Career Averages - Tommy McMillen
Career Averages - Manolo Zecchini
Tommy McMillen - Fight History
AJ picks McMillen as his 'most confident value,' citing his wrestling, athleticism, and boxing advantage over Montes. He believes McMillen's pressure and power will break Montes, who has weak boxing. AJ expects a finish via KO or submission.
AJ picks Tommy McMillen to win, citing his freakish ability to escape submissions (as seen against David McGowan) and his wrestling base. He believes McMillen can turn the fight into a brawl and hurt Montes with wild shots. He expects a finish, possibly by KO, and notes McMillen's durability and pressure.
AJ picks Tommy McMillen, citing his wild brawling style and boxing advantage. He notes McMillen is undefeated and a state champion wrestler, while Montes has a submission threat but questionable boxing. AJ expects a dog fight where McMillen's chaos and pressure could overwhelm Montes.
AJ picks Tommy McMillen, citing his size advantage (6'0" vs 5'7"), reach, and wrestling base. He believes McMillen's submission defense is good (survived a guillotine on Contender Series) and that Montes' boxing is untested. He thinks McMillen will brawl and pull out a win, possibly by KO.
Angelo picks Tommy McMillen, reasoning that Tommy just needs to avoid the clinch and stay long to win, as Alberto Montes' takedowns are not very good. He trusts Tommy's training and believes he can win by striking. He also mentions a clothing sponsor connection but says the pick is based on skills.
Angelo picks Tommy McMillen, comparing Alberto Montes to a past hype train (Joel Alvarez) that he faded correctly. He notes Tommy's toughness and volume, and that the betting line has shifted toward Tommy. He calls it a razor-thin fight and expects a finish either way.
Big Brady picks Alberto Montes by submission, citing his front choke expertise. He believes Montes will find a grappling exchange and lock in a choke. He notes McMillan's poor striking defense and tendency to get into bad positions. He predicts a second-round submission.
Cody likes McMillen's pressure and volume, comparing him to Nate Landwehr. He notes McMillen's wrestling background and durability, and believes his forward pressure will break Montes, who has been rocked before. He sees value at minus 150 compared to other heavy favorites on the card.
Connor picks Montes, noting that McMillan is a 'complete trash fire' with no technique, just aggression and size. He compares McMillan to Roger Bowling, saying he tucks his head and trades. He believes Montes's counter-striking and front headlock series will be effective, and that McMillan's lack of defense will cost him. However, he acknowledges that McMillan's size and aggression could make it a messy fight.
Daniel Levi picks Alberto Montes to upset Tommy McMillen, believing Montes is more technical in all aspects of MMA. He notes McMillen leaves many openings and while McMillen has heart and pace, Montes has cleaner hands and dangerous front chokes. He expects Montes to capitalize on McMillen's defensive lapses.
McMillen was bet on Monday at odds of 1.85 (-118), which the host considers great value. He believes McMillen is slightly better everywhere: tough, durable, high pace, difficult to take down, and a relentless volume striker. Montes is solid but may not match McMillen's aggression and output. The host advises against betting McMillen at current odds of 1.61 (-165) as the value is gone. He also bets over 1.5 rounds at 1.83 for 1 unit.
Lucrative James picks Tommy McMillen to win by knockout, citing McMillen's pressure and cardio advantage as the fight goes later. He notes that Montes looks good early but tends to slow down, and McMillen's submission defense should neutralize Montes's d'arce choke threat. He considers betting McMillen as an underdog but acknowledges the fight is volatile.
The host is not high on either fighter but believes McMillan's grappling can avoid Montes' chokes and that McMillan will dictate the pace on the feet and win by knockout.
McMillen's grappling background should help him neutralize Montes' front choke series, and he can create chaos in the striking realm to find a finish. Montes is a submission-or-bust fighter who may struggle if he can't get a quick tap. McMillen's pressure and durability should lead to a knockout win.
Paul picks McMillen, citing his pressure game and ability to drown opponents before gassing himself. He acknowledges McMillen's mistakes but thinks his pace and wrestling will be too much for Montes, who relies on front headlock submissions. He believes McMillen can avoid bad positions and win.
