UFC on ABC: Hill vs. Rountree Jr.

Angelo picks Khalil Rountree Jr., citing his durability and power. He notes that Rountree went toe-to-toe with Alex Pereira and showed he belongs. He thinks Jamahal Hill has good footwork but may slow down, and that Rountree has more upside. He expects a fun fight and thinks Rountree can win if he pressures.

Big Brady picks Jamahal Hill as a plus money underdog, but he is very hesitant due to Hill's recent performances after a gruesome injury. He notes that if Hill were the same fighter who beat Glover Teixeira, he would be max betting him, but the Hill who fought Pereira and Prochazka looked bad. Brady worries about Hill's durability and whether the injury took something out of him. He ultimately picks Hill but says he's not sure if he wants to put money on him, predicting a late finish or decision.

Connor picks Rountree, emphasizing that Rountree is a much more consistent technician while Hill is a bad technician with poor footwork and defense, leaving him open to be picked apart. He notes that Hill's durability against Prochazka may not hold against a cleaner puncher like Rountree, and that Rountree's roteness gives him consistency similar to Pereira. He believes if Rountree can't finish early, Hill's pressure could turn the fight, but he still favors Rountree.

The host notes Rountree opened around -160 but has moved to -120 as money came in on Hill, and he agrees with that movement. He thinks this is a great stylistic matchup for Hill to batter Rountree from distance, counter strike effectively, and pull away in deep water, predicting a round three or four KO finish.

The MMA Guru picks Khalil Rountree Jr., despite acknowledging Jamahal Hill's underrated skills. He believes Rountree's low kicks will be decisive, and notes Hill's predictable movement. He also cites Rountree's longer recovery time since his loss to Pereira compared to Hill's recent brutal loss to Prochazka. He predicts a leg kick TKO in round 2 or 3.

Zane picks Rountree based on the stark technical advantage he sees in 30 seconds of footage: Rountree is much cleaner as a striker with better footwork, power, speed, and a more varied arsenal. However, he acknowledges Hill's comfort in messiness and ability to up the intensity over five rounds, drawing a parallel to Diaz vs Edwards. He is hesitant because Hill's durability and scrapping mentality could turn the fight late, but he ultimately sticks with Rountree.

Angelo picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his length, striking, and multiple ways to win. He acknowledges that Fiziev is the better striker but thinks Bahamondes is on a run and has more finishing options. He notes that Fiziev may have slowed down after injuries and tough fights. He recommends exposure to both in multiple lineups.

Big Brady picks Rafael Fiziev despite him being on a three-fight skid, noting that Fiziev's losses came against top competition (Gamrot, Gaethje twice) and one was on short notice. He believes Bahamondes is taking a step up in competition and that Fiziev's speed, power, and movement will cause problems early. Brady acknowledges Fiziev's cardio issues but thinks the fight goes to decision and that hometown judges will favor Fiziev in a close fight. He predicts a greasy, possibly controversial decision win for Fiziev.

Connor picks Fiziev, agreeing with Zane that Bahamondes' reversion to pocket fighting against Turner is a bad sign against Fiziev. He notes that Bahamondes has lost to short, explosive strikers before and that Fiziev is a much more polished striker than Bahamondes' recent opponents. He believes Fiziev's technical edge and the fact that Bahamondes hasn't proven his new style against a serious range striker make Fiziev the clear pick.

The host is surprised Bahamondes is the slight favorite. He thinks Fiziev may have handpicked his opponent to perform in front of his hometown crowd. He expects Fiziev's speed advantage and wrestling to thwart Bahamondes' distance striking, leading to a big shot or control time for a decision win.

The MMA Guru picks Ignacio Bahamondes, citing his range and improved distance management. He believes Fiziev's size disadvantage and recent war with Justin Gaethje will be factors. He expects Bahamondes to pick Fiziev apart as the fight goes on, predicting a third-round finish.

Zane picks Fiziev, noting that Fiziev looked great in his return against Gaethje despite losing, and that Bahamondes has struggled against shorter, better range strikers like Ludovic Klein and John McDessie. He points out that Bahamondes' instinct to sit in the pocket and trade hooks plays into Fiziev's strengths, and that Bahamondes' new rangy style hasn't been tested against a serious striker. He believes Fiziev's technical advantage will be decisive even if he tires.

Angelo fades Curtis Blaydes, picking Rizvan Kuniev as a lean. He notes that Blaydes has abandoned wrestling and has a weak chin, while Kuniev is decent everywhere and has power. He thinks Kuniev could have success if he gets Blaydes against the cage and drags him down, but acknowledges Blaydes is the bigger favorite. He is not confident in Kuniev but prefers him due to Blaydes' declining career.

