Fight card

UFC on ESPN: The Korean Zombie vs. Ige

June 19, 2021 UFC Apex Las Vegas, Nevada, U.S.
Chan Sung Jung

Chan Sung Jung W

17-8
Decision (unanimous) (48–47, 49–46, 49–46) R5 5:00
Fight 1 VS Featherweight Completed

Chan Sung Jung

Moneyline
BetRivers +130
KO/TKO
BetWay +300
Submission
BetRivers +1100
Decision
BetMGM +280

Dan Ige

Moneyline
BetWay -143
KO/TKO
BetRivers +400
Submission
BetRivers +1000
Decision
BetWay +240
Fighter Stats

Chan Sung Jung

Age39
Height5' 7"
Reach72.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Dan Ige

Age34
Height5' 7"
Reach71.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Chan Sung Jung

3.93SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
4.52SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
0.7TD Avg
44.0%TD Acc.
72.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Dan Ige

3.6SLpM
45.0%Str. Acc.
3.56SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
0.93TD Avg
26.0%TD Acc.
56.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Angelo picks Dan Ige, citing his speed, power, and technical boxing. He thinks Ige can finish Jung or win a decision. He placed a bet on Ige to win inside the distance with decision no action, believing Jung's chin is vulnerable. He acknowledges recency bias but thinks Ige is the better fighter.

Ige wins inside the distance, decision equals no action
"i'm going with dan ige i have wins inside this inside the distance and decision no action is my bet."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Chan Sung Jung

Big Brady gives Jung one more chance, citing his superior level of competition (Aldo, Ortega, Poirier) and a camp change to Fight Ready. He is concerned about Jung's poor performance against Ortega but thinks if Jung shows up like he did against Edgar, he wins. He predicts a decision win.

win by decision
"I will take the korean zombie I'm taking a win by a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Cody picks Dan Ige, citing Ige's youth, athleticism, fast hands, and legitimate power. He notes Ige's durability and improvements, while questioning Korean Zombie's age (34), accumulated damage, and regression shown in the Ortega fight. He acknowledges Ige's limitations from the Kattar fight but believes Ige's style and momentum will carry him.

"i gotta go with dynamite any gay or really dynamite or dan 50k egay i mean yeah he's another guy like you mentioned someone who's going to go out there and fight for your money that's ige"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Dan Ige

Daniel Levi leans toward Dan Ige based on Ige's recent momentum, hunger, and the concerning interview from Zombie where he seemed to be making excuses for a potential loss. He notes that Zombie has historically bounced back from losses, but the mental state and the fact that Ige is younger and more active give Ige the edge. However, he is not confident and acknowledges Zombie's ability to surprise.

"i lean towards ige but i am not confident at all and i am not ready to ride off the zombie"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Jacob picks Dan Ige, predicting he will dominate and possibly finish Jung. He thinks Ige is a future title contender and that Jung relies too much on toughness. He has both fighters in his lineup but believes Ige will win. He likes the over on strikes for both in a five-round fight.

"dan ige's going to win this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Dan Ige

The host picks Dan Ige, citing his speed, power, and blitzing attacks as key against the Korean Zombie, who he believes is deteriorating. He notes Ige's black belt in jiu-jitsu and durability, and expects Ige to land big shots and possibly finish Jung. He predicts a third-round knockout, as Jung's chin may be compromised. He mentions Jung's underwhelming performance against Ortega and that Ige's power is a threat. He likes the under 4.5 rounds and Ige by KO at +380.

Ige by knockout at +380; under 4.5 rounds at -110; Ige by decision at +250 also noted
"i'm gonna call probably third round second or third round knockout here for dan ige"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dan Ige

Paul agrees with Cody on Dan Ige, noting Ige's performance against Kattar was close and that Ige gained valuable five-round experience. He mentions Ige's quick finish of Gavin Tucker and Korean Zombie's poor showing against Ortega, where he looked lost. Paul plans to bet Ige after the podcast.

"i'm 100 with you i'll be making a bet on danny gay as soon as we get off of this podcast to be perfectly honest"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Dan Ige

The MMA Guru picks Dan Ige to win by decision (49-46 or 50-45). He compares Ige's performance to Brian Ortega's against Jung, expecting Ige to land hard shots that hurt Jung. He thinks Jung will leave himself open and get caught over the top. Ige will move around the outside and crack Jung with big shots, causing Jung to become hesitant in later rounds, similar to the Ortega fight.

"i'm going to go with don ige... 49-46 down ego"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Serghei Spivac

Serghei Spivac W

18-6
Decision (unanimous) (29–28, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 2 VS Heavyweight Completed

Serghei Spivac

Moneyline
BetWay -250
KO/TKO
BetMGM -135
Submission
BetMGM +1700
Decision
BetWay +600

Aleksei Oleinik

Moneyline
FanDuel +235
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1000
Submission
BetRivers +300
Decision
BetMGM +1200
Fighter Stats

Serghei Spivac

Age31
Height6' 3"
Reach78.0"
Weight260 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Aleksei Oleinik

Age48
Height6' 2"
Reach80.0"
Weight240 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Serghei Spivac

3.57SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
4.23SApM
52.0%Str. Def.
3.82TD Avg
59.0%TD Acc.
63.0%TD Def.
0.5Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Aleksei Oleinik

3.29SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
3.8SApM
44.0%Str. Def.
1.82TD Avg
46.0%TD Acc.
37.0%TD Def.
1.9Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Angelo picks Serghei Spivac, citing his wrestling, ground and pound, and Oleinik's declining chin. He thinks Spivac will control the fight on top and avoid Oleinik's submissions. He bet the over on rounds (1.5) at +135, expecting the fight to last into the second round. He likes the over on strikes for both.

over 1.5 rounds (+135); monkey knife fight: more more
"i have spivak in my lineup i'm very confident in this."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Big Brady picks Spivac due to youth and Oleinik's age (43) and poor cardio. He thinks Spivac should keep the fight standing to avoid Oleinik's submissions and finish him in the third round via TKO. He is not betting due to the high price.

win by TKO in round 3
"I'm gonna take sergey spivak to win I'm gonna say third round tko"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Cody picks Spivac, emphasizing Oleinik's age (43) and decline, while noting Spivac's youth (27) and improved cardio and grappling. He predicts Spivac will win by TKO late in the second round, as Oleinik will struggle with Spivac's jab and clinch, and his cardio will fade.

