Jacobe Smith
"Cobe"Career Averages
Win Methods (3)
Fight History
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacobe Smith | 0 | 33 of 47 | 70% | 37 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Josiah Harrell | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacobe Smith | 0 | 33 of 47 | 70% | 37 of 51 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0:21 |
| Josiah Harrell | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 7 of 14 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:01 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacobe Smith | 33 of 47 | 70% | 18 of 29 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 8 | 23 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
| Josiah Harrell | 7 of 14 | 50% | 1 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacobe Smith | 33 of 47 | 70% | 18 of 29 | 9 of 10 | 6 of 8 | 23 of 37 | 0 of 0 | 10 of 10 |
| Josiah Harrell | 7 of 14 | 50% | 1 of 6 | 3 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 7 of 14 | 0 of 0 | 0 of 0 |
Expert Picks (7)
Cody thinks Smith is the better all-around fighter with superior wrestling and power. He notes Harrell's short notice and size disadvantage. He expects Smith to win, possibly by late stoppage, but acknowledges Harrell's toughness.
Connor picks Smith but acknowledges the risk. He notes that Smith is a raw but explosive athlete with knockout power, and that Harrell is taking the fight on short notice. He points out that Smith gassed badly against Nico Price, but Harrell's size disadvantage and lack of range striking could allow Smith to land a big shot early.
The host understands why Harrell is a -290 favorite based on past performances, but notes that Harrell is making his UFC debut on short notice, which adds risk. He finds the odds too wide to bet Harrell and is not interested in betting Smith as a +224 underdog. He passes on the fight entirely.
Smith has a wrestling advantage and a full training camp, but Harrell is undefeated and has good takedown defense and cardio. Both are similar archetypes, but Smith's wrestling may be the difference. However, the line is too wide; Harrell could make it competitive. Smith should win a decision, but it's low confidence. The over 1.5 rounds is a better play.
Paul agrees, citing Smith's wrestling credentials and athleticism. He thinks Harrell's undefeated record is deceiving and that Smith's power and pace will be too much. He expects Smith to win, possibly by decision or late finish.
The MMA Guru picks Jacobe Smith, citing his size, athleticism, and UFC experience. He notes that Harrell is taking the fight on short notice, is smaller, and has had health scares. Smith has two UFC wins and a learning experience against Nico Price. He predicts a decision or late finish.
Zane picks Harrell as a long shot, citing Smith's poor cardio and inability to control a fight. He notes that Harrell is a dog who thrives in grimy fights and has experience overcoming adversity. He believes that if Smith doesn't finish early, Harrell's pressure and durability will take over in later rounds.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Price | 0 | 34 of 61 | 55% | 46 of 76 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacobe Smith | 0 | 46 of 74 | 62% | 73 of 101 | 2 of 2 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 5:41 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niko Price | 0 | 19 of 37 | 51% | 23 of 42 | 0 of 2 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacobe Smith | 0 | 33 of 53 | 62% | 46 of 66 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 3:06 | |
| 2 | Niko Price | 0 | 15 of 24 | 62% | 23 of 34 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Jacobe Smith | 0 | 13 of 21 | 61% | 27 of 35 | 1 of 1 | 100% | 1 | 0 | 2:35 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niko Price | 34 of 61 | 55% | 19 of 43 | 4 of 7 | 11 of 11 | 27 of 49 | 3 of 4 | 4 of 8 |
| Jacobe Smith | 46 of 74 | 62% | 39 of 66 | 4 of 5 | 3 of 3 | 22 of 41 | 2 of 2 | 22 of 31 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Niko Price | 19 of 37 | 51% | 10 of 26 | 3 of 5 | 6 of 6 | 17 of 34 | 1 of 1 | 1 of 2 |
| Jacobe Smith | 33 of 53 | 62% | 27 of 46 | 3 of 4 | 3 of 3 | 17 of 31 | 1 of 1 | 15 of 21 | |
| 2 | Niko Price | 15 of 24 | 62% | 9 of 17 | 1 of 2 | 5 of 5 | 10 of 15 | 2 of 3 | 3 of 6 |
| Jacobe Smith | 13 of 21 | 61% | 12 of 20 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 | 5 of 10 | 1 of 1 | 7 of 10 |
Expert Picks (4)
Angelo picks Jacobe Smith because he sees him as a strong prospect with wrestling and finishing ability, while Niko Price is older, has a weak chin, and is being fed to prospects. He notes that Price is fun but past his prime, and Smith's wrestling and pace will be too much. He warns against betting such heavy favorites, saying risking $1400 to make $100 is not worth it.
