Michel Pereira

"Demolidor"
10-5
Record
Age / DOB 32
(Oct 06, 1993)
Height 6' 1"
Weight 185 lbs.
Reach 73.0"
Stance Orthodox
Career Averages
4.46 Sig. Strikes / Min
51.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
4.4 Absorbed / Min
51.0% Strike Defense
1.21 TD Avg / 15 min
56.0% TD Accuracy
75.0% TD Defense
0.7 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (10)
KO/TKO 2
Submission 3
Decision 5
Loss Methods (5)
KO/TKO 2
Submission 0
Decision 2
Other 1

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Zachary Reese 0 74 of 148 50% 81 of 160 1 of 3 33% 1 0 0:47
Michel Pereira 0 63 of 132 47% 70 of 139 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:48
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Zachary Reese 0 23 of 51 45% 26 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michel Pereira 0 18 of 40 45% 25 of 47 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:42
2 Zachary Reese 0 24 of 44 54% 28 of 49 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
Michel Pereira 0 22 of 42 52% 22 of 42 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:03
3 Zachary Reese 0 27 of 53 50% 27 of 55 0 of 2 0% 1 0 0:03
Michel Pereira 0 23 of 50 46% 23 of 50 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Zachary Reese 74 of 148 50% 24 of 90 30 of 38 20 of 20 72 of 142 2 of 6 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 63 of 132 47% 29 of 75 31 of 53 3 of 4 53 of 119 9 of 11 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Zachary Reese 23 of 51 45% 4 of 29 8 of 11 11 of 11 23 of 50 0 of 1 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 18 of 40 45% 8 of 21 10 of 19 0 of 0 15 of 35 2 of 4 1 of 1
2 Zachary Reese 24 of 44 54% 9 of 25 11 of 15 4 of 4 23 of 41 1 of 3 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 22 of 42 52% 12 of 25 9 of 16 1 of 1 16 of 35 6 of 6 0 of 1
3 Zachary Reese 27 of 53 50% 11 of 36 11 of 12 5 of 5 26 of 51 1 of 2 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 23 of 50 46% 9 of 29 12 of 18 2 of 3 22 of 49 1 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (10)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Feb 15, 2026 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira despite recent poor form, citing his superior athleticism, speed, wrestling, and training partners. He acknowledges Pereira's mental state is a question mark after a public divorce, but believes the version from 2024 would dominate. He goes with his brain over his gut.

"Michel Pereira is the pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Feb 8, 2026 (13 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Big Brady picks Zachary Reese to defeat Michel Pereira, but with clear disgust and hesitation. He believes Pereira is washed, citing his terrible performances against Abus Magomedov and a 40-second knockout loss to Kyle Daukaus. He calls the fight 'disgusting' and hopes it gets canceled. He notes Reese is the underdog but feels he has more faith in Reese at this point. He predicts a first-round knockout, reasoning that if Daukaus could KO Pereira, Reese can too.

Zachary Reese by first-round knockout
"Give me Zac Reese here. You know, it's dirty. It's greasy. ... I'll take Zac Reese to knock out Michel Pereira in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody thinks Pereira's desperation and flashy style will lead to an early finish. He notes Reese's durability issues and poor cardio. He expects Pereira to win by KO or submission in the first round.

Pereira round one +316
"Pereira is the pick for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Connor picks Pereira despite acknowledging he looks shot. He notes that Pereira has better technique and experience, and that Reese has never beaten a good fighter. He points out that Pereira's creativity and speed could still be enough against a limited opponent like Reese, but admits it's a terrible fight and Pereira could lose if he's truly broken.

Reese opened +130, now +130; Pereira opened -150, now -150
"I'm gonna pick perrera. I can't. But that's what this fight is. Just terrible."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert Lean picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The host heavily leans towards Pereira, citing his superior striking, cardio, and ground game compared to Reese. However, he cannot bet Pereira at -155 because of the red flag from Pereira's passive performance against Abus Magomedov, which may indicate decline. He notes that if Pereira shows up and fights to his potential, he wins easily, but the inconsistency makes him unbettable.

Pereira's inconsistency; potential decline after Abus Magomedov fight
"I heavily lean towards Pereira. He's a very tempting bat. I wouldn't touch Reese here because in my opinion there's no advantage that he has over Pereira."
LU
Lucrative James Expert Hesitant picked Feb 14, 2026 (7 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

James picks Michel Pereira to win by first-round finish, but with hesitation due to Pereira's recent poor performances and questionable chin. He notes that Pereira has far better tools and competition wins, but if he doesn't get an early finish, Reese could take over. James prefers the under 1.5 rounds as a betting angle.

under 1.5 rounds
"I'm going to predict Michelle Pereira to win this fight in round one, but it's a very volatile fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Pereira is on a three-fight losing streak but has faced tough competition and should be motivated to save his roster spot. He is the better fighter on paper with more experience. Reese is dangerous but has durability questions. If Pereira comes back at 80% of his former self, he should find a finish. The under 1.5 rounds is also a good play as both are finishers.

under 1.5 rounds at plus money
"So, I'm going to go Pereira. I'm going to go Pereira by knockout."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul agrees, citing Pereira's ability to finish fights early and Reese's tendency to get knocked out. He thinks Pereira's wrestling is underrated and that he can win on the ground if needed. He expects a first-round finish.

Pereira inside distance +120
"I want the more dangerous guy. I want the guy that's more able to capitalize."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru hesitantly picks Michel Pereira, trusting his ability despite a recent loss to Hernandez. He notes Pereira's cardio issues but thinks he can find Reese's chin. He is unsure due to Pereira's inconsistency but believes Reese's fundamental ability is lacking.

TKO
"I'm going to go with Michael Pahea getting this one done by TKO over Zachary Reese."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Zachary Reese

Zane picks Reese as a counter to Connor, arguing that Pereira's confidence is shattered after the Hernandez loss and he has looked terrible in his last two fights. He notes that Reese is dangerous early and that Pereira's recent performances suggest he no longer knows how to fight. He admits it's a terrible fight and that Reese could easily lose, but he's willing to take the chance.

"Ah, fuck it. I'll take zach reese. Yeah might as well. Terrible fight."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Kyle Daukaus 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michel Pereira 1 5 of 8 62% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Kyle Daukaus 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Michel Pereira 1 5 of 8 62% 7 of 12 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Kyle Daukaus 2 of 4 50% 0 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Kyle Daukaus 2 of 4 50% 0 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 5 of 8 62% 5 of 8 0 of 0 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 7
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Michel Pereira vs. Kyle Daukaus

Round 1
The younger Daukaus brother returns to the UFC after a mixed first run in the Octagon followed a second middleweight title win in
Cage Fury Fighting Championships
after his release. Tasked with getting Daukaus’ second stint off to a bad start will be noted Brazilian madman Pereira. The referee on duty is Marc Goddard. Daukaus is southpaw, Pereira orthodox. Daukaus stalks forward and Pereira gives ground. Pereira nails Daukaus with a huge body kick, but he wears it well.
Seconds later, Daukaus clips the onrushing “Demolidor” with a short right hook to the jaw that drops him to his butt. Pereira tries to rally, but Daukaus pounces with a couple of glancing fists, then three jackhammer elbows that spur Goddard into action for the save.
Sensational knockout and a triumphant return for “The D’Arce Knight,” and for those keeping track at home, that makes two sub-minute finishes in the first four fights at UFC Shanghai. Yes, please.

