vs
-333 +290
UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025 · Bantamweight · Completed
Age 32
Height 5' 11"
Reach 70"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Southpaw
Age 29
Height 5' 10"
Reach 72"
Weight 135 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Patchy Mix
5.3 SLpM
43.0% Str. Acc.
7.3 SApM
43.0% Str. Def.
2.5 TD Avg
62.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
0.0 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Jakub Wiklacz
3.4 SLpM
44.0% Str. Acc.
3.87 SApM
46.0% Str. Def.
0.0 TD Avg
0.0% TD Acc.
41.0% TD Def.
2.5 Sub. Avg
Patchy Mix
Moneyline
BetWay -333
KO/TKO
FanDuel +850
Submission
BetWay +175
Decision
FanDuel +175
Jakub Wiklacz
Moneyline
Caesars +290
KO/TKO
FanDuel +2200
Submission
FanDuel +1100
Decision
FanDuel +450
Patchy Mix - Fight History
LOSS vs Jakub Wiklacz
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Patchy Mix 0 37 of 58 63% 75 of 101 5 of 7 71% 0 0 7:41
Jakub Wiklacz 0 46 of 83 55% 107 of 147 0 of 0 --- 3 1 2:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Patchy Mix 0 5 of 8 62% 11 of 14 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:48
Jakub Wiklacz 0 13 of 24 54% 28 of 40 0 of 0 --- 1 1 2:01
2 Patchy Mix 0 25 of 41 60% 35 of 51 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:17
Jakub Wiklacz 0 31 of 56 55% 48 of 74 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:03
3 Patchy Mix 0 7 of 9 77% 29 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:36
Jakub Wiklacz 0 2 of 3 66% 31 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Patchy Mix 37 of 58 63% 23 of 40 6 of 9 8 of 9 25 of 42 5 of 6 7 of 10
Jakub Wiklacz 46 of 83 55% 21 of 43 22 of 35 3 of 5 38 of 74 4 of 4 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Patchy Mix 5 of 8 62% 2 of 3 0 of 1 3 of 4 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jakub Wiklacz 13 of 24 54% 7 of 12 5 of 10 1 of 2 9 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 5
2 Patchy Mix 25 of 41 60% 14 of 28 6 of 8 5 of 5 19 of 33 5 of 6 1 of 2
Jakub Wiklacz 31 of 56 55% 13 of 29 16 of 24 2 of 3 27 of 52 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Patchy Mix 7 of 9 77% 7 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 8
Jakub Wiklacz 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

Angelo is disappointed in Patchy Mix's UFC debut but acknowledges his pre-UFC grappling skills. He thinks Patchy is the better grappler in a grappler vs grappler matchup, and has higher level experience. However, he is not willing to bet on him at nearly 3-to-1 odds due to the terrible performance. He picks Patchy but says picks and bets are not the same.

Not touching this money.
"Patchy is a great grappler. He'll be fighting somebody who's also looking to grapple. So, for that reason, I got to pitch pick Patchy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

Big Brady sees this as a good buy-low spot on Patchy Mix after his disappointing UFC debut. He believes Mix is a much higher-level grappler than Wikłacz and is better everywhere. He notes that Wikłacz shoots sloppy takedowns, which could lead to a submission for Mix. He predicts Mix wins by submission, likely a front choke or guillotine.

Patchy Mix by submission.
"I like Mix. I think it's going to be some sort of front choke, maybe a guillotine. So I'm going to say Patchy Mix by sub."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Patchy Mix

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Mix because Wiklacz is a much softer matchup than Mario Bautista, who exposed Mix's struggles against fighters his own size. Connor notes that Wiklacz is not a superb athlete and is two inches shorter, making him more forgiving, but he still expects a challenge due to Wiklacz's tenacity.

Mix opened at -300, currently -300; Wiklacz opened at +250, currently +250
"I'm going to pick patchy mix to win as well."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Patchy Mix

Mix is seen as a better version of Wikłacz, having faced much tougher competition. The host expects Mix to outscramble, outgrapple, and outwrestle Wikłacz en route to a decision victory.

"I believe Mix is just a better version of Wikłacz and has been facing much tougher competition throughout his career and I think that will lead to him going out there out scrambling, out grappling and out wrestling Wikłacz on …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

The MMA Guru picks Patchy Mix, believing he is better than his last performance suggests. He notes Mix's solid resume and expects him to finish Jakub Wikłacz, who is an unproven prospect. He predicts a first-round submission, likely a guillotine.

first-round submission
"I'm going to go with Patchy Mix. I don't think this is some really great prospect that's going to be able to toppy topple Patchy Mix."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Patchy Mix

Zane picks Patchy Mix, noting that Wiklacz is a tenacious pressure fighter but lacks the elite athleticism and size that troubled Mix against Mario Bautista. He believes Mix should handle this matchup, but cautions that Mix still needs to prove he can beat fighters his own size, as his career has been built on smaller opponents.

