Jacobe Smith

"Cobe"
3-0
Record
Age / DOB 30
(Jan 17, 1996)
Height 5' 10"
Weight 170 lbs.
Reach 72.0"
Stance Southpaw
Career Averages
6.89 Sig. Strikes / Min
67.0% Sig. Strike Acc.
2.78 Absorbed / Min
47.0% Strike Defense
7.78 TD Avg / 15 min
91.0% TD Accuracy
100.0% TD Defense
0.7 Sub. / Fight
Win Methods (3)
KO/TKO 2
Submission 1
Decision 0

Fight History

Result / Opponent
Event & Date
Method/Round
Links
Comments
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacobe Smith 0 33 of 47 70% 37 of 51 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:21
Josiah Harrell 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacobe Smith 0 33 of 47 70% 37 of 51 2 of 2 100% 0 0 0:21
Josiah Harrell 0 7 of 14 50% 7 of 14 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:01
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacobe Smith 33 of 47 70% 18 of 29 9 of 10 6 of 8 23 of 37 0 of 0 10 of 10
Josiah Harrell 7 of 14 50% 1 of 6 3 of 5 3 of 3 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacobe Smith 33 of 47 70% 18 of 29 9 of 10 6 of 8 23 of 37 0 of 0 10 of 10
Josiah Harrell 7 of 14 50% 1 of 6 3 of 5 3 of 3 7 of 14 0 of 0 0 of 0
Expert Picks (7)
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Cody thinks Smith is the better all-around fighter with superior wrestling and power. He notes Harrell's short notice and size disadvantage. He expects Smith to win, possibly by late stoppage, but acknowledges Harrell's toughness.

"Jacobe Smith for me."
CO
Connor Ruebusch Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Connor picks Smith but acknowledges the risk. He notes that Smith is a raw but explosive athlete with knockout power, and that Harrell is taking the fight on short notice. He points out that Smith gassed badly against Nico Price, but Harrell's size disadvantage and lack of range striking could allow Smith to land a big shot early.

Smith opened -500, now -270; Harrell opened +385, now +230; Connor thinks the line is more reasonable now
"I have to take jacoby smith just because it's short notice for harrell. Smith is an insane athlete."
DI
Diary of a Pro Gambler Expert picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
No clear pick

The host understands why Harrell is a -290 favorite based on past performances, but notes that Harrell is making his UFC debut on short notice, which adds risk. He finds the odds too wide to bet Harrell and is not interested in betting Smith as a +224 underdog. He passes on the fight entirely.

Harrell's short-notice debut; Smith slows down as fights wear on
"I wouldn't touch Harel at this odds range. And I'm not particularly in the mood to bet a relatively low-level fighter like Smith at Underdog's odds either."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Feb 17, 2026 (4 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Smith has a wrestling advantage and a full training camp, but Harrell is undefeated and has good takedown defense and cardio. Both are similar archetypes, but Smith's wrestling may be the difference. However, the line is too wide; Harrell could make it competitive. Smith should win a decision, but it's low confidence. The over 1.5 rounds is a better play.

over 1.5 rounds
"My prediction would be Smith. My favorite play would probably be the over one and a half."
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Feb 18, 2026 (3 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Paul agrees, citing Smith's wrestling credentials and athleticism. He thinks Harrell's undefeated record is deceiving and that Smith's power and pace will be too much. He expects Smith to win, possibly by decision or late finish.

"I do think at the end of the day, he ends up getting the win. I put it on the top line."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

The MMA Guru picks Jacobe Smith, citing his size, athleticism, and UFC experience. He notes that Harrell is taking the fight on short notice, is smaller, and has had health scares. Smith has two UFC wins and a learning experience against Nico Price. He predicts a decision or late finish.

decision or late rounds finish
"I'm going to go with Jacob Smith getting this one done by decision or by late rounds finish."
ZA
Zane Simon Expert Hesitant picked Feb 19, 2026 (2 days before fight)
Josiah Harrell

Zane picks Harrell as a long shot, citing Smith's poor cardio and inability to control a fight. He notes that Harrell is a dog who thrives in grimy fights and has experience overcoming adversity. He believes that if Smith doesn't finish early, Harrell's pressure and durability will take over in later rounds.

"I think i'll take harrell actually. All right, I think I agree with all of that 100. I'm just going on the jacob smith gets way too tired and harrell can fight you hard."
Submission R2 4:03
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Niko Price 0 34 of 61 55% 46 of 76 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Jacobe Smith 0 46 of 74 62% 73 of 101 2 of 2 100% 1 0 5:41
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Niko Price 0 19 of 37 51% 23 of 42 0 of 2 0% 0 0 0:00
Jacobe Smith 0 33 of 53 62% 46 of 66 1 of 1 100% 0 0 3:06
2 Niko Price 0 15 of 24 62% 23 of 34 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Jacobe Smith 0 13 of 21 61% 27 of 35 1 of 1 100% 1 0 2:35
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Niko Price 34 of 61 55% 19 of 43 4 of 7 11 of 11 27 of 49 3 of 4 4 of 8
Jacobe Smith 46 of 74 62% 39 of 66 4 of 5 3 of 3 22 of 41 2 of 2 22 of 31
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Niko Price 19 of 37 51% 10 of 26 3 of 5 6 of 6 17 of 34 1 of 1 1 of 2
Jacobe Smith 33 of 53 62% 27 of 46 3 of 4 3 of 3 17 of 31 1 of 1 15 of 21
2 Niko Price 15 of 24 62% 9 of 17 1 of 2 5 of 5 10 of 15 2 of 3 3 of 6
Jacobe Smith 13 of 21 61% 12 of 20 1 of 1 0 of 0 5 of 10 1 of 1 7 of 10
Expert Picks (4)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 22, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Angelo picks Jacobe Smith because he sees him as a strong prospect with wrestling and finishing ability, while Niko Price is older, has a weak chin, and is being fed to prospects. He notes that Price is fun but past his prime, and Smith's wrestling and pace will be too much. He warns against betting such heavy favorites, saying risking $1400 to make $100 is not worth it.

