Fight card

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez

February 21, 2026 Toyota Center Houston, Texas, United States
Sean Strickland

Sean Strickland W

31-7
KO R3 2:23
Fight 1 VS Middleweight Completed

Sean Strickland

No odds available.

Anthony Hernandez

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Sean Strickland

Age35
Height6' 1"
Reach76.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Anthony Hernandez

Age32
Height6' 0"
Reach75.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Sean Strickland

6.04SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
4.57SApM
60.0%Str. Def.
0.71TD Avg
64.0%TD Acc.
76.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Anthony Hernandez

4.57SLpM
60.0%Str. Acc.
3.1SApM
51.0%Str. Def.
5.88TD Avg
48.0%TD Acc.
68.0%TD Def.
1.6Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Angelo picks Anthony Hernandez, drawing parallels to DDP's wins over Strickland via relentless forward pressure. He believes Hernandez's cardio and takedown volume will prevent Strickland from settling into his jab-heavy style. He respects Strickland's resume but thinks the matchup favors Hernandez.

"Anthony Hernandez has to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Big Brady picks Anthony 'Fluffy' Hernandez to defeat Sean Strickland. He notes that Strickland has not wrestled in years, landing only two takedowns in his last several five-round fights, and that Fluffy's relentless takedown pressure will exhaust Strickland for the first time. He predicts Fluffy will land 10-15 takedowns over 25 minutes and win a decision, though a late finish wouldn't surprise him. He emphasizes Fluffy's cardio and ability to repeatedly take down opponents.

Fluffy by decision; over 10.5 takedowns implied
"I think Fluffy can go out there against Strickland here and I think he can put up 15 plus takedowns... I like Fluffy here to win this fight. I'll say it's by decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Cody believes Strickland hasn't shown knockout power and that Hernandez's cardio and grappling will be too much. He notes Strickland's tendency to abandon game plans and thinks Hernandez wins by decision or late finish. He also mentions that Strickland's split decision history makes him unreliable as a favorite.

"I think Fluffy wins. I think Fluffy probably by decision, maybe a late finish."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Sean Strickland

Connor picks Strickland because he believes Hernandez's pressure will be too slow to overcome Strickland's defensive jab and front kicks. He notes that Hernandez has never faced a sprawl-and-brawl type like Strickland, and that Strickland's takedown defense, while questionable, should hold up enough to win early rounds. He also points out that Strickland has only been finished twice by huge shots, which Hernandez is unlikely to land.

Strickland by decision; odds: Strickland +230, Hernandez -270; Connor thinks the line should be closer to even
"I'm picking Sean Strickland though by decision. Hope I'm wrong."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick

The host is torn on this fight. He acknowledges that all the value lies with Strickland as a +225 underdog, citing Hernandez's injury concerns and Strickland's elite cardio and takedown defense. However, he also notes that Strickland lacks finishing power and is passive at times, making a decision win difficult. He ultimately cannot decide whether to bet Strickland and passes on betting Hernandez due to the steep -290 price.

Hernandez injury concern; Strickland lacks finishing power; fight likely goes to decision
"I haven't made my mind up on this one yet. I really haven't."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Lucrative James picks Fluffy Hernandez to win by decision, citing his relentless pace, pressure, and cardio. He notes that Strickland has all the tools to win but often makes poor decisions in the cage, as seen in his last fight against Du Plessis. James believes Hernandez's volume and grappling will overwhelm Strickland over five rounds, though he admits the betting value is on Strickland at plus money.

"I am going to end up saying that I believe Fluffy Hernandez wins a decision here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Hernandez is on an eight-fight winning streak with relentless wrestling and improved durability. Strickland's takedown defense is good, but Hernandez's pace and ability to chain wrestle should wear him down. Strickland will have success on the feet, but Hernandez's grappling control and submission threats should win rounds. The over 4.5 rounds is also a strong play as both have great cardio.

over 4.5 rounds at -120
"I'm going Anthony Fluffy Hernandez by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Paul acknowledges Strickland's takedown defense and cardio but questions his motivation and age (turning 35). He thinks Hernandez's constant pressure and grappling will edge him on scorecards, and notes that Strickland's style leaves him at mercy of judges. He prefers to live bet Hernandez after the first round.

"Hernandez winning in a main event against a former champion in Sean Strickland in Texas and his last name is Hernandez. This is what his career needs."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Sean Strickland

The MMA Guru picks Sean Strickland, believing his teep to the body and high output will be key. He notes Hernandez is often hurt to the body and that Strickland is difficult to hold down. He thinks Strickland's wrestling instincts and training with Chimaev and Ankalaev will help him stuff takedowns. He predicts a fourth or fifth round TKO.

fourth or fifth round TKO, teep to the body, underdog
"I think Strickland's going to win this one by fourth or fifth round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Zane picks Hernandez despite sharing Connor's caution. He argues that Hernandez's pressure is methodical and builds over time, and that Strickland's footwork falls apart under pressure. He notes that Hernandez has improved his striking significantly, using feints and leg kicks to cut off the cage, and that Strickland has never faced a pressure grappler like Hernandez. He also points out that Strickland's win condition relies on frustrating opponents, but Hernandez has a different mindset and will keep coming.

Zane thinks the line should be closer to even; notes Strickland opened +110 and is now +230, Hernandez opened -250 and is now -270
"I am picking Anthony Hernandez. Again, I see what you're saying. You know, I share the caution, but I just think Hernandez is as much as Sean Strickland is a kind of opponent that Hernandez has never fought, …"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 2 VS Welterweight Completed
Uroš Medić

Uroš Medić W

13-3
KO R1 1:19

Geoff Neal

No odds available.

Uroš Medić

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Geoff Neal

Age35
Height5' 11"
Reach75.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Uroš Medić

Age33
Height6' 1"
Reach71"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Geoff Neal

5.02SLpM
50.0%Str. Acc.
5.5SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
0.54TD Avg
45.0%TD Acc.
87.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Uroš Medić

5.59SLpM
60.0%Str. Acc.
3.42SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
0.34TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
55.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Angelo picks Geoff Neal despite recent knockout loss, citing his overall experience and well-rounded skill set. He acknowledges Uroš Medić's power and finishing ability but notes Medić's questionable chin. He is hesitant because Neal is 35 and coming off a KO, but believes Neal is the better fighter.

"Geoff Neal's going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Big Brady picks Geoff Neal to defeat Uroš Medić, citing Medić's suspect chin and Neal's heavy hands. He notes that Medić has been dropped by lesser punchers like Gilbert Urbina, while Neal hits like a truck. He predicts a first-round knockout, possibly requiring a stretcher for Medić. He acknowledges Neal was knocked out in his last fight but calls that a fluke spinning elbow that would KO most of the division.

Geoff Neal by first-round knockout
"I think Geoff Neal's going to hit Medich very hard and I'm just not sure Medich is going to be able to take it. I got to go Geoff Neal here to win and I'm going to take …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Cody buys into Neal's sobriety narrative and thinks this is his easiest fight in a while. He notes Medić is an under machine who either finishes or gets finished, and expects Neal to win by KO early. He recommends under 1.5 rounds.

under 1.5 rounds
"Neil's the pick for me, but give me unders. Fight doesn't go to decision as parlay pieces."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Connor picks Neal confidently, stating that Medić is a glass cannon who gets hurt easily and sells out on his shots, leaving him vulnerable to counters. He notes that Neal has been tested against much better competition and has always been competitive, while Medić's wins have aged poorly. He believes Neal's composure and athleticism will be too much for Medić.

