UFC 325 · Feb 01, 2026 · Featherweight · Completed
Age 32
Height 5' 7"
Reach 66.0"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Age 29
Height 5' 7"
Reach 71"
Weight 145 lbs.
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages - Kaan Ofli
2.33 SLpM
45.0% Str. Acc.
3.34 SApM
54.0% Str. Def.
0.38 TD Avg
7.0% TD Acc.
0.0% TD Def.
0.4 Sub. Avg
Career Averages - Yi Zha
3.25 SLpM
47.0% Str. Acc.
2.88 SApM
49.0% Str. Def.
3.42 TD Avg
33.0% TD Acc.
64.0% TD Def.
0.9 Sub. Avg
Kaan Ofli - Fight History
WIN vs Yi Zha
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 325 · Feb 01, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kaan Ofli 0 48 of 107 44% 53 of 114 0 of 7 0% 0 1 2:57
Yi Zha 1 68 of 124 54% 75 of 133 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kaan Ofli 0 23 of 38 60% 28 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 1 2:20
Yi Zha 0 19 of 34 55% 22 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Kaan Ofli 0 10 of 38 26% 10 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Yi Zha 1 31 of 57 54% 34 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
3 Kaan Ofli 0 15 of 31 48% 15 of 31 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:37
Yi Zha 0 18 of 33 54% 19 of 34 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kaan Ofli 48 of 107 44% 22 of 78 19 of 22 7 of 7 38 of 91 7 of 11 3 of 5
Yi Zha 68 of 124 54% 44 of 93 17 of 24 7 of 7 58 of 109 5 of 7 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kaan Ofli 23 of 38 60% 10 of 24 12 of 13 1 of 1 15 of 26 5 of 7 3 of 5
Yi Zha 19 of 34 55% 14 of 26 1 of 4 4 of 4 18 of 33 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Kaan Ofli 10 of 38 26% 5 of 33 2 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yi Zha 31 of 57 54% 20 of 44 9 of 11 2 of 2 26 of 48 1 of 2 4 of 7
3 Kaan Ofli 15 of 31 48% 7 of 21 5 of 7 3 of 3 13 of 27 2 of 4 0 of 0
Yi Zha 18 of 33 54% 10 of 23 7 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 28 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Angelo picks Kaan Ofli as a slight lean, stating he is the better grappler and if he shoots first, he can have success because Yi Zha's takedown defense sucks. He acknowledges Yi Zha is the better striker and offensive grappler, but thinks Ofli's jiu-jitsu is better on the ground. He says betting moneyline would be dumb, but plus 3.5 might make sense.

plus 3.5 might make sense
"Slight lean Khan Offley. Betting a money line here would be dumb as hell, even though the odds are are solid. plus three and a half might make some sense."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Big Brady picks Yi Zha based on activity, as Kaan Ofli does nothing in fights. He notes Zha is aggressive with wrestling and grappling, while Ofli has shown no output. He expects a decision win for Zha, though he doesn't love the -215 price.

"Give me EA to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Cody is picking Ofli as a value underdog, noting that Yi Zha has been outmuscled by stronger opponents and that Ofli has shown durability and a strong clinch game. He expects Ofli to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I don't want a two to one yet play and then have him just flop around... I'm going to go with Kane Ole. Don't love it, but that is going to be the play for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ofli. He notes that Yi Zha's competition is weak and Ofli's power and bullying style should be effective. Connor also comments that the odds are not too bothersome, as both fighters are similar in level.

Same odds commentary.
"Yeah, probably I agree, you know. Yep, just a just a absolute bully. Yep."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2026 (17 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Daniel Vreeland picks Yi Zha, viewing him as a tough, battle-tested journeyman who is hungrier and more durable than Ofli. He dismisses Ofli as a mid-level fighter and believes Yi Zha's experience and toughness will carry him to victory.

"Pure pick, I'm going to go Yha to win this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Yi Zha

James picks Yi Zha, citing his better boxing, takedown ability, and veteran savvy. He believes Yi Zha can reverse Ofli's takedowns and win scrambles, and that his experience will lead to a decision victory.

"I got Yizar as the winner."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Ofli is a BJJ black belt with good wrestling and striking, though he has had some losses. Yi Zha is a grappler but not as aggressive or dominant as Ofli's previous opponents. Ofli should be able to stuff takedowns and have success on the feet, where he has an edge in explosiveness. The host is surprised Ofli is an underdog and expects him to win by decision, possibly pulling off the upset.

