Career Averages - Harry Hardwick
Career Averages - Kauê Fernandes
Harry Hardwick
Kauê Fernandes
Harry Hardwick - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marwan Rahiki | 0 | 90 of 164 | 54% | 93 of 171 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Harry Hardwick | 0 | 65 of 149 | 43% | 76 of 164 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:44 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marwan Rahiki | 0 | 44 of 83 | 53% | 44 of 83 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Harry Hardwick | 0 | 40 of 94 | 42% | 44 of 102 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:36 | |
| 2 | Marwan Rahiki | 0 | 46 of 81 | 56% | 49 of 88 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 1:35 |
| Harry Hardwick | 0 | 25 of 55 | 45% | 32 of 62 | 0 of 1 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marwan Rahiki | 90 of 164 | 54% | 60 of 126 | 18 of 25 | 12 of 13 | 88 of 160 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Harry Hardwick | 65 of 149 | 43% | 39 of 117 | 11 of 13 | 15 of 19 | 65 of 148 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marwan Rahiki | 44 of 83 | 53% | 26 of 59 | 7 of 12 | 11 of 12 | 44 of 83 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Harry Hardwick | 40 of 94 | 42% | 23 of 74 | 7 of 8 | 10 of 12 | 40 of 93 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Marwan Rahiki | 46 of 81 | 56% | 34 of 67 | 11 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 44 of 77 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Harry Hardwick | 25 of 55 | 45% | 16 of 43 | 4 of 5 | 5 of 7 | 25 of 55 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Play-by-Play
View on SherdogBETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Rahiki (-270); Hardwick (+220)
Round 1
Eric McMahon is the referee. Rahiki has a kick checked. A straight right lands for Rahiki. Hardwick catches a kick and nimbly jumps on his foe’s back, locking in a body triangle as Rahiki carries him. Rahiki shrugs his foe off and they’re back to standing. Rahiki with a front kick, Hardiwck lands a crisp right. Hardwick lands a few nice straight shots before Rahiki lands a body kick. A right snaps Rahiki’s head back. Rahiki follows a front kick with a leg kick. Rahiki wings a hook. Hardwick angles off and lands a right hook. Rahiki targets the legs with a pair of low kicks. Knee stomps from Rahiki. Hardwick eats a jab. A low kick makes Rahiki stujble. Hardwick jabs the body, catches a kick and follows Rahiki to the fence. A stiff jab lands for Rahiki. Hardwick makes Rahiki stubmle with a kick. Rahiki goes on the offensive, winging powerful hooks and tagging Hardwick. The Brit is in the fight, and he fires back in the pocket. Now Hardwick is moving forward. They trade low kicks. Rahiki blocks a head kick and wings more power hooks Hardwick’s way. Rahiki ends the round with a spinning back kick to the body.
Sherdog Scores
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Rahiki
Brian Knapp scores the round: 10-9 Rahiki
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Rahiki
Round 2
Rahiki blocks a body kick. A left by Hardwick backs up Rahiki. Rahiki knows Hardwick off balance with a clean head kick. Rahiki stalks him and tees off witha barrage of punches near the fence. hardwick answers, moving forward and landing combinations of his own. Hardwick lands some straight pucnhes, but Rahiki wobbles hardwick with hooks. Rahiki unloads with a flurry against the fence, and it seems like the fence was holding up Hardwick. Hardwick punches his way back to the center of the Octagon. Hardwick clinches, but Rahiki gets space and again lands heavy shots near the fence. Hardwick is bleeding from the mouth now. Rahiki flicks out a stiff jab. Hardwick has a head kick block, and Rahiki lands a spinning back kick to the body. Hardwick lands a takedown, but Rahiki reverses into top position. Hardwick recovers fulll guard and locks in a body triangle, giving himself a breather after some furious action. Not a lot of action on the ground here, as Hardwick is neutralizing Rahiki. Rahiki stands and immediately fires a head kick as Hardwick stands. Both fighters misfire on some kicks before the horn. While it appeared the fight would go to a third round, Hardwick reveals to his corner that he has a broken jaw. As a result, the bout is waved off after two rounds. Rahiki will win his UFC debut.
The Official Result
Marwan Rahiki def. Harry Hardwick via TKO (Jaw Injury) R2 5:00
Angelo picks Marwan Rahiki but with low confidence. He likes Marwan's aggression, creativity, and volume, and thinks he will get in Harry's face and land clean. He notes that Harry Hardwick had a poor UFC debut but attributes it to short notice and a bad stylistic matchup. He is not ready to parlay Marwan yet.