Spivac by TKO late in the second round; price minus 140
"not only do i take speed back but speed probably gets a tko late in the second price is like minus 140 on that"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Daniel Levi sees this as a passing of the torch fight. He notes the 18-year age gap and believes Spivac has shown he can make adjustments and handle adversity, as seen in his wins over Tai Tuivasa and Carlos Felipe. He thinks Spivac can grapple with Oleinik and even beat him at his own game, and that Oleinik's skills are declining. He expects Spivac to win, possibly by ground and pound or knockout.

"i got spit back for the win here um and you know i hope him and uh alexi can hug and you know raise his hand in the middle of the cage"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Jacob picks Serghei Spivac, but worries about Spivac's willingness to grapple with Oleinik. He hopes Spivac keeps it standing and uses his striking to exploit Oleinik's chin. He has Spivac in his lineup at $9,200. He also likes the over on strikes.

"i went with sergey just because we've seen olynyk's chin lately."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

The host picks Serghei Spivac by decision, believing he can grind out Oleinik with cage clinching and striking. He notes Spivac's slight striking advantage and that Oleinik is dangerous on the ground but Spivac will play it safe. He expects a slow-paced fight and likes the over 1.5 rounds. He mentions Spivac's decision prop at +677 as an attractive line. He is not confident in paying -230 but thinks Spivac wins.

Spivac by decision at +677; over 1.5 rounds at +135; Spivac round 3 at +850 mentioned
"i'm going to go spivak i'm going to go with i think speedvac round three could be live here"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Serghei Spivac

Paul picks Spivac but is hesitant due to his fandom for Oleinik. He notes Oleinik's age and recent poor performances, but acknowledges Spivac's lack of elite speed and power, making this a more favorable matchup for Oleinik than recent fights. Paul passes on betting.

"i'm gonna pick spivak if i had to but i can't i can't touch money i'll be cheering uh against my bed if i bet on sergey spivak so it's a straight up pass for me"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Serghei Spivac

The MMA Guru picks Serghei Spivac to win by second-round TKO via ground and pound. He expects Oleinik to try to earn respect on the feet but Spivac will stick a jab in his face. Oleinik will shoot takedowns, but Spivac will stuff them and land elbows. In round two, Oleinik will shoot a bad takedown, Spivac will take mount and land ground and pound for the TKO.

second round TKO, ground and pound
"i'm gonna go with sergey spivak round two ground and pound tko"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Marlon Vera

Marlon Vera W

23-12-1
Decision (unanimous) (29–27, 29–28, 30–26) R3 5:00
Fight 3 VS Bantamweight Completed

Marlon Vera

Moneyline
Caesars -210
KO/TKO
BetWay +400
Submission
BetMGM +500
Decision
BetRivers +188

Davey Grant

Moneyline
FanDuel +188
KO/TKO
BetRivers +500
Submission
BetMGM +2500
Decision
BetRivers +450
Fighter Stats

Marlon Vera

Age33
Height5' 8"
Reach70.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Davey Grant

Age40
Height5' 8"
Reach69.0"
Weight135 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Marlon Vera

4.18SLpM
47.0%Str. Acc.
5.34SApM
50.0%Str. Def.
0.47TD Avg
39.0%TD Acc.
71.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Davey Grant

5.14SLpM
44.0%Str. Acc.
3.82SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
1.03TD Avg
40.0%TD Acc.
63.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

Angelo picks Marlon Vera, but also bets on Davey Grant. He sees the fight as either Vera by KO or Grant by decision. He placed a bet on Vera to win by KO with decision no action, and a straight moneyline bet on Grant at +189. He thinks Vera has power and a solid chin, while Grant is more technical but can be dropped.

Vera wins by KO, decision equals no action; Grant moneyline (+189)
"i have cheeto vera marlin vera with a ko decision no action... and then i have a straight up money line bet on davey grant."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

Big Brady is confident in Vera, noting he is a completely different fighter since their first fight in 2016. He highlights Vera's 90% finish rate, granite chin, and Grant's weak chin and submission defense. He expects a finish by Vera, either KO or submission.

win by finish
"I really do like the younger marlin vera in this fight to get it done by finish"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Marlon Vera

Cody picks Vera, highlighting Vera's durability, improved wrestling and boxing, and momentum from recent fights against top competition (Aldo, O'Malley). He notes Grant's recent wins are over lower-level opponents and that Grant has been knocked down in recent fights. Cody believes Vera's slow-starting style will allow him to take over as the fight progresses.

"if we're talking about durability on either side grant's super durable but he has been knocked down in his last two fights... i got vera"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Marlon Vera

Daniel Levi picks Marlon Vera to avenge his loss to Davey Grant. He highlights Vera's killer instinct and durability, noting that Vera has taken huge shots from fighters like John Lineker and never been knocked out. He believes that if Vera hurts Grant, he will finish him. He also credits Vera's coaching staff and recent performances where he has taken care of opponents he should beat.

"i think marlon chitovera avenges this loss and gets back on a win streak"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Davey Grant

Jacob picks Davey Grant, questioning why he is an underdog. He notes Grant won the first fight, is on a three-fight win streak, and just knocked out Jonathan Martinez. He thinks Vera is overrated and that Grant's wrestling and striking will be enough. He has Grant in his lineup at $7,100.

monkey knife fight: less on Vera, more on Grant
"i have david graham winning this winning this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Davey Grant

The host picks Davey Grant as an underdog, citing his grappling advantage and top pressure that troubled Vera in their first fight. He believes Grant's striking power and takedown ability will be key, and that Vera still has deficiencies off his back. He notes Grant's recent KO wins but expects a decision due to Vera's durability. He thinks the line is inflated by Vera's exposure and that Grant has massive value. He mentions Grant's sidekick and ability to mix in takedowns.

Grant by decision at +380 mentioned; over 2.5 rounds at -120; Grant moneyline at +220; Grant by KO also noted as possible
"i'm gonna go davey grant and i'm gonna go davey grant by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Davey Grant

Paul leans toward Davey Grant as a dog, noting Grant's recent improvements and knockout power. He is concerned about Vera's durability and Grant's wrestling, but thinks Grant could win by decision. Paul suggests the line movement (opened at -325 Vera) indicates value on Grant.

Grant by decision
"davey grant by um by decision play but i'm interested to hear what you have to say before uh hitting the books with anything"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Marlon Vera

The MMA Guru picks Marlon Vera to win by unanimous decision (29-28). He expects a war, with Vera chopping at the legs, going for submissions, and having better ground positions. He believes Vera's chin is too good for Grant's power, and Grant will swing big in the first round but slow down. Vera will put on pressure in rounds two and three, similar to his fight with Song Yadong but with a win this time.