The Official Result
Kyle Daukaus def. Michel Pereira R1 0:43 via KO (Punches and Elbows)
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Aug 17, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo is very confident in Michel Pereira, calling him an absolute beast with insane athleticism, real power, and solid wrestling and BJJ. He notes that Pereira is a better hammer than nail and that his recent loss was uncharacteristic, partly due to personal life issues. He dismisses Kyle Daukaus as not good at the UFC level despite regional wins, and expects Pereira to beat the brakes off him. He even says if Pereira doesn't win, cut them both.

"I think Michelle Pa comes in here, beats the absolute breaks off of Kyle Dawkins, and gets back on track."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Big Brady picks Michel Pereira to win by first-round knockout, despite Pereira's recent poor performance against Abus Magomedov. He believes the matchup is favorable for Pereira because Daukaus is hittable and fragile, and Pereira has the striking advantage. He notes that Daukaus will struggle to take Pereira down and that Pereira should finish early with a body shot or flying knee.

Pereira by first round knockout
"Give me Michelle Pereira. I'll take him to win by first round knockout. Hopefully he doesn't bet against himself again."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Aug 21, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The host acknowledges it's tough to trust Pereira after his last gunshy performance, but thinks he has a good opponent here to show off his power. He notes that Daukaus has crumbled under power before and expects Pereira to find a knockout.

win by KO/TKO
"I think he has a good enough partner here that he can show off his power once again. And we've seen Dawkins crumble under plenty of power before and Pereira can provide that and I think we'll see Pereira find that knockout and get his hand raised."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 22, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Michel Pereira to win, expecting an easy first-round finish. He believes Pereira is on another level compared to Kyle Daukaus, who is decent but lacks standout ability in any area. He notes that Pereira is much better at striking and moves well, which should carry him past Daukaus. However, he acknowledges that if the fight goes later, Daukaus could find success in the clinch.

first round finish
"This should be a pretty easy first round finish for Muel Preer. I think he's on another level to Kyle Dorcas."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 73 of 168 43% 74 of 169 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:24
Abusupiyan Magomedov 0 78 of 134 58% 83 of 140 1 of 4 25% 0 0 1:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 7 of 20 35% 7 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Abusupiyan Magomedov 0 18 of 31 58% 23 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:52
2 Michel Pereira 0 25 of 58 43% 26 of 59 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:11
Abusupiyan Magomedov 0 24 of 46 52% 24 of 46 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:09
3 Michel Pereira 0 41 of 90 45% 41 of 90 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Abusupiyan Magomedov 0 36 of 57 63% 36 of 57 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 73 of 168 43% 27 of 90 27 of 50 19 of 28 72 of 166 1 of 2 0 of 0
Abusupiyan Magomedov 78 of 134 58% 53 of 99 19 of 29 6 of 6 72 of 128 3 of 3 3 of 3
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 7 of 20 35% 0 of 4 4 of 9 3 of 7 7 of 20 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abusupiyan Magomedov 18 of 31 58% 10 of 23 5 of 5 3 of 3 13 of 26 2 of 2 3 of 3
2 Michel Pereira 25 of 58 43% 7 of 28 8 of 17 10 of 13 25 of 58 0 of 0 0 of 0
Abusupiyan Magomedov 24 of 46 52% 14 of 30 8 of 14 2 of 2 24 of 46 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Michel Pereira 41 of 90 45% 20 of 58 15 of 24 6 of 8 40 of 88 1 of 2 0 of 0
Abusupiyan Magomedov 36 of 57 63% 29 of 46 6 of 10 1 of 1 35 of 56 1 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 20, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira, believing his athleticism and power will overwhelm Abusupiyan Magomedov. He notes that Abus is hittable and Pereira hits hard, and that Pereira should replicate Bruno Ferreira's success but without letting up. He is more confident now than in his initial breakdown, though he cautions about Pereira's cardio.

Odds tightening; may hold off if it goes to even money
"Michelle should beat the [__] out of this guy."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Big Brady picks Michel Pereira, dismissing his loss to Anthony Hernandez as irrelevant since Hernandez would do the same to Magomedov. He criticizes Magomedov's poor cardio and durability, noting he slows down after the first round. He expects Pereira to win by knockout, possibly in the second round.

second round knockout
"Give me Michelle Pereira to get back on track. I'll take Pereira to win this fight. I'll say he wins it by knockout. I'll say second round knockout for Michelle Pereira."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Connor picks Pereira because he is a much more evolved and athletic fighter compared to Magomedov, who has a limited game based on a one-two and top control. Pereira has shown growth and patience, and his speed and power will be too much for Magomedov's robotic striking. Connor notes that Magomedov's wins have aged poorly and he has been exposed by any decent fighter.

"Michelle Padera is an actually very good fighter who has learned a lot and evolved a lot over time, an incredible athlete."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Apr 25, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Michel Pereira

The host likes Pereira's explosivity, athleticism, and power to shut down Magomedov's grappling, and expects Pereira to force a break and get a second or third round TKO.

TKO in round 2 or 3
"I think his explosivity, athleticism, and power will shut down the grappling game of Momedov... I think Pereira will force him to break eventually getting that second or third round TKO."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 22, 2025 (4 days before fight)
Abusupiyan Magomedov

The MMA Guru picks Abusupiyan Magomedov as an underdog. He criticizes Pereira's cardio and lack of MMA training, saying he gasses if he doesn't finish early. He notes Magomedov's improvements in grappling and cardio, and his reach advantage. He expects Magomedov to weather Pereira's early storm and win a decision, possibly chopping up Pereira's leg.

"I'm going with Abbas Magamemedov as an underdog. I think Abbas Magdov got a ton of [__] for not looking good against Strickland and also gassing out in that fight. But since then he has shown improvements."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Apr 24, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Zane picks Pereira, emphasizing that Magomedov's game is one-dimensional and relies on size and pressure. Once a fighter is good enough to test him, Magomedov falls apart. Pereira has the speed and skill to counter Magomedov's takedowns and striking. Zane also notes that Magomedov's losses have aged well but his wins have not, and he is essentially a 'quadruple A' fighter.