Mix opened at -300, currently -300; Wiklacz opened at +250, currently +250
"I'm going to pick patchy mix to win as well."
LOSS vs Mario Bautista
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · Jun 07, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mario Bautista 0 173 of 302 57% 173 of 302 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Patchy Mix 0 122 of 304 40% 122 of 304 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mario Bautista 0 43 of 91 47% 43 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Patchy Mix 0 36 of 74 48% 36 of 74 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mario Bautista 0 65 of 103 63% 65 of 103 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Patchy Mix 0 59 of 111 53% 59 of 111 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Mario Bautista 0 65 of 108 60% 65 of 108 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Patchy Mix 0 27 of 119 22% 27 of 119 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mario Bautista 173 of 302 57% 96 of 216 58 of 66 19 of 20 172 of 301 1 of 1 0 of 0
Patchy Mix 122 of 304 40% 92 of 265 14 of 22 16 of 17 118 of 299 4 of 5 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mario Bautista 43 of 91 47% 18 of 60 18 of 24 7 of 7 43 of 91 0 of 0 0 of 0
Patchy Mix 36 of 74 48% 22 of 58 5 of 7 9 of 9 35 of 73 1 of 1 0 of 0
2 Mario Bautista 65 of 103 63% 42 of 78 20 of 21 3 of 4 64 of 102 1 of 1 0 of 0
Patchy Mix 59 of 111 53% 49 of 96 5 of 9 5 of 6 56 of 108 3 of 3 0 of 0
3 Mario Bautista 65 of 108 60% 36 of 78 20 of 21 9 of 9 65 of 108 0 of 0 0 of 0
Patchy Mix 27 of 119 22% 21 of 111 4 of 6 2 of 2 27 of 118 0 of 1 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 1, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

Angelo picks Patchy Mix despite Mario Bautista's seven-fight win streak. He notes Patchy is a dangerous grappler with 13 submission wins, but is one-dimensional. He thinks if Mario defends takedowns, he can win striking exchanges. However, he is influenced by Josh Thompson's confidence in Patchy and believes Mario's win over Aldo was a bad decision, so MMA karma may favor Patchy.

"I am going to pick Patchy though. ... Josh's confidence in Patchy and how good he is and how he's going to dominate here is pretty contagious."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 3, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

Big Brady picks Patchy Mix, citing his elite grappling and guillotine. He believes Mix will get Bautista down and stay there, eventually finding a submission. He questions Bautista's resume, noting close fights against Blackshear and Aldo, and thinks there is a levels difference in grappling. He predicts Mix by second-round submission.

Mix by submission in round 2
"I think Patchy gets Batista down here. And once he gets him down, I think he's staying there."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

Connor picks Patchy Mix, believing his elite grappling and ability to take Bautista down early and control him will be decisive. He acknowledges Bautista's scrambling is excellent but thinks Mix's positional grappling and backpacking style can neutralize Bautista's pressure. Connor admits it's a tough fight and Bautista could win if Mix fades.

Odds: Mix -174, Bautista +157. Connor thinks the odds are fair.
"I think I'm going to pick Patchy Mix."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Bautista is expected to shut down Mix's grappling game and then outstrike him on the feet, showcasing that he is the better striker. He will put together more damage and win on the scorecards.

"I think that we're going to see Bautista shut down the grappling game of Mitch or Mix and then eventually outstrike him on the feet, showcasing that he is the better striker and from there he'll be able to put …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 4, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

The MMA Guru picks Patchy Mix to finish Mario Bautista, citing Mix's impressive resume including wins over Horiguchi, Magomedov, and Pettis. He believes Mix is in his prime and has too much finishing potential. He predicts Mix will drop Bautista and submit him with a guillotine or anaconda choke in the first or second round. He criticizes Bautista's performance against Aldo.

Finish prediction: first or second round submission (guillotine or anaconda). Mentions a $10K bonus for a brutal finish.
"I've got Patchy Mix finishing Mario Batista and there's 10K on it."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Jun 5, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Mario Bautista

Zane picks Mario Bautista, citing his relentless pressure, excellent scrambling, and ability to win fights even after being taken down. He notes that Bautista's takedown defense is not great but he is a brilliant scrambler who wears opponents down. Zane thinks Mix's low output striking and reliance on takedowns may not be enough to keep Bautista off him for three rounds.