"i think marlon vera is going to definitely get the better of this one... 29-28 unanimous decision for marlon vera"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

SeungWoo Choi

SeungWoo Choi W

11-8
TKO (punches) R1 1:37
Fight 4 VS Featherweight Completed

SeungWoo Choi

Moneyline
Caesars -150
KO/TKO
BetMGM +340
Submission
BetMGM +1100
Decision
BetWay +200

Julian Erosa

Moneyline
FanDuel +144
KO/TKO
BetRivers +700
Submission
BetRivers +500
Decision
BetMGM +320
Fighter Stats

SeungWoo Choi

Age33
Height6' 0"
Reach74"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Julian Erosa

Age36
Height6' 1"
Reach74.0"
Weight145 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - SeungWoo Choi

3.56SLpM
38.0%Str. Acc.
3.16SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
0.83TD Avg
54.0%TD Acc.
70.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Julian Erosa

6.18SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
6.31SApM
48.0%Str. Def.
1.73TD Avg
43.0%TD Acc.
61.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Angelo picks Julian Erosa, noting his violence, aggression, and multiple ways to win (KO or submission). He acknowledges Erosa relies on his chin but thinks he has more paths to victory than Choi, who can only win by KO. He has a bet on the fight going under 2.5 rounds at +125 and also bet on it not going the distance at +105.

under 2.5 rounds (+125, half unit); does not go the distance (+105)
"julian rosa is my pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Big Brady thinks Choi is the much better striker and that Erosa is very hittable with a weak chin. He expects a knockout, predicting Choi finishes Erosa in the second round. He considered betting but decided to pass.

win by KO in round 2
"I'm going to take sangwoo choi to knock out juliana rosa"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Cody picks Choi, citing Choi's physical strength, excellent jab, and durability. He acknowledges Erosa's pressure and volume but believes Choi's jab and ability to stay on the outside will carry him to a competitive decision win. He notes Choi's fatigue in the third round of his last fight but thinks Erosa's pressure could be neutralized.

"i myself see my uh myself going with seongwoo choi again i think that he's physically stronger than woodson uh he's got a better chin than nate lanware"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Daniel Levi picks SeungWoo Choi, citing his physicality, size, and technical striking. He notes that Choi has been improving and is now more comfortable in the UFC, while Erosa has a tendency to fight with his hands down and has been knocked out multiple times. He believes Choi's technique and strength will be too much for Erosa, and expects a dominant performance.

"i'm going to go with sung wu choi to get the biggest uh biggest win of his career and also have the best performance of his career"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

Jacob picks SeungWoo Choi, citing his speed and precise in-and-out striking. He believes Choi can stuff takedowns and keep the distance, avoiding Erosa's dirty boxing and submissions. He also mentions a pattern where Erosa alternates wins and losses, predicting a loss here. He has Choi in his lineup.

"sing woo choy is gonna win and he's in my lineup."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
SeungWoo Choi

The host picks SeungWoo Choi, believing his Muay Thai and technical striking will overcome Julian Erosa's wild, loopy shots. He notes Choi's improving takedown defense and that Erosa's brawling style plays into Choi's counters. He expects Choi to keep the fight standing and outpoint Erosa over 15 minutes, possibly earning a decision. He mentions Choi's win over Youssef Zalal as evidence of his growth, and that Erosa's wrestling is not better than Gavin Tucker's, which Choi handled.

Choi by decision at +190 mentioned as a good line
"i'm gonna take troy to win this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Julian Erosa

Paul picks Erosa by KO as a YOLO play, noting Erosa's recent knockout wins and Choi's history of being knocked out. He also bets under 2.5 rounds, expecting a finish. He acknowledges the risk but likes Erosa's pressure and volume.

Erosa by KO +700; under 2.5 rounds +120
"i'm on the under two and a half plus 120 and i'm on uh juicy j by ko plus 700 tell me i'm wrong"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Julian Erosa

The MMA Guru picks Julian Erosa to win by submission (d'arce choke) in round three. He expects Choi to land good shots early, but Erosa will make it messy in round two, forcing clinches and takedowns. In round three, Erosa will lure Choi into a war, Choi will lose composure and shoot a bad takedown, allowing Erosa to latch on a d'arce choke.

submission win, third round, d'arce choke
"i'm going to go with julian arosa darsh choke submission in round three"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

BR

Bruno Silva W

23-13
KO (punches) R1 4:45
Fight 5 VS Middleweight Completed

Bruno Silva

Moneyline
FanDuel -120
KO/TKO
BetWay +200
Submission
BetMGM +1400
Decision
BetMGM +400

Wellington Turman

Moneyline
Caesars +105
KO/TKO
BetRivers +600
Submission
BetRivers +400
Decision
BetRivers +350
Fighter Stats

Bruno Silva

Age36
Height6' 0"
Reach74"
Weight185 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Wellington Turman

Age29
Height6' 0"
Reach72.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Bruno Silva

3.86SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
5.35SApM
41.0%Str. Def.
0.77TD Avg
22.0%TD Acc.
74.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Wellington Turman

3.23SLpM
51.0%Str. Acc.
4.17SApM
45.0%Str. Def.
1.55TD Avg
20.0%TD Acc.
42.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Angelo picks Bruno Silva, citing his knockout power and clinch work. He acknowledges the layoff and PED suspension as question marks. He thinks Silva can catch Turman early, but is not confident enough to bet straight. He bet on Turman by submission at +500 and under 2.5 rounds, hedging both sides.

Turman by submission (+500, 0.25 unit); under 2.5 rounds
"i actually have bruno silva in this fight but i don't i'm not confident enough to bet on him straight up."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Big Brady sees this as a 50/50 fight. He notes Silva has many submission losses and poor grappling, while Turman is a BJJ black belt. He thinks Turman will get takedowns and submit Silva, but acknowledges Silva could knock him out early.

win by submission
"I'll take wellington tournament to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Cody picks Silva, emphasizing Silva's knockout power and proven ability as a sizable underdog in Russia. He notes Silva's cardio issues and two-year layoff but believes his power and pressure will overwhelm Turman, who has suspect chin and wrestling. Cody suggests Silva by KO is a solid play.