Big Brady is very confident in Jacobe Smith, describing it as a bad matchup for Niko Price. He notes Price is older, has taken a lot of damage, and is on a decline, while Smith has power and wrestling. Brady believes Smith can knock Price out on the feet or take him down and use vicious ground and pound. He predicts a first-round knockout, comparing it to the Wellmaker vs Moutinho fight.
The host expects Jacobe Smith to flatline Niko Price within the first round and a half, citing Smith's youth and power. He notes the odds are steep at minus 2000, but still predicts an early knockout finish.
The host calls this a 'big lock of the card', confidently predicting Jacobe Smith to win by first-round TKO. He highlights Smith's impressive KO debut and believes he will repeat that performance against an aging Niko Price who looked geriatric in his last fight. The host notes that Smith's grappling and power will be too much for Price.
Totals
| Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacobe Smith | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Preston Parsons | 1 | 12 of 23 | 52% | 12 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | KD | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Total Str. | TD | TD % | Sub. Att | Rev. | Ctrl |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacobe Smith | 0 | 7 of 14 | 50% | 8 of 15 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:00 |
| Preston Parsons | 1 | 12 of 23 | 52% | 12 of 23 | 0 of 0 | --- | 0 | 0 | 0:13 |
Significant Strikes
| Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacobe Smith | 7 of 14 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Preston Parsons | 12 of 23 | 52% | 8 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Significant Strikes Per Round
| Rd | Fighter | Sig. Str. | Sig. Str. % | Head | Body | Leg | Distance | Clinch | Ground |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jacobe Smith | 7 of 14 | 50% | 6 of 12 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 1 | 6 of 13 | 1 of 1 | 0 of 0 |
| Preston Parsons | 12 of 23 | 52% | 8 of 17 | 2 of 3 | 2 of 3 | 11 of 21 | 0 of 0 | 1 of 2 |
Expert Picks (7)
Angelo picks Jacobe Smith (Andreas Gustofson) but with very low confidence. He believes Smith is the better pure wrestler and that his wrestling will be the difference, as Preston Parsons is clueless if he can't get takedowns. However, he notes that Smith is a UFC debutant and a 2-to-1 favorite, which he considers a bad bet. He thinks Smith's jiu-jitsu is good enough to avoid submissions. He advises against betting on Smith.
Big Brady is very high on Jacobe Smith, calling him a top-three contender series prospect. He praises Smith's wrestling, devastating ground and pound, and power. He notes Parsons is hittable and has poor performances when he can't get takedowns, like against Oban Elliott. Brady predicts Smith will outwrestle Parsons and land a big shot, winning by second-round TKO.
Cody is confident in Smith, citing his elite wrestling pedigree and physicality. He notes Parsons's struggles against strong wrestlers like Oban Elliott. He expects Smith to dominate with takedowns and control.
Daniel is high on Smith's wrestling credentials (D1 from Oklahoma State) and KO power, but notes the -525 price and short notice are concerns. He thinks Smith's wrestling and power will be too much for Parsons, who is chinny and lost to Trevin Giles. He picks Smith but passes on betting due to lack of value.
Smith is making his UFC debut on very short notice but is a much better wrestler and grappler than Parsons. He will keep Parsons in bad positions and grind out a decision win.
Paul also picks Smith, calling him a real deal prospect. He notes Smith's violent Contender Series performance and All-American wrestling. He believes Smith will impose his will and move up the ranks quickly.
The Guru picks Smith, impressed by his contender series performance and offensive grappling. He thinks Smith's athleticism and relentlessness will out-hustle Parsons, who he considers not fast enough to lead. He notes Parsons has given trouble to fighters like Matthew Semelsberger and Trevin Giles but believes Smith's grappling will be the difference.
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