"I trust put it at this point to come out the other side of a rough start or whatever, and there's not that much depth to Maga Madoff's game at all."
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Anthony Hernandez 0 152 of 212 71% 219 of 293 10 of 29 34% 0 0 15:42
Michel Pereira 0 24 of 53 45% 29 of 62 0 of 1 0% 1 1 0:56
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Anthony Hernandez 0 27 of 52 51% 30 of 55 1 of 8 12% 0 0 1:25
Michel Pereira 0 15 of 34 44% 17 of 36 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
2 Anthony Hernandez 0 30 of 47 63% 47 of 68 2 of 6 33% 0 0 3:18
Michel Pereira 0 2 of 7 28% 2 of 7 0 of 0 --- 1 1 0:35
3 Anthony Hernandez 0 44 of 55 80% 64 of 77 2 of 6 33% 0 0 4:17
Michel Pereira 0 3 of 8 37% 4 of 9 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
4 Anthony Hernandez 0 29 of 35 82% 48 of 62 3 of 6 50% 0 0 4:35
Michel Pereira 0 3 of 3 100% 5 of 9 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:02
5 Anthony Hernandez 0 22 of 23 95% 30 of 31 2 of 3 66% 0 0 2:07
Michel Pereira 0 1 of 1 100% 1 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Anthony Hernandez 152 of 212 71% 125 of 182 22 of 24 5 of 6 43 of 81 12 of 14 97 of 117
Michel Pereira 24 of 53 45% 8 of 27 16 of 26 0 of 0 20 of 45 4 of 8 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Anthony Hernandez 27 of 52 51% 20 of 42 5 of 7 2 of 3 17 of 40 4 of 5 6 of 7
Michel Pereira 15 of 34 44% 7 of 19 8 of 15 0 of 0 12 of 28 3 of 6 0 of 0
2 Anthony Hernandez 30 of 47 63% 25 of 42 4 of 4 1 of 1 9 of 15 0 of 1 21 of 31
Michel Pereira 2 of 7 28% 0 of 4 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 7 0 of 0 0 of 0
3 Anthony Hernandez 44 of 55 80% 31 of 42 11 of 11 2 of 2 8 of 15 4 of 4 32 of 36
Michel Pereira 3 of 8 37% 1 of 4 2 of 4 0 of 0 2 of 6 1 of 2 0 of 0
4 Anthony Hernandez 29 of 35 82% 28 of 34 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 6 3 of 3 21 of 26
Michel Pereira 3 of 3 100% 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0 3 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
5 Anthony Hernandez 22 of 23 95% 21 of 22 1 of 1 0 of 0 4 of 5 1 of 1 17 of 17
Michel Pereira 1 of 1 100% 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 13, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira as an underdog, having bet on him at +135. He believes Pereira's athleticism, power, and grappling are too much for Anthony Hernandez, whose only path to victory is grappling. He thinks Pereira is the more dynamic and dangerous fighter, and that Hernandez cannot out-strike him. He notes Pereira's recent success at middleweight and dismisses cardio concerns, saying Pereira has shown he can maintain pace. He is confident Pereira wins.

bet on Pereira at +135
"Michelle P is the pick and I think we're going to Rattle off a couple of Underdog wins"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Big Brady picks Anthony Hernandez by third-round submission. He sees it as Pereira early, Hernandez late. Pereira has three quick wins but gasses; Hernandez has great cardio and grappling. If Hernandez survives the first five to seven minutes, he will take over, take Pereira down, and finish him in the third round. He mentions a good live bet spot.

third round submission, live bet
"I like Hernandez here probably a good live bet spot for sure um but yeah I like Hernandez to get it done I'll say third round submission for for Anthony Hernandez"
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Connor picks Hernandez, comparing his style to a larger, more skilled Tristan Connelly who will make Pereira pay for every bad decision. He notes that Hernandez's pace and pressure grappling are exactly the kind of game that troubled Pereira in the past. However, he acknowledges that Hernandez might get knocked out early, as he has been hurt in many of his recent wins.

"I am very much inclined to pick Anthony Hernandez while also having to acknowledge that he might just get dusted"
LU
Lucrative James Expert Confident picked Feb 21, 2026 (fight day)
Anthony Hernandez

Lucrative James believes Fluffy Hernandez will overwhelm Sean Strickland with constant forward pressure, takedown attempts, and volume. He notes that Strickland struggles when opponents don't let him establish his jab and one-two rhythm. James predicts Hernandez will win a decision by outworking Strickland over five rounds.

"I think Fluffy Hernandez has a lot of volume... he's going to walk forward, shoot takedowns, throw kicks, throw punches... I believe that is the way to offset Shawn's game entirely."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Anthony Hernandez

Pereira will be dangerous in the opening five minutes, but Hernandez has done a great job wearing opponents down, keeping them in the clinch, taking them down, and utilizing submission attempts. Hernandez will wear Pereira down and get a finish in the third or fourth round.

finish in round 3 or 4
"I think that Hernandez has done a great job in terms of finding ways to wear opponents down keep them in the clinch take them to the ground Matt return them utilize a ton of submission attempts but eventually wear Pera down and I think that will lead to him getting a finish in the third or fourth round"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 15, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The Guru picks Pereira despite acknowledging Hernandez's grappling skills. He believes Pereira's athleticism, power, and body work will be too much, predicting an early finish by TKO or submission. He notes Pereira has finished all his middleweight opponents quickly and envisions Pereira stuffing a takedown, landing knees to the body, and getting a guillotine or rear-naked choke.

early finish, TKO or submission, body work
"I'm going to go Mel P I think he's two athletic too strong too powerful"
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Confident picked Oct 17, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Zane picks Pereira because of his insane speed at middleweight, which he believes Hernandez will not be ready for. He acknowledges that if Hernandez survives the early onslaught, he will likely take over with pressure and grappling, but Zane trusts Pereira's athleticism to get the job done early. He notes that Pereira has learned to pace himself after the Tristan Connelly loss, but still has that loss in him.

Pereira opened at +132, now +115; Hernandez opened -147, now -128
"I am gonna take Pereira cuz he's just so goddamn fast at middleweight"
Submission (guillotine choke) R1 0:54
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:09
Ihor Potieria 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 6 of 10 60% 6 of 10 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:09
Ihor Potieria 0 2 of 3 66% 2 of 3 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 6 of 10 60% 4 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 4
Ihor Potieria 2 of 3 66% 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 6 of 10 60% 4 of 7 2 of 3 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 4
Ihor Potieria 2 of 3 66% 0 of 0 1 of 2 1 of 1 2 of 3 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (9)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Apr 28, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo is confident in Pereira, citing his speed, power, creativity, and grappling. He notes Potieria is a technical striker but hittable and with poor takedown defense. He expects Pereira to win by finish.

Angelo says 'he probably wins by finish'
"Michelle peda is the pick and he probably wins by finish"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Big Brady is high on Pereira's middleweight resurgence, noting his two quick finishes. He views Potieria as a step down and believes Pereira will knock him out in the first round, possibly mid to late.

"I think he Sparks Pia I think he does it in the first round."
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody picks Pereira, noting his improved fight IQ, cardio, and well-roundedness at middleweight. He believes Potieria is a one-dimensional knockout artist with poor durability and cardio. Cody expects Pereira to win, likely by knockout.

Pereira by KO
"I think he wins probably by knockout..."
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Confident picked May 2, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Daniel Vreeland agrees with Jeff Fox on Michel Pereira. He notes that Pereira has chilled out his wild style since gassing out against Tristan Connelly, and has been on a seven-fight winning streak. Vreeland thinks Pereira will win easily, though he doesn't elaborate on a specific method. He later mentions that Pereira's submission prop has moved from +650 to +370, indicating the books are aware of his submission threat.

"I think he was gassing himself out being a wild man so yeah yeah that that's his lost to Tristan Connelly right like that's how he lost he's been weird chose not to do that from then on"
DA
Daniel Vreeland Expert Lean picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Daniel Vreeland leans with Pereira but considers it a dog-or-pass situation. He acknowledges Potieria's recent improvements, including better cardio and confidence, but believes Pereira's top-15 trajectory and finishing ability give him the edge. He suggests that Pereira's decision prop at +550 might be a better value than the moneyline, as Potieria could last the distance.

Pereira by decision +550
"I'm gonna lean with Michelle but I'mma keep it a buck as always I think this is a dogger pass situation"
JE
Jeff Fox Expert Confident picked May 2, 2024 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Jeff Fox is very confident in Michel Pereira, calling him a 'demolisher' and noting his seven-fight winning streak since two losses. Fox explains that one loss was due to an illegal knee against Diego Sanchez, and the other was a short-notice grappling loss to Tristan Connelly. Since then, Pereira has been more measured and finished opponents like Andre Petroski. Fox believes Potieria is not UFC caliber, with wins only over aged fighters like Shogun. He expects Pereira to do whatever he wants, and later in the show he picks Pereira by submission for the Hungry Man parlay.