Silva by KO +200; under 2.5 rounds
"i'm curious about bruno by ko plus 200 i see out there again again solid play because how does he win this fight"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Hesitant picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Bruno Silva

Daniel Levi picks Bruno Silva in his long-awaited UFC debut, but with hesitation due to the two-year layoff and USADA suspension. He notes that Silva looked impressive in his wins over Alexander Shlemenko and Artem Frolov, and that he has improved his get-up game and durability. However, he worries about Silva gassing out or giving up bad positions if he comes in too emotional. He expects a knockout if Silva is the same fighter.

"i'm gonna go with bruno silva to get it done in his long-awaited ufc debut find knockout"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

Jacob picks Wellington Turman, citing his BJJ and body lock takedowns. He thinks Turman will take Silva down and submit him, noting Silva's losses by submission. He is concerned about Silva's power but believes Turman's grappling will prevail. He does not have either in his lineup.

"i like wellington in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Wellington Turman

The host picks Wellington Turman, citing his grappling ability and the uncertainty around Bruno Silva coming off a USADA suspension. He believes Turman can get the fight to the ground and nullify Silva's power. He notes Silva's sketchy takedown defense and that Turman is a solid grappler. He predicts a decision win for Turman, but also sees a submission as live given Silva has been tapped before. He acknowledges Turman's recent KO loss but thinks his chin will hold up.

Turman by decision; Turman by submission at +420 mentioned as a sprinkle
"i'm going wellington tournament i think he's a solid dog in the spot and i think he wins this fight by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Bruno Silva

Paul picks Silva, noting his power and the fact that he was a plus 145 underdog initially. He mentions Silva's cardio and layoff as red flags but believes his power is a difference-maker. Paul also likes the under 2.5 rounds and Silva by KO props.

Silva by KO +200; under 2.5 rounds
"i'll pick this bruno silva character here um i don't feel too great about it"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Bruno Silva

The MMA Guru picks Bruno Silva to win by first-round KO. He expects Silva to have nervous energy and blitz Turman early, landing a KO blow. He notes Turman's recent first-round KO loss and Silva's KO power. He also mentions Turman showed up with gyno, which he finds notable. He predicts a brutal KO in the first round.

first round KO
"i'm going with bruno silva... brutal ko in the first round over wellington sherman"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Matt Brown

Matt Brown W

26-19
KO (punch) R2 3:02
Fight 6 VS Welterweight Completed

Matt Brown

Moneyline
Caesars +175
KO/TKO
BetRivers +500
Submission
BetWay +1200
Decision
BetWay +400

Dhiego Lima

Moneyline
BetRivers -186
KO/TKO
BetMGM +400
Submission
BetRivers +700
Decision
BetWay +200
Fighter Stats

Matt Brown

Age45
Height6' 0"
Reach75.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Dhiego Lima

Age37
Height6' 2"
Reach75.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Matt Brown

3.76SLpM
55.0%Str. Acc.
2.92SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
1.68TD Avg
46.0%TD Acc.
63.0%TD Def.
1.3Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Dhiego Lima

3.12SLpM
39.0%Str. Acc.
3.88SApM
58.0%Str. Def.
1.26TD Avg
34.0%TD Acc.
73.0%TD Def.
0.6Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Matt Brown

Angelo picks Matt Brown as an underdog, citing Lima's brother's recent loss as a potential emotional distraction. He thinks Brown's toughness, power, and underrated wrestling could be factors. He is not confident and has no bets on the fight, but likes the over on strikes for both.

monkey knife fight: more more (max play)
"i have matt brown winning this fight it is not the most confident pick i've ever had."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Dhiego Lima

Big Brady picks the younger Lima, citing Brown's age (40) and 13 finished losses. He thinks Lima's leg kicks and youth will lead to a finish, but acknowledges Brown could knock Lima out. He recommends staying away from betting.

win by KO
"I will take the younger fighter in diego lima to get it done I'll say bye knockout here"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dhiego Lima

Cody picks Lima but is hesitant, noting Lima's questionable chin and recent split decisions. He acknowledges Matt Brown's early power but believes Brown's cardio and speed have declined. Cody thinks Lima's calf kicks and jab will allow him to pull away in later rounds, but he is not confident enough to bet.

"i think i gotta take the coward's way out and probably go with diego lima you know again i just i i don't love betting on these guys at this stage of their career"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Dhiego Lima

Daniel Levi picks Dhiego Lima, citing youth and freshness. He notes that Matt Brown is 40 years old and his durability is declining, as seen in the Miguel Baeza fight where he was knocked out by punches for the first time. He believes Lima's calf kicks and left hook will be effective, and that he can either finish or win a decision. He respects Brown but thinks the age and recent performances favor Lima.

"i'm gonna go with diego lima by being the younger fresher guy i think he chops him down with calf kicks and maybe finds a left hook finish"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dhiego Lima

Jacob picks Dhiego Lima, expecting him to chew up Brown's legs with kicks and out-strike him. He thinks Brown's age and lack of volume will be issues. He has Lima in his lineup at $9,000 and believes Lima will dominate without a finish.

"i am picking diego he's in my lineup."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Dhiego Lima

The host picks Dhiego Lima by decision, citing his calf kicks and striking advantage. He notes Lima's cardio issues in his last fight but believes he can implement a similar game plan to the Miguel Baeza fight, where calf kicks debilitated Brown. He thinks Lima can get in and out of exchanges and slow Brown down. He is not highly confident but sees Lima as the better fighter against the 40-year-old Brown, who may be on a three-fight skid.

Lima by decision at +150; over 2.5 rounds at -130 mentioned as live; Lima by KO at +400 noted
"i'll go with diego lima to win this fight via decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Dhiego Lima

Paul picks Lima, citing Lima's youth and striking advantage. He notes Brown's age (40) and declining cardio, and believes Lima can win by decision or late finish. Paul also bets under 2.5 rounds, expecting a finish either way.

under 2.5 rounds +120
"i'll pick diego lima to win this fight diego or diego lima maybe in rounds two or three i guess is where i would go"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Dhiego Lima

The MMA Guru picks Dhiego Lima to win by first-round TKO via lead hook. He believes Matt Brown has taken too much damage and will rush in with his hands down, allowing Lima to land a check hook similar to the one Miguel Baeza landed on Brown. He references Lima's previous lead hook KO of Chad Laprise and expects Lima to finish Brown at the end of the first round.

lead hook KO, first round TKO
"i'm gonna go with diego lima i'm gonna go the lead hook ko... finish him at the end of the first round by tko"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Nicolae Negumereanu

Nicolae Negumereanu W

13-2
Decision (split) (29–28, 28–29, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 7 VS Light Heavyweight Completed