Big Brady picks Curtis Blaydes but with the caveat that Blaydes could get knocked out, as all five of his losses are by KO. He is not sold on Kuniev, who tested positive for PEDs and looks different off them. Brady thinks Blaydes has better cardio and will drag the fight into deep waters, either getting a late finish or winning a decision. He predicts Blaydes by decision.

Connor picks Blaydes, agreeing that Kuniev's pressure-counter style will lead to clinch exchanges where Blaydes can dominate. He notes that Kuniev is not as dynamic as Almeida, whom Blaydes outwrestled, and that Kuniev's soft physique and lack of athleticism make him a poor matchup for Blaydes. He believes Blaydes should be a much heavier favorite, calling it a 'minus 500 situation.'

The host notes Blaydes was a -340 favorite in March and now is around -260, which he considers a gift. He thinks Blaydes' wrestling will thwart Kuniev's, allowing him to land big shots and outdamage Kuniev, possibly getting a ground-and-pound finish, but official prediction is Blaydes by decision.

The MMA Guru picks Curtis Blaydes, criticizing Rizvan Kuniev as a known steroid cheat. He highlights Blaydes' experience, underrated striking, and excellent grappling defense. He predicts Blaydes will win by TKO via ground-and-pound in round two, noting Kuniev's inability to finish or outpoint Blaydes.

Zane picks Blaydes, arguing that Kuniev's style invites wrestling by pressuring and clinching, which plays into Blaydes' strengths. He notes that Kuniev's fight against Kunya showed he allows himself to be clinched and wrestled, and that Blaydes is a much better wrestler than Kuniev. He dismisses concerns about Blaydes' striking-first tendency, as Kuniev's pressure will give Blaydes easy takedown entries.

Angelo picks Myktybek Orolbai, citing his wrestling and toughness. He notes that Orolbai has shown he can win fights and has a good chin. He is concerned about Tofiq's two-year layoff and questions whether he is truly prepared. He thinks Orolbai's takedowns will be the difference and that $8,500 is a discount.

Big Brady picks Myktybek Orolbai (referred to as 'my tittyback') to grind out a decision. He notes Orolbai is very durable, has good cardio, and is relentless with wrestling and grappling. He is concerned about Musayev's striking power but thinks Orolbai's toughness and ability to get takedowns will be key. Brady expects a close, greasy war and predicts Orolbai by decision.

Connor picks Orolbai, agreeing that Musayev's potshotting style and reliance on wrestling as a backup won't hold up against Orolbai's relentless pace. He notes that Orolbai's losses to Rębecki and Brenner came against fighters who set or accepted a high pace, and that Musayev hasn't faced that kind of pressure. He believes Orolbai's physicality and ability to force exchanges will overwhelm Musayev.

The host notes Musayev is a solid power puncher but has sketchy takedown defense and defensive grappling. He expects Orolbai to eat some big shots but push through, land takedowns, possibly get a submission, but ultimately grind out a decision win.

The MMA Guru picks Myktybek Orolbai, praising his footwork and straight punches. He contrasts Orolbai's modern fight game with Tofiq Musayev's inferior footwork. He notes Orolbai's durability against Rebecki and expects him to take over in later rounds, predicting a 29-28 decision.

Zane picks Orolbai, citing the pace advantage that UFC-level fighters have over regional standouts. He notes that Musayev has not been tested by a high-pace fighter who constantly makes the fight happen, and that Orolbai's pressure and wrestling will be difficult for Musayev to handle. He acknowledges Musayev's technical edge but believes the pace will be the deciding factor.

Angelo picks Nazim Sadykhov, praising his striking and footwork. He notes that Nazim is a very good striker and has looked fantastic since his only loss. He acknowledges that Nikolas Motta is a good fighter with fast hands and power, but thinks Nazim is the slightly better striker and can win by finish. He warns that Motta is dangerous and the fight could get weird.

Big Brady is a big fan of Sadykhov in this matchup, citing durability as the key factor. He notes Sadykhov has never been knocked out, while Motta has been finished in all five losses. Brady thinks Sadykhov is more well-rounded, has better cardio, and a good ground game. He predicts Sadykhov will knock out Motta, possibly in the second round, but wouldn't be surprised by a submission.

Connor picks Sadykhov, agreeing that Motta's tendency to jump in with combinations and lack of distance management will be exploited by Sadykhov's countering and physicality. He notes that Sadykhov is not shallow in any area and is a tough, durable fighter who can take a shot and keep coming. He believes Motta's confidence issues, as seen against Ogden, will resurface against a strong opponent like Sadykhov.

The host is surprised Sadykhov is such a big favorite. He acknowledges Sadykhov's knockout power but thinks Motta has rounded out his game enough to eat big shots and put together a better body of work. He expects Motta to touch up Sadykhov, mix in takedowns, and win on the scorecards, noting Motta is live as a +340 underdog.