Big Brady picks Marwan Rahiki to win by second-round knockout. He acknowledges Rahiki's defensive flaws but believes Hardwick's poor striking defense and tendency to eat punches will be exploited. He notes Hardwick's chin may not hold up against Rahiki's power, and expects Rahiki to land big shots.
Cody picks Hardwick as a dog, citing his experience, heart, and superior ground game. He notes Rahiki's defensive flaws and susceptibility to being hit. He thinks Hardwick can take him down and submit him or win a decision.
Connor picks Rahiki, agreeing that Hardwick is not on the same physical tier. He notes Rahiki's toughness and ability to keep attacking even after getting hurt, while Hardwick lacks the tactical depth to overcome the athletic gap.
James picks Marwan Rahiki to win, predicting a first-round stoppage. He acknowledges Rahiki's poor defense and tendency to get dropped but believes his athleticism, power, and dynamic striking will overwhelm Hardwick, who was finished by calf kicks in his debut. He notes Hardwick's durability and cardio but thinks Rahiki's early firepower will be decisive. He is torn and mentions Hardwick's submission as a possible prop.
The host picks Rahiki to win inside the distance, believing he is the better all-around fighter with slick striking and superior jiu-jitsu. He expects Rahiki to avoid Hardwick's pressure and volume, and potentially replicate Fernandez's leg kick strategy. He notes that Hardwick's durability and cardio could make it competitive, but Rahiki's finishing ability should prevail.
Paul picks Hardwick, noting his experience and ability to make it close. He thinks Hardwick's heart and durability will be key. He expects a competitive fight and Hardwick to cover the spread.
The Guru picks Harry Hardwick as a plus-200 underdog, believing he is better at featherweight and that Rahiki struggled against lesser competition. He notes Hardwick's tough chin, building striking, and nasty back takes. He predicts a submission win, possibly a rear naked choke in the second or third round.
Zane picks Rahiki, citing the athletic gap. Hardwick is a quadruple A fighter who couldn't scare Fernandez, while Rahiki is on another physical level and tough. He notes Rahiki's defensive liabilities but believes his speed and power will overwhelm Hardwick.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Hardwick | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 1 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 24 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harry Hardwick | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 1 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 24 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Hardwick | 8 of 23 | 34% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 24 of 40 | 60% | 11 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 12 | 24 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harry Hardwick | 8 of 23 | 34% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 24 of 40 | 60% | 11 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 12 | 24 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Kauê Fernandes, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He acknowledges Hardwick is taking the fight on short notice and moving up in weight. He believes Fernandes will win the first two rounds and possibly slow in the third, predicting a decision.
Kauê Fernandes - Fight History
Angelo picks Kauê Fernandes confidently, criticizing the hype around Ziam. He believes Fernandes' aggression, grappling, and well-rounded skills will be too much for Ziam's point-fighting style. He notes that Ziam's wins are not as impressive as they seem. He plans to bet on Fernandes via a +3.5 round handicap when available, as he only needs Fernandes to win one round for that bet to cash.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Hardwick | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 1 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 24 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harry Hardwick | 0 | 8 of 23 | 34% | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 1 | 24 of 40 | 60% | 24 of 40 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Hardwick | 8 of 23 | 34% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 24 of 40 | 60% | 11 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 12 | 24 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harry Hardwick | 8 of 23 | 34% | 6 of 18 | 0 of 3 | 2 of 2 | 8 of 23 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 24 of 40 | 60% | 11 of 24 | 3 of 4 | 10 of 12 | 24 of 39 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 1 |
Big Brady picks Kauê Fernandes, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He acknowledges Hardwick is taking the fight on short notice and moving up in weight. He believes Fernandes will win the first two rounds and possibly slow in the third, predicting a decision.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guram Kutateladze | 0 | 29 of 71 | 40% | 36 of 81 | 0 of 5 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 2 | 79 of 149 | 53% | 79 of 149 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:43 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guram Kutateladze | 0 | 7 of 21 | 33% | 7 of 21 | 0 of 3 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:05 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 26 of 50 | 52% | 26 of 50 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:07 | |
| 2 | Guram Kutateladze | 0 | 9 of 21 | 42% | 10 of 22 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 1 | 30 of 53 | 56% | 30 of 53 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:05 | |
| 3 | Guram Kutateladze | 0 | 13 of 29 | 44% | 19 of 38 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 1 | 23 of 46 | 50% | 23 of 46 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:31 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guram Kutateladze | 29 of 71 | 40% | 16 of 51 | 10 of 15 | 3 of 5 | 23 of 64 | 6 of 7 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 79 of 149 | 53% | 40 of 103 | 16 of 19 | 23 of 27 | 62 of 127 | 5 of 5 | 12 of 17 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guram Kutateladze | 7 of 21 | 33% | 3 of 14 | 3 of 5 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 18 | 2 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 26 of 50 | 52% | 14 of 34 | 5 of 6 | 7 of 10 | 26 of 50 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 | |
| 2 | Guram Kutateladze | 9 of 21 | 42% | 6 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 6 of 18 | 3 of 3 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 30 of 53 | 56% | 15 of 37 | 7 of 7 | 8 of 9 | 17 of 35 | 4 of 4 | 9 of 14 | |
| 3 | Guram Kutateladze | 13 of 29 | 44% | 7 of 19 | 4 of 7 | 2 of 3 | 12 of 28 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 23 of 46 | 50% | 11 of 32 | 4 of 6 | 8 of 8 | 19 of 42 | 1 of 1 | 3 of 3 |
Angelo picks Kauê Fernandes as a 3-to-1 underdog, citing Guram Kutateladze's declining chin and recent struggles. He notes Guram was dropped in his last fight and is not the same prospect he once was. Angelo believes Kauê's forward pressure and power will be too much, though he is not betting the moneyline due to the long odds. He considers prop bets like inside distance or plus 3.5 rounds instead.