Nicolae Negumereanu

Moneyline
FanDuel +215
KO/TKO
BetRivers +700
Submission
BetRivers +850
Decision
BetRivers +450

Aleksa Camur

Moneyline
Caesars -240
KO/TKO
BetRivers +250
Submission
BetRivers +1000
Decision
BetMGM +140
Fighter Stats

Nicolae Negumereanu

Age31
Height6' 0"
Reach78.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Aleksa Camur

Age30
Height6' 1"
Reach74.0"
Weight205 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Nicolae Negumereanu

3.58SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
5.56SApM
39.0%Str. Def.
1.02TD Avg
28.0%TD Acc.
62.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Aleksa Camur

4.73SLpM
57.0%Str. Acc.
4.26SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
0.46TD Avg
22.0%TD Acc.
50.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Nicolae Negumereanu

Angelo picks Nicolae Negumereanu, agreeing with Jacob that the odds are flipped. He notes Negumereanu's 100% finish rate and aggressive style, but also acknowledges his lack of head movement and looping shots. He thinks Camur's straight punches could be a problem, but still picks Negumereanu as the underdog. He would not bet on Camur at -240.

may look at Negumereanu prop bets; monkey knife fight: less on Camur, more on Negumereanu
"my pick is also nikolai i would never do minus 240 on a on a six in one dude."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Big Brady is not impressed with Camur but thinks he has a massive speed advantage and is the better striker. He is concerned about Camur's takedown defense after being taken down by William Knight. He predicts Camur wins by decision but would not lay -250 on him.

win by decision
"I'll go with k-more by decision I don't love the line at all"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Cody picks Camur, dismissing Negumereanu's inflated record and poor UFC debut. He notes Negumereanu's cardio and wrestling were non-existent, and despite a two-year layoff, he doesn't expect significant improvements. Camur is not great but should win against this level of competition.

over 2.5 rounds -150
"i think k-mer gets the job done here"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Lean picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Daniel Levi picks Aleksa Camur, but is not confident due to the high price. He notes that Camur has fought better competition, beating Justin Ledet and William Knight, while Negumereanu has faced very low-level opponents. However, he acknowledges that Camur is still green and has holes in his game, and that laying a big price on him is risky. He thinks Camur has more physicality and tools, but is not fully convinced.

"i'm gonna go with alexa camera i just personally can't lay this price on a guy like that he needs to prove himself a little more"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Lock picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Nicolae Negumereanu

Jacob is extremely confident in Negumereanu, calling him the lock of the week. He highlights Negumereanu's suplexes, powerbombs, and 100% finish rate, and questions why he is a +205 underdog. He believes Negumereanu will take Camur down and finish him. He has Negumereanu in his DraftKings lineup at $6,900.

lock of the week; monkey knife fight: less on Camur, more on Negumereanu
"that's the lock of the week i mean it doesn't get it this is like the most confident lock of the week i think i've ever i know that i've ever had."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

The host picks Aleksa Camur, believing he is the more complete fighter with takedown ability and a solid upside. He notes Negumereanu's sketchy regional competition and long layoff, and expects Camur to grind out a decision by taking the fight to the ground. He thinks Camur will play it safe and avoid Negumereanu's power. He mentions Camur's potential but acknowledges the William Knight loss, though he sees this as a favorable matchup.

Camur by decision at +135 mentioned as the spot he likes
"kamore by decision is currently sitting at plus 135 that's the spot that i like"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Aleksa Camur

Paul picks Camur, agreeing with Cody that Negumereanu is not UFC level. He notes Negumereanu's poor performance against Safarov and long layoff. Paul suggests the over 2.5 rounds as a better play, as both fighters have questionable cardio and finishing ability.

over 2.5 rounds -150
"i wouldn't touch uh nick nico moreno i don't think he would be a good bet at all"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Aleksa Camur

The MMA Guru picks Aleksa Camur to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He expects a lackluster contest where Camur lands decent shots and sticks the jab. He thinks Negumereanu may have moments of aggression, but Camur will ride out those storms and win the middle ground of the fight by landing more overall shots.

"i'm gonna go with alexa kamur and i think he wins this one by probably decision... 30-27 unanimous decision"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Virna Jandiroba

Virna Jandiroba W

23-4
TKO (arm injury) R2 5:00
Fight 8 VS Women's Strawweight Completed

Virna Jandiroba

Moneyline
BetWay -138
KO/TKO
BetRivers +1100
Submission
BetMGM +290
Decision
BetRivers +240

Kanako Murata

Moneyline
Caesars +120
KO/TKO
BetWay +1200
Submission
BetRivers +1100
Decision
BetWay +175
Fighter Stats

Virna Jandiroba

Age38
Height5' 3"
Reach64.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Kanako Murata

Age32
Height5' 1"
Reach62.0"
Weight115 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Virna Jandiroba

2.27SLpM
41.0%Str. Acc.
2.86SApM
55.0%Str. Def.
3.13TD Avg
39.0%TD Acc.
72.0%TD Def.
1.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Kanako Murata

2.15SLpM
56.0%Str. Acc.
2.4SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
3.38TD Avg
56.0%TD Acc.
100.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Angelo picks Kanako Murata, citing her judo and wrestling background. He believes Murata can take Jandiroba down and control her, avoiding submissions. He notes Jandiroba's submission threat but thinks Murata's defensive grappling is sufficient. He placed a bet on Jandiroba to win by submission with decision no action, essentially hedging.

Jandiroba wins by submission, decision equals no action (1 unit, bet online)
"my pick is kanako."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Big Brady is confident in Jandiroba's submission skills, noting she is a BJJ wizard with 13 submission wins. He points out Murata puts herself in bad positions and has a submission loss. He expects Jandiroba to find a submission within 15 minutes.

win by submission
"I'll take jen and january to win by submission"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

Cody picks Murata as an underdog, citing her wrestling advantage and youth (27). He notes Jandiroba's non-existent striking and believes Murata can win by decision through takedowns and control. He acknowledges Jandiroba's submission threat but thinks Murata's improved grappling will keep her safe.

Murata by decision
"i went with uh kanako murata uh yeah it just comes down to the wrestling advantage again she's still pretty young in 27"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Daniel Levi picks Virna Jandiroba, citing her elite jiu-jitsu and higher level of competition. He believes she is the better grappler and can pull guard, sweep, and get into dominant positions. He notes that wrestlers like Murata don't like being on their backs, and that Jandiroba has fought tougher opponents like Carla Esparza and Mackenzie Dern. He expects a submission or decision win, but acknowledges that if it becomes a striking fight, he is less sure.