Angelo mentions that props like 'by finish' or 'first round finish' might offer value, but advises against parlaying minus 1400 favorites.
"Jacob is going to be the pick. The oddsmakers know it. We know it. You can't do anything with these odds."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 21, 2025 (7 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Big Brady is very confident in Jacobe Smith, describing it as a bad matchup for Niko Price. He notes Price is older, has taken a lot of damage, and is on a decline, while Smith has power and wrestling. Brady believes Smith can knock Price out on the feet or take him down and use vicious ground and pound. He predicts a first-round knockout, comparing it to the Wellmaker vs Moutinho fight.

Smith wins by first round knockout
"I got to go Smith here. I think it's going to be a first round knockout."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

The host expects Jacobe Smith to flatline Niko Price within the first round and a half, citing Smith's youth and power. He notes the odds are steep at minus 2000, but still predicts an early knockout finish.

early knockout finish, first round and a half, minus 2000 odds mentioned
"I'm expecting Jacobe Smith to go out there and flatline Nico Price within the first round and a half."
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Lock picked Jun 26, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

The host calls this a 'big lock of the card', confidently predicting Jacobe Smith to win by first-round TKO. He highlights Smith's impressive KO debut and believes he will repeat that performance against an aging Niko Price who looked geriatric in his last fight. The host notes that Smith's grappling and power will be too much for Price.

first round TKO
"I think Jacob Smith's going to get a very very very quick finish here over Nico Price. In fact, I'm calling a first few minute TKO for Jacob Smith."
KO (punches) R1 1:13
Totals
FighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
Jacobe Smith 0 7 of 14 50% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Preston Parsons 1 12 of 23 52% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Per Round
RdFighterKDSig. Str.Sig. Str. % Total Str.TDTD % Sub. AttRev.Ctrl
1 Jacobe Smith 0 7 of 14 50% 8 of 15 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:00
Preston Parsons 1 12 of 23 52% 12 of 23 0 of 0 --- 0 0 0:13
Significant Strikes
FighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
Jacobe Smith 7 of 14 50% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Preston Parsons 12 of 23 52% 8 of 17 2 of 3 2 of 3 11 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 2
Significant Strikes Per Round
RdFighterSig. Str.Sig. Str. % HeadBodyLeg DistanceClinchGround
1 Jacobe Smith 7 of 14 50% 6 of 12 1 of 1 0 of 1 6 of 13 1 of 1 0 of 0
Preston Parsons 12 of 23 52% 8 of 17 2 of 3 2 of 3 11 of 21 0 of 0 1 of 2
Expert Picks (7)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Lean picked Jan 5, 2025 (6 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Angelo picks Jacobe Smith (Andreas Gustofson) but with very low confidence. He believes Smith is the better pure wrestler and that his wrestling will be the difference, as Preston Parsons is clueless if he can't get takedowns. However, he notes that Smith is a UFC debutant and a 2-to-1 favorite, which he considers a bad bet. He thinks Smith's jiu-jitsu is good enough to avoid submissions. He advises against betting on Smith.

"I'm going to pick Andreas here the confidence is insanely low two to one favorite on a UFC debut who's fighting the best person he's ever fought before is not a good bet do not bet on Andreas"
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Big Brady is very high on Jacobe Smith, calling him a top-three contender series prospect. He praises Smith's wrestling, devastating ground and pound, and power. He notes Parsons is hittable and has poor performances when he can't get takedowns, like against Oban Elliott. Brady predicts Smith will outwrestle Parsons and land a big shot, winning by second-round TKO.

second round knockout
"give me uh jacobe Smith to win this fight I'll take him to win this fight by second round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Cody is confident in Smith, citing his elite wrestling pedigree and physicality. He notes Parsons's struggles against strong wrestlers like Oban Elliott. He expects Smith to dominate with takedowns and control.

"I do have jacobe to get the job done and probably hopefully go out there and put on a statement type performance"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Daniel is high on Smith's wrestling credentials (D1 from Oklahoma State) and KO power, but notes the -525 price and short notice are concerns. He thinks Smith's wrestling and power will be too much for Parsons, who is chinny and lost to Trevin Giles. He picks Smith but passes on betting due to lack of value.

pass on betting due to -525 price
"as a pure pick I'll go jacobe Smith here"
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jan 10, 2025 (1 day before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Smith is making his UFC debut on very short notice but is a much better wrestler and grappler than Parsons. He will keep Parsons in bad positions and grind out a decision win.

"I think he's still way better of a wrestler and Grappler than Parsons and I think he'll be able to keep Parson in bad positions and eventually grind this fight out to win on the scorecards"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jan 8, 2025 (3 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

Paul also picks Smith, calling him a real deal prospect. He notes Smith's violent Contender Series performance and All-American wrestling. He believes Smith will impose his will and move up the ranks quickly.

"Smith seems like the real deal and a guy to watch 04 in 2025 to me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jan 9, 2025 (2 days before fight)
Jacobe Smith

The Guru picks Smith, impressed by his contender series performance and offensive grappling. He thinks Smith's athleticism and relentlessness will out-hustle Parsons, who he considers not fast enough to lead. He notes Parsons has given trouble to fighters like Matthew Semelsberger and Trevin Giles but believes Smith's grappling will be the difference.

"I'm going with Jacob Smith this was one of the uh prospects on the contender Series this season"