The MMA Guru picks Nazim Sadykhov, calling him 'really, really good'. He acknowledges Nikolas Motta's underrated skills and dangerous hooks but believes Sadykhov's defensive striking and pressure will prevail. He warns about Motta's lunging hooks but expects Sadykhov to adjust and finish late second or third round via TKO.

Zane picks Sadykhov, noting that Motta's recklessness and chin-first approach will play into Sadykhov's power and physicality. He points out that Motta has been broken by lesser fighters like Trey Ogden, and that Sadykhov is a brute who is physical in all areas and has proven durability against Bonfim. He believes Sadykhov will survive Motta's early aggression and catch him with a fight-ending shot.

Angelo picks Muhammad Naimov, but with reservations. He thinks Naimov is slightly better everywhere and will win a close decision, but notes that Naimov doesn't chase finishes and may coast. He acknowledges Bogdan's finishing ability and the risk of a finish if Bogdan's cardio holds. He fades Naimov for fantasy due to low scoring potential.

Big Brady picks Muhammad Naimov, citing his power as a key factor. He notes that Bogdan Grad absorbs a high volume of strikes (8 per minute) and that Naimov has knockout power, having slept Jamie Mullarkey and hurt others. Brady thinks Naimov is more durable and has takedown defense to keep the fight standing. He predicts Naimov wins by first-round knockout, though he acknowledges Grad has more heart.

Connor picks Naimov, agreeing that Naimov's athleticism and strength will overwhelm Grad, who is not strong in tie-ups and relies on outlasting opponents. He notes that Naimov's mistakes and over-aggression won't be punished by Grad, who lacks the athleticism to capitalize. He believes Naimov will be able to impose his will and win the fight.

The host doesn't understand the love for Naimov outside of power punching. He thinks if Naimov can't get Grad out early, Grad will push a pace and pressure that Naimov can't keep up with, leading to a submission in the second or third round.

The MMA Guru picks Muhammad Naimov, criticizing Bogdan Grad's lackluster performances. He notes Naimov's power and ability to manhandle opponents, and despite a loss to Felipe Lima, he sees Naimov as the better fighter. He predicts a dominant decision or first-round finish.

Zane picks Naimov, citing his superior athleticism and physicality compared to Grad. He notes that Grad is a pace fighter who relies on accumulation, but lacks strength in tie-ups and is foot-slow. Naimov, despite being reckless, is strong and powerful in the clinch and will maul Grad. He draws a parallel to Rębecki vs Orolbai, where the more brutish fighter won.

Angelo picks Oban Elliott confidently, noting his well-rounded skills, cardio, and ability to flow. He contrasts Oban's movement with Ko's stiffness and power, predicting that Oban will avoid big shots and win early. He thinks Oban's footwork and range control will be key, and that Ko's lack of setup will be exploited.

Big Brady picks Oban Elliott, the biggest favorite on the card. He notes Elliott has fixed previous chin and cardio issues, is only 27, and trains at a good gym. Brady is not sold on Ko, who had limited footage and a boring Contender Series win. He thinks Elliott will do better work on the feet and can mix in takedowns. He predicts Elliott by decision.

The host acknowledges that Ko will provide resistance, especially if Elliott looks for a takedown-heavy approach. However, he expects Elliott to mix it up well with volume striking and takedown threat to grind out a decision win.

The MMA Guru picks Oban Elliott, despite acknowledging bias as a friend. He praises Elliott's ability to overcome adversity and resistance in fights, citing his comebacks against Val Woodburn and others. He believes Elliott's well-roundedness and durability will overcome Ko Seok-hyun, predicting a third-round finish.

Angelo picks Ismail Naurdiev, citing his takedown ability and the fact that Park has poor takedown defense, as shown in the Andre Muniz fight. He notes that Ismail is a good striker and grappler, and at $7,500 he is a great value. He thinks Ismail will exploit Park's weaknesses and get the win.

Big Brady picks Park Jun-yong, citing durability and wrestling as key factors. He notes Naurdiev has been finished in four of seven losses and has poor takedown defense. Park completes takedowns at 47% accuracy and even took down Brad Tavares. Brady thinks Park can mix in takedowns if needed and has better cardio. He predicts a competitive decision win for Park.

The host is a big fan of Junyong Park and thinks this fight perfectly showcases his advantages in pace, pressure, and grappling. He expects Park to put Naurdiev through the ringer and easily win on the scorecards.

The MMA Guru picks Park Jun-yong, praising his pace, striking, and composure. He notes Naurdiev's defensive grappling and submission threats but doubts his power and ability to dominate. He expects a three-round barn burner where Park's pressure in later rounds secures the win.