Connor thinks the odds should be more like -400; Neal opened -180, now -212; Medić opened +155, now +182
"I'm going to be real honest. I think this should be like your plus minus 400 odds kind of fight."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick

The host rules out betting on Neal due to red flags from an interview where Neal discussed past issues with drugs, alcohol, and diet, making him unreliable at -225. He is tempted by Medic as a +178 underdog, noting Medic's dynamic striking and power, but passes because Medic has slowed in past fights and Neal has excellent cardio. He concludes it's an easy pass on both sides.

Neal's lifestyle red flags; Medic's cardio concerns
"There is no [__] way that anyone with a brain can bet Jeff Neil after he has literally told you his diet might not be the best and he has issues with drugs slash alcohol."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

James picks Geoff Neal to win by first-round KO, citing Neal's experience against elite competition and the step down in competition for Medic. He notes that Medic is volatile and prone to getting knocked out early, and that Neal's power and boxing should be enough to finish him. James also likes the under 1.5 rounds and doesn't go to decision props.

under 1.5 rounds at -175, doesn't go to decision
"I will pick Jeff Neil to get it done via KO in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Neal is a crafty striker with good power and range management, and he has fought tougher competition. Medic is a Muay Thai specialist but has durability issues and poor grappling defense. Neal should be able to land a big shot and finish Medic, likely in the first round. The line is fair given Neal's experience and home crowd.

"I think Neil wins pretty easily here and I think he gets the knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Paul thinks Neal's step up in competition is significant and that Medić's chin is suspect. He notes Neal has fought top welterweights and held his own, while Medić has been knocked out by lesser opponents. He expects Neal to win by KO, possibly in the first round.

Neal by KO -133
"Neil Neil KO minus 133 any round minus 133. Yeah, looks like the way to go."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Geoff Neal, despite concerns about his chin and motivation after a KO loss. He believes Medić makes mistakes and is explosive but can be caught coming in. He predicts Neal will find a way to put Medić away in round two after Medić expends his energy.

TKO round two
"I'm going to go with Geoff Neal by TKO round two."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Geoff Neal

Zane agrees with Connor, calling Medić a 'one hitter quitter' who is extremely vulnerable on the counter. He notes that Medić has no defense and gets hurt easily, even in fights he wins. He believes Neal is significantly better in the pocket and should be able to weather Medić's early power and then take over.

"I think Jeff Neil is significantly better and more composed in the pocket than Medic. If Jeff Neil doesn't absolutely dust rose Medic, then that'll be a huge shock."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 3 VS Featherweight Completed
Melquizael Costa

Melquizael Costa W

26-7
KO R1 4:56

Dan Ige

No odds available.

Melquizael Costa

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Dan Ige

Age34
Height5' 7"
Reach71.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Melquizael Costa

Age29
Height5' 10"
Reach71.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Dan Ige

3.6SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
3.56SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
0.93TD Avg
26.0%TD Acc.
56.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Melquizael Costa

4.38SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
2.97SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
2.0TD Avg
40.0%TD Acc.
58.0%TD Def.
1.1Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Melquizael Costa

Angelo picks Melquizael Costa, citing his speed, busy style, and well-rounded skills. He respects Dan Ige's toughness and experience but believes Costa is the rising star. He also suggests a plus 3.5 bet on Ige as a potential prop, noting Ige often wins rounds even in losses.

Suggests Dan Ige plus 3.5 as a prop bet.
"I got to pick Mel Costa."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Melquizael Costa

Big Brady picks Melquizael Costa to defeat Dan Ige, citing Costa's hot streak and superior minute-winning. He notes Costa has more tools on the feet, including kicks, and that Ige is hittable and tends to lose decisions. He is concerned about Ige's last performance against Pitbull, where he did nothing. He predicts Costa will win by decision, picking him apart with volume. He mentions the line moved from -120 to -185, indicating public money on Costa.

Melquizael Costa by decision; line movement noted
"I like Costa here. I kind of think it's just a Costa decision. Just picking apart Dan Ige, who is hittable, landing a lot of kicks, landing a lot of volume, and winning this fight on the scorecard."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Cody likes Ige at plus money, citing his recent performances against top competition (Diego Lopez, Lerone Murphy, Patricio Pitbull) where he won rounds. He thinks Costa's wrestling isn't proven and that Ige's cardio and power in later rounds give him an edge. He expects a decision win for Ige.

"I got a Dan Eay play out of this. And if you really want to get jiggy with it, like Eay's got knockout power. Do not overlook it, but likely Eay by decision."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Connor picks Ige but with caution, noting that Costa is an opportunistic fighter who has been winning but often in messy ways. He points out that Costa tends to fade in the third round and that Ige is durable and a good counter puncher. He also notes that Ige has been impossible to finish and that Costa's lack of process could be exploited by Ige's experience.

Ige opened +105, now +182; Costa opened -125, now -212
"I'm going to pick Danny Gaye, but it's a very uneasy pick and I have been wrong. I've been surprised by Costa all the way through."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
No clear pick

The host favors Costa stylistically due to his size, length, and technical striking, but considers the odds too steep to bet. He notes both fighters are weak on the ground, and Ige has one-shot knockout power, making Costa a risky bet at -224. He passes on betting either side.

"This is one of those matchups where for me it's an easy pass. I favor Costa. He should win. The odds are too steep. There's no way I can justify a bet on him at these odds."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Dan Ige

James picks Dan Ige as the betting side, believing Ige has better pocket boxing and power, and that Costa's cardio and durability are questionable. He notes that Ige has faced much tougher competition and that Costa's recent wins are over lesser opponents. James expects Ige to get a knockout, possibly in the later rounds as Costa fades.

"I am going to pick Eay as the betting side. I think that ultimately gets a knockout in this one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Melquizael Costa

Costa is on a five-fight winning streak with good activity and a kicking game that should trouble Ige. Ige is a veteran boxer but has struggled against high-volume strikers. Costa's range and kicks should keep Ige at bay, and he should land the more significant strikes. Ige could have success if he crashes the pocket, but Costa should win a decision.

"I still think he ends up landing more significant strikes, the better shots, the more eye-catching shots, and I think that leads to him winning this fight on the scorecards."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Paul agrees with Cody, noting Ige's ability to win rounds against elite fighters. He points out that Costa has slowed down in later rounds and that Ige's takedown defense has improved. He thinks the fight goes to decision and Ige's experience gives him the edge.

"I want that plus money price tag for sure. Milk's a little unproven, right?"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

The MMA Guru picks Dan Ige by TKO, feeling that Ige's composure and power will catch Costa. He notes that Costa sometimes throws lazy kicks and can be caught on the back foot. He believes Ige is the highest-level opponent Costa has faced and can time him for a KO.

TKO
"I think Dan Ige is going to get this one done by TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Zane also picks Ige with the same caution, agreeing that Costa's success is partly smoke and mirrors. He notes that Costa is not a process-driven fighter and that opponents who are resilient tend to do better against him as the fight goes on. He believes Ige's counter-punching and durability will be key, but acknowledges Costa could win if he lands a big shot early.

"So I'm picking Ige too, but with exactly the same amount of caution. As you, I am prepared to be wrong."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Serghei Spivac

Serghei Spivac W

18-6
Decision R3 5:00
Fight 4 VS Heavyweight Completed

Serghei Spivac

No odds available.

Ante Delija

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Serghei Spivac

Age31
Height6' 3"
Reach78.0"
Weight260 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Ante Delija

Age35
Height6' 3"
Reach78"
Weight239 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Serghei Spivac

3.57SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
4.23SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
3.82TD Avg
59.0%TD Acc.
63.0%TD Def.
0.5Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Ante Delija

4.28SLpM
38.0%Str. Acc.
3.95SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
75.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ante Delija

Angelo picks Ante Delija, believing his size, wrestling, and pressure will stifle Serghei Spivac's takedowns. He notes Spivac struggles against athletic pressure and Delija is the better wrestler. He is slightly worried about Delija's chin but thinks Spivac lacks knockout power.