"i think that virna janjidova is just more seasoned man and fought the better competition and i like her jiu jitsu game i think it's very elite"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
No clear pick

Jacob does not make a clear pick for this fight. He finds it a toss-up between the wrestler and grappler. He leans slightly towards Jandiroba if it goes to the ground but stayed away from picking. He did not include either fighter in his lineup.

"i didn't even pick this fight because i have no idea what's going to happen in this fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Kanako Murata

The host leans slightly with Kanako Murata, believing her wrestling and strength will allow her to dictate where the fight takes place. He thinks Murata's defensive grappling has improved and that she can nullify Jandiroba's jiu-jitsu. He expects a grappling-heavy fight where both cancel out, leading to a decision. He likes the over 2.5 rounds most, as finishes are unlikely given the skill level. He notes Murata's only loss was early in her career to a more experienced fighter.

Over 2.5 rounds at -200 range; Murata by decision at +245 mentioned
"i'm going to be going with kanako murata by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Virna Jandiroba

Paul picks Jandiroba by submission as a small play, noting her superior BJJ and ability to take down wrestlers (as seen against Esparza). He is concerned about Murata's submission defense but thinks Jandiroba can catch her if the fight goes to the ground.

Jandiroba by submission +275
"i ended up taking a shot on verna by sub plus 275 i don't know if the math really checks out all that much"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Virna Jandiroba

The MMA Guru picks Virna Jandiroba to win by submission (arm triangle) in the second round. He expects Murata to push Jandiroba against the cage early and use her strength, but Jandiroba will use jiu-jitsu positions and submission attempts to win scrambles. He predicts Jandiroba will attack many submissions, eventually catching Murata in an arm triangle after transitioning from a leg lock.

submission win, second round, arm triangle
"i'm going to go verna jandarova getting a submission win in the second round... arm triangle"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Khaos Williams

Khaos Williams W

15-5
Decision (unanimous) (30–27, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 9 VS Welterweight Completed

Khaos Williams

Moneyline
BetWay -150
KO/TKO
BetRivers +125
Submission
BetMGM +2500
Decision
BetMGM +500

Matthew Semelsberger

Moneyline
Caesars +145
KO/TKO
BetRivers +450
Submission
BetMGM +1100
Decision
BetRivers +300
Fighter Stats

Khaos Williams

Age32
Height6' 0"
Reach77.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Matthew Semelsberger

Age33
Height6' 1"
Reach75.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSwitch

Career Averages - Khaos Williams

4.94SLpM
39.0%Str. Acc.
5.39SApM
40.0%Str. Def.
0.0TD Avg
0.0%TD Acc.
51.0%TD Def.
0.0Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Matthew Semelsberger

3.77SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
4.24SApM
54.0%Str. Def.
1.01TD Avg
57.0%TD Acc.
45.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Angelo picks Khaos Williams, citing his power and knockout ability. He notes that Semelsberger has been knocked out before and that Khaos has fought higher quality opponents. He disagrees with Jacob's pick of Semelsberger, arguing that Semelsberger's forward pressure may walk him into a power shot. Angelo also mentions he is waiting for better odds on a Khaos Williams knockout prop.

wins by knockout (waiting for better odds, currently +125 not enough)
"I have chaos winning this fight... chaos got power and matt semelsberger has been knocked out before."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Big Brady favors Williams due to higher level of competition (fought Alex Morono, Abdul Razak Alhassan) and durability (never finished). He notes Semelsberger has been knocked out by an 0-1 fighter and has two losses by finish. He predicts a first-round knockout by Williams.

win by KO in round 1
"Give me chaos williams I'm gonna take him to win I'm going to say first round knockout"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Cody picks Semelsberger as a live underdog, citing his better output, size, and wrestling. He notes Williams' power but questions his overall game and cardio. Cody suggests Semelsberger could win if he survives the first round and pressures Williams.

"i need a second underdog i think i'm going to go to semel's burger but i could easily get knocked out in the first round"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Khaos Williams

Daniel Levi picks Khaos Williams, disagreeing with the notion that he is a first-round-or-bust fighter. He points to Williams' decision win over Jeremy Holloway and competitive fight against Michel Pereira as evidence he can go three rounds. He thinks Williams can match Semelsberger in power and physicality, but has more experience. He expects a win by knockout or decision.

"i'm saying chaos williams either by knockout or by decision uh chaos is my pick"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

Jacob picks Matthew Semelsberger, emphasizing his volume and kicks to neutralize Khaos Williams' power. He believes Semelsberger can overwhelm Khaos with pressure and leg kicks. Jacob also thinks this could be fight of the night and likes the over on strikes for Semelsberger.

over on strikes for Semelsberger (monkey knife fight)
"I like matthew with this volume i like him to be able to use his kicks early to kind of take that power away from chaos."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Matthew Semelsberger

The host picks Matthew Semelsberger, citing his good combinations, leg kicks, and ability to stick and move. He notes Semelsberger's takedown threat and that Khaos Williams loads up on shots, making him telegraph. He believes Semelsberger can avoid Williams' power and win by decision, though he acknowledges Williams' knockout power is a threat. He mentions Semelsberger has been finished before but thinks improvements will keep him safe.

Semelsberger by decision at +320 mentioned
"i'm going to pick someone's burger here i think that he's able to stick and move"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Khaos Williams

Paul picks Williams, citing his knockout power and fast hands. He notes Semelsberger's questionable chin and believes Williams will land a clean shot. Paul acknowledges Semelsberger's path to victory but thinks Williams' power is the difference.

"chaos williams you're just dealing with a lot of pressure"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Khaos Williams

The MMA Guru picks Khaos Williams to win by unanimous decision (30-27, with one judge possibly giving Semelsberger a round). He expects a cautious fight with both men respecting each other's power. He predicts Williams will chop at the legs early and land more shots over three rounds, while Semelsberger goes for the head. He thinks it will be a chess match and Williams will be the better man in the third round.