Ofli by decision
"I'm going to go off. I I think he pulls off the upside here. I think he wins by decision and I think plus 165 is more than good enough to to take a shot on the Turkish uh Australian …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Paul also leans toward Ofli, noting that Yi Zha was knocked out by Myron Santos and that Ofli has shown he will cheat to win. He sees value in the underdog.

"Confly kind of showed us that he will cheat to get the win, too. And at plus 170 plus 180, I mean, I think you could do worse."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Yi Zha

The Guru picks Yi Zha, calling him underrated and noting his impressive debut knockout of Weston Wilson. He highlights Yi's grappling ability, chin advantage, and striking power. He predicts a first-round TKO, citing Yi's aggression and experience from Road to UFC.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with YA by first round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Zane picks Kaan Ofli because he is a powerful, bullying fighter who will overwhelm Yi Zha with aggression. He notes that Yi Zha's record is padded with low-level competition and he does not have applicable skills for the UFC. Ofli's power and athleticism should be too much for Yi Zha.

Ofli opened at +160, now +168; Yi Zha opened at -185, now -193. Zane says he doesn't see it but is not bothered by the odds.
"I have to pick con awfully. He's not nuanced in any way shape or form, but he is a he is like the prototypical regional power MMA fighter a strong athlete who has decided to strong man their way through …"
WIN vs Ricardo Ramos
Submission R1 3:02 · UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · Oct 11, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Ricardo Ramos 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Kaan Ofli 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Ricardo Ramos 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 3 0 0:00
Kaan Ofli 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 1 of 1 100% 1 0 1:56
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Ricardo Ramos 1 of 4 25% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kaan Ofli 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Ricardo Ramos 1 of 4 25% 1 of 2 0 of 1 0 of 1 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kaan Ofli 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Oct 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Angelo picks Ricardo Ramos, trusting his wrestling training at Team Alpha Male to be ahead in exchanges. He believes Ramos is the better striker and can keep the fight standing. However, he is shocked at the 2-to-1 odds and does not like them, noting Ramos has been taken down before and could be ridden out.

"Ramos is going to be the pick because hopefully he can keep this standing, and he's the better striker. But I do not like these odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Oct 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Big Brady picks Ricardo Ramos despite being hesitant, as he considers Ramos the much more skilled fighter. He questions Ramos's durability, fight IQ, submission defense, and heart, noting he has been submitted multiple times and looked for ways out. He also questions Ofli's chin, grappling, wrestling, and striking. Brady expects Ramos to win by decision but acknowledges Ramos might beat himself.

"I'm going to pick Ramos just cuz I think he's the much more skilled fighter. I really don't think it's close, but sometimes the more skilled fighter doesn't always win, but I'm going to take Ramos to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Cody picks Ramos but is cautious, noting his lack of game plan and reliance on flashy techniques. He believes Ramos's size and experience advantage, plus training at Fighting Nerds, could lead to a win, but he's not confident at -175.

"I am taking him as well, but I don't want to pay too much for sure."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Lucrative James picks Ricardo Ramos, believing he is a level above Kaan Ofli, who hasn't proven to be UFC caliber. He notes Ramos's dangerous spinning attacks and submission skills, but also his tendency to gas out. He expects a finish inside the distance, possibly by submission or KO. He is not very confident due to Ramos's inconsistency.

under 2.5 rounds (+money), Ricardo Ramos by submission (+350), Ricardo Ramos by KO (+450)
"I'm going to take Ricardo Ramos in this one. I'm going to say he gets it done inside the distance."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Oct 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Manpreet leans towards Ramos but with low confidence, citing Ramos's recent poor form. He believes Ramos's takedown defense and grappling will force Ofli to strike, where Ramos is the better technical striker. He expects Ramos to win by decision, but notes that Ofli's wide hooks could be countered. He is not confident enough to bet the chalk.

Ramos by decision
"I'll lean Khamzat here. Not a whole lot of confidence."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Oct 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Ricardo Ramos

Paul picks Ramos but is hesitant due to his volatility. He notes Ramos's higher ceiling and home crowd advantage, but acknowledges the risk of laying chalk on an inconsistent fighter. He expects a win but warns against heavy investment.

"I'm going to go with Ricaro Ramos. One, Brazil. Two, back against the wall. Three, I think the ceiling has been higher for him."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Oct 7, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

The MMA Guru picks Kaan Ofli over Ricardo Ramos, despite a rule against picking Ramos. He notes Ramos has lost 4 of his last 5 and is untrustworthy, while Ofli has good pressure and wrestling. He predicts a close decision win for Ofli based on control time.