"Ante Delija is the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Ante Delija

Big Brady picks Ante Delija to defeat Serghei Spivak, citing Spivak's poor durability and Delija's well-rounded skills. He notes Spivak's wins have aged poorly and that he was knocked out by Jailton Almeida, which is embarrassing. He believes Delija can stuff takedowns and then destroy Spivak on the feet, predicting a first-round knockout. He references Delija's performance against Marcin Tybura where he stuffed all takedowns and finished early.

Ante Delija by first-round knockout
"I got to go De Lima here. I think De Lima wins this fight by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Cody is chasing plus money on Spivac, noting Delija's poor gas tank and chin issues. He thinks if Delija doesn't get an early KO, Spivac's grappling and cardio will take over. He admits it's a low-confidence play but likes the value.

"I got to take a dog shot on Spac. I do have a lot of favorites on this card, but Eay and Spac are two guys I think that are very capable of performing."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Ante Delija

Connor picks Delija because he believes Delija's explosive, aggressive style will overwhelm Spivak, who is slow and has poor defense. He notes that Delija is a glass cannon but that Spivak's chin is also questionable, and that Delija's size and power should be enough to finish early. He also points out that Spivak's game relies on clinch takedowns, which Delija's size can neutralize.

Delija opened +105, now -135; Spivak opened +160, now +115; Connor thinks the line should be dead even
"I'm gonna take Delia. Same. Yep, Spivak is slow in every metric. Slow hands, slow feet. No defense, not a great chin for a heavyweight."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
No clear pick

The host believes Delija is better in all aspects and has a clear stylistic advantage, but the odds (-181) do not offer value. He cannot confidently give Delija a 70% win probability required for value, so he passes on betting.

"For me the only problem I have with betting Deija in this fight is the odds. In order to get any value on Elijah at all, you'd have to give him around a 70% chance of winning. And …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Ante Delija

James leans toward Ante Delija via first-round KO, citing Delija's early power and aggression. He notes that Spivac can be hurt early and that Delija has more finishing upside in the first round. However, he acknowledges Spivac's grappling advantage if the fight goes longer, and he is not fully confident due to Delija's questionable chin and the weird nature of the fight.

under 1.5 rounds (lean)
"My prediction will be Ante Dia via KO in round one and it will be a lean to the under one and a half rounds."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ante Delija

Delija is a much better striker with good defensive wrestling. Spivac needs to get fights to the ground to win, but Delija should be able to stuff takedowns and force a striking match. Spivac has lost to athletic strikers before. Delija will walk him down and land big shots, likely a TKO in the first round. The line dropping is a gift.

"I think Dia wins and I think he makes it look quite one-sided as well."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul has no conviction on this fight, calling it a coin flip. He notes Delija's power and Spivac's grappling but doesn't see a clear edge. He prefers to avoid betting it.

"Yeah, I have like next to no conviction on this fight whatsoever."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Ante Delija

The MMA Guru picks Ante Delija by decision, believing he will be sharper at range with low kicks. He notes Delija's good cage defense and three-round experience. He thinks Spivac is slower and less athletic, and that Delija can avoid being out-grappled.

29-28 decision
"I'm going to go with Ante getting this one done by 29-28 decision."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Ante Delija

Zane agrees with Connor, noting that Delija's one-dimensional but effective style works well at heavyweight. He points out that Spivak is slow and upright, and that Delija's fast hands and straight punches can catch him. He also mentions that Delija's losses come when he gets hurt, but Spivak is not a big puncher, so Delija should be safe to swarm.

"Yep, delia does one thing and lucky for him, this is heavyweight. So that one thing will work more than 50% of the time."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Jacobe Smith

Jacobe Smith W

12-0
KO R1 3:01
Fight 5 VS Welterweight Completed

Jacobe Smith

No odds available.

Josiah Harrell

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Jacobe Smith

Age30
Height5' 10"
Reach72.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Josiah Harrell

Age27
Height5' 7"
Reach68"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Jacobe Smith

6.89SLpM
67.0%Str. Acc.
2.78SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
7.78TD Avg
91.0%TD Acc.
100.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Josiah Harrell

2.32SLpM
50.0%Str. Acc.
10.94SApM
29.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
0.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (7)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Cody thinks Smith is the better all-around fighter with superior wrestling and power. He notes Harrell's short notice and size disadvantage. He expects Smith to win, possibly by late stoppage, but acknowledges Harrell's toughness.

"Jacobe Smith for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Connor picks Smith but acknowledges the risk. He notes that Smith is a raw but explosive athlete with knockout power, and that Harrell is taking the fight on short notice. He points out that Smith gassed badly against Nico Price, but Harrell's size disadvantage and lack of range striking could allow Smith to land a big shot early.

Smith opened -500, now -270; Harrell opened +385, now +230; Connor thinks the line is more reasonable now
"I have to take jacoby smith just because it's short notice for harrell. Smith is an insane athlete."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick

The host understands why Harrell is a -290 favorite based on past performances, but notes that Harrell is making his UFC debut on short notice, which adds risk. He finds the odds too wide to bet Harrell and is not interested in betting Smith as a +224 underdog. He passes on the fight entirely.

Harrell's short-notice debut; Smith slows down as fights wear on
"I wouldn't touch Harel at this odds range. And I'm not particularly in the mood to bet a relatively low-level fighter like Smith at Underdog's odds either."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Smith has a wrestling advantage and a full training camp, but Harrell is undefeated and has good takedown defense and cardio. Both are similar archetypes, but Smith's wrestling may be the difference. However, the line is too wide; Harrell could make it competitive. Smith should win a decision, but it's low confidence. The over 1.5 rounds is a better play.

over 1.5 rounds
"My prediction would be Smith. My favorite play would probably be the over one and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Paul agrees, citing Smith's wrestling credentials and athleticism. He thinks Harrell's undefeated record is deceiving and that Smith's power and pace will be too much. He expects Smith to win, possibly by decision or late finish.

"I do think at the end of the day, he ends up getting the win. I put it on the top line."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

The MMA Guru picks Jacobe Smith, citing his size, athleticism, and UFC experience. He notes that Harrell is taking the fight on short notice, is smaller, and has had health scares. Smith has two UFC wins and a learning experience against Nico Price. He predicts a decision or late finish.

decision or late rounds finish
"I'm going to go with Jacob Smith getting this one done by decision or by late rounds finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Josiah Harrell

Zane picks Harrell as a long shot, citing Smith's poor cardio and inability to control a fight. He notes that Harrell is a dog who thrives in grimy fights and has experience overcoming adversity. He believes that if Smith doesn't finish early, Harrell's pressure and durability will take over in later rounds.

"I think i'll take harrell actually. All right, I think I agree with all of that 100. I'm just going on the jacob smith gets way too tired and harrell can fight you hard."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 6 VS Middleweight Completed
Michel Pereira

Michel Pereira W

32-14
Decision R3 5:00

Zachary Reese

No odds available.

Michel Pereira

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Zachary Reese

Age32
Height6' 4"
Reach77.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Michel Pereira

Age32
Height6' 1"
Reach73.0"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Zachary Reese

4.48SLpM
54.0%Str. Acc.
3.92SApM
43.0%Str. Def.
2.8TD Avg
61.0%TD Acc.
52.0%TD Def.
1.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Michel Pereira

4.46SLpM
51.0%Str. Acc.
4.4SApM
51.0%Str. Def.
1.21TD Avg
56.0%TD Acc.
75.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira despite recent poor form, citing his superior athleticism, speed, wrestling, and training partners. He acknowledges Pereira's mental state is a question mark after a public divorce, but believes the version from 2024 would dominate. He goes with his brain over his gut.