Pereira by submission +370 (part of Hungry Man parlay)
"I don't think he's UFC caliber if I'm being completely honest with potier I think they're giving Michelle paa a chance to do whatever he wants in there"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked May 3, 2024 (1 day before fight)
Michel Pereira

Pereira is on a crazy run, harnessing his big striking power over 15 minutes. His speed and power advantage will be enough to find Potieria's chin and put him out clean.

knockout
"I expect his speed and power advantage to be more than enough for him to go out there and find the chin of portieria and putting him out clean"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked May 1, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul picks Pereira, highlighting his 8-2 UFC record, athleticism, and evolution into a winning style. He dismisses Potieria's chances, citing his poor durability, cardio, and ground game. Paul sees Pereira as a rightful favorite.

"Gotta go with Pereira... I understand why he's the big favorite."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Apr 30, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Michel Pereira, praising his skills at middleweight and noting that welterweights often make better middleweights. He highlights Pereira's wins over Andre Petroski and Maxime Gremont, and predicts a first-round rear-naked choke. He criticizes Potieria's record and recent performances, including a loss to Shogun Rua.

rear naked choke round one
"I'm going to say rear naked choke round one for Mel per"
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R1 1:01
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 11 of 15 73% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 11 of 15 73% 11 of 15 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
Michał Oleksiejczuk 0 1 of 4 25% 1 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 11 of 15 73% 5 of 9 6 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 11 of 15 73% 5 of 9 6 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 13 2 of 2 0 of 0
Michał Oleksiejczuk 1 of 4 25% 0 of 3 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Mar 3, 2024 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira, citing his better cardio, power, and grappling. He notes Oleksiejczuk has a great chin but can fade. He has a half-unit bet on Pereira at -130, but keeps it small because Oleksiejczuk could survive early and outpoint him.

Half unit bet on Pereira at -130.
"I still think P wins this fight and I do like the odds at minus 130 I've got a little bit of a bet on that as well half a unit on P here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Big Brady picks Michał Oleksiejczuk to win by decision. He notes that while Pereira has a BJJ black belt, he doesn't wrestle often and lacks the cardio to grapple for 15 minutes. He expects the fight to stay on the feet, where Oleksiejczuk's forward pressure, body work, and volume will wear down Pereira and win the later rounds.

win by decision
"I'm going to go Mel o to win this fight Win It by decision I think the bodyw work's going to come into play the cardio the volume is all going to come into play"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody notes that Pereira has matured and now fights more conservatively, using his accuracy and wrestling. He thinks Oleksiejczuk is a reckless brawler with poor takedown defense, and Pereira will counter him and mix in takedowns to win a decision.

"I will go with Pereira"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Mar 4, 2024 (5 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

Oleksiejczuk has great durability and forward pressure, marching forward and breaking opponents with his boxing. He has eaten clean shots and continued to push. Pereira is dangerous early with his unorthodox power, but Oleksiejczuk's durability should allow him to weather the early storm. As the fight goes on, Oleksiejczuk will start to catch Pereira, coral him against the cage, and land combinations. I expect Oleksiejczuk to get a finish in the second or third round, possibly by knockout.

Oleksiejczuk by knockout, live betting Oleksiejczuk after first round
"I have to lean with the O shuk side here as I believe that his durability will allow him to kind of just way through the early threat that Pera normally uh implements in his fights and from there I think that o shuk will start to catch up with Pereira"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Mar 6, 2024 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul agrees, highlighting Pereira's improved fight IQ and the fact that he looked great at 185. He thinks Oleksiejczuk's wrestling is exploitable and that Pereira has multiple ways to win.

"Pereira is the pick for me as well"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Mar 5, 2024 (4 days before fight)
Michał Oleksiejczuk

The MMA Guru picks Michał Oleksiejczuk, citing concerns about Michel Pereira's finishing ability and cardio. He notes Pereira failed to finish chinny fighters like Andre Fialho and Nico Price, and that Oleksiejczuk is extremely tough and has power. He predicts Oleksiejczuk will pressure Pereira, take him down, and finish with a body shot TKO in round two.

round two body shot TKO
"I'm GNA say round two body shot TKO from maau Alex huk"
TKO (punches) R1 1:06
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 1 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Andre Petroski 1 6 of 18 33% 6 of 18 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:04
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 6 of 18 33% 5 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 12
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 0 of 1 0% 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0 0 of 1 0 of 0 0 of 0
Andre Petroski 6 of 18 33% 5 of 17 1 of 1 0 of 0 2 of 6 0 of 0 4 of 12
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Michel Pereira vs. Andre Petroski
BETTING PREVIEW | SCOUTING REPORT | ODDS: Pereira (-180), Petroski (+150)

Round 1
Action shifts to the middleweight division, where Pereira (28-11, 6-2 UFC) takes on Andrei Petroski (10-1, 5-0 UFC) in one of the more anticipated bouts on the card. Petroski fills in for Marc-Andre Barriault on short notice. Tognoni steps up to preside over the match. Petroski takes the center of the cage, with his Brazilian counterpart bouncing on the balls of his feet. Pereira using stance switches and feints to keep him guessing.
Pereira floors him with a thudding right hand and buries him with standing-to-ground punches. Petroski never intelligently defended himself once the barrage started
.

The Official Result
Michel Pereira def. Andre Petroski—TKO (Punches) 1:06 R1
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Oct 8, 2023 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo is confident in Michel Pereira due to Petroski stepping up on short notice with questionable cardio. He notes Pereira is taller, has decent cardio, and is the busier fighter. He thinks Petroski's cardio issues will be exacerbated by the short notice, and Pereira should win.

"I'm going to go Michelle P here and I'm pretty confident in that and it's really because of the short notice"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Andre Petroski

Big Brady picks Andre Petroski to win by third-round TKO. He notes Pereira has only fought strikers and lost to grappler Tristan Connelly, while Petroski is a big middleweight with strong grappling. He expects both to tire, but Petroski's cardio holds up and he gets a late finish.

Petroski by TKO in round 3
"I'm going to take patoski here I'm sure I'm going to be absolutely on Island here but I think this fight's going to be very close and competitive and I'm going to say pataski goes out there and finishes Pereira in the third round"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody picks Pereira, emphasizing his excellent takedown defense and the fact that Petroski relies heavily on takedowns. He notes that Petroski gasses out and that judges are now scoring damage and volume over control time. Cody believes Pereira's striking and cardio advantage will carry him, and that Petroski's path to victory is narrow.

"Michelle Pereira I certainly don't mind"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Oct 12, 2023 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The host picks Michel Pereira but is queasy about the minus 220 price due to Petroski's early grappling danger. He expects violence and a late stoppage, specifically a third-round knockout by Pereira. He suggests the under as a better bet if the price is right.

Pereira by third round knockout; under 1.5 rounds if plus money
"I'm going to go with Pereira here not so hot on the money line but I feel like vience is going to be the spot it's going to be Pereira by third round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Oct 11, 2023 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul picks Pereira, citing his takedown defense (92% in UFC) and improved fight IQ. He notes that Pereira has stopped doing reckless moves and is fighting more fundamentally. Paul believes Pereira's cardio will be better at 185 lbs and that he can stuff Petroski's takedowns and out-strike him. He acknowledges the price (-200) is steep but thinks Pereira wins.