"i'm gonna go with chaos williams and i think i'm gonna go with him by decision... 30-27 unanimous decision"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

JO

Josh Parisian W

Decision (split) (28–29, 29–28, 29–28) R3 5:00
Fight 10 VS Heavyweight Completed

Josh Parisian

Moneyline
BetWay -138
KO/TKO
BetRivers +195
Submission
BetMGM +2000
Decision
BetMGM +310

Roque Martinez

Moneyline
Caesars +135
KO/TKO
BetRivers +280
Submission
BetRivers +1400
Decision
BetMGM +400
Fighter Stats

Josh Parisian

Age36
Height6' 4"
Reach79.0"
Weight265 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Roque Martinez

Age40
Height5' 10"
Reach72.0"
Weight250 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Josh Parisian

4.55SLpM
48.0%Str. Acc.
4.88SApM
41.0%Str. Def.
0.98TD Avg
33.0%TD Acc.
46.0%TD Def.
0.2Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Roque Martinez

3.28SLpM
53.0%Str. Acc.
4.9SApM
56.0%Str. Def.
0.38TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
53.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Josh Parisian

Angelo picks Josh Parisian, citing his height and reach advantage, high volume, and improved conditioning. He thinks Parisian will pick Martinez apart at range and that Martinez's durability will prevent a finish, leading to a decision. He bet on the fight going to a decision at +145 and likes the over on strikes for both.

goes to a decision (+145, 1 unit); monkey knife fight: more more
"i have josh parisian as my pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Josh Parisian

Big Brady likes Parisian's volume and significant reach/height advantages, but is concerned about his cardio after gassing against Parker Porter. He thinks Parisian will land more shots and win a decision because Martinez is very durable and hard to finish.

win by decision
"I'll take josh parisian to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Josh Parisian

Cody picks Parisian by decision, noting Parisian's reach and volume advantage. He believes Martinez is durable but will be outpointed. Cody suggests the over 2.5 rounds or fight goes the distance as better plays, as both fighters lack finishing ability.

Parisian by decision +333; over 2.5 rounds +100; fight goes the distance +130
"i take prison by decision i really don't think he's putting away rogue martinez"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Josh Parisian

Daniel Levi picks Josh Parisian, noting that he is the bigger, more physical fighter with more skills. He thinks Parisian will take Martinez down and work on top. He acknowledges that Parisian lost to Parker Porter, but considers Porter a tough opponent. He believes Martinez is tough but lacks the skills to win at this level, and that Parisian will get his first UFC win.

"i'm gonna go parisian and get this one done my man"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Josh Parisian

Jacob also picks Josh Parisian, comparing his wild kicking style to a karate kid. He acknowledges the height advantage and thinks Parisian's volume will win the fight. He is slightly worried about Martinez's grappling but overall expects a sloppy fight that Parisian wins.

"i think josh wins the fight i think this is a sloppy mess of a fight."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Lean picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Roque Martinez

The host picks Roque Martinez as an underdog, believing his durability, cardio, and pressure will overcome Josh Parisian, who tends to gas. He notes Martinez's leg kicks and boxing, and expects Parisian to fade after the first round. He predicts Martinez by decision, similar to the Parker Porter fight, and likes the over 1.5 rounds due to both fighters' durability. He is not putting hard-earned money on Martinez but sees value in the decision prop.

Martinez by decision at +350ish range; over 1.5 rounds at -185 (chalky but liked)
"i'm going rookie martinez by decision"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Lean picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Roque Martinez

Paul leans toward Martinez, citing his durability and toughness. He expects a sloppy heavyweight fight and is not confident. Paul bets over 1.5 rounds at -155, expecting the fight to last.

over 1.5 rounds -155
"give me rocky i guess if he had to put a gun to my head just i think you know i'll lean on durability toughness"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Josh Parisian

The MMA Guru picks Josh Parisian to win by first-round TKO via spinning back fist and ground and pound. He believes Parisian will soften up Martinez's body with spinning back kicks, then land a spinning back fist to knock him down and finish with ground and pound against the cage. He expresses high confidence that Parisian will go for the spinning back fist.

spinning back fist KO, first round TKO
"i'm gonna go with josh parisian spinning back fist ko... first round tko for josh perisium"
Fight Notes

No comments yet.

Ricky Glenn

Ricky Glenn W

22-9-2
KO (punches) R1 0:37
Fight 11 VS Lightweight Completed

Ricky Glenn

Moneyline
FanDuel +120
KO/TKO
BetRivers +650
Submission
BetMGM +1000
Decision
BetRivers +200

Joaquim Silva

Moneyline
Caesars -130
KO/TKO
BetRivers +500
Submission
BetMGM +900
Decision
BetMGM +175
Fighter Stats

Ricky Glenn

Age37
Height6' 0"
Reach70.0"
Weight170 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Joaquim Silva

Age37
Height5' 8"
Reach69.0"
Weight155 lbs.
StanceSouthpaw

Career Averages - Ricky Glenn

3.79SLpM
42.0%Str. Acc.
4.3SApM
51.0%Str. Def.
0.72TD Avg
13.0%TD Acc.
69.0%TD Def.
0.4Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Joaquim Silva

3.43SLpM
43.0%Str. Acc.
4.17SApM
53.0%Str. Def.
0.34TD Avg
50.0%TD Acc.
70.0%TD Def.
0.8Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Angelo picks Joaquim Silva, citing his knockout power and ability to close distance. He notes that Silva's power is always present and that he doesn't give up. However, he is hesitant due to the long layoff for both fighters. He does not have Silva in his DraftKings lineup and is not placing a money bet.

"joaquim silva wins this fight and joaquim silva is my pick."
BI
Big Brady Expert Hesitant picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Big Brady is hesitant due to long layoffs for both fighters. He notes Silva hits hard and Glenn is hittable, but Glenn has never been knocked out. He expects Silva to land harder shots and win a decision, but recommends staying away from betting.

win by decision
"I'm going to say that you know silva does win a decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Cody picks Silva, citing Silva's power and experience at 155 lbs. He notes Glenn's long layoff (almost 3 years) and move up in weight, which could be problematic. Silva's power and pressure should be too much for Glenn, who is not a big hitter.

"i would go with joakim silva but uh looking at the line which is 135"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Daniel Levi picks Joaquim Silva, citing his power and durability. He notes that while Ricky Glenn has better technique, he is defensively vulnerable and marks up easily. He thinks Silva will bruise Glenn up and possibly get a knockout or decision. He also mentions Silva's black belt in jiu-jitsu as an additional threat.