Odds: Mix -174, Bautista +157. Zane thinks the odds are close and reasonable.
"I got to pick Mario Batista here."
Jakub Wiklacz - Fight History
CANCEL vs Marcus McGhee
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 31, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Marcus McGhee

Angelo picks Marcus McGhee, citing his powerful hands, good cardio, and very good wrestling. He believes McGhee can win anywhere the fight goes and that John Yannis (Jakub Wiklacz) is too one-dimensional as a kickboxer. He notes McGhee's takedown defense and submission skills in scrambles, and feels the -550 odds are appropriate.

"Marcus McGee is a killer. He's got powerful hands, good cardio, very good wrestling. He's at a different level right now in his career than John Giannis is."
WIN vs Muin Gafurov
Submission R3 4:59 · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Feb 07, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muin Gafurov 0 79 of 158 50% 92 of 174 2 of 5 40% 0 0 1:44
Jakub Wiklacz 0 56 of 148 37% 97 of 193 0 of 0 --- 2 2 4:33
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muin Gafurov 0 27 of 61 44% 27 of 61 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:38
Jakub Wiklacz 0 27 of 67 40% 30 of 71 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Muin Gafurov 0 2 of 5 40% 11 of 17 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:14
Jakub Wiklacz 0 7 of 11 63% 45 of 51 0 of 0 --- 1 1 4:19
3 Muin Gafurov 0 50 of 92 54% 54 of 96 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:52
Jakub Wiklacz 0 22 of 70 31% 22 of 71 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:14
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muin Gafurov 79 of 158 50% 43 of 110 34 of 43 2 of 5 68 of 144 11 of 14 0 of 0
Jakub Wiklacz 56 of 148 37% 23 of 89 32 of 56 1 of 3 44 of 133 7 of 9 5 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muin Gafurov 27 of 61 44% 17 of 47 9 of 11 1 of 3 21 of 53 6 of 8 0 of 0
Jakub Wiklacz 27 of 67 40% 9 of 41 17 of 24 1 of 2 24 of 63 3 of 4 0 of 0
2 Muin Gafurov 2 of 5 40% 1 of 3 1 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jakub Wiklacz 7 of 11 63% 3 of 6 4 of 5 0 of 0 2 of 5 0 of 0 5 of 6
3 Muin Gafurov 50 of 92 54% 25 of 60 24 of 30 1 of 2 45 of 86 5 of 6 0 of 0
Jakub Wiklacz 22 of 70 31% 11 of 42 11 of 27 0 of 1 18 of 65 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Angelo picks Muin Gafurov, expressing confusion that 81% of Tapology voters picked Jakub Wikłacz. He describes Gafurov as an aggressive Tajik wrestler with good skills, power, and cardio. He notes Wikłacz is a nasty grappler but reckless, and in his last fight against Patchy Mix, he had no offensive wrestling success and poor wrestling defense. He thinks Gafurov hits hard and can wrestle, making this a straightforward win for him.

"I think Muin wins this fight. I don't know what I'm missing here."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Big Brady picks Muin Gafurov, noting that Gafurov is a well-rounded fighter who is a much better striker than Wikłacz. He believes Wikłacz needs to get the fight to the ground to win, but that will be difficult against Gafurov's wrestling and grappling. He expects Gafurov to win by decision.

by decision
"I like Gaffrov... I'm still going Gaffrov. I'm going to go Gaffrov to win this fight by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Cody also picks Wikłacz, highlighting his experience in five-round fights and ability to scramble. He notes Gafurov's one-dimensional wrestling and poor cardio. Cody expects Wikłacz to win a decision, possibly a split.

"Give me the Polish power. Get the job done."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Connor also picks Wiklacz, noting that Gafurov doesn't really make full use of his athletic ability to take command of a fight. He points out that Wiklacz is a solid, scrappy fighter who won't drift through the fight, unlike some of Gafurov's previous opponents. Connor expects a close fight but favors Wiklacz.

Wiklacz opened at +130, dropped to -115, back to +120; Gafurov opened at -150, currently -140
"I'll take Vic Watch as well. I think Gaffer does not really have the ability to, he doesn't really make full use of his athletic ability to take command of any fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Muin Gafurov

Lucrative James leans toward Muin Gafurov to win, citing his power and wrestling advantage. However, he is not confident because Gafurov can make poor decisions, like diving into submissions. James notes that Wikłacz is dangerous with submissions, so this is a close fight.