The MMA Guru picks Tommy McMillan over Alberto Montes, citing McMillan's pressure, size advantage (6'0" vs 5'7"), and superior wrestling. He believes McMillan will wear on Montes and finish him with knees against the cage in round two. He notes McMillan's grit and ability to escape bad positions.
Zane picks Montes but is uncertain. He notes that Montes has good counter shots and a front headlock series that should handle McMillan's pressure. However, he acknowledges that McMillan is huge and aggressive, and that Montes can be too slick and reactive. He worries that McMillan's size and relentless pressure could overwhelm Montes, who is an undersized featherweight.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy McMillen | 1 | 74 of 134 | 55% | 76 of 138 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 0 | 20 of 61 | 32% | 21 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy McMillen | 1 | 74 of 134 | 55% | 76 of 138 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 0 | 20 of 61 | 32% | 21 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy McMillen | 74 of 134 | 55% | 51 of 98 | 23 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 62 of 113 | 9 of 16 | 3 of 5 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 20 of 61 | 32% | 14 of 48 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 19 of 56 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy McMillen | 74 of 134 | 55% | 51 of 98 | 23 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 62 of 113 | 9 of 16 | 3 of 5 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 20 of 61 | 32% | 14 of 48 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 19 of 56 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Tommy McMillen, viewing it as a showcase fight set up by the UFC. He notes McMillen is exciting and tough but also very hitable. He believes McMillen will win spectacularly but warns he may be a busted prospect in future fights. Angelo does not see Manolo Zecchini winning.
Big Brady is extremely confident McMillen will win, calling Zecchini a 'bum' who hasn't fought in three years. He expects McMillen to take Zecchini down and submit him in the first round, as Zecchini has no ground game.
Cody picks McMillen by TKO, expecting him to overwhelm Zecchini with pressure and striking. He notes McMillen's wrestling and tenacity, and believes Zecchini will fold under pressure.
Connor agrees, calling it a prelim fodder fight. He notes that Zecchini has been finished in almost all his losses and only beats bad regional opponents. Connor believes McMillen will march through him and that the fight will build hype for McMillen as a violent finisher.
The host says McMillen is a huge favorite but unplayable due to terrible odds. He notes McMillen is tough and well-rounded, but the odds are too aggressive. He suggests only Zecchini is worth a bet as a dog, but he doesn't take it because McMillen is better everywhere. He will look for live betting opportunities.
James picks Tommy McMillen to win easily, predicting a round one submission via front choke. He notes McMillen's hype but questions his striking defense, though he believes Zecchini is not UFC-level and has been out since 2023. He expects McMillen's grappling to be the difference, possibly setting up a submission after hurting Zecchini on the feet.
James mentions Tommy McMillon as a high prospect but does not give a pick for the fight. He only notes the matchup exists.
The host expects McMillen to win via submission, likely in the first round and a half, given his BJJ skills and Zecchini's layoff and unimpressive striking. He notes the UFC is giving McMillen a favorable matchup to push him. However, he has low confidence due to the heavy chalk and advises against parlaying such a short price.
Paul picks McMillen by submission, noting his guillotine and rear-naked choke wins. However, he acknowledges Zecchini may not shoot takedowns, so McMillen might win by TKO instead.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Tommy McMillen, highlighting his wrestling pedigree, striking similar to Sean O'Malley, and his dominant Contender Series win. He notes that Manolo Zecchini was easily finished by Morgan Charriere and expects McMillen to win by TKO or submission.
Zane picks McMillen, describing him as a wild man who fights like he doesn't care about winning or losing. He notes that Zecchini is a step down from McMillen's previous opponent and that Zecchini has poor pacing and technique. Zane believes McMillen's aggression will overwhelm Zecchini, who tends to go backwards and lose.