"I'm going to go with Kofley getting this one done. Very close decision. That's what I think."
LOSS vs Muhammad Naimov
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Feb 01, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Muhammad Naimov 0 32 of 92 34% 79 of 176 2 of 2 100% 0 0 5:36
Kaan Ofli 0 31 of 66 46% 57 of 97 0 of 6 0% 0 0 3:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Muhammad Naimov 0 14 of 34 41% 32 of 56 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:55
Kaan Ofli 0 11 of 27 40% 23 of 41 0 of 1 0% 0 0 1:21
2 Muhammad Naimov 0 10 of 33 30% 25 of 51 1 of 1 100% 0 0 1:16
Kaan Ofli 0 11 of 21 52% 19 of 31 0 of 3 0% 0 0 2:03
3 Muhammad Naimov 0 8 of 25 32% 22 of 69 0 of 0 --- 0 0 3:25
Kaan Ofli 0 9 of 18 50% 15 of 25 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:11
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Muhammad Naimov 32 of 92 34% 23 of 79 8 of 12 1 of 1 22 of 73 6 of 6 4 of 13
Kaan Ofli 31 of 66 46% 5 of 30 16 of 21 10 of 15 14 of 44 17 of 22 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Muhammad Naimov 14 of 34 41% 7 of 23 6 of 10 1 of 1 10 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 0
Kaan Ofli 11 of 27 40% 2 of 12 7 of 9 2 of 6 6 of 21 5 of 6 0 of 0
2 Muhammad Naimov 10 of 33 30% 8 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 31 2 of 2 0 of 0
Kaan Ofli 11 of 21 52% 1 of 10 4 of 5 6 of 6 6 of 16 5 of 5 0 of 0
3 Muhammad Naimov 8 of 25 32% 8 of 25 0 of 0 0 of 0 4 of 12 0 of 0 4 of 13
Kaan Ofli 9 of 18 50% 2 of 8 5 of 7 2 of 3 2 of 7 7 of 11 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 26, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Muhammad Naimov

Angelo picks Muhammad Naimov, citing his well-rounded skills, speed, and athleticism. He notes that Kaan Ofli is a BJJ black belt but lacks the length and wrestling to be effective at this level. He believes Naimov's striking and takedown defense will be key, and he is growing more confident in Naimov as fight week progresses.

"Muhammad naov is the pick and I am more and more confident every day"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2025 (5 days before fight)
Muhammad Naimov

Big Brady is not high on Muhammad Naimov but thinks this is a good matchup for him. He notes Kaan Ofli laid an egg in his last fight and was brutally knocked out. Brady expects Naimov to be the better striker and knock Ofli out in the first round, though he would never lay -300 on Naimov.

first round knockout
"give me naob I'll take him imob to win this fight by first round knockout"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Muhammad Naimov

Connor picks Naimov, citing his superior athleticism and strength. He notes that both fighters are similar brawlers, but Naimov is a slightly better athlete and has a more durable chin. Connor believes Naimov's physicality and ability to win scrambles will be the difference, and that Ofli's tendency to crash the pocket will play into Naimov's strengths.

"I'm just going to take Naimaw up here. Hopefully, I thought he was one of the better prospects on the Ultimate Fighter, but I also thought that nobody on the Ultimate Fighter was really all that good."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Muhammad Naimov

Naimov has more powerful striking and will land more often, winning on the scorecards if he can't get a late finish. Both fighters like to wrestle and have power, but Naimov's output and power are expected to be the difference.

"I believe it's going to be Naimov that ends up coming out on top landing the more powerful strikes landing more often and end up winning this fight on the scorecards if he's unable to get the finish late."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 28, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Muhammad Naimov

The MMA Guru picks Muhammad Naimov to win by KO in the second round or late first. He believes Naimov has wicked grappling skills and knockout power, and that Ofli's short reach (66 inches) will be a disadvantage. He thinks Naimov will have an advantage on the feet and won't be outmuscled.

KO win, second round or late first
"I'm actually going to call a KO win for muhamed naov maybe in the second round or late in the first"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Muhammad Naimov

Zane picks Naimov, agreeing that he is the stronger athlete and more likely to win the physical exchanges. He notes that Ofli's game is one-dimensional and that Naimov's durability and power should carry him. Zane also points out that Ofli's loss to Myron Santos showed he can be overwhelmed, and Naimov presents a similar challenge.