Over 2.5 rounds at -105
"I'll pick Pereira"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Oct 10, 2023 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Michel Pereira to win by TKO over Andre Petroski. He argues that welterweights moving up to middleweight are technically better, citing examples. He criticizes Petroski's last performance against Gerald Meerschaert, saying he looked terrible and took heavy damage. He notes Petroski is fighting on short notice (8 weeks after a war) and doesn't trust his cardio. He believes Pereira has a massive striking advantage and explosive hips to get back up if taken down.

TKO
"I'm going to go Mel paa I think he's got much better striking much better technique"
Decision (split) (28–29, 30–27, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 105 of 220 47% 106 of 221 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:18
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 110 of 216 50% 110 of 216 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 16 of 39 41% 16 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 24 of 45 53% 24 of 45 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
2 Michel Pereira 0 34 of 66 51% 35 of 67 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:18
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 35 of 70 50% 35 of 70 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
3 Michel Pereira 0 55 of 115 47% 55 of 115 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Santiago Ponzinibbio 0 51 of 101 50% 51 of 101 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 105 of 220 47% 78 of 185 13 of 18 14 of 17 103 of 217 1 of 1 1 of 2
Santiago Ponzinibbio 110 of 216 50% 52 of 143 42 of 56 16 of 17 108 of 214 2 of 2 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 16 of 39 41% 8 of 29 5 of 5 3 of 5 16 of 39 0 of 0 0 of 0
Santiago Ponzinibbio 24 of 45 53% 9 of 27 12 of 15 3 of 3 24 of 45 0 of 0 0 of 0
2 Michel Pereira 34 of 66 51% 26 of 56 4 of 5 4 of 5 33 of 64 0 of 0 1 of 2
Santiago Ponzinibbio 35 of 70 50% 14 of 44 17 of 21 4 of 5 34 of 69 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Michel Pereira 55 of 115 47% 44 of 100 4 of 8 7 of 7 54 of 114 1 of 1 0 of 0
Santiago Ponzinibbio 51 of 101 50% 29 of 72 13 of 20 9 of 9 50 of 100 1 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (6)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked May 15, 2022 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira because he believes Pereira is better everywhere: more power, versatility, 100% takedown defense, and improved cardio. He notes that Ponzinibbio has good range control but Pereira's power and technique will overcome that. He expects Pereira to win a decision, his fourth in five fights.

"i like pajada to win his fourth decision in five fights and his fifth fight in a row so michelle pajada is definitely the pick here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

Big Brady picks Santiago Ponzinibbio to win by decision, favoring his pressure style and superior cardio. He notes Ponzinibbio throws combinations and leg kicks, while Pereira prefers to stick on the outside and may struggle with pressure. He expects Ponzinibbio to break Pereira as the fight goes on and win a close decision.

"ponzi and ponzi by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody leans Pereira because he believes Ponzinibbio hasn't looked the same since his eye injury, citing close fights with Miguel Baeza and Geoff Neal where he was outlanded in significant strikes. He notes Pereira has improved his cardio and fight IQ, mixing in takedowns and pacing himself. He thinks Pereira's chin is better and that he can land a big shot or wrestle, making him the fresher fighter.

Pereira by KO (+350)
"i gotta lean towards pereira in this matchup but i wouldn't fault anybody for going the other way and it's a close fight the oddsmaker's got a dead spot on but i i think i'm leaning towards pereira just being able to put it all together a little bit better and just being fresher right"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert picked May 21, 2022 (fight day)
No clear pick

The host discusses the fight but does not make a clear pick. He notes that Pereira is a bigger welterweight and that Ponzinibbio is a legitimate 170-pounder. He questions whether Pereira's size will be a factor and mentions that Ponzinibbio's takedown defense should be good enough. He does not express a preference for either fighter.

"i'm not going to take too much from michelle's size honestly"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked May 18, 2022 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul does not give a clear pick for this fight. He says the line is perfectly accurate and both guys can win. He mentions Ponzinibbio's volume and pressure but notes he hasn't looked the same since his injury. He does not express a preference.

"this is a straight up 50 50. like i think the line's perfectly accurate you can see both guys winning"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked May 17, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Santiago Ponzinibbio

The MMA Guru picks Santiago Ponzinibbio, believing he has the cardio and durability to outlast Michel Pereira. He thinks Pereira's KO power is not enough to finish Ponzinibbio and that Pereira will fade in the later rounds. He predicts a third-round TKO for Ponzinibbio.

third round TKO
"i'm going to go with santiago ponza nibia"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 107 of 202 52% 112 of 209 1 of 4 25% 0 0 0:44
André Fialho 0 45 of 135 33% 48 of 138 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:45
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 17 of 43 39% 17 of 45 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 12 of 41 29% 12 of 41 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:19
2 Michel Pereira 0 47 of 81 58% 51 of 85 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:44
André Fialho 0 16 of 29 55% 16 of 29 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:06
3 Michel Pereira 0 43 of 78 55% 44 of 79 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
André Fialho 0 17 of 65 26% 20 of 68 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:20
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 107 of 202 52% 49 of 122 44 of 66 14 of 14 96 of 188 11 of 14 0 of 0
André Fialho 45 of 135 33% 40 of 128 5 of 7 0 of 0 36 of 122 7 of 7 2 of 6
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 17 of 43 39% 4 of 24 11 of 17 2 of 2 17 of 43 0 of 0 0 of 0
André Fialho 12 of 41 29% 12 of 40 0 of 1 0 of 0 10 of 35 0 of 0 2 of 6
2 Michel Pereira 47 of 81 58% 18 of 47 23 of 28 6 of 6 37 of 68 10 of 13 0 of 0
André Fialho 16 of 29 55% 13 of 25 3 of 4 0 of 0 10 of 23 6 of 6 0 of 0
3 Michel Pereira 43 of 78 55% 27 of 51 10 of 21 6 of 6 42 of 77 1 of 1 0 of 0
André Fialho 17 of 65 26% 15 of 63 2 of 2 0 of 0 16 of 64 1 of 1 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Angelo picks Michel Pereira, citing his speed, athleticism, and improved cardio. He notes Fialho's lack of head movement and tendency to throw one strike at a time, which Pereira can exploit. However, he acknowledges Fialho's real power and durability, making him dangerous late in the fight.

"i like michelle pajada in this fight short notice aside i love paja's speed and athleticism i think andre's lack of head movement will get him into some trouble here"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Big Brady picks Michel Pereira to win by decision, citing Pereira's massive volume, speed, and cardio advantages over Fialho. He notes that Fialho is powerful but low volume, slow, and takes fights on short notice. Pereira is durable (only one KO loss in 37 fights) and has solid wrestling and BJJ as alternate paths. He acknowledges Fialho's power but believes it's a bad matchup for him.

Pereira by decision; mentions Fialho's power and short notice
"give me michelle pereira to win i'm going to take him to win by the decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Cody picks Michel Pereira, stating that Pereira is leveled above Fialho in striking and that Fialho's game falls apart if he doesn't finish early. He notes that Fialho has been released by Bellator and PFL, and that his cardio and defensive striking are poor. Cody warns that Pereira can be reckless and may get disqualified, but believes Pereira's speed, durability, and power will prevail. He also mentions that Pereira has shown improved cardio in recent decisions.

"The pick has got to be for Michel Pereira and just a tough debut for Andre Fialho all around."
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jan 20, 2022 (2 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Daniel Levi leans toward Michel Pereira but calls it a dog-or-pass situation. He acknowledges Fialho's momentum and power but believes Pereira's athleticism, discipline at 170, and recent improvements make him the pick. Levi notes that Pereira has faced hard hitters before and that Fialho's competition hasn't been at the same level. He expects Pereira to land a big knee or straight right and finish Fialho.