Manolo Zecchini - Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy McMillen | 1 | 74 of 134 | 55% | 76 of 138 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 0 | 20 of 61 | 32% | 21 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy McMillen | 1 | 74 of 134 | 55% | 76 of 138 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:06 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 0 | 20 of 61 | 32% | 21 of 64 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:15 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy McMillen | 74 of 134 | 55% | 51 of 98 | 23 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 62 of 113 | 9 of 16 | 3 of 5 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 20 of 61 | 32% | 14 of 48 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 19 of 56 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tommy McMillen | 74 of 134 | 55% | 51 of 98 | 23 of 36 | 0 of 0 | 62 of 113 | 9 of 16 | 3 of 5 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 20 of 61 | 32% | 14 of 48 | 6 of 12 | 0 of 1 | 19 of 56 | 1 of 5 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Tommy McMillen, viewing it as a showcase fight set up by the UFC. He notes McMillen is exciting and tough but also very hitable. He believes McMillen will win spectacularly but warns he may be a busted prospect in future fights. Angelo does not see Manolo Zecchini winning.
Big Brady is extremely confident McMillen will win, calling Zecchini a 'bum' who hasn't fought in three years. He expects McMillen to take Zecchini down and submit him in the first round, as Zecchini has no ground game.
Cody picks McMillen by TKO, expecting him to overwhelm Zecchini with pressure and striking. He notes McMillen's wrestling and tenacity, and believes Zecchini will fold under pressure.
Connor agrees, calling it a prelim fodder fight. He notes that Zecchini has been finished in almost all his losses and only beats bad regional opponents. Connor believes McMillen will march through him and that the fight will build hype for McMillen as a violent finisher.
The host says McMillen is a huge favorite but unplayable due to terrible odds. He notes McMillen is tough and well-rounded, but the odds are too aggressive. He suggests only Zecchini is worth a bet as a dog, but he doesn't take it because McMillen is better everywhere. He will look for live betting opportunities.
James mentions Tommy McMillon as a high prospect but does not give a pick for the fight. He only notes the matchup exists.
James picks Tommy McMillen to win easily, predicting a round one submission via front choke. He notes McMillen's hype but questions his striking defense, though he believes Zecchini is not UFC-level and has been out since 2023. He expects McMillen's grappling to be the difference, possibly setting up a submission after hurting Zecchini on the feet.
The host expects McMillen to win via submission, likely in the first round and a half, given his BJJ skills and Zecchini's layoff and unimpressive striking. He notes the UFC is giving McMillen a favorable matchup to push him. However, he has low confidence due to the heavy chalk and advises against parlaying such a short price.
Paul picks McMillen by submission, noting his guillotine and rear-naked choke wins. However, he acknowledges Zecchini may not shoot takedowns, so McMillen might win by TKO instead.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Tommy McMillen, highlighting his wrestling pedigree, striking similar to Sean O'Malley, and his dominant Contender Series win. He notes that Manolo Zecchini was easily finished by Morgan Charriere and expects McMillen to win by TKO or submission.
Zane picks McMillen, describing him as a wild man who fights like he doesn't care about winning or losing. He notes that Zecchini is a step down from McMillen's previous opponent and that Zecchini has poor pacing and technique. Zane believes McMillen's aggression will overwhelm Zecchini, who tends to go backwards and lose.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Charrière | 1 | 26 of 49 | 53% | 26 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 0 | 9 of 41 | 21% | 9 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morgan Charrière | 1 | 26 of 49 | 53% | 26 of 49 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:03 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 0 | 9 of 41 | 21% | 9 of 41 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Charrière | 26 of 49 | 53% | 16 of 37 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 9 of 41 | 21% | 5 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 7 | 9 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morgan Charrière | 26 of 49 | 53% | 16 of 37 | 7 of 8 | 3 of 4 | 25 of 47 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 |
| Manolo Zecchini | 9 of 41 | 21% | 5 of 30 | 1 of 4 | 3 of 7 | 9 of 41 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Angelo picks Morgan Charrière, citing his clinch work, cardio advantage, and ability to beat Manolo to the punch. He notes Manolo has more raw power but loops his punches. However, Angelo warns against betting at -260 on a UFC debut, calling it foolish.
Big Brady is confident in Charrière, citing his well-roundedness, toughness, and experience. He notes Zecchini's lower level of competition and potential cardio/durability concerns. He expects Charrière to win wherever the fight goes, likely by taking Zecchini down and finishing with ground and pound in the second round.
Cody picks Zecchini as an underdog, citing Charrière's inconsistency and low output. He notes Charrière is a veteran with 30 fights but tends to be tentative and conservative. Zecchini comes forward, is willing to engage, and has finishing ability. Cody worries about French judges favoring Charrière but thinks Zecchini can win by pressuring and outworking him.