"I'm just going to take Naimaw up here. Hopefully, I thought he was one of the better prospects on the Ultimate Fighter, but I also thought that nobody on the Ultimate Fighter was really all that good."
LOSS vs Mairon Santos
KO (punch) R2 1:30 · UFC on ESPN: Cannonier vs. Borralho · Aug 24, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Mairon Santos 0 12 of 28 42% 19 of 35 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:33
Kaan Ofli 1 31 of 67 46% 32 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Mairon Santos 0 7 of 20 35% 14 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 1:29
Kaan Ofli 0 19 of 43 44% 20 of 44 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Mairon Santos 0 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Kaan Ofli 1 12 of 24 50% 12 of 24 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Mairon Santos 12 of 28 42% 10 of 22 1 of 2 1 of 4 11 of 27 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kaan Ofli 31 of 67 46% 15 of 48 9 of 12 7 of 7 27 of 62 1 of 2 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Mairon Santos 7 of 20 35% 7 of 17 0 of 1 0 of 2 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Kaan Ofli 19 of 43 44% 9 of 33 6 of 6 4 of 4 18 of 41 1 of 2 0 of 0
2 Mairon Santos 5 of 8 62% 3 of 5 1 of 1 1 of 2 4 of 7 1 of 1 0 of 0
Kaan Ofli 12 of 24 50% 6 of 15 3 of 6 3 of 3 9 of 21 0 of 0 3 of 3
CO
Cody Saftic Expert picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Cody doesn't have a pick because the opponent for Ofli is not yet determined at the time of recording. He mentions that Santos and Ziggy Montes Rasa are the two best guys and the winner of that fight would beat Ofli. He says he needs to see the odds before making a decision.

"I would take the winner of that fight to beat offley who's probably not bad but man I got burned so bad by nickel I can't trust these random Australian guys no more"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked Aug 22, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Daniel Vreeland picks Kaan Ofli as the underdog, noting Ofli is likely the stronger grappler while Santos has big leg kicks but issues on the mat. He admits he is not very familiar with either fighter and advises caution.

"I'll probably go with the dog but this one I'm not as familiar with these two so take what I'm saying here with a grain of salt"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Aug 20, 2024 (4 days before fight)

Paul doesn't have a pick because the opponent is unknown. He says it's impossible to provide betting advice without odds. He mentions he saw Ofli's fight and he looked solid, but needs more information.

"it's obviously pretty much impossible to provide betting advice when those things don't exist at the time of this recording"
Yi Zha - Fight History
LOSS vs Kaan Ofli
Decision R3 5:00 · UFC 325 · Feb 01, 2026
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kaan Ofli 0 48 of 107 44% 53 of 114 0 of 7 0% 0 1 2:57
Yi Zha 1 68 of 124 54% 75 of 133 3 of 3 100% 0 0 1:15
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kaan Ofli 0 23 of 38 60% 28 of 44 0 of 2 0% 0 1 2:20
Yi Zha 0 19 of 34 55% 22 of 38 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
2 Kaan Ofli 0 10 of 38 26% 10 of 39 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Yi Zha 1 31 of 57 54% 34 of 61 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:35
3 Kaan Ofli 0 15 of 31 48% 15 of 31 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:37
Yi Zha 0 18 of 33 54% 19 of 34 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:34
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kaan Ofli 48 of 107 44% 22 of 78 19 of 22 7 of 7 38 of 91 7 of 11 3 of 5
Yi Zha 68 of 124 54% 44 of 93 17 of 24 7 of 7 58 of 109 5 of 7 5 of 8
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kaan Ofli 23 of 38 60% 10 of 24 12 of 13 1 of 1 15 of 26 5 of 7 3 of 5
Yi Zha 19 of 34 55% 14 of 26 1 of 4 4 of 4 18 of 33 0 of 0 1 of 1
2 Kaan Ofli 10 of 38 26% 5 of 33 2 of 2 3 of 3 10 of 38 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yi Zha 31 of 57 54% 20 of 44 9 of 11 2 of 2 26 of 48 1 of 2 4 of 7
3 Kaan Ofli 15 of 31 48% 7 of 21 5 of 7 3 of 3 13 of 27 2 of 4 0 of 0
Yi Zha 18 of 33 54% 10 of 23 7 of 9 1 of 1 14 of 28 4 of 5 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Angelo picks Kaan Ofli as a slight lean, stating he is the better grappler and if he shoots first, he can have success because Yi Zha's takedown defense sucks. He acknowledges Yi Zha is the better striker and offensive grappler, but thinks Ofli's jiu-jitsu is better on the ground. He says betting moneyline would be dumb, but plus 3.5 might make sense.

plus 3.5 might make sense
"Slight lean Khan Offley. Betting a money line here would be dumb as hell, even though the odds are are solid. plus three and a half might make some sense."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Big Brady picks Yi Zha based on activity, as Kaan Ofli does nothing in fights. He notes Zha is aggressive with wrestling and grappling, while Ofli has shown no output. He expects a decision win for Zha, though he doesn't love the -215 price.