Pereira by KO/TKO
"eileen pereira but honestly i think it actually might be a dog or pass situation um here so my pick is pereira but i wouldn't sleep on fiaglio man"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 18, 2022 (4 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The host sees this as a perfect stylistic matchup for Pereira, who will stay on the outside and avoid Fiallo's preferred boxing range. He notes that Fiallo struggles when opponents dictate the pace and that Pereira's movement and the larger cage will benefit him. He expects Pereira to touch Fiallo up and possibly knock him out, predicting a second-round KO.

Pereira inside the distance, Pereira by KO round 2
"i'm going pereira i'll actually take him to win this fight inside the distance uh i'm going to say knockout let's call it second round"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jan 19, 2022 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Paul picks Michel Pereira but is hesitant due to Pereira's tendency to do reckless things like backflips that could lead to disqualification. He notes that Pereira's cardio is questionable and that he gassed against Niko Price. However, Paul acknowledges that Fialho is not a high-level opponent and that Pereira should win if he fights smart. He advises being careful with the bet.

"I'm picking Michel Pereira but be very very careful because this guy is a walking disqualification if there ever was one."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 17, 2022 (5 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Michel Pereira, predicting a first-round KO via flying knee. He notes Fialho's power and training at Sanford MMA but believes Fialho's short-notice aggression will leave him open. He compares the matchup to Pereira's win over Chaos Williams, expecting Pereira to land a big shot on the advancing Fialho.

first round ko with a flying knee
"i'm going to go with mikhail page here over andre feel how and i'm actually going to pick him by first round ko with a knee like a flying knee"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 76 of 180 42% 120 of 229 0 of 2 0% 1 0 2:12
Niko Price 0 92 of 154 59% 115 of 180 3 of 6 50% 2 0 2:47
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 10 of 30 33% 26 of 50 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:47
Niko Price 0 27 of 39 69% 37 of 49 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:32
2 Michel Pereira 0 19 of 40 47% 32 of 53 0 of 1 0% 1 0 0:50
Niko Price 0 32 of 52 61% 41 of 64 1 of 1 100% 2 0 2:12
3 Michel Pereira 0 47 of 110 42% 62 of 126 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:35
Niko Price 0 33 of 63 52% 37 of 67 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:03
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 76 of 180 42% 40 of 130 14 of 23 22 of 27 65 of 163 9 of 14 2 of 3
Niko Price 92 of 154 59% 52 of 106 34 of 42 6 of 6 64 of 116 18 of 20 10 of 18
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 10 of 30 33% 1 of 14 3 of 7 6 of 9 10 of 26 0 of 3 0 of 1
Niko Price 27 of 39 69% 8 of 19 15 of 16 4 of 4 19 of 30 7 of 8 1 of 1
2 Michel Pereira 19 of 40 47% 8 of 25 1 of 3 10 of 12 18 of 39 1 of 1 0 of 0
Niko Price 32 of 52 61% 23 of 42 7 of 8 2 of 2 20 of 32 3 of 3 9 of 17
3 Michel Pereira 47 of 110 42% 31 of 91 10 of 13 6 of 6 37 of 98 8 of 10 2 of 2
Niko Price 33 of 63 52% 21 of 45 12 of 18 0 of 0 25 of 54 8 of 9 0 of 0
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Niko Price

Angelo picks Price, believing Price's relentless pressure and durability will draw the crazy out of Pereira, causing him to fade. He notes Pereira has questionable fight IQ and gasses when doing theatrics. He has Price in his DraftKings lineup and plans a moneyline bet.

Moneyline bet on Price
"my pick is nico price i do have niko winning this fight i did put nico in my draftkings lineup"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jul 4, 2021 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Big Brady picks Michel Pereira to win by second-round knockout. He notes that Pereira has been fighting smarter, not doing cartwheels, and has power. He highlights Price's lack of striking defense (49%) and high absorption rate (5.83 per minute). He thinks Price will run forward with his hands down and get clipped. He acknowledges Price's power and opportunism but favors Pereira's power and the fact that Price is very hittable.

second round knockout
"i'll go with pereira to knock out nico price but man this is gonna be a fun fight i think someone's getting finished"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Niko Price

Cody leans toward Price as an underdog. He notes Pereira's inconsistency and tendency to fight wild, and Price's power and durability. He thinks Price can capitalize if Pereira gets excited. He calls it a dog or pass.

"i'm thinking underdog play on nicole price"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Daniel Levi picks Michel Pereira to win. He believes Pereira is now dialed in and focused, with athletic tools and diverse weapons. He thinks Pereira will land more effective shots and control the fight, though he acknowledges Niko Price's opportunistic finishing ability and lionheart. He notes that Price has improved his volume but doubts he can maintain that against Pereira. He expects Pereira to win by KO or decision.

Pereira by KO or decision
"i got to go with michelle pereira here to to win a either via knockout or uh via decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jul 2, 2021 (8 days before fight)
Niko Price

Jacob agrees with Angelo, citing cardio as the key factor. He thinks the longer the fight goes, the more it favors Price. He notes Pereira's jiu-jitsu is a threat but believes Price can weather the storm and win late. He originally had Price in his lineup but swapped due to salary constraints.

"the only thing i have listed for my notes on this is cardio and that's why i think nico price going to win"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

I'm taking Pereira by decision. He has shown more discipline recently, using movement and volume. Price has power but is more of a one-and-done striker. Pereira's unorthodox style and cardio should allow him to outwork Price over three rounds. As long as he doesn't get caught, he should win. I like Pereira by decision.

Pereira by decision
"i'm going uh michelle pereira minus 155 by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert picked Jul 7, 2021 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Paul has no clear pick. He discusses both fighters' strengths and weaknesses but finds it too risky. He calls it a dog or pass situation.

"yeah i think it is a dog or past situation"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jul 10, 2021 (fight day)
Michel Pereira

The Guru predicts Pereira will win by second-round rear-naked choke. He expects Price to do well in the first round, pressuring and landing shots, but Pereira will move well and counter with front kicks to the body. As Price hunches over from the body kicks, Pereira will land jabs and right hands. In the second round, Price will rush in and Pereira will catch him with a counter right hand, then take his back and sink in the choke. The Guru initially thought TKO but changed to submission.

Pereira wins by submission (rear-naked choke) in round 2
"michael pay is going to get a second round tko against nico price ... actually eventually nico price gives up his neck and michael payer gets the rear naked choke in round two"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 44 of 79 55% 56 of 94 2 of 2 100% 1 0 1:21
Khaos Williams 0 55 of 127 43% 62 of 134 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 11 of 20 55% 11 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Khaos Williams 0 12 of 31 38% 12 of 31 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Michel Pereira 0 19 of 32 59% 19 of 32 0 of 0 --- 1 0 0:18
Khaos Williams 0 22 of 50 44% 28 of 56 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:36
3 Michel Pereira 0 14 of 27 51% 26 of 42 2 of 2 100% 0 0 1:03
Khaos Williams 0 21 of 46 45% 22 of 47 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 44 of 79 55% 24 of 53 20 of 26 0 of 0 33 of 67 9 of 10 2 of 2
Khaos Williams 55 of 127 43% 23 of 74 9 of 19 23 of 34 48 of 114 7 of 13 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 11 of 20 55% 4 of 11 7 of 9 0 of 0 9 of 18 2 of 2 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 12 of 31 38% 5 of 13 1 of 5 6 of 13 11 of 28 1 of 3 0 of 0
2 Michel Pereira 19 of 32 59% 9 of 21 10 of 11 0 of 0 15 of 28 4 of 4 0 of 0
Khaos Williams 22 of 50 44% 9 of 33 4 of 8 9 of 9 18 of 44 4 of 6 0 of 0
3 Michel Pereira 14 of 27 51% 11 of 21 3 of 6 0 of 0 9 of 21 3 of 4 2 of 2
Khaos Williams 21 of 46 45% 9 of 28 4 of 6 8 of 12 19 of 42 2 of 4 0 of 0
Play-by-Play
View on Sherdog
Kalinn Williams vs. Michel Pereira