"Michel Pereira is the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Big Brady picks Zachary Reese to defeat Michel Pereira, but with clear disgust and hesitation. He believes Pereira is washed, citing his terrible performances against Abus Magomedov and a 40-second knockout loss to Kyle Daukaus. He calls the fight 'disgusting' and hopes it gets canceled. He notes Reese is the underdog but feels he has more faith in Reese at this point. He predicts a first-round knockout, reasoning that if Daukaus could KO Pereira, Reese can too.

Zachary Reese by first-round knockout
"Give me Zac Reese here. You know, it's dirty. It's greasy. ... I'll take Zac Reese to knock out Michel Pereira in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody thinks Pereira's desperation and flashy style will lead to an early finish. He notes Reese's durability issues and poor cardio. He expects Pereira to win by KO or submission in the first round.

Pereira round one +316
"Pereira is the pick for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Connor picks Pereira despite acknowledging he looks shot. He notes that Pereira has better technique and experience, and that Reese has never beaten a good fighter. He points out that Pereira's creativity and speed could still be enough against a limited opponent like Reese, but admits it's a terrible fight and Pereira could lose if he's truly broken.

Reese opened +130, now +130; Pereira opened -150, now -150
"I'm gonna pick perrera. I can't. But that's what this fight is. Just terrible."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The host heavily leans towards Pereira, citing his superior striking, cardio, and ground game compared to Reese. However, he cannot bet Pereira at -155 because of the red flag from Pereira's passive performance against Abus Magomedov, which may indicate decline. He notes that if Pereira shows up and fights to his potential, he wins easily, but the inconsistency makes him unbettable.

Pereira's inconsistency; potential decline after Abus Magomedov fight
"I heavily lean towards Pereira. He's a very tempting bat. I wouldn't touch Reese here because in my opinion there's no advantage that he has over Pereira."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

James picks Michel Pereira to win by first-round finish, but with hesitation due to Pereira's recent poor performances and questionable chin. He notes that Pereira has far better tools and competition wins, but if he doesn't get an early finish, Reese could take over. James prefers the under 1.5 rounds as a betting angle.

under 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to predict Michelle Pereira to win this fight in round one, but it's a very volatile fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Pereira is on a three-fight losing streak but has faced tough competition and should be motivated to save his roster spot. He is the better fighter on paper with more experience. Reese is dangerous but has durability questions. If Pereira comes back at 80% of his former self, he should find a finish. The under 1.5 rounds is also a good play as both are finishers.

under 1.5 rounds at plus money
"So, I'm going to go Pereira. I'm going to go Pereira by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul agrees, citing Pereira's ability to finish fights early and Reese's tendency to get knocked out. He thinks Pereira's wrestling is underrated and that he can win on the ground if needed. He expects a first-round finish.

Pereira inside distance +120
"I want the more dangerous guy. I want the guy that's more able to capitalize."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Michel Pereira, trusting his ability despite a recent loss to Hernandez. He notes Pereira's cardio issues but thinks he can find Reese's chin. He is unsure due to Pereira's inconsistency but believes Reese's fundamental ability is lacking.

TKO
"I'm going to go with Michael Pahea getting this one done by TKO over Zachary Reese."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Zane picks Reese as a counter to Connor, arguing that Pereira's confidence is shattered after the Hernandez loss and he has looked terrible in his last two fights. He notes that Reese is dangerous early and that Pereira's recent performances suggest he no longer knows how to fight. He admits it's a terrible fight and that Reese could easily lose, but he's willing to take the chance.

"Ah, fuck it. I'll take zach reese. Yeah might as well. Terrible fight."
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 7 VS Welterweight Completed
Carlos Leal

Carlos Leal W

23-7
Decision R3 5:00

Chidi Njokuani

No odds available.

Carlos Leal

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Chidi Njokuani

Age37
Height6' 3"
Reach80.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Carlos Leal

Age32
Height5' 11"
Reach74.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Chidi Njokuani

5.16SLpM
61.0%Str. Acc.
3.32SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
75.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Carlos Leal

8.75SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
7.78SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
0.43TD Avg
11.0%TD Acc.
90.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Angelo picks Chidi Njokuani, noting he bet him at +165 and the line has moved. He praises Njokuani's striking, speed, power, and distance control, while criticizing Carlos Leal's porous defense and recent knockout loss. He expects Njokuani to chew up Leal's legs and win a striking match.

Bet on Chidi at +165; mentions line movement.
"I'm picking Cheaty, for [__] sake."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Big Brady picks Carlos Leal to defeat Chidi Njokuani, citing Njokuani's poor durability and tendency to quit under adversity. He notes Njokuani has been finished nine times and cannot battle through bad spots. He trusts Leal's chin more, despite a recent knockout loss to Muslim Salikhov, as that was the first time Leal was ever hurt. He predicts Leal will break Njokuani late in the first round with a knockout.

Carlos Leal by first-round knockout
"I got to go Carlos Leal in this type of fight... I think Carlos Leal's going to come out here and make it a war. ... Give me Carlos Leal by first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Carlos Leal

Cody is tempted to follow the line movement and pick Njokuani, but ultimately leans Leal because of his forward pressure and power. He thinks Leal's style will overwhelm Njokuani, who has tall man defense and has been knocked out before. He expects a TKO finish within a round and a half.

Leal under 1.5 rounds
"Leel under one and a half. Leel by TKO."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Leal. He notes that Njokuani is all over the place under pressure—easy to take down, breaks stance and posture against the fence. Connor also mentions Njokuani's 'Paul Felder syndrome' of waiting for the perfect strike instead of doing damage, which costs him rounds.

"I think i'll ride with you. I would really like to see I always enjoy seeing cheetie win... but i'll take leal. I I trust him to just go in there and run at and jacwani"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The host believes Chidi Njokuani has a significant striking advantage due to his size, reach, and technical precision. He highlights Carlos Leal's reckless style, poor head movement, and defensive flaws, which have led to him being knocked out by lesser strikers. The host caps Njokuani's win probability at 60-65%, giving a 13-18% margin over the implied probability of 47% from the odds. He acknowledges Njokuani's age (37) and ground game weakness but considers them mitigated by Leal's lack of wrestling.

Njokuani by KO/TKO is likely; host mentions he could knock Leal out by punishing his recklessness.
"I would personally cap Chidi Enja Kawwani at 60 to 65% in this matchup based on the footage I'm about to show you which gives us a very nice you know 13% plus margin over the bookies as …"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

James picks the underdog Chidi Njokuani to win by KO in round one, citing Njokuani's elite Muay Thai clinch and knees. He notes that Carlos Leal Miranda's aggressive style leaves him open to being caught, as seen in his last fight. James believes Njokuani's range and clinch work will nullify Miranda's boxing and lead to a finish.

"I'm actually going to pick the underdog in this one, boys. I'm going to overall pick Chitty and Juani via KO in round one."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Njokuani is the more skilled striker with a significant reach advantage, and he has good durability at welterweight. Leal is a power puncher but was knocked out in his last fight and may be hesitant. Njokuani can eat shots and counter, and his Muay Thai should allow him to land damaging elbows and knees. Expect a knockout within two rounds.

"I expect this fight to last maybe a round and a half, maybe two rounds tops. But I think Angela Kawani is constantly going to be able to thwart the forward pressure of Laya, land those counters, and …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

Paul notes the significant line movement and thinks there may be an undisclosed injury to Leal. He prefers to avoid the fight but picks Njokuani based on reach and Muay Thai. He admits it's a low-confidence pick.