"I'm going to lean with Gaffarov just because on paper, he can win this fight if he comes in with good fight IQ and good game plan."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 3, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

The host picks Wikłacz, liking the plus money. He believes Wikłacz's height and reach advantage will allow him to stick Gafurov from distance, and that Gafurov's desperation takedowns will play into Wikłacz's submission game, particularly his guillotine. He notes Wikłacz is a solid submission specialist with a good kicking game and active submission threats, and that Gafurov has shown vulnerabilities to submissions in the past.

submission win
"I got to go with the poll here. I like that we're getting plus money on him right off the bat here. So, I'm going to go Yakov Vicwatch and I think he gets the submission win over Muen Gaffrov."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 4, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Paul picks Jakub Wikłacz, citing his superior volume and cardio. He notes Gafurov's low output and tendency to tire. Paul expects Wikłacz to take over in later rounds and win a decision, especially with judges favoring damage.

"I think I'm going to take Yakob White Claus again. He's plus money and he just cashes plus money."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 7, 2026 (fight day)
Jakub Wiklacz

The host picks Jakub Wikłacz (referred to as Youssef Wehbe, likely a mistake) over Muin Gafurov. He thinks Wikłacz is a decent prospect with submission ability and can get the better of grappling positions. He predicts a submission finish in the first two rounds.

submission in first two rounds
"I'm going to say that Youssef Wehbe gets a submission in the first two rounds over Muin Gafurov."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Lean picked Feb 6, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Jakub Wiklacz

Zane leans toward Wiklacz, noting that he is a big bantamweight who can make Gafurov's control difficult and will scrap the whole time. He believes Wiklacz is more likely to be scrapping consistently, while Gafurov doesn't make full use of his athletic ability. Zane expects a close fight.

Wiklacz opened at +130, dropped to -115, back to +120; Gafurov opened at -150, currently -140
"I think I'm going to take Vic Wash. Yeah. I'm leading that way myself that he can just with his size as a pretty big Bantam weight. Yep. He can make a lot of the control stuff that Gaffer would …"
WIN vs Patchy Mix
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 320 · Oct 04, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Patchy Mix 0 37 of 58 63% 75 of 101 5 of 7 71% 0 0 7:41
Jakub Wiklacz 0 46 of 83 55% 107 of 147 0 of 0 --- 3 1 2:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Patchy Mix 0 5 of 8 62% 11 of 14 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:48
Jakub Wiklacz 0 13 of 24 54% 28 of 40 0 of 0 --- 1 1 2:01
2 Patchy Mix 0 25 of 41 60% 35 of 51 2 of 4 50% 0 0 1:17
Jakub Wiklacz 0 31 of 56 55% 48 of 74 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:03
3 Patchy Mix 0 7 of 9 77% 29 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:36
Jakub Wiklacz 0 2 of 3 66% 31 of 33 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Patchy Mix 37 of 58 63% 23 of 40 6 of 9 8 of 9 25 of 42 5 of 6 7 of 10
Jakub Wiklacz 46 of 83 55% 21 of 43 22 of 35 3 of 5 38 of 74 4 of 4 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Patchy Mix 5 of 8 62% 2 of 3 0 of 1 3 of 4 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0
Jakub Wiklacz 13 of 24 54% 7 of 12 5 of 10 1 of 2 9 of 19 0 of 0 4 of 5
2 Patchy Mix 25 of 41 60% 14 of 28 6 of 8 5 of 5 19 of 33 5 of 6 1 of 2
Jakub Wiklacz 31 of 56 55% 13 of 29 16 of 24 2 of 3 27 of 52 4 of 4 0 of 0
3 Patchy Mix 7 of 9 77% 7 of 9 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 6 of 8
Jakub Wiklacz 2 of 3 66% 1 of 2 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

Angelo is disappointed in Patchy Mix's UFC debut but acknowledges his pre-UFC grappling skills. He thinks Patchy is the better grappler in a grappler vs grappler matchup, and has higher level experience. However, he is not willing to bet on him at nearly 3-to-1 odds due to the terrible performance. He picks Patchy but says picks and bets are not the same.

Not touching this money.
"Patchy is a great grappler. He'll be fighting somebody who's also looking to grapple. So, for that reason, I got to pitch pick Patchy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

Big Brady sees this as a good buy-low spot on Patchy Mix after his disappointing UFC debut. He believes Mix is a much higher-level grappler than Wikłacz and is better everywhere. He notes that Wikłacz shoots sloppy takedowns, which could lead to a submission for Mix. He predicts Mix wins by submission, likely a front choke or guillotine.

