level experience and bigger knockout power will be decisive in a wild exchange. He notes there is value on Bedoya but prefers the more battle-tested fighter. He also recommends the fight doesn't go to decision.

Fight doesn't go to decision, Williams by knockout round 2
"give me chaos Williams by knockout probably in the second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 3, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Paul agrees, saying the obvious play is Williams inside the distance. He notes Williams has 'death touch' and is overdue for a knockout. He expects Williams to come out aggressive and finish early.

Williams inside the distance
"the obvious play is chaos Williams inside the distance"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 1, 2023 (5 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

The Guru picks Williams, calling Bedoya's debut a terrible matchup. He notes Williams' reach advantage and power, and that Bedoya has been off for over a year. He expects Williams to land a first-round KO, as Bedoya will have octagon jitters on a PPV card.

first round KO
"I think it's a recipe for a first round KO for chaos Williams here"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked May 4, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Zane picks Williams because of his massive power and blitzing style, which should overwhelm Bedoya's poor defense. He notes Bedoya is fun but messy, and Williams is durable and can force his fight. Bedoya is likely to get sucked into Williams' brawl and won't make him do something else.

Bedoya opened +231, now +264; Williams opened -280, now -313.
"I don't see Bedoya making him do something else. Everybody should be picking Williams until proved otherwise."
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Angelo picks Bedoya because of his high output and pressure, noting Herbert is a low-volume technical striker who often stares at opponents. He expects Bedoya to land over 100 significant strikes and win a decision. He placed a half-unit bet on Bedoya at +145, expecting the line to tighten.

Bet half a unit at +145
"Rolando's the pick and I threw a half a unit on him at plus 145"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Big Brady is taking another underdog here, citing Jai Herbert's low volume and poor durability. He notes Herbert has become tentative and lacks the chin for brawls, while Bedoya is cutting to lightweight for the first time and has volume and durability advantages. He predicts Bedoya wins by decision.

"I'm going with Boya here ji Herbert is a guy that I've never really been high on"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Cody picks Rolando Bedoya, citing his high volume and pressure. He notes that Bedoya lands over 100 significant strikes per fight, while Herbert has low output and tends to fade under pressure. Cody thinks Bedoya's durability and pace will overwhelm Herbert, who has been knocked out in three of four losses. He also mentions that Bedoya arguably beat Chas Skelly and should have won.

"Rolando bedya is my pick too."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jul 31, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Daniel picks Bedoya, viewing him as a high-volume brawler who can close the distance and overwhelm Herbert. He criticizes Herbert's low output and compares him to a poor man's Leon Edwards. He believes Bedoya's pace and pressure will be too much, especially now that he's at his natural weight class.

"I'm gonna go shoot the Box shoot the Box"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 1, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

Herbert is the technically better fighter. If his durability holds up, he should out-volume and outpace Bedoya to win on the scorecards.

"ji Herbert if his durability can hold up for him I expect him to go out there out volume and outpace bedya and win this fight on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Rolando Bedoya

Paul picks Rolando Bedoya, noting that Herbert has low volume and has been knocked out multiple times. He thinks Bedoya's volume and pressure will be too much for Herbert. Paul also mentions that Herbert was not booked for the UK card, which suggests the UFC doesn't value him highly. He believes Bedoya can win a decision or even stop Herbert.

"I'm going to be taking another Underdog here in Rolando badya."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Jai Herbert

The MMA Guru picks Jai Herbert over Rolando Bedoya, noting Bedoya's lack of power and that he is moving down in weight. He believes Herbert's record is forged within the UFC and that Herbert will hurt Bedoya, possibly getting a TKO. He criticizes Bedoya's body and power, suggesting Herbert could land a front kick or knee to the body.

TKO
"I'm going to go J Herber over Rolando bedya... I just don't think Rolando badya has the power to get respect from ji Herber"