"I'm still going with cheaty."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Chidi Njokuani

The MMA Guru picks Chidi Njokuani by TKO, noting that Leal is coming off a KO loss and may be gun-shy. He believes Njokuani's tight hook can catch Leal, who has a tendency to come forward with his hands wide. He also thinks Leal won't grapple offensively, playing into Njokuani's striking strengths.

TKO in round one or two
"I'm going to go with Chidi Njokuani TKO'ing Carlos Leal in round one or two."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Carlos Leal

Zane picks Leal because he trusts Leal to pressure Njokuani relentlessly. He notes that Njokuani tends to fall apart under sustained pressure, getting finished in most of his losses. Zane believes Leal will be in the fight all the way, while Njokuani could spiral if things go wrong.

"i'm gonna pick leal still just because and jacwani does get finished so often when he loses"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 8 VS Flyweight Completed

Ode' Osbourne

No odds available.

Alibi Idiris

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Ode' Osbourne

Age34
Height5' 7"
Reach73"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Alibi Idiris

Age31
Height5' 6"
Reach68"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Ode' Osbourne

2.94SLpM
40.0%Str. Acc.
3.24SApM
49.0%Str. Def.
0.94TD Avg
29.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Alibi Idiris

2.51SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
2.64SApM
60.0%Str. Def.
3.25TD Avg
31.0%TD Acc.
66.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Ode' Osbourne

Angelo picks Ode' Osbourne, despite his poor takedown defense, because Alibi Idiris prefers to strike rather than wrestle. He believes Osbourne's superior striking and power will dominate if Idiris doesn't exploit the takedown weakness. He expresses frustration with Osbourne's lack of improvement in takedown defense.

"I'm going to pick Ode."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Alibi Idiris

Big Brady picks Alibi Idiris to defeat Ode' Osbourne, citing Osbourne's tendency to fade after a round and a half. He notes Osbourne is dangerous early but has poor cardio and suspect submission defense. He likes Idris's cardio, ability to mix in takedowns, and believes he can hurt Osbourne on the feet. He predicts a second-round knockout for Idris, though he acknowledges a submission is possible.

Alibi Idiris by second-round knockout
"I like Idris here. I think he's going to put a pace on Ode. ... give me Adeyris to win this fight. I'll say second round knockout for Aliebi Adeyris."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ode' Osbourne

Cody thinks Osbourne's experience and reach advantage will be key. He notes Idiris looked poor against Joseph Morales and questions his heart. He expects Osbourne to edge a decision or get a late finish.

"OD Osborne wins more often than not to cover the plus money price tag. So, I'm going to take it."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Lean picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alibi Idiris

Connor takes a flyer on Idiris, noting that the style matchup is different from the Morales fight—Idiris will get to strike with Osbourne, which suits him better. He points out Idiris has actual pocket fighting feel and Osbourne is tense at range. However, he acknowledges Idiris may still not be ready.

"I might even take i'll take a flyer on a dearest. I think... at the very least I think a dearest should be regarded as a live dog against a fellow striker"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Alibi Idiris

James picks Alibi Idiris to win by finish, likely submission, citing Osbourne's struggles with grappling. He notes that Idiris trains with Asu Almabayev, who dominated Osbourne with takedowns and submissions. James believes Idiris will mix in grappling and eventually submit or ground-and-pound Osbourne.

"I'm going to pick Idris in this fight. I'm going to pick him to win via finish."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alibi Idiris

Idiris is the better grappler and wrestler, and he should have a cardio advantage. Osbourne has power but fades after the first round and struggles with grappling. Idiris can survive the first round and then dominate with takedowns and control in the later rounds. The line has moved due to Osbourne's recent performance, but Idiris should win a decision.

"So once again, I'm going to go Idris and Idris by decision."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ode' Osbourne

Paul agrees, citing Osbourne's five-inch reach advantage and experience against tougher competition. He thinks Idiris is unproven and that Osbourne's speed and length will cause problems. He expects Osbourne to win.

"Just so much more experience that if you put a slight even slight plus money next to OD's name, I'm going to have to click it as well."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Alibi Idiris

The MMA Guru picks Alibi Idiris, believing his grappling will be the difference. He notes that Idiris is well-rounded with good kicks, boxing, and grappling, and that Osbourne can be held down by grapplers. He references Idiris' fight with Vince Morales and thinks he can keep Osbourne on the ground.

"I'm going to take Al Iaquinta. ... I think he's going to beat Ode Osbourne and I do think his grappling is going to be the difference."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Ode' Osbourne

Zane picks Osbourne, believing Idiris is not ready for a veteran like Osbourne. He notes that Idiris gassed quickly against Morales and was overwhelmed by being the nail. Zane thinks Osbourne can make Idiris the nail for a round and a half, and Idiris won't handle it.

"I still think ode osborn can make him the nail for a round and a half at which point I just don't think that idiris is ready for that"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Alden Coria

Alden Coria W

12-3
Decision R3 5:00
Fight 9 VS Flyweight Completed

Alden Coria

No odds available.

Luis Gurule

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Alden Coria

Age28
Height5' 8"
Reach67"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Luis Gurule

Age32
Height5' 5"
Reach64.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Alden Coria

4.69SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
2.4SApM
69.0%Str. Def.
1.75TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
71.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Luis Gurule

4.47SLpM
40.0%Str. Acc.
4.74SApM
59.0%Str. Def.
0.58TD Avg
14.0%TD Acc.
58.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Alden Coria

Angelo picks Alden Coria, impressed by his UFC debut where he stopped Alessandro Costa as an underdog. He describes Coria as a busy grappler with slick scrambles and sneaky power, and believes his relentless style will overwhelm Luis Gurule, who had low volume in his last fight.

"Alden's the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Alden Coria

Big Brady picks Alden Coria to defeat Luis Gurule, citing Gurule's terrible chin and Coria's well-rounded skills. He notes Gurule gets hurt in every fight and lost a striking exchange to Jesus Aguilar, who has a 62-inch reach. He believes Coria will land something big and knock out Gurule, predicting a second-round knockout. He praises Coria's debut and training with Joshua Van.

Alden Coria by second-round knockout
"I like Korea here quite a bit. ... I think Korea's probably going to knock this guy out. I'll say second round knockout for Ode and Korea."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alden Coria

Cody is high on Coria, citing his power, youth, and takedown defense. He thinks Gurule has poor cardio and chin, and that Coria will overwhelm him. He expects a KO or dominant decision.

"I really like this kid. I think he's got the goods. And Guru is a perfect first fight to establish yourself."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alden Coria

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Coria. He notes that Gurule has not improved since his debut, while Coria has improved fight to fight, as shown in his win over Costa where he had to problem-solve. Gurule will be a free target for Coria.

"Gorilla is the very definition of what we tend to think of most mma fighters, which is he came out with a pretty decent game and has not improved at all since then"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Alden Coria

James picks Alden Coria to win inside the distance, predicting he will hurt and finish Gurule. He notes that Gurule has a questionable chin and has been hurt in recent fights, while Coria is a dangerous finisher with good grappling. James sees value in Coria inside the distance rather than the moneyline.

Coria inside the distance
"My official prediction, Cora to win inside the distance."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Alden Coria

Coria is a faster, more powerful striker with good takedown defense, as shown in his UFC debut. Gurule is 0-2 in the UFC and has underachieved, but he has good cardio and pressure. Coria should land the more damaging shots and win on the scorecards, but Gurule could make it competitive if he pushes a pace and uses clinch work. The chalk is a bit steep, so hesitant.