Daniel Levi picks Morgan Charrière, highlighting his athleticism, calf kicks, and toughness. He recalls a fight where Charrière survived a rear triangle choke and then delivered vicious ground and pound. Levi notes that Charrière has close fights with lower-level opponents but believes the athleticism gap is massive here. He expects Charrière to win but is not interested at the steep price, saying there is no value.
Lucrative James sees Morgan Charrière as a huge favorite and believes the line is warranted. He thinks Charrière can win wherever the fight goes, with advantages in both striking and grappling. He expects a TKO finish rather than a decision, noting that Charrière's opponent is low-level and that Charrière can dominate on the ground. He acknowledges Charrière's past losses but attributes them to good wrestlers, which Zecchini is not.
I like Charrière here. The UFC is giving him a perfect layup opponent in Zecchini, who isn't anything special and has poor takedown defense. Charrière should be able to take the fight to the ground and control it. However, I have concerns about his cardio and he's more hype than talent in my opinion. I think he wins by decision, but I might throw him in a parlay.
Paul joins Cody on Zecchini, noting he doesn't step in front of Cody's dog picks. He mentions a prize picks prop of 44.5 significant strikes for Charrière, which he thinks is a pass because it would require a very low-output fight. Paul is not confident but follows the underdog trend.
The MMA Guru picks Morgan Charrière by TKO, arguing that despite Charrière's losses to regional fighters not in the UFC, he has a strength of schedule advantage and is physically strong with good takedown defense. He believes Charrière has a massive power advantage and will finish Zecchini, though he admits Charrière doesn't deserve to be in the UFC.
Expert Picks (11)
Angelo picks Tommy McMillen, viewing it as a showcase fight set up by the UFC. He notes McMillen is exciting and tough but also very hitable. He believes McMillen will win spectacularly but warns he may be a busted prospect in future fights. Angelo does not see Manolo Zecchini winning.
Big Brady is extremely confident McMillen will win, calling Zecchini a 'bum' who hasn't fought in three years. He expects McMillen to take Zecchini down and submit him in the first round, as Zecchini has no ground game.
Cody picks McMillen by TKO, expecting him to overwhelm Zecchini with pressure and striking. He notes McMillen's wrestling and tenacity, and believes Zecchini will fold under pressure.
Connor agrees, calling it a prelim fodder fight. He notes that Zecchini has been finished in almost all his losses and only beats bad regional opponents. Connor believes McMillen will march through him and that the fight will build hype for McMillen as a violent finisher.
The host says McMillen is a huge favorite but unplayable due to terrible odds. He notes McMillen is tough and well-rounded, but the odds are too aggressive. He suggests only Zecchini is worth a bet as a dog, but he doesn't take it because McMillen is better everywhere. He will look for live betting opportunities.
James mentions Tommy McMillon as a high prospect but does not give a pick for the fight. He only notes the matchup exists.
James picks Tommy McMillen to win easily, predicting a round one submission via front choke. He notes McMillen's hype but questions his striking defense, though he believes Zecchini is not UFC-level and has been out since 2023. He expects McMillen's grappling to be the difference, possibly setting up a submission after hurting Zecchini on the feet.
The host expects McMillen to win via submission, likely in the first round and a half, given his BJJ skills and Zecchini's layoff and unimpressive striking. He notes the UFC is giving McMillen a favorable matchup to push him. However, he has low confidence due to the heavy chalk and advises against parlaying such a short price.
Paul picks McMillen by submission, noting his guillotine and rear-naked choke wins. However, he acknowledges Zecchini may not shoot takedowns, so McMillen might win by TKO instead.
The MMA Guru confidently picks Tommy McMillen, highlighting his wrestling pedigree, striking similar to Sean O'Malley, and his dominant Contender Series win. He notes that Manolo Zecchini was easily finished by Morgan Charriere and expects McMillen to win by TKO or submission.
Zane picks McMillen, describing him as a wild man who fights like he doesn't care about winning or losing. He notes that Zecchini is a step down from McMillen's previous opponent and that Zecchini has poor pacing and technique. Zane believes McMillen's aggression will overwhelm Zecchini, who tends to go backwards and lose.
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