"Give me EA to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Cody is picking Ofli as a value underdog, noting that Yi Zha has been outmuscled by stronger opponents and that Ofli has shown durability and a strong clinch game. He expects Ofli to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I don't want a two to one yet play and then have him just flop around... I'm going to go with Kane Ole. Don't love it, but that is going to be the play for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ofli. He notes that Yi Zha's competition is weak and Ofli's power and bullying style should be effective. Connor also comments that the odds are not too bothersome, as both fighters are similar in level.

Same odds commentary.
"Yeah, probably I agree, you know. Yep, just a just a absolute bully. Yep."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2026 (17 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Daniel Vreeland picks Yi Zha, viewing him as a tough, battle-tested journeyman who is hungrier and more durable than Ofli. He dismisses Ofli as a mid-level fighter and believes Yi Zha's experience and toughness will carry him to victory.

"Pure pick, I'm going to go Yha to win this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Yi Zha

James picks Yi Zha, citing his better boxing, takedown ability, and veteran savvy. He believes Yi Zha can reverse Ofli's takedowns and win scrambles, and that his experience will lead to a decision victory.

"I got Yizar as the winner."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Ofli is a BJJ black belt with good wrestling and striking, though he has had some losses. Yi Zha is a grappler but not as aggressive or dominant as Ofli's previous opponents. Ofli should be able to stuff takedowns and have success on the feet, where he has an edge in explosiveness. The host is surprised Ofli is an underdog and expects him to win by decision, possibly pulling off the upset.

Ofli by decision
"I'm going to go off. I I think he pulls off the upside here. I think he wins by decision and I think plus 165 is more than good enough to to take a shot on the Turkish uh Australian …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Paul also leans toward Ofli, noting that Yi Zha was knocked out by Myron Santos and that Ofli has shown he will cheat to win. He sees value in the underdog.

"Confly kind of showed us that he will cheat to get the win, too. And at plus 170 plus 180, I mean, I think you could do worse."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Yi Zha

The Guru picks Yi Zha, calling him underrated and noting his impressive debut knockout of Weston Wilson. He highlights Yi's grappling ability, chin advantage, and striking power. He predicts a first-round TKO, citing Yi's aggression and experience from Road to UFC.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with YA by first round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Zane picks Kaan Ofli because he is a powerful, bullying fighter who will overwhelm Yi Zha with aggression. He notes that Yi Zha's record is padded with low-level competition and he does not have applicable skills for the UFC. Ofli's power and athleticism should be too much for Yi Zha.

Ofli opened at +160, now +168; Yi Zha opened at -185, now -193. Zane says he doesn't see it but is not bothered by the odds.
"I have to pick con awfully. He's not nuanced in any way shape or form, but he is a he is like the prototypical regional power MMA fighter a strong athlete who has decided to strong man their way through …"
WIN vs Westin Wilson
KO R1 0:37 · UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · Aug 23, 2025
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Yi Zha 2 13 of 18 72% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Westin Wilson 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Yi Zha 2 13 of 18 72% 17 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
Westin Wilson 0 0 of 2 0% 0 of 2 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Yi Zha 13 of 18 72% 10 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 3 9 of 12 2 of 3 2 of 3
Westin Wilson 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Yi Zha 13 of 18 72% 10 of 15 0 of 0 3 of 3 9 of 12 2 of 3 2 of 3
Westin Wilson 0 of 2 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 0
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Aug 17, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Angelo is picking Yi Zha but with low confidence, calling the -400 odds an atrocity. He describes Yi Zha as a powerful grappler who uses kicks to manage range and is constantly looking for submissions, but can struggle to maintain position. He notes Westin Wilson is a karate-style striker who is very tall and can be hesitant. He ultimately picks Yi Zha because of his insane toughness shown in his last fight, but warns against betting on this fight.

Odds are -400, which Angelo calls an atrocity; he advises not gambling on this fight.
"I am going to pick Yiza just because of how insanely tough he is and we saw that in his last fight. But if you're gambling on this fight that you have genuine issues that need to be looked after …"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Big Brady picks Yi Zha to win by first-round submission, noting that Yi Zha is a grappler who will take the fight to the mat and that Westin Wilson has been submitted four times by questionable competition. He acknowledges the -1200 line is ridiculous but believes Yi Zha should get the win. He predicts an armbar or rear-naked choke.