Angelo picks Melissa Mullins, but with caveats. He notes that Melissa is not great but should win, and that Daria has questionable takedown defense. He mentions that Melissa won their first fight by submission after losing on the feet, but both have evolved. He trusts Melissa more due to recent activity, but acknowledges Daria's striking power and the risk of a finish.

Big Brady picks Melissa Mullins, noting her vicious ground and pound and grappling advantage. He acknowledges that Zheleznyakova was winning the first fight on the feet before Mullins got a late takedown and TKO. He worries about Mullins getting hit but thinks one takedown could be enough. He predicts Mullins wins by second-round TKO, as she prefers TKOs over submissions.

The host notes this is a rematch from November 2023 where Mullins battered Zheleznyakova from top position and got a first-round stoppage. He doesn't see this fight going any differently and expects Mullins to get a TKO within two rounds.

The MMA Guru picks Melissa Mullins, citing her aggressive pace and ground-and-pound. He criticizes Daria Zheleznyakova's lack of skill and notes her striking on the back foot is not sustainable. He predicts a second or third round TKO via ground-and-pound for Mullins.

Angelo picks Irina Alekseeva, noting her sambo background and ability to toss opponents. He mentions she is tough and moves forward, but has a two-year layoff which adds uncertainty. He thinks Claudia's clinch work will lead to her getting thrown. He is confident in the win but cautious about the layoff affecting performance.

Big Brady picks Irina Alekseeva, despite thinking she is not UFC level, because Syguła is even worse. He notes Syguła has poor ground game and has been finished on the mat multiple times. Alekseeva has solid judo and strength to get the fight to the ground. Brady predicts Alekseeva wins by first-round submission, likely an arm.

The host likes Alekseeva but is not hot on the -255 line. He thinks her physicality will put Syguła in bad positions, leading to a ground-and-pound finish. He finds the under 2.5 rounds at plus money intriguing and predicts Alekseeva inside the distance.

The MMA Guru picks Irina Alekseeva, dismissing Klaudia Syguła as a 'project' brought in for her looks. He notes Alekseeva has UFC wins, including a submission via knee bar, and is more well-rounded. He also comments on Syguła's poor debut and suggests Alekseeva is physically stronger.

Angelo picks Tagir Ulanbekov to win, citing his size, strength, and wrestling from the Khabib camp. He notes that Tagir will be slower but will use his size to drag Azat to the ground. He acknowledges Azat's speed and scrambling ability but thinks Tagir's pressure will be enough. However, he is undecided on using him in fantasy due to his high salary and potential for a low-scoring grind.

Big Brady picks Tagir Ulanbekov, noting he is a huge flyweight with underrated striking, good wrestling, and excellent grappling with long arms and front chokes. He criticizes Maksum's performances against Tyson Nam and Charles Johnson, where he was outlanded and tired. Maksum is taking the fight on short notice. Brady predicts Ulanbekov finishes Maksum in the second or third round by submission, specifically a second-round submission.

The host expects Ulanbekov's grappling to catch up to Maksum by the second round, allowing him to continuously pressure, wear down, and possibly submit Maksum. However, the official prediction is Ulanbekov winning on the scorecards.

The MMA Guru picks Tagir Ulanbekov, citing his preparation for Kyogi Horiguchi and his height advantage. He believes Ulanbekov's takedown defense and offensive grappling will be key, and that Maksum will struggle with Ulanbekov's body type. He predicts a decision win for Ulanbekov via control time and busier striking at range.

Angelo picks Hamdy Abdelwahab but with significant reservations. He notes that Hamdy is an Olympic wrestler but has looked sloppy, gasses easily, and hasn't shown good cardio. He mentions that Mohammed Usman is big and athletic but may not be fully committed, citing an interview where his brother said he's on the fence about continuing. Angelo ultimately fades both for fantasy but picks Hamdy due to the potential for takedowns if Usman is not prepared.

Big Brady picks Hamdy Abdelwahab but is not excited about the fight. He expects Abdelwahab to get a takedown in the first round, gas out, and then the fight becomes a low-volume affair going to decision. He thinks Abdelwahab clearly lost his last fight but will get the nod from judges. He predicts Abdelwahab by decision and says he will look to fade him in the future.

The host is not a big believer in Abdelwahab but thinks Usman is not good either. He expects Abdelwahab's aggressiveness and wrestling threat to keep Usman moving backward, allowing Abdelwahab to grind out a decision win.

The MMA Guru picks Mohammed Usman as an underdog, calling Hamdy Abdelwahab 'absolute garbage' and a 'fat sack of garbage'. He believes the odds are skewed because Abdelwahab is undefeated, but sees the fight as 50/50. He expects Usman's reach advantage and better conditioning to allow him to outpoint Abdelwahab in the later rounds, predicting a 29-28 decision.