Round 1
From one wild battle to another we go, as welterweights Pereira (24-11, 2 NC; 2-2 UFC) and Williams (11-1, 2-0 UFC) can almost do no wrong when they lock horns. Keeping a lid on this almost sure-fire brawl is referee Mark Smith, and despite Williams’ murderous stare towards his breakdancing opponent, the two do touch gloves. Williams reaches out with a left hand, and Pereira swats it away while keeping a very wide stance. Williams misses with a leg kick, and he has already passed his longest time in the Octagon in just 30 seconds. Pereira scores a one-two and a body kick, and Williams takes it flush without batting an eye. Pereira lets loose a front kick, and Williams catches it and crashes in with a barrage of punches. Pereira pushes him away and dances away on the outside. The Brazilian takes a heavy leg kick that interrupts his one-two, and he fires off a head kick that gets blocked. Williams again targets the calf with a kick, and he is far enough away to avoid the springing punch from Pereira off the fence. Williams digs the leg a few more times, before stepping out of the way of a front kick to crash in and unload a right hand, but he is too close. Williams wings a right hand, and Pereira is well out of the way. Williams catches a kick and cracks Pereira with a pair of thudding punches, and Pereira may be a little rocked but he wears it well. Williams spins and gets off a kick to the body, and he stalks Pereira down but does not get too close to fall into a trap. Pereira throws another front kick with his hands down, and Williams catches it and nails him with a right hand. “Demolidor” smiles and hops away from a leg kick, before waiting for another to come so that he can counter it with an overhand right. Pereira just misses with a booming head kick, and the tense round ends with Pereira leaping in the air with a knee while jumping over a leg kick.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Williams

Round 2
The two welterweights touch gloves to check in the second round, and both men swing and miss early. Williams gives his man chase, but he only connects with a calf kick. Pereira comes up shy with a one-two, and Williams blows Pereira’s hair back with a right hand. When Williams throws a naked leg kick, Pereira tags him with a straight right. Williams charges in to assault his opponent with a few punches, and the Brazilian grabs hold of him to clinch up and deliver a knee to the breadbasket. Williams turns him about and gets off his own knee, but Pereira pushes off to break free. Williams chops down the leg on the inside, knocking Pereira far enough off-balance to disrupt the latter’s attack. Williams ducks down to counter a strike with a huge right hand, and he hacks at the leg a few more times. Williams lands one more, and Pereira gets off a right hand that just reaches Williams’ chin. Both men throw jabs at the same time, and then they score harder shots simultaneously. Williams charges like a bull with looping punches, and Pereira escapes and stabs his foot into Williams’ torso. Pereira goes to the well with that kick again, and Williams does not approve so he sprints forward to land three powerful shots that sting Pereira. The Brazilian grabs Williams and hammers the body with several stern knees, but Williams is able to back away. The two swing wildly and Williams nearly falls over. With just seconds left in the round, Pereira jumps on to take Williams’ back, where he snatches up a choke from a strange angle. Williams may be saved by the bell, as the choke could have been tight but time expired before it was finished.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pereira
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Williams
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pereira

Round 3
A touch of gloves is offered and accepted to start off the last round, and Pereira backs away to fire off a big kick. When Pereira puts up a kick, Williams just misses a counter right hand. Pereira clubs Williams with a left hand, and Williams replies with a leg kick that makes Pereira’s knee buckle briefly. Williams keeps marking up that leg with his kicks, and he sticks Pereira with a left hand. The Brazilian starts to dance around with unusual footwork, but Williams stands in front of him and chops down the lead leg again. Pereira throws a head kick, and then turns around, drops to his knees and misses with a back kick. Pereira loosens up and starts having fun with it, getting off some unorthodox strikes while Williams stands in the pocket and lands a few right hands. Pereira stabs his toes to the midsection to back off Williams, and when Williams tries to kick him in the face, Pereira is nowhere to be found. The Brazilian suddenly changes levels and lands a takedown, where he instantly takes side control while putting his full weight on his elbow. Williams scrambles and walks up the fence, but takes a knee up the middle for his effort. A springing superman punch comes up short, but it places him in range for Williams to throw leather at him. Pereira boots Williams in the face with a kick, but “Khaos” shrugs it off and fires off a right hand. Pereira ducks down to secure another takedown, where he sits on top pounding on Williams with punches and elbows from above. The final horn blares – perhaps to the surprise of some – and the scorecards could be all over the map.

Sherdog Scores
Jay Pettry scores the round: 10-9 Pereira (29-28 Pereira)
Tristen Critchfield scores the round: 10-9 Pereira (29-28 Williams)
Tyler Treese scores the round: 10-9 Pereira (29-28 Pereira)

The Official Result
Michel Pereira def. Kalinn Williams via Unanimous Decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Dec 18, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams, noting his technical style and ability to counter Pereira's wild approach. He references Williams' last fight where he used a right hand to finish, expecting a similar outcome.

"i like chaos williams versus pierre if you watch his last fight this dude is very technical he's very just hands up we'll let you do stupid stuff which is what pierre does and then he's gonna he's gonna hit you with that right like he did last time and just absolutely destroy you"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady picks Khaos Williams over Michel Pereira, citing trust issues with Pereira's antics (backflips, gassing) and Williams' legitimate power. He believes the smaller cage favors Williams, limiting Pereira's movement. Brady predicts a decision win for Williams, noting both fighters respect each other's power, and suggests the over 1.5 rounds as a sneaky bet.

over 1.5 rounds, decision win for Williams
"i'm going to take chaos williams to win by decision"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Dec 16, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The host leans Pereira due to his unorthodox style and volume, but is not confident because of Khaos Williams' one-punch knockout power. He thinks Pereira can out-volume Williams and stay away from the big shots, but acknowledges any slip could lead to a KO loss. He predicts a decision win for Pereira.

Over 1.5 rounds considered but not recommended due to sweat
"i'm still going to sidewalk here i feel like it's going to be a little bit too hard for chaos to track him down"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Hesitant picked Dec 13, 2020 (6 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The Guru picks Michel Pereira but is very hesitant, calling it a close fight. He believes Pereira's unorthodox movement and darting in-and-out style will disrupt Khaos Williams' timing and power. He notes that Williams has only won by one-punch KO against plodding opponents, and that Pereira can evade and outpoint him over three rounds. He predicts a 30-27 decision.