Yi Zha by first round submission
"Give me EA to win this fight. I'll take him to win this fight by first round submission, but the minus, 1200, it just kind of ridiculous, but yeah, he should get the win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Yi Zha

The host sees Yi Zha as a big favorite and expects him to wear down Wilson and eventually find a finish within a round and a half. He believes the finish will likely come by submission.

win by submission, inside 1.5 rounds
"Big favorite here for Eha and I expect him to come through with it as he wears down Wilson and eventually finds that finish within a round and a half and I think it probably comes by submission."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Yi Zha

The MMA Guru picks Yi Zha to win by KO, citing his competitive performance against Gabriel Santos and a close fight with Lerone Murphy. He criticizes Westin Wilson's side-on stance, which leaves him open to fast lower-weight fighters. He notes that Wilson has been finished early before and is older (36-38), while Yi Zha has more experience and a better record. He concludes that he simply won't pick Wilson to win fights.

Yi Zha by KO
"I'm going to go with Yiza to get a KO over Weston Wilson. To be honest with you, there's just certain fighters I won't take to win fights and Weston Wilson's one of them."
LOSS vs Gabriel Santos
Decision (unanimous) (30–26, 30–26, 30–27) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Sep 07, 2024
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Gabriel Santos 0 41 of 92 44% 96 of 160 0 of 4 0% 0 0 0:04
Yi Zha 1 76 of 112 67% 110 of 150 2 of 2 100% 0 0 6:35
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Gabriel Santos 0 23 of 41 56% 23 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Yi Zha 1 46 of 73 63% 46 of 73 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
2 Gabriel Santos 0 15 of 40 37% 23 of 51 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:04
Yi Zha 0 19 of 27 70% 32 of 41 1 of 1 100% 0 0 2:23
3 Gabriel Santos 0 3 of 11 27% 50 of 68 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Yi Zha 0 11 of 12 91% 32 of 36 1 of 1 100% 0 0 4:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Gabriel Santos 41 of 92 44% 26 of 71 8 of 13 7 of 8 40 of 90 0 of 0 1 of 2
Yi Zha 76 of 112 67% 45 of 79 17 of 18 14 of 15 53 of 85 5 of 5 18 of 22
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Gabriel Santos 23 of 41 56% 14 of 31 3 of 4 6 of 6 23 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 1
Yi Zha 46 of 73 63% 23 of 48 12 of 13 11 of 12 34 of 57 4 of 4 8 of 12
2 Gabriel Santos 15 of 40 37% 11 of 33 3 of 6 1 of 1 15 of 40 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yi Zha 19 of 27 70% 12 of 20 5 of 5 2 of 2 15 of 23 1 of 1 3 of 3
3 Gabriel Santos 3 of 11 27% 1 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 1 2 of 10 0 of 0 1 of 1
Yi Zha 11 of 12 91% 10 of 11 0 of 0 1 of 1 4 of 5 0 of 0 7 of 7
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Sep 1, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Angelo picks Yi Zha as an underdog because he is a powerful grappler who averages almost five takedowns per fight and is always looking for submissions. He believes Yi can find success even if Gabriel Santos gets the first takedown, and that Yi's grappling is good enough to stay safe and make something happen. He notes that Yi is plus 214 and may have value in prop bets like plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance.

Angelo mentions he may bet on Yi Zha plus 3.5 rounds or win inside distance (decision no action) if the props are plus money.
"I do think yea can get it done he's proven that he doesn't even need to get a takedown to find a submission"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Big Brady picks Gabriel Santos to win by decision. He is very high on Santos despite his 0-2 UFC record, believing he was robbed against Murphy. Brady thinks Santos is better everywhere: better striker, and his BJJ black belt should neutralize Yi Zha's grappling. He notes Yi Zha's record is misleading and that Santos is much better than his record indicates.

"I'm taking Santos for sure I'm going to take him to win this fight by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Cody agrees with Paul, citing Santos' strong wrestling and striking. He notes Zha's takedown defense is poor and Santos has fought tougher competition. He expects Santos to neutralize Zha and win a decision or get a finish.

"Gabriel Santos I I take Gabriel Santos"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Sep 5, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Daniel is a big fan of Santos's exciting style but acknowledges his defensive flaws. He criticizes Yi Zha's padded record and boring wrestling style. He thinks Santos's volume, pressure, and activity off his back will overwhelm Zha, and that Zha's takedowns won't be enough to win. He expects Santos to get his first UFC win.