"So official prediction will be Korea by decision, but I'd be a little bit skeptical in terms of taking that kind of chalk on him."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Alden Coria

Paul agrees, calling Gurule possibly the worst flyweight on the roster. He notes Coria's impressive debut against a tough opponent and thinks Gurule's gas tank issues will be exposed. He expects Coria to win comfortably.

"I think Lewis Guru is like maybe the worst maybe the worst flyweight on the roster."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Alden Coria

The MMA Guru picks Alden Coria, citing his size advantage (5'8" vs 5'5") and finishing ability. He notes Coria beat Alessandro Costa, who is a dangerous version of Gurule on the feet. He expects Coria to rally as the fight goes on and get a late rounds TKO, possibly with knees and uppercuts against the cage.

late rounds TKO
"I'm going to go with Alden Correa and I'm going to say that he wins this fight by late rounds TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Alden Coria

Zane picks Coria easily, noting that Gurule is a 'quadruple A' fighter who couldn't beat Osbourne or Susag. Coria is a better striker, at least as good a wrestler, and much busier. Gurule has no range game and can't fight outside of close range, making him a free target.

"alvin korea should just go out there and put it on lewis guru le it's not interesting. He's a better striker, he's at least as good a wrestler, and he is a much busier fighter"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 10 VS Women's Bantamweight Completed
Joselyne Edwards

Joselyne Edwards W

18-6
Submission R2 2:44

Nora Cornolle

No odds available.

Joselyne Edwards

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Nora Cornolle

Age36
Height5' 7"
Reach67.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Joselyne Edwards

Age30
Height5' 8"
Reach70.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Nora Cornolle

2.73SLpM
55.0%Str. Acc.
2.04SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
0.22TD Avg
11.0%TD Acc.
47.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Joselyne Edwards

4.61SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
3.24SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
1.43TD Avg
40.0%TD Acc.
61.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Angelo picks Joselyne Edwards, believing she won the first fight and will win the rematch the same way via pressure, wrestling, and control. He dismisses the previous decision as a homer French decision and expects a fair outcome this time. He notes Edwards' improved takedown defense and offense.

"Joselyne Edwards wins this."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Big Brady picks Joselyne Edwards to defeat Nora Cornolle, citing Edwards's recent finishing streak and improvement training with Valentina Shevchenko. He notes this is a rematch and that Edwards clearly won the first fight, taking Cornolle down eight times and nearly submitting her. He believes Edwards has leveled up since then and will dominate on the ground again, predicting a second-round submission. He criticizes Cornolle's performance against Carola Hosea, where she was nearly finished multiple times.

Joselyne Edwards by second-round submission
"I think Edwards is going to go out there, take down Nora Cornhole and I think she's going to destroy her. ... give me Joselyn Edwards to go out there and I'll say she submits Nora Cornhole in …"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Cody thinks Edwards has improved significantly, finishing her last three fights. He notes she outgrappled Cornolle in their first fight and expects her to be more aggressive this time. He thinks Cornolle is older and hasn't improved much.

"I got Edwards as well."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Nora Cornolle

Connor picks Cornolle but notes it's a thin fight. Edwards could win a questionable decision if she banks top time, even without offense. However, if Edwards strikes like she did against Cashaware, things could change. Connor is not confident but leans Cornolle due to the first fight.

"I'll take cornell too, but it is I just want to note that it is that it was that kind of fight last time"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

James picks Joselyne Edwards with ease, believing she should have won the first fight and has improved since. He notes that Edwards dominated Cornolle with grappling in their first bout and has better striking now. James expects Edwards to win decisively, possibly by finish.

"Ultimately, I'll pick Joseline with ease here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Edwards is on a three-fight winning streak with all finishes, and she has improved her grappling and confidence since training with Valentina Shevchenko. In the first fight, she gave up position but now she is more aggressive and should land more damage. Cornolle struggles with wrestling and is 36 years old. Edwards should dominate on the ground and get a submission.

Edwards submission prop
"I think we see Edward Edwards win. I think we see her pick her apart, but I think we see her more aggressive with the grappling game. And I think that'll eventually lead to Edwards getting another submission …"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

Paul agrees, calling the first fight a robbery. He thinks Edwards is bigger, faster, and stronger, and that her recent finishes show she's more aggressive. He expects Edwards to win by decision or late finish.

"Edwards is kind of better everywhere. I think she can probably mix in wrestling."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Joselyne Edwards

The MMA Guru picks Joselyne Edwards in the rematch, reasoning that Edwards' stand-up has improved while Cornolle's defensive grappling hasn't. He notes that Cornolle struggled with similar styles like Cavalcanti and that Edwards has been getting first round TKOs. He expects Edwards to mix in takedowns and win a 29-28 decision.

decision win, 29-28
"Decision win, 29-28, Joselyn Edwards."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Nora Cornolle

Zane picks Cornolle, noting that Edwards was cowed by Cornolle's striking pedigree in the first fight and tried to grapple but couldn't out-grapple Cornolle. Edwards is not efficient on top and produces no meaningful offense. Zane believes the same dynamics will hold.

"I gotta pick Norah Connell like maybe edwards can get the takedowns and beat her. I don't care. It's not an interesting dynamic to re-experience"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 11 VS Welterweight Completed
Punahele Soriano

Punahele Soriano W

13-4
Decision R3 5:00

Ramiz Brahimaj

No odds available.

Punahele Soriano

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Ramiz Brahimaj

Age33
Height5' 10"
Reach72.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Punahele Soriano

Age33
Height5' 11"
Reach72.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Ramiz Brahimaj

2.29SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
3.27SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
1.99TD Avg
34.0%TD Acc.
44.0%TD Def.
1.6Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Punahele Soriano

4.42SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
3.31SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
1.97TD Avg
51.0%TD Acc.
48.0%TD Def.
0.1Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Angelo picks Punahele Soriano, citing his power, wrestling credentials, and ability to stay safe on top. He acknowledges Ramiz Brahimaj's submission threat but believes Soriano's wrestling and striking will prevail. He notes the line has flipped but remains confident in Soriano.

Mentions if the line continues to widen, he will place a bet on Soriano.
"Punahele is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Big Brady picks Ramiz Brahimaj to defeat Punahele Soriano, citing Brahimaj's recent underdog wins and Soriano's poor takedown defense and cardio. He notes Soriano has success early but fades, and Brahimaj is tough and has good submissions. He predicts Brahimaj will survive the early storm, mix in takedowns, and submit Soriano in the second round. He references Soriano's losses to Dustin Stoltzfus and Nick Maximov as evidence of his vulnerability.

Ramiz Brahimaj by second-round submission; underdog win
"I'm going to go Ramiz Brahimaj to win this fight and I think he might cash as an underdog for the fourth time in a row. Give me Ramiz Brahimaj by second round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Cody thinks Brahimaj's jiu-jitsu and hometown crowd give him an edge. He notes Soriano's inconsistency and cardio issues. He expects Brahimaj to win by submission or decision.

"Brahimai in Texas seems like it's interesting enough for me to maybe go out there and pull something off."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Connor agrees with Zane, picking Soriano. He notes that Soriano's recent wins are more trustworthy and indicative of a step forward, while Brahimaj's wins are against fighters with no defense. Connor also mentions that if Court McGee could grind Brahimaj, Soriano can too.

"I think soryano's recent wins are much more trustworthy of an indicative of a step forward than brahimi"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The host leans towards Soriano, noting his advantage on the feet with power and aggression, and his improved cardio since dropping to welterweight. He believes Soriano can outstrike and outgrapple Brahimaj if his gas tank holds up. However, he is not betting because Brahimaj has proven cardio and could make Soriano work hard, and both fighters are evolving, making it difficult to predict which version shows up.