Mentions that Williams has gone to decision against lesser opponents like Tony Hervey and PJ Cajigas, and that Pereira's movement will be key.
"i'm gonna go with mikhail peja getting a job done by a tko in the second no i'm gonna go with michael payer by unanimous decision"
Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 4:39
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 88 of 153 57% 88 of 154 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:11
Zelim Imadaev 0 23 of 90 25% 24 of 91 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:08
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 21 of 39 53% 21 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zelim Imadaev 0 6 of 20 30% 6 of 20 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
2 Michel Pereira 0 28 of 53 52% 28 of 53 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Zelim Imadaev 0 10 of 39 25% 10 of 39 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:07
3 Michel Pereira 0 39 of 61 63% 39 of 62 1 of 1 100% 1 0 0:11
Zelim Imadaev 0 7 of 31 22% 8 of 32 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 88 of 153 57% 39 of 95 38 of 45 11 of 13 82 of 145 6 of 8 0 of 0
Zelim Imadaev 23 of 90 25% 10 of 73 6 of 10 7 of 7 22 of 86 1 of 4 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 21 of 39 53% 10 of 23 10 of 13 1 of 3 20 of 37 1 of 2 0 of 0
Zelim Imadaev 6 of 20 30% 1 of 15 2 of 2 3 of 3 6 of 19 0 of 1 0 of 0
2 Michel Pereira 28 of 53 52% 12 of 34 11 of 14 5 of 5 26 of 50 2 of 3 0 of 0
Zelim Imadaev 10 of 39 25% 6 of 33 3 of 5 1 of 1 9 of 36 1 of 3 0 of 0
3 Michel Pereira 39 of 61 63% 17 of 38 17 of 18 5 of 5 36 of 58 3 of 3 0 of 0
Zelim Imadaev 7 of 31 22% 3 of 25 1 of 3 3 of 3 7 of 31 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (4)
BI
Big Brady Expert Lean picked Sep 2, 2020 (3 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

Big Brady picks Pereira despite past inconsistency, noting he looked composed against Diego Sanchez. He thinks Pereira is more durable and has shown progression. He is not impressed with Imadaev. However, he warns this is a stay-away fight for betting because Pereira cannot be trusted.

Pereira by knockout, second round; stay away fight
"give me michelle pereira this is not a fight you want to bet by any means this is probably one of the biggest stay away fights of the year"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Sep 3, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Zelim Imadaev

Daniel Levi picks Zelim Imadaev by first-round knockout. He believes Imadaev has better hands and forward pressure, and that Pereira is unreliable despite his athleticism. Levi notes that Imadaev showed improvement in his last fight before getting knocked out, and that Pereira's cardio and discipline are questionable. He expects Imadaev to walk Pereira down and finish him early.

Imadaev by KO in round 1
"i'm gonna go with lima madaya by first round knockout"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Sep 3, 2020 (2 days before fight)
Zelim Imadaev

The host is very uncertain but leans toward Imadaev by second-round TKO. He thinks Imadaev may have a slight cardio advantage and more variety in his MMA game. He calls the fight 'complete chaos' and advises caution.

"i'll go with him a dive probably to win this fight by second round tko"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Aug 31, 2020 (5 days before fight)
Michel Pereira

The MMA Guru picks Michel Pereira, noting that Zelim Imadaev is coming off a KO loss and has a weak resume outside the UFC. He praises Pereira's patience shown in the Diego Sanchez fight and believes he will KO Imadaev in the first round. He mentions the odds have closed to evens, making the pick more palatable.

first round ko
"i'm going with michael payer getting it done early"
DQ (illegal knee) R3 3:09
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Diego Sanchez 0 25 of 64 39% 29 of 68 0 of 6 0% 0 0 0:10
Michel Pereira 1 53 of 91 58% 56 of 94 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:50
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Diego Sanchez 0 10 of 22 45% 11 of 23 0 of 3 0% 0 0 0:00
Michel Pereira 0 16 of 27 59% 16 of 27 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:09
2 Diego Sanchez 0 13 of 27 48% 14 of 28 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:10
Michel Pereira 0 19 of 37 51% 19 of 37 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:13
3 Diego Sanchez 0 2 of 15 13% 4 of 17 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
Michel Pereira 1 18 of 27 66% 21 of 30 1 of 1 100% 0 0 0:28
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Diego Sanchez 25 of 64 39% 6 of 34 10 of 17 9 of 13 23 of 61 1 of 2 1 of 1
Michel Pereira 53 of 91 58% 20 of 52 28 of 33 5 of 6 39 of 75 10 of 11 4 of 5
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Diego Sanchez 10 of 22 45% 2 of 11 3 of 5 5 of 6 10 of 21 0 of 1 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 16 of 27 59% 3 of 11 11 of 14 2 of 2 12 of 22 4 of 5 0 of 0
2 Diego Sanchez 13 of 27 48% 3 of 9 7 of 12 3 of 6 12 of 26 1 of 1 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 19 of 37 51% 8 of 24 8 of 10 3 of 3 18 of 36 1 of 1 0 of 0
3 Diego Sanchez 2 of 15 13% 1 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1 1 of 14 0 of 0 1 of 1
Michel Pereira 18 of 27 66% 9 of 17 9 of 9 0 of 1 9 of 17 5 of 5 4 of 5
Expert Picks (1)
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Feb 14, 2020 (1 day before fight)
Michel Pereira

Daniel Levi picks Michel Pereira to win by first-round knockout. He believes Diego Sanchez is a deranged man with a deteriorating chin and questionable training situation, while Pereira is more focused after his first UFC loss. He thinks Pereira's power and striking will be too much for Sanchez, who ducks his head and hasn't evolved.

first-round knockout, possibly a 10-second knockout via flying knee, performance of the night bonus
"I think he gets knocked out in the first round with an e or a punch"
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–27, 29–27) R3 5:00
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Tristan Connelly 0 32 of 75 42% 56 of 107 2 of 5 40% 0 0 3:03
Michel Pereira 0 64 of 125 51% 151 of 222 0 of 6 0% 1 0 5:44
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Tristan Connelly 0 17 of 34 50% 18 of 35 1 of 2 50% 0 0 0:24
Michel Pereira 0 15 of 37 40% 28 of 52 0 of 4 0% 0 0 1:59
2 Tristan Connelly 0 13 of 34 38% 33 of 59 1 of 2 50% 0 0 2:23
Michel Pereira 0 18 of 44 40% 46 of 73 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:00
3 Tristan Connelly 0 2 of 7 28% 5 of 13 0 of 1 0% 0 0 0:16
Michel Pereira 0 31 of 44 70% 77 of 97 0 of 1 0% 1 0 3:45
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Tristan Connelly 32 of 75 42% 13 of 44 17 of 29 2 of 2 23 of 66 9 of 9 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 64 of 125 51% 51 of 106 7 of 13 6 of 6 23 of 71 14 of 20 27 of 34
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Tristan Connelly 17 of 34 50% 6 of 19 10 of 14 1 of 1 13 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 15 of 37 40% 13 of 32 0 of 3 2 of 2 5 of 25 6 of 8 4 of 4
2 Tristan Connelly 13 of 34 38% 6 of 19 6 of 14 1 of 1 9 of 30 4 of 4 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 18 of 44 40% 12 of 36 3 of 5 3 of 3 11 of 34 7 of 10 0 of 0
3 Tristan Connelly 2 of 7 28% 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0 1 of 6 1 of 1 0 of 0
Michel Pereira 31 of 44 70% 26 of 38 4 of 5 1 of 1 7 of 12 1 of 2 23 of 30
KO (flying knee and punch) R1 1:47
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Michel Pereira 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danny Roberts 1 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Michel Pereira 0 2 of 4 50% 2 of 4 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Danny Roberts 1 6 of 11 54% 6 of 11 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:02
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Michel Pereira 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Roberts 6 of 11 54% 4 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Michel Pereira 2 of 4 50% 0 of 2 0 of 0 2 of 2 2 of 4 0 of 0 0 of 0
Danny Roberts 6 of 11 54% 4 of 9 2 of 2 0 of 0 5 of 10 1 of 1 0 of 0