"i'm going to go with joking silva man um and i'm not worried about the big layoff on either side"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Jacob also picks Joaquim Silva, but with low confidence. He worries about Silva's cardio and notes that Silva's last loss was to a southpaw, and Ricky Glenn is also a southpaw. He sees both as counter punchers and expects a slow fight. He is not putting Silva in his lineup and would not bet on it.

monkey knife fight: less on Silva, less on Glenn (or less more)
"i'm going with silva but i'm not i don't feel good enough about it to put him in my lineup."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Confident picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

The host is confident in Joaquim Silva, citing his heavy Muay Thai striking, power, and ability to capitalize on Ricky Glenn's wild, open striking. He notes Glenn's low takedown accuracy (13% in UFC) and that Silva has put cardio concerns to rest with third-round finishes. He expects Silva to land damaging blows and predicts a second-round knockout, as Glenn's durability may be tested by Silva's power. He mentions Silva's body work and that Glenn's layoff and hip surgery could be factors.

Fight doesn't go to decision at +160 mentioned as a bet; Silva by second-round knockout predicted
"i'll go with silva to win by a second round knockout"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Joaquim Silva

Paul picks Silva, agreeing with Cody. He notes Glenn's layoff and weight class change, and Silva's recent competition. Paul thinks Silva's power and durability will be key.

"i think i'm gonna go with joakim silva"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Ricky Glenn

The MMA Guru picks Ricky Glenn to win by unanimous decision (30-27). He believes Glenn's size and strength will be too much for Joaquim Silva, despite Glenn moving up from featherweight. He expects Glenn to land good shots on the feet early, mix in takedowns, and use his range with kicks. He thinks Silva won't have the strength to deal with Glenn's pressure and grappling.

"i'm gonna go over rick glenn here... 30-27 unanimous decision"
Fight Notes

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Casey O'Neill

Casey O'Neill W

11-2
Technical Submission (rear-naked choke) R3 2:54
Fight 12 VS Women's Flyweight Completed

Casey O'Neill

Moneyline
FanDuel +152
KO/TKO
BetRivers +550
Submission
BetMGM +950
Decision
BetMGM +300

Lara Procópio

Moneyline
Unibet -167
KO/TKO
BetRivers +900
Submission
BetMGM +950
Decision
BetMGM +110
Fighter Stats

Casey O'Neill

Age28
Height5' 6"
Reach69.0"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Lara Procópio

Age30
Height5' 4"
Reach67"
Weight125 lbs.
StanceOrthodox

Career Averages - Casey O'Neill

7.89SLpM
52.0%Str. Acc.
5.53SApM
57.0%Str. Def.
1.4TD Avg
34.0%TD Acc.
70.0%TD Def.
0.7Sub. Avg

Career Averages - Lara Procópio

5.64SLpM
58.0%Str. Acc.
6.5SApM
47.0%Str. Def.
3.15TD Avg
47.0%TD Acc.
50.0%TD Def.
0.3Sub. Avg
Expert Picks (8)
AN
Angelo Bodetti Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Lara Procópio

Angelo picks Lara Procópio, emphasizing her technical jiu-jitsu and high fight IQ. He compares Casey O'Neill to Paige VanZant, athletic but not technical. He believes Procópio can submit O'Neill or control her on the ground. He has Procópio in his DraftKings lineup and placed a bet on her to win by stoppage with decision no action.

Procópio wins by stoppage, decision equals no action (bet online)
"my pick here is laura procopio if you couldn't tell from that breakdown."
BI
Big Brady Expert Confident picked Jun 15, 2021 (4 days before fight)
Lara Procópio

Big Brady favors Procópio due to her well-rounded skills, better striking volume, superior cardio, and ground game. He notes O'Neill's striking defense is poor and her win over Shannon Dobson is overrated because Dobson had zero takedown defense. He expects Procópio to mix takedowns and win a decision.

win by decision
"I'm going to go with laura procopio to win this fight I'm going to take her to win by decision"
CO
Cody Saftic Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Lara Procópio

Cody picks Procópio, citing her striking volume, grappling, and durability. He notes O'Neill's limited striking and reliance on takedowns, which Procópio can defend. Cody believes Procópio's well-rounded game will be too much for the undefeated but inexperienced O'Neill.

"i got laura procopio everything should suggest lord procopio"
DA
Daniel Levi Expert Confident picked Jun 18, 2021 (1 day before fight)
Lara Procópio

Daniel Levi picks Lara Procópio, expecting her to dominate the majority of the fight. He notes that she is a Nova União black belt with good performances against Carol Rosa and Molly McCann. However, he warns that she must be careful of O'Neill's submission attempts, as Molly McCann had a deep armbar on her. He predicts a decision win for Procópio.

"my pick is laura procopio to get it done most likely be a decision"
JA
Jacob Lines Expert Hesitant picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

Jacob picks Casey O'Neill, citing her pressure and toughness. He worries about O'Neill's grappling defense if she ends up on her back, but thinks she can win a decision. He does not have her in his lineup and would not bet on the fight. He sees it as a wrestling match that could go either way.

"i have casey to win this fight oof i don't have her in my lineup and i don't love it."
MM
MMA Lock of the Night Expert Hesitant picked Jun 17, 2021 (2 days before fight)
Casey O'Neill

The host leans with Casey O'Neill as a slight underdog, citing her aggression, strength, and improving skills at Extreme Couture. He believes O'Neill's forward pressure and top control will be key, as Procópio may struggle to get takedowns. He notes O'Neill's ground-and-pound and active top game, while Procópio is a black belt but less threatening off her back. He predicts a decision win but with low conviction, acknowledging respected analysts are on Procópio.

O'Neill by decision at +295 mentioned as a line he likes
"if you're giving me minus 150 and plus 130 i lean with the dog ever so slightly here with casey o'neill"
PA
Paul Shaughnessy Expert Confident picked Jun 16, 2021 (3 days before fight)
Lara Procópio

Paul picks Procópio, noting her solid grappling and game plan against Molly McCann. He is concerned about O'Neill's grappling but believes Procópio's experience and skills will prevail.

"i'm picking procopio but wanted to hear what you had to say before i do anything with that"
TH
The MMA Guru Expert Confident picked Jun 19, 2021 (fight day)
Casey O'Neill

The MMA Guru picks Casey O'Neill to win by unanimous decision (29-28). He expects Lara Procópio to have success on the feet in the first round, but O'Neill's grappling and size advantage will take over in the later rounds. He notes O'Neill's youth (23) and undefeated record (6-0) as factors. He predicts a takedown at the end of round one, then O'Neill dominating on top in rounds two and three, possibly close to a 10-8 in the third.

"i'm gonna go with casey o'neill getting this one done... 29-28 casey o'neill unanimous decision"
Fight Notes

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