Brady sees Guram as a big favorite and expects him to take over as the fight goes on. He notes that Kauê has terrible cardio and takedown defense, so Guram can mix in takedowns and win minutes. Brady predicts a competitive early round but Guram pulling away and winning by decision.
The host believes Kutateladze's Muay Thai and wrestling will nullify most of Fernandes's offense, leading to a decision victory. He emphasizes Kutateladze's overall game and ability to control the fight.
The Guru leans towards Guram Kutateladze, citing him as the more well-rounded and technical fighter. He notes that Kauê Fernandes has a good finish over Muhammad Yaya but considers Yaya a low-level opponent. He believes Guram's recent loss to Elves Brener was competitive and that Guram was winning until he faded. He expects the fight to go to a decision or late finish, with Guram winning 2-1 on rounds.
Angelo leans towards Kauê Fernandes as an underdog, arguing that the odds are too wide. He notes that Jared Gordon's only real path to victory is wrestling, and Fernandes has solid takedown defense (62%) and dangerous striking. He worries about Fernandes' takedown defense but thinks Fernandes can win if he uses leg kicks to take away Gordon's wrestling.
The MMA Guru picks Jared Gordon to win by finish in the second or third round. He heavily criticizes Kauê Fernandes' competition level, noting his opponents have poor records and he has not fought anyone decent. He believes Gordon's well-rounded skills and consistency will overwhelm Fernandes, who likely needs an early finish to win.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 1 | 37 of 63 | 58% | 37 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 18 | 22% | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 1 | 37 of 63 | 58% | 37 of 63 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:09 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 18 | 22% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 37 of 63 | 58% | 21 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 18 | 22% | 2 of 15 | 0 of 1 | 2 of 2 | 4 of 18 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
| Mohammad Yahya | 37 of 63 | 58% | 21 of 44 | 6 of 9 | 10 of 10 | 29 of 49 | 0 of 0 | 8 of 14 |
Angelo is very confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya terrible and noting he falls over for no reason. He thinks Fernandes is better everywhere and should win a straightforward decision due to Yahya's toughness. He made the pick without much tape study.
Big Brady is confident in Fernandes, calling Yahya's performance against Trevor Peak one of the worst he's ever seen. He thinks Yahya is not UFC level, while Fernandes has solid striking, power, and a sneaky submission game. He predicts Fernandes wins by first-round knockout, noting the line is steep but the pick is clear.
Cody picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was outwrestled by Trevor Peek and has poor takedown defense. He thinks Fernandes can keep the fight standing and use his superior striking. However, Cody worries about Fernandes's cardio and notes that if he doesn't finish early, Yahya could take over. He also mentions that Yahya is the hometown fighter and could get a favorable decision.
Daniel leans towards Fernandes, viewing him as a better version of Yahya with more physicality and experience. However, he is not confident enough to lay -400 on an unproven fighter, so he calls it a pass but gives a lean.
Yahya can grind out Fernandes, who has been grinded out in past fights and spends too much time on his back. At +340, Yahya is worth a sprinkle to win on the scorecards.
Paul picks Kauê Fernandes, noting that Yahya was dominated by Trevor Peek and has poor wrestling. He thinks Fernandes can implement a similar game plan and possibly find a submission. Paul acknowledges Fernandes's cardio issues but believes he can win early. He also mentions that the line is wide but Fernandes is the better striker.