Patchy Mix by submission.
"I like Mix. I think it's going to be some sort of front choke, maybe a guillotine. So I'm going to say Patchy Mix by sub."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Patchy Mix

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Mix because Wiklacz is a much softer matchup than Mario Bautista, who exposed Mix's struggles against fighters his own size. Connor notes that Wiklacz is not a superb athlete and is two inches shorter, making him more forgiving, but he still expects a challenge due to Wiklacz's tenacity.

Mix opened at -300, currently -300; Wiklacz opened at +250, currently +250
"I'm going to pick patchy mix to win as well."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Patchy Mix

Mix is seen as a better version of Wikłacz, having faced much tougher competition. The host expects Mix to outscramble, outgrapple, and outwrestle Wikłacz en route to a decision victory.

"I believe Mix is just a better version of Wikłacz and has been facing much tougher competition throughout his career and I think that will lead to him going out there out scrambling, out grappling and out wrestling Wikłacz on …"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

The MMA Guru picks Patchy Mix, believing he is better than his last performance suggests. He notes Mix's solid resume and expects him to finish Jakub Wikłacz, who is an unproven prospect. He predicts a first-round submission, likely a guillotine.

first-round submission
"I'm going to go with Patchy Mix. I don't think this is some really great prospect that's going to be able to toppy topple Patchy Mix."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Patchy Mix

Zane picks Patchy Mix, noting that Wiklacz is a tenacious pressure fighter but lacks the elite athleticism and size that troubled Mix against Mario Bautista. He believes Mix should handle this matchup, but cautions that Mix still needs to prove he can beat fighters his own size, as his career has been built on smaller opponents.

Mix opened at -300, currently -300; Wiklacz opened at +250, currently +250
"I'm going to pick patchy mix to win as well."
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Sep 28, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

Angelo is disappointed in Patchy Mix's UFC debut but acknowledges his pre-UFC grappling skills. He thinks Patchy is the better grappler in a grappler vs grappler matchup, and has higher level experience. However, he is not willing to bet on him at nearly 3-to-1 odds due to the terrible performance. He picks Patchy but says picks and bets are not the same.

Not touching this money.
"Patchy is a great grappler. He'll be fighting somebody who's also looking to grapple. So, for that reason, I got to pitch pick Patchy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 2, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

Big Brady sees this as a good buy-low spot on Patchy Mix after his disappointing UFC debut. He believes Mix is a much higher-level grappler than Wikłacz and is better everywhere. He notes that Wikłacz shoots sloppy takedowns, which could lead to a submission for Mix. He predicts Mix wins by submission, likely a front choke or guillotine.

Patchy Mix by submission.
"I like Mix. I think it's going to be some sort of front choke, maybe a guillotine. So I'm going to say Patchy Mix by sub."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Patchy Mix

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Mix because Wiklacz is a much softer matchup than Mario Bautista, who exposed Mix's struggles against fighters his own size. Connor notes that Wiklacz is not a superb athlete and is two inches shorter, making him more forgiving, but he still expects a challenge due to Wiklacz's tenacity.

Mix opened at -300, currently -300; Wiklacz opened at +250, currently +250
"I'm going to pick patchy mix to win as well."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 4, 2025 (fight day)
Patchy Mix

Mix is seen as a better version of Wikłacz, having faced much tougher competition. The host expects Mix to outscramble, outgrapple, and outwrestle Wikłacz en route to a decision victory.

"I believe Mix is just a better version of Wikłacz and has been facing much tougher competition throughout his career and I think that will lead to him going out there out scrambling, out grappling and out wrestling Wikłacz on route to a decision victory."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 1, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Patchy Mix

The MMA Guru picks Patchy Mix, believing he is better than his last performance suggests. He notes Mix's solid resume and expects him to finish Jakub Wikłacz, who is an unproven prospect. He predicts a first-round submission, likely a guillotine.

first-round submission
"I'm going to go with Patchy Mix. I don't think this is some really great prospect that's going to be able to toppy topple Patchy Mix."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 3, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Patchy Mix

Zane picks Patchy Mix, noting that Wiklacz is a tenacious pressure fighter but lacks the elite athleticism and size that troubled Mix against Mario Bautista. He believes Mix should handle this matchup, but cautions that Mix still needs to prove he can beat fighters his own size, as his career has been built on smaller opponents.

Mix opened at -300, currently -300; Wiklacz opened at +250, currently +250
"I'm going to pick patchy mix to win as well."
Comments (1)
BR
brian 8 months ago

Such an odd fight. Patchy cardio is sus. Flat on the feet walking into punches ect. Jakub held guard. Nice butterfly reverse. Jakub went for 6+ gul subs and has nice kicks. Does a double kick often. Good legs for triangle off his back ect.