Soriano's cardio improvement at welterweight; Brahimaj's cardio and takedown defense issues
"Heavily leaned towards Soraniano here. He's a very very tempting bet for me. But Brahim can make Sorano work hard in ways neither Veriteneov nor Miguel Baser could."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

James picks Ramiz Brahimaj, citing his superior jiu-jitsu and front choke series. He notes that Soriano's wrestling could put him in danger of submissions, and that Brahimaj is the better striker over 15 minutes. James believes Brahimaj will catch Soriano in a front headlock and submit him.

"I'm going to have to pick Ramse Brahim here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Ramiz Brahimaj

Brahimaj has improved his cardio and takedown defense since moving to Chicago, and he is more calculated now. Soriano is a power puncher but relies on wrestling to grind out wins, and he doesn't threaten submissions. Brahimaj's grappling defense should be good enough to keep it standing or scramble, and he can catch Soriano in a submission. The under 2.5 rounds also makes sense.

under 2.5 rounds
"So the official prediction will be Broy Mai by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Paul thinks Soriano at 170 is a different beast with better cardio and power. He acknowledges Brahimaj's grappling but thinks Soriano's wrestling and strength will be enough. He calls it a pick'em and leans Soriano.

"I'm going to pick Puna. But that's just because, you know, I got to support the Hawaiian wave."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Punahele Soriano

The MMA Guru picks Punahele Soriano, citing his nasty knockout power, solid chin, and physicality. He believes Soriano won't be lost on the feet and can avoid Brahimaj's guillotine. He notes Brahimaj's wins are over lesser competition and that Soriano has dominated grapplers before. He predicts a TKO finish in round one or two.

TKO finish in round one or two, underdog
"I'm going to take him by TKO finish in round one or two over Ramiz Brahimaj as an underdog."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Punahele Soriano

Zane picks Soriano, believing he will bully Brahimaj with his athleticism and power. He notes that Soriano has options and is too dangerous. If Soriano chooses to wrestle, he might get caught in a submission, but that's a thin chance. Zane trusts Soriano's recent wins more than Brahimaj's.

"i'll take soriano. I think he just so clearly feels super confident at this division... that he is going to go in there and bully brahima"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Fight 12 VS Welterweight Completed
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani W

10-2
Decision R3 5:00

Philip Rowe

No odds available.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Philip Rowe

Age35
Height6' 3"
Reach80"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Age27
Height5' 11"
Reach72"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Career Averages - Philip Rowe

3.51SLpM
49.0%Str. Acc.
4.15SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
0.46TD Avg
36.0%TD Acc.
53.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

4.77SLpM
61.0%Str. Acc.
3.72SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
2.79TD Avg
30.0%TD Acc.
0.0%TD Def.
1.9Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Angelo picks Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani, arguing that despite Phil Rowe's technical striking and experience, Rowe is hesitant and has poor takedown defense. He believes Jean-Paul's forward pressure, wrestling, and ability to get the fight to the ground will secure the win.

"Jean Paul Lespagnol Yianni is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Big Brady picks Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani to defeat Philip Rowe, citing Rowe's poor minute-winning and takedown defense. He notes Rowe loses the first round and a half of every fight and has never won a decision. He believes Lebosnoyani is a well-rounded prospect who won't slow down, and predicts a decision win. He acknowledges Lebosnoyani has been knocked out twice but thinks his skill advantage is clear.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani by decision
"I'm going to take the newcomer here, LeBosneani, to go out there. And I actually think it's going to be a decision."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Cody thinks Rowe's reach and experience will be key. He notes Lebosnoyani's durability issues and poor cardio. He expects Rowe to win by KO in the later rounds, possibly as a live bet.

"I'm actually gonna take him for some short dog money here."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Philip Rowe

Connor picks Rowe, noting that Lebosnoyani's aggressive guard and submission threats are a throwback and not part of a modern MMA game. Rowe is rangier and will win at range. Connor also points out that Lebosnoyani's losses include Spike Carlisle, indicating he's not ready for this level.

"I don't think it's gonna beat phil roe... being a small welterweight who likes to roll for leg locks... phil is just gonna be rangier out at range"
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

The host heavily leans towards Lebosnoyani, citing his legitimate knockout power and dynamic striking against Rowe, who is slow, easy to hit, and has poor takedown defense. He believes Lebosnoyani will likely land the harder shots and knock Rowe out. However, he cannot bet Lebosnoyani at -205 because he is making his UFC debut on short notice, which adds uncertainty.

Lebosnoyani's short-notice debut; Rowe's poor takedown defense and slow striking
"I do heavily lean towards Gene Paul here, but there's no way I'm betting a guy at an implied probability of 67% who's coming in on short notice to make their debut."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Lean picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

James leans toward Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani via decision, citing his grappling upside and movement. He notes that Philip Rowe is on a downward trajectory and that Lebosnoyani's in-and-out striking could pose problems. However, James admits he hasn't done full tape study and may change his pick.

"At the moment, I'm gonna take Jean Paul. I'll pick Jean Paul via decision here."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Lebosnoyani is a black belt in BJJ with improving striking, and he should be able to crowd Rowe's range and take him down. Rowe struggles with grappling and has poor takedown defense, as seen in recent losses. Lebosnoyani's superior BJJ and cardio should allow him to control the fight and eventually find a submission. The chalk is justified here.

"I ultimately think JPL gets a dub in his UFC debut. And I think it comes by submission."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

Paul agrees, citing Rowe's BJJ black belt and power. He thinks Lebosnoyani's grappling isn't enough to take Rowe down and that Rowe's reach will be a problem. He expects Rowe to win by decision or late KO.

"Phil Row at plus 175 is a fine wager."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Philip Rowe

The MMA Guru picks Philip Rowe as a slight underdog, feeling that the matchup favors Rowe's patience and composure. He notes that Lebosnoyani is a first round TKO merchant who hasn't faced great opponents, and if he doesn't finish Rowe early, he may crumble. Rowe has shown durability and the ability to come back in later rounds.

underdog, slight underdog, not quite two to one
"I'm going with Philip Rowe getting this one done as the slight underdog that he is."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Philip Rowe

Zane picks Rowe, citing that Lebosnoyani is small, inexperienced, and defensively vulnerable. Rowe's range and size will be a problem for Lebosnoyani, who isn't committed to pressuring and goes in bursts. Zane thinks Rowe is dangerous at long range and this is a step up in competition for Lebosnoyani.

"I'll go with you. I'll take roe. I I mean, I do think the range is going to be a problem... roe is actually really dangerous at long range"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Jordan Leavitt

Jordan Leavitt W

13-3
Decision R3 5:00
Fight 13 VS Featherweight Completed

Jordan Leavitt

No odds available.

Yadier Del Valle

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Jordan Leavitt

Age31
Height5' 9"
Reach71.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Yadier Del Valle

Age29
Height5' 9"
Reach69"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Jordan Leavitt

2.21SLpM
57.0%Str. Acc.
1.59SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
3.15TD Avg
34.0%TD Acc.
30.0%TD Def.
1.1Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Yadier Del Valle

4.05SLpM
60.0%Str. Acc.
2.16SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
1.23TD Avg
42.0%TD Acc.
58.0%TD Def.
2.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Yadier Del Valle

Angelo picks Yadier Del Valle, noting his solid grappling and striking, while criticizing Jordan Leavitt as a one-dimensional jiu-jitsu nerd with poor takedowns. He dismisses Del Valle's last fight as illegitimate and focuses on his prior work. He believes Del Valle's strength and grappling will prevail.