The MMA Guru picks Kauê Fernandes over Mohammad Yahya, despite Yahya being the local Abu Dhabi fighter. He thinks Fernandes is more technical and composed, and can take advantage of Yahya's sloppy style. He notes Yahya got bruised up by Trevor Peek and that Fernandes is sharper. He mentions the split decision loss to Mark O. Madsen as a good sign.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Diakiese | 0 | 23 of 42 | 54% | 67 of 92 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:27 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 13 of 32 | 40% | 65 of 92 | 3 of 8 | 37% | 0 | 1 | 8:38 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc Diakiese | 0 | 6 of 13 | 46% | 17 of 25 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 1:00 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 10 | 40% | 14 of 21 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 1 | 2:33 | |
| 2 | Marc Diakiese | 0 | 10 of 19 | 52% | 20 of 31 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:08 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 4 of 12 | 33% | 16 of 29 | 1 of 4 | 25% | 0 | 0 | 2:50 | |
| 3 | Marc Diakiese | 0 | 7 of 10 | 70% | 30 of 36 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:19 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 0 | 5 of 10 | 50% | 35 of 42 | 1 of 3 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 3:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Diakiese | 23 of 42 | 54% | 6 of 20 | 8 of 13 | 9 of 9 | 21 of 38 | 2 of 4 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 13 of 32 | 40% | 11 of 26 | 2 of 5 | 0 of 1 | 7 of 18 | 2 of 4 | 4 of 10 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marc Diakiese | 6 of 13 | 46% | 2 of 6 | 2 of 5 | 2 of 2 | 5 of 11 | 1 of 2 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 10 | 40% | 3 of 7 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 5 | |
| 2 | Marc Diakiese | 10 of 19 | 52% | 2 of 9 | 5 of 7 | 3 of 3 | 9 of 18 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 4 of 12 | 33% | 4 of 10 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 3 of 9 | 1 of 3 | 0 of 0 | |
| 3 | Marc Diakiese | 7 of 10 | 70% | 2 of 5 | 1 of 1 | 4 of 4 | 7 of 9 | 0 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Kauê Fernandes | 5 of 10 | 50% | 4 of 9 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 3 of 4 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 5 |
Angelo leans towards Fernandes despite Diakiese's experience and competition edge. He believes Fernandes can defend takedowns and will stay in Diakiese's face with striking, causing trouble. He notes Diakiese has become more of a wrestler lately, but his wrestling is decent at best, while Fernandes has solid takedown defense. Angelo placed a small underdog bet on Fernandes at +145, noting the line is tightening.
Big Brady picks Marc Diakiese to win by decision. He notes that Diakiese has evolved into a wrestler, with 11 takedowns against Slava Borshchev and 8 against Damir Hadzovic. He trusts Diakiese's cardio and fight IQ, and believes Fernandes is dangerous early but fades. He also mentions that Diakiese's submission loss to Joel Alvarez was due to a head clash.
Daniel Levi picks Marc Diakiese, citing his UFC experience, improved cardio, and well-rounded game. He notes that Diakiese has evolved from a dynamic striker to a more complete fighter who uses offensive wrestling. Levi acknowledges Diakiese's inconsistency and tendency to flake, but believes this is a step down in competition. He sees Fernandes as dangerous early with his BJJ and head kicks, but expects Diakiese's cardio and wrestling to take over in later rounds. Levi is leaning Diakiese but not with high confidence.
James acknowledges that Diakiese deserves to be a favorite but sees too much danger on the Fernandes side due to his unproven UFC debut and potential cardio issues. He notes that Diakiese has been submitted multiple times and that Fernandes has speed and power, but he also points out that Fernandes gassed in his last extended fight. Ultimately, James is not betting this fight because he cannot trust either fighter, but he leans Diakiese as the rightful favorite.
Diakiese has a solid submission defense to thwart Fernandes' offensive attacks on the mat. As the fight goes into deeper waters, Diakiese will find it easier to control Fernandes on the mat and do good work from top position. Diakiese is good enough in the striking realm to deal with Fernandes' early threat, and will likely drag the fight to the ground and grind out a decision win.
The MMA Guru picks Marc Diakiese over Kauê Fernandes. He notes that Fernandes is a good regional fighter with finishing potential, but he gassed after the first round when facing adversity. Diakiese is tough to finish early, having only lost to Joel Alvarez due to a head clash. The Guru expects Diakiese to weather an early storm and then take over in the later rounds via grappling, predicting a third-round TKO or submission.
Expert Picks (1)
Big Brady picks Kauê Fernandes, noting his improved takedown defense and cardio. He acknowledges Hardwick is taking the fight on short notice and moving up in weight. He believes Fernandes will win the first two rounds and possibly slow in the third, predicting a decision.
Comments (1)
Harry talked shit about Lion heart smith and then got bodied the same way. Kaue kicks were on point. Hard fighting up a weightclass for Harry not necessarily his fault
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