"I think Gabriel Santos has a massive Edge standing... I'm going Gabrielle moscarino Santos to come out here and get that long awaited first UFC win."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Santos is the better mixed martial artist despite being 0-2 in the UFC. He has slick BJJ and striking, and should be able to handle Yi Zha's pressure and wrestling. Yi Zha is aggressive but leaves openings. Santos can reverse positions and win on the feet. The under 2.5 rounds at plus money is also favored due to both fighters' pace.

Under 2.5 rounds at plus money
"I do think that Santos will end up being a little bit too slick and more technical than yah... my favorite spot in this matchup would be the under two and a half at plus money."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Sep 4, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

Paul picks Santos, noting his wrestling and striking are superior to Zha's. He believes Santos can take Zha down and control him, and has a better plan B if the wrestling fails. He acknowledges Santos' cardio concerns but thinks he can win two of three rounds.

"Gabriel Santos I I take Gabriel Santos it is what it is you're just gonna have to bite the bullet on it for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Gabriel Santos

The MMA Guru picks Gabriel Santos over Yi Zha. He dismisses Yi Zha's record as inflated from the Road to UFC show, noting that anyone good has beaten him. He praises Santos for taking Lerone Murphy to a split decision on short notice and for his training at a good gym. He notes Santos is on a two-fight losing streak but believes this is his last chance and he will win.

"I'm gonna have to go with Gabriel Santos in this fight... Gabriel Santos is very underrated... he took the guy to a split decision and this is aone Murphy"
LOSS vs Lee Jeong-yeong
Decision (split) (27–30, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00 · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · Feb 04, 2023
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Lee Jeong-yeong 0 25 of 57 43% 66 of 105 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:50
Yi Zha 0 24 of 58 41% 37 of 74 5 of 21 23% 0 0 8:19
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Lee Jeong-yeong 0 3 of 6 50% 27 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Yi Zha 0 3 of 3 100% 8 of 11 1 of 5 20% 0 0 4:15
2 Lee Jeong-yeong 0 12 of 31 38% 18 of 37 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Yi Zha 0 9 of 28 32% 12 of 31 2 of 7 28% 0 0 1:19
3 Lee Jeong-yeong 0 10 of 20 50% 21 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:26
Yi Zha 0 12 of 27 44% 17 of 32 2 of 9 22% 0 0 2:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Lee Jeong-yeong 25 of 57 43% 18 of 50 7 of 7 0 of 0 18 of 49 7 of 8 0 of 0
Yi Zha 24 of 58 41% 17 of 48 6 of 9 1 of 1 13 of 46 7 of 7 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Lee Jeong-yeong 3 of 6 50% 1 of 4 2 of 2 0 of 0 0 of 2 3 of 4 0 of 0
Yi Zha 3 of 3 100% 2 of 2 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0
2 Lee Jeong-yeong 12 of 31 38% 10 of 29 2 of 2 0 of 0 8 of 27 4 of 4 0 of 0
Yi Zha 9 of 28 32% 7 of 26 2 of 2 0 of 0 7 of 26 1 of 1 1 of 1
3 Lee Jeong-yeong 10 of 20 50% 7 of 17 3 of 3 0 of 0 10 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Yi Zha 12 of 27 44% 8 of 20 4 of 7 0 of 0 6 of 20 3 of 3 3 of 4
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 29, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Lee Jeong-yeong

Big Brady highlights Lee's power and finishing ability, noting his quick finishes on Road to UFC. He thinks Yi Zha is uncomfortable on the feet and will be knocked out. He predicts a first-round knockout for Lee.

first round knockout
"I think Young Lee's going to knock this guy out I'll say it's early as well I think he knocks him out in the first round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Cody picks Yi Zha as an underdog, noting his experience and wrestling advantage. He thinks Lee is untested and may struggle if taken down. He acknowledges Yi Zha's split decision win over Matsushima was controversial, but sees value at +210. He is not confident enough to bet but picks him for the show.

"I'm gonna take zai as my first Underdog on the card... I thought he lost the matsushima fight I thought she was decent"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lee Jeong-yeong

Connor agrees, adding that Korean fighters tend to cut weight well and Lee is a big, solidly built featherweight. He notes that Yi Zha's wrestling is aimless and lacks physicality, and that Lee's size will make it difficult for Yi to get takedowns. He expects Lee to shrug off grappling and land punches consistently.

Odds: Lee opened -225, now -257; Yi opened +175, now +205.
"I think lee is going to be the one shrugging off the wrestling and and just trying to keep landing punches."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 1, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Lee Jeong-yeong

Paul picks Lee for the show but is not confident. He notes Lee's quick finishes and power, but has many question marks due to lack of tape. He thinks Yi Zha is a guard puller who loses positions, but the line is too high. He prefers to pass on betting.