"Yadiy is going to be the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Yadier Del Valle

Big Brady picks Yadier Del Valle to defeat Jordan Leavitt, citing Del Valle's superior skills everywhere and Leavitt's poor takedown defense. He notes Leavitt has been submitted by better grapplers like Chase Hooper and Paddy Pimblett. He believes Del Valle will take Leavitt down and finish him, predicting a first-round submission. He mentions the controversy around Del Valle's last fight but says it doesn't change his opinion of Del Valle's talent.

Yadier Del Valle by first-round submission
"I think Dalvi is is more than deserving of being this big of a favorite. ... I'm going to go Yadier Dal Via to win this fight. I'll say first-round submission."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Yadier Del Valle

Cody thinks Del Valle is a legitimate prospect with power and grappling. He notes Leavitt is a one-round fighter who gets outmuscled. He expects Del Valle to win by submission or decision.

"Delv Val for me worst case scenario they buried it on the undercard so I can rebuild."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Yadier Del Valle

Connor picks Del Valle, agreeing that Leavitt is a 'meme fighter' who gets trick submissions on non-grapplers but loses to actual grapplers. Del Valle is a potent athlete with a coherent game. Connor notes that Leavitt sacrifices position for wacky moves and will lose scrambles to a better athlete.

"I think it's mostly a positional thing. Like he's he just goes for wacky moves completely sacrificing position and that shit just doesn't fly against actual grapplers"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Yadier Del Valle

James picks Yadier Del Valle to win by submission, citing his superior grappling and toughness. He notes that Leavitt is one-dimensional and will likely get reversed and submitted after an initial takedown. James believes Del Valle's cardio and jiu-jitsu will be too much for Leavitt.

"I've got Yad Delv to win this fight inside the distance. Submission or TKO? I'll go with a submission."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Yadier Del Valle

Del Valle is better everywhere except maybe pure jiu-jitsu, but fights start on the feet where he has a huge advantage. He is strong, pressures forward, and has good wrestling to defend takedowns. Leavitt will try to create chaos to get to the ground, but Del Valle's strength and striking should overwhelm him. Expect a TKO finish inside the distance.

"I'm going to go Yadier Delval inside the distance. more than likely the finish coming by TKO."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Yadier Del Valle

Paul agrees, calling Del Valle a top prospect. He thinks Leavitt's physicality and cardio are lacking. He expects Del Valle to win by submission or dominant decision.

"Delval is now fighting Jordan Levit. I agree with him at being now the big favorite himself."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Yadier Del Valle

The MMA Guru picks Yadier Del Valle, noting his physical strength, athleticism, and powerful striking. He believes Del Valle can stuff takedowns and deal with Leavitt's sticky grappling style. He also mentions that Leavitt has been out-scrambled and submitted by jiu-jitsu guys before, and predicts a first round TKO or submission for Del Valle.

first round TKO, submission
"I'm going to say that Yair Rodriguez del Valle destroys him here. I'm going to say that Yair Rodriguez del Valle gets a first round TKO finish over Jordan Leavitt."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Yadier Del Valle

Zane picks Del Valle, noting that Leavitt is a terrible striker and not athletic. Del Valle is a strong positional grappler and a solid slugger who pressures and isn't afraid of the pocket. Zane acknowledges Del Valle's UFC wins are against low-level opponents, but he still looks technically coherent and athletic.

"I'm still gonna pick del val because he seems like he has a lot of fundamental stuff. He does well... he's confident and he pressures and he isn't afraid of the pocket"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Carli Judice

Carli Judice W

6-2
Decision R3 5:00
Fight 14 VS Women's Flyweight Completed

Carli Judice

No odds available.

Juliana Miller

No odds available.

Fighter Stats

Carli Judice

Age27
Height5' 7"
Reach68.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Juliana Miller

Age30
Height5' 7"
Reach66.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Carli Judice

9.32SLpM
50.0%Str. Acc.
6.62SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
0.52TD Avg
25.0%TD Acc.
80.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Juliana Miller

2.65SLpM
39.0%Str. Acc.
4.14SApM
44.0%Str. Def.
2.16TD Avg
29.0%TD Acc.
44.0%TD Def.
1.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Carli Judice

Angelo picks Carli Judice, citing her superior striking, good volume, and takedown defense. He notes Juliana Miller has heart but lacks skill and hasn't improved. He mentions a potential prop bet on Miller plus 3.5 if she wins a round, but his clear pick is Judice.

Mentions betting plus 3.5 on Juliana Miller if she wins a single round, but does not recommend it.
"Carli Judice is the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Carli Judice

Big Brady picks Carli Judice to defeat Juliana Miller, calling it a 'sanctioned murder.' He notes Miller has terrible striking defense (36%) and was pieced up by Luana Santos, who is not a good striker. He believes Judice is physically strong, has good takedown defense, and superior striking with phenomenal volume. He predicts a first-round knockout, possibly by head kick or knee, and thinks it could be a mercy stoppage.

Carli Judice by first-round knockout
"I think Karolina Jedrzejczyk is knocking out Juliana Miller though um in Houston. I'll go first round knockout."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Carli Judice

Cody thinks Judice's striking and athleticism will be too much for Miller. He notes Miller's poor wrestling and linear movement. He expects Judice to win by decision or TKO.

"Jud's kicks this thing off. Is the line too wide for a women's MMA fight? 100%. But it doesn't change the fact that Jud is probably going to win this fight more often than not."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Carli Judice

Connor picks Judice, comparing her technical footwork to Duane Ludwig. He notes she shifts to cut angles and outmaneuver opponents, which has improved since her debut. Miller is tough but can't strike or wrestle, and Judice will easily outclass her.

"I think she should go out there and just style on miller all day. I expect that she will she has been looking fantastic"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Carli Judice

James picks Carli Judice to win by knockout, citing her massive striking advantage over Miller. He notes that Miller is multiple levels below Judice on the feet and that her only hope is grappling, which Judice has defended well. James expects Judice to land a TKO.

"My prediction is going to be a knockout win, TKO win for Kari Judies."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Carli Judice

Judice is a talented striker with good takedown defense, as shown in her recent wins. She should be able to keep the fight standing and pick apart Miller, who is mediocre on the feet. Miller will try to grapple, but Judice has improved her grappling defense and should get back to her feet. Expect a TKO in the second or third round as Miller fades.

under 2.5 rounds at -180
"I'm going to start off this card with a big favorite getting the dub here with Carly Judis winning by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Carli Judice

Paul agrees, citing Judice's improvement and Miller's lack of wrestling. He thinks Miller's only path is takedowns, but Judice's striking will be too much. He expects Judice to win comfortably.

"She probably wins 70 80% of the time. So, it's like even at like plus 500, I don't think there's that much if any value on Juliana Miller."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Carli Judice

The MMA Guru believes Carli Judice is a much more technical fighter with a significant striking advantage over Juliana Miller. He notes that Judice arguably won her Contender Series fight and her UFC debut, and has since finished her last two opponents via TKO. He expects Judice to break Miller down with body work, specifically knees, front kicks, and teeps, leading to a second or third round TKO.

second or third round TKO, work to the body, knees to the body, front kicks, teeps
"I'm going to bet that Karolina Judice wins this fight via second or third round TKO."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Feb 20, 2026 (1 day before fight)
Carli Judice

Zane picks Judice emphatically, noting she has improved dramatically as a technician, especially her footwork. She runs circles around opponents and negates power disadvantages. Miller can't strike or wrestle, and Judice will tear her apart. Zane expects Judice to style on Miller.

"I think carly judas is gonna tear to pieces. Oh, absolutely"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.