"for the purposes of the show for people who track the uh the picks that we make I'll take the favorite in Lee"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 2, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Lee Jeong-yeong

Zane sees Lee as a prototypical Korean prospect who plants his feet and trades, confident in his ability to land punches while accepting hits. He notes that Yi Zha is a wrestle-grappler with poor athleticism and shot wrestling, and that Lee's size and physicality will allow him to shrug off takedowns and land punches. He believes Lee's takedown defense is sufficient because he is expecting everything.

Odds: Lee opened -225, now -257; Yi opened +175, now +205.
"I think this is a probably a pretty good matchup for jeongyeon lee."
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Angelo picks Kaan Ofli as a slight lean, stating he is the better grappler and if he shoots first, he can have success because Yi Zha's takedown defense sucks. He acknowledges Yi Zha is the better striker and offensive grappler, but thinks Ofli's jiu-jitsu is better on the ground. He says betting moneyline would be dumb, but plus 3.5 might make sense.

plus 3.5 might make sense
"Slight lean Khan Offley. Betting a money line here would be dumb as hell, even though the odds are are solid. plus three and a half might make some sense."
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Big Brady picks Yi Zha based on activity, as Kaan Ofli does nothing in fights. He notes Zha is aggressive with wrestling and grappling, while Ofli has shown no output. He expects a decision win for Zha, though he doesn't love the -215 price.

"Give me EA to win by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Cody is picking Ofli as a value underdog, noting that Yi Zha has been outmuscled by stronger opponents and that Ofli has shown durability and a strong clinch game. He expects Ofli to win by decision or late stoppage.

"I don't want a two to one yet play and then have him just flop around... I'm going to go with Kane Ole. Don't love it, but that is going to be the play for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Ofli. He notes that Yi Zha's competition is weak and Ofli's power and bullying style should be effective. Connor also comments that the odds are not too bothersome, as both fighters are similar in level.

Same odds commentary.
"Yeah, probably I agree, you know. Yep, just a just a absolute bully. Yep."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked Jan 15, 2026 (17 days before fight)
Yi Zha

Daniel Vreeland picks Yi Zha, viewing him as a tough, battle-tested journeyman who is hungrier and more durable than Ofli. He dismisses Ofli as a mid-level fighter and believes Yi Zha's experience and toughness will carry him to victory.

"Pure pick, I'm going to go Yha to win this fight."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Jan 25, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Yi Zha

James picks Yi Zha, citing his better boxing, takedown ability, and veteran savvy. He believes Yi Zha can reverse Ofli's takedowns and win scrambles, and that his experience will lead to a decision victory.

"I got Yizar as the winner."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 27, 2026 (5 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Ofli is a BJJ black belt with good wrestling and striking, though he has had some losses. Yi Zha is a grappler but not as aggressive or dominant as Ofli's previous opponents. Ofli should be able to stuff takedowns and have success on the feet, where he has an edge in explosiveness. The host is surprised Ofli is an underdog and expects him to win by decision, possibly pulling off the upset.

Ofli by decision
"I'm going to go off. I I think he pulls off the upside here. I think he wins by decision and I think plus 165 is more than good enough to to take a shot on the Turkish uh Australian fighter."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jan 28, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Paul also leans toward Ofli, noting that Yi Zha was knocked out by Myron Santos and that Ofli has shown he will cheat to win. He sees value in the underdog.

"Confly kind of showed us that he will cheat to get the win, too. And at plus 170 plus 180, I mean, I think you could do worse."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 31, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Yi Zha

The Guru picks Yi Zha, calling him underrated and noting his impressive debut knockout of Weston Wilson. He highlights Yi's grappling ability, chin advantage, and striking power. He predicts a first-round TKO, citing Yi's aggression and experience from Road to UFC.

first round TKO
"I'm going to go with YA by first round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Jan 30, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Kaan Ofli

Zane picks Kaan Ofli because he is a powerful, bullying fighter who will overwhelm Yi Zha with aggression. He notes that Yi Zha's record is padded with low-level competition and he does not have applicable skills for the UFC. Ofli's power and athleticism should be too much for Yi Zha.

Ofli opened at +160, now +168; Yi Zha opened at -185, now -193. Zane says he doesn't see it but is not bothered by the odds.
"I have to pick con awfully. He's not nuanced in any way shape or form, but he is a he is like the prototypical regional power MMA fighter a strong athlete who has decided to strong man